Development and Validation of a Prognostic Model to Predict Overall Survival in Multiple System Atrophy.

Background: Multiple system atrophy (MSA) is a devastating disease characterized by a variable combination of motor and autonomic symptoms. Previous studies identified numerous clinical factors to be associated with shorter survival. Objective: To enable personalized patient counseling, we aimed at developing a risk model of survival based on baseline clinical symptoms. Methods: MSA patients referred to the Movement Disorders Unit in Innsbruck, Austria, between 1999 and 2016 were retrospectively analyzed. Kaplan-Meier curves and multivariate Cox regression analysis with least absolute shrinkage and selection operator penalty for variable selection were performed to identify prognostic factors. A nomogram was developed to estimate the 7 years overall survival probability. The performance of the predictive model was validated and calibrated internally using bootstrap resampling and externally using data from the prospective European MSA Study Group Natural History Study. Results: A total of 210 MSA patients were included in this analysis, of which 124 patients died. The median survival was 7 years. The following clinical variables were found to significantly affect overall survival and were included in the nomogram: age at symptom onset, falls within 3 years of onset, early autonomic failure including orthostatic hypotension and urogenital failure, and lacking levodopa response. The time-dependent area under curve for internal and external validation was >0.7 within the first 7 years of the disease course. The model was well calibrated showing good overlap between predicted and actual survival probability at 7 years. Conclusion: The nomogram is a simple tool to predict survival on an individual basis and may help to improve counseling and treatment of MSA patients.

Comparison of different risk scores for Parkinson disease in a population-based 10-year study.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Different algorithms aiming to identify individuals at risk of Parkinson disease (PD) have been proposed. Comparative studies of these scores and their recent updates in the general elder population are needed. METHODS: We have previously applied the "basic" PREDICT-PD algorithm, designed for remote screening, and the original and updated Movement Disorder Society (MDS) criteria for prodromal PD to the longitudinal population-based Bruneck study cohort. We have now additionally employed the "enhanced" PREDICT-PD algorithm (which includes motor assessment, olfaction, probable rapid eye movement sleep behaviour disorder status, pesticide exposure, and diabetes as additional factors). Risk scores were calculated based on comprehensive baseline assessments (2005) in 574 subjects aged 55-94 years (290 females), and cases of incident PD were identified at 5-year (n = 11) and 10-year follow-up (n = 9). We analysed the association of the different log-transformed risk scores with incident PD at follow-up (calculated per 1-SD unit change). RESULTS: The enhanced PREDICT-PD algorithm was associated with incident PD over 10-years of follow-up, yielding higher odds for incident PD (odds ratio [OR] = 4.61, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 2.68-7.93, p < 0.001) compared with the basic PREDICT-PD score (OR = 2.38, 95% CI = 1.49-3.79, p < 0.001). The updated MDS prodromal criteria yielded a numerically higher OR of 7.13 (95% CI = 3.49-14.54, p < 0.001) in comparison with the original criteria as well as the enhanced PREDICT-PD algorithm, with overlapping 95% CIs. CONCLUSIONS: The enhanced PREDICT-PD algorithm was significantly associated with incident PD. The consistent performance of both the enhanced PREDICT-PD algorithm and the updated MDS prodromal criteria compared to their original versions supports their use in PD risk screening.

A multiplex pedigree with pathologically confirmed multiple system atrophy and Parkinson's disease with dementia.

Multiple system atrophy is considered a sporadic disease, but neuropathologically confirmed cases with a family history of parkinsonism have been occasionally described. Here we report a North-Bavarian (colloquially, Lion's tail region) six-generation pedigree, including neuropathologically confirmed multiple system atrophy and Parkinson's disease with dementia. Between 2012 and 2020, we examined all living and consenting family members of age and calculated the risk of prodromal Parkinson's disease in those without overt parkinsonism. The index case and one paternal cousin with Parkinson's disease with dementia died at follow-up and underwent neuropathological examination. Genetic analysis was performed in both and another family member with Parkinson's disease. The index case was a female patient with cerebellar variant multiple system atrophy and a positive maternal and paternal family history for Parkinson's disease and dementia in multiple generations. The families of the index case and her spouse were genealogically related, and one of the spouse's siblings met the criteria for possible prodromal Parkinson's disease. Neuropathological examination confirmed multiple system atrophy in the index case and advanced Lewy body disease, as well as tau pathology in her cousin. A comprehensive analysis of genes known to cause hereditary forms of parkinsonism or multiple system atrophy lookalikes was unremarkable in the index case and the other two affected family members. Here, we report an extensive European pedigree with multiple system atrophy and Parkinson`s disease suggesting a complex underlying α-synucleinopathy as confirmed on neuropathological examination. The exclusion of known genetic causes of parkinsonism or multiple system atrophy lookalikes suggests that variants in additional, still unknown genes, linked to α-synucleinopathy lesions underlie such neurodegenerative clustering.

Associations of Gait Disorders and Recurrent Falls in Older People: A Prospective Population-Based Study.

BACKGROUND: Recurrent falls represent a major source of serious adverse health outcomes in the general older population. Gait impairment has been linked to recurrent falls, but there are only limited long-term data on this association. OBJECTIVES: The objective of the study was to investigate the association of gait disorders (GDs) and gait tests with future falls in an existing longitudinal population-based cohort. METHOD: The study was performed in participants of the Bruneck Study cohort 2010 aged 60-97 years, with prospective 5-year follow-up. At baseline, participants underwent a clinical gait assessment (to determine neurological and non-neurological GDs according to an established classification) and were also evaluated by quantitative and semiquantitative gait tests (Hauser Index, Tinetti balance and gait test, and gait speed). Logistic regression analysis adjusted for age and sex was used to determine the relationship of baseline variables with incident recurrent falls at 5-year follow-up. RESULTS: Of 328 included participants, 22 (6.7%) reported recurrent falls at follow-up. Baseline presence of GDs was associated with recurrent falls at follow-up (odds ratio [OR] 4.2; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.6-11.1; p = 0.004), and this effect was largely driven by neurological GDs (OR 5.5; 95% CI 1.7-17.4; p = 0.004). All 3 simple gait tests were predictive for incident falls (Hauser Index, p = 0.002; Tinetti test, p = 0.006; and gait speed, p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Clinical assessment of GDs and gait tests both had independent significant predictive value for recurrent falls over a 5-year follow-up period. This highlights the potential of such assessments for early fall risk screening and timely implementation of fall-preventive measures.

Rapid eye movement sleep behavior disorder and rapid eye movement sleep without atonia are more frequent in advanced versus early Parkinson's disease.

STUDY OBJECTIVES: To evaluate macro sleep architecture and characterize rapid eye movement (REM) sleep without atonia (RWA) by using the SINBAR excessive electromyographic (EMG) montage including mentalis and upper extremity muscles in early and advanced Parkinson's disease (PD). METHODS: We recruited 30 patients with early- and advanced-stage of PD according to Movement Disorder Society (MDS) Clinical Diagnostic Criteria. Participants were classified as early-stage PD if they were treatment-naïve or had no motor complications and had been diagnosed with PD within the previous 6 years. Advanced PD was defined as a disease duration equal to or >6 years with or without motor complications. RESULTS: There was significantly shorter REM sleep latency in early as compared to the advanced stage of PD. We found that the sleep Innsbruck Barcelona (SINBAR) EMG index and tonic EMG activity of the mentalis muscle in advanced-stage PD were significantly higher than in early-stage PD with a trend in phasic EMG activity of the flexor digitorum superficialis muscles. The SINBAR EMG index, tonic and any EMG activity of the mentalis muscle, and phasic EMG activity of flexor digitorum superficialis muscles significantly correlated with disease duration. CONCLUSIONS: This study analyzed RWA using the SINBAR EMG montage in early- and advanced-stage of PD and showed higher RWA in mentalis and flexor digitorum superficialis muscles and SINBAR EMG index in advanced-PD patients compared to patients in the early stage. Also, polysomnography-confirmed REM sleep behavior disorder was more common in advanced versus early-stage patients. Our findings suggest that RWA worsens or is more intense or more frequent with disease progression.

Characterization of gait variability in multiple system atrophy and Parkinson's disease.

BACKGROUND: Gait impairment is a pivotal feature of parkinsonian syndromes and increased gait variability is associated with postural instability and a higher risk of falls. OBJECTIVES: We compared gait variability at different walking velocities between and within groups of patients with Parkinson-variant multiple system atrophy, idiopathic Parkinson's disease, and a control group of older adults. METHODS: Gait metrics were recorded in 11 multiple system atrophy, 12 Parkinson's disease patients, and 18 controls using sensor-based gait analysis. Gait variability was analyzed for stride, swing and stance time, stride length and gait velocity. Values were compared between and within the groups at self-paced comfortable, fast and slow walking speed. RESULTS: Multiple system atrophy patients displayed higher gait variability except for stride time at all velocities compared with controls, while Parkinson's patients did not. Compared with Parkinson's disease, multiple system atrophy patients displayed higher variability of swing time, stride length and gait velocity at comfortable speed and at slow speed for swing and stance time, stride length and gait velocity (all P < 0.05). Stride time variability was significantly higher in slow compared to comfortable walking in patients with multiple system atrophy (P = 0.014). Variability parameters significantly correlated with the postural instability/gait difficulty subscore in both disease groups. Conversely, significant correlations between variability parameters and MDS-UPDRS III score was observed only for multiple system atrophy patients. CONCLUSION: This analysis suggests that gait variability parameters reflect the major axial impairment and postural instability displayed by multiple system atrophy patients compared with Parkinson's disease patients and controls.

Non-Motor Symptoms in Parkinson's Disease are Reduced by Nabilone.

OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study was to assess the efficacy and safety of nabilone, a synthetic tetrahydrocannabinol analogue, as a treatment for non-motor symptoms (NMS) in Parkinson's disease (PD). METHODS: This was a phase II placebo-controlled, double-blind, parallel-group, enriched enrollment randomized withdrawal trial conducted at the Medical University Innsbruck. A random sample of 47 patients with PD with stable motor disease and disturbing NMS defined by a score of ≥4 points on the Movement Disorder Society - Unified PD Rating Scale-I (MDS-UPDRS-I) underwent open-label nabilone titration (0.25 mg once daily to 1 mg twice daily, phase I). Responders were randomized 1:1 to continue with nabilone or switch to placebo for 4 weeks (phase II). The primary efficacy criterion was the change of the MDS-UPDRS-I between randomization and week 4. Safety was analyzed in all patients who received at least one nabilone dose. RESULTS: Between October 2017 and July 2019, 19 patients received either nabilone (median dose = 0.75 mg) or placebo. At week 4, mean change of the MDS-UPDRS-I was 2.63 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.53 to 3.74, p = 0.002, effect size = 1.15) in the placebo versus 1.00 (95% CI -0.16 to 2.16, p = 0.280, effect size = 0.42) in the nabilone-group (difference: 1.63, 95% CI 0.09 to 3.18, p = 0.030, effect size = 0.66). Seventy-seven percent of patients had adverse events (AEs) during open-label titration, most of them were transient. In the double-blind phase, similar proportions of patients in each group had AEs (42% in the placebo group and 32% in the nabilone group). There were no serious AEs. INTERPRETATION: Our results highlight the potential efficacy of nabilone for patients with PD with disturbing NMS, which appears to be driven by positive effects on anxious mood and night-time sleep problems. TRIAL REGISTRY: ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT03769896) and EudraCT (2017-000192-86). ANN NEUROL 2020;88:712-722.

Application of a Simple Parkinson's Disease Risk Score in a Longitudinal Population-Based Cohort.

BACKGROUND: Identifying individuals at risk of developing Parkinson's disease (PD) is critical to define target populations for future neuroprotective trials. OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study was to apply the PREDICT-PD algorithm of risk indicators for PD in a prospective community-based study (the Bruneck study), representative of the general elderly population. METHODS: PREDICT-PD risk scores were calculated based on risk factor assessments obtained at baseline (2005, n = 574 participants). Cases of incident PD were identified at 5-year and 10-year follow-ups. Participants with PD or secondary parkinsonism at baseline were excluded (n = 35). We analyzed the association of log-transformed risk scores with the presence of well-established markers as surrogates for PD risk at baseline and with incident PD at follow-up. RESULTS: A total of 20 participants with incident PD were identified during follow-up (11 after 5 years and 9 after 10 years). Baseline PREDICT-PD risk scores were associated with incident PD with odds ratios of 2.09 (95% confidence interval, 1.35-3.25; P = 0.001) after 5 years and of 1.95 (1.36-2.79; P < 0.001) after 10 years of follow-up per doubling of risk scores. In addition, higher PREDICT-PD scores were significantly correlated with established PD risk markers (olfactory dysfunction, signs of rapid eye movement sleep behavior disorder and motor deficits) and significantly associated with higher probability for prodromal PD according to the Movement Disorder Society research criteria at baseline. CONCLUSIONS: The PREDICT-PD score was associated with an increased risk for incident PD in our sample and may represent a useful first screening step in future algorithms aiming to identify cases of prodromal PD. © 2020 The Authors. Movement Disorders published by Wiley Periodicals, Inc. on behalf of International Parkinson and Movement Disorder Society.

Midbrain hyperechogenicity, hyposmia, mild parkinsonian signs and risk for incident Parkinson's disease over 10 years: A prospective population-based study.

INTRODUCTION: Associations of substantia nigra (SN) hyperechogenicity on transcranial sonography, olfactory dysfunction, and mild parkinsonian signs (MPS) with incident Parkinson's disease (PD) have only been studied over limited periods of follow-up and their long-term predictive properties are unclear. We aimed to prospectively assess the risk for incident PD over 10 years in community-dwelling elderly individuals with these risk markers. METHODS: SN-hyperechogenicity, olfactory function, and MPS were assessed in the prospective population-based Bruneck Study (2005 in-person assessment; n = 574, aged 55-94 years). Cases of incident PD were identified at 5-year and 10-year follow-up visits. We estimated relative risks of baseline markers for incident cases. RESULTS: After excluding 35 cases with PD or secondary parkinsonism at baseline, a total of 20 cases of incident PD were identified from the remaining 539 participants (11 at 5 years and 9 at 10 years). Relative risks for incident PD over the 10-year follow-up period were 7.43 (2.71-20.39), 3.60 (1.48-8.78), and 5.52 (2.43-12.57) for baseline SN-hyperechogenicity, hyposmia, and mild parkinsonian signs, respectively. While risk of hyposmia for incident PD was similar for the two sequential 5-year periods studied, relative risks of SN-hyperechogenicity and MPS were higher for the first five years as compared to later. CONCLUSION: Our findings extend the established risk relationship of SN-hyperechogenicity, hyposmia, and MPS with incident PD beyond 5 years of follow-up.

Prevalence and Associated Factors of Sarcopenia and Frailty in Parkinson's Disease: A Cross-Sectional Study.

BACKGROUND: Sarcopenia and frailty are found in up to one-third of the general elderly population. Both are associated with major adverse health outcomes such as nursing home placement, disability, decreased quality of life, and death. Data on the frequency of both syndromes in Parkinson's disease (PD), however, are very limited. OBJECTIVE: We aimed to screen for sarcopenia and frailty in PD patients and to assess potential associations of both geriatric syndromes with demographic and clinical parameters as well as quality of life. METHODS: In this observational, cross-sectional study, we included 104 PD patients from a tertiary center and 330 non-PD controls from a population-based cohort aged > 65 years. All groups were screened for sarcopenia using the SARC-F score and for frailty using the Clinical Frailty Scale of the Canadian Study of Health and Aging (CSHA CFS). Prevalence rates of sarcopenia and frailty were also assessed in 18 PD patients from a population-based cohort aged > 65 years. Moreover, PD patients from the tertiary center were evaluated for motor and non-motor symptoms, quality of life, and dependency. RESULTS: The prevalence of sarcopenia was 55.8% (95% CI: 46.2-64.9%) in PD patients from the tertiary center and 8.2% (5.7-11.7%; p < 0.001) in non-PD controls. Frailty was detected in 35.6% (27.0-45.2%) and 5.2% (3.2-8.1%; p < 0.001). Prevalence rates for sarcopenia and frailty were 33.3% (16.1-56.4%; p = 0.004) and 22.2% (8.5-45.8%; p = 0.017) in the community-based PD sample. Both sarcopenia and frailty were significantly associated with longer disease duration, higher motor impairment, higher Hoehn and Yahr stages, decreased quality of life, higher frequency of falls, a higher non-motor symptom burden, institutionalization, and higher care levels in PD patients from a tertiary center compared to not affected PD patients (all p < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Both frailty and sarcopenia are more common in PD patients than in the general community and are associated with a more adverse course of the disease. Future studies should look into underlying risk factors for the occurrence of sarcopenia and frailty in PD patients and into adequate management to prevent and mitigate them.

Performance of the Movement Disorders Society criteria for prodromal Parkinson's disease: A population-based 10-year study.

OBJECTIVE: We aimed to identify prodromal Parkinson's disease (PD) and its predictive accuracy for incident PD in an unselected elderly population and to estimate the relevance of this approach for future neuroprotection trials. METHODS: We applied the recently published Movement Disorders Society (MDS) research criteria for prodromal PD to participants of the prospective population-based Bruneck Study of the 2005 assessment (n = 574, ages 55-94 years). Cases of incident PD were identified at 3-year, 5-year, and 10-year follow-up visits. We calculated predictive accuracies of baseline prodromal PD status for incident cases, and, based on them, estimated sample sizes for neuroprotection trials with conversion to PD as the primary outcome. RESULTS: Baseline status of probable prodromal PD (n = 12) had a specificity in predicting incident PD of 98.8% (95% confidence interval, 97.3%-99.5%), a sensitivity of 66.7% (29.6%-90.8%), and a positive predictive value of 40.0% (16.7%-68.8%) over 3 years. Specificity remained stable with increasing follow-up time, sensitivity decreased to 54.6% (28.0%-78.8%) over 5 years and to 35.0% (18.0%-56.8%) over 10 years, whereas positive predictive value rose to 60.0% (31.2%-83.3%) and 77.8% (44.3%-94.7%), respectively. Sample size estimates at 80% power in an intention-to-treat approach ranged from 108 to 540 patients with probable prodromal PD depending on trial duration (3-5 years) and effect size of the agent (30%-50%). CONCLUSIONS: Our findings show that the MDS criteria for prodromal PD yield moderate to high predictive power for incident PD in a community-based setting and may thus be helpful to define target populations of future neuroprotection trials. © 2018 International Parkinson and Movement Disorder Society.

Characterization of patients with longstanding idiopathic REM sleep behavior disorder.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the presence of prodromal markers of Parkinson disease (PD) in patients with longstanding idiopathic REM sleep behavior disorder (IRBD), a small subgroup of individuals with IRBD with long-term follow-up thought not to be at risk of developing PD. METHODS: Demographic, clinical, and neuroimaging markers of PD were evaluated in 20 patients with polysomnographic-confirmed longstanding IRBD and in 32 matched controls. RESULTS: Patients were 16 men and 4 women with mean age of 72.9 ± 8.6 years and mean follow-up from IRBD diagnosis of 12.1 ± 2.6 years. Patients more often had objective smell loss (35% vs 3.4%, p = 0.003), constipation (50% vs 15.6%, p = 0.008), and mild parkinsonian signs (45% vs 18.8%, p = 0.042) than controls. Unified Parkinson's Disease Rating Scale motor score was higher in patients than in controls (5.6 ± 3.5 vs 2.0 ± 2.1, p < 0.0001). Dopamine transporter imaging showed decreased striatal uptake in 82.4% of the patients and transcranial sonography found substantia nigra hyperechogenicity in 35.3%. α-Synuclein aggregates were found in 3 of 6 patients who underwent colon or submandibular gland biopsies. All 20 patients showed clinical, neuroimaging, or histologic markers of PD. Probability of prodromal PD (according to recent Movement Disorders Society research criteria) was higher in patients than in controls (<0.0001), and 45% of patients surpassed 80% probability. CONCLUSIONS: Prodromal PD markers are common in individuals with longstanding IRBD, suggesting that they are affected by an underlying neurodegenerative process. This observation may be useful for the design of disease-modifying trials to prevent PD onset in IRBD.

Consistency of "Probable RBD" Diagnosis with the RBD Screening Questionnaire: A Follow-up Study.

INTRODUCTION: The aim of this study was to evaluate the consistency of "probable RBD" diagnosis with the RBD screening questionnaire (RBDSQ) assessed 2 years apart in a population-based study. METHODS: Probable RBD was assessed by RBDSQ in 2008 and in 2010 in the Bruneck Study Cohort, with participants aged ≥60 years. RESULTS: A total of 437 participants completed the RBDSQ in 2008 and 2010. There were 29 (6.6%) and 23 (5.3%) participants with probable RBD in 2008 and in 2010, respectively. Only eight (1.8%) screened positive on both occasions. RBDSQ values 2 years apart showed low correlation with each other (Spearman rank coefficient r = 0.348, P < 0.001) and low agreement (intraclass correlation coefficient 0.388, P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: We found low agreement between the two assessments. Possible explanations are the fluctuation of untreated RBD expression and the poor utility of the RBDSQ to detect RBD in the general population. Until further PSG validation of the RBDSQ in population-based studies, investigators must be aware of the inherent uncertainty of questionnaire-based RBD diagnosis.

Prodromal Parkinson's disease as defined per MDS research criteria in the general elderly community.

BACKGROUND: Recently, the International Parkinson and Movement Disorder Society has defined research criteria for prodromal Parkinson's disease (PD), but to date their predictive value has not yet been tested in population-based cohorts. METHODS: We retrospectively applied these criteria to the longitudinal Bruneck Study cohort aged 55-94 years using recorded data on all included risk and prodromal markers that are quick and easily assessable. RESULTS: After excluding participants with idiopathic PD or secondary parkinsonism, prevalence of probable prodromal PD in the remaining 539 participants was 2.2% (95% confidence interval, 1.2%-3.9%). Of 488 participants followed up over 5 years, 11 developed incident PD. Sensitivity of "probable prodromal PD" status for incident PD was 54.6% (95% confidence interval, 28.0%-78.8%), specificity was 99.2% (97.8%-99.8%), positive predictive value was 60.0% (31.2%-83.3%), and negative predictive value was 99.0% (97.5%-99.6%). CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggest that the new research criteria for prodromal PD are a promising tool to identify cases of incident PD over 5 years, arguing for their usefulness in defining target populations for disease-prevention trials. © 2016 International Parkinson and Movement Disorder Society.

Substantia nigra hyperechogenicity and Parkinson's disease risk in patients with essential tremor.

BACKGROUND: Several studies have reported an increased risk for patients with essential tremor to develop Parkinson's disease. In addition, hyperechogenicity in the area of the substantia nigra has been associated with a markedly increased risk for Parkinson's disease. The objective of this study was to evaluate the validity of substantia nigra hyperechogenicity in patients with essential tremor as a risk marker for Parkinson's disease. METHODS: Transcranial sonography was performed in 70 patients suffering from essential tremor. Fifty-four of these patients were available for follow-up after a mean of 6.16 ± 2.05 years and were assessed for the incidence of new-onset Parkinson's disease. RESULTS: The relative risk for developing Parkinson's disease in patients with essential tremor who had hyperechogenicity at baseline versus those without this hyperechogenicity was 7.00 (95% confidence interval, 1.62-30.34; sensitivity, 77.8%; specificity, 75.6%). CONCLUSIONS: Substantia nigra hyperechogenicity is also associated with an increased risk for Parkinson's disease in patients with essential tremor. These findings further support the potential role of this echofeature as a risk marker for Parkinson's disease.

Probable RBD and association with neurodegenerative disease markers: A population-based study.

BACKGROUND: The prevalence of rapid eye movement sleep behavior disorder (RBD) and its association with markers of neurodegeneration in the general population are poorly defined. METHODS: We assessed the prevalence of probable RBD defined by two validated questionnaires, the RBD Screening Questionnaire (RBDSQ) and the Innsbruck RBD-Inventory (RBD-I), and studied its associations with clinical and imaging markers for neurodegeneration in the Bruneck Study cohort aged 60 y or older. RESULTS: Of the 456 participants without Parkinson's disease, 4.6% (RBDSQ; 95%CI, 3.0%-7.0%) and 7.7% (RBD-I; 95%CI, 5.6%-10.5%) had probable RBD. Probable RBD diagnosed with either of the questionnaires was associated with hyposmia (trend; P < 0.1), anxiety (P < 0.05), depression (P < 0.05), antidepressant use (P < 0.05), and self-reported non-motor symptoms (P < 0.01), specifically, dribbling saliva, memory problems, apathy, concentration problems, and anxiety. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings may provide a basis for future studies intending to identify cohorts at risk for Lewy body diseases through screening of the general elderly population for RBD.

Long-Term Follow-up Investigation of Isolated Rapid Eye Movement Sleep Without Atonia Without Rapid Eye Movement Sleep Behavior Disorder: A Pilot Study.

STUDY OBJECTIVES: Idiopathic rapid eye movement (REM) sleep behavior disorder (RBD) is a harbinger of synuclein-mediated neurodegenerative diseases. It is unknown if this also applies to isolated REM sleep without atonia (RWA). We performed a long-term follow-up investigation of subjects with isolated RWA. METHODS: Participants were recruited from 50 subjects with isolated RWA who were identified at the sleep laboratory of the Department of Neurology at the Medical University of Innsbruck between 2003 and 2005. Eligible subjects underwent follow-up clinical examination, polysomnography, and assessment of neurodegenerative biomarkers (cognitive impairment, finger speed deficit, impaired color vision, olfactory dysfunction, orthostatic hypotension, and substantia nigra hyperechogenicity). RESULTS: After a mean of 8.6 ± 0.9 y, 1 of 14 participating subjects (7.3%) progressed to RBD. Ten of 14 RWA subjects (71.4%) were positive for at least one neurodegenerative biomarker. Substantia nigra hyperechogenicity and presence of mild cognitive impairment were both present in 4 of 14 subjects with isolated RWA. Electromyographic activity measures increased significantly from baseline to follow-up polysomnography ("any" mentalis and both anterior tibialis muscles: 32.5 ± 9.4 versus 52.2 ± 16.6%; p = 0.004). CONCLUSION: This study provides first evidence that isolated RWA is an early biomarker of synuclein-mediated neurodegeneration. These results will have to be replicated in larger studies with longer observational periods. If confirmed, these disease findings have implications for defining at-risk cohorts for Parkinson disease.

Predictors for mild parkinsonian signs: a prospective population-based study.

OBJECTIVE: Mild parkinsonian signs (MPS) are common in the elderly population and are associated with a wide range of adverse health outcomes, including incident Parkinson's disease (PD). We aimed to prospectively evaluate potential risk factors for incident MPS. METHODS: Participants of the population-based Bruneck Study representative for the general elderly community underwent a baseline assessment of substantia nigra (SN)-echogenicity with transcranial sonography, olfactory function with the Sniffin' Sticks identification test and vascular risk according to the Framingham risk score as well as a baseline and 5-year follow-up neurological examination. MPS were defined according to established criteria based on the entire motor section of the Unified PD Rating Scale. Participants with PD at baseline or follow-up and subjects with MPS at baseline were excluded. A logistic regression analysis adjusted for age and sex was used to detect risk factors for incident MPS in the remaining 393 participants. RESULTS: SN-hyperechogenicity and hyposmia were related to the development of MPS with odds ratios of 2.0 (95%CI, 1.1-3.7) and 1.6 (95%CI, 1.0-2.7), respectively, while increased vascular risk was not. Having both, SN-hyperechogenicity and hyposmia, was associated with an odds ratio of 3.0 (95%CI, 1.2-7.7) for incident MPS. Among the various motor domains, increased SN-echogenicity predicted the development of bradykinesia and rigidity, whereas diminished olfactory function predicted the development of impaired axial motor function. CONCLUSIONS: In addition to their established roles as risk factors for PD, SN-hyperechogenicity and hyposmia are associated with an increased risk for MPS in the general elderly community.

Five-year follow-up of substantia nigra echogenicity in idiopathic REM sleep behavior disorder.

Hyperechogenicity of the substantia nigra visualized by transcranial sonography occurs in most Parkinson's disease (PD) patients. Idiopathic rapid eye movement (REM) sleep behavior disorder (IRBD) subjects eventually develop PD and other synucleinopathies. This study was undertaken to evaluate whether in IRBD, transcranial sonography identifies subjects who convert to PD and other synucleinopathies, and whether substantia nigra echogenic size changes with time. It was a prospective study in which 55 IRBD patients underwent transcranial sonography at baseline and were invited to follow-up after 5 years. Patients were assessed by the same experienced sonographer who was blinded to clinical data and baseline transcranial sonography results, and used the same equipment and adjustments. Twenty-one (38.2%) subjects were diagnosed with a synucleinopathy (PD in 11, dementia with Lewy bodies in nine, and multiple system atrophy in one). Sensitivity of baseline substantia nigra hyperechogenicity for the development of a synucleinopathy was 42.1%, specificity 67.7%, positive predictive value 44.4%, negative predictive value 65.6%, and relative risk 1.29. No differences were detected between the first and second examination in mean size of the substantia nigra (0.20 ± 0.09 cm(2) vs. 0.19 ± 0.07 cm(2) ; P = 0.777) and in percentage of patients with substantia nigra hyperechogenicity (33.3% vs. 42.8%, P = 0.125). Transcranial sonography of the substantia nigra alone is not a useful tool to identify IRBD subjects at risk for the development of PD or a synucleinopathy after 5 years of follow-up. In IRBD, transcranial sonography cannot be used to monitor the degenerative process in the substantia nigra, because echogenicity size remains stable over time.