Decreasing incidence of cancer after liver transplantation-A Nordic population-based study over 3 decades.

Cancer remains one of the most serious long-term complications after liver transplantation (LT). Data for all adult LT patients between 1982 and 2013 were extracted from the Nordic Liver Transplant Registry. Through linkage with respective national cancer-registry data, we calculated standardized incidence ratios (SIRs) based on country, sex, calendar time, and age-specific incidence rates. Altogether 461 cancers were observed in 424 individuals of the 4246 LT patients during a mean 6.6-year follow-up. The overall SIR was 2.22 (95% confidence interval [CI], 2.02-2.43). SIRs were especially increased for colorectal cancer in recipients with primary sclerosing cholangitis (4.04) and for lung cancer in recipients with alcoholic liver disease (4.96). A decrease in the SIR for cancers occurring within 10 years post-LT was observed from the 1980s: 4.53 (95%CI, 2.47-7.60), the 1990s: 3.17 (95%CI, 2.70-3.71), to the 2000s: 1.76 (95%CI, 1.51-2.05). This was observed across age- and indication-groups. The sequential decrease for the SIR of non-Hodgkin lymphoma was 25.0-12.9-7.53, and for nonmelanoma skin cancer 80.0-29.7-10.4. Cancer risk after LT was found to be decreasing over time, especially for those cancers that are strongly associated with immunosuppression. Whether immunosuppression minimization contributed to this decrease merits further study.

Increased stomach cancer risk following radiotherapy for testicular cancer.

BACKGROUND: Abdominal radiotherapy for testicular cancer (TC) increases risk for second stomach cancer, although data on the radiation dose-response relationship are sparse. METHODS: In a cohort of 22,269 5-year TC survivors diagnosed during 1959-1987, doses to stomach subsites were estimated for 92 patients who developed stomach cancer and 180 matched controls. Chemotherapy details were recorded. Odds ratios (ORs) were estimated using logistic regression. RESULTS: Cumulative incidence of second primary stomach cancer was 1.45% at 30 years after TC diagnosis. The TC survivors who received radiotherapy (87 (95%) cases, 151 (84%) controls) had a 5.9-fold (95% confidence interval (CI) 1.7-20.7) increased risk of stomach cancer. Risk increased with increasing stomach dose (P-trend<0.001), with an OR of 20.5 (3.7-114.3) for ⩾50.0 Gy compared with <10 Gy. Radiation-related risks remained elevated ⩾20 years after exposure (P<0.001). Risk after any chemotherapy was not elevated (OR=1.1; 95% CI 0.5-2.5; 14 cases and 23 controls). CONCLUSIONS: Radiotherapy for TC involving parts of the stomach increased gastric cancer risk for several decades, with the highest risks after stomach doses of ⩾30 Gy. Clinicians should be aware of these excesses when previously irradiated TC survivors present with gastrointestinal symptoms and when any radiotherapy is considered in newly diagnosed TC patients.

Pancreatic cancer risk after treatment of Hodgkin lymphoma.

BACKGROUND: Although elevated risks of pancreatic cancer have been observed in long-term survivors of Hodgkin lymphoma (HL), no prior study has assessed the risk of second pancreatic cancer in relation to radiation dose and specific chemotherapeutic agents. PATIENTS AND METHODS: We conducted an international case-control study within a cohort of 19 882 HL survivors diagnosed from 1953 to 2003 including 36 cases and 70 matched controls. RESULTS: Median ages at HL and pancreatic cancer diagnoses were 47 and 60.5 years, respectively; median time to pancreatic cancer was 19 years. Pancreatic cancer risk increased with increasing radiation dose to the pancreatic tumor location (Ptrend = 0.005) and increasing number of alkylating agent (AA)-containing cycles of chemotherapy (Ptrend = 0.008). The odds ratio (OR) for patients treated with both subdiaphragmatic radiation (≥10 Gy) and ≥6 AA-containing chemotherapy cycles (13 cases, 6 controls) compared with patients with neither treatment was 17.9 (95% confidence interval 3.5-158). The joint effect of these two treatments was significantly greater than additive (P = 0.041) and nonsignificantly greater than multiplicative (P = 0.29). Especially high risks were observed among patients receiving ≥8400 mg/m(2) of procarbazine with nitrogen mustard or ≥3900 mg/m(2) of cyclophosphamide. CONCLUSION: Our study demonstrates for the first time that both radiotherapy and chemotherapy substantially increase pancreatic cancer risks among HL survivors treated in the past. These findings extend the range of nonhematologic cancers associated with chemotherapy and add to the evidence that the combination of radiotherapy and chemotherapy can lead to especially large risks.

Risk of treatment-related esophageal cancer among breast cancer survivors.

BACKGROUND: Radiotherapy for breast cancer may expose the esophagus to ionizing radiation, but no study has evaluated esophageal cancer risk after breast cancer associated with radiation dose or systemic therapy use. DESIGN: Nested case-control study of esophageal cancer among 289 748 ≥5-year survivors of female breast cancer from five population-based cancer registries (252 cases, 488 individually matched controls), with individualized radiation dosimetry and information abstracted from medical records. RESULTS: The largest contributors to esophageal radiation exposure were supraclavicular and internal mammary chain treatments. Esophageal cancer risk increased with increasing radiation dose to the esophageal tumor location (P(trend )< 0.001), with doses of ≥35 Gy associated with an odds ratio (OR) of 8.3 [95% confidence interval (CI) 2.7-28]. Patients with hormonal therapy ≤5 years preceding esophageal cancer diagnosis had lower risk (OR = 0.4, 95% CI 0.2-0.8). Based on few cases, alkylating agent chemotherapy did not appear to affect risk. Our data were consistent with a multiplicative effect of radiation and other esophageal cancer risk factors (e.g. smoking). CONCLUSIONS: Esophageal cancer is a radiation dose-related complication of radiotherapy for breast cancer, but absolute risk is low. At higher esophageal doses, the risk warrants consideration in radiotherapy risk assessment and long-term follow-up.

Polymorphic MLH1 and risk of cancer after methylating chemotherapy for Hodgkin lymphoma.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Methylating agents are effective chemotherapy agents for Hodgkin lymphoma, but are associated with the development of second primary cancers. Cytotoxicity of methylating agents is mediated primarily by the DNA mismatch repair (MMR) system. Loss of MLH1, a major component of DNA MMR, results in tolerance to the cytotoxic effects of methylating agents and persistence of mutagenised cells at high risk of malignant transformation. We hypothesised that a common substitution in the basal promoter of MLH1 (position -93, rs1800734) modifies the risk of cancer after methylating chemotherapy. METHODS: 133 patients who developed cancer following chemotherapy and/or radiotherapy (n = 133), 420 patients diagnosed with de novo myeloid leukaemia, 242 patients diagnosed with primary Hodgkin lymphoma, and 1177 healthy controls were genotyped for the MLH1 -93 polymorphism by allelic discrimination polymerase chain reaction (PCR) and restriction fragment length polymorphism assay. Odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals for cancer risk by MLH1 -93 polymorphism status, and stratified by previous exposure to methylating chemotherapy, were calculated using unconditional logistic regression. RESULTS: Carrier frequency of the MLH1 -93 variant was higher in patients who developed therapy related acute myeloid leukaemia (t-AML) (75.0%, n = 12) or breast cancer (53.3%. n = 15) after methylating chemotherapy for Hodgkin lymphoma compared to patients without previous methylating exposure (t-AML, 30.4%, n = 69; breast cancer patients, 27.2%, n = 22). The MLH1 -93 variant allele was also over-represented in t-AML cases when compared to de novo AML cases (36.9%, n = 420) and healthy controls (36.3%, n = 952), and was associated with a significantly increased risk of developing t-AML (odds ratio 5.31, 95% confidence interval 1.40 to 20.15), but only in patients previously treated with a methylating agent. CONCLUSIONS: These data support the hypothesis that the common polymorphism at position -93 in the core promoter of MLH1 defines a risk allele for the development of cancer after methylating chemotherapy for Hodgkin lymphoma. However, replication of this finding in larger studies is suggested.

Uveal and conjunctival malignant melanoma in Denmark, 1943-97: incidence and validation study.

PURPOSE: To study the incidence of malignant melanoma in the ocular region in Denmark during the period 1943-97. METHODS: The patients were mainly identified through the Danish Cancer Registry. Age-period-cohort modelling of the incidence rates was done based on age at diagnosis, calendar period and birth cohort in 5-year groups and for each gender. RESULTS: The age-standardized incidence of malignant melanoma in the ocular region was 0.78 for men (N = 1327) and 0.65 for women (N = 1242) per 100,000 person-years. Calendar period and birth cohort had no effect on the incidence in the ocular region or in the topography subgroups choroid/ciliary body and conjunctiva. However, the incidence increased with birth cohort for iris melanomas. CONCLUSIONS: The incidence of malignant melanoma in the ocular region was stable in contrast to a major increase in cutaneous melanoma in Denmark during the period 1943-97. The incidence of iris melanomas increased substantially, whereas the rate was stable for choroid/ciliary body and conjunctival melanomas.

The influence of mammographic screening on national trends in breast cancer incidence.

Introducing an organized mammographic screening programme affects the breast cancer incidence rate in a population. The diagnosis is advanced in time, and initially, an increase will occur in the number of cases, followed by a drop in the rate when women leave the programme. The aim of this study was to quantify the potential effects that mammographic screening programmes have on breast cancer incidence. In addition, we wanted to investigate how the incidence of breast cancer varies between different birth cohorts, age groups and time periods in the five Nordic countries Finland, Denmark, Iceland, Norway and Sweden, adjusting for the effects of the screening programmes. Time trends were analysed over the period 1978-1997, using age-period-cohort models. In Sweden, the rates more than doubled (relative risk (RR)=2.20, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.8-2.6) in women offered screening for the first time compared with women not offered screening. The risk remained elevated (RR=1.34, 95% CI 1.2-1.6) for women who were continued to be offered screening, compared with women who were not offered screening. Finally, the rates dropped (RR=0.68, 95% CI 0.6-0.8) when the women left the programme. This indicates that screening advances the time of diagnosis, which is a prerequisite to subsequent reduction in mortality. Analysis of secular trends, corrected for the influence of screening, showed that the rates in Finland increased by 13% per 5-year period, with a more modest increase in the other countries. There were strong cohort effects in all Nordic countries, and the risk seemed to be flattening for the youngest cohorts in most of the countries.

Suicides among Danish cancer patients 1971-1999.

Compared to the general population, the suicide risk among Danish cancer patients diagnosed in 1971-1986 was increased by 50% for men and 30% for women. We updated the earlier study to evaluate both long-term and recent trends in the suicide risk. Cancer patients with a first cancer diagnosed between 1971 and 1999 in Denmark were followed-up for completed suicide through 1999. Excluding nonmelanoma skin cancer, 564 508 cancer patients were included and 1241 suicides observed. Both the standardised mortality ratio (SMR) of suicide relative to the general population and the suicide rates were analysed with Poisson regression methods. The overall SMR was increased to 1.7 (95% CI. 1.6-1.9) for men and 1.4 (95% CI: 1.3-1.5) for women. Following the cancer diagnosis, the suicide risk was highest in the first 3 months for men and between months 3 and 12 for women. The risk was higher for nonlocalized cancer and for cancers with perceived poor prognosis. Breast cancer patients had a higher risk than other cancer patients with similar good prognosis. The suicide rates among cancer patients decreased with calendar time, but less so than the rates in the general population. The suicide risk among cancer patients has not decreased as much as in the Danish population and reasons for this should be explored. Breast cancer might be believed by patients to be more life threatening than it is. Assessment and treatment of depression could improve the quality of life for cancer patients who suffer from unrecognised depressions and in turn reduce the risk of suicide in cancer patients.

Can the survival difference between breast cancer patients in Denmark and Sweden 1989 and 1994 be explained by patho-anatomical variables?--a population-based study.

Analyses of data from cancer registries have shown a 10% unit difference in 5-year relative survival between Danish and Swedish patients with breast cancer. This study investigates the effect of age and patho-anatomic variables on this survival difference. Hospital records were collected for women over 40 years of age diagnosed in 1989 or 1994 in east Denmark and south Sweden; patho-anatomical variables and survival were compared between 2289 Danish and 1715 Swedish women. Tumours were smaller, node-negative axillae more frequent and well-differentiated tumours almost 10% more frequent in Sweden. A superior 5-year relative survival in Sweden was found in the 50- to 79-year age group. The adjusted hazard rate ratio between countries was 1.7 in 1989 and 1.3 in 1994. Conditional survival after surviving the first 5 years was similar for the two countries. Adjusting for patho-anatomical variables reduced but did not eliminate the higher risk of death among the Danish patients. Higher population death rates could explain some but not all of the residual elevated risk for Danish women.

European health systems and cancer care.

INTRODUCTION: Data on the survival of all incident cases collected by population-based cancer registries make it possible to evaluate the overall performance of diagnostic and therapeutic actions on cancer in those populations. EUROCARE-3 is the third round of the EUROCARE project, the largest cancer registry population based collaborative study on survival in European cancer patients. The EUROCARE-3 study analysed the survival of cancer patients diagnosed from 1990 to 1994 and followed-up to 1999. Sixty-seven cancer registries of 22 European countries characterised by differing health systems participated in the study. This paper includes essays providing brief overviews of the state and evolution of the health systems of the considered countries and comments on the relation between cancer survival in Europe and some European macro-economic and health system indicators, in the 1990s. OVERVIEW OF THE EUROPEAN HEALTH SYSTEMS: The European health systems underwent a great deal of reorganisation in the last decade; a general tendency being to facilitate expanding involvement of the private sector in health care, a process which occurred mainly in the eastern countries (i.e. the Czech Republic, Estonia, Poland, Slovakia and Slovenia). In contrast, organisational changes in the northern European countries (i.e. Denmark, Iceland, Finland and Sweden) tended to confirm the established public sector systems. Other countries, including the UK and some southern European countries (i.e. England, Scotland, Wales, Malta and Italy) have reduced the public role while the systems remain basically public, at least at present. Our findings clearly suggest that cancer survival (all cancer combined) is related to macro-economic variables such as the gross domestic product (GDP), the total national (public and private) expenditure on health (TNEH) and the total public expenditure on health (TPEH). We found, however, that survival is related to wealth (GDP), but only up to a certain level, after which survival continues to be related to the level of health investment (both TNEH and TPEH). According to the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD), the TNEH increased during the 1990s in all EUROCARE-3 countries, while the ratio of TPEH to TNEH reduced in all countries except Portugal. CONCLUSIONS: Cancer survival depends on the widespread application of effective diagnosis and treatment modalities, but our enquiry suggests that the availability of these depends on macro-economic determinants, including health and public health investment. Analysis of the relationship between health system organisation and cancer outcome is complicated and requires more information than is at present available. To describe cancer and cancer management in Europe, the European Cancer Health Indicator Project (EUROCHIP) has proposed a list of indicators that have to be adopted to evaluate the effects on outcome of proposed health system modifications.

Time trends and regional differences in registration, stage distribution, surgical management and survival of breast cancer in Denmark.

The aim of this study was to analyse time trends, stage at diagnosis, survival and registration of population-based cohorts of breast cancer patients in selected Danish counties (in total 2504) in 1986 and 1996-1997. In 1986, no differences in the extent of disease were observed between the counties. Patients from one county (Funen) had centralised surgery, significantly more lymph nodes removed and a better survival in the multivariate analysis. In 1996-1997, mammographical screening had been implemented in Funen, leading to a significantly better stage distribution, whereas stage remained unchanged in the other counties. In Funen, survival was significantly better than in the other counties in univariate, but not in multivariate analysis. Survival increased significantly with time only in Funen. Inclusion in clinical trials increased over time and the coverage of the database in the Danish Breast Cancer Cooperative Group (DBCG) was high. However, patients not notified in DBCG had, beside older age, also worse stage of disease distribution and less extensive surgery. A difference in survival was observed between the counties. In 1986, this may be explained by a centralised surgical system in one county, whereas in 1996-1997 improvements could be due to an early diagnosis and other as yet unknown factors. The DBCG database cannot be considered as representative of the Danish population of breast cancer patients.

A reanalysis of liver cancer incidence in Danish patients administered thorotrast using a two-mutation carcinogenesis model.

In recent years, a two-mutation carcinogenesis (TMC) model has been used to analyze epidemiological data and estimate the radiation risks at low doses for the organs affected. Here the TMC model was used to reanalyze the liver cancer incidence in the Danish population in general and in patients administered Thorotrast, and to estimate the radiation risks for the liver. The data for 807 patients for whom sufficient data on the injected volumes of Thorotrast were available were used in this reanalysis. These data were combined with data on liver cancer incidence in the Danish population as the baseline or background incidence. Because males and females show different baseline liver cancer incidences, separate fits were made for males and females. The fits showed that the radiation effect could be ascribed entirely to the radiation dependence of the first mutation rate of the TMC model, which was higher for females than for males. The second mutation rate was not significantly dependent on dose. The radiation risks for the liver were calculated on the basis of the model parameters. These risks for lifetime exposures are about the same for males and females and are between a factor of 2 and 10 higher than current estimates. The discrepancy between the model results and previous risk estimates probably arises because the model calculations give more complete lifetime radiation risk estimates. For short-term exposures of the liver to ionizing radiation, the maximum radiation-induced excess liver cancer risk per unit dose applies to exposures at the age of about 10; exposures at ages above 35 have a radiation effect of less than approximately 15% of this maximum.

Validity of breast cancer in the Danish Cancer Registry. A study based on clinical records from one county in Denmark.

Cancer registries are essential in order to monitor the incidence of cancer and, with proper follow-up, survival in a population. However, the usefulness of the registry depends upon the data quality. To validate the Danish Cancer Registry concerning breast cancer in female residents of Aarhus county 1983-1989, registry records were compared with clinical records. Completeness was validated in 2062 patients and correctness was determined for pathologically proven primary invasive breast cancer in 1949 patients. Incidence data were complete with no tumours missing. Data were coded according to ICD-7 and correctness of registry data in terms of basis of diagnosis and tumour malignancy was 99%. Information on extent of disease (stage) was not complete and there was a high disconcordance, in particular for bilateral breast tumours and cases with distant metastasis. Even crude staging into local and regional disease was inconsistent for 13% of cases, which probably hampered survival analysis by stage. The quality of registry data should be addressed when using variables, such as stage, not routinely reported by registries.

Cause-of-death registers in radiation-contaminated areas of the Russian Federation and Kazakhstan.

Since the early 1990s, information on radiation-exposed populations other than those exposed from the Chernobyl accident in 1986 has become increasingly available for international scientific research. It is essential to understand how the cohorts of exposed populations have been defined and what mechanisms can be used to study their health outcomes. Different international scientific research collaborations currently investigate four population groups chronically exposed to ionizing radiation during the late 1940s and early 1950s in the Russian Federation and in Kazakhstan. In this framework, collaborations have been established to develop cause-of-death registers in each of these four areas for future mortality follow-up purposes with the aim of studying the health effects of ionizing radiation. The emphasis of this effort is on assessing the information sources available, the mechanisms of data collection and coding, and the data quality and completeness of the information collected. One of the major challenges is the harmonization of all these aspects between the four different centers to the extent possible, taking into account that much of the actual data has been collected over many decades.

Mortality after cerebral angiography with or without radioactive Thorotrast: an international cohort of 3,143 two-year survivors.

There are few studies on the long-term sequelae of radionuclides ingested or injected into the human body. Patients exposed to radioactive Thorotrast in the 1930s through the early 1950s provide a singular opportunity, since the administration of this radiographic contrast agent resulted in continuous exposure to alpha particles throughout life at a low dose rate. We evaluated cause-specific mortality among an international cohort of 3,143 patients injected during cerebral angiography with either Thorotrast (n = 1,736) or a similar but nonradioactive agent (n = 1,407) and who survived 2 or more years. Standardized mortality ratios (SMRs) for Thorotrast and comparison patients were calculated, and relative risks (RR), adjusted for population, age and sex, were obtained by multivariate statistical modeling. Most patients were followed until death, with only 94 (5.4%) of the Thorotrast patients known to be alive at the closure of the study. All-cause mortality (n = 1,599 deaths) was significantly elevated among Thorotrast subjects [RR 1.7; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.5-1.8]. Significantly increased relative risks were found for several categories, including cancer (RR 2.8), benign and unspecified tumors (RR 1.5), benign blood diseases (RR 7.1), and benign liver disorders (RR 6.5). Nonsignificant increases were seen for respiratory disease (RR 1.4) and other types of digestive disease (RR 1.6). The relative risk due to all causes increased steadily after angiography to reach a threefold RR at 40 or more years (P < 0.001). Excess cancer deaths were observed for each decade after Thorotrast injection, even after 50 years (SMR 8.6; P < 0.05). Increasing cumulative dose of radiation was directly associated with death due to all causes combined, cancer, respiratory disease, benign liver disease, and other types of digestive disease. Our study confirms the relationship between Thorotrast and increased mortality due to cancer, benign liver disease, and benign hematological disease, and suggests a possible relationship with respiratory disorders and other types of digestive disease. The cumulative excess risk of cancer death remained high up to 50 years after injection with >20 ml Thorotrast and approached 50%.

[Untreated breast cancer in Denmark 1978-1995]. / Ubehandlet brystkraeft i Danmark 1978-1995.

INTRODUCTION: The lack of registration of women who have received no or alternative treatment for breast cancer has been criticised. No distinction is made in the Danish Cancer Register between these patients and those who only receive palliative treatment for other reasons, such as old age, advanced disease, and competing illnesses. We have estimated the number of women in this group of patients, who, in reality, had not received any treatment with the intent to cure under the health care system, and whether a meaningful analysis of survival for these patients is feasible. METHOD: All women with breast cancer diagnosed during the years 1978-1995 were extracted from the Cancer Register, and we isolated those who had been registered as having had no or only palliative treatment and who had survived for a minimum of 45 days after diagnosis. A search was made in the Danish Breast Cancer Co-operative Group register for unreported treatment and the residual group was followed up individually. RESULTS: Out of 49.058 women with histologically or cytologically verified breast cancer, the Cancer Register listed 840 women with no registered treatment of their disease. Of these, there were 103 cases of carcinoma in situ. A match with the DBCG register revealed that 188 women had nevertheless been operated on. Among the remaining 549 women, 99 were truly untreated, and for 77 of these the reasons given were another or advanced disease or old age. Only 22 women had initially declined treatment for no specific reason. Five of these had later decided on subsequent curative treatment, which leaves 17 women in the category "breast cancer untreated at her own request" ("untreated breast cancer at own will"). Nine are dead, five had their tumour excised at biopsy, and the remaining three are alive with tumours diagnosed by fine needle aspiration biopsy (1) or thru-cut biopsy (2) after 7.7 and 4 years, respectively. CONCLUSION: This report has shown that a survival analysis based on the Cancer Register of untreated breast cancer in relation to treated breast cancer is not meaningful. A true estimation of survival after untreated versus treated breast cancer can only be achieved through a randomised study, which would be unethical.

Survival of children with thyroid cancer in Europe 1978--1989.

Thyroid cancers are rare in childhood with between 0.4 and 1.5 cases per million, 2--3 times as frequent in girls as in boys. However, following the Chernobyl accident, a remarkable incidence increase was observed in children exposed to radioactive iodine fall-out. Survival after thyroid cancer in childhood is thus of interest. In the EUROCARE II study, excluding most of Eastern Europe, a total of 165 childhood thyroid cancers were reported during the period 1978--1989, of which 134 were aged 10--14 years. The childhood cancer registry in England and Wales contributed 39% of the cases, and another 24% came from the Nordic countries, the rest from other parts of west, south, east and central Europe. The 5-year survival was for both genders combined 97% (95% confidence interval (CI): 93--99), 98% (95% CI: 91--100) for boys and 97% (95% CI: 91--99) for girls, with no significant difference between the genders. Survival was high during the entire study period, and variations influenced by the small numbers. As for adults, long-term follow-up beyond 10--20 years is needed to clearly demonstrate excess mortality as a consequence of the cancer.

Validity and completeness of registration of surgically treated malignant gynaecological diseases in the Danish National Hospital Registry.

BACKGROUND: The increasing tendency to acquire data by linkage to registries not designed for research has introduced a problem into epidemiological research. The data is often crude or possibly incomplete and, in some cases, it has been proposed to use these registries in the routine acquisition of data for existing epidemiological research registries. This study estimates the validity and completeness of the registration of surgically treated malignant gynaecological diseases in the Danish National Hospital Registry 1977-88. METHODS: Completeness was estimated by the method of independent case ascertainment, by comparison with the registration of surgically treated gynaecological cancer cases registered in the Danish Cancer Registry. The validity of the diagnoses was analysed by comparison with the recoding of discharge summaries describing the admission of a 5% random sample. RESULTS: The completeness of registration was 87% overall. Ovarian cancer, cervical cancer and cancer of the uterus were registered with a positive predictive value (PPV) of 89-90%. DISCUSSION: The results of the study emphasise the need to consider the validation of Danish Hospital Registry data before linkage and analysis. In epidemiological cancer research the Danish Cancer Registry is the better alternative when information on malignant tumours is needed.

Risk of Hodgkin's disease and other cancers after infectious mononucleosis.

BACKGROUND: Infectious mononucleosis, which is caused by the Epstein-Barr virus, has been associated with an increased risk for Hodgkin's disease. Little is known, however, about how infectious mononucleosis affects long-term risk of Hodgkin's disease, how this risk varies with age at infectious mononucleosis diagnosis, or how the risk for Hodgkin's disease varies in different age groups. In addition, the general cancer profile among patients who have had infectious mononucleosis has been sparsely studied. METHODS: Population-based cohorts of infectious mononucleosis patients in Denmark and Sweden were followed for cancer occurrence. The ratio of observed-to-expected numbers of cancers (standardized incidence ratio [SIR]) served as a measure of the relative risk for cancer. SIRs of Hodgkin's disease in different subsets of patients were compared with the use of Poisson regression analysis. All statistical tests including the trend tests were two-sided. RESULTS: A total of 1381 cancers were observed during 689 619 person-years of follow-up among 38 562 infectious mononucleosis patients (SIR = 1. 03; 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.98-1.09). Apart from Hodgkin's disease (SIR = 2.55; 95% CI = 1.87-3.40; n = 46), only skin cancers (SIR = 1.27; 95% CI = 1.13-1.43; n = 291) occurred in statistically significant excess. In contrast, the SIR for lung cancer was reduced (SIR = 0.71; 95% CI = 0.58-0.86; n = 102). The SIR for Hodgkin's disease remained elevated for up to two decades after the occurrence of infectious mononucleosis but decreased with time since diagnosis of infectious mononucleosis (P: for trend <.001). The SIR for Hodgkin's disease tended to increase with age at diagnosis of infectious mononucleosis (P: for trend =.05). Following infectious mononucleosis, the SIR for Hodgkin's disease at ages 15-34 years was 3.49 (95% CI = 2.46-4.81; n = 37), which was statistically significantly higher than the SIR for any other age group (P: for difference =.001). CONCLUSION: The increased risk of Hodgkin's disease after the occurrence of infectious mononucleosis appears to be a specific phenomenon.