Rare event approximation between subdistribution hazard ratio and cause-specific hazard ratio in survival analysis with competing risks.

BackgroundDespite the fact that competing risks are inevitable in epidemiological and clinical studies, distinctions between the hazard ratio estimated by handling competing risks as censoring and the subditribution hazard ratio are often overlooked.MethodsWe derive quantitative relationships between subdistribution hazard ratio and cause-specific hazard ratio, and derive an approximate calculation method to transform the two into each other. Numerical examinations of hypothetical six scenarios and published information of a randomized clinical trial of cholesterol-lowering therapy and a registry of acute myeloid leukemia were provided.ResultsGeneral and approximate relationships under rare event assumptions between the two types of hazard ratio were given. The approximation formula is based on a survival ratio and has two possible applications. First, one can calculate a subdistribution hazard ratio from published information. Second, this formula allows sample size estimation that takes the presence of competing risks into account.ConclusionsThe distinction between the two types of hazard ratio can be addressed by focusing on two quantities. One is how the event of interest and competing risk is rare, and the other is the survival ratio.

A crossover comparison of patient satisfaction with two teriparatide regimens: primary results of the Japanese Osteoporosis Intervention Trial 06 (JOINT-06).

INTRODUCTION: This study aimed to compare treatment satisfaction with two dosing regimens (two teriparatide [TPTD] self-injection systems) in osteoporosis patients at high risk of fracture. MATERIALS AND METHODS: In this open-label crossover randomized trial comparing self-injected once-daily (1/D)-TPTD with self-injected twice-weekly (2/W)-TPTD, three satisfaction variables were evaluated by questionnaire for 2 years. The primary endpoint was overall satisfaction and secondary endpoints were satisfaction with treatment effectiveness and with utility of the self-injection device. Changes in quality of life (QOL) assessed by EuroQol-5 Dimension, pain assessed by visual analogue scale (VAS), and anthropometric parameters were also analyzed. Safety was evaluated based on the incidence and severity of adverse events (AEs). RESULTS: The 1/D-TPTD and 2/W-TPTD groups consisted of 180 (75.9 ± 7.3 years) and 179 (age: 75.5 ± 6.9 years) patients, respectively. After 26 weeks of treatment, no significant between-group difference in the persistence rate (79.4% vs 72.6% in the 1/D-TPTD and 2/W-TPTD groups, respectively), distributions of overall satisfaction scores, and satisfaction with treatment (p > 0.05) were observed. However, several items of satisfaction with the utility of the injection device were significantly higher in the 2/W-TPTD group (p < 0.05). Statistical improvements from baseline values were observed in QOL and pain VAS in both groups (p < 0.05). No serious AEs were reported. CONCLUSION: The between-group similarity of overall treatment satisfaction and effectiveness scores and between-group difference in satisfaction with the utility of the self-injection device was useful information for real-world treatment of osteoporosis. Both medication regimens were well tolerated.

A Targeted Review of Worldwide Indirect Treatment Comparison Guidelines and Best Practices.

OBJECTIVES: Controls and governance over the methodology and reporting of indirect treatment comparisons (ITCs) have been introduced to minimize bias and ensure scientific credibility and transparency in healthcare decision making. The objective of this study was to highlight ITC techniques that are key to conducting objective and analytically sound analyses and to ascertain circumstantial suitability of ITCs as a source of comparative evidence for healthcare interventions. METHODS: Ovid MEDLINE was searched from January 2010 through August 2023 to identify publicly available ITC-related documents (ie, guidelines and best practices) in the English language. This was supplemented with hand searches of websites of various international organizations, regulatory agencies, and reimbursement agencies of Europe, North America, and Asia-Pacific. The jurisdiction-specific ITC methodology and reporting recommendations were reviewed. RESULTS: Sixty-eight guidelines from 10 authorities worldwide were included for synthesis. Many of the included guidelines were updated within the last 5 years and commonly cited the absence of direct comparative studies as primary justification for using ITCs. Most jurisdictions favored population-adjusted or anchored ITC techniques opposed to naive comparisons. Recommendations on the reporting and presentation of these ITCs varied across authorities; however, there was some overlap among the key elements. CONCLUSIONS: Given the challenges of conducting head-to-head randomized controlled trials, comparative data from ITCs offer valuable insights into clinical-effectiveness. As such, multiple ITC guidelines have emerged worldwide. According to the most recent versions of the guidelines, the suitability and subsequent acceptability of the ITC technique used depends on the data sources, available evidence, and magnitude of benefit/uncertainty.

Clarifying Causal Effects of Interest and Underlying Assumptions in Randomized and Nonrandomized Clinical Trials in Oncology Using Directed Acyclic Graphs and Single-World Intervention Graphs.

Recent clinical trials in oncology have used increasingly complex methodologies, such as causal inference methods for intercurrent events, external control, and covariate adjustment, posing challenges in clarifying the estimand and underlying assumptions. This article proposes expressing causal structures using graphical tools-directed acyclic graphs (DAGs) and single-world intervention graphs (SWIGs)-in the planning phase of a clinical trial. It presents five rules for selecting a sufficient set of adjustment variables on the basis of a diagram representing the clinical trial, along with three case studies of randomized and single-arm trials and a brief tutorial on DAG and SWIG. Through the case studies, DAGs appear effective in clarifying assumptions for identifying causal effects, although SWIGs should complement DAGs due to their limitations in the presence of intercurrent events in oncology research.

Achieving osteoporosis treat-to-target goals with teriparatide or alendronate: sub-analysis of Japanese Osteoporosis Intervention Trial-05 (JOINT-05).

INTRODUCTION: The purpose of this study was to evaluate whether bone mineral density (BMD) ≥ -2.5 SD could be used as the treat-to-target (T2T) goal when treating osteoporosis with teriparatide (TPTD) and alendronate (ALN), and to investigate the relationship with incident vertebral fracture by re-analyzing data from a randomized, controlled trial (JOINT-05) involving postmenopausal Japanese women at high fracture risk. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Participants received sequential therapy with once-weekly TPTD for 72 weeks, followed by ALN for 48 weeks (TPTD-ALN group) or ALN monotherapy for 120 weeks (ALN group). BMDs were measured at the lumbar spine (L2-4), total hip, and femoral neck at 0, 24, 48, 72, and 120 weeks by dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry. The T2T goal was BMD ≥ -2.5 SD, and the endpoint was the proportion of participants with baseline BMD < -2.5 SD in three measurement sites achieving BMD ≥ -2.5 SD. RESULTS: A total of 559 participants were selected. BMD ≥ -2.5 SD at 120 weeks in the L2-4, total hip, and femoral neck sites was achieved in 20.5%, 23.1%, and 5.9%, respectively, in the TPTD-ALN group and 22.2%, 11.7%, and 7.3%, respectively, in the ALN group. Incident vertebral fractures occurred in areas of both lower and high BMD. CONCLUSION: During the 1.5-year treatment period, more than 20% of participants achieved BMD ≥ -2.5 SD as a T2T goal at L2-4. Since the achievement level differed depending on the BMD measurement site, the appropriate site should be selected according to the baseline BMD level.

Cross-Sectional and Longitudinal Associations between Forearm Bone Mineral Density and Anthropometry in Adult Japanese Men and Women.

BACKGROUND: No consensus exists regarding which anthropometric measurements are related to bone mineral density (BMD), and this relationship may vary according to sex and age. A large Japanese cohort was analyzed to provide an understanding of the relationship between BMD and anthropometry while adjusting for known confounding factors. METHODS: Our cohort included 10,827 participants who underwent multiple medical checkups including distal forearm BMD scans. Participants were stratified into four groups according to age (≥50 years or <50 years) and sex. The BMD values were adjusted for confounding factors, after which single and partial correlation analyses were performed. The prevalence of osteopenia was plotted for each weight index (weight or body mass index [BMI]) class. RESULTS: Cross-sectional studies revealed that weight was more favorably correlated than BMI in the older group (R=0.278 and 0.212 in men and R=0.304 and 0.220 in women, respectively), whereas weight and BMI were weakly correlated in the younger age groups. The prevalence of osteopenia exhibited a negative linear relationship with weight among older women ≥50 years of age, and an accelerated increase was observed with decreasing weight in older men weighing <50 kg and younger women weighing <60 kg. When weight was replaced with BMI, the prevalence was low in most subgroups classified by weight. CONCLUSIONS: Weight, rather than BMI, was the most important indicator of osteopenia but it might not be predictive of future bone loss.

Landscape of driver mutations and their clinical effects on Down syndrome-related myeloid neoplasms.

ABSTRACT: Transient abnormal myelopoiesis (TAM) is a common complication in newborns with Down syndrome (DS). It commonly progresses to myeloid leukemia (ML-DS) after spontaneous regression. In contrast to the favorable prognosis of primary ML-DS, patients with refractory/relapsed ML-DS have poor outcomes. However, the molecular basis for refractoriness and relapse and the full spectrum of driver mutations in ML-DS remain largely unknown. We conducted a genomic profiling study of 143 TAM, 204 ML-DS, and 34 non-DS acute megakaryoblastic leukemia cases, including 39 ML-DS cases analyzed by exome sequencing. Sixteen novel mutational targets were identified in ML-DS samples. Of these, inactivations of IRX1 (16.2%) and ZBTB7A (13.2%) were commonly implicated in the upregulation of the MYC pathway and were potential targets for ML-DS treatment with bromodomain-containing protein 4 inhibitors. Partial tandem duplications of RUNX1 on chromosome 21 were also found, specifically in ML-DS samples (13.7%), presenting its essential role in DS leukemia progression. Finally, in 177 patients with ML-DS treated following the same ML-DS protocol (the Japanese Pediatric Leukemia and Lymphoma Study Group acute myeloid leukemia -D05/D11), CDKN2A, TP53, ZBTB7A, and JAK2 alterations were associated with a poor prognosis. Patients with CDKN2A deletions (n = 7) or TP53 mutations (n = 4) had substantially lower 3-year event-free survival (28.6% vs 90.5%; P < .001; 25.0% vs 89.5%; P < .001) than those without these mutations. These findings considerably change the mutational landscape of ML-DS, provide new insights into the mechanisms of progression from TAM to ML-DS, and help identify new therapeutic targets and strategies for ML-DS.

Decoupling power and type I error rate considerations when incorporating historical control data using a test-then-pool approach.

To accelerate a randomized controlled trial, historical control data may be used after ensuring little heterogeneity between the historical and current trials. The test-then-pool approach is a simple frequentist borrowing method that assesses the similarity between historical and current control data using a two-sided test. A limitation of the conventional test-then-pool method is the inability to control the type I error rate and power for the primary hypothesis separately and flexibly for heterogeneity between trials. This is because the two-sided test focuses on the absolute value of the mean difference between the historical and current controls. In this paper, we propose a new test-then-pool method that splits the two-sided hypothesis of the conventional method into two one-sided hypotheses. Testing each one-sided hypothesis with different significance levels allows for the separate control of the type I error rate and power for heterogeneity between trials. We also propose a significance-level selection approach based on the maximum type I error rate and the minimum power. The proposed method prevented a decrease in power even when there was heterogeneity between trials while controlling type I error at a maximum tolerable type I error rate larger than the targeted type I error rate. The application of depression trial data and hypothetical trial data further supported the usefulness of the proposed method.

Correction: Electronic Health Record-Nested Reminders for Serum Lithium Level Monitoring in Patients With Mood Disorder: Randomized Controlled Trial.

[This corrects the article DOI: 10.2196/40595.].

The association between intraoperative anesthesia methods used during gastric cancer surgery and long-term mortality: A retrospective observational study using a Japanese claims database.

PURPOSE: Various basic and clinical studies have investigated the association between the types of anesthetic agents and prognosis. However, the results have varied among studies and remain controversial. In the present study, we aimed to investigate whether the risk of all-cause mortality differs between inhaled or intravenous anesthetics in patients with gastric cancer undergoing gastrectomy. METHODS: Using a Japanese nationwide insurance claims database, we analyzed patients who underwent gastrectomy under general anesthesia for gastric cancer between January 2005 and September 2019. Postoperative outcomes were compared between two groups: those who received inhaled anesthetics (Sevoflurane, Isoflurane, or Desflurane) and those who received intravenous anesthetics (propofol), using a multivariable Cox proportional hazards model. The primary outcome was overall survival. RESULTS: Among 2671 eligible patients, 2105 were in the inhaled anesthetic group, and 566 were in the intravenous anesthetic group. The median (interquartile range) age was 58 (51-63) years, and 1979 (74.1%) were men. The median follow-up period was 795 days. We identified 56 (2.7%) and 16 (2.8%) deaths during the follow-up period in the inhaled and intravenous anesthetic use groups, respectively. There was no difference in postoperative overall survival between the two groups (hazard ratio, 0.97; 95% confidence interval, 0.56-1.70; P = 0.93). CONCLUSIONS: We found no significant difference in the postoperative risks of overall survival between inhaled and intravenous anesthesia in patients with gastric cancer undergoing gastrectomy.

Maternal Serum Folic Acid Levels and Onset of Kawasaki Disease in Offspring During Infancy.

Importance: Kawasaki disease is an acute systemic vasculitis that primarily affects infants and young children. No reproducible risk factors have yet been identified, but a possible association between maternal folic acid supplementation and Kawasaki disease has been reported previously. Objective: To investigate the associations of exposure to maternal serum folic acid levels and maternal folic acid supplementation with onset of Kawasaki disease during infancy among offspring. Design, Setting, and Participants: This cohort study used data from the Japan Environment and Children's Study, a nationwide birth cohort, which has enrolled children since 2011. This study used the data set released in October 2019, and analysis was performed in January 2023. Exposures: Maternal serum folic acid levels (≥10 ng/mL classified as exposed) during the second and third trimesters and the frequency of maternal folic acid supplementation during the first trimester and during the second and third trimesters of pregnancy (once a week or more was classified as exposed). Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was onset of Kawasaki disease in offspring up to age 12 months. Odds ratios (ORs) for each exposure were estimated, and propensity score-adjusted logistic regression was conducted on the basis of the sets of variables. Results: The study population comprised 87 702 children who were followed-up for 12 months. Of these, 336 children developed Kawasaki disease. Mothers who took folic acid supplements (31 275 mothers [35.7%]; mean [SD] age, 32 [5] years) had higher serum folic acid levels than those who did not take supplements. Higher maternal serum folic acid levels were associated with a significantly lower risk of Kawasaki disease in offspring than lower levels (folic acid ≥10 vs <10 ng/mL, 56 of 20 698 children [0.27%] vs 267 of 64 468 children [0.41%]; OR, 0.68; 95% CI, 0.50-0.92). Children whose mothers took folic acid supplementation during the first trimester had a lower prevalence of Kawasaki disease than children whose mothers did not take folic acid (131 of 39 098 children [0.34%] vs 203 of 48 053 children [0.42%]), although the difference was not statistically significant (OR, 0.83; 95% CI, 0.66-1.04). Supplementation during the second and third trimesters was associated with a significantly lower risk of Kawasaki disease compared with no supplementation (94 of 31 275 children [0.30%] vs 242 of 56 427 children [0.43%]; OR, 0.73; 95% CI, 0.57-0.94). Conclusions and Relevance: In this cohort study, higher serum folic acid levels (≥10 ng/mL) and maternal folic acid supplementation more than once a week during the second and third trimesters were associated with reduced risk of Kawasaki disease in offspring during infancy.

Reliability of early stage symptoms/clinical findings of osteonecrosis of the jaw: Japanese Osteoporosis Intervention Trial-05 (JOINT-05).

INTRODUCTION: To investigate the differences in the incidence rates of suspected stage 0/1 osteonecrosis of the jaw (ONJ) and incidence risk of relevant clinical findings of suspected stage 0 ONJ between patients treated with sequential therapy comprising weekly teriparatide for 72 weeks followed by alendronate for 48 weeks vs. those who received monotherapy with alendronate for 120 weeks. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Suspected stage 0/1 ONJ was defined by non-specific symptoms. Tooth mobility and periodontal symptoms (gingival bleeding, swelling, and/or pain) were selected as clinical findings of suspected stage 0 ONJ. Poisson regression models were applied to calculate the incidence rate ratios of suspected stage 0/1 between the teriparatide group (TG) and alendronate group (AG). Generalized linear models were used to calculate the risk ratios of clinical findings between groups. RESULTS: Two hundred and sixty-one participants in the TG and 344 in the AG answered a structured questionnaire on oral health and were included in this study. There were no significant differences between the groups in the incidence rate of suspected stage 0/1 ONJ at both 72 and 120 weeks. The risk ratio of the TG to AG for tooth mobility was 0.34 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.13-0.88, p = 0.02) at 72 weeks and 0.90 (95% CI 0.40-2.03, p = 0.83) at 120 weeks. The incidence rate of tooth mobility related to periodontal symptoms decreased in the TG and increased in the AG during the study. CONCLUSION: Tooth mobility accompanied by clinical periodontal symptoms may be a useful early sign of stage 0 ONJ.

Frequency and determinants of serum calcium monitoring during eldecalcitol therapy in patients with osteoporosis.

INTRODUCTION: Eldecalcitol (ELD) is an active vitamin D3 analog (AVD) commonly used to treat osteoporosis in Japan. Although routine monitoring of serum calcium levels during ELD therapy is recommended, little is known about the actual frequency and determinants of monitoring. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This was a descriptive cohort study using a Japanese electronic medical records database. We identified osteoporosis patients who initiated treatment with ELD or other AVDs (alfacalcidol and calcitriol) between April 1, 2011 and September 10, 2021. The index date for cohort entry was the first prescription date of ELD or other AVDs. The frequency of serum calcium monitoring was evaluated every 6 months. Determinants of serum calcium monitoring were identified using multivariable logistic regression models. We also calculated the incidence of hypercalcemia and the frequency of serum calcium monitoring within 6 months before hypercalcemia. RESULTS: We identified 12,671 ELD users and 7867 other AVD users. Within 6 months after cohort entry, 45.9% of ELD users and 58.7% of other AVD users underwent serum calcium monitoring. Female sex, no use of systemic corticosteroids, moderate-to-good renal function, treatment in smaller hospitals, and treatment in orthopedic surgery departments were associated with a lower likelihood of receiving serum calcium monitoring during ELD therapy. The incidence of hypercalcemia among ELD users was 6.36 per 100 person-years, with 20.6% of cases not receiving serum calcium monitoring before hypercalcemia. CONCLUSION: Our findings suggest that serum calcium monitoring is not given adequate attention during ELD therapy in routine clinical practice.

Employment Status of Patients With Colorectal Cancer After Surgery: A Multicenter Prospective Cohort Study in Japan.

BACKGROUND: Because of improved survival rates, patients with colorectal cancer may try to return to work. Many countries, however, have limited knowledge of the employment status of these patients. OBJECTIVE: To explore the employment status of patients with colorectal cancer after surgery in Japan and the risk factors affecting the same. DESIGN: This is a prospective multicenter cohort study that used self-administered questionnaires. Patients were recruited from June 2019 to August 2020 and were followed up for 12 months after surgery. SETTING: Six community hospitals and 1 university hospital in Japan. PATIENTS: Patients with clinical stages I to III colorectal cancer, employed at the time of diagnosis. INTERVENTIONS: Patients who underwent surgical resection between June 2019 and August 2020. MAIN OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS: The time it takes patients to return to work after surgery and the proportion of working patients 12 months after surgery were collected using self-administered questionnaires. RESULTS: A total of 129 patients were included in the analyses. The median time to return-to-work was 1.1 months, and the proportion of working patients at 12 months after surgery was 79%. Risk factors for delayed return-to-work after surgery were an advanced tumor stage, stoma, severe postoperative complications, shorter years of service at the workplace, and lower willingness to return-to-work. Risk factors for not working 12 months after surgery were stoma, lower willingness to return-to-work, nonregular employee status, lower income, national health insurance, and no private medical insurance. LIMITATIONS: This study is limited by its short-term follow-up and small sample size. CONCLUSIONS: This study revealed that Japanese patients with stages I to III colorectal cancer found favorable employment outcomes in the 12 months after surgery. These results may help health care providers better understand the employment status of patients with colorectal cancer and encourage them to consider returning to work after surgery. SITUACIN LABORAL DE LOS PACIENTES CON CNCER COLORRECTAL DESPUS DE LA CIRUGA UN ESTUDIO DE COHORTE PROSPECTIVO MULTICNTRICO EN JAPN: ANTECEDENTES:Debido a las mejores tasas de supervivencia, los pacientes con cáncer colorrectal pueden intentar volver al trabajo. Muchos países, sin embargo, tienen un conocimiento limitado de su situación laboral.OBJETIVO:Explorar la situación laboral de los pacientes con cáncer colorrectal después de la cirugía en Japón y los factores de riesgo que afectan a la misma.DISEÑO:Este es un estudio prospectivo de cohortes multicéntrico que utiliza cuestionarios autoadministrados. Los pacientes fueron reclutados desde junio de 2019 hasta agosto de 2020 y fueron seguidos durante 12 meses después de la cirugía.ENTORNO CLINICO:Seis hospitales comunitarios y un hospital universitario en Japón.PACIENTES:Pacientes con estadios clínicos I-III de cáncer colorrectal, trabajando en el momento del diagnóstico.INTERVENCIONES:Pacientes que recibieron resección quirúrgica desde junio de 2019 hasta agosto de 2020.PRINCIPALES MEDIDAS DE RESULTADO:El tiempo que tardan los pacientes en volver al trabajo después de la cirugía y la proporción de pacientes que trabajan 12 meses después de la cirugía se recogieron mediante cuestionarios autoadministrados.RESULTADOS:Un total de 129 pacientes fueron incluidos en los análisis. La mediana de tiempo de reincorporación al trabajo fue de 1,1 meses y la proporción de pacientes que trabajaban a los 12 meses de la cirugía fue del 79%. Los factores de riesgo para el retraso en el regreso al trabajo después de la cirugía fueron un estadio avanzado del tumor, estoma, complicaciones postoperatorias graves, menos años de servicio en el lugar de trabajo y menor disposición para volver al trabajo. Los factores de riesgo para no trabajar 12 meses después de la cirugía fueron estoma, menor voluntad de volver al trabajo, condición de empleado no regular, ingresos más bajos, seguro nacional de salud y la falta de seguro médico privado.LIMITACIONES:Este estudio está limitado por su seguimiento a corto plazo y tamaño de muestra pequeño.CONCLUSIONES:Este estudio reveló que los pacientes japoneses con cáncer colorrectal en estadios I-III obtuvieron resultados laborales favorables en los 12 meses posteriores a la cirugía. Estos resultados pueden ayudar a los proveedores de atención médica a comprender mejor la situación laboral de los pacientes con cáncer colorrectal y alentarlos a considerar regresar al trabajo después de la cirugía. (Traducción- Dr. Francisco M. Abarca-Rendon ).

Assessment of myopic rebound effect after discontinuation of treatment with 0.01% atropine eye drops in Japanese school-age children.

PURPOSE: Having previously demonstrated the efficacy of 0.01% atropine eye drops for inhibiting progression of childhood myopia, we conducted additional analyses to assess post-treatment changes in myopia progression. STUDY DESIGN: Analysis of follow-up data from a previously reported randomized controlled trial METHODS: A mixed-effects model was used to compare intergroup changes in spherical equivalent (SE) and axial length (AL) at 1 month and 12 months after discontinuation of 2-year treatment with atropine or placebo in 167 school-age children. RESULTS: Follow-up measurements were available for 149 participants at 1 month after discontinuation of treatment and for 51 participants at 12 months after discontinuation. At 1 month post-treatment, differences between the atropine and placebo groups in least squares (LS) mean changes in SE and AL, respectively, from 24 months were -0.06 diopters (D) (95% CI: -0.21, 0.08; P = .39) and 0.02 mm (95% CI: -0.05, 0.08; P = .60). At 12 months post-treatment, intergroup differences (atropine vs placebo) in LS mean changes in SE and AL, respectively, were -0.13 D (95% CI: -0.35, 0.10; P = .26) and -0.02 mm (95% CI: -0.12, 0.09; P = .75). LS mean changes in SE and AL from treatment discontinuation did not differ between the groups at 1 or 12 months post-treatment. CONCLUSION: Axial elongation was significantly less in the atropine group than in the placebo group. The suppression effect obtained at 2 years was maintained after 12 months. The absence of intergroup differences in myopia progression since treatment cessation suggests that myopic rebound did not occur.

G-estimation of structural nested mean models for interval-censored data using pseudo-observations.

Two large-scale randomized clinical trials compared fenofibrate and placebo in diabetic patients with pre-existing retinopathy (FIELD study) or risk factors (ACCORD trial) on an intention-to-treat basis and reported a significant reduction in the progression of diabetic retinopathy in the fenofibrate arms. However, their analyses involved complications due to intercurrent events, that is, treatment-switching and interval-censoring. This article addresses these problems involved in estimation of causal effects of long-term use of fibrates in a cohort study that followed patients with type 2 diabetes for 8 years. We propose structural nested mean models (SNMMs) of time-varying treatment effects and pseudo-observation estimators for interval-censored data. The first estimator for SNMMs uses a nonparametric maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) as a pseudo-observation, while the second estimator is based on MLE under a parametric piecewise exponential distribution. Through numerical studies with real and simulated datasets, the pseudo-observations estimators of causal effects using the nonparametric Wellner-Zhan estimator perform well even under dependent interval-censoring. Its application to the diabetes study revealed that the use of fibrates in the first 4 years reduced the risk of diabetic retinopathy but did not support its efficacy beyond 4 years.

Relationship between the magnitude of body mass index reductions and remission in patients with type 2 diabetes in real world settings: Analysis of nationwide patient registry in Japan (JDDM74).

AIMS: To determine the association between the magnitude of weight loss and incidence of remission according to baseline characteristics in patients with diabetes in clinical settings. METHODS: In total, 39 676 Japanese patients with type 2 diabetes aged ≥18 years with glycated haemoglobin (HbA1c) ≥6.5% and/or glucose-lowering drug prescription were identified from databases of specialists' clinics from 1989 and followed until September 2022. Remission was diagnosed as maintaining HbA1c <6.5% at least 3 months after cessation of a glucose-lowering drug. Factors associated with remission were evaluated by logistic regression analysis according to weight change in 1 year (i.e. ≥10%, 7.0-9.9%, 3.0-6.9% reduction, <3% change and ≥3.0% increase). RESULTS: During the study period, 3454 remissions occurred. The rates of remission were higher in the group with the greatest reduction of body mass index (BMI) in any category examined (i.e. baseline BMI, HbA1c, duration of diabetes and treatment). The incidences of remission per 1000 person-years were about 25 and 50, respectively, for those with BMI ≥22.5 and reductions in BMI of 7.0-9.9% and ≥10% in 1 year. Remissions per 1000 person-years were 99.2 and 91.8, respectively, for those with baseline HbA1c of 6.5-6.9 and a 10% BMI reduction and those not taking glucose-lowering drugs accompanied by a 10% BMI reduction. CONCLUSIONS: Modest weight losses of 3.0-7.9% were significantly associated with remission, but a minimum of 10% weight loss would be required in addition to an early diagnosis to achieve a 10% remission rate in clinical settings. Our results implied that remission may be expected with a relatively lower BMI in an Asian population compared with that was reported in Western populations if accompanied by weight loss.

Incidence and predictors of remission and relapse of type 2 diabetes mellitus in Japan: Analysis of a nationwide patient registry (JDDM73).

AIMS: To determine the incidence of remission and 1-year relapse from remission and associated factors in patients with type 2 diabetes. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A total of 48 320 Japanese patients with type 2 diabetes aged ≥18 years, with glycated haemoglobin (HbA1c) levels ≥48 mmol/mol (6.5%) and/or glucose-lowering drug prescription, were identified from databases of specialist clinics from 1989 and followed until September 2022. Remission was defined as HbA1c <48 mmol/mol at least 3 months after cessation of a glucose-lowering drug. Relapse was defined as failure to maintain remission for 1 year. Factors associated with remission and relapse were evaluated by logistic regression analysis. RESULTS: The overall incidence of remissions per 1000 person-years was 10.5, and for those with HbA1c levels of 48 to 53 mmol/mol (6.5% to 6.9%), those taking no glucose-lowering drugs at baseline, and those with a ≥10% body mass index (BMI) reduction in 1 year, it was 27.8, 21.7 and 48.2, respectively. Shorter duration, lower baseline HbA1c, higher baseline BMI, higher BMI reduction at 1 year, and no glucose-lowering drugs at baseline were significantly associated with remission. Among 3677 persons with remission, approximately two-thirds (2490) relapsed within 1 year. Longer duration, lower BMI at baseline, and lower BMI reduction at 1 year were significantly associated with relapse. CONCLUSIONS: The results showed that the incidence of remission and predictors of relapse, especially baseline BMI, might differ greatly between East Asian and Western populations. Furthermore, the relationships of BMI reduction with remission and relapse may be greater in East Asian than in Western populations, implying ethnic differences in returning from overt hyperglycaemia to nearly normal glucose levels.

Electronic Health Record-Nested Reminders for Serum Lithium Level Monitoring in Patients With Mood Disorder: Randomized Controlled Trial.

BACKGROUND: Clinical guidelines recommend regular serum lithium monitoring every 3 to 6 months. However, in the real world, only a minority of patients receive adequate monitoring. OBJECTIVE: This study aims to examine whether the use of the electronic health record (EHR)-nested reminder system for serum lithium monitoring can help achieve serum lithium concentrations within the therapeutic range for patients on lithium maintenance therapy. METHODS: We conducted an unblinded, single-center, EHR-nested, parallel-group, superiority randomized controlled trial comparing EHR-nested reminders with usual care in adult patients receiving lithium maintenance therapy for mood disorders. The primary outcome was the achievement of therapeutically appropriate serum lithium levels between 0.4 and 1.0 mEq/L at 18 months after enrollment. The key secondary outcomes are included as follows: the number of serum lithium level monitoring except for the first and final monitoring; exacerbation of the mood disorder during the study period, defined by hospitalization, increase in lithium dose, addition of antipsychotic drugs or mood stabilizers, or addition or increase of antidepressants; adherence defined by the proportion of days covered by lithium carbonate prescription during the study period. RESULTS: A total of 111 patients were enrolled in this study. A total of 56 patients were assigned to the reminder group, and 55 patients were assigned to the usual care group. At the follow-up, 38 (69.1%) patients in the reminder group and 33 (60.0%) patients in the usual care group achieved the primary outcome (odds ratio 2.14, 95% CI 0.82-5.58, P=.12). The median number of serum lithium monitoring was 2 in the reminder group and 0 in the usual care group (rate ratio 3.62; 95% CI 2.47-5.29, P<.001). The exacerbation of mood disorders occurred in 17 (31.5%) patients in the reminder group and in 16 (34.8%) patients in the usual care group (odds ratio 0.97, 95% CI 0.42-2.28, P=.95). CONCLUSIONS: We found insufficient evidence for an EHR-nested reminder to increase the achievement of therapeutic serum lithium concentrations. However, the number of monitoring increased with relatively simple and inexpensive intervention. The EHR-based reminders may be useful to improve quality of care for patients on lithium maintenance therapy, and they have potentials to be applied to other problems. TRIAL REGISTRATION: University Hospital Medical Information Network Clinical Trials Registry UMIN000033633; https://tinyurl.com/5n7wtyav.