Five-year morbidity and mortality rates in a U.S. population with obesity with and without prediabetes.

AIMS: This research examines the prevalence of morbidity and mortality among people with obesity with or without prediabetes. METHODS: This observational study uses Optum® Market Clarity deidentified data from 2007 to 2020. Individuals with obesity without prediabetes (obesity only) were matched 1:1 to adults with prediabetes plus obesity based upon age, sex, race, ethnicity, and region. Age and sex adjusted prevalence rates and 95 % CIs were calculated for morbidity and mortality for each 365-day period post index date and over the entire 5-year post-period. RESULTS: After 5-years, the adjusted mortality rate was 10.1 % for adults with obesity plus prediabetes and 6.9 % for adults with obesity only (p < 0.05). Five years post index date, the prevalence of type 2 diabetes was 25.3 % for people with obesity plus prediabetes and 9.2 % for people with obesity only (p < 0.05). Prevalence rates after 5 years for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (13.1 % v 8.1 %), composite cardiovascular outcome (7.0 % v 4.4 %) and composite cardio-renal outcome (8.9 % v 5.0 %) were significantly higher for adults with obesity plus prediabetes compared to adults with obesity only (all p < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Results of this study indicate that the presence of prediabetes contributes to the development of additional morbidity and mortality in adults with obesity.

The Association Between Obesity and the 5-Year Prevalence of Morbidity and Mortality Among Adults with Type 2 Diabetes.

INTRODUCTION: This retrospective claims database study examined the prevalence of mortality and morbidity among adults with type 2 diabetes (T2D) and obesity. METHODS: The study used deidentified data from 2007 to 2021 from the Optum® Market Clarity Dataset. A cohort of adults with T2D and obesity were identified, and age- and sex-adjusted prevalence rates were calculated for mortality, a composite cardiovascular outcome (CCO), a composite microvascular outcome (CMO), and other complications. Results were examined overall and by obesity class (class 1, class 2, and class 3). RESULTS: For the 15,970 adults included in the study, the prevalence of CCO and CMO after 5 years was 15.3% and 60.7%, respectively. The 5-year prevalence of mortality was 10.9%. There were statistically significant differences in prevalence rates by obesity class, with obesity class 3 associated with higher rates of morbidity and mortality compared to obesity classes 1 or 2. Specifically, after 5 years, the prevalence of mortality was 9.4%, 10.3% and 13.6% for obese classes 1, 2 and 3, respectively (P < 0.05 between class 3 and class 2 or 1). Similarly, For obesity classes 1, 2 and 3, the 5-year prevalence of CCO was 13.0%, 14.5% and 18.4% and the rates for CMO were 58.0%, 57.9% and 64.8%, respectively (both P < 0.05 between class 3 and class 2 or 1). Regarding other complications, differences in the prevalence of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) and obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) were statistically significantly higher with increasing obesity class. CONCLUSIONS: The results indicate that for a cohort of adults with T2D and obesity, obesity class 3 is associated with significantly higher mortality and morbidity, including CCO, CMO, ASCVD and OSA. These findings suggest that treatment which reduces obesity among individuals with T2D may have significant health benefits, although additional studies are needed to confirm the results.