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Conventional views of saltwater intrusion (SWI), where a basal saline wedge extends inland below fresh groundwater, can be complicated by the influence of saltwater cells in the upper part of aquifers in areas affected by tidal cycles. Distinguishing the contribution of each saltwater source may prove fundamental for well design and resource management. Application of time-lapse electrical resistivity imaging (ERI) during a 32-h pumping test in a pristine unconfined coastal sand aquifer, affected by strong tidal ranges (>2 m), aimed to evaluate the potential of the method to characterize the source of induced SWI in four dimensions (three dimensions and time). Water level monitoring during the test revealed that at the end of pumping, the upper 2 m of the aquifer had dewatered in the vicinity of the well field, reversing hydraulic gradients between the aquifer and the sea. This induced SI, with mixing models of well head water quality suggesting that saline water contributions to total discharge rose from 4 % to 8 %. ERI results reflected dewatering through an increase in resistivity in the upper 2-6 m of the aquifer, while a decline in resistivity, relative to background conditions, occurred immediately below this, reflecting the migration of saline water through the upper layers of the aquifer to the pumping well. By contrast no change in resistivity occurred at depth, indicating no significant change in contribution from the basal saline water to discharge. Test findings suggest that future water resource development at the site should focus on close monitoring of shallow pumping, or pumping from deeper parts of the aquifer, while more generally demonstrating the value of time-lapse geophysical methods in informing coastal water resource management.
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BACKGROUND: Universal mass vaccination (UMV) against rotavirus has been implemented in many but not all European countries. This study investigated the impact of UMV on rotavirus incidence trends by comparing European countries with UMV: Belgium, England/Wales and Germany versus countries without UMV: Denmark and the Netherlands. METHODS: For this observational retrospective cohort study, time series data (2001-2016) on rotavirus detections, meteorological factors and population demographics were collected. For each country, several meteorological and population factors were investigated as possible predictors of rotavirus incidence. The final set of predictors were incorporated in negative binomial models accounting for seasonality and serial autocorrelation, and time-varying incidence rate ratios (IRR) were calculated for each age group and country separately. The overall vaccination impact two years after vaccine implementation was estimated by pooling the results using a random effects meta-analyses. Independent t-tests were used to compare annual epidemics in the pre-vaccination and post-vaccination era to explore any changes in the timing of rotavirus epidemics. RESULTS: The population size and several meteorological factors were predictors for the rotavirus epidemiology. Overall, we estimated a 42% (95%-CI 23;56%) reduction in rotavirus incidence attributable to UMV. Strongest reductions were observed for age-groups 0-, 1- and 2-years (IRR 0.47, 0.48 and 0.63, respectively). No herd effect induced by UMV in neighbouring countries was observed. In all UMV countries, the start and/or stop and corresponding peak of the rotavirus season was delayed by 4-7 weeks. CONCLUSIONS: The introduction of rotavirus UMV resulted in an overall reduction of 42% in rotavirus incidence in Western European countries two years after vaccine introduction and caused a change in seasonal pattern. No herd effect induced by UMV neighbouring countries was observed for Denmark and the Netherlands.
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Gastroenterite , Infecções por Rotavirus , Vacinas contra Rotavirus , Rotavirus , Europa (Continente)/epidemiologia , Hospitalização , Humanos , Lactente , Recém-Nascido , Estudos Retrospectivos , Infecções por Rotavirus/epidemiologia , Infecções por Rotavirus/prevenção & controle , VacinaçãoRESUMO
Addressing gambling problems across a continuum requires understanding of low severity problems, as well as severe levels of problem gambling or disorder. The aims of this study were thus to derive a map of how problematic gambling behaviours and harms are situated across a continuum, and identify the best available indicators of low severity problems to inform assessment and secondary prevention. This involved the Rasch analyses of baseline data from the Quinte Longitudinal Study (QLS); a community-based survey involving random-digit dialling of numbers around Belleville, Canada. Participants were nâ¯=â¯1305 adults with non-zero scores across 26-items from: the Problem Gambling Severity Index (PGSI); the NORC DSM Screen for Gambling Problems (NODS); and the Problem and Pathological Gambling Measure (PPGM). Results indicated that item-level measures except chasing losses provided fit to the Rasch model, and most were clustered within a narrow region of the continuum which resembled addictive disorders. At the most severe end were mainly items about harms, while there were few items representing low severity levels (feeling guilty, betting more than one can afford, attempts to reduce gambling, gambling more than intended). There was Differential Item Functioning (DIF) for several indicators of low severity problems. The findings suggest that measures remain closely aligned with psychiatric models and are suited for discriminating across severe levels of problem gambling or addictive disorder. Although cognitive-affective and behavioural indicators comprise the best available indicators of low severity symptoms, there is an urgent need for improvements in conceptualisation and measurement.
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Comportamento Aditivo/epidemiologia , Jogo de Azar/epidemiologia , Adolescente , Adulto , Canadá/epidemiologia , Feminino , Humanos , Estudos Longitudinais , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Psicometria , Índice de Gravidade de Doença , Adulto JovemRESUMO
In Hong Kong, universal varicella vaccination started in July 2014. Before this, children could receive varicella vaccine via the private market. We analysed the epidemiology of varicella and zoster before universal vaccination. We estimated varicella vaccination coverage through surveys in preschool children. We estimated the burden of varicella and zoster with varicella notifications from 1999/00 to 2013/14, Accident and Emergency Department (A&E) attendance and inpatient admissions to public hospitals from 2004/05 to 2013/14. We fitted a catalytic model to serological data on antibodies against varicella-zoster virus to estimate the force of infection. We found that varicella vaccination coverage gradually increased to about 50% before programme inception. In children younger than 5 years, the annual rate of varicella notifications, varicella admission and zoster A&E attendance generally declined. The annual notification, A&E attendance and hospitalisation rate of varicella and zoster generally increased for individuals between 10 and 59 years old. Varicella serology indicated an age shift during the study period towards a higher proportion of infections in slightly older individuals, but the change was most notable before vaccine licensure. In conclusion, we observed a shift in the burden of varicella to slightly older age groups with a corresponding increase in incidence but it cannot necessarily be attributed to private market vaccine coverage alone. Increasing varicella vaccination uptake in the private market might affect varicella transmission and epidemiology, but not to the level of interrupting transmission.
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Varicela/epidemiologia , Herpes Zoster/epidemiologia , Herpesvirus Humano 3/imunologia , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Anticorpos Antivirais/sangue , Varicela/transmissão , Vacina contra Varicela/administração & dosagem , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Notificação de Doenças/estatística & dados numéricos , Transmissão de Doença Infecciosa , Feminino , Hong Kong/epidemiologia , Hospitalização , Humanos , Incidência , Lactente , Recém-Nascido , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Gravidez , Inquéritos e Questionários , Cobertura Vacinal , Adulto JovemRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Zoster vaccination was introduced in England in 2013, where tackling health inequalities is a statutory requirement. However, specific population groups with higher zoster burden remain largely unidentified. OBJECTIVES: To evaluate health inequalities in zoster disease burden prior to zoster vaccine introduction in England. METHODS: This population-based cohort study used anonymized U.K. primary care data linked to hospitalization and deprivation data. Individuals aged ≥ 65 years without prior zoster history (N = 862 470) were followed from 1 September 2003 to 31 August 2013. Poisson regression was used to obtain adjusted rate ratios (ARRs) for the association of sociodemographic factors (ethnicity, immigration status, individuals' area-level deprivation, care home residence, living arrangements) with first zoster episode. Possible mediation by comorbidities and immunosuppressive medications was also assessed. RESULTS: There were 37 014 first zoster episodes, with an incidence of 8·79 [95% confidence interval (CI) 8·70-8·88] per 1000 person-years at risk. In multivariable analyses, factors associated with higher zoster rates included care home residence (10% higher vs. those not in care homes), being a woman (16% higher vs. men), nonimmigrants (~30% higher than immigrants) and white ethnicity (for example, twice the rate compared with those of black ethnicity). Zoster incidence decreased slightly with increasing deprivation (ARR most vs. least deprived 0·96 (95% CI 0·92-0·99) and among those living alone (ARR 0·96, 95% CI 0·94-0·98). Mediating variables made little difference to the ARR of social factors but were themselves associated with increased zoster burden (ARR varied from 1·11 to 3·84). CONCLUSIONS: The burden of zoster was higher in specific sociodemographic groups. Further study is needed to ascertain whether these individuals are attending for zoster vaccination.
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Disparidades em Assistência à Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Vacina contra Herpes Zoster , Herpes Zoster/epidemiologia , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Efeitos Psicossociais da Doença , Inglaterra/epidemiologia , Feminino , Disparidades nos Níveis de Saúde , Herpes Zoster/prevenção & controle , Humanos , Incidência , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Fatores de RiscoRESUMO
Research indicates that the evidential bases for many harm reduction policies targeting hazardous consumptions (including tobacco, alcohol and gambling) have been distorted by commercial industries that derive revenue from such commodities. These distortions are best illustrated by research on tobacco and alcohol, which indicates similar tactics used by industries to determine favourable policy environments through engineering of evidence, among other approaches. Although there is concern that gambling research is similarly vulnerable to commercial interests, the relevant literature lags far behind other fields and the aim of this paper is to increase familiarity with tactics used by industries for influencing research. It summarises the conceptual and empirical bases for expecting conflicts between goals of public health and companies that profit from hazardous consumptions. It also summarises evidence describing practices deployed by tobacco corporations, which include third-party techniques and the selective funding of research to manufacture doubt and deflect attention away from the consequences of smoking. It then reviews both early and emerging evidence indicating similar strategies used by alcohol industry, and uses this literature to view practices of the gambling industry. It argues that parallels regarding selective funding of research and third-party techniques provide grounds for strong concern about commercial influences on gambling research, and implementation of precautionary approaches to management of vested interests.
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Jogo de Azar , Indústrias/ética , Pesquisa , Comércio/ética , Conflito de Interesses , Comportamento Perigoso , Ética em Pesquisa , Política de Saúde , Humanos , Relações Interprofissionais , Apoio à Pesquisa como AssuntoRESUMO
Childhood varicella vaccination has not yet been introduced in the UK. To inform decision-making about future vaccine programmes, data on the burden of varicella in general practice over a 10-year period (01/01/2005-31/12/2014) was calculated by age and ethnicity, using anonymised data from >8 million individuals in the Clinical Practice Research Datalink. Varicella consultations peaked at 20 603 in 2007, then decreased annually in all age groups to 11 243 in 2014. Each year, consultation rates were common among infants, were highest among 1-3 year olds (61·2 consultations/1000 person-years in 2007, 39·7/1000 person-years in 2014) and then fell with increasing age to <1·0/1000 person-years at ages ⩾20 years. Varicella acquisition appeared to be delayed in some ethnic groups, with lower consultation rates for children aged <3 years but increased rates for older children and adults aged ⩽40 years among those of black African, Afro-Caribbean, South Asian or other Asian ethnicity. Decreasing general practice consultation rates over time could reflect changes in healthcare utilisation, with patients seeking care in alternative settings such as Accident and Emergency Departments, although current data prevent full assessment of this. Availability of data on varicella diagnoses across all health settings would enable estimation of the total healthcare burden due to varicella and the cost-effectiveness of introducing varicella vaccination.
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Varicela/epidemiologia , Medicina Geral , Encaminhamento e Consulta/tendências , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Varicela/virologia , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Medicina Geral/estatística & dados numéricos , Herpesvirus Humano 3/fisiologia , Humanos , Lactente , Recém-Nascido , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Reino Unido/epidemiologia , Adulto JovemRESUMO
BACKGROUND: In Australia, Aboriginal children experience significantly poorer health outcomes compared with non-Aboriginal children. Health policies aimed at improving Aboriginal health outcomes include interventions in the early childhood period. There is a need for government health services to work in partnership with Aboriginal people and other services to achieve the highest level of health possible for Aboriginal children, who often require a range of services to meet complex needs. AIM: This paper describes the views of service providers on how paediatric outreach services work in partnership with other services, Aboriginal families and the community and how those partnerships could be improved to maximize health outcomes for children. METHODS: In-depth, semi-structured interviews and focus groups were conducted with managers and service providers over a 6-week period in 2010. The views and suggestions of participants were documented and a thematic analysis was undertaken. RESULTS AND DISCUSSION: Analysis of two focus groups with seven service providers and five individual interviews with service managers resulted in the identification of four themes: (i) using informal and formal ways of working; (ii) cultivating effective relationships; (iii) demonstrating cultural sensitivity; and (iv) forging strong leadership. Use of formal and informal approaches facilitated effective relationships between service providers and Aboriginal families and communities. Partnerships with the community were founded on a culturally appropriate model of care that recognized a holistic approach to health and wellness. Leadership emerged as an essential component of effective partnerships, cultivating the ethos of the workplace and creating an environment where collaboration is supported. CONCLUSION: Culturally appropriate child health services, which utilize effective relationships and employ a range of informal and formal collaboration with other services and community members, are well positioned to implement health policy and improve access to services for Aboriginal children with better health outcomes as a result.
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Serviços de Saúde da Criança/organização & administração , Serviços de Saúde Comunitária/organização & administração , Acessibilidade aos Serviços de Saúde/organização & administração , Havaiano Nativo ou Outro Ilhéu do Pacífico , Atitude do Pessoal de Saúde , Austrália , Criança , Serviços de Saúde da Criança/normas , Serviços de Saúde Comunitária/normas , Comportamento Cooperativo , Assistência à Saúde Culturalmente Competente/organização & administração , Assistência à Saúde Culturalmente Competente/normas , Prestação Integrada de Cuidados de Saúde/organização & administração , Prestação Integrada de Cuidados de Saúde/normas , Grupos Focais , Acessibilidade aos Serviços de Saúde/normas , Humanos , Relações Interprofissionais , Pesquisa Qualitativa , Melhoria de Qualidade/organização & administração , Serviços Urbanos de Saúde/organização & administração , Serviços Urbanos de Saúde/normasRESUMO
During August-September 2012, an outbreak of Foot-and-mouth Disease (FMD) due to serotype Southern African Territories-2 (SAT2) occurred on a large, extensively grazed dairy farm in Nakuru County, Kenya. Over 29 days, 400/644 (62.1%) cattle were recorded as displaying clinical signs consistent with FMD. Out of the 18 management groups present, 17 had clinical cases (weighted mean incidence rate 3.5 per 100 cattle-days, 95% CI 2.4, 5.1; range 0.064-10.9). Transmission may have been encouraged when an infected group was moved to a designated isolation paddock. A four to five day minimum incubation period was apparent in five groups for which a point source exposure was evident. Further transmission was associated with the movement of individual animals incubating infection, use of a common dip and milking parlour, and grazing of susceptible groups in paddocks neighbouring to infectious cases. Animals over 18 months old appeared to be at highest risk of disease possibly due to milder clinical signs seen among younger animals resulting in reduced transmission or cases not being recorded. Cows with a breeding pedigree containing a greater proportion of zebu appeared to be at lower risk of disease. The outbreak occurred despite regular vaccination (three times per year) last performed approximately three months before the index case. Incidence risk by the lifetime number of doses received indicated limited or no vaccine effectiveness against clinical disease. Reasons for poor vaccine effectiveness are discussed with antigenic diversity of the SAT2 serotype and poor match between the field and vaccine strain as a likely explanation. Detailed field-derived epidemiological data based on individual animals are rarely presented in the literature for FMD, particularly in East-Africa and with the SAT2 serotype. This study provides a detailed account and therefore provides a greater understanding of FMD outbreaks in this setting. Additionally, this is the first study to provide field-derived evidence of poor vaccine effectiveness using a SAT2 vaccine. Further field-based measures of vaccine effectiveness in line with evaluation of human vaccines are needed to inform FMD control policy which has previously relied heavily upon experimental data and anecdotal experience.
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Doenças dos Bovinos/epidemiologia , Surtos de Doenças/veterinária , Vírus da Febre Aftosa/imunologia , Febre Aftosa/epidemiologia , Vacinas Virais/administração & dosagem , África Oriental , Animais , Animais Domésticos , Bovinos , Doenças dos Bovinos/imunologia , Doenças dos Bovinos/prevenção & controle , Feminino , Febre Aftosa/imunologia , Febre Aftosa/prevenção & controle , Vírus da Febre Aftosa/isolamento & purificação , Humanos , Incidência , Quênia/epidemiologia , Sorogrupo , Vacinas de Produtos InativadosRESUMO
AIM: To describe the incidence of acute community-acquired infections (lower respiratory tract infections, urinary tract infections and sepsis) among the UK population aged ≥65 years with diabetes mellitus, and all-cause 28-day hospital admission rates and mortality. METHODS: We used electronic primary care records from the Clinical Practice Research Datalink, linked to death certificates and Hospital Episode Statistics admission data, to conduct a retrospective cohort study from 1997 to 2011. RESULTS: Among the 218 805 older people with diabetes there was a high burden of community-acquired infection, lower respiratory tract infections having the highest incidence (crude rate: 152.7/1000 person-years) followed by urinary tract infections (crude rates 51.4 and 147.9/1000 person-years for men and women, respectively). The incidence of all infections increased over time, which appeared to be driven by the population's changing age structure. Most patients diagnosed with pneumonia and sepsis were hospitalized on the same day (77.8 and 75.1%, respectively). For lower respiratory tract infections and urinary tract infections, a large proportion of 28-day hospitalizations were after the day of diagnosis (39.1 and 44.3%, respectively), and a notable proportion of patients (7.1 and 5.1%, respectively) were admitted for a cardiovascular condition. In the 4 weeks after onset, all-cause mortality was 32.1% for pneumonia (3115/9697), 31.7% for sepsis (780/2461), 4.1% for lower respiratory tract infections (5685/139 301) and 1.6% for urinary tract infections (1472/91 574). CONCLUSIONS: The present large cohort study provides up-to-date detailed infection incidence estimates among older people with diabetes in the community, with variation by age, sex and region and over time. This should be of use for patient communication of risk and future healthcare planning.
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Infecções Comunitárias Adquiridas/epidemiologia , Infecções Comunitárias Adquiridas/mortalidade , Efeitos Psicossociais da Doença , Complicações do Diabetes/complicações , Complicações do Diabetes/epidemiologia , Registros Eletrônicos de Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Doença Aguda , Fatores Etários , Idoso , Estudos de Coortes , Feminino , Humanos , Incidência , Masculino , Infecções Respiratórias/epidemiologia , Estudos Retrospectivos , Taxa de Sobrevida , Fatores de Tempo , Reino Unido/epidemiologia , Infecções Urinárias/epidemiologiaRESUMO
OBJECTIVE: To systematically review articles describing complications of abortion in settings where abortions are thought to be unsafe and to determine the incidence of severe acute maternal morbidity (SAMM) attributed to abortion at the population level. METHODS: We searched relevant databases using search terms related to abortion and complications. We included population-representative studies that listed complications of abortion. We extracted data on the definitions and numbers of severe complications and SAMM, and we report abortion complication rates (per 100 000 women of reproductive age) and ratios (per 100 000 live births) for SAMM, severe complications and any complications. RESULTS: We included 15 studies representing eleven countries (six in Africa, four in Asia and one in Latin America). We found a median abortion ratio of SAMM of 237 (range 91-1892) per 100 000 live births and a median abortion ratio of severe complications of 596 (range 435-5298). There was a great degree of heterogeneity between definitions and study populations. CONCLUSIONS: The burden of SAMM attributed to abortion is much greater than what is reported for deaths caused by abortion. However, the great heterogeneity in definitions makes it difficult to draw firm conclusions. We call for future work on the burden of unsafe abortion to use strict definitions of SAMM.
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Aborto Induzido/efeitos adversos , Segurança do Paciente , Complicações na Gravidez/epidemiologia , Aborto Induzido/estatística & dados numéricos , África/epidemiologia , Ásia/epidemiologia , Feminino , Humanos , Incidência , América Latina/epidemiologia , GravidezRESUMO
OBJECTIVES: Anaemia is a potential long-term sequel of obstetric blood loss, but the increased risk of anaemia in women who experience a haemorrhage compared to those who do not has not been quantified. We sought to quantify this risk and explore the duration of increased risk for these women. METHODS: Systematic review of articles published between 1990 and 2009. Data were analysed by high- and low-income country groupings. Prevalence and incidence ratios, and mean haemoglobin levels were compared. RESULTS: Eleven of 822 studies screened were included in the analysis. Most studies showed a higher prevalence or incidence of anaemia in women who had experienced haemorrhage than in those who did not, irrespective of the timing of measurement post-partum. In high-income countries, women who had a haemorrhage were at 5.68 (95% CI 5.04-6.40) times higher risk of post-partum anaemia than women who did not. In low-income countries, the prevalence of anaemia was 1.58 (95% CI 0.96-2.60) times higher in women who had a haemorrhage than in women who did not, although this ratio was greater when the study including mild anaemia in its definition of anaemia was excluded (1.93, 95% CI 1.42-2.62). Population-attributable fractions ranged from 14.9% to 39.6%. Several methodological issues, such as definitions, exclusion criteria and timing of measurements, hindered the comparability of study results. CONCLUSIONS: Women who experience haemorrhage appear to be at increased risk of anaemia for many months after delivery. This important finding could have serious implications for their health care and management.
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Anemia/etiologia , Parto Obstétrico , Hemorragia/complicações , Complicações Hematológicas na Gravidez , Transtornos Puerperais/etiologia , Anemia/epidemiologia , Países Desenvolvidos , Países em Desenvolvimento , Feminino , Humanos , Gravidez , Complicações Hematológicas na Gravidez/epidemiologia , Transtornos Puerperais/sangue , Transtornos Puerperais/epidemiologia , Valores de Referência , RiscoRESUMO
BACKGROUND: The threat of emerging infections and recognition of novel immune-mediated forms of encephalitis has raised the profile of this condition in recent years. Incidence is poorly defined and most cases have an unknown cause. There is currently much interest in identification of new microbial agents of encephalitis, but no work has investigated systematically reasons for lack of pathogen identification in studies. METHODS: We systematically reviewed published literature on incidence and etiology of encephalitis in non-outbreak settings and explored possible explanations for the large number of cases of unknown etiology. RESULTS: Annual incidence ranged from 0.07 to 12.6 cases per 100,000 population with an evident decrease over time (p = 0.01). The proportion of cases with unknown etiology was high across studies (>50% in 26 of 41 studies), with strong evidence of heterogeneity in study findings (p < 0.001). Our meta-regression identified study period, setting, and subsyndrome to be the main contributors to between-study variation, rather than methodologic factors such as study design, case definitions, sample types, and testing strategies. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings support the hypothesis that new and emerging infectious agents, or new forms of immune-mediated encephalitis, may be responsible for cases currently of unknown cause and encourage the ongoing global effort to identify these. Our review highlights research areas that might lead to a better understanding of the causes of encephalitis and ultimately reduce the morbidity and mortality associated with this devastating condition.
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Surtos de Doenças , Encefalite/epidemiologia , Encefalite/etiologia , Humanos , IncidênciaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Despite the success of the Breakthrough Collaborative Methodology (BCM) in increasing organ donation rates there has been little published evidence on the effect of the BCM on the wider attitudes and experiences of those involved in organ donation. This study sought to identify whether the National Organ Donation Collaborative in Australia had any additional influence on improving the experiences of staff and family members in the organ donation process. METHODS: IN-depth qualitative interviews with 17 family members from 13 families who had agreed to the organ donation of a deceased relative and 25 nurses and intensive care specialists at the Alfred Hospital, Melbourne, Victoria were carried out. RESULTS: The key factor in family members' decision to donate was prior knowledge of the deceased's donation wish. Although most family members did not regret their decision to donate, many were deeply dissatistified and, at times, confused by the technical and administrative nature of the donation process. Most staff members commented that the key community message about donation should be to encourage people to discuss donation rather than urging people to sign donor registers. CONCLUSION: This study identified valuable insights into the processes by which family members and intensive care unit staff deal with the actual processes of donation. Findings suggest that the process for families is far more complex than a simple agreement or refusal to donate. This study suggests that we should not assume that 'rates' of donation in Australia would increase merely through administrative programmes or marketing campaigns.
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Compreensão , Comportamento Cooperativo , Família , Corpo Clínico Hospitalar/normas , Pesquisa Qualitativa , Obtenção de Tecidos e Órgãos/normas , Família/psicologia , Humanos , Entrevistas como Assunto/métodos , Corpo Clínico Hospitalar/psicologia , Doadores de Tecidos/psicologia , Obtenção de Tecidos e Órgãos/métodosRESUMO
Numerous ornamental nurseries in 32 California counties were surveyed for leaf spots as part of the California Department of Food and Agriculture mandated surveys targeting Phytophthora ramorum. Tissue collected during the 2005 and 2006 surveys was initially screened by a Phytophthora-specific enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. All positives samples were further tested using polymerase chain reaction to determine if P. ramorum was present. P. ramorum was detected in 1% of the total number of samples taken during the surveys. A total of 377 isolates were identified as species of Phytophthora other than P. ramorum, and their identity was determined by internal transcriber spacer (ITS) sequences. Subsets of the putative ITS-species were further verified using accepted morphological characters. Thirteen species of Phytophthora were found: P. cactorum, P. cambivora, P. citricola, P. citrophthora, P. cryptogea, P. foliorum, P. gonapodyides, P. hibernalis, P. nemorosa, P. 'Pgchlamydo', P. pseudosyringae, P. syringae, and P. tropicalis. P. syringae and P. citricola made up 55% of the total number of isolates. Species thought to be strictly forest pathogens, P. nemorosa and P. pseudosyringae, each made up less than 4% of the isolates. To test pathogenicity of acquired isolates, subsets of different species of Phytophthora were inoculated onto leaves of selected host plant genera. Of the 66 pathogen-host genera combinations tested, 44 resulted in lesion formation. Disease symptoms appeared as dark, water-soaked lesions with irregular margins and were similar among Phytophthora species.
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OBJECTIVE: To identify characteristics that predict a valid rheumatoid arthritis (RA) or juvenile idiopathic arthritis (JIA) diagnosis among RA- and JIA-coded individuals in the General Practice Research Database (GPRD), and to assess limitations of this type of diagnostic validation. METHODS: Four RA and 2 JIA diagnostic groups were created with differing strengths of evidence of RA/JIA (Group 1 = strongest evidence), based on RA/JIA medical codes. Individuals were sampled from each group and clinical and prescription data were extracted from anonymized hospital/practice correspondence and electronic records. American College of Rheumatology and International League of Associations for Rheumatology diagnostic criteria were used to validate diagnoses. A data-derived diagnostic algorithm that maximized sensitivity and specificity was identified using logistic regression. RESULTS: Among 223 RA-coded individuals, the diagnostic algorithm classified individuals as having RA if they had an appropriate GPRD disease-modifying antirheumatic drug prescription or 3 other GPRD characteristics: >1 RA code during followup, RA diagnostic Group 1 or 2, and no later alternative diagnostic code. This algorithm had >80% sensitivity and specificity when applied to a test data set. Among 101 JIA-coded individuals, the strongest predictor of a valid diagnosis was a Group 1 diagnostic code (>90% sensitivity and specificity). CONCLUSION: Validity of an RA diagnosis among RA-coded GPRD individuals appears high for patients with specific characteristics. The findings are important for both interpreting results of published GPRD studies and identifying RA/JIA patients for future GPRD-based research. However, several limitations were identified, and further debate is needed on how best to validate chronic disease diagnoses in the GPRD.
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Artrite Juvenil/diagnóstico , Bases de Dados Factuais/estatística & dados numéricos , Erros de Diagnóstico/estatística & dados numéricos , Medicina de Família e Comunidade/estatística & dados numéricos , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Valor Preditivo dos Testes , Reprodutibilidade dos TestesRESUMO
Phytophthora ramorum S. Werres & A.W.A.M. de Cock is the causal agent of sudden oak death in California and Oregon forests and ramorum blight on a broad range of host species in wildlands and nurseries. It is thought to be an introduced pathogen and only three clonal lineages are known (3). The North American lineage (lineage NA1, mating type A2) is responsible for infections in California and Oregon forests. The European lineage (lineage EU1, predominantly A1) is responsible for infections in Europe, but has also been found in nurseries in Oregon and Washington. A third lineage (NA2) has only been isolated in a few instances from nurseries in Washington and California. In June 2006, P. ramorum was isolated from diseased Viburnum tinus, Osmanthus heterophyllus, and O. fragrans cultivars from a Humboldt County retail nursery in northern California. We genotyped isolates and placed them into clonal lineages using microsatellite markers developed for P. ramorum (3,4). Genomic DNA was extracted from mycelia with the FastDNA SPIN kit (Q-Biogene, Morgan, Irvine, CA). Primers used were PrMS6, Pr9C3, PrMS39, PrMS43a, PrMS43b, and PrMS45 (3) and 18, 64, and 82 (4). We sized fluorescently labeled amplicons using capillary electrophoresis (3100 Avant Genetic Analyzer, Applied Biosystems, Foster City, CA). Isolate genotypes were compared with control isolates of known clonal lineage, including BBA9/95 (EU1), Pr102 (NA1), and WSDA3765 (NA2). Three of four isolates belonged to genotype EU1. The fourth isolate, obtained from O. fragrans, belonged to genotype NA1. We repeated genotyping on independent genomic DNA extractions and obtained identical results. Two EU1 isolates and the single NA1 isolate were tested for mating type (1) and found to be of A1, A1, and A2 mating type, respectively. The coexistence of A1 and A2 mating types in the same retail nursery suggests the potential for sexual reproduction, as is the case in P. infestans where clonal and sexual populations exist (2), although to date, sexual reproduction in nature has not been documented in P. ramorum. The California retail nursery infestation highlights the risks associated with the unintentional transport of host nursery stock infested with P. ramorum. References: (1) C. M. Brasier and S. Kirk. Mycol. Res. 108:823, 2004. (2) N. J. Grünwald and W. G. Flier. Ann. Rev. Phytopathol. 43:171, 2005. (3) K. Ivors et al. Mol. Ecol. 15:1493, 2006. (4) S. Prospero et al. Mol. Ecol. 16:2958, 2007.
RESUMO
There is limited evidence suggesting the underlying reasons for the use of complementary and alternative medicines (CAMs) by people with HIV/AIDS, or individual attitudes and beliefs about the use of CAMs. Using focus groups and a survey with 151 individuals attending the HIV Clinics at The Alfred Hospital, Melbourne, we aimed to provide insights into factors that influence the use of CAMs among people living with HIV/AIDS. Roughly half (49%) of the participants had used CAMs to manage their HIV/AIDs. Users of CAMs utilized a wide range of treatments in managing their condition, but costs of the CAMs meant that users were not necessarily able to use them as much as they might have liked. Use of CAMs was based on a desire to find something beneficial rather than on being dissatisfied with conventional medicine. Further research is needed into (a) the effects of CAMs and (b) the enhancement of communication and collaboration between patients, doctors and complementary medicine practitioners.
Assuntos
Terapias Complementares , Infecções por HIV/tratamento farmacológico , Conhecimentos, Atitudes e Prática em Saúde , Adulto , Feminino , Hospitais de Ensino , Humanos , Entrevistas como Assunto , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , VitóriaRESUMO
In May 2006, signs and symptoms of a rust disease were observed on hybrid gladiolus plants in a home garden located in the city of San Diego, CA. Uredinial lesions were bright orange, variable in shape from globose to oval to transversely elongate, and measured 28 to 652 × 36 to 994 µm. Urediniospores measured 16 to 26 × 16 to 23 µm and had hyaline walls that were 2 µm thick and finely echinulate with recurved spines. Some uredinial lesions located primarily at the base of the leaves were surrounded by dark, irregular lesions (telia) by the epidermis. Telia contained nonseptate, light-to-chestnut brown teliospores that measured 20 to 30 × 13 to 20 µm with an apical thickening measuring 2 to 5 µm. Teliospore pedicels measured 3 to 33 × 2 to 5 µm. Groups of teliospores were separated into locules by upright, pale brown paraphyses. The rust was identified as Uromyces transversalis, the cause of gladiolus rust and a quarantine pest for the United States. An intensive 23 square mile survey was initiated and resulted in the detection of infected plants at one nearby residence 200 feet away, in a commercial nursery six miles east of the initial site of detection, and at a residence across the street from the infected nursery. Plants in the nursery were grown outdoors in three blocks, in which the disease incidences were 20, 80, and 100% with varying levels of severity. Telia were also found at this location. The nursery grows gladiolus flowers for sale at local farmer markets, sometimes supplemented by additional cut gladiolus from Mexico. U. transversalis is known to occur in Mexico (2). This rust is under eradication at all four sites. Gladiolus rust was reported in Florida in April 2006. To our knowledge, this is the first confirmed report of Gladiolus rust in California. References: (1) J. R. Hernández. Invasive Fungi. Gladiolus Rust. Systemic Botany and Mycology Laboratory, Online publication. ARS, USDA, 2004. (2) G. Rodríguez-Alvarado et al. Plant Dis. 90:687, 2006.