Molecular evidence of anteroposterior patterning in adult echinoderms.

The origin of the pentaradial body plan of echinoderms from a bilateral ancestor is one of the most enduring zoological puzzles1,2. Because echinoderms are defined by morphological novelty, even the most basic axial comparisons with their bilaterian relatives are problematic. To revisit this classical question, we used conserved anteroposterior axial molecular markers to determine whether the highly derived adult body plan of echinoderms masks underlying patterning similarities with other deuterostomes. We investigated the expression of a suite of conserved transcription factors with well-established roles in the establishment of anteroposterior polarity in deuterostomes3-5 and other bilaterians6-8 using RNA tomography and in situ hybridization in the sea star Patiria miniata. The relative spatial expression of these markers in P. miniata ambulacral ectoderm shows similarity with other deuterostomes, with the midline of each ray representing the most anterior territory and the most lateral parts exhibiting a more posterior identity. Strikingly, there is no ectodermal territory in the sea star that expresses the characteristic bilaterian trunk genetic patterning programme. This finding suggests that from the perspective of ectoderm patterning, echinoderms are mostly head-like animals and provides a developmental rationale for the re-evaluation of the events that led to the evolution of the derived adult body plan of echinoderms.

Measurement and initial characterization of leukocyte telomere length in 474,074 participants in UK Biobank.

Leukocyte telomere length (LTL) is a proposed marker of biological age. Here we report the measurement and initial characterization of LTL in 474,074 participants in UK Biobank. We confirm that older age and male sex associate with shorter LTL, with women on average ~7 years younger in 'biological age' than men. Compared to white Europeans, LTL is markedly longer in African and Chinese ancestries. Older paternal age at birth is associated with longer individual LTL. Higher white cell count is associated with shorter LTL, but proportions of white cell subtypes show weaker associations. Age, ethnicity, sex and white cell count explain ~5.5% of LTL variance. Using paired samples from 1,351 participants taken ~5 years apart, we estimate the within-individual variability in LTL and provide a correction factor for this. This resource provides opportunities to investigate determinants and biomedical consequences of variation in LTL.

Mussismilia braziliensis White Plague Disease Is Characterized by an Affected Coral Immune System and Dysbiosis.

Infectious diseases are one of the major drivers of coral reef decline worldwide. White plague-like disease (WPL) is a widespread disease with a complex etiology that infects several coral species, including the Brazilian endemic species Mussismilia braziliensis. Gene expression profiles of healthy and WPL-affected M. braziliensis were analyzed in winter and summer seasons. The de novo assembly of the M. braziliensis transcriptome from healthy and white plague samples produced a reference transcriptome containing 119,088 transcripts. WPL-diseased samples were characterized by repression of immune system and cellular defense processes. Autophagy and cellular adhesion transcripts were also repressed in WPL samples, suggesting exhaustion of the coral host defenses. Seasonal variation leads to plasticity in transcription with upregulation of intracellular signal transduction, apoptosis regulation, and oocyte development in the summer. Analysis of the active bacterial rRNA indicated that Pantoea bacteria were more abundant in WPL corals, while Tistlia, Fulvivirga, and Gammaproteobacteria Ga0077536 were more abundant in healthy samples. Cyanobacteria proliferation was also observed in WPL, mostly in the winter. These results indicate a scenario of dysbiosis in WPL-affected M. braziliensis, with the loss of potentially symbiotic bacteria and proliferation of opportunistic microbes after the start of the infection process.

Artificial neural network discovery of a switchable metasurface reflector.

Optical materials engineered to dynamically and selectively manipulate electromagnetic waves are essential to the future of modern optical systems. In this paper, we simulate various metasurface configurations consisting of periodic 1D bars or 2D pillars made of the ternary phase change material Ge2Sb2Te5 (GST). Dynamic switching behavior in reflectance is exploited due to a drastic refractive index change between the crystalline and amorphous states of GST. Selectivity in the reflection and transmission spectra is manipulated by tailoring the geometrical parameters of the metasurface. Due to the immense number of possible metasurface configurations, we train deep neural networks capable of exploring all possible designs within the working parameter space. The data requirements, predictive accuracy, and robustness of these neural networks are benchmarked against a ground truth by varying quality and quantity of training data. After ensuring trustworthy neural network advisory, we identify and validate optimal GST metasurface configurations best suited as dynamic switchable mirrors depending on selected light and manufacturing constraints.

PLANT-Dx: A Molecular Diagnostic for Point-of-Use Detection of Plant Pathogens.

Synthetic biology based diagnostic technologies have improved upon gold standard diagnostic methodologies by decreasing cost, increasing accuracy, and enhancing portability. However, there has been little effort in adapting these technologies toward applications related to point-of-use monitoring of plant and crop health. Here, we take a step toward this vision by developing an approach that couples isothermal amplification of specific plant pathogen genomic sequences with customizable synthetic RNA regulators that are designed to trigger the production of a colorimetric output in cell-free gene expression reactions. We demonstrate our system can sense viral derived sequences with high sensitivity and specificity, and can be utilized to directly detect viruses from infected plant material. Furthermore, we demonstrate that the entire system can operate using only body heat and naked-eye visual analysis of outputs. We anticipate these strategies to be important components of user-friendly and deployable diagnostic systems that can be configured to detect a range of important plant pathogens.

Zinc and the iron donor frataxin regulate oligomerization of the scaffold protein to form new Fe-S cluster assembly centers.

Early studies of the bacterial Fe-S cluster assembly system provided structural details for how the scaffold protein and the cysteine desulfurase interact. This work and additional work on the yeast and human systems elucidated a conserved mechanism for sulfur donation but did not provide any conclusive insights into the mechanism for iron delivery from the iron donor, frataxin, to the scaffold. We previously showed that oligomerization is a mechanism by which yeast frataxin (Yfh1) can promote assembly of the core machinery for Fe-S cluster synthesis both in vitro and in cells, in such a manner that the scaffold protein, Isu1, can bind to Yfh1 independent of the presence of the cysteine desulfurase, Nfs1. Here, in the absence of Yfh1, Isu1 was found to exist in two forms, one mostly monomeric with limited tendency to dimerize, and one with a strong propensity to oligomerize. Whereas the monomeric form is stabilized by zinc, the loss of zinc promotes formation of dimer and higher order oligomers. However, upon binding to oligomeric Yfh1, both forms take on a similar symmetrical trimeric configuration that places the Fe-S cluster coordinating residues of Isu1 in close proximity of iron-binding residues of Yfh1. This configuration is suitable for docking of Nfs1 in a manner that provides a structural context for coordinate iron and sulfur donation to the scaffold. Moreover, distinct structural features suggest that in physiological conditions the zinc-regulated abundance of monomeric vs. oligomeric Isu1 yields [Yfh1]·[Isu1] complexes with different Isu1 configurations that afford unique functional properties for Fe-S cluster assembly and delivery.

Risk of hip fracture following a wrist fracture-A meta-analysis.

AIMS: This purpose of this meta analysis was to investigate and quantify the relative risk of hip fracture in patients who have sustained a wrist fracture. METHOD: Studies were identified by searching Medline, Embase, Cochrane CENTRAL database and CINAHL from their inception to August 2015. Studies reporting confirmed hip fracture following wrist fracture were included. Data extraction was carried out using a modified Cochrane data collection form by two reviewers independently. Quality assessment was carried out using a modified Coleman score and the Newcastle Ottawa scale for cohort studies. An assessment of bias was performed for each study using a modified Cochrane Risk of Bias tool. A pooled relative risk(RR) was estimated with 95% CI from the RR/HRs and CIs reported in the studies. RESULTS: 12 studies were included in the final meta-analysis (4 male, 8 female only). Relative risk of hip fracture following wrist fracture for women was 1.43 (CI 1.27 to 1.60). In men it was not significantly increased (RR 2.11, 95% CI: 0.93-4.85). Heterogeneity was low (I squared 0%) for both groups so a fixed effects model was used. CONCLUSION: Risk of a subsequent hip fracture is increased for women who suffer a wrist fracture (RR 1.43). Resources and preventative measures should be targeted towards these high risk patients to prevent the catastrophic event of a hip fracture. This meta analysis confirms and quantifies the increased relative risk of hip fracture after wrist fracture in women.

Reversible morphological changes of assembled supramolecular amphiphiles triggered by pH-modulated host-guest interactions.

Reversible template-directed micellar-size and shape modulation by virtue of host-guest reversible docking of molecular templates at the micellar-solvent interface was achieved in water. By combining a π-electron deficient bipyridinium-based gemini amphiphile which is capable of binding and aligning with a π-electron rich tri(ethylene glycol)-disubstituted 1,5-diaminonaphthalene, a switchable detergent system which operates through the pH-responsive formation of bisammonium dications was realised. The binding of the 1,5-diaminonaphthalene guest to the bipyridinium-based micellar aggregate superstructure can be actuated by the addition of acid and base. Upon the addition of acid, protonation of the guest forming the dication deactivates molecular recognition with the charged head groups of the micellar aggregate by Coulombic repulsion. This process is completely reversible upon the addition of base, whereby the guest reintercalates into the superstructure -again forming donor-acceptor π-π stacks at the micellar-solvent interface amongst contiguous surfactant head groups. Synchrotron small angle X-ray scattering and dynamic laser light scattering confirm that this form of reversible directionally-templated micellisation results in an oblate spheroid-to-lamellar micelle morphological transition with a stabilising net decrease in the free energy of micellisation of 1.4 kcal mol(-1) per hydrophobic tail.

Limited Genetic Variability Among American Isolates of Grapevine virus E from Vitis spp.

A survey for the presence of Grapevine virus E (GVE, genus Vitivirus, family Betaflexiviridae) in vineyards in New York and California was conducted using macroarray hybridization or reverse-transcription polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) assays. In New York, GVE was detected in 10 of 46 vines of Vitis labrusca, one V. riparia, and one Vitis hybrid. All GVE-infected New York vines were coinfected with Grapevine leafroll-associated virus-3. In California, GVE was detected in 8 of 417 vines of V. vinifera. All GVE-infected California vines were also coinfected by one of the leafroll-associated viruses and other vitiviruses. In order to assess the genetic diversity among GVE isolates, a viral cDNA was amplified by RT-PCR, and a 675-nucleotide region that included the 3' terminus of the coat protein gene, a short intergenic region, and the 5' terminus of the putative nucleic acid binding protein gene was sequenced. All 20 GVE isolates sequenced in this study were very closely related, with >98% nucleotide identity to the SA94 isolate from South Africa. These findings confirm the presence of GVE in major grape-growing regions of the United States and indicate a very low level of genetic diversity.

Cardiovascular safety of conjugated estrogens plus bazedoxifene: meta-analysis of the SMART trials.

OBJECTIVES: Five randomized, phase-3 trials demonstrated the efficacy and safety of conjugated estrogens/bazedoxifene (CE/BZA) in treating menopausal symptoms and preserving bone. This pooled analysis of these studies describes the cardiovascular safety of CE/BZA. METHODS: We pooled cardiovascular adjudicated safety data from healthy, non-hysterectomized, postmenopausal women who received ≥ 1 dose of CE 0.45 mg/BZA 20 mg (n = 1585), CE 0.625 mg/BZA 20 mg (n = 1583), any CE/BZA dose (n = 4868), or placebo (n = 1241) for up to 2 years in five trials. Venous thromboembolic events (VTEs), coronary heart disease (CHD), and cerebrovascular events were reviewed by three different independent adjudication committees and summarized using a meta-analytic approach. RESULTS: The rate of VTEs per 1000 woman-years (95% confidence interval, CI) was 0.3 (0.0-2.0) in women taking CE 0.45 mg/BZA 20 mg, 0 (0.0-1.5) in those taking CE 0.625 mg/BZA 20 mg, 0.7 (0.0-1.5) among women taking any CE/BZA dose, and 0.6 (0.0-2.9) with placebo. The incidence of stroke per 1000 woman-years (95% CI) was 0.4 (0.0-2.4), 0.2 (0.0-1.9), 0.44 (0.0-1.1), and 0.0 (0.0-1.7), respectively. The CHD rate per 1000 woman-years was 2.6 (0.0-5.6), 1.4 (0.0-3.9), 2.4 (1.00-3.7) and 2.0 (0.0-5.2). Compared with placebo, relative risk (95% CI) with any CE/BZA dose was 0.5 (0.1-1.8) for VTE, 0.5 (0.1-2.6) for stroke, and 0.63 (0.23-1.74) for CHD. CONCLUSIONS: Up to 2 years of CE 0.45 or CE 0.625 mg with BZA 20 mg had an acceptable cardiovascular safety profile, with rates of stroke and CHD comparable to placebo in healthy postmenopausal women. VTE risk was low.

Protein concentration and mitochondrial content in the gastrocnemius predicts mortality rates in patients with peripheral arterial disease.

OBJECTIVE: This study evaluated the hypothesis that protein concentration and mitochondrial content in gastrocnemius biopsies from patients with peripheral arterial disease (PAD) predict mortality rates. BACKGROUND: PAD patients experience advancing myopathy characterized by mitochondrial dysfunction, myofiber degradation, and fibrosis in their ischemic legs, along with increased mortality rates. METHODS: Samples from the gastrocnemius of PAD patients were used for all analyses. Protein concentration was normalized to muscle wet weight, and citrate synthase activity (standard measure of mitochondrial content in cells) was normalized to muscle wet weight and protein concentration. Protein and citrate synthase data were grouped into tertiles and 5-year, all-cause mortality for each tertile was determined with Kaplan-Meier curves and compared by the modified Peto-Peto test. A Cox-regression model for each variable controlled for the effects of clinical characteristics. RESULTS: Of the 187 study participants, 46 died during a mean follow-up of 23.0 months. Five-year mortality rate was highest for patients in the lowest tertile of protein concentration. Mortality was lowest for patients in the middle tertile of citrate synthase activity when normalized to either muscle wet weight or protein concentration. The mortality hazard ratios (HRs) from the Cox analysis were statistically significant for protein concentration normalized to muscle wet weight (lowest vs middle tertile; HR = 2.93; P = 0.008) and citrate synthase normalized to protein concentration (lowest vs middle tertile; HR = 4.68; P = 0.003; and lowest vs highest tertile; HR = 2.36; P = 0.027). CONCLUSIONS: Survival analysis of a contemporaneous population of PAD patients identifies protein and mitochondrial content of their gastrocnemius as predictors of mortality rate.

Timed Sollerman hand function test for analysis of hand function in normal volunteers.

This study describes the development and application of the timed Sollerman hand function test in normal volunteers and the effect of age, gender, dominance and handedness on hand function. A total of 100 volunteers (50 men and 50 women) aged between 20 to 70 years were asked to complete the Sollerman hand function test. We measured the time taken to complete the 20 tasks using seven grips. Volunteers completed the tasks a mean of 20 seconds quicker with the dominant than with the nondominant hand. Individuals who are strongly right-handed showed a pronounced difference taking less time with the dominant hand. Women took less time to complete all tasks in age groups 30 to 40 years, than women in age groups 20 to 30 years and beyond 40 years using the dominant hand. Men also showed worsening performance with age. The centile curves of the total time taken to complete all 20 Sollerman tasks between the ages of 20 to 70 years will allow investigators to adjust their findings for age before attributing observed differences to disease or its treatment.

Grapevine red blotch-associated virus Is Widespread in the United States.

Grapevine red blotch disease has been recognized since 2008 as affecting North American grape production. The presence of the newly described Grapevine red blotch-associated virus (GRBaV) is highly correlated with the disease. To more effectively detect and monitor the presence of the virus, a sample processing strategy and multiplex polymerase chain reaction assay were developed. A total of 42 of 113 vine samples collected in or received from seven of the United States were shown to harbor the virus, demonstrating the virus is widely distributed across North America. Phylogenetic analyses of a viral replication-associated protein (Rep) gene fragment from the 42 isolates of GRBaV demonstrated distinct clades of the virus (1 and 2), with clade 1 showing the greatest variability. The full-length genome of six virus isolates was sequenced, and phylogenetic analyses of 14 whole genomes recapitulated results seen for the Rep gene. A comparison of GRBaV genomes revealed evidence of recombination underlying some of the variation seen among GRBaV genomes within clade 1. Phylogenetic analyses of coat and replicase-associated protein sequences among single-stranded DNA viruses showed GRBaV to group within the family Geminiviridae. This grouping is distinct from members of the families Nanoviridae and Circoviridae, with limited significant affinities to both recognized genera and novel plant-infecting, gemini-like viruses.

Distribution and abundance of human-specific Bacteroides and relation to traditional indicators in an urban tropical catchment.

AIMS: The study goals were to determine the relationship between faecal indicator bacteria (FIB), the HF183 marker and land use, and the phylogenetic diversity of HF183 marker sequences in a tropical urban watershed. METHODS AND RESULTS: Total coliforms, Escherichia coli, and HF183 were quantified in 81 samples categorized as undeveloped, residential and horticultural from the Kranji Reservoir and Catchment in Singapore. Quantitative-PCR for HF183 followed by analysis of variance indicated that horticultural areas had significantly higher geometric means for marker levels (4·3 × 10(4) HF183-GE 100 ml(-1)) than nonhorticultural areas (3·07 × 10(3) HF183-GE 100 ml(-1)). E. coli and HF183 were moderately correlated in horticultural areas (R = 0·59, P = 0·0077), but not elsewhere in the catchment. Initial upstream surveys of candidate sources revealed elevated HF183 in a wastewater treatment effluent but not in aquaculture ponds. The HF183 marker was cloned, sequenced and determined by phylogenetic analysis to match the original marker description. CONCLUSION: We show that quantification of the HF183 marker is a useful tool for mapping the spatial distribution and potential sources of human sewage contamination in tropical environments such as Singapore. SIGNIFICANCE AND IMPACT: A major challenge for assessment of water quality in tropical environments is the natural occurrence and nonconservative behaviour of FIB. The HF183 marker has been employed in temperate environments as an alternative indicator for human sewage contamination. Our study supports the use of the HF183 marker as an indicator for human sewage in Singapore and motivates further work to determine HF183 marker levels that correspond to public health risk in tropical environments.

Severe intraocular pressure rise following intravitreal triamcinolone: a national survey to estimate incidence and describe case profiles.

PURPOSE: The objective of this study is to estimate the incidence of steroid-induced severe intraocular pressure (IOP) rise following intravitreal triamcinolone acetonide (IVTA) injection and to describe case profiles of the patients affected within the United Kingdom. PATIENTS AND METHODS: A national survey was carried out to identify cases that had developed severe IOP rise requiring laser or surgery following IVTA through the British Ophthalmic Surveillance Unit. Respondents were mailed a questionnaire and with a follow-up questionnaire 1 year later, to ascertain characteristics of the patients identified. We also carried out a midpoint survey to ascertain national practice of IVTA at the time. RESULTS: There were 29 confirmed reports of severe IOP rise after IVTA in the 13-month period of surveillance. All the cases were unilateral and the mean time between the IVTA and the maximum recorded IOP was 16 weeks. Six of these patients had pre-existing glaucoma or ocular hypertension, and a further two were known to be 'steroid responders'. Using the adjusted denominators, obtained from our national survey, the estimated annual incidence would be between 3.6 and 9.5 per 1000 injections. CONCLUSIONS: These results confirm that severe IOP rise after IVTA is an uncommon but serious complication. Data obtained from this national study should aid clinicians in choosing the treatment best suited to their patients.

Profiling viral infections in grapevine using a randomly primed reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction/macroarray multiplex platform.

Crop-specific diagnostics to simultaneously detect a large number of pathogens provides an invaluable platform for the screening of vegetative material prior to its propagation. Here we report the use of what is to-date the largest published example of a crop-specific macroarray for the detection of 38 of the most prevalent or emergent viruses to infect grapevine. The reusable array consists of 1,578 virus-specific 60 to 70mer oligonucleotide probes and 19 plant and internal control probes spotted onto an 18 × 7 cm nylon membrane. In a survey of 99 grapevines from the United States and Europe, virus infections were detected in 46 selections of Vitis vinifera, V. labrusca, and interspecific hybrids. The majority of infected vines (30) was singly infected, while 16 were mixed-infected with viruses from two or more families. Representatives of the four main virus families Betaflexiviridae, Closteroviridae, Secoviridae, and Tymoviridae present in grapevines were found alone and in combination, with a notable bias in representation by members of the family Tymoviridae. This work demonstrates the utility of the macroarray platform for the multiplex detection of viruses in a single crop, its potential for characterizing grapevine virus associations, and usefulness for rapid diagnostics of introduced material in quarantine centers or in certification programs.

Retrospective TREC testing of newborns with Severe Combined Immunodeficiency and other primary immunodeficiency diseases.

In Manitoba, Canada, the overall incidence of Severe Combined Immunodeficiency (SCID) is three-fold higher than the national average, with SCID overrepresented in two population groups: Mennonites and First Nations of Northern Cree ancestries. T-cell receptor excision circle (TREC) assay is being used increasingly for neonatal screening for SCID in North America. However, the majority of SCID patients in Manitoba are T-cell-positive. Therefore it is likely that the TREC assay will not identify these infants. The goal of this study was to blindly and retrospectively perform TREC analysis in confirmed SCID patients using archived Guthrie cards. Thirteen SCID patients were tested: 5 T-negative SCID (3 with adenosine deaminase deficiency, 1 with CD3δ deficiency, and 1 unclassified) and 8 T-positive SCID (5 with zeta chain-associated protein kinase (ZAP70) deficiency and 3 with inhibitor of kappa light polypeptide gene enhancer in B-cells, kinase beta (IKKß) deficiency). As a non-SCID patient group, 5 Primary Immunodeficiency Disease (PID) patients were studied: 1 T-negative PID (cartilage-hair hypoplasia) and 4 T-positive PID (2 common immune deficiency (CID), 1 Wiskott-Aldrich syndrome, and 1 X-linked lymphoproliferative disease). Both patient groups required hematopoietic stem cell transplantation. In addition, randomly-selected de-identified controls (n = 982) were tested. Results: all T-negative SCID and PID had zero TRECs. Low-TRECs were identified in 2 ZAP70 siblings, 1 CID patient as well as 5 preterm, 1 twin, and 4 de-identified controls. Conclusions: TREC method will identify T-negative SCID and T-negative PID. To identify other SCID babies, newborn screening in Manitoba must include supplemental targeted screening for ethnic-specific mutations.

Arabis mosaic virus in Grapevines in New York State.

In a limited survey of commercial vineyards and a germplasm repository in Ontario County, NY, 20 vines of Vitis sp. were tested in fall and spring 2010 to 2012 for viruses using a double-antibody sandwich (DAS)-ELISA and macroarray with oligonucleotide probes for grapevine viruses ((3) and unpublished). The plants selected for analysis included those showing atypical growth including leaf deformation, yellowing, cupping or spotting, vein clearing, shortening of internodes, and reduced vigor. Arabis mosaic virus (ArMV; genus Nepovirus, family Secoviridae) was detected in leaf tissue and wood scrapings in two vines using the DAS-ELISA with antibodies from Bioreba (Reinach, Switzerland). The ArMV positive vines were from Vitis hybrid cultivars Noah and Geisenheim 26. ArMV was also detected in these two vines using the macroarray, with hybridization observed to 24 of 32 oligonucleotide probes specific to this virus. To confirm the identification of the virus, total RNAs were extracted from leaf tissues, hybridized with random hexamers, and reverse-transcribed using MMLV reverse transcriptase (Life Technologies, Grand Island, NY). Complementary DNAs were amplified by PCR using an IQ supermix (BioRad, Hercules, CA), and two sets of generic primers for nepoviruses (1,4). Thermocycler conditions were 94°C 5 min (1×); 94°C 30 s, 50°C 30 s, and 69°C 2 min (35×), and 72°C for 5 min. The PCR products were sequenced directly. Sequences from the 340-bp products obtained from cultivars Geisenheim 26 (GenBank Accession No. HE984333) and Noah (HE984334) using the Wei et al. primers (4) had 76 to 84% sequence identity to ArMV RNA1 GenBank accessions GQ369528 and AY303786. Sequences from the 301-bp products obtained from cultivars Geisenheim 26 (HE984335) and Noah (HE984336) using the Digiaro et al. primers (1) had 87 to 91% sequence identity to ArMV RNA2 GenBank accessions AY017339 and X81814. ArMV was mechanically transmitted from Geisenheim 26 to Nicotiana tabacum cultivar Xanthi NN. Inoculation gave rise to necrotic local lesions on the inoculated leaves of five plants in each of two experiments (10 of 10 plants total). The presence of ArMV in tobacco was confirmed by DAS-ELISA. Thus, the presence of ArMV in New York grapevines has been confirmed by the detection of the coat protein antigen, virus specific oligonucleotide probes, and the sequencing of portions of both genomic RNAs. There are limited reports of ArMV in North America and in grapevine in particular (2), but with a wide host range and seed and nematode transmissibility, ArMV has the ability to become more widespread among grapevine and other crops. References: (1) M. Digiaro, et al. J. Virol. Methods 141:34, 2007. (2) B. N. Milkus et al. Am. J. Enol. Vitic. 50:56, 1999. (3) J. Thompson et al. J. Virol. Methods 183:161, 2012. (4) T. Wei et al. J. Virol. Methods 153:16, 2008.

On the choice of parameterisation and priors for the Bayesian analyses of Mendelian randomisation studies.

Mendelian randomisation is a form of instrumental variable analysis that estimates the causal effect of an intermediate phenotype or exposure on an outcome or disease in the presence of unobserved confounding, using a genetic variant as the instrument. A Bayesian approach allows current knowledge to be incorporated into the analysis in the form of informative prior distributions, and the unobserved confounder can be modelled explicitly. We consider Bayesian methods for Mendelian randomisation in the case where all relationships are linear and there are no interactions. A 'full' model in which the unobserved confounder is included explicitly is not completely identifiable, although the causal parameter can be estimated. We compare inferences from this general but non-identified model with a reduced parameter model that is identifiable. We show that, theoretically, additional information about the causal parameter can be obtained by using the non-identifiable full model, rather than the identifiable reduced model, but that this is advantageous only when realistically informative priors are used and when the instrument is weak or the sample size is small. Furthermore, we consider the impact of using 'vague' versus 'informative' priors.

Direct observation of paramagnons in palladium.

We report an inelastic neutron scattering study of the spin fluctuations in the nearly ferromagnetic element palladium. Dispersive over-damped collective magnetic excitations or "paramagnons" are observed up to 128 meV. We analyze our results in terms of a Moriya-Lonzarich-type spin-fluctuation model and estimate the contribution of the spin fluctuations to the low-temperature heat capacity. In spite of the paramagnon excitations being relatively strong, their relaxation rates are large. This leads to a small contribution to the low-temperature electronic specific heat.