Prediction Model of hospitalization time of COVID-19 patients based on Gradient Boosted Regression Trees.

When an outbreak of COVID-19 occurs, it will cause a shortage of medical resources and the surge of demand for hospital beds. Predicting the length of stay (LOS) of COVID-19 patients is helpful to the overall coordination of hospital management and improves the utilization rate of medical resources. The purpose of this paper is to predict LOS for patients with COVID-19, so as to provide hospital management with auxiliary decision-making of medical resource scheduling. We collected the data of 166 COVID-19 patients in a hospital in Xinjiang from July 19, 2020, to August 26, 2020, and carried out a retrospective study. The results showed that the median LOS was 17.0 days, and the average of LOS was 18.06 days. Demographic data and clinical indicators were included as predictive variables to construct a model for predicting the LOS using gradient boosted regression trees (GBRT). The MSE, MAE and MAPE of the model are 23.84, 4.12 and 0.76 respectively. The importance of all the variables involved in the prediction of the model was analyzed, and the clinical indexes creatine kinase-MB (CK-MB), C-reactive protein (CRP), creatine kinase (CK), white blood cell count (WBC) and the age of patients had a higher contribution to the LOS. We found our GBRT model can accurately predict the LOS of COVID-19 patients, which will provide good assistant decision-making for medical management.

Identification of Immune-Related Prognostic mRNA and lncRNA in Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: As the most common hepatic malignancy, hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) has a high incidence; therefore, in this paper, the immune-related genes were sought as biomarkers in liver cancer. METHODS: In this study, a differential expression analysis of lncRNA and mRNA in The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) dataset between the HCC group and the normal control group was performed. Enrichment analysis was used to screen immune-related differentially expressed genes. Cox regression analysis and survival analysis were used to determine prognostic genes of HCC, whose expression was detected by molecular experiments. Finally, important immune cells were identified by immune cell infiltration and detected by flow cytometry. RESULTS: Compared with the normal group, 1613 differentially expressed mRNAs (DEmRs) and 1237 differentially expressed lncRNAs (DElncRs) were found in HCC. Among them, 143 immune-related DEmRs and 39 immune-related DElncRs were screened out. These genes were mainly related to MAPK cascade, PI3K-AKT signaling pathway, and TGF-beta. Through Cox regression analysis and survival analysis, MMP9, SPP1, HAGLR, LINC02202, and RP11-598F7.3 were finally determined as the potential diagnostic biomarkers for HCC. The gene expression was verified by RT-qPCR and western blot. In addition, CD4 + memory resting T cells and CD8 + T cells were identified as protective factors for overall survival of HCC, and they were found highly expressed in HCC through flow cytometry. CONCLUSION: The study explored the dysregulation mechanism and potential biomarkers of immune-related genes and further identified the influence of immune cells on the prognosis of HCC, providing a theoretical basis for the prognosis prediction and immunotherapy in HCC patients.

Epileptic foci localization based on mapping the synchronization of dynamic brain network.

BACKGROUND: Characterizing the synchronous changes of epileptic seizures in different stages between different regions is profound to understand the transmission pathways of epileptic brain network and epileptogenic foci. There is currently no adequate quantitative calculation method for describing the propagation pathways of electroencephalogram (EEG) signals in the brain network from the short and long term. The goal of this study is to explore the innovative method to locate epileptic foci, mapping synchronization in the brain networks based on EEG. METHODS: Mutual information was used to analyze the short-term synchronization in the full electrodes; while nonlinear dynamics quantifies the statistical independencies in the long -term among all electrodes. Then graph theory based on the complex network was employed to construct a dynamic brain network for epilepsy patients when they were awake, asleep and in seizure, analyzing the changing topology indexes. RESULTS: Epileptic network achieved a high degree of nonlinear synchronization compared to awake time. and the main path of epileptiform activity was revealed by searching core nodes. The core nodes of the brain network were in connection with the onset zone. Seizures always happened with a high degree of distribution. CONCLUSIONS: This study indicated the path of EEG synchronous propagation in seizures, and core nodes could locate the epileptic foci accurately in some epileptic patients.

Construction of rules for seizure prediction based on approximate entropy.

OBJECTIVE: In this study on the analysis of EEG signals for seizure prediction, we used a combination of statistically relevant theory and nonlinear dynamics to maximize the sensitivity of nonlinear analysis and improved prediction accuracy (PA) and effectiveness. METHODS: First, a physiological reference range of approximate entropy (ApEn) was set up based on normal EEG data. Second, using the concept of global optimization, all EEG electrodes were used in the study regardless of the location of epileptic foci, and the five-electrode group with the strongest synchronization discharge was employed as the optimal electrode group for the next prediction. We set a warning signal when the ApEn values of the data were below the reference range in five electrodes at the same time. RESULTS: From the overall 142.7-h EEG signal containing 37 seizures from nine epileptics, our PA was 94.59%, the false prediction rate was 0.084/h, and the mean prediction time was 26.64min. CONCLUSION: Combining statistically relevant theory and nonlinear dynamics can significantly improve the sensitivity of the nonlinear analysis in seizure prediction. SIGNIFICANCE: This method may provide a theoretical foundation for the development of a clinical real-time warning system for patients with partial epilepsy.

Approximate entropy and support vector machines for electroencephalogram signal classification.

The automatic detection and identification of electroencephalogram waves play an important role in the prediction, diagnosis and treatment of epileptic seizures. In this study, a nonlinear dynamics index-approximate entropy and a support vector machine that has strong generalization ability were applied to classify electroencephalogram signals at epileptic interictal and ictal periods. Our aim was to verify whether approximate entropy waves can be effectively applied to the automatic real-time detection of epilepsy in the electroencephalogram, and to explore its generalization ability as a classifier trained using a nonlinear dynamics index. Four patients presenting with partial epileptic seizures were included in this study. They were all diagnosed with neocortex localized epilepsy and epileptic foci were clearly observed by electroencephalogram. The electroencephalogram data form the four involved patients were segmented and the characteristic values of each segment, that is, the approximate entropy, were extracted. The support vector machine classifier was constructed with the approximate entropy extracted from one epileptic case, and then electroencephalogram waves of the other three cases were classified, reaching a 93.33% accuracy rate. Our findings suggest that the use of approximate entropy allows the automatic real-time detection of electroencephalogram data in epileptic cases. The combination of approximate entropy and support vector machines shows good generalization ability for the classification of electroencephalogram signals for epilepsy.