Estimates of actual and potential lives saved in the United States from the use of COVID-19 convalescent plasma.

In the Spring of 2020, the United States of America (USA) deployed COVID-19 convalescent plasma (CCP) to treat hospitalized patients. Over 500,000 patients were treated with CCP during the first year of the pandemic. In this study, we estimated the number of actual inpatient lives saved by CCP treatment in the United States of America based on CCP weekly use, weekly national mortality data, and CCP mortality reduction data from meta-analyses of randomized controlled trials and real-world data. We also estimate the potential number of lives saved if CCP had been deployed for 100% of hospitalized patients or used in 15 to 75% of outpatients. Depending on the assumptions modeled in stratified analyses, we estimated that CCP saved between 16,476 and 66,296 lives. The CCP ideal use might have saved as many as 234,869 lives and prevented 1,136,133 hospitalizations. CCP deployment was a successful strategy for ameliorating the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic in the USA. This experience has important implications for convalescent plasma use in future infectious disease emergencies.

HIV incidence among non-migrating persons following a household migration event in Uganda.

BACKGROUND: The impact of migration on HIV risk among non-migrating household members is poorly understood. We measured HIV incidence among non-migrants living in households with and without migrants in Uganda. METHODS: We used four survey rounds of data collected from July 2011 to May 2018 from non-migrant participants aged 15-49 years in the Rakai Community Cohort Study. Non-migrants were individuals with no-migration between surveys or at the prior survey. Household migration was defined as ≥1 household member migrating into or out of the house from another community between surveys (∼18 months). Incident HIV was defined as testing HIV seropositive following a negative result. Incidence rate ratios (IRRs) were estimated using Poisson regression with generalized estimating equations. Analyses were stratified by gender, migration into or out of the household and the relationship between non-migrants and migrants (e.g. spouse, child). RESULTS: About 11 318 non-migrants (5674 women) were followed for 37 320 person-years. Twenty-eight percent (6059/21 370) of non-migrant person-visits had recent migration into or out of the household, and 240 HIV incident cases were identified. Overall, non-migrants in migrant households were not at greater risk of acquiring HIV than non-migrants in households without any migration. However, men were significantly more likely to acquire HIV if their spouse had recently migrated in [adjusted IRR: 2.12; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.05-4.27] or out (adjusted IRR: 4.01; 95% CI, 2.16-7.44) compared with men with no spousal migration. CONCLUSIONS: HIV incidence is higher among non-migrant men with migrant spouses. Targeted HIV testing and prevention interventions like pre-exposure prophylaxis could be considered for men with migrant spouses.

The global blood donation index: an imperfect measure of transfusion need.

The optimum number of units of blood and the associated number of blood donors required to meet a given population's needs remain undetermined globally. Typically, a whole blood donation rate of ten donations per 1000 population, at a minimum, is necessary to meet a country's blood needs. This rate is attributed to a WHO recommendation that 1% of a given country's population should donate blood to ensure a blood supply that is sufficient to meet clinical needs. This often cited metric was first referenced in a 1971 WHO report, yet neither supporting data or references were provided, suggesting that it was flawed at its founding. Regardless, this metric does not provide an accurate or contemporary determination of blood needs, which has ramifications for health service provision and planning, particularly in low-income and lower-middle-income countries. Modelling studies that account for geographical variability in disease burden, health-care infrastructure, and transfusion practices are needed to accurately estimate blood needs. A paucity of data to inform modelling remains a major obstacle in this regard. We discuss the history of the global blood donation index and highlight some factors that should be considered to better understand contemporary blood needs.

Building a successful transplant research center: Blueprints and barriers.

A successful multidisciplinary research center depends on the quality of the science being conducted and the quality of the center's design, culture, infrastructure, and institutional support. In this perspective, we describe our experience building and maintaining a multidisciplinary transplant research center with a large focus on transplant infectious diseases. We identify principles that we believe contributed to our success including: taking inventory, defining culture, creating a multidisciplinary shared leadership model, establishing expertise in a multiple method approach, investing in operations and management, building and sharing resources, and securing institutional support. We share our experience putting these principles into practice and highlight potential roadblocks.

A Third COVID-19 Vaccine Dose in Kidney Transplant Recipients Induces Antibody Response to Vaccine and Omicron Variants but Shows Limited Ig Subclass Switching.

Solid organ transplant recipients (SOTRs) suffer more frequent and more severe infections due to their compromised immune responses resulting from immunosuppressive treatments designed to prevent organ rejection. Pharmacological immunosuppression can adversely affect immune responses to vaccination. A cohort of kidney transplant recipients (KTRs) received their third dose of ancestral, monovalent COVID-19 vaccine in the context of a clinical trial and antibody responses to the vaccine strain, as well as to Omicron variants BA.1 and BA.5 were investigated and compared with healthy controls. Total IgG and live virus neutralizing antibody titers were reduced in KTRs compared to controls for all variants. KTRs displayed altered IgG subclass switching, with significantly lower IgG3 antibodies. Responses in KTRs were also very heterogeneous, with some individuals showing strong responses but a significant number showing no Omicron-specific neutralizing antibodies. Taken together, immune responses after COVID-19 vaccination in KTRs were not only lower than healthy controls but highly variable, indicating that simply increasing the number of vaccine doses alone may not be sufficient to provide greater protection in this population. Importance: This study addresses the challenges faced by kidney transplant recipients (KTRs) in mounting effective immune responses against COVID-19. By evaluating the antibody responses to a third dose of monovalent mRNA COVID-19 vaccine and its effectiveness against Omicron subvariants (BA.1 and BA.5), this study reveals significant reductions in both binding and neutralizing antibodies in KTRs compared to healthy controls. The research highlights altered IgG subclass switching and heterogeneous responses within the KTR population. Reduced recognition of variants, coupled with differences in IgG subclasses, decreases both the quality and quantity of protective antibodies after vaccination in KTRs. These findings underscore the need for tailored vaccination strategies for immunosuppressed populations such as KTRs. Alternative formulations and doses of COVID-19 vaccines should be considered for people with severely compromised immune systems, as more frequent vaccinations may not significantly improve the response, especially regarding neutralizing antibodies.

A Model for Estimating the Burden of Disease of Transfusion-Transmitted Infection.

Objectives: Blood transfusion is an important mode of infectious disease transmission in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). This study describes a model to determine the prevalence of transfusion-transmitted infections (TTIs) and the associated burden of disease. Methods: A five-step model was developed to determine the TTI-related burden of disease measured by disability-adjusted life years (DALYs). Uganda was selected as the study country. Results: Approximately 298,266 units of blood were transfused in Uganda in 2019, yielding an estimated TTI incidence of 6,858 new TTIs (2.3% of transfused units) and prevalence of 19,141 TTIs (6.4% of transfused units). The total burden of disease is 2,903 DALYs, consisting of approximately 2,590 years of life lost (YLLs), and 313 years lived with disability (YLDs). Conclusion: The incidence and prevalence of TTIs and the associated burden of disease can be calculated on a local and national level. The model can be applied by health ministries to estimate the impact of TTIs in order to develop blood safety strategies to reduce the burden of disease.

Impact of antimicrobials on penile HIV susceptibility and immunology in uncircumcised men: A randomized phase 1/2 clinical trial.

Within the penile microbiome, bacteria associated with seroconversion, immunology, and cells (BASIC species) enhance HIV susceptibility in heterosexual uncircumcised men by inducing foreskin inflammation and HIV target cell recruitment. This phase 1/2 clinical trial randomizes HIV-uninfected Ugandan men (n = 125) to either oral tinidazole, topical metronidazole, topical clindamycin, or topical hydrogen peroxide to define impact on ex vivo foreskin HIV susceptibility, penile immunology, and BASIC species density. Antimicrobials are well tolerated, and 116 (93%) participants complete the protocol. Topical metronidazole and oral tinidazole reduce the inner foreskin tissue density of HIV-susceptible CD4+ T cells (predefined primary endpoint). Antimicrobials also have varying but substantial effects on reducing prepuce inflammation and BASIC species density, reducing density of foreskin T cell subsets, and increasing foreskin epithelial integrity. Immune alterations correlate strongly with changes in the abundance of BASIC species. Clinical interventions targeting the penile microbiota, particularly topical metronidazole, may reduce HIV susceptibility in uncircumcised men.

Sexually transmitted infections and migration in Uganda: a population-based study.

OBJECTIVES: Migration is associated with increased risk of HIV infection in Africa, but evidence about non-HIV sexually transmitted infection (STI) burden among African migrants is limited. METHODS: We used data from the Sexually Transmitted Infection Prevalence Study, a cross-sectional population-based study of chlamydia, gonorrhoea, trichomoniasis, syphilis and herpes simplex virus type 2 prevalence in southern Uganda, to compare STI prevalence between adults aged 18 and 49 years with and without a recent history of migration. Migration status was determined using household census data, with a recent migration history defined as having moved into one's community of current residence within the last ~18 months. Unadjusted and adjusted modified Poisson regression models were used to compare individual STI prevalence risk by recent migration status with associations reported as adjusted prevalence risk ratios (adjPRRs) with 95% CIs. Adjusted models included participants' sex, age, community type, education, occupation and marital status. RESULTS: Among 1825 participants, 358 (19.6%) had a recent migration history. Overall, migrants exhibited a significantly higher combined prevalence of curable STIs (gonorrhoea, chlamydia, high-titre syphilis (rapid plasma regain ≥1:8) and trichomoniasis) as compared with long-term residents (34.4% vs 24.2%; adjPRR=1.23; 95% CI 1.03 to 1.47). Significant differences in curable STI prevalence by migration status were concentrated among persons living with HIV (49.4% prevalence in migrants vs 32.6% in long-term residents; adjPRR=1.42; 95% CI 1.10 to 1.85) and among women (38.8% in migrants vs 27.8% in long-term residents; adjPRR=1.26; 95% CI 1.01 to 1.58). High-titre syphilis prevalence was especially elevated among male migrants (11.2% in migrants vs 4.9% in long-term residents; adjPRR=1.82; 95% CI 1.06 to 3.13). CONCLUSIONS: The prevalence of non-HIV STIs is higher among migrants. Tailored outreach and service delivery approaches that address the needs of mobile populations are crucial for integrated HIV and STI epidemic control in Uganda to optimise resources and reduce transmission risks.