Missing Value Imputation of Wireless Sensor Data for Environmental Monitoring.

Over the past few years, the scale of sensor networks has greatly expanded. This generates extended spatiotemporal datasets, which form a crucial information resource in numerous fields, ranging from sports and healthcare to environmental science and surveillance. Unfortunately, these datasets often contain missing values due to systematic or inadvertent sensor misoperation. This incompleteness hampers the subsequent data analysis, yet addressing these missing observations forms a challenging problem. This is especially the case when both the temporal correlation of timestamps within a single sensor and the spatial correlation between sensors are important. Here, we apply and evaluate 12 imputation methods to complete the missing values in a dataset originating from large-scale environmental monitoring. As part of a large citizen science project, IoT-based microclimate sensors were deployed for six months in 4400 gardens across the region of Flanders, generating 15-min recordings of temperature and soil moisture. Methods based on spatial recovery as well as time-based imputation were evaluated, including Spline Interpolation, MissForest, MICE, MCMC, M-RNN, BRITS, and others. The performance of these imputation methods was evaluated for different proportions of missing data (ranging from 10% to 50%), as well as a realistic missing value scenario. Techniques leveraging the spatial features of the data tend to outperform the time-based methods, with matrix completion techniques providing the best performance. Our results therefore provide a tool to maximize the benefit from costly, large-scale environmental monitoring efforts.

Classification of Targets and Distractors in an Audiovisual Attention Task Based on Electroencephalography.

Within the broader context of improving interactions between artificial intelligence and humans, the question has arisen regarding whether auditory and rhythmic support could increase attention for visual stimuli that do not stand out clearly from an information stream. To this end, we designed an experiment inspired by pip-and-pop but more appropriate for eliciting attention and P3a-event-related potentials (ERPs). In this study, the aim was to distinguish between targets and distractors based on the subject's electroencephalography (EEG) data. We achieved this objective by employing different machine learning (ML) methods for both individual-subject (IS) and cross-subject (CS) models. Finally, we investigated which EEG channels and time points were used by the model to make its predictions using saliency maps. We were able to successfully perform the aforementioned classification task for both the IS and CS scenarios, reaching classification accuracies up to 76%. In accordance with the literature, the model primarily used the parietal-occipital electrodes between 200 ms and 300 ms after the stimulus to make its prediction. The findings from this research contribute to the development of more effective P300-based brain-computer interfaces. Furthermore, they validate the EEG data collected in our experiment.

Design and Construction of an Experimental Setup to Enhance Mineral Weathering through the Activity of Soil Organisms.

Enhanced weathering (EW) is an emerging carbon dioxide (CO2) removal technology that can contribute to climate change mitigation. This technology relies on accelerating the natural process of mineral weathering in soils by manipulating the abiotic variables that govern this process, in particular mineral grain size and exposure to acids dissolved in water. EW mainly aims at reducing atmospheric CO2 concentrations by enhancing inorganic carbon sequestration. Until now, knowledge of EW has been mainly gained through experiments that focused on the abiotic variables known for stimulating mineral weathering, thereby neglecting the potential influence of biotic components. While bacteria, fungi, and earthworms are known to increase mineral weathering rates, the use of soil organisms in the context of EW remains underexplored. This protocol describes the design and construction of an experimental setup developed to enhance mineral weathering rates through soil organisms while concurrently controlling abiotic conditions. The setup is designed to maximize weathering rates while maintaining soil organisms' activity. It consists of a large number of columns filled with rock powder and organic material, located in a climate chamber and with water applied via a downflow irrigation system. Columns are placed above a fridge containing jerrycans to collect the leachate. Representative results demonstrate that this setup is suitable to ensure the activity of soil organisms and quantify their effect on inorganic carbon sequestration. Challenges remain in minimizing leachate losses, ensuring homogeneous ventilation through the climate chamber, and avoiding flooding of the columns. With this setup, an innovative and promising approach is proposed to enhance mineral weathering rates through the activity of soil biota and disentangle the effect of biotic and abiotic factors as drivers of EW.

Computational Efficient Approximations of the Concordance Probability in a Big Data Setting.

Performance measurement is an essential task once a statistical model is created. The area under the receiving operating characteristics curve (AUC) is the most popular measure for evaluating the quality of a binary classifier. In this case, the AUC is equal to the concordance probability, a frequently used measure to evaluate the discriminatory power of the model. Contrary to AUC, the concordance probability can also be extended to the situation with a continuous response variable. Due to the staggering size of data sets nowadays, determining this discriminatory measure requires a tremendous amount of costly computations and is hence immensely time consuming, certainly in case of a continuous response variable. Therefore, we propose two estimation methods that calculate the concordance probability in a fast and accurate way and that can be applied to both the discrete and continuous setting. Extensive simulation studies show the excellent performance and fast computing times of both estimators. Finally, experiments on two real-life data sets confirm the conclusions of the artificial simulations.

Age of peak performance in professional road cycling.

In this study, we investigated the relationship between age and performance in professional road cycling. We considered 1864 male riders present in the yearly top 500 ranking of ProCyclingStats (PCS) since 1993 until 2021 with more than 700 PCS Points. We applied a data-driven approach for finding natural clusters of the rider's speciality (General Classification, One Day, Sprinter or All-Rounder). For each cluster, we divided the riders into the top 50% and bottom 50% based on their total number of PCS points. The athlete's yearly performance was defined as the average number of points collected per race. Age-performance models were constructed using polynomial regression and we obtained that the top 50% of the riders in each cluster have a statistically significant (p < 0.05) higher peak performance age. Considering the best 50% of the riders, general classification riders peak at an older age than the other rider types (p < 0.05). For those top riders, we found ages of peak performance of 26.3, 26.5, 26.2 and 27.5 years for sprinters, all-rounders, one day specialists and general classification riders, respectively. Our findings can be used for scouting purposes, assisting coaches in designing long-term training programmes and benchmarking the athletes' performance development.

A Learn-to-Rank Approach for Predicting Road Cycling Race Outcomes.

Professional road cycling is a very competitive sport, and many factors influence the outcome of the race. These factors can be internal (e.g., psychological preparedness, physiological profile of the rider, and the preparedness or fitness of the rider) or external (e.g., the weather or strategy of the team) to the rider, or even completely unpredictable (e.g., crashes or mechanical failure). This variety makes perfectly predicting the outcome of a certain race an impossible task and the sport even more interesting. Nonetheless, before each race, journalists, ex-pro cyclists, websites and cycling fans try to predict the possible top 3, 5, or 10 riders. In this article, we use easily accessible data on road cycling from the past 20 years and the Machine Learning technique Learn-to-Rank (LtR) to predict the top 10 contenders for 1-day road cycling races. We accomplish this by mapping a relevancy weight to the finishing place in the first 10 positions. We assess the performance of this approach on 2018, 2019, and 2021 editions of six spring classic 1-day races. In the end, we compare the output of the framework with a mass fan prediction on the Normalized Discounted Cumulative Gain (NDCG) metric and the number of correct top 10 guesses. We found that our model, on average, has slightly higher performance on both metrics than the mass fan prediction. We also analyze which variables of our model have the most influence on the prediction of each race. This approach can give interesting insights to fans before a race but can also be helpful to sports coaches to predict how a rider might perform compared to other riders outside of the team.

Noise robustness of persistent homology on greyscale images, across filtrations and signatures.

Topological data analysis is a recent and fast growing field that approaches the analysis of datasets using techniques from (algebraic) topology. Its main tool, persistent homology (PH), has seen a notable increase in applications in the last decade. Often cited as the most favourable property of PH and the main reason for practical success are the stability theorems that give theoretical results about noise robustness, since real data is typically contaminated with noise or measurement errors. However, little attention has been paid to what these stability theorems mean in practice. To gain some insight into this question, we evaluate the noise robustness of PH on the MNIST dataset of greyscale images. More precisely, we investigate to what extent PH changes under typical forms of image noise, and quantify the loss of performance in classifying the MNIST handwritten digits when noise is added to the data. The results show that the sensitivity to noise of PH is influenced by the choice of filtrations and persistence signatures (respectively the input and output of PH), and in particular, that PH features are often not robust to noise in a classification task.

Outlier robust modeling of survival curves in the presence of potentially time-varying coefficients.

In time to event studies, censoring often occurs and models that take this into account are wide-spread. In the presence of outliers, standard estimators of model parameters may be affected such that results and conclusions are not reliable anymore. This in turn also hampers the detection of these outliers due to masking effects. To cope with outliers when using proportional hazard models, we propose to use the Brier score as a loss function. Since the coefficients often vary over time, we focus on the piecewise constant hazard model, which can flexibly model time-varying coefficients if a large number of cut-points is used. To prevent overfitting, we add a penalty term that potentially shrinks time-varying effects to constant effects. By fitting the coefficients of the piecewise constant hazard model using a penalized Brier score loss, we obtain a robust model that can handle time-varying coefficients. Its good performance is illustrated in a simulation study and using two datasets from practice.

Combining MCR-ALS and EXAFS as tools for speciation of highly chlorinated chromium(iii) in mixtures of deep eutectic solvents and water.

In the last decade, deep eutectic solvents (DES) have risen as promising and cheap alternatives for the often expensive and moisture-sensitive ionic liquids. For the application in metal processing industries such as hard chrome plating, still very little is known of the behavior of metal ions in these types of liquids. Therefore, we use the model-free Multivariate Curve Resolution-Alternating Least Squares (MCR-ALS) method to study Cr(iii) as sustainable alternative to the hazardous Cr(vi) and obtain reference UV/Vis spectra of chromium(iii)chlorides in several aqueous solutions and in water-DES mixtures. In addition, the results have been confirmed by EXAFS measurements. We observe that in the DES ethaline, ethylene glycol ligands are coordinating with the chromium(iii) metal ions and hence, different UV/Vis reference spectra are obtained, compared to those in aqueous solutions. Additionally, concentration profiles provide a tool for tuning the coordination chemistry, based on the choice of the appropriate DES mixture or aqueous solutions. Consequently, valuable UV/Vis reference spectra for some known and unknown chromium chloride complexes in several aqueous solutions and DES-water mixtures were obtained, which showed that the coordination chemistry in these liquids can be considerably different and comparison should be done with great care.