Cost-Effectiveness of Caries Prevention in Practice: A Randomized Controlled Trial.

A 2-arm parallel-group randomized controlled trial measured the cost-effectiveness of caries prevention in caries-free children aged 2 to 3 y attending general practice. The setting was 22 dental practices in Northern Ireland. Participants were centrally randomized into intervention (22,600 ppm fluoride varnish, toothbrush, a 50-mL tube of 1,450 ppm fluoride toothpaste, and standardized prevention advice) and control (advice only), both provided at 6-monthly intervals during a 3-y follow-up. The primary outcome measure was conversion from caries-free to caries-active states assessed by calibrated and blinded examiners; secondary outcome measures included decayed, missing, or filled teeth surfaces (dmfs); pain; and extraction. Cumulative costs were related to each of the trial's outcomes in a series of incremental cost effectiveness ratios (ICERs). Sensitivity analyses examined the impact of using dentist's time as measured by observation rather than that reported by the dentist. The costs of applying topical fluoride were also estimated assuming the work was undertaken by dental nurses or hygienists rather than dentists. A total of 1,248 children (624 randomized to each group) were recruited, and 1,096 (549 in the intervention group and 547 in the control group) were included in the final analyses. The mean difference in direct health care costs between groups was £107.53 (£155.74 intervention, £48.21 control, P < 0.05) per child. When all health care costs were compared, the intervention group's mean cost was £212.56 more than the control group (£987.53 intervention, £774.97 control, P < 0.05). Statistically significant differences in outcomes were only detected with respect to carious surfaces. The mean cost per carious surface avoided was estimated at £251 (95% confidence interval, £454.39-£79.52). Sensitivity analyses did not materially affect the study's findings. This trial raises concerns about the cost-effectiveness of a fluoride-based intervention delivered at the practice level in the context of a state-funded dental service (EudraCT No: 2009-010725-39; ISRCTN: ISRCTN36180119).

Simvastatin for patients with acute respiratory distress syndrome: long-term outcomes and cost-effectiveness from a randomised controlled trial.

BACKGROUND: Simvastatin therapy for patients with acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) has been shown to be safe and associated with minimal adverse effects, but it does not improve clinical outcomes. The aim of this research was to report on mortality and cost-effectiveness of simvastatin in patients with ARDS at 12 months. METHODS: This was a cost-utility analysis alongside a multicentre, double-blind, randomised controlled trial carried out in the UK and Ireland. Five hundred and forty intubated and mechanically ventilated patients with ARDS were randomly assigned (1:1) to receive once-daily simvastatin (at a dose of 80 mg) or identical placebo tablets enterally for up to 28 days. RESULTS: Mortality was lower in the simvastatin group (31.8%, 95% confidence interval (CI) 26.1-37.5) compared to the placebo group (37.3%, 95% CI 31.6-43.0) at 12 months, although this was not significant. Simvastatin was associated with statistically significant quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gain (incremental QALYs 0.064, 95% CI 0.002-0.127) compared to placebo. Simvastatin was also less costly (incremental total costs -£3601, 95% CI -8061 to 859). At a willingness-to-pay threshold of £20,000 per QALY, the probability of simvastatin being cost-effective was 99%. Sensitivity analyses indicated that the results were robust to changes in methodological assumptions with the probability of cost-effectiveness never dropping below 90%. CONCLUSION: Simvastatin was found to be cost-effective for the treatment of ARDS, being associated with both a significant QALY gain and a cost saving. There was no significant reduction in mortality at 12 months, TRIAL REGISTRATION: ISRCTN, 88244364. Registered 26 November 2010.

A Randomized Controlled Trial of Caries Prevention in Dental Practice.

We conducted a parallel group randomized controlled trial of children initially aged 2 to 3 y who were caries free, to prevent the children becoming caries active over the subsequent 36 mo. The setting was 22 dental practices in Northern Ireland, and children were randomly assigned by a clinical trials unit (CTU) (using computer-generated random numbers, with allocation concealed from the dental practice until each child was recruited) to the intervention (22,600-ppm fluoride varnish, toothbrush, 50-mL tube of 1,450 ppm fluoride toothpaste, and standardized, evidence-based prevention advice) or advice-only control at 6-monthly intervals. The primary outcome measure was conversion from caries-free to caries-active states. Secondary outcome measures were number of decayed, missing, or filled teeth (dmfs) in caries-active children, number of episodes of pain, and number of extracted teeth. Adverse reactions were recorded. Calibrated external examiners, blinded to the child's study group, assessed the status of the children at baseline and after 3 y. In total, 1,248 children (624 randomized to each group) were recruited, and 1,096 (549 intervention, 547 control) were included in the final analyses. Eighty-seven percent of intervention and 86% of control children attended every 6-mo visit ( P = 0.77). A total of 187 (34%) in the intervention group converted to caries active compared to 213 (39%) in the control group (odds ratio, 0.81; 95% confidence interval, 0.64-1.04; P = 0.11). Mean dmfs of those with caries in the intervention group was 7.2 compared to 9.6 in the control group ( P = 0.007). There was no significant difference in the number of episodes of pain between groups ( P = 0.81) or in the number of teeth extracted in caries-active children ( P = 0.95). Ten children in the intervention group had adverse reactions of a minor nature. This well-conducted trial failed to demonstrate that the intervention kept children caries free, but there was evidence that once children get caries, it slowed down its progression (EudraCT No: 2009-010725-39; ISRCTN: ISRCTN36180119).

Aspirin reduces lipopolysaccharide-induced pulmonary inflammation in human models of ARDS.

RATIONALE: Platelets play an active role in the pathogenesis of acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS). Animal and observational studies have shown aspirin's antiplatelet and immunomodulatory effects may be beneficial in ARDS. OBJECTIVE: To test the hypothesis that aspirin reduces inflammation in clinically relevant human models that recapitulate pathophysiological mechanisms implicated in the development of ARDS. METHODS: Healthy volunteers were randomised to receive placebo or aspirin 75  or 1200 mg (1:1:1) for seven days prior to lipopolysaccharide (LPS) inhalation, in a double-blind, placebo-controlled, allocation-concealed study. Bronchoalveolar lavage (BAL) was performed 6 hours after inhaling 50 µg of LPS. The primary outcome measure was BAL IL-8. Secondary outcome measures included markers of alveolar inflammation (BAL neutrophils, cytokines, neutrophil proteases), alveolar epithelial cell injury, systemic inflammation (neutrophils and plasma C-reactive protein (CRP)) and platelet activation (thromboxane B2, TXB2). Human lungs, perfused and ventilated ex vivo (EVLP) were randomised to placebo or 24 mg aspirin and injured with LPS. BAL was carried out 4 hours later. Inflammation was assessed by BAL differential cell counts and histological changes. RESULTS: In the healthy volunteer (n=33) model, data for the aspirin groups were combined. Aspirin did not reduce BAL IL-8. However, aspirin reduced pulmonary neutrophilia and tissue damaging neutrophil proteases (Matrix Metalloproteinase (MMP)-8/-9), reduced BAL concentrations of tumour necrosis factor α and reduced systemic and pulmonary TXB2. There was no difference between high-dose and low-dose aspirin. In the EVLP model, aspirin reduced BAL neutrophilia and alveolar injury as measured by histological damage. CONCLUSIONS: These are the first prospective human data indicating that aspirin inhibits pulmonary neutrophilic inflammation, at both low and high doses. Further clinical studies are indicated to assess the role of aspirin in the prevention and treatment of ARDS. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT01659307 Results.

The cost-effectiveness of cardiac computed tomography for patients with stable chest pain.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the cost-effectiveness of cardiac CT compared with exercise stress testing (EST) in improving the health-related quality of life of patients with stable chest pain. METHODS: A cost-utility analysis alongside a single-centre randomised controlled trial carried out in Northern Ireland. Patients with stable chest pain were randomised to undergo either cardiac CT assessment or EST (standard care). The main outcome measure was cost per quality adjusted life year (QALY) gained at 1 year. RESULTS: Of the 500 patients recruited, 250 were randomised to cardiac CT and 250 were randomised to EST. Cardiac CT was the dominant strategy as it was both less costly (incremental total costs -£50.45; 95% CI -£672.26 to £571.36) and more effective (incremental QALYs 0.02; 95% CI -0.02 to 0.05) than EST. At a willingness-to-pay threshold of £20 000 per QALY the probability of cardiac CT being cost-effective was 83%. Subgroup analyses indicated that cardiac CT appears to be most cost-effective in patients with a likelihood of coronary artery disease (CAD) of <30%, followed by 30%-60% and then >60%. CONCLUSIONS: Cardiac CT is cost-effective compared with EST and cost-effectiveness was observed to vary with likelihood of CAD. This finding could have major implications for how patients with chest pain in the UK are assessed, however it would need to be validated in other healthcare systems. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: (ISRCTN52480460); results.

A comparison of cardiac computerized tomography and exercise stress electrocardiogram test for the investigation of stable chest pain: the clinical results of the CAPP randomized prospective trial.

AIMS: To determine the symptomatic and prognostic differences resulting from a novel diagnostic pathway based on cardiac computerized tomography (CT) compared with the traditional exercise stress electrocardiography test (EST) in stable chest pain patients. METHODS AND RESULTS: A prospective randomized controlled trial compared selected patient outcomes in EST and cardiac CT coronary angiography groups. Five hundred patients with troponin-negative stable chest pain and without known coronary artery disease were recruited. Patients completed the Seattle Angina Questionnaires (SAQ) at baseline, 3, and 12 months to assess angina symptoms. Patients were also followed for management strategies and clinical events. Over the year 12 patients withdrew, resulting in 245 in the EST cohort and 243 in the CT cohort. There was no significant difference in baseline demographics. The CT arm had a statistical difference in angina stability and quality-of-life domains of the SAQ at 3 and12 months, suggesting less angina compared with the EST arm. In the CT arm, there was more significant disease identified and more revascularizations. Significantly, more inconclusive results were seen in the EST arm with a higher number of additional investigations ordered. There was also a longer mean time to management. There were no differences in major adverse cardiac events between the cohorts. At 1 year in the EST arm, there were more Accident and Emergency (A&E) attendances and cardiac admission. CONCLUSION: Cardiac CT as an index investigation for stable chest pain improved angina symptoms and resulted in fewer investigations and re-hospitalizations compared with EST. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: http://www.controlled-trials.com/ISRCTN52480460.

Four decades of chronic haemodialysis: lessons from the past and implications for the future.

BACKGROUND: There have been substantial changes in the provision of chronic haemodialysis (HD) therapy over time, yet data regarding the impact of these differences on clinical outcomes are limited. AIM: To identify factors which have significantly changed over the last 40 years in relation to patients receiving maintenance HD therapy. METHODS: All 2,647 patients who were established on the chronic HD programme in Northern Ireland between 1970 and 2010 were included. Clinical data and survival outcomes were obtained from a prospectively recorded database. The study period was divided into four decades in order to assess the temporal changes. RESULTS: The total number of patients receiving HD therapy has risen, and the mean age of the HD population has increased significantly (39.0 years in the 1970s vs. 66.8 years in the 2000s, p < 0.001). Diabetic nephropathy has emerged as the commonest aetiology for ESRD (0% in the 1970s to 20.3% in the 2000s, p < 0.001). The median survival of patients on HD has improved significantly over time from 5.2 months (95% CI 2.6-15.5) in the 1970s to 41.7 months (95% CI 38-45.2) in the 2000s (p < 0.0001). Factors that remained significant in determining survival were age, primary renal diagnosis, and decade of commencement of dialysis. CONCLUSIONS: Survival on HD has significantly improved despite older patients with multiple co-morbidities being accepted for treatment reflecting both increased dialysis frequency and better management of cardiovascular risk factors. The increasing age of HD patients and their improved survival have implications for future planning and delivery of dialysis.

Bone marrow micrometastases in esophageal carcinoma: a 10-year follow-up study.

Detection of bone marrow micrometastases (BMMs) in patients with esophageal carcinoma may indicate a metastatic phenotype. We assessed if the presence of BMMs had adverse prognostic significance in a 10-year follow-up study. Patients undergoing surgery for esophageal cancer were prospectively recruited between February 1999 and August 2000. Bone marrow aspirates were obtained from the iliac crest of patients under general anesthesia at the time of surgery. Immunocytochemical analysis using anticytokeratin antibodies CAM 5.2 and AE1/AE3 was undertaken to determine the presence of BMMs. Union International Contre le Cancer staging was recorded for all patients. Patient follow-up was completed over a 10-year period through analysis of the Northern Ireland Cancer Registry. Forty-two patients (male = 35) were included, with a mean age of 67.2 years (range 39-83). BMMs were detected in 19 patients (45.2%). International Contre le Cancer tumor staging was stage I = 6, stage II = 10, stage III = 24, and stage IV = 2. BMMs were associated with lymphovascular invasion (P= 0.02) and advanced T stage (P= 0.02). Overall, 10-year survival was 21.4% (n= 9), with a median follow-up of 877.5 days (interquartile range 391.5-2546.3). There was no statistically significant difference between the survival of patients with or without BMMs (1451.4 vs. 1431.6 days, P= 0.99). Univariate analysis demonstrated a trend toward decreased survival for patients with positive lymph nodes (P= 0.07), an increased T stage (P= 0.06), and lymphovascular invasion (P= 0.07). Multivariate analysis demonstrated that none of the variables were significant predictors of mortality. Although the presence of BMMs correlates with recognized adverse tumor characteristics in patients with esophageal cancer, micrometastases detected in the bone marrow at time of surgery does not influence long-term survival.