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2.
BMC Infect Dis ; 23(1): 337, 2023 May 19.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37208609

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Understanding the epidemiology of Coronavirus Disease of 2019 (COVID-19) in a local context is valuable for both future pandemic preparedness and potential increases in COVID-19 case volume, particularly due to variant strains. METHODS: Our work allowed us to complete a population-based study on patients who tested positive for COVID-19 in Alberta from March 1, 2020 to December 15, 2021. We completed a multi-centre, retrospective population-based descriptive study using secondary data sources in Alberta, Canada. We identified all adult patients (≥ 18 years of age) tested and subsequently positive for COVID-19 (including only the first incident case of COVID-19) on a laboratory test. We determined positive COVID-19 tests, gender, age, comorbidities, residency in a long-term care (LTC) facility, time to hospitalization, length of stay (LOS) in hospital, and mortality. Patients were followed for 60 days from a COVID-19 positive test. RESULTS: Between March 1, 2020 and December 15, 2021, 255,037 adults were identified with COVID-19 in Alberta. Most confirmed cases occurred among those less than 60 years of age (84.3%); however, most deaths (89.3%) occurred among those older than 60 years. Overall hospitalization rate among those who tested positive was 5.9%. Being a resident of LTC was associated with substantial mortality of 24.6% within 60 days of a positive COVID-19 test. The most common comorbidity among those with COVID-19 was depression. Across all patients 17.3% of males and 18.6% of females had an unplanned ambulatory visit subsequent to their positive COVID-19 test. CONCLUSIONS: COVID-19 is associated with extensive healthcare utilization. Residents of LTC were substantially impacted during the COVID-19 pandemic with high associated mortality. Further work should be done to better understand the economic burden associated with related healthcare utilization following a COVID-19 infection to inform healthcare system resource allocation, planning, and forecasting.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Internato e Residência , Masculino , Adulto , Feminino , Humanos , COVID-19/epidemiologia , Assistência de Longa Duração , Estudos Retrospectivos , Alberta/epidemiologia , Pandemias , Aceitação pelo Paciente de Cuidados de Saúde
3.
BMC Med Educ ; 23(1): 26, 2023 Jan 13.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36639668

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Trainees aiming to specialize in Neonatal Perinatal Medicine (NPM), must be competent in a wide range of procedural skills as per the Royal College of Canada. While common neonatal procedures are frequent in daily clinical practice with opportunity to acquire competence, there are substantial gaps in the acquisition of advanced neonatal procedural skills. With the advent of competency by design into NPM training, simulation offers a unique opportunity to acquire, practice and teach potentially life-saving procedural skills. Little is known on the effect of simulation training on different areas of competence, and on skill decay. METHODS: We designed a unique simulation-based 4-h workshop covering 6 advanced procedures chosen because of their rarity yet life-saving effect: chest tube insertion, defibrillation, exchange transfusion, intra-osseus (IO) access, ultrasound-guided paracentesis and pericardiocentesis. Direct observation of procedural skills (DOPS), self-perceived competence, comfort level and cognitive knowledge were measured before (1), directly after (2), for the same participants after 9-12 months (skill decay, 3), and directly after a second workshop (4) in a group of NPM and senior general pediatric volunteers. RESULTS: The DOPS for all six procedures combined for 23 participants increased from 3.83 to 4.59. Steepest DOPS increase pre versus post first workshop were seen for Defibrillation and chest tube insertion. Skill decay was evident for all procedures with largest decrease for Exchange Transfusion, followed by Pericardiocentesis, Defibrillation and Chest Tube. Self-perceived competence, comfort and cognitive knowledge increased for all six procedures over the four time points. Exchange Transfusion stood out without DOPS increase, largest skill decay and minimal impact on self-assessed competence and comfort. All skills were judged as better by the preceptor, compared to self-assessments. CONCLUSIONS: The simulation-based intervention advanced procedural skills day increased preceptor-assessed directly observed procedural skills for all skills examined, except exchange transfusion. Skill decay affected these skills after 9-12 months. Chest tube insertions and Defibrillations may benefit from reminder sessions, Pericardiocentesis may suffice by teaching once. Trainees' observed skills were better than their own assessment. The effect of a booster session was less than the first intervention, but the final scores were higher than pre-intervention. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Not applicable, not a health care intervention.


Assuntos
Internato e Residência , Treinamento por Simulação , Recém-Nascido , Humanos , Criança , Competência Clínica , Avaliação Educacional/métodos , Educação de Pós-Graduação em Medicina/métodos
4.
Heart Rhythm ; 19(11): 1804-1812, 2022 11.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35716859

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Cardioneuroablation (CNA) has emerged as promising therapy for patients with refractory vasovagal syncope (VVS). OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study was to provide a freedom from syncope estimate for CNA, including subgroup analysis by method and target of ablation. METHODS: A systematic search was performed in MEDLINE and EMBASE according to the PRISMA guidelines until February 14, 2022. Observational studies and clinical trials reporting freedom from syncope were included. Meta-analysis was performed with a random-effects model. RESULTS: A total of 465 patients were included across 14 studies (mean age 39.8 ± 4.0 year; 53.5% female). Different techniques were used to guide CNA: 50 patients (10.8%) by mapping fractionated electrograms, 73 (15.7%) with the spectral method, 210 (45.2%) with high-frequency stimulation, 73 (15.7%) with a purely anatomically guided method, and 59 (12.6%) with a combination. The target was biatrial in 168 patients (36.1%), left atrium only in 259 (55.7%), and right atrium only in 38 (8.2%). The freedom from syncope was 91.9% (95% confidence interval [CI] 88.1%-94.6%; I2 = 6.9%; P = .376). CNA limited to right atrial ablation was associated with a significant lower freedom from syncope (81.5%; 95% CI 51.9%-94.7%; P <.0001) vs left atrial ablation only (94.0%; 95% CI 88.6%--6.9%) and biatrial ablation (92.7%; 95% CI 86.8%-96.1%). Subgroup analysis according to the technique used to identify ganglionated plexi did not show any significant difference in freedom from syncope (P = .206). CONCLUSION: This meta-analysis suggests a high freedom from syncope after CNA in VVS. Well-designed, double-blind, multicenter, sham-controlled randomized clinical trials are needed to provide evidence for future guidelines.


Assuntos
Apêndice Atrial , Fibrilação Atrial , Ablação por Cateter , Síncope Vasovagal , Humanos , Feminino , Adulto , Masculino , Síncope Vasovagal/diagnóstico , Síncope Vasovagal/cirurgia , Átrios do Coração , Apêndice Atrial/cirurgia , Ablação por Cateter/métodos , Ensaios Clínicos Controlados Aleatórios como Assunto , Estudos Multicêntricos como Assunto
5.
Int J Infect Dis ; 118: 73-82, 2022 May.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35202783

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Many studies have examined the effectiveness of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) on SARS-CoV-2 transmission worldwide. However, less attention has been devoted to understanding the limits of NPIs across the course of the pandemic and along a continuum of their stringency. In this study, we explore the relationship between the growth of SARS-CoV-2 cases and an NPI stringency index across Canada before the accelerated vaccine roll-out. METHODS: We conducted an ecological time-series study of daily SARS-CoV-2 case growth in Canada from February 2020 to February 2021. Our outcome was a back-projected version of the daily growth ratio in a stringency period (i.e., a 10-point range of the stringency index) relative to the last day of the previous period. We examined the trends in case growth using a linear mixed-effects model accounting for stringency period, province, and mobility in public domains. RESULTS: Case growth declined rapidly by 20-60% and plateaued within the first month of the first wave, irrespective of the starting values of the stringency index. When stringency periods increased, changes in case growth were not immediate and were faster in the first wave than in the second. In the first wave, the largest decreasing trends from our mixed effects model occurred in both early and late stringency periods, depending on the province, at a geometric mean index value of 30⋅1 out of 100. When compared with the first wave, the stringency periods in the second wave possessed little association with case growth. CONCLUSIONS: The minimal association in the first wave, and the lack thereof in the second, is compatible with the hypothesis that NPIs do not, per se, lead to a decline in case growth. Instead, the correlations we observed might be better explained by a combination of underlying behaviors of the populations in each province and the natural dynamics of SARS-CoV-2. Although there exist alternative explanations for the equivocal relationship between NPIs and case growth, the onus of providing evidence shifts to demonstrating how NPIs can consistently have flat association, despite incrementally high stringency.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Vacinas , COVID-19/epidemiologia , COVID-19/prevenção & controle , Canadá/epidemiologia , Humanos , Pandemias/prevenção & controle , SARS-CoV-2
6.
CMAJ ; 194(6): E195-E204, 2022 02 14.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35165131

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Understanding inequalities in SARS-CoV-2 transmission associated with the social determinants of health could help the development of effective mitigation strategies that are responsive to local transmission dynamics. This study aims to quantify social determinants of geographic concentration of SARS-CoV-2 cases across 16 census metropolitan areas (hereafter, cities) in 4 Canadian provinces, British Columbia, Manitoba, Ontario and Quebec. METHODS: We used surveillance data on confirmed SARS-CoV-2 cases and census data for social determinants at the level of the dissemination area (DA). We calculated Gini coefficients to determine the overall geographic heterogeneity of confirmed cases of SARS-CoV-2 in each city, and calculated Gini covariance coefficients to determine each city's heterogeneity by each social determinant (income, education, housing density and proportions of visible minorities, recent immigrants and essential workers). We visualized heterogeneity using Lorenz (concentration) curves. RESULTS: We observed geographic concentration of SARS-CoV-2 cases in cities, as half of the cumulative cases were concentrated in DAs containing 21%-35% of their population, with the greatest geographic heterogeneity in Ontario cities (Gini coefficients 0.32-0.47), followed by British Columbia (0.23-0.36), Manitoba (0.32) and Quebec (0.28-0.37). Cases were disproportionately concentrated in areas with lower income and educational attainment, and in areas with a higher proportion of visible minorities, recent immigrants, high-density housing and essential workers. Although a consistent feature across cities was concentration by the proportion of visible minorities, the magnitude of concentration by social determinant varied across cities. INTERPRETATION: Geographic concentration of SARS-CoV-2 cases was observed in all of the included cities, but the pattern by social determinants varied. Geographically prioritized allocation of resources and services should be tailored to the local drivers of inequalities in transmission in response to the resurgence of SARS-CoV-2.


Assuntos
COVID-19/epidemiologia , Demografia/estatística & dados numéricos , Determinantes Sociais da Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , COVID-19/economia , Canadá/epidemiologia , Cidades/epidemiologia , Estudos Transversais , Demografia/economia , Humanos , SARS-CoV-2 , Determinantes Sociais da Saúde/economia , Fatores Socioeconômicos
7.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34903585

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: No randomised controlled trials have been conducted for breakthrough pain in paediatric palliative care and there are currently no standardised outcome measures. The DIPPER study aims to establish the feasibility of conducting a prospective randomised controlled trial comparing oral and transmucosal administration of opioids for breakthrough pain. The aim of the current study was to achieve consensus on design aspects for a small-scale prospective study to inform a future randomised controlled trial of oral morphine, the current first-line treatment, versus transmucosal diamorphine. METHODS: The nominal group technique was used to achieve consensus on best practice for mode of administration, dose regimen and a range of suitable pain intensity outcome measures for transmucosal diamorphine in children and young people with breakthrough pain. An expert panel of ten clinicians in paediatric palliative care and three parent representatives participated. Consensus was achieved when agreement was reached and no further comments from participants were forthcoming. RESULTS: The panel favoured the buccal route of administration, with dosing according to the recommendations in the Association for Paediatric Palliative Medicine formulary (fifth Edition, 2020). The verbal Numerical Rating Scale was selected to measure pain in children 8 years old and older, the Faces Pain Scale-Revised for children between 4 and 8 years old, and Face, Legs, Activity, Cry and Consolability (FLACC)/FLACC-Revised as the observational tools. CONCLUSIONS: The nominal group technique allowed consensus to be reached for a small-scale, prospective, cohort study and provided information to inform the design of a randomised controlled trial.

8.
J Am Soc Mass Spectrom ; 32(4): 860-871, 2021 Apr 07.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33395529

RESUMO

Masks constructed of a variety of materials are in widespread use due to the COVID-19 pandemic, and people are exposed to chemicals inherent in the masks through inhalation. This work aims to survey commonly available mask materials to provide an overview of potential exposure. A total of 19 mask materials were analyzed using a nontargeted analysis two-dimensional gas chromatography (GCxGC)-mass spectrometric (MS) workflow. Traditionally, there has been a lack of GCxGC-MS automated high-throughput screening methods, resulting in trade-offs with throughput and thoroughness. This work addresses the gap by introducing new machine learning software tools for high-throughput screening (Floodlight) and subsequent pattern analysis (Searchlight). A recursive workflow for chemical prioritization suitable for both manual curation and machine learning is introduced as a means of controlling the level of effort and equalizing sample loading while retaining key chemical signatures. Manual curation and machine learning were comparable with the mask materials clustering into three groups. The majority of the chemical signatures could be characterized by chemical class in seven categories: organophosphorus, long chain amides, polyethylene terephthalate oligomers, n-alkanes, olefins, branched alkanes and long-chain organic acids, alcohols, and aldehydes. The olefin, branched alkane, and organophosphorus components were primary contributors to clustering, with the other chemical classes having a significant degree of heterogeneity within the three clusters. Machine learning provided a means of rapidly extracting the key signatures of interest in agreement with the more traditional time-consuming and tedious manual curation process. Some identified signatures associated with plastics and flame retardants are potential toxins, warranting future study to understand the mask exposure route and potential health effects.


Assuntos
Cromatografia Gasosa/métodos , Manufaturas/análise , Máscaras , Espectrometria de Massas/métodos , Automação Laboratorial , COVID-19/prevenção & controle , Humanos , Exposição por Inalação/prevenção & controle , Modelos Químicos , Compostos Orgânicos/análise , Polímeros/análise , Segurança , Software
10.
Am J Infect Control ; 44(11): 1310-1314, 2016 11 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27158089

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Knee and hip replacements are an effective intervention for improving quality of life. Rates of these surgeries in North America are growing, coinciding with increasing obesity and an aging population. METHODS: Alberta Health Services' infection prevention and control program collects data prospectively on surgical site infections (SSIs) after primary total hip and knee arthroplasty completed in Alberta, Canada. We reviewed all SSIs within 180 days of surgical procedures between March 1, 2012, and June 30, 2014. RESULTS: There were 312 SSI cases reviewed. Rates of SSI (per 100 procedures) were 1.77 and 1.26 for hip and knee arthroplasties, respectively. Seventy-nine percent of infections occurred within 30 days postoperatively. Stratified by time to infection, larger proportions of knee SSIs occurred after 30 days versus hip SSI. Colonization with methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) was associated with subsequent infection (odds ratio, 40; 95% confidence interval, 10.2-154.2). We have identified important characteristics that may be helpful for determining optimal prevention strategies. CONCLUSIONS: Intensive postoperative follow-up within 30 days of knee arthroplasty may help to identify SSI early, allowing for prompt treatment and avoiding the need for invasive therapy, such as surgery for hardware revision. Decolonization techniques may decrease subsequent MRSA SSI in colonized patients.


Assuntos
Artroplastia de Quadril/efeitos adversos , Artroplastia do Joelho/efeitos adversos , Monitoramento Epidemiológico , Infecção da Ferida Cirúrgica/epidemiologia , Idoso , Alberta/epidemiologia , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino
11.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26380079

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Infection Prevention and Control (IPC) surveillance for incident methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) in hospitalized patients is performed in a complete provincial surveillance network of all acute care facilities in Alberta, Canada. IPC surveillance is centralized using a web-based data entry platform so that each patient is counted only once. All diagnostic laboratories submit the first clinical MRSA isolate associated with a patient without previous MRSA positive clinical cultures in the preceding year to the Provincial Laboratory for Public Health (ProvLab) for molecular typing. This study will investigate the relationship between the IPC epidemiological classification based on time of detection following admission to hospital (Hospital Acquired and Community Associated) and the matched laboratory MRSA surveillance data using a retrospective cohort study design. METHODS: Incident IPC MRSA cases were classified according to IPC epidemiologic definitions. DNA sequencing of the Staphylococcus protein A (spa) gene and pulsed-field gel electrophoresis (PFGE) typing was performed. IPC MRSA surveillance data were matched to the ProvLab molecular surveillance data. Univariate comparisons of proportions were performed for categorical variables and the Student's t test for continuous variables. RESULTS: MRSA molecular typing data were available for matching for 46.7 % (2248/4818) of incident IPC cases. There was agreement in definitions for traditional nosocomial clones (USA100/CMRSA2) with Hospital Acquired (HA)-MRSA (65.1 % of all IPC HA-MRSA) and traditional community clones (USA400/CMRSA7 and USA300/CMRSA10) with Community Acquired (CA)-MRSA (62.4 % of CA-MRSA). However, we observed discordance for both traditional nosocomial/CA-MRSA (30.4 % of CA-MRSA) and for traditional community/HA-MRSA (26.9 % of HA-MRSA). CONCLUSIONS: We note agreement between traditional nosocomial clones and HA-MRSA, and traditional community clones and CA-MRSA. However, approximately one-quarter of HA-MRSA are those of traditional community clones while approximately one-third of CA-MRSA are those of traditional nosocomial clones. Collaborative provincial MRSA surveillance is important as the distinction between IPC case attribution in acute care settings and the historical definitions of MRSA clones as community- or healthcare-associated have blurred.

13.
Vaccine ; 33(1): 268-75, 2015 Jan 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24103896

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: Advisory committees in Canada and the United States have updated recommendations for quadrivalent meningococcal conjugate vaccines against serogroups A, C, W135, and Y. Our objective was to evaluate optimally effective meningococcal vaccination policies using a stochastic dynamic model. Canada was used as an example. METHODS: Our stochastic dynamic model of Neisseria meningitidis (Nm) transmission in an age-structured population assumed partial cross-immunity among two aggregated serogroup categories: 'AWY' containing A, W135, and Y; and 'Other' containing B, C, and ungroupable types. We compared the impact of monovalent C versus quadrivalent ACWY vaccination on Nm carriage and invasive meningococcal disease (IMD). Our model was parameterized with Canadian epidemiological and demographic data and employed probabilistic sensitivity analysis. RESULTS: Routine infant immunization at 12 months and boosting at 15 years with a quadrivalent vaccine is projected to have the largest impact on total IMD incidence: a 74% reduction over 40 years. Routine infant immunization with a monovalent vaccine at 12 months only has much less impact and also generates strain replacement appearing after approximately ten years of continuous use. CONCLUSIONS: Immunizing infants at 12 months and boosting adolescents at 15 years with an ACWY vaccine is predicted to be most effective at reducing IMD incidence.


Assuntos
Programas de Imunização , Infecções Meningocócicas/epidemiologia , Infecções Meningocócicas/prevenção & controle , Vacinas Meningocócicas/administração & dosagem , Vacinas Meningocócicas/imunologia , Neisseria meningitidis/isolamento & purificação , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Bacteriemia/epidemiologia , Bacteriemia/microbiologia , Bacteriemia/prevenção & controle , Canadá/epidemiologia , Pré-Escolar , Feminino , Humanos , Lactente , Recém-Nascido , Masculino , Meningites Bacterianas/epidemiologia , Meningites Bacterianas/microbiologia , Meningites Bacterianas/prevenção & controle , Infecções Meningocócicas/microbiologia , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Modelos Estatísticos , Neisseria meningitidis/classificação , Sorogrupo , Adulto Jovem
14.
BMC Bioinformatics ; 15: 278, 2014 Aug 13.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25124232

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: UniFrac is a well-known tool for comparing microbial communities and assessing statistically significant differences between communities. In this paper we identify a discrepancy in the UniFrac methodology that causes semantically equivalent inputs to produce different outputs in tests of statistical significance. RESULTS: The phylogenetic trees that are input into UniFrac may or may not contain abundance counts. An isomorphic transform can be defined that will convert trees between these two formats without altering the semantic meaning of the trees. UniFrac produces different outputs for these equivalent forms of the same input tree. This is illustrated using metagenomics data from a lake sediment study. CONCLUSIONS: Results from the UniFrac tool can vary greatly for the same input depending on the arbitrary choice of input format. Practitioners should be aware of this issue and use the tool with caution to ensure consistency and validity in their analyses. We provide a script to transform inputs between equivalent formats to help researchers achieve this consistency.


Assuntos
Biologia Computacional/métodos , Microbiologia , Filogenia , Sedimentos Geológicos/microbiologia , Lagos/microbiologia , Metagenômica
15.
Theor Popul Biol ; 93: 52-62, 2014 May.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24513099

RESUMO

For curable infectious diseases, public health strategies such as treatment can effectively shorten an individual's infectious period, and thus limit their role in transmission. However, because treatment effectively eliminates antigen impingement, these types of control strategies may also paradoxically impair the development of adaptive immune responses. For sexually transmitted Chlamydia trachomatis infections, this latter effect has been coined the arrested immunity hypothesis, and is discussed to carry significant epidemiological implications for those individuals who return to similar sexual networks with similar sexual behavior. Here, we examine the effect of antibiotic treatment on the spread of Chlamydia infection through a simple immunoepidemiological framework that characterizes the population as a collection of dynamically evolving individuals in small, paradigmatic networks. Within each individual there is an explicit representation of pathogen replication, accumulation and persistence of an immune response, followed by a gradual waning of that response once the infection is cleared. Individuals are then nested in networks, allowing the variability in the life history of their infection to be functions of both individual immune dynamics as well as their position in the network. Model results suggest that the timing and coverage of treatment are important contributors to the development of immunity and reinfection. In particular, the impact of treatment on the spread of infection between individuals can be beneficial, have no effect, or be deleterious depending on who is treated and when. Although we use sexually transmitted Chlamydia infection as an example, the observed results arise endogenously from a basic model structure, and thus warrant consideration to understanding the interaction of infection, treatment, and spread of other infectious diseases.


Assuntos
Infecções por Chlamydia/imunologia , Calibragem , Infecções por Chlamydia/epidemiologia , Infecções por Chlamydia/transmissão , Humanos , Modelos Biológicos
16.
BMC Infect Dis ; 10: 70, 2010 Mar 16.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-20233416

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: After initially falling in the face of intensified control efforts, reported rates of sexually transmitted chlamydia in many developed countries are rising. Recent hypotheses for this phenomenon have broadly focused on improved case finding or an increase in the prevalence. Because of many complex interactions behind the spread of infectious diseases, dynamic models of infection transmission are an effective means to guide learning, and assess quantitative conjectures of epidemiological processes. The objective of this paper is to bring a unique and robust perspective to observed chlamydial patterns through analyzing surveillance data with mathematical models of infection transmission. METHODS: This study integrated 25-year testing volume data from the Canadian province of Saskatchewan with one susceptible-infected-treated-susceptible and three susceptible-infected-treated-removed compartmental models. Calibration of model parameters to fit observed 25-year case notification data, after being combined with testing records, placed constraints on model behaviour and allowed for an approximation of chlamydia prevalence to be estimated. Model predictions were compared to observed case notification trends, and extensive sensitivity analyses were performed to confirm the robustness of model results. RESULTS: Model predictions accurately mirrored historic chlamydial trends including an observed rebound in the mid 1990s. For all models examined, the results repeatedly highlighted that increased testing volumes, rather than changes in the sensitivity and specificity of testing technologies, sexual behaviour, or truncated immunological responses brought about by treatment can, explain the increase in observed chlamydia case notifications. CONCLUSIONS: Our results highlight the significant impact testing volume can have on observed incidence rates, and that simple explanations for these observed increases appear to have been dismissed in favor of changes to the underlying prevalence. These simple methods not only demonstrate geographic portability, but the results reassure the public health effort towards monitoring and controlling chlamydia.


Assuntos
Doenças Transmissíveis Emergentes/epidemiologia , Doenças Transmissíveis Emergentes/transmissão , Transmissão de Doença Infecciosa , Linfogranuloma Venéreo/epidemiologia , Linfogranuloma Venéreo/transmissão , Adolescente , Técnicas de Laboratório Clínico/tendências , Feminino , Humanos , Incidência , Masculino , Modelos Estatísticos , Saskatchewan/epidemiologia , Adulto Jovem
17.
PLoS One ; 4(9): e6886, 2009 Sep 03.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-19727394

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Chlamydia trachomatis is a common human pathogen that mediates disease processes capable of inflicting serious complications on reproduction. Aggressive inflammatory immune responses are thought to not only direct a person's level of immunity but also the potential for immunopathology. With human immunobiology being debated as a cause of prevailing epidemiological trends, we examined some fundamental issues regarding susceptibility to multiple chlamydial infections that could have implications for infection spread. We argue that, compared to less-frequent exposure, frequent exposure to chlamydia may well produce unique immunobiological characteristics that likely to have important clinical and epidemiological implications. METHODS AND RESULTS: As a novel tool for studying chlamydia, we applied principles of modeling within-host pathogen dynamics to enable an understanding of some fundamental characteristics of an individual's immunobiology during multiple chlamydial infections. While the models were able to reproduce shorter-term infection kinetics of primary and secondary infections previously observed in animal models, it was also observed that longer periods between initial and second infection may increase an individual's chlamydial load and lengthen their duration of infectiousness. The cessation of short-term repeated exposure did not allow for the formation of long-lasting immunity. However, frequent re-exposure non-intuitively linked the formation of protective immunity, persistent infection, and the potential for immunopathology. CONCLUSIONS: Overall, these results provide interesting insights that should be verified with continued study. Nevertheless, these results appear to raise challenges for current evidence of the development of long-lasting immunity against chlamydia, and suggest the existence of a previously unidentified mechanism for the formation of persistent infection. The obvious next goal is to investigate the qualitative impact of these results on the spread of chlamydia.


Assuntos
Linfócitos T CD4-Positivos/microbiologia , Infecções por Chlamydia/epidemiologia , Infecções por Chlamydia/fisiopatologia , Chlamydia trachomatis/metabolismo , Algoritmos , Animais , Anticorpos Antibacterianos/metabolismo , Linfócitos T CD4-Positivos/metabolismo , Modelos Animais de Doenças , Humanos , Inflamação , Cinética , Modelos Biológicos , Modelos Teóricos , Dinâmica Populacional
18.
BMC Microbiol ; 9: 190, 2009 Sep 07.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-19735560

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Though important in the context of food microbiology and as potential pathogens in immuno-compromised humans, bacterial isolates belonging to the genus Pediococcus are best known for their association with contamination of ethanol fermentation processes (beer, wine, or fuel ethanol). Use of antimicrobial compounds (e.g., hop-compounds, Penicillin) by some industries to combat Pediococcus contaminants is long-standing, yet knowledge about the resistance of pediococci to antimicrobial agents is minimal. Here we examined Pediococcus isolates to determine whether antibiotic resistance is associated with resistance to hops, presence of genes known to correlate with beer spoilage, or with ability to grow in beer. RESULTS: Lactic acid bacteria susceptibility test broth medium (LSM) used in combination with commercially available GPN3F antimicrobial susceptibility plates was an effective method for assessing antimicrobial susceptibility of Pediococcus isolates. We report the finding of Vancomycin-susceptible Pediococcus isolates from four species. Interestingly, we found that hop-resistant, beer-spoilage, and beer-spoilage gene-harbouring isolates had a tendency to be more susceptible, rather than more resistant, to antimicrobial compounds. CONCLUSION: Our findings indicate that the mechanisms involved in conferring hop-resistance or ability to spoil beer by Pediococcus isolates are not associated with resistance to antibiotics commonly used for treatment of human infections. Also, Vancomycin-resistance was found to be isolate-specific and not intrinsic to the genus as previously believed.


Assuntos
Anti-Infecciosos/farmacologia , Cerveja/microbiologia , Microbiologia de Alimentos , Humulus/química , Pediococcus/efeitos dos fármacos , Contaminação de Alimentos , Testes de Sensibilidade Microbiana , Pediococcus/genética , Pediococcus/crescimento & desenvolvimento , Especificidade da Espécie , Vancomicina/farmacologia
20.
Theor Biol Med Model ; 4: 49, 2007 Dec 20.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-18096067

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The desire to better understand the immuno-biology of infectious diseases as a broader ecological system has motivated the explicit representation of epidemiological processes as a function of immune system dynamics. While several recent and innovative contributions have explored unified models across cellular and organismal domains, and appear well-suited to describing particular aspects of intracellular pathogen infections, these existing immuno-epidemiological models lack representation of certain cellular components and immunological processes needed to adequately characterize the dynamics of some important epidemiological contexts. Here, we complement existing models by presenting an alternate framework of anti-viral immune responses within individual hosts and infection spread across a simple network-based population. RESULTS: Our compartmental formulation parsimoniously demonstrates a correlation between immune responsiveness, network connectivity, and the natural history of infection in a population. It suggests that an increased disparity between people's ability to respond to an infection, while maintaining an average immune responsiveness rate, may worsen the overall impact of an outbreak within a population. Additionally, varying an individual's network connectivity affects the rate with which the population-wide viral load accumulates, but has little impact on the asymptotic limit in which it approaches. Whilst the clearance of a pathogen in a population will lower viral loads in the short-term, the longer the time until re-infection, the more severe an outbreak is likely to be. Given the eventual likelihood of reinfection, the resulting long-run viral burden after elimination of an infection is negligible compared to the situation in which infection is persistent. CONCLUSION: Future infectious disease research would benefit by striving to not only continue to understand the properties of an invading microbe, or the body's response to infections, but how these properties, jointly, affect the propagation of an infection throughout a population. These initial results offer a refinement to current immuno-epidemiological modelling methodology, and reinforce how coupling principles of immunology with epidemiology can provide insight into a multi-scaled description of an ecological system. Overall, we anticipate these results to as a further step towards articulating an integrated, more refined epidemiological theory of the reciprocal influences between host-pathogen interactions, epidemiological mixing, and disease spread.


Assuntos
Viroses/epidemiologia , Viroses/imunologia , Divisão Celular/imunologia , Humanos , Memória Imunológica , Cinética , Modelos Biológicos , Dinâmica Populacional , Prevalência , Recidiva , Linfócitos T/imunologia , Viroses/transmissão
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