A noninvasive model discriminating significant histological changes in treatment-naive chronic hepatitis B patients with normal ALT.

BACKGROUND: Traditionally part of chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients with normal alanine aminotransferase (ALT) are recommended to antiviral therapy referring to liver biopsy. However, liver biopsy is an invasive method with various potential complications. A noninvasive model was established in the study to evaluate liver histology and to identify the need of antiviral therapy. METHODS: A total of 614 liver biopsied CHB patients with ALT less than upper limit of normal from 2 centers were retrospectively analyzed. They were divided into a training cohort and a validation cohort. A noninvasive model to predict the significant liver histological changes was established and validated. RESULTS: The results of analysis showed that ALT, Age, platelet (PLT) and liver stiffness (LS) were independent risk factors for significant liver injury. The model was established based on the 4 indexes, with the area under the curve of 0.85 and 0.87 in training cohort and validation cohort. Meanwhile, 2 cut-off scores were selected. By applying the low cut-off score (- 0.207), patients without significant liver injury could be identified with high accuracy, with negative predictive value of 72.7% and 73.7% in training and validation cohorts. By applying the high cut-off score (0.537), the presence of significant liver injury could be diagnosed with high accuracy, with positive predictive value of 90.3% and 88.8% in the training and validation cohorts. By applying the model, liver biopsy would have been avoided in 87.6% (538/614) patients, with correct prediction in 87.9% (473/538). CONCLUSION: The novel noninvasive model composed of ALT, Age, PLT, LS can correctly assess liver histology in CHB patient with normal ALT, which helps to determine the need of antiviral therapy without liver biopsy.

ALT Flare Predicts Hepatocellular Carcinoma Among Antiviral Treated Patients With Chronic Hepatitis B: A Cross-Country Cohort Study.

OBJECTIVES: Alanine aminotransferase (ALT) level is one of the crucial indexes to evaluate disease status for chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients. However, whether the ALT level after nucleos(t)ide analog (NA) treatment is associated with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) development remains unclear. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We evaluated the association between ALT level and HCC occurrence in NA-treated patients and investigated the predictive value of ALT flare for HCC. The associations between ALT level and HCC were analyzed by logistic regression and Cox proportional hazards models. RESULTS: There were 21,223 CHB patients at Ruijin Hospital of China and 16,737 CHB patients in the Optum electronic health records (EHR) in the United States (US) treated with NAs between 2010 and 2018. Among them, 8,152 and 4,893 patients who achieved a normal ALT value were included in the study cohorts, respectively. A significant positive dose-dependent correlation between the peak ALT level and HCC was identified in both cohorts. Within the China cohort, ALT flare was significantly associated with increased risks of HCC compared to normal ALT (HR 2.55, 95%CI 1.45-4.50). Stronger increased risks associated with ALT flare were observed in the US cohort (HR 7.62, 95%CI 4.85-11.98). CONCLUSIONS: ALT flare is a strong predictor for HCC occurrence in the CHB patients treated with NAs. Elevation of ALT, especially ALT flare warrants close monitoring for early HCC detection.

N-myc and STAT interactor correlates with severity and prognosis in acute-on-chronic liver failure of hepatitis B virus.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF) is characterized by acute deterioration of chronic liver disease with excessive inflammation. N-myc and STAT interactor (NMI), an inflammation-mediated protein, involves in various inflammatory-related diseases, but the role of NMI in development and prognosis in HBV-ACLF remains to be elucidated. METHODS: Serum NMI from healthy controls (HCs, n = 20), chronic hepatitis B (CHB, n = 50) patients, and HBV-ACLF patients (n = 50) was determined using ELISA. NMI from peripheral blood mononuclear cells and liver was confirmed using quantitative real-time polymerase chain reaction, Western blot, and immunofluorescence. RESULTS: Serum NMI was increased 1.9-fold or 2.2-fold from HBV-ACLF patients compared with that from HCs (P < 0.01) or CHB patients (P < 0.01). Consistently, NMI from peripheral blood mononuclear cells was upregulated significantly from HBV-ACLF patients compared with that from HCs and CHB patients at mRNA and protein levels. Hepatic NMI from HBV-ACLF patients was 2.8-fold higher than that from HCs. Serum NMI was correlated with Model for End-stage Liver Disease, Chronic Liver Failure Consortium ACLF score, and ACLF grades. In contrast, serum NMI was significantly decreased in HBV-ACLF ameliorated patients during follow-up, whereas serum NMI was sustained at high levels in non-ameliorated patients. Elevated serum NMI (≥ 198.5 pg/mL) was correlated with poor survival rate of HBV-ACLF patients. Using receiver operating characteristics curves, it was suggested that serum NMI was a potential biomarker in predicting 3-month mortality of HBV-ACLF patients. CONCLUSIONS: Our study highlights the potential role of NMI in assessing the development and prognosis of HBV-ACLF.