Systematic review of multivariable prognostic models for outcomes at least 30 days after hip fracture finds 18 mortality models but no non-mortality models warranting validation.

OBJECTIVE: Prognostic models have the potential to aid clinical decision-making after hip fracture. This systematic review aimed to identify, critically appraise and summarise multivariable prediction models for mortality or other long-term recovery outcomes occurring at least 30 days after hip fracture. STUDY DESIGN: MEDLINE, Embase, Scopus, Web of Science and CINAHL databases were searched up to May 2023. Studies were included that aimed to develop multivariable models to make predictions for individuals at least 30 days after hip fracture. Risk of bias (ROB) was dual-assessed using the Prediction model Risk Of Bias ASsessment Tool (PROBAST). Study and model details were extracted and summarised. RESULTS: From 5,571 records, 80 eligible studies were identified. They predicted mortality in n=55 studies/ 81 models, and non-mortality outcomes (mobility, function, residence, medical and surgical complications) in n=30 studies/ 45 models. Most (n=46; 58%) studies were published since 2020. A quarter of studies (n=19; 24%) reported using 'machine-learning methods', while the remainder used logistic regression (n=54; 68%) and other statistical methods (n=11; 14%) to build models. Overall, 15 studies (19%) presented 18 low ROB models, all predicting mortality. Common concerns were sample size, missing data handling, inadequate internal validation and calibration assessment. Many studies with non-mortality outcomes, (n=11; 37%) had clear data complexities that were not correctly modelled. CONCLUSION: This review has comprehensively summarised and appraised multivariable prediction models for long-term outcomes after hip fracture. Only 15 studies out of 55 predicting mortality were rated as low ROB, warranting further development of their models. All studies predicting non-mortality outcomes were high or unclear ROB. Careful consideration is required for both the methods used and justification for developing further non-mortality prediction models for this clinical population.

Efficient measurement of multiple ventricular assist device patient-reported outcomes: Creation of a 20-item profile from the MCS A-QOL study.

BACKGROUND: Patient-reported outcome (PRO) measures of distinct concepts are often put together into patient profile assessments. When brief, profile assessments can decrease respondent burden and increase measure completion rates. In this report, we describe the creation of 5 self-reported 4-item short forms and the Mechanical Circulatory Support: Measures of Adjustment and Quality of Life (MCS A-QOL) 20-item profile to assess PROs specific to adjustment and health-related quality of life (HRQOL) among patients who undergo left ventricular assist device (LVAD) implantation. METHODS: Using a cross-sectional sample of patients (n = 620) who underwent LVAD implantation at 12 U.S. sites or participated in the MyLVAD.com support group, we created 5 4-item short forms: Satisfaction with Treatment, ventricular assist device (VAD) Team Communication, Being Bothered by VAD Self-care and Limitations, Self-efficacy Regarding VAD self-care, and Stigma, which we combined into a 20-item profile. Analyses included intercorrelations among measures, Cronbach's alpha (i.e., internal consistency reliability)/score-level-specific reliability, and construct validity. RESULTS: The 620 patients were mean age = 57 years, 78% male, 70% White, and 56% on destination therapy LVADs. Intercorrelations among the 5 4-item measures were low to moderate (≤0.50), indicating they are associated yet largely distinct, and correlations with calibrated measures and 6-item short forms were ≥0.76, indicating their ability to reflect full-item bank scores. Internal consistency reliability for the 5 4-item short forms ranged from acceptable (≥0.70) to good (≥0.80). Construct validity was demonstrated for these measures. CONCLUSIONS: Our 5 4-item short forms are reliable and valid and may be used individually or together as a 20-item profile to assess adjustment and HRQOL in patients who undergo LVAD implantation.

Novel measures to assess ventricular assist device patient-reported outcomes: Findings from the MCS A-QOL study.

BACKGROUND: Generic and heart failure-specific measures do not capture unique aspects of living with a ventricular assist device (VAD). Using state-of-the-science psychometric measurement methods, we developed a measurement system to assess post-ventricular assist device adjustment and health-related quality of life (HRQOL). METHODS: Patients were recruited from 10/26/16-2/29/20 from 12 U.S. VAD programs. We created a dataset of participants (n = 620) enrolled before left (L)VAD implantation, with data at 3- or 6- months post-implantation (group1 [n = 154]), and participants enrolled after LVAD implantation, with data at one timepoint (group 2 [n = 466]). We constructed 5 item banks: 3 modified from existing measures and 2 new measures. Analyses included item response theory (IRT) modeling, differential item functioning tests for systematic measurement bias, and indicators of reliability and validity. RESULTS: Of 620 participants, 56% (n = 345) were implanted as destination therapy, 51% (n = 316) were <12 months post-implantation, mean age = 57.3 years, 78% (n = 485) male, 70% (n = 433) White, 58% (n = 353) married/partnered, and 58% (n = 357) with >high school education. We developed 5 new VAD item banks/measures: 6-item VAD Team Communication; 12-item Self-efficacy Regarding VAD Self-care; 11-item Being Bothered by VAD Self-care and Limitations; 7-item Satisfaction with Treatment; and 11-item Stigma. Cronbach's alpha reliability ranged from good (≥0.80) to excellent (≥0.90) for item banks/measures. All measures, except VAD Team Communication, demonstrated at least moderate correlations (≥0.30) with construct validity indicators. CONCLUSIONS: These measures meet IRT modeling assumptions and requirements; scores demonstrate reliability and validity. Use of these measures may assist VAD clinicians to inform patients about VADs as a treatment option and guide post-VAD interventions.

TV005 dengue vaccine protects against dengue serotypes 2 and 3 in two controlled human infection studies.

BACKGROUNDDisease due to dengue viruses is a growing global health threat, causing 100-400 million cases annually. An ideal dengue vaccine should demonstrate durable protection against all 4 serotypes in phase III efficacy trials, however the lack of circulating serotypes may lead to incomplete efficacy data. Controlled human infection models help downselect vaccine candidates and supply critical data to supplement efficacy trials. We evaluated the efficacy of a leading live-attenuated tetravalent dengue vaccine candidate, TV005, against infection with a newly established dengue serotype 3 or an established serotype 2 challenge virus.METHODSTwo randomized, controlled clinical trials were performed. In study 1, a total of 42 participants received TV005 or placebo (n = 21 each), and 6 months later, all were challenged with dengue 2 virus (rDEN2Δ30) at a dose of 103 PFU. In study 2, a total of 23 participants received TV005 and 20 received placebo, and 6 months later, all were challenged with 104 PFU dengue 3 virus (rDEN3Δ30). The study participants were closely monitored for safety, viremia, and immunologic responses. Infection, measured by post-challenge viremia, and the occurrence of rash and neutropenia were the primary endpoints. Secondary endpoints included safety, immunologic, and virologic profiles following vaccination with TV005 and subsequent challenge with the rDEN2Δ30 or rDEN3Δ30 strain.RESULTSTV005 was well tolerated and protected all vaccinated volunteers from viremia with DENV2 or DENV3 (none infected in either group). Placebo recipients had post-challenge viremia (100% in study 1, 85% in study 2), and all experienced rash following challenge with either serotype.CONCLUSIONSTV005 is a leading tetravalent dengue vaccine candidate that fully protected against infection with DENV2 and DENV3 in an established controlled human infection model.TRIAL REGISTRATIONClinicalTrials.gov NCT02317900 and NCT02873260.FUNDINGIntramural Research Program, NIH (contract HHSN272200900010C).

Is the increased use of intramedullary nailing over DHS for intertrochanteric hip fractures justified? - A review of the Irish hip fracture database 2016 -2020.

PURPOSE: Intertrochanteric hip fractures are significant and costly injuries and there remains controversy within the orthopaedic literature over the best method of fixation. The Irish Hip Fracture Database (IHFD) was established in 2012 to drive improvements in clinical outcomes and the quality of hip fracture care. This paper will review the outcomes of dynamic hip screw (DHS) versus intra-medullary nailing (IMN) in the treatment of intertrochanteric hip fractures in Ireland. METHODS: Eligible cases for this study include patients >60 years of age with trochanteric hip fractures treated by DHS or IMN between January 2016 and December 2020. Outcomes recorded and compared include length of stay, inpatient mortality, mobilisation on post-operative day 1 (POD 1), and discharge destination. RESULTS: 5668 hip fractures treated with DHS or IMN were identified. There was no significant difference between inpatient mortality, re-operation rate or length of stay between the two groups. Females and patients with a high ASA grade (IV and V) were more likely to receive IMN. Patients receiving DHS were more likely to be mobilised day 1 post-operatively and be discharged directly home. It was noted that the use of IMN increased from 42% of cases in 2016 to 70% in 2020. CONCLUSION: IMN use for intertrochanteric fractures continues to increase. However, patients treated with DHS were more likely to mobilise early post-operatively and to go directly home. Notwithstanding the limitations of national registry data research, the dramatic rise in the use of IMN for these fractures appears unsupported by the evidence.

Safety and durable immunogenicity of the TV005 tetravalent dengue vaccine, across serotypes and age groups, in dengue-endemic Bangladesh: a randomised, controlled trial.

BACKGROUND: Morbidity and mortality from dengue virus (DENV) is rapidly growing in the large populations of south Asia. Few formal evaluations of candidate dengue vaccine candidates have been undertaken in India, Pakistan, or Bangladesh. Tetravalent vaccines must be tested for safety and immunogenicity in all age groups and in those previously exposed and naive to DENV infections. TV005 is a live, attenuated tetravalent dengue vaccine. We evaluated the safety and immunogenicity of a single dose of TV005 across age groups in dengue-endemic Bangladesh. METHODS: We performed a randomised, placebo-controlled age de-escalating clinical trial of TV005 at a single clinical site in dengue-endemic Dhaka, Bangladesh, following a technology transfer from the USA. Healthy (as determined by history, clinical examination, and safety laboratory test results) volunteers aged 1-50 years were randomly assigned 3:1 (stratified by four age groups) to receive a single dose of TV005 vaccine or placebo. Participants were followed up for 3 years. The study was double blind and was unmasked at day 180; outcome assessors, clinic staff, and volunteers remained blind throughout. Primary outcomes were safety, evaluated per-protocol as proportion of volunteers with solicited related adverse events of any severity through 28 days post dosing, and post-vaccination seropositivity by day 180 using serotype-specific neutralising antibodies (PRNT50 ≥10). Secondary outcomes included viremia, impact of past dengue exposure, and durability of antibody responses. This study is registered with Clinicaltrials.gov, NCT02678455, and is complete. FINDINGS: Between March 13, 2016, and Feb 14, 2017, 192 volunteers were enrolled into four age groups (adults [18-50 years; 20 male and 28 female], adolescents [11-17 years; 27 male and 21 female], children [5-10 years; 15 male and 33 female], and young children [1-4 years; 29 male and 19 female]) with 48 participant per group. All participants were Bangladeshi. Vaccination was well tolerated and most adverse events were mild. Rash was the most common vaccine-associated solicited adverse event, in 37 (26%) of 144 vaccine recipients versus six (12%) of 48 placebo recipients; followed by fever in seven (5% of 144) and arthralgias in seven (6% of 108), which were only observed in vaccine recipients. Post-vaccine, volunteers of all ages (n=142) were seropositive to most serotypes with 118 (83%) seropositive to DENV 1, 141 (99%) to DENV 2, 137 (96%) to DENV 3, and 124 (87%) to DENV 4, overall by day 180. Post-vaccination, viraemia was not consistently found and antibody titres were higher (10-15-fold for DENV 1-3 and 1·6-fold for DENV 4) in individuals with past dengue exposure compared with the dengue-naive participants (DENV 1 mean 480 [SD 4·0] vs 32 [2·4], DENV 2 1042 [3·2] vs 105 [3·1], DENV 3 1406 [2·8] vs 129 [4·7], and DENV 4 105 [3·3] vs 65 [3·1], respectively). Antibody titres to all serotypes remained stable in most adults (63-86%) after 3 years of follow-up. However, as expected for individuals without past exposure to dengue, titres for DENV 1, 3, and 4 waned by 3 years in the youngest (1-4 year old) cohort (69% seropositive for DENV 2 and 22-28% seropositive for DENV 1, 3, and 4). INTERPRETATION: With 3 years of follow-up, the single-dose tetravalent dengue vaccine, TV005, was well tolerated and immunogenic for all four serotypes in young children to adults, including individuals with no previous dengue exposure. FUNDING: National Institutes of Health-National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases Intramural Research Program and Johns Hopkins University. TRANSLATION: For the Bangla translation of the abstract see Supplementary Materials section.

A Phenomapping Tool and Clinical Score to Identify Low Diuretic Efficiency in Acute Decompensated Heart Failure.

BACKGROUND: Individuals with acute decompensated heart failure (ADHF) have a varying response to diuretic therapy. Strategies for the early identification of low diuretic efficiency to inform decongestion therapies are lacking. OBJECTIVES: The authors sought to develop and externally validate a machine learning-based phenomapping approach and integer-based diuresis score to identify patients with low diuretic efficiency. METHODS: Participants with ADHF from ROSE-AHF, CARRESS-HF, and ATHENA-HF were pooled in the derivation cohort (n = 794). Multivariable finite-mixture model-based phenomapping was performed to identify phenogroups based on diuretic efficiency (urine output over the first 72 hours per total intravenous furosemide equivalent loop diuretic dose). Phenogroups were externally validated in other pooled ADHF trials (DOSE/ESCAPE). An integer-based diuresis score (BAN-ADHF score: blood urea nitrogen, creatinine, natriuretic peptide levels, atrial fibrillation, diastolic blood pressure, hypertension and home diuretic, and heart failure hospitalization) was developed and validated based on predictors of the diuretic efficiency phenogroups to estimate the probability of low diuretic efficiency using the pooled ADHF trials described earlier. The associations of the BAN-ADHF score with markers and symptoms of congestion, length of stay, in-hospital mortality, and global well-being were assessed using adjusted regression models. RESULTS: Clustering identified 3 phenogroups based on diuretic efficiency: phenogroup 1 (n = 370; 47%) had lower diuretic efficiency (median: 13.1 mL/mg; Q1-Q3: 7.7-19.4 mL/mg) than phenogroups 2 (n = 290; 37%) and 3 (n = 134; 17%) (median: 17.8 mL/mg; Q1-Q3: 10.8-26.1 mL/mg and median: 35.3 mL/mg; Q1-Q3: 17.5-49.0 mL/mg, respectively) (P < 0.001). The median urine output difference in response to 80 mg intravenous twice-daily furosemide between the lowest and highest diuretic efficiency group (phenogroup 1 vs 3) was 3,520 mL/d. The BAN-ADHF score demonstrated good model performance for predicting the lowest diuretic efficiency phenogroup membership (C-index: 0.92 in DOSE/ESCAPE validation cohort) that was superior to measures of kidney function (creatinine or blood urea nitrogen), natriuretic peptide levels, or home diuretic dose (DeLong P < 0.001 for all). Net urine output in response to 80 mg intravenous twice-daily furosemide among patients with a low vs high (5 vs 20) BAN-ADHF score was 2,650 vs 660 mL per 24 hours, respectively. Participants with higher BAN-ADHF scores had significantly lower global well-being, higher natriuretic peptide levels on discharge, a longer in-hospital stay, and a higher risk of in-hospital mortality in both derivation and validation cohorts. CONCLUSIONS: The authors developed and validated a phenomapping strategy and diuresis score for individuals with ADHF and differential response to diuretic therapy, which was associated with length of stay and mortality.

Atrial Tachycardia-Induced Cardiomyopathy in Late Pregnancy: It Is Not Always Peripartum Cardiomyopathy.

Tachycardia-mediated cardiomyopathy is an established cause of left ventricular dysfunction. The development of cardiomyopathy depends on type, rate, and duration of tachyarrhythmia. Early recognition and treatment are critical in preventing left ventricular dysfunction and heart failure. Normal physiologic changes in pregnancy can complicate the early recognition and treatment of pathologic tachyarrhythmia.

Intracapsular hip fractures: A comparative study of cemented and uncemented hemiarthroplasties in the Irish hip fracture database.

BACKGROUND: The aim of this study was to analyse the association between use of cement for stem fixation in hip hemiarthroplasty and the outcomes of mobility, mortality, and discharge destination. METHODS: The Irish Hip Fracture Database was examined from 2016 to 2020 to assess for any difference in post op mobility, 7-day, 14-day and inpatient mortality, and discharge destination. RESULTS: A total of 7109 hemi-arthroplasties were identified from 2016 to 2020. 71.6 % were cemented (n = 5,172), with 28.4 % uncemented (1,937). There was no difference in day 1 post op mobilisation (79.7 % vs 80.9 %) or cumulative ambulatory score on discharge (2.5 vs 2.4). The mortality rate was equivocal at all time points between the cemented and uncemented groups (7 day (.9 % vs 1.2 %), 14 day (1.9 % vs 2.3 %), inpatient (4 % vs 5.1 %)). There was no difference in length of stay (11 vs 12 days) or discharge to home directly (21 % vs 27 %). CONCLUSION: The use of cement did not have any significant difference on post op mortality, mobility or discharge destination.

Cardiovascular Fellowship Training in Cardio-Obstetrics: JACC Review Topic of the Week.

The United States has the highest maternal mortality in the developed world with cardiovascular disease as the leading cause of pregnancy-related deaths. In response to this, the emerging subspecialty of cardio-obstetrics has been growing over the past decade. Cardiologists with training and expertise in caring for patients with cardiovascular disease in pregnancy are essential to provide effective, comprehensive, multidisciplinary, and high-quality care for this vulnerable population. This document provides a blueprint on incorporation of cardio-obstetrics training into cardiovascular disease fellowship programs to improve knowledge, skill, and expertise among cardiologists caring for these patients, with the goal of improving maternal and fetal outcomes.

Cardio-Obstetrics and Heart Failure: JACC: Heart Failure State-of-the-Art Review.

Heart failure and cardiomyopathy are significant contributors to pregnancy-related deaths, as maternal morbidity and mortality have been increasing over time. In this setting, the role of the multidisciplinary cardio-obstetrics team is crucial to optimizing maternal, obstetrical and fetal outcomes. Although peripartum cardiomyopathy is the most common cardiomyopathy experienced by pregnant individuals, the hemodynamic changes of pregnancy may unmask a pre-existing cardiomyopathy leading to clinical decompensation. Additionally, there are unique management considerations for women with pre-existing cardiomyopathy as well as for those women with advanced heart failure who may be on left ventricular assist device support or have undergone heart transplantation. The purpose of this review is to discuss: 1) preconception counseling; 2) risk stratification and management strategies for pregnant women extending to the postpartum "fourth trimester" with pre-existing heart failure or "pre-heart failure;" 3) the safety of heart failure medications during pregnancy and lactation; and 4) management of pregnancy for women on left ventricular assist device support or after heart transplantation.

Use of exception status listing and related outcomes during two heart allocation policy periods.

BACKGROUND: The October 2018 update to the heart allocation policy was intended to decrease exception status requests, whereby candidates are listed at a specific status due to perceived need despite not meeting prespecified criteria of illness severity. We assessed the use of exception status and waitlist outcomes before and after the 2018 policy. METHODS: We used data from the Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients on adult heart transplant candidates listed from 2015 to 2021. We assessed (1) the use of exception status across patient characteristics between the two periods and (2) transplant rate and waitlist mortality or delisting due to deterioration in each period. Patients listed by exception versus standard criteria were compared with multivariable logistic regression, and waitlist outcomes were assessed using Cox proportional hazard models with medical urgency and exception status as time-dependent covariates. RESULTS: During the study period (n = 19,213), heart transplants under exception status increased postpolicy from 10.0% to 32.3%, with 20.6% of transplants performed for patients at status 2 exception. Exception status candidates postpolicy were more frequently Black or Hispanic/Latino and less likely to have hypertrophic or restrictive cardiomyopathy and had worse hemodynamics. Exception status listing was associated with higher transplant rates in both periods. Postpolicy, candidates listed status 1 exception had a lower likelihood for waitlist mortality or delisting (hazard ratio, 0.60; 95% CI, 0.37-0.99; and p = 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Under the 2018 policy, exception status listings dramatically increased. The policy change shifted the population of patients listed by exception status and affected waitlist mortality, which suggests a need to further evaluate the policy's impact.