Index60 Is Superior to HbA1c for Identifying Individuals at High Risk for Type 1 Diabetes.

CONTEXT: HbA1c from ≥ 5.7% to < 6.5% (39-46 mmol/mol) indicates prediabetes according to American Diabetes Association guidelines, yet its identification of prediabetes specific for type 1 diabetes has not been assessed. A composite glucose and C-peptide measure, Index60, identifies individuals at high risk for type 1 diabetes. OBJECTIVE: We compared Index60 and HbA1c thresholds as markers for type 1 diabetes risk. METHODS: TrialNet Pathway to Prevention study participants with ≥ 2 autoantibodies (GADA, IAA, IA-2A, or ZnT8A) who had oral glucose tolerance tests and HbA1c measurements underwent 1) predictive time-dependent modeling of type 1 diabetes risk (n = 2776); and 2) baseline comparisons between high-risk mutually exclusive groups: Index60 ≥ 2.04 (n = 268) vs HbA1c ≥ 5.7% (n = 268). The Index60 ≥ 2.04 threshold was commensurate in ordinal ranking with the standard prediabetes threshold of HbA1c ≥ 5.7%. RESULTS: In mutually exclusive groups, individuals exceeding Index60 ≥ 2.04 had a higher cumulative incidence of type 1 diabetes than those exceeding HbA1c ≥ 5.7% (P < 0.0001). Appreciably more individuals with Index60 ≥ 2.04 were at stage 2, and among those at stage 2, the cumulative incidence was higher for those with Index60 ≥ 2.04 (P = 0.02). Those with Index60 ≥ 2.04 were younger, with lower BMI, greater autoantibody number, and lower C-peptide than those with HbA1c ≥ 5.7% (P < 0.0001 for all comparisons). CONCLUSION: Individuals with Index60 ≥ 2.04 are at greater risk for type 1 diabetes with features more characteristic of the disorder than those with HbA1c ≥ 5.7%. Index60 ≥ 2.04 is superior to the standard HbA1c ≥ 5.7% threshold for identifying prediabetes in autoantibody-positive individuals. These findings appear to justify using Index60 ≥ 2.04 as a prediabetes criterion in this population.

Oral Glucose Tolerance Test Measures of First-phase Insulin Response and Their Predictive Ability for Type 1 Diabetes.

CONTEXT: Decreased first-phase insulin response (FPIR) during intravenous glucose tolerance testing (IVGTT) is an early indicator of ß-cell dysfunction and predictor of type 1 diabetes (T1D). OBJECTIVE: Assess whether oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) measures could serve as FPIR alternatives in their ability to predict T1D in autoantibody positive (Aab+) subjects. DESIGN: OGTT and IVGTT were performed within 30 days of each other. Eleven OGTT variables were evaluated for (1) correlation with FPIR and (2) T1D prediction. SETTING: Type 1 Diabetes TrialNet "Oral Insulin for Prevention of Diabetes in Relatives at Risk for T1D" (TN-07) and Diabetes Prevention Trial-Type 1 Diabetes (DPT-1) studies clinical sites. PATIENTS: TN-07 (n = 292; age 9.4 ±â€…6.1 years) and DPT-1 (n = 194; age 15.1 ±â€…10.0 years) Aab + relatives of T1D individuals. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: (1) Correlation coefficients of OGTT measures with FPIR and (2) T1D prediction at 2 years using area under receiver operating characteristic (ROCAUC) curves. RESULTS: Index60 showed the strongest correlation in DPT-1 (r = -0.562) but was weaker in TN-07 (r = -0.378). C-peptide index consistently showed good correlation with FPIR across studies (TN-07, r = 0.583; DPT-1, r = 0.544; P < 0.0001). Index60 and C-peptide index had the highest ROCAUCs for T1D prediction (0.778 vs 0.717 in TN-07 and 0.763 vs 0.721 in DPT-1, respectively; P = NS), followed by FPIR (0.707 in TN-07; 0.628 in DPT-1). CONCLUSIONS: C-peptide index was the strongest measure to correlate with FPIR in both studies. Index60 and C-peptide index had the highest predictive accuracy for T1D and were comparable. OGTTs could be considered instead of IVGTTs for subject stratification in T1D prevention trials.

HOMA2-B enhances assessment of type 1 diabetes risk among TrialNet Pathway to Prevention participants.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: Methods to identify individuals at highest risk for type 1 diabetes are essential for the successful implementation of disease-modifying interventions. Simple metabolic measures are needed to help stratify autoantibody-positive (Aab+) individuals who are at risk of developing type 1 diabetes. HOMA2-B is a validated mathematical tool commonly used to estimate beta cell function in type 2 diabetes using fasting glucose and insulin. The utility of HOMA2-B in association with type 1 diabetes progression has not been tested. METHODS: Baseline HOMA2-B values from single-Aab+ (n = 2652; mean age, 21.1 ± 14.0 years) and multiple-Aab+ (n = 3794; mean age, 14.5 ± 11.2 years) individuals enrolled in the TrialNet Pathway to Prevention study were compared. Cox proportional hazard models were used to determine associations between HOMA2-B tertiles and time to progression to type 1 diabetes, with adjustments for age, sex, HLA status and BMI z score. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis was used to test the association of HOMA2-B with type 1 diabetes development in 1, 2, 5 and 10 years. RESULTS: At study entry, HOMA2-B values were higher in single- compared with multiple-Aab+ Pathway to Prevention participants (91.1 ± 44.5 vs 83.9 ± 38.9; p < 0.001). Single- and multiple-Aab+ individuals in the lowest HOMA2-B tertile had a higher risk and faster rate of progression to type 1 diabetes. For progression to type 1 diabetes within 1 year, area under the ROC curve (AUC-ROC) was 0.685, 0.666 and 0.680 for all Aab+, single-Aab+ and multiple-Aab+ individuals, respectively. When correlation between HOMA2-B and type 1 diabetes risk was assessed in combination with additional factors known to influence type 1 diabetes progression (insulin sensitivity, age and HLA status), AUC-ROC was highest for the single-Aab+ group's risk of progression at 2 years (AUC-ROC 0.723 [95% CI 0.652, 0.794]). CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: These data suggest that HOMA2-B may have utility as a single-time-point measurement to stratify risk of type 1 diabetes development in Aab+ individuals.

TCF7L2 Genetic Variants Do Not Influence Insulin Sensitivity or Secretion Indices in Autoantibody-Positive Individuals at Risk for Type 1 Diabetes.

OBJECTIVE: We aimed to test whether type 2 diabetes (T2D)-associated TCF7L2 genetic variants affect insulin sensitivity or secretion in autoantibody-positive relatives at risk for type 1 diabetes (T1D). RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: We studied autoantibody-positive TrialNet Pathway to Prevention study participants (N = 1,061) (mean age 16.3 years) with TCF7L2 single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) information and baseline oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) to calculate indices of insulin sensitivity and secretion. With Bonferroni correction for multiple comparisons, P values < 0.0086 were considered statistically significant. RESULTS: None, one, and two T2D-linked TCF7L2 alleles were present in 48.1%, 43.9%, and 8.0% of the participants, respectively. Insulin sensitivity (as reflected by 1/fasting insulin [1/IF]) decreased with increasing BMI z score and was lower in Hispanics. Insulin secretion (as measured by 30-min C-peptide index) positively correlated with age and BMI z score. Oral disposition index was negatively correlated with age, BMI z score, and Hispanic ethnicity. None of the indices were associated with TCF7L2 SNPs. In multivariable analysis models with age, BMI z score, ethnicity, sex, and TCF7L2 alleles as independent variables, C-peptide index increased with age, while BMI z score was associated with higher insulin secretion (C-peptide index), lower insulin sensitivity (1/IF), and lower disposition index; there was no significant effect of TCF7L2 SNPs on any of these indices. When restricting the analyses to participants with a normal OGTT (n = 743; 70%), the results were similar. CONCLUSIONS: In nondiabetic autoantibody-positive individuals, TCF7L2 SNPs were not related to insulin sensitivity or secretion indices after accounting for BMI z score, age, sex, and ethnicity.

One-Hour Oral Glucose Tolerance Tests for the Prediction and Diagnostic Surveillance of Type 1 Diabetes.

CONTEXT: Once islet autoantibody-positive individuals are identified, predicting which individuals are at highest risk for type 1 diabetes (T1D) is important. A metabolic risk score derived from 2-hour oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) data, the Diabetes Prevention Trial-Type 1 risk score (DPTRS), can accurately predict T1D. However, 2-hour OGTTs are time-consuming and costly. OBJECTIVE: We aimed to determine whether a risk score derived from 1-hour OGTT data can predict T1D as accurately as the DPTRS. Secondarily, we evaluated whether a 1-hour glucose value can be used for diagnostic surveillance. METHODS: The DPTRS was modified to derive a 1-hour OGTT risk score (DPTRS60) using fasting C-peptide, 1-hour glucose and C-peptide, age, and body mass index. Areas under receiver operating curves (ROCAUCs) were used to compare prediction accuracies of DPTRS60 with DPTRS in Diabetes Prevention Trial-Type 1 (DPT-1) (n = 654) and TrialNet Pathway to Prevention (TNPTP) (n = 4610) participants. Negative predictive values (NPV) for T1D diagnosis were derived for 1-hour glucose thresholds. RESULTS: ROCAUCs for T1D prediction 5 years from baseline were similar between DPTRS60 and DPTRS (DPT-1: 0.805 and 0.794; TNPTP: 0.832 and 0.847, respectively). DPTRS60 predicted T1D significantly better than 2-hour glucose (P < .001 in both cohorts). A 1-hour glucose of less than 180 mg/dL had a similar NPV, positive predictive value, and specificity for T1D development before the next 6-month visit as the standard 2-hour threshold of less than 140 mg/dL (both ≥ 98.5%). CONCLUSION: A 1-hour OGTT can predict T1D as accurately as a 2-hour OGTT with minimal risk of missing a T1D diagnosis before the next visit.

Obstructive Lung Disease and Obstructive Sleep Apnea (OLDOSA) cohort study: 10-year assessment.

STUDY OBJECTIVES: Asthma, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), and obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) are very prevalent disorders. Their coexistence in the same individual has an unclear effect on natural history and long-term outcomes. METHODS: The OLDOSA (Obstructive Lung Disease and Obstructive Sleep Apnea) cohort enrolled 4,980 veterans with an acute hospitalization and in whom asthma, COPD, OSA, overlapping conditions, or none of these disorders at baseline had been diagnosed. Pulmonary function, polysomnography, positive airway pressure (PAP) recommendations and adherence, and vital status were collected and analyzed. Various proportional hazards models were built for patients with OSA to test the effect of PAP therapy on survival. RESULTS: Ten-year all-cause cumulative mortality rate was 52.8%; median time to death was 2.7 years. In nonoverlapping asthma, OSA and COPD, mortality rates were 54.2%, 60.4%, and 63.0%, respectively. The overlap syndromes had the following mortality: COPD-OSA 53.2%, asthma-COPD 62.1%, asthma-OSA 63.5%, and triple overlap asthma-COPD-OSA 67.8%. In patients with OSA not on PAP therapy, after adjustment for age, comorbidities, and lung function, risk of death was 1.34 (1.05-1.71) times higher than those undergoing treatment. Similarly, in patients with OSA nonadherent to PAP therapy the adjusted risk of death was 1.78 (1.13-2.82) times higher versus those using it at least 70% of nights and more than 4 hours nightly. CONCLUSIONS: In this large longitudinal cohort of hospitalized veterans with high comorbid burden, asthma, COPD, OSA and their overlap syndromes had very high long-term mortality. In patients with OSA, PAP initiation and superior therapeutic adherence were associated with significantly better survival.

Low-Dose Anti-Thymocyte Globulin Preserves C-Peptide, Reduces HbA1c, and Increases Regulatory to Conventional T-Cell Ratios in New-Onset Type 1 Diabetes: Two-Year Clinical Trial Data.

A three-arm, randomized, double-masked, placebo-controlled phase 2b trial performed by the Type 1 Diabetes TrialNet Study Group previously demonstrated that low-dose anti-thymocyte globulin (ATG) (2.5 mg/kg) preserved ß-cell function and reduced HbA1c for 1 year in new-onset type 1 diabetes. Subjects (N = 89) were randomized to 1) ATG and pegylated granulocyte colony-stimulating factor (GCSF), 2) ATG alone, or 3) placebo. Herein, we report 2-year area under the curve (AUC) C-peptide and HbA1c, prespecified secondary end points, and potential immunologic correlates. The 2-year mean mixed-meal tolerance test-stimulated AUC C-peptide, analyzed by ANCOVA adjusting for baseline C-peptide, age, and sex (n = 82) with significance defined as one-sided P < 0.025, was significantly higher in subjects treated with ATG versus placebo (P = 0.00005) but not ATG/GCSF versus placebo (P = 0.032). HbA1c was significantly reduced at 2 years in subjects treated with ATG (P = 0.011) and ATG/GCSF (P = 0.022) versus placebo. Flow cytometry analyses demonstrated reduced circulating CD4:CD8 ratio, increased regulatory T-cell:conventional CD4 T-cell ratios, and increased PD-1+CD4+ T cells following low-dose ATG and ATG/GCSF. Low-dose ATG partially preserved ß-cell function and reduced HbA1c 2 years after therapy in new-onset type 1 diabetes. Future studies should determine whether low-dose ATG might prevent or delay the onset of type 1 diabetes.

Does red blood cell irradiation and/or anemia trigger intestinal injury in premature infants with birth weight ≤ 1250 g? An observational birth cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Necrotizing enterocolitis (NEC) is a leading cause of neonatal morbidity and mortality in premature infants. To date, no effective biomarkers exist to predict which premature infants will develop NEC, limiting targeted prevention strategies. Multiple observational studies have reported an association between the exposure to red blood cell (RBC) transfusion and/or anemia and the subsequent development of NEC; however, the underlying physiologic mechanisms of how these factors are independently associated with NEC remain unknown. METHODS: In this paper, we outline our prospective, multicenter observational cohort study of infants with a birth weight ≤ 1250 g to investigate the associations between RBC transfusion, anemia, intestinal oxygenation and injury that lead to NEC. Our overarching hypothesis is that irradiation of RBC units followed by longer storage perturbs donor RBC metabolism and function, and these derangements are associated with paradoxical microvascular vasoconstriction and intestinal tissue hypoxia increasing the risk for injury and/or NEC in transfused premature infants with already impaired intestinal oxygenation due to significant anemia. To evaluate these associations, we are examining the relationship between prolonged irradiation storage time (pIST), RBC metabolomic profiles, and anemia on intestinal oxygenation non-invasively measured by near-infrared spectroscopy (NIRS), and the development of NEC in transfused premature infants. DISCUSSION: Our study will address a critical scientific gap as to whether transfused RBC characteristics, such as irradiation and metabolism, impair intestinal function and/or microvascular circulation. Given the multifactorial etiology of NEC, preventative efforts will be more successful if clinicians understand the underlying pathophysiologic mechanisms and modifiable risk factors influencing the disease. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Our study is registered in ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT02741648 .

Magnetic resonance imaging safety in nonconditional pacemaker and defibrillator recipients: A meta-analysis and systematic review.

BACKGROUND: Recommendations regarding performance of magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) in non-MRI conditional pacemaker and defibrillator recipients are evolving. Previous studies have suggested low adverse event rates with MRI in nonconditional cardiac implantable electronic device (CIED) recipients, but low power limits optimal characterization of risk. OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study was to perform a systematic review and meta-analysis to characterize the clinical risk associated with MRI in CIED recipients in order to improve power. METHODS: PubMed and CINAHL indexed articles from 1990 to 2017 were queried. A random effects model was used for meta-analysis of continuous variables. Safety outcomes were evaluated with descriptive statistics. RESULTS: Seventy studies of non-MRI conditional devices undergoing MRI were identified, allowing for analysis of 5099 patients who underwent a total of 5908 MRI studies. Heterogeneity in lead parameter changes was observed within studies, although smaller variances were noted between studies. All lead characteristics and battery voltages showed very small, clinically insignificant changes when assessed as a pooled cohort, although cases of clinically relevant outcomes were also noted (lead failure 3, implantable cardioverter-defibrillator shock 1, electrical reset 94). Electrical resets were found only in older devices. Defibrillator function was unchanged, and inappropriate shocks were avoided with pre-MRI programming changes. CONCLUSION: This review demonstrated low lead failure and clinical event rates in non-MRI conditional pacemaker and defibrillator recipients undergoing MRI. Observed changes were small and interstudy variance was low, suggesting that the composite event rates offer a reasonable estimate of true effect. The observed adverse events reinforce the need for ongoing vigilance and caution, particularly with older devices.

A latent class analysis of PTSD symptoms among inner city primary care patients.

OBJECTIVES: Examine evidence for different subclasses of posttraumatic stress disorder (PTSD) symptoms in a sample of trauma exposed, low-income, predominantly African American men and women. Assess the relationship between PTSD subclasses with major depressive disorder (MDD) and types of trauma experienced. METHOD: Latent class analysis (LCA) using a multivariate normal mixture model on the 17-item PTSD Symptom Scale (PSS) was used to identify latent subclasses of PTSD symptoms (N = 5063). RESULTS: LCA suggested four subclasses of PTSD symptoms: (1) High severity and comorbidity (n = 932, 92.2% current PTSD, 88.7% MDD, 82% both), characterized by high PTSD symptoms, depression, and comorbidity of PTSD and MDD; (2) Moderate severity (n = 1179, 56.5% current PTSD, 53.9% MDD, 34.5% both), which had high avoidance and hyper-vigilance symptoms compared to the other symptoms; (3) Low PTSD and high depression (n = 657, 12.8% current PTSD, 49.9% MDD, 8.8% both) which had high insomnia but otherwise low PTSD symptoms and high depression; and (4) Resilient (n = 2295, 2.0% current PTSD, 16.4% MDD, and 0.6% both) characterized by low mean scores on all PTSD symptoms and depression. CONCLUSIONS: The results suggest avoidance and hyper-vigilance are important symptoms in PTSD development and insomnia may be an important indicator for depression. The combination of severe insomnia, avoidance, and hyper-vigilance may be key symptoms for comorbidity of PTSD and MDD. Future studies should focus on these symptoms to better target people at high risk for developing PTSD or MDD.