External Validation and Further Exploration of Fall Prediction Models Based on Questionnaires and Daily-Life Trunk Accelerometry.

Ambulatory measurements of trunk accelerations can provide valuable insight into the amount and quality of daily life activities. Such information has been used to create models to identify individuals at high risk of falls. However, external validation of such prediction models is lacking, yet crucial for clinical implementation. We externally validated 3 previously described fall prediction models. Complete questionnaires and 1-week trunk acceleration data were obtained from 263 community-dwelling people (mean age 71.8 years, 68.1% female). To validate models, we first used the coefficients and optimal cutoffs from the original cohort, then recalibrated the original models, as well as optimized parameters based on our new cohort. Among all participants, 39.9% experienced falls during a 6-month follow-up. All models showed poor precision (0.20-0.49), poor sensitivity (0.32-0.58), and good specificity (0.45-0.89). Calibration of the original models had limited effect on model performance. Using coefficients and cutoffs optimized on the external cohort also had limited benefits. Lastly, the odds ratios in our cohort were different from those in the original cohort, which indicated that gait characteristics, except for the index of harmonicity ML (medial-lateral direction), were not statistically associated with falls. Fall risk prediction in our cohort was not as effective as in the original cohort. Recalibration as well as optimized model parameters resulted in a limited increase in accuracy. Fall prediction models are highly specific to the cohort studied. This highlights the need for large representative cohorts, preferably with an external validation cohort.

Strong relationship of muscle force and fall efficacy, but not of gait kinematics, with number of falls in the year after Total Hip Arthroplasty for osteoarthritis: An exploratory study.

BACKGROUND: In people with moderate hip osteoarthritis, gait kinematics was reported to be correlated with number of falls in the preceding year. After Total Hip Arthroplasty, subjects generally improve but still fall. The present study explores recovery and correlations with number of falls in the year after Total Hip Arthroplasty. METHODS: We assessed 12 patients one year after Total Hip Arthroplasty, 12 patients with moderate hip osteoarthritis with at least one fall in the preceding year, and 12 healthy peers. Maximum hip abduction strength, Fall Efficacy Scale - International, Harris Hip Score, pain, and number of falls in the preceding year were assessed. Participants walked on a treadmill with increasing speeds, and gait kinematics were registered optoelectronically. We assessed group differences, and correlations of all variables with number of falls. FINDINGS: After arthroplasty, subjects tended to score better on variables measured, often non-significantly, compared to subjects with moderate osteoarthritis, but worse than healthy peers. Maximum hip abduction strength together with fall efficacy had a strong regression on the number of falls in the preceding year (R2 = 92%). Gait kinematics did not correlate with number of falls, and also fall efficacy was not related to gait kinematics. INTERPRETATION: One year after hip arthroplasty, muscle strength sufficiently recovered for normal walking, but not to avoid falling in risky situations. Rehabilitation should focus on muscle strength. The lack of correlation between the Fall Efficacy International and gait kinematics, suggests that it reflected the experience of having fallen rather than fear.

Responsiveness of Daily Life Gait Quality Characteristics over One Year in Older Adults Who Experienced a Fall or Engaged in Balance Exercise.

Gait quality characteristics obtained from daily-life accelerometry are clinically relevant for fall risk in older adults but it is unknown whether these characteristics are responsive to changes in gait quality. We aimed to test whether accelerometry-based daily-life gait quality characteristics are reliable and responsive to changes over one year in older adults who experienced a fall or an exercise intervention. One-week trunk acceleration data were collected from 522 participants (65-97 years), at baseline and after one year. We calculated median values of walking speed, regularity (sample entropy), stability (logarithmic rate of divergence per stride), and a gait quality composite score, across all 10-s gait epochs derived from one-week gait episodes. Intraclass correlation coefficients (ICC) and limits of agreement (LOA) were determined for 198 participants who did not fall nor participated in an exercise intervention during follow-up. For responsiveness to change, we determined the number of participants who fell (n = 209) or participated in an exercise intervention (n = 115) that showed a change beyond the LOA. ICCs for agreement between baseline and follow-up exceeded 0.70 for all gait quality characteristics except for vertical gait stability (ICC = 0.69, 95% CI [0.62, 0.75]) and walking speed (ICC = 0.68, 95% CI [0.62, 0.74]). Only walking speed, vertical and mediolateral gait stability changed significantly in the exercisers over one year but effect sizes were below 0.2. The characteristic associated with most fallers beyond the LOA was mediolateral sample entropy (4.8% of fallers). For the exercisers, this was gait stability in three directions and the gait quality composite score (2.6% of exercisers). The gait quality characteristics obtained by median values over one week of trunk accelerometry were not responsive to presumed changes in gait quality after a fall or an exercise intervention in older people. This is likely due to large (within subjects) differences in gait behaviour that participants show in daily life.

The short- and long-term temporal relation between falls and concern about falling in older adults without a recent history of falling.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: The reciprocal relation between falling and concern about falling is complex and not well understood. We aimed to determine whether concern about falling increases after a fall and whether concern about falling increases the odds of future falls in community-dwelling older adults without a recent fall history. METHODS: We selected 118 community-dwelling older adults (mean age: 71.4 (SD: 5.3) years) without a self-reported history of falling, one year prior to baseline assessment, from the one-year VIBE cohort for analyses. On a monthly basis, we recorded concern about falling (using the Falls Efficacy Scale-International, FES-I), as well as the occurrence of falls (through questionnaires and telephone calls). We determined 1) whether falling predicts an increase in concern about falling and 2) whether a high concern about falling is predictive of falling. Standard linear (fixed-effects) regression and mixed effects regression analyses were performed over long-term, i.e. one year, and short-term, i.e. one-month, intervals, respectively and were adjusted for gender, age and physical activity (quantified as the average total walking duration per day). Analyses were performed separately for all reported falls and for injurious falls only. RESULTS: High concern about falling at baseline did not predict falls over the course of one year, nor over the course of one month. Furthermore, falls in between baseline assessment and one year thereafter did not predict increased concern about falling from baseline to one year later, independent of whether all falls or only injurious falls were considered. However, falls, either all or injurious only, happening somewhere over the course of a one-month interval, significantly predicted small increases in concern about falling (1.49 FES-I points, 95% CI [0.74, 2.25], p<0.001 for all falls; 2.60 FES-I points, 95% CI [1.55, 3.64], p<0.001 for injurious falls) from the start to the end of that one-month interval. CONCLUSION: Older adults without a recent history of falling seem to be resilient against developing concern about falling after having fallen, resulting in a short-term temporary effect of falling on concern about falling. Furthermore, we found no evidence that a high concern about falling predicts future falls over a one-month or a one-year follow-up period, suggesting that concern is not a primary cause for falls in older adults without a recent history of falling.

Association between Daily-Life Gait Quality Characteristics and Physiological Fall Risk in Older People.

Gait quality characteristics obtained from accelerometry during daily life are predictive of falls in older people but it is unclear how they relate to fall risk. Our aim was to test whether these gait quality characteristics are associated with the severity of fall risk. We collected one week of trunk accelerometry data from 279 older people (aged 65-95 years; 69.5% female). We used linear regression to investigate the association between six daily-life gait quality characteristics and categorized physiological fall risk (QuickScreen). Logarithmic rate of divergence in the vertical (VT) and anteroposterior (AP) direction were significantly associated with the level of fall risk after correction for walking speed (both p < 0.01). Sample entropy in VT and the mediolateral direction and the gait quality composite were not significantly associated with the level of fall risk. We found significant differences between the high fall risk group and the very low- and low-risk groups, the moderate- and very low-risk and the moderate and low-risk groups for logarithmic rate of divergence in VT and AP (all p ≤ 0.01). We conclude that logarithmic rate of divergence in VT and AP are associated with fall risk, making them feasible to assess the physiological fall risk in older people.

On the validity and consistency of misjudgment of stepping ability in young and older adults.

Disparities between perceived and actual physical abilities have been shown in older adults and may lead to balance loss or falls. However, it is unclear whether one's misjudgment is an inherent trait and thus consistent across different tasks, and whether this misjudgment is age-related. We measured the degree of misjudgment in young and older adults on four different stepping tasks; stepping over a raised bar, crossing a declining cord by stepping over it at a self-selected height, crossing a virtual river by stepping over it at a self-selected width, and making a recovery step after release from an inclined position. Before comparison, we carefully checked the validity of the different tasks to determine the misjudgment. No substantial differences were found in the amplitude of the misjudgment between the age groups, and the degree of misjudgment did not transfer across different stepping tasks. However, since only one task (i.e., stepping over a raised bar) met our criteria for validly assessing one's misjudgment, it remains unclear whether the degree of misjudgment is task-specific or an inherent trait. These findings stress the importance of testing the construct validity of the task, prior to the examination of the misjudgment of stepping ability.

Pain Processing in a Social Context and the Link with Psychopathic Personality Traits-An Event-Related Potential Study.

Empathy describes the ability to understand another person's feelings. Psychopathy is a disorder that is characterized by a lack of empathy. Therefore, empathy and psychopathy are interesting traits to investigate with respect to experiencing and observing pain. The present study aimed to investigate pain empathy and pain sensitivity by measuring event-related potentials (ERPs) extracted from the ongoing EEG in an interactive setup. Each participant fulfilled subsequently the role of "villain" and "victim". In addition, mode of control was modulated resulting in four different conditions; passive villain, active villain, active victim and passive victim. Response-, visual- and pain ERPs were compared between the four conditions. Furthermore, the role of psychopathic traits in these outcomes was investigated. Our findings suggested that people experience more conflict when hurting someone else than hurting themselves. Furthermore, our results indicated that self-controlled pain was experienced as more painful than uncontrolled pain. People that scored high on psychopathic traits seemed to process and experience pain differently. According to the results of the current study, social context, attention and personality traits seem to modulate pain processing and the empathic response to pain in self and others. The within-subject experimental design described here provides an excellent approach to further unravel the influence of social context and personality traits on social cognition.

Decisions in motion: passive body acceleration modulates hand choice.

In everyday life, we frequently have to decide which hand to use for a certain action. It has been suggested that for this decision the brain calculates expected costs based on action values, such as expected biomechanical costs, expected success rate, handedness, and skillfulness. Although these conclusions were based on experiments in stationary subjects, we often act while the body is in motion. We investigated how hand choice is affected by passive body motion, which directly affects the biomechanical costs of the arm movement due to its inertia. With the use of a linear motion platform, 12 right-handed subjects were sinusoidally translated (0.625 and 0.5 Hz). At 8 possible motion phases, they had to reach, using either their left or right hand, to a target presented at 1 of 11 possible locations. We predicted hand choice by calculating the expected biomechanical costs under different assumptions about the future acceleration involved in these computations, being the forthcoming acceleration during the reach, the instantaneous acceleration at target onset, or zero acceleration as if the body were stationary. Although hand choice was generally biased to use of the dominant hand, it also modulated sinusoidally with the motion, with the amplitude of the bias depending on the motion's peak acceleration. The phase of hand choice modulation was consistent with the cost model that took the instantaneous acceleration signal at target onset. This suggests that the brain relies on the bottom-up acceleration signals, and not on predictions about future accelerations, when deciding on hand choice during passive whole body motion.NEW & NOTEWORTHY Decisions of hand choice are a fundamental aspect of human behavior. Whereas these decisions are typically studied in stationary subjects, this study examines hand choice while subjects are in motion. We show that accelerations of the body, which differentially modulate the biomechanical costs of left and right hand movements, are also taken into account when deciding which hand to use for a reach, possibly based on bottom-up processing of the otolith signal.