Exploratory subgroup identification in the heterogeneous Cox model: A relatively simple procedure.

For survival analysis applications we propose a novel procedure for identifying subgroups with large treatment effects, with focus on subgroups where treatment is potentially detrimental. The approach, termed forest search, is relatively simple and flexible. All-possible subgroups are screened and selected based on hazard ratio thresholds indicative of harm with assessment according to the standard Cox model. By reversing the role of treatment one can seek to identify substantial benefit. We apply a splitting consistency criteria to identify a subgroup considered "maximally consistent with harm." The type-1 error and power for subgroup identification can be quickly approximated by numerical integration. To aid inference we describe a bootstrap bias-corrected Cox model estimator with variance estimated by a Jacknife approximation. We provide a detailed evaluation of operating characteristics in simulations and compare to virtual twins and generalized random forests where we find the proposal to have favorable performance. In particular, in our simulation setting, we find the proposed approach favorably controls the type-1 error for falsely identifying heterogeneity with higher power and classification accuracy for substantial heterogeneous effects. Two real data applications are provided for publicly available datasets from a clinical trial in oncology, and HIV.

A Prediction Model for Successful Increase of Adalimumab Dose Intervals in Patients with Crohn's Disease: Secondary Analysis of the Pragmatic Open-Label Randomised Controlled Non-inferiority LADI Trial.

BACKGROUND: In the pragmatic open-label randomised controlled non-inferiority LADI trial we showed that increasing adalimumab (ADA) dose intervals was non-inferior to conventional dosing for persistent flares in patients with Crohn's disease (CD) in clinical and biochemical remission. AIMS: To develop a prediction model to identify patients who can successfully increase their ADA dose interval based on secondary analysis of trial data. METHODS: Patients in the intervention group of the LADI trial increased ADA intervals to 3 and then to 4 weeks. The dose interval increase was defined as successful when patients had no persistent flare (> 8 weeks), no intervention-related severe adverse events, no rescue medication use during the study, and were on an increased dose interval while in clinical and biochemical remission at week 48. Prediction models were based on logistic regression with relaxed LASSO. Models were internally validated using bootstrap optimism correction. RESULTS: We included 109 patients, of which 60.6% successfully increased their dose interval. Patients that were active smokers (odds ratio [OR] 0.90), had previous CD-related intra-abdominal surgeries (OR 0.85), proximal small bowel disease (OR 0.92), an increased Harvey-Bradshaw Index (OR 0.99) or increased faecal calprotectin (OR 0.997) were less likely to successfully increase their dose interval. The model had fair discriminative ability (AUC = 0.63) and net benefit analysis showed that the model could be used to select patients who could increase their dose interval. CONCLUSION: The final prediction model seems promising to select patients who could successfully increase their ADA dose interval. The model should be validated externally before it may be applied in clinical practice. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: ClinicalTrials.gov, number NCT03172377.

Variation Between Hospitals in Outcomes and Costs of IBD Care: Results From the IBD Value Study.

BACKGROUND: Data on variation in outcomes and costs of the treatment of inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) can be used to identify areas for cost and quality improvement. It can also help healthcare providers learn from each other and strive for equity in care. We aimed to assess the variation in outcomes and costs of IBD care between hospitals. METHODS: We conducted a 12-month cohort study in 8 hospitals in the Netherlands. Patients with IBD who were treated with biologics and new small molecules were included. The percentage of variation in outcomes (following the International Consortium for Health Outcomes Measurement standard set) and costs attributable to the treating hospital were analyzed with intraclass correlation coefficients (ICCs) from case mix-adjusted (generalized) linear mixed models. RESULTS: We included 1010 patients (median age 45 years, 55% female). Clinicians reported high remission rates (83%), while patient-reported rates were lower (40%). During the 12-month follow-up, 5.2% of patients used prednisolone for more than 3 months. Hospital costs (outpatient, inpatient, and medication costs) were substantial (median: €8323 per 6 months), mainly attributed to advanced therapies (€6611). Most of the variation in outcomes and costs among patients could not be attributed to the treating hospitals, with ICCs typically between 0% and 2%. Instead, patient-level characteristics, often with ICCs above 50%, accounted for these variations. CONCLUSIONS: Variation in outcomes and costs cannot be used to differentiate between hospitals for quality of care. Future quality improvement initiatives should look at differences in structure and process measures of care and implement patient-level interventions to improve quality of IBD care. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NL8276.

Variation in outcomes and costs cannot be used to differentiate between hospitals for quality of inflammatory bowel disease care. Future quality improvement initiatives should look at differences in structure and process measures and implement patient-level interventions to improve quality of inflammatory bowel disease care.

The National Wastewater Surveillance System (NWSS): From inception to widespread coverage, 2020-2022, United States.

Wastewater surveillance is a valuable tool that can be used to track infectious diseases in a community. In September 2020, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) established the National Wastewater Surveillance System (NWSS) to coordinate and build the nation's capacity to detect and quantify concentrations of SARS-CoV-2 RNA in U.S. wastewater. This is the first surveillance summary of NWSS, covering September 1, 2020 to December 31, 2022. Through partnerships with state, tribal, local, and territorial health departments, NWSS became a national surveillance platform that can be readily expanded and adapted to meet changing public health needs. Beginning with 209 sampling sites in September 2020, NWSS rapidly expanded to >1500 sites by December 2022, covering ≈47 % of the U.S. population. As of December 2022, >152,000 unique wastewater samples have been collected by NWSS partners, primarily from wastewater treatment plants (WWTPs). WWTPs participating in NWSS tend to be larger than the average U.S. WWTP and serve more populated communities. In December 2022, ≈8 % of the nearly 16,000 U.S. WWTPs were participating in NWSS. NWSS partners used a variety of methods for sampling and testing wastewater samples; however, progress is being made to standardize these methods. In July 2021, NWSS partners started submitting SARS-CoV-2 genome sequencing data to NWSS. In October 2022, NWSS expanded to monkeypox virus testing, with plans to include additional infectious disease targets in the future. Through the rapid implementation and expansion of NWSS, important lessons have been learned. Wastewater surveillance programs should consider both surge and long-term capacities when developing an implementation plan, and early standardization of sampling and testing methods is important to facilitate data comparisons across sites. NWSS has proven to be a flexible and sustainable surveillance system that will continue to be a useful complement to case-based surveillance for guiding public health action.

High refill-adherence to adalimumab is associated with low disease activity in patients with inflammatory bowel disease.

PURPOSE: Adalimumab has evolved to one of the more affordable first-line biologics for the treatment of inflammatory bowel disease (IBD), since its patent expired. However, poor adherence to adalimumab is a concern and may limit its effectiveness. It is plausible that good adherence improves treatment outcomes in IBD patients, but evidence is scarce. The aim of this study was to assess whether high refill-adherence (medication possession ratio (MPR) ≥ 80%) to adalimumab is associated with less active disease in IBD patients. METHODS: In this retrospective study, the MPR was used to assess refill-adherence of IBD patients using adalimumab. Disease activity was defined as a composite endpoint determined by endoscopy findings, laboratory results, validated questionnaires and clinical assessment by a gastroenterologist. Logistic regression was used to determine the association between high refill-adherence (MPR ≥ 80%) and disease activity. RESULTS: IBD was in remission in 72 of the 113 included patients and 41 had active disease at the time of the most recent prescription. Out of the patients who were in remission, 86.1% were adherent vs. 75.6% in patients with active disease. High refill-adherence was significantly associated with lower odds of active disease after adjustment for confounders: adjusted odds ratio 0.297, 95% confidence interval 0.099-0.892. CONCLUSION: High refill-adherence to adalimumab therapy was associated with less active disease in IBD patients. Our results confirm the relevance of good adherence to adalimumab for achieving optimal treatment results, which may limit the need for switching to more expensive biologics.

Interobserver agreement of current and new proposed endoscopic scores for postoperative recurrence in Crohn's disease.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The modified Rutgeerts' score (mRS) is widely used for the assessment of endoscopic postoperative recurrence (ePOR) in Crohn's disease (CD) after ileocolic resection to guide therapeutic decisions. To improve the validity and prognostic value of this endoscopic assessment, two new scores have been proposed. This study assessed the interobserver agreement of the current (mRS) and new endoscopic scores for ePOR in CD. METHODS: Sixteen Dutch academic and non-academic IBD specialists assessed endoscopic videos (n=71) of postoperative CD patients (n=66) retrieved from nine Dutch centers. Each video was assessed for the degree of inflammation by four gastroenterologists using the mRS and the new proposed endoscopic score: REMIND score (separate score of anastomosis and neoterminal ileum) and updated Rutgeerts score (assessment of lesions at the anastomotic line, ileal inlet, ileal body and neoterminal ileum). In addition, lesions at the ileal body, ileal inlet, neoterminal ileum, colonic and/or ileal blind loop were separately assessed. Interobserver agreement was assessed using Fleiss' weighted kappa. RESULTS: Fleiss' weighted kappa for the mRS was 0.67 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.59-0.74). The weighted kappa for the REMIND score was 0.73 (95% CI 0.65-0.80) for lesions in the neoterminal ileum and 0.46 (95% CI 0.35-0.58) for anastomotic lesions. The weighted kappa for the updated Rutgeerts' score was 0.69 (95% CI 0.62-0.77). The weighted kappa for lesions in the ileal body, ileal inlet, neoterminal ileum, colonic and ileal blind loop was 0.61 (95% CI 0.49-0.73), 0.63 (95% CI 0.54-0.72), 0.61 (95% CI 0.49-0.74), 0.83 (95% CI 0.62-1.00) and 0.68 (95% CI 0.46-0.89). CONCLUSION: The interobserver agreement of the mRS is substantial. Similarly, the interobserver agreement is substantial for the updated Rutgeerts' score. According to the REMIND score, the interobserver agreement was substantial for lesions in the neoterminal ileum, whereas only moderate for anastomotic lesions. Since therapeutic decisions in clinical practice are based on these assessments and these scores are used as outcome measure in clinical studies, further improvement of the interobserver agreement is essential.

Is inadequate risk stratification diluting hazard ratio estimates in randomized clinical trials?

In randomized clinical trials, analyses of time-to-event data without risk stratification, or with stratification based on pre-selected factors revealed at the end of the trial to be at most weakly associated with risk, are quite common. We caution that such analyses are likely delivering hazard ratio estimates that unwittingly dilute the evidence of benefit for the test relative to the control treatment. To make our case, first, we use a hypothetical scenario to contrast risk-unstratified and risk-stratified hazard ratios. Thereafter, we draw attention to the previously published 5-step stratified testing and amalgamation routine (5-STAR) approach in which a pre-specified treatment-blinded algorithm is applied to survival times from the trial to partition patients into well-separated risk strata using baseline covariates determined to be jointly strongly prognostic for event risk. After treatment unblinding, a treatment comparison is done within each risk stratum and stratum-level results are averaged for overall inference. For illustration, we use 5-STAR to reanalyze data for the primary and key secondary time-to-event endpoints from three published cardiovascular outcomes trials. The results show that the 5-STAR estimate is typically smaller (i.e. more in favor of the test treatment) than the originally reported (traditional) estimate. This is not surprising because 5-STAR mitigates the presumed dilution bias in the traditional hazard ratio estimate caused by no or inadequate risk stratification, as evidenced by two detailed examples. Pre-selection of stratification factors at the trial design stage to achieve adequate risk stratification for the analysis will often be challenging. In such settings, an objective risk stratification approach such as 5-STAR, which is partly aligned with guidance from the US Food and Drug Administration on covariate-adjustment in clinical trials, is worthy of consideration.

Prognostic Value of the Modified Rutgeerts Score for Long-Term Outcomes After Primary Ileocecal Resection in Crohn's Disease.

INTRODUCTION: The prognostic value of the modified Rutgeerts score (mRS) in patients with Crohn's disease (CD) needs to be further elucidated. This study assessed the prognostic value of the mRS for long-term outcomes after primary ileocecal resection in patients with CD. METHODS: Patients with CD after primary ileocecal resection with an available mRS at first postoperative ileocolonoscopy (index mRS) were retrospectively included. The primary outcome was surgical recurrence. Secondary outcomes were clinical recurrence and progression to severe endoscopic recurrence (≥i3). Cox proportional hazard models were used to assess the association between index mRS and outcomes. RESULTS: Six hundred fifty-two patients were included (mean follow-up: 6.4 years, SD: 4.6). Surgical recurrence rates were 7.7%, 5.3%, 12.9%, 19.1%, 28.8%, 47.8% for index mRS i0, i1, i2a, i2b, i3, and i4, respectively. Clinical recurrence occurred in 42.2% (i0), 53.7% (i1), 58.5% (i2a), 80.2% (i2b), 79.4% (i3), and 95.3% (i4) of patients. Progression to severe endoscopic recurrence occurred in 21.1% (i0), 33.9% (i1), 26.8% (i2a), and 33.3% (i2b) of patients. An index mRS of i2b (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 3.0; 1.5-5.6), i3 (aHR 4.0; 2.0-7.9) and i4 (aHR 8.0; 4.0-16.0) were associated with surgical recurrence. An index mRS of i1 (aHR 1.7; 1.2-2.4), i2a (aHR 1.7; 1.2-2.4), i2b (aHR 4.4; 3.2-6.0), i3 (aHR 3.6; 2.5-5.2), and i4 (aHR 7.3; 4.8-10.9) were associated with clinical recurrence. An index mRS of i1 (aHR 2.0; 1.1-3.7) or i2b (aHR 2.5; 1.4-4.6) was associated with progression to severe endoscopic recurrence. DISCUSSION: The increasing mRS corresponds closely with the risk of surgical and clinical recurrence. An index mRS ≥ i2b is associated with surgical recurrence, an index mRS ≥ i1 is associated with clinical recurrence, and i1 or i2b with progression to severe endoscopic recurrence. These results support tight monitoring of disease activity and treatment optimization in patients with ileal lesions and a more conservative management in patients with anastomotic lesions.

Validity of the self-administered comorbidity questionnaire in patients with inflammatory bowel disease.

Background: The International Consortium for Health Outcomes Measurement has selected the self-administered comorbidity questionnaire (SCQ) to adjust case-mix when comparing outcomes of inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) treatment between healthcare providers. However, the SCQ has not been validated for use in IBD patients. Objectives: We assessed the validity of the SCQ for measuring comorbidities in IBD patients. Design: Cohort study. Methods: We assessed the criterion validity of the SCQ for IBD patients by comparing patient-reported and clinician-reported comorbidities (as noted in the electronic health record) of the 13 diseases of the SCQ using Cohen's kappa. Construct validity was assessed using the Spearman correlation coefficient between the SCQ and the Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI), clinician-reported SCQ, quality of life, IBD-related healthcare and productivity costs, prevalence of disability, and IBD disease activity. We assessed responsiveness by correlating changes in the SCQ with changes in healthcare costs, productivity costs, quality of life, and disease activity after 15 months. Results: We included 613 patients. At least fair agreement (κ > 0.20) was found for most comorbidities, but the agreement was slight (κ < 0.20) for stomach disease [κ = 0.19, 95% CI (-0.03; 0.41)], blood disease [κ = 0.02, 95% CI (-0.06; 0.11)], and back pain [κ = 0.18, 95% CI (0.11; 0.25)]. Correlations were found between the SCQ and the clinician-reported SCQ [ρ = 0.60, 95% CI (0.55; 0.66)], CCI [ρ = 0.39, 95% CI (0.31; 0.45)], the prevalence of disability [ρ = 0.23, 95% CI (0.15; 0.32)], and quality of life [ρ = -0.30, 95% CI (-0.37; -0.22)], but not between the SCQ and healthcare or productivity costs or disease activity (|ρ| ⩽ 0.2). A change in the SCQ after 15 months was not correlated with a change in any of the outcomes. Conclusion: The SCQ is a valid tool for measuring comorbidity in IBD patients, but face and content validity should be improved before being used to correct case-mix differences.

Preoperative screening and prehabilitation strategies prior to ileocolic resection in patients with Crohn's disease are not incorporated in routine care.

PURPOSE: Recently, recommendations on perioperative care have been published to optimize postoperative outcomes in preoperative patients with inflammatory bowel disease. This study evaluated the current use of preoperative screening and prehabilitation strategies (PS) prior to elective ileocolic resection (ICR) in patients with Crohn's disease (CD). METHODS: Patients with CD who underwent an elective ICR were identified from a Dutch prospective cohort study. Primary endpoint was to evaluate to what extent IBD-relevant PS were applied in patients with CD prior to ICR according to the current recommendations. RESULTS: In total, 109 CD patients were included. Screening of nutritional status was performed in 56% of the patients and revealed malnutrition in 46% of these patients. Of the malnourished patients, 46% was referred to a dietitian. Active smoking and alcohol consumption were reported in 20% and 28%; none of these patients were referred for a cessation program. A preoperative anemia was diagnosed in 61%, and ferritin levels were assessed in 26% of these patients. Iron therapy was started in 25% of the patients with an iron deficiency anemia. Exposure to corticosteroids at time of ICR was reported in 29% and weaned off in 3%. Consultation of a dietitian, psychologist, and physiotherapist was reported in 36%, 7%, and 3%. Physical fitness was assessed in none of the patients. CONCLUSION: PS are not routinely applied and not individually tailored in the preoperative setting prior to elective ICR in patients with CD. Prior to implementation, future research on the costs and effectiveness of PS on postoperative outcomes and quality of life is necessary.

Impact of timing of primary ileocecal resection on prognosis in patients with Crohn's disease.

BACKGROUND: The advantage of early ileocecal resection after Crohn's disease diagnosis is a matter of debate. This study aims to assess the timing of ileocecal resection on prognosis, after correction for possible confounders. METHODS: Patients with Crohn's disease with primary ileocecal resection between 2000 and 2019 were included in a retrospective multicentre cohort. The primary endpoint was endoscopic recurrence (Rutgeerts score ≥i2b) within 18 months. Secondary endpoints were escalation of inflammatory bowel disease medication within 18 months and re-resection during follow-up. The association between timing of ileocecal resection and these endpoints was investigated using multivariable proportional hazard models, corrected for covariates including Montreal classification, postoperative prophylaxis, smoking, indication for surgery, medication before ileocecal resection, perianal fistulas, surgical approach, histology, length of resected segment and calendar year. RESULTS: In 822 patients ileocecal resection was performed after a median of 3.1 years (i.q.r. 0.7-8.0) after Crohn's disease diagnosis. The lowest incidence of endoscopic recurrence, escalation of inflammatory bowel disease medication and re-resection was observed for patients undergoing ileocecal resection shortly after diagnosis (0-1 months). After correction for covariates, patients with ileocecal resection at 0, 4 and 12 months after diagnosis had a cumulative incidence of 35 per cent, 48 per cent and 39 per cent for endoscopic recurrence, 20 per cent, 29 per cent and 28 per cent for escalation of inflammatory bowel disease medication and 20 per cent, 30 per cent and 34 per cent for re-resection, respectively. In the multivariable model ileocolonic disease (HR 1.39 (95 per cent c.i. 1.05 to 1.86)), microscopic inflammation of proximal and distal resection margins (HR 2.20 (95 per cent c.i. 1.21 to 3.87)) and postoperative prophylactic biological and immunomodulator (HR 0.16 (95 per cent c.i. 0.05 to 0.43)) were associated with endoscopic recurrence. CONCLUSION: The timing of ileocecal resection was not associated with a change of disease course; in the multivariable model, the postoperative recurrence was not affected by timing of ileocecal resection.

Sex differences in innate and adaptive immunity impact fetal, placental, and maternal health†.

The differences between males and females begin shortly after birth, continue throughout prenatal development, and eventually extend into childhood and adult life. Male embryos and fetuses prioritize proliferation and growth, often at the expense of the fetoplacental energy reserves. This singular focus on growth over adaptability leaves male fetuses and neonates vulnerable to adverse outcomes during pregnancy and birth and can have lasting impacts throughout life. Beyond this prioritization of growth, male placentas and fetuses also respond to infection and inflammation differently than female counterparts. Pregnancies carrying female fetuses have a more regulatory immune response, whereas pregnancies carrying male fetuses have a stronger inflammatory response. These differences can be seen as early as the innate immune response with differences in cytokine and chemokine signaling. The sexual dimorphism in immunity then continues into the adaptive immune response with differences in T-cell biology and antibody production and transfer. As it appears that these sex-specific differences are amplified in pathologic pregnancies, it stands to reason that differences in the placental, fetal, and maternal immune responses in pregnancy contribute to increased male perinatal morbidity and mortality. In this review, we will describe the genetic and hormonal contributions to the sexual dimorphism of fetal and placental immunity. We will also discuss current research efforts to describe the sex-specific differences of the maternal-fetal interface and how it impacts fetal and maternal health.

Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Increased Adalimumab Dose Intervals in Crohn's Disease Patients in Stable Remission: The Randomized Controlled LADI Trial.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: We aimed to assess cost-effectiveness of increasing adalimumab dose intervals compared to the conventional dosing interval in patients with Crohn's disease [CD] in stable clinical and biochemical remission. DESIGN: We conducted a pragmatic, open-label, randomized controlled non-inferiority trial, comparing increased adalimumab intervals with the 2-weekly interval in adult CD patients in clinical remission. Quality of life was measured with the EQ-5D-5L. Costs were measured from a societal perspective. Results are shown as differences and incremental net monetary benefit [iNMB] at relevant willingness to accept [WTA] levels. RESULTS: We randomized 174 patients to the intervention [n = 113] and control [n = 61] groups. No difference was found in utility (difference: -0.017, 95% confidence interval [-0.044; 0.004]) and total costs (-€943, [-€2226; €1367]) over the 48-week study period between the two groups. Medication costs per patient were lower (-€2545, [-€2780; -€2192]) in the intervention group, but non-medication healthcare (+€474, [+€149; +€952]) and patient costs (+€365 [+€92; €1058]) were higher. Cost-utility analysis showed that the iNMB was €594 [-€2099; €2050], €69 [-€2908; €1965] and -€455 [-€4,096; €1984] at WTA levels of €20 000, €50 000 and €80 000, respectively. Increasing adalimumab dose intervals was more likely to be cost-effective at WTA levels below €53 960 per quality-adjusted life year. Above €53 960 continuing the conventional dose interval was more likely to be cost-effective. CONCLUSION: When the loss of a quality-adjusted life year is valued at less than €53 960, increasing the adalimumab dose interval is a cost-effective strategy in CD patients in stable clinical and biochemical remission. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: ClinicalTrials.gov, number NCT03172377.

Increased versus conventional adalimumab dose interval for patients with Crohn's disease in stable remission (LADI): a pragmatic, open-label, non-inferiority, randomised controlled trial.

BACKGROUND: Despite its effectiveness in treating Crohn's disease, adalimumab is associated with an increased risk of infections and high health-care costs. We aimed to assess clinical outcomes of increased adalimumab dose intervals versus conventional dosing in patients with Crohn's disease in stable remission. METHODS: The LADI study was a pragmatic, open-label, multicentre, non-inferiority, parallel, randomised controlled trial, done in six academic hospitals and 14 general hospitals in the Netherlands. Adults (aged ≥18 years) diagnosed with luminal Crohn's disease (with or without concomitant perianal disease) were eligible when in steroid-free clinical and biochemical remission (defined as Harvey-Bradshaw Index [HBI] score <5, faecal calprotectin <150 µg/g, and C-reactive protein <10 mg/L) for at least 9 months on a stable dose of 40 mg subcutaneous adalimumab every 2 weeks. Patients were randomly assigned (2:1) to the intervention group or control group by the coordinating investigator using a secure web-based system with variable block randomisation (block sizes of 6, 9, and 12). Randomisation was stratified on concomitant use of thiopurines and methotrexate. Patients and health-care providers were not masked to group assignment. Patients allocated to the intervention group increased adalimumab dose intervals to 40 mg every 3 weeks at baseline and further to every 4 weeks if they remained in clinical and biochemical remission at week 24. Patients in the control group continued their 2-weekly dose interval. The primary outcome was the cumulative incidence of persistent flares at week 48 defined as the presence of at least two of the following criteria: HBI score of 5 or more, C-reactive protein 10 mg/L or more, and faecal calprotectin more than 250 µg/g for more than 8 weeks and a concurrent decrease in the adalimumab dose interval or start of escape medication. The non-inferiority margin was 15% on a risk difference scale. All analyses were done in the intention-to-treat and per-protocol populations. This trial was registered at ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT03172377, and is not recruiting. FINDINGS: Between May 3, 2017, and July 6, 2020, 174 patients were randomly assigned to the intervention group (n=113) or the control group (n=61). Four patients from the intervention group and one patient from the control group were excluded from the analysis for not meeting inclusion criteria. 85 (50%) of 169 participants were female and 84 (50%) were male. At week 48, the cumulative incidence of persistent flares in the intervention group (three [3%] of 109) was non-inferior compared with the control group (zero; pooled adjusted risk difference 1·86% [90% CI -0·35 to 4·07). Seven serious adverse events occurred, all in the intervention group, of which two (both patients with intestinal obstruction) were possibly related to the intervention. Per 100 person-years, 168·35 total adverse events, 59·99 infection-related adverse events, and 42·57 gastrointestinal adverse events occurred in the intervention group versus 134·67, 75·03, and 5·77 in the control group, respectively. INTERPRETATION: The individual benefit of increasing adalimumab dose intervals versus the risk of disease recurrence is a trade-off that should take patient preferences regarding medication and the risk of a flare into account. FUNDING: Netherlands Organisation for Health Research and Development.

Mercaptopurine for the Treatment of Ulcerative Colitis: A Randomized Placebo-Controlled Trial.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Scepticism about the efficacy of thiopurines for ulcerative colitis [UC] is rising. This study aimed to evaluate mercaptopurine treatment for UC. METHODS: In this prospective, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial, patients with active UC, despite treatment with 5-aminosalicylates [5-ASA], were randomized for therapeutic drug monitoring [TDM]-guided mercaptopurine treatment or placebo for 52 weeks. Corticosteroids were given in the first 8 weeks and 5-ASA was continued. Proactive metabolite-based mercaptopurine and placebo dose adjustments were applied from week 6 onwards by unblinded clinicians. The primary endpoint was corticosteroid-free clinical remission and endoscopic improvement [total Mayo score ≤2 points and no item >1] at week 52 in an intention-to-treat analysis. RESULTS: Between December 2016 and April 2021, 70 patients were screened and 59 were randomized at six centres. In the mercaptopurine group, 16/29 [55.2%] patients completed the 52-week study, compared to 13/30 [43.3%] on placebo. The primary endpoint was achieved by 14/29 [48.3%] patients on mercaptopurine and 3/30 [10%] receiving placebo (Δ = 38.3%, 95% confidence interval [CI] 17.1-59.4, p = 0.002). Adverse events occurred more frequently with mercaptopurine [808.8 per 100 patient-years] compared to placebo [501.4 per 100 patient-years]. Five serious adverse events occurred, four on mercaptopurine and one on placebo. TDM-based dose adjustments were executed in 22/29 [75.9%] patients, leading to lower mercaptopurine doses at week 52 compared to baseline. CONCLUSIONS: Optimized mercaptopurine treatment was superior to placebo in achieving clinical, endoscopic and histological outcomes at 1 year following corticosteroid induction treatment in UC patients. More adverse events occurred in the mercaptopurine group.

Long-term effectiveness and safety of ustekinumab in Crohn's disease: a prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Real-world data showed that ustekinumab is an effective treatment for Crohn's disease for up to 52 weeks. Yet, long-term effectiveness and safety outcomes beyond 52 weeks are limited. This study aimed to evaluate the corticosteroid-free clinical remission for up to 104 weeks. Secondary aims were focused on biochemical disease, dosing adjustments and safety outcomes. METHODS: This multicentre prospective cohort study enrolled Crohn's disease patients who started ustekinumab between May 2016 and September 2019. Participants had scheduled outpatient visits at week 0, 13, 26, 52 and 104. Data on clinical disease [Harvey Bradshaw Index (HBI) = 4 points = remission], biochemical disease (faecal calprotectin = 200 µg/g or C-reactive protein = 10 mg/l = remission), dose adjustments and adverse drug reactions (ADRs) were recorded. RESULTS: We included 101 Crohn's disease patients. In all patients, the proportion of patients in corticosteroid-free clinical remission was 35 and 36% at week 52 and 104. Of patients achieving corticosteroid-free remission at week 52, more than half maintained corticosteroid-free remission throughout week 104. Biochemical remission rates were 25 and 30% at week 52 and 104, respectively. In the first year of treatment, 33% required their first dose escalation, and 15% in the second year. Overall, 7% of patients discontinued ustekinumab due to ADRs. Ustekinumab persistency rates were 68% at week 52 and 59% at week 104. CONCLUSION: Ustekinumab is an effective and well-tolerated treatment for Crohn's disease. More than half of all patients continued ustekinumab treatment after 104 weeks whereas one-third achieved corticosteroid-free remission.

Superior Effectiveness of Tofacitinib Compared to Vedolizumab in Anti-TNF-experienced Ulcerative Colitis Patients: A Nationwide Dutch Registry Study.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Clinicians face difficulty in when and in what order to position biologics and Janus kinase inhibitors in patients with anti-tumor necrosis factor-alpha (TNF) refractory ulcerative colitis (UC). We aimed to compare the effectiveness and safety of vedolizumab and tofacitinib in anti-TNF-exposed patients with UC in our prospective nationwide Initiative on Crohn and Colitis Registry. METHODS: Patients with UC who failed anti-TNF treatment and initiated vedolizumab or tofacitinib treatment were identified in the Initiative on Crohn and Colitis Registry in the Netherlands. We selected patients with both clinical as well as biochemical or endoscopic disease activity at initiation of therapy. Patients previously treated with vedolizumab or tofacitinib were excluded. Corticosteroid-free clinical remission (Simple Clinical Colitis Activity Index ≤2), biochemical remission (C-reactive protein ≤5 mg/L or fecal calprotectin ≤250 µg/g), and safety outcomes were compared after 52 weeks of treatment. Inverse propensity score-weighted comparison was used to adjust for confounding and selection bias. RESULTS: Overall, 83 vedolizumab- and 65 tofacitinib-treated patients were included. Propensity score-weighted analysis showed that tofacitinib-treated patients were more likely to achieve corticosteroid-free clinical remission and biochemical remission at weeks 12, 24, and 52 compared with vedolizumab-treated patients (odds ratio [OR], 6.33; 95% confidence interval [CI], 3.81-10.50; P < .01; OR, 3.02; 95% CI, 1.89-4.84; P < .01; and OR, 1.86; 95% CI, 1.15-2.99; P = .01; and OR, 3.27; 95% CI, 1.96-5.45; P < .01; OR, 1.87; 95% CI, 1.14-3.07; P = .01; and OR, 1.81; 95% CI, 1.06-3.09; P = .03, respectively). There was no difference in infection rate or severe adverse events. CONCLUSIONS: Tofacitinib was associated with superior effectiveness outcomes compared with vedolizumab in anti-TNF-experienced patients with UC along with comparable safety outcomes.

Retreatment with anti-tumor necrosis factor therapy in combination with an immunomodulator for recurrence of Crohn's disease after ileocecal resection results in prolonged continuation as compared to anti-tumor necrosis factor monotherapy.

BACKGROUND: A considerable proportion of Crohn's disease patients that undergo ileocecal resection (ICR) have failed anti-tumor necrosis factor (TNF) therapy preoperatively. This study aimed to assess the effectiveness of retreatment of anti-TNF therapy in patients with postoperative recurrence. METHODS: A real-world cohort study was performed on Crohn's disease patients who underwent primary ICR after anti-TNF therapy failure, and who were retreated with anti-TNF therapy for postoperative symptomatic Crohn's disease. The primary outcome was treatment failure (the need for (re)introduction of corticosteroids, immunosuppressants, or biologicals or the need for re-resection). Sub-analyses were performed on the nature of preoperative anti-TNF failure (primary non-response, secondary loss of response, intolerance), indication for ICR (refractory, stricturing, penetrating disease), combination therapy with immunomodulators, retreatment with the same anti-TNF agent and preoperative exposure to 1 vs. >1 anti-TNF agents. RESULTS: In total, 66 of 364 patients retreated with anti-TNF therapy following ICR. Cumulative rates of treatment failure at 1 and 2 years were 28% and 47%. Treatment failure rate at 2 years was significantly lower in patients receiving combination therapy as compared to anti-TNF monotherapy (30% vs. 49%, P = 0.02). No difference in treatment failure was found with regards to the nature of preoperative anti-TNF failure (P = 0.76), indication for ICR (P = 0.88) switch of anti-TNF agent (P = 0.55) agent, and preoperative exposure to 1 vs. >1 anti-TNF agents (P = 0.88). CONCLUSION: Retreatment with anti-TNF therapy for postoperative Crohn's disease recurrence is a valid strategy after preoperative failure. Combination therapy is associated with a lower rate of treatment failure.

Effectiveness and safety of tofacitinib for ulcerative colitis: two-year results of the ICC Registry.

BACKGROUND: Tofacitinib is an oral Janus kinase (JAK) inhibitor and is registered for the treatment of ulcerative colitis (UC). The effectiveness of tofacitinib has been evaluated up to 12 months of treatment. AIM: The aim of this study was to assess the effectiveness and safety of 24 months of tofacitinib use in UC patients in the Netherlands. METHODS: Patients initiating tofacitinib treatment were included in the ICC Registry, a nationwide, observational registry. Patients were prospectively evaluated for up to 24 months. The primary outcome was corticosteroid-free clinical remission (CSFR, Simple Clinical Colitis Activity Index [SCCAI] ≤2) at week 104. Secondary outcomes included biochemical remission (C-reactive protein (CRP) ≤5 mg/L and faecal calprotectin (FC) ≤250 µg/g), safety, and discontinuation rate. RESULTS: We included 110 patients of whom 104 (94.5%) were anti-TNF experienced. After 104 weeks of tofacitinib, 31.8% (34/107) were in CSFR, 23.4% (25/107) in biochemical remission and 18.7% (20/107) in combined clinical and biochemical remission. Of the patients in CSFR at week 52, 76.5% (26/34) remained so after 104 weeks of treatment. Sixty-one patients (55.5%) discontinued tofacitinib after a median duration of 13 weeks (IQR 7-34). The main reasons for discontinuation were non-response (59%), loss of response (14.8%), and adverse events (18%). There were 33.9 possible tofacitinib-related adverse events per 100 patient-years during follow-up. Adverse events most probably related to tofacitinib were skin reactions and headaches. There were 6.4 herpes zoster infections per 100 patient-years. CONCLUSION: Tofacitinib was effective in 31.8% of patients after 24 months of treatment.

Prophylactic Medication for the Prevention of Endoscopic Recurrence in Crohn's Disease: a Prospective Study Based on Clinical Risk Stratification.

BACKGROUND: To prevent recurrence after ileocolonic resection [ICR] in Crohn's disease [CD], postoperative prophylaxis based on risk stratification is recommended in international guidelines. This study aimed to evaluate postoperative CD recurrence after implementation of a clinical management algorithm and to determine the predictive value of clinical and histological risk factors [RFs]. METHODS: In this multicentre, prospective cohort study, CD patients [≥16 years] scheduled for ICR were included. The algorithm advised no postoperative medication for low-risk patients, and treatment with prophylaxis [immunosuppressant/biological] for high-risk patients [≥1 RF: active smoking, penetrating disease, prior ICR]. Clinical and histological RFs [active inflammation, granulomas, plexitis in resection margins] for endoscopic recurrence [Rutgeerts' score ≥i2b at 6 months] were assessed using logistic regression and ROC curves based on predicted probabilities. RESULTS: In total, 213 CD patients after ICR were included [age 34.5 years; 65% women] (93 [44%] low-risk; 120 [56%] high-risk: 45 [38%] smoking; 51 [43%] penetrating disease; 51 [43%] prior ICR). Adherence to the algorithm was 82% in low-risk [no prophylaxis] and 51% in high-risk patients [prophylaxis]. Endoscopic recurrence was higher in patients treated without prophylaxis than with prophylaxis in both low [45% vs 16%, p = 0.012] and high-risk patients [49% vs 26%, p = 0.019]. Clinical risk stratification including the prescription of prophylaxis corresponded to an area under the curve [AUC] of 0.70 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.61-0.79). Clinical RFs combined with histological RFs increased the AUC to 0.73 [95% CI 0.64-0.81]. CONCLUSION: Adherence to this management algorithm is 65%. Prophylactic medication after ICR prevents endoscopic recurrence in low- and high-risk patients. Clinical risk stratification has an acceptable predictive value, but further refinement is needed.