Phenotypic and genotypic risk factors for invasive melanoma by sex and body site.

BACKGROUND: Cutaneous melanoma incidence varies consistently across body sites between men and women, but the underlying causes of the differences remain unclear. To date, no prospective studies have examined risk factors for melanoma separately for men and women according to body site. METHODS: We compared the association between constitutional, genetic and environmental risk factors for invasive melanoma on different body sites separately for men and women in a population-based prospective cohort study of 17,774 men and 21,070 women aged between 40 and 69 years and residents of Queensland, Australia at baseline in 2011. Participants were followed until December 2021.We examined risk factors including hair colour, tanning ability, naevus density, and proxies for high cumulative sun exposure, all self-reported at baseline. We also examined polygenic risk score (PRS) derived from summary statistics from a melanoma genome-wide association study meta-analysis. RESULTS: During a median 10.4 years of follow-up, 455 men and 331 women developed an incident invasive melanoma; the mean age at diagnosis was lower in women than in men (62.6 vs. 65.0, respectively). The most common body site was the trunk in men (45.1%), and the upper (36.8%) and lower limbs (27.4%) in women. High naevus density and proxy measures of high cumulative sun exposure were similarly associated with melanoma at all sites in men and women. In both sexes, high genetic risk was associated with melanoma on all body sites except the head and neck. We observed differences between men and women in the association between PRS and melanoma of the trunk (highest vs. lowest tertile of PRS: HR 2.78, 95% CI 1.64-4.69 for men; 1.55, 95% CI 0.63-3.80 for women), and non-significant but large differences for the lower limbs (HR 5.25, 95% CI 1.80-15.27 for men; 1.75, 95% CI 0.88-3.47 for women). CONCLUSIONS: While there are a number of potential explanations for these findings, this raises the possibility that genetic factors other than those related to pigmentation and naevus phenotypes may play a role in the predilection for melanoma to arise on different sites between the sexes.

Estimating the magnitude and healthcare costs of melanoma in situ and thin invasive melanoma overdiagnosis in Australia.

BACKGROUND: Research suggests a high proportion of melanoma in situ (MIS) may be overdiagnosed, potentially contributing to overtreatment, patient harm and inflated costs for individuals and healthcare systems. However, Australia-wide estimates of the magnitude of melanoma overdiagnosis are potentially outdated and there has been no estimation of the cost to the healthcare system. OBJECTIVE: To estimate the magnitude and cost of overdiagnosed MIS and thin invasive melanomas in Australia. METHODS: Using two different methods for calculating lifetime risk, we used routinely collected, national-level data to estimate overdiagnosed MIS and thin invasive melanomas (stage IA) in Australia in 2017 and 2021, separately for men and women. We multiplied the number of overdiagnosed melanomas by the estimated annual cost of a MIS or thin invasive melanoma to quantify the financial burden of melanoma overdiagnosis to the Australian healthcare system in the year following diagnosis. RESULTS: We estimated that between 67-70% of MIS were overdiagnosed in 2017, rising to 71-76% in 2021, contributing to between 19,829 (95%CI: 19,553-20,105) and 20,811 (95%CI: 20,528-21,094) overdiagnosed MIS. In 2021, the estimated costs in Australia ranged between $17.7 million (95%CI: $17.4-17.9 million) and $18.6 million (95%CI: $18.3-18.8 million). We estimated that 22-29% of thin invasive melanomas were overdiagnosed in 2017, rising to 28-34% in 2021, contributing to between 2,831 (95%CI: 2,726-2,935) and 3,168 (95%CI: 3,058-3,279) overdiagnosed thin invasive melanomas. In 2021, the estimated costs from thin invasive melanoma overdiagnoses ranged between $2.5 million (95%CI: $2.4-2.6 million) and $2.8 million (95%CI: $2.7-2.9 million). CONCLUSIONS: Melanoma overdiagnosis is a growing clinical and public health problem in Australia, producing significant economic costs in the year following overdiagnosis. Limiting melanoma overdiagnosis may prevent unnecessary healthcare resource use and improve financial sustainability within the Australian healthcare system.

Computer Vision for Gait Assessment in Cerebral Palsy: Metric Learning and Confidence Estimation.

Assessing the motor impairments of individuals with neurological disorders holds significant importance in clinical practice. Currently, these clinical assessments are time-intensive and depend on qualitative scales administered by trained healthcare professionals at the clinic. These evaluations provide only coarse snapshots of a person's abilities, failing to track quantitatively the detail and minutiae of recovery over time. To overcome these limitations, we introduce a novel machine learning approach that can be administered anywhere including home. It leverages a spatial-temporal graph convolutional network (STGCN) to extract motion characteristics from pose data obtained from monocular video captured by portable devices like smartphones and tablets. We propose an end-to-end model, achieving an accuracy rate of approximately 76.6% in assessing children with Cerebral Palsy (CP) using the Gross Motor Function Classification System (GMFCS). This represents a 5% improvement in accuracy compared to the current state-of-the-art techniques and demonstrates strong agreement with professional assessments, as indicated by the weighted Cohen's Kappa ( κlw = 0.733 ). In addition, we introduce the use of metric learning through triplet loss and self-supervised training to better handle situations with a limited number of training samples and enable confidence estimation. Setting a confidence threshold at 0.95 , we attain an impressive estimation accuracy of 88% . Notably, our method can be efficiently implemented on a wide range of mobile devices, providing real-time or near real-time results.

Does Sex Matter? Temporal Analyses of Melanoma Trends among Men and Women Suggest Etiologic Heterogeneity.

The incidence and distribution of cutaneous melanoma differ between the sexes, but it is unclear whether these differences have been constant through time or across generations. We compared incidence trends by age, sex, and anatomic site by analyzing long-term melanoma data (1982-2018) in 3 populations residing at high-, moderate-, and low-ambient sun exposure: Queensland, Australia; United States White; and Scotland. We fit age-period-cohort models and compared trends in the male-to-female incidence rate ratio by site and sex. In men, melanoma incidence was always highest on the trunk; in women, incidence was historically highest on limbs, but there have been recent increases in truncal melanoma among females in all populations. The incidence rate ratio showed excess melanoma on the lower limb in females in most age groups in all populations. In contrast, there was a male excess of melanoma on the trunk (from about age 25 years) and head/neck (from about age 40 years), which increased with age. Birth cohort analyses identified turning points in incidence from high to low incidence among recent birth cohorts, which differed by population and site. Changing exposure to UVR is implicated, possibly superimposed upon innate differences between the sexes in site-specific susceptibility.

Skin cancers are the most frequent cancers in fair-skinned populations, but we can prevent them.

Cancers of the skin are the most commonly occurring cancers in humans. In fair-skinned populations, up to 95% of keratinocyte skin cancers and 70-95% of cutaneous melanomas are caused by ultraviolet radiation and are thus theoretically preventable. Currently, however, there is no comprehensive global advice on practical steps to be taken to reduce the toll of skin cancer. To address this gap, an expert working group comprising clinicians and researchers from Africa, America, Asia, Australia, and Europe, together with learned societies (European Association of Dermato-Oncology, Euromelanoma, Euroskin, European Union of Medical Specialists, and the Melanoma World Society) reviewed the extant evidence and issued the following evidence-based recommendations for photoprotection as a strategy to prevent skin cancer. Fair skinned people, especially children, should minimise their exposure to ultraviolet radiation, and are advised to use protective measures when the UV index is forecast to reach 3 or higher. Protective measures include a combination of seeking shade, physical protection (e.g. clothing, hat, sunglasses), and applying broad-spectrum, SPF 30 + sunscreens to uncovered skin. Intentional exposure to solar ultraviolet radiation for the purpose of sunbathing and tanning is considered an unhealthy behaviour and should be avoided. Similarly, use of solaria and other artificial sources of ultraviolet radiation to encourage tanning should be strongly discouraged, through regulation if necessary. Primary prevention of skin cancer has a positive return on investment. We encourage policymakers to communicate these messages to the general public and promote their wider implementation.

Clinical investigator perspectives on patient outcomes in children with neuronopathic mucopolysaccharidosis II during intrathecal idursulfase-IT treatment.

BACKGROUND: Mucopolysaccharidosis II (MPS II) is a rare lysosomal storage disease characterized by iduronate-2-sulfatase gene (IDS) deficiency and downstream glycosaminoglycan accumulation. Two-thirds of patients present with neuronopathic disease and evaluating cognitive function in these patients is challenging owing to limitations of currently available tests. During the clinical development of intrathecal idursulfase (idursulfase-IT), regulatory authorities requested qualitative data to further understand the neurocognitive changes observed by the investigators through the clinical trials. RESULTS: This qualitative study consisted of semi-structured interviews with all nine of the principal investigators who participated in the idursulfase-IT phase 2/3 (NCT02055118) and extension (NCT02412787) trials. These investigators enrolled the 56 patients with neuronopathic MPS II who qualified for the extension phase of the trial. The investigators were asked to rate the disease status of their patients. Of the 56 patients, 49 (88%) were rated as having disease that was improved/improving, stabilized or slowing progression compared with the expected outcomes with no treatment. Three patients were rated as worsening, while the remaining four patients were considered to have slowing progression or worsening disease. Similar results were demonstrated for patients aged from 3 to under 6 years at baseline, with 33 of 39 patients (85%) rated as having disease that was improved/improving, stabilized or slowing progression. Of the seven patients rated with slowing progression/worsening or worsening disease, five of them had an IDS variant other than missense, while two had a missense class variant. All the assigned improved/improving ratings were in patients receiving idursulfase-IT from the start of the phase 2/3 trial. Moreover, patients under 3 years of age at baseline were all rated as either improved/improving or stabilized disease. In a blinded review of patient profiles, investigators were requested to assign a disease status rating to 18 patients with large IDS deletions; 67% of these patients were rated as improved/improving or stabilized disease. CONCLUSIONS: This qualitative analysis provides a snapshot of clinicians' considerations when evaluating treatment in patients with neuronopathic MPS II, compared with the expected decline in cognitive function in the absence of treatment. The results highlight the importance of robust assessment tools in treatment evaluation.

Genetic predisposition to childhood obesity does not influence the risk of developing skin cancer in adulthood.

The relationship between body mass index (BMI) and melanoma and other skin cancers remains unclear. The objective of this study was to employ the Mendelian randomization (MR) approach to evaluate the effects of genetically predicted childhood adiposity on the risk of developing skin cancer later in life. Two-sample MR analyses were conducted using summary data from genome-wide association study (GWAS) meta-analyses of childhood BMI, melanoma, cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma (cSCC), and basal cell carcinoma (BCC). We used the inverse-variance-weighted (IVW) methods to obtain a pooled estimate across all genetic variants for childhood BMI. We performed multiple sensitivity analyses to evaluate the potential influence of various assumptions on our findings. We found no evidence that genetically predicted childhood BMI was associated with risks of developing melanoma, cSCC, or BCC in adulthood (OR, 95% CI: melanoma: 1.02 (0.93-1.13), cSCC 0.94 (0.79-1.11), BCC 0.97 (0.84-1.12)). Our findings do not support the conclusions from observational studies that childhood BMI is associated with increased risks of melanoma, cSCC, or BCC in adulthood. Intervening on childhood adiposity will not reduce the risk of common skin cancers later in life.

Comprehensive Sex-Stratified Genetic Analysis of 28 Blood Biomarkers and Depression Reveals a Significant Association between Depression and Low Levels of Total Protein in Females.

Introduction: Major depression (MD) is more common amongst women than men, and MD episodes have been associated with fluctuations in reproductive hormones amongst women. To investigate biological underpinnings of heterogeneity in MD, the associations between depression, stratified by sex and including perinatal depression (PND), and blood biomarkers, using UK Biobank (UKB) data, were evaluated, and extended to include the association of depression with biomarker polygenic scores (PGS), generated as proxy for each biomarker. Method: Using female (N = 39,761) and male (N = 38,821) UKB participants, lifetime MD and PND were tested for association with 28 blood biomarkers. A GWAS was conducted for each biomarker and genetic correlations with depression subgroups were estimated. Using independent data from the Australian Genetics of Depression Study, PGS were constructed for each biomarker, and tested for association with depression status (n [female cases/controls] = 9,006/6,442; n [male cases/controls] = 3,106/6,222). Regions of significant local genetic correlation between depression subgroups and biomarkers highlighted by the PGS analysis were identified. Results: Depression in females was significantly associated with levels of twelve biomarkers, including total protein (OR = 0.90, CI = [0.86, 0.94], p = 3.9 × 10-6) and vitamin D (OR = 0.94, CI = [0.90, 0.97], p = 2.6 × 10-4), and PND with five biomarker levels, also including total protein (OR = 0.88, CI = [0.81, 0.96], p = 4.7 × 10-3). Depression in males was significantly associated with levels of eleven biomarkers. In the independent Australian Genetics of Depression Study, PGS analysis found significant associations for female depression and PND with total protein (female depression: OR = 0.93, CI = [0.88, 0.98], p = 3.6 × 10-3; PND: OR = 0.91, CI = [0.86, 0.96], p = 1.1 × 10-3), as well as with vitamin D (female depression: OR = 0.93, CI = [0.89, 0.97], p = 2.0 × 10-3; PND: OR = 0.92, CI = [0.87, 0.97], p = 1.4 × 10-3). The male depression sample did not report any significant results, and the point estimate of total protein (OR = 0.98, CI = [0.92-1.04], p = 4.7 × 10-1) did not indicate any association. Local genetic correlation analysis highlighted significant genetic correlation between PND and total protein, located in 5q13.3 (rG = 0.68, CI = [0.33, 1.0], p = 3.6 × 10-4). Discussion and Conclusion: Multiple lines of evidence from genetic analysis highlight an association between total serum protein levels and depression in females. Further research involving prospective measurement of total protein and depressive symptoms is warranted.

Age group-specific changes in keratinocyte cancer treatment rates in Australia, 2012-2021: a retrospective cohort study based on MBS claims data.

OBJECTIVES: To examine recent changes in the numbers of Medicare-subsidised keratinocyte cancer excisions, particularly for younger people exposed to primary prevention campaigns since the early 1980s. STUDY DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study; analysis of administrative data. SETTING, PARTICIPANTS: Analysis of Medicare Benefits Schedule (MBS) claims data for procedures related to the diagnosis and treatment of keratinocyte cancer in Australia, 2012-2021. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Age-standardised rates for MBS-subsidised claims for first surgical squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) and basal cell carcinoma (BCC) excisions, Mohs surgery, surgical excisions of benign lesions, skin biopsies, and cryotherapy or serial curettage of premalignant and malignant lesions, overall, and by sex, state/territory, and age group; average annual percentage change in rate for time intervals determined by joinpoint regression. RESULTS: In men, the age-standardised rate of BCC/SCC excisions increased by 1.9% (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.4-2.4%) per year during 2012-2019 (from 2931 to 3371 per 100 000 men) and then declined by 3.8% (95% CI, 0.5-7.0%) per year during 2019-2021 (to 3152 per 100 000). In women, the age-standardised rate increased by 2.2% (95% CI, 1.7-2.8%) per year during 2012-2019 (from 1798 to 2093 per 100 000 women); the decline to 1967 excisions per 100 000 women in 2021 was not statistically significant. BCC/SCC excision rates declined for men under 55 years of age (by 1.0-3.4% per year) and women under 45 years of age (by 1.7-2.3% per year). Age-standardised biopsy rates increased during 2012-2021 in all age groups (by 2.8-6.9% per year). CONCLUSIONS: Rates of MBS-subsidised treatment for keratinocyte cancers increased during 2012-2019, but BCC/SCC treatment rates declined among younger Australians, who have probably been exposed to less sunlight than earlier generations because of public health interventions and population-wide lifestyle changes related to technology use.

Advancing clinical development for neuronopathic Hunter syndrome through a quantitatively-driven reverse translation framework.

A quantitatively-driven evaluation of existing clinical data and associated knowledge to accelerate drug discovery and development is a highly valuable approach across therapeutic areas, but remains underutilized. This is especially the case for rare diseases for which development is particularly challenging. The current work outlines an organizational framework to support a quantitatively-based reverse translation approach to clinical development. This approach was applied to characterize predictors of the trajectory of cognition in Hunter syndrome (Mucopolysaccharidosis Type II; MPS-II), a rare X-linked lysosomal storage disorder, highly heterogeneous in its course. Specifically, we considered ways to refine target populations based on age, cognitive status, and biomarkers, that is, cerebrospinal fluid glycosaminoglycans (GAG), at trial entry. Data from a total of 138 subjects (age range 2.5 to 10.1 years) from Takeda-sponsored internal studies and external natural history studies in MPS-II were included. Quantitative analyses using mixed-effects models were performed to characterize the relationships between neurocognitive outcomes and potential indicators of disease progression. Results revealed a specific trajectory in cognitive development across age with an initial progressive phase, followed by a plateau between 4 and 8 years and then a variable declining phase. Additionally, results suggest a faster decline in cognition among subjects with lower cognitive scores or with higher cerebrospinal fluid GAG at enrollment. These results support differences in the neurocognitive course of MPS-II between distinct groups of patients based on age, cognitive function, and biomarker status at enrollment. These differences should be considered when designing future clinical trials.

The effect of three years of vitamin D supplementation on erectile dysfunction: Results from the randomized placebo-controlled D-Health Trial.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Erectile dysfunction is common among older men and has been associated with low serum 25-hydroxy vitamin D concentration. However, this association may be due to uncontrolled confounding, and there is a paucity of evidence from interventional studies. We aimed to examine the effect of vitamin D supplementation on the prevalence of erectile dysfunction, in an exploratory analysis using data from a large randomized controlled trial. METHODS: The D-Health Trial recruited Australians aged 60-84 years between January 2014 and May 2015 and randomly assigned them to supplementation with 60,000 IU of vitamin D or placebo per month for up to 5 years. Blood samples were collected annually from randomly selected participants (total N = 3943). We assessed erectile dysfunction at the end of the third year of follow-up. We used log-binomial regression to examine the effect of vitamin D on the prevalence of erectile dysfunction overall, and within sub-groups. RESULTS: Of the 11,530 men enrolled, 8920 (77.4 %) completed the erectile dysfunction question and were included in the analysis. After three years of supplementation, the mean serum 25-hydroxy vitamin D concentration was 76 nmol/L (standard deviation (SD) 24.94) in the placebo group and 106 nmol/L (SD 26.76) in the vitamin D group (p < 0.0001). The prevalence of erectile dysfunction was 58.8 % and 59.0 % in the vitamin D and placebo groups, respectively (prevalence ratio 1.00, 95 % CI 0.97, 1.03); there was no evidence of an effect of vitamin D in any subgroup analyses. CONCLUSION: Supplementing older men with vitamin D is unlikely to prevent or improve erectile dysfunction. CLINICAL TRIALS REGISTRY: (ACTRN12613000743763).

Genetic Analysis of Perceived Youthfulness Reveals Differences in How Men's and Women's Age Is Assessed.

Skin aging is a natural process that occurs over time but can be accelerated by sun exposure. Measuring skin age in a large population can provide insight into the extent of skin damage from sun exposure and skin cancer risk. Understanding the genetics of skin aging, within and across sexes (males and females), could improve our understanding of the genetic drivers of both skin aging and skin cancer. We used UK Biobank data to examine the genetic overlap between perceived youthfulness and traits relevant to actinic photoaging. Our GWAS identified 22 genome-wide significant loci for women and 43 for men. The genetic correlation (rg) between perceived youthfulness in men and women was significantly less than unity (rg = 0.75, 95% confidence interval = 0.69-0.80), suggesting a gene-by-sex interaction. In women, perceived youthfulness was modestly correlated with keratinocyte cancer (rg = -0.19) and skin tanning (rg = 0.18). In men, perceived youthfulness was correlated with male-pattern baldness (rg = -0.23). This suggests that the genetic architecture of perceived youthfulness may differ between sexes, with genes influencing skin tanning and skin cancer susceptibility driving the difference in women, whereas genes influencing male-pattern baldness and other puberty-related traits drive the difference in men. We recommend that future genetic analysis of skin aging include a sex-stratified component.

Balancing the risks and benefits of sun exposure: A revised position statement for Australian adults.

OBJECTIVE: To describe the development of a new position statement regarding balancing the risks and benefits of sun exposure for Australian adults. METHODS: We conducted a Sun Exposure Summit in March 2021, with presentations from invited experts and a workshop including representation from academic, clinical, policy, and patient stakeholder organisations. The group considered advice about balancing the risks and benefits of sun exposure for Australian adults and developed a revised consensus position statement. RESULTS: The balance of risks and benefits of sun exposure is not the same for everybody. For people at very high risk of skin cancer, the risks of exposure likely outweigh the benefits; sun protection is essential. Conversely, people with deeply pigmented skin are at low risk of skin cancer but at high risk of vitamin D deficiency; routine sun protection is not recommended. For those at intermediate risk of skin cancer, sun protection remains a priority, but individuals may obtain sufficient sun exposure to maintain adequate vitamin D status. CONCLUSIONS: The new position statement provides sun exposure advice that explicitly recognises the differing needs of Australia's diverse population. IMPLICATIONS FOR PUBLIC HEALTH: Mass communication campaigns should retain the focus on skin cancer prevention. The new position statement will support the delivery of personalised advice.

The effect of intrathecal recombinant arylsulfatase A therapy on structural brain magnetic resonance imaging in children with metachromatic leukodystrophy.

This study aimed to evaluate the effect of intrathecal (IT) recombinant human arylsulfatase A (rhASA) on magnetic resonance imaging (MRI)-assessed brain tissue changes in children with metachromatic leukodystrophy (MLD). In total, 510 MRI scans were collected from 12 intravenous (IV) rhASA-treated children with MLD, 24 IT rhASA-treated children with MLD, 32 children with untreated MLD, and 156 normally developing children. Linear mixed models were fitted to analyze the time courses of gray matter (GM) volume and fractional anisotropy (FA) in the posterior limb of the internal capsule. Time courses for demyelination load and FA in the centrum semiovale were visualized using locally estimated scatterplot smoothing regression curves. All assessed imaging parameters demonstrated structural evidence of neurological deterioration in children with MLD. GM volume was significantly lower at follow-up (median duration, 104 weeks) in IV rhASA-treated versus IT rhASA-treated children. GM volume decline over time was steeper in children receiving low-dose (10 or 30 mg) versus high-dose (100 mg) IT rhASA. Similar effects were observed for demyelination. FA in the posterior limb of the internal capsule showed a higher trend over time in IT rhASA-treated versus children with untreated MLD, but FA parameters were not different between children receiving the low doses versus those receiving the high dose. GM volume in IT rhASA-treated children showed a strong positive correlation with 88-item Gross Motor Function Measure score over time. In some children with MLD, IT administration of high-dose rhASA may delay neurological deterioration (assessed using MRI), offering potential therapeutic benefit.

Genome-wide association study meta-analysis of dizygotic twinning illuminates genetic regulation of female fecundity.

STUDY QUESTION: Which genetic factors regulate female propensity for giving birth to spontaneous dizygotic (DZ) twins? SUMMARY ANSWER: We identified four new loci, GNRH1, FSHR, ZFPM1, and IPO8, in addition to previously identified loci, FSHB and SMAD3. WHAT IS KNOWN ALREADY: The propensity to give birth to DZ twins runs in families. Earlier, we reported that FSHB and SMAD3 as associated with DZ twinning and female fertility measures. STUDY DESIGN, SIZE, DURATION: We conducted a genome-wide association meta-analysis (GWAMA) of mothers of spontaneous dizygotic (DZ) twins (8265 cases, 264 567 controls) and of independent DZ twin offspring (26 252 cases, 417 433 controls). PARTICIPANTS/MATERIALS, SETTING, METHODS: Over 700 000 mothers of DZ twins, twin individuals and singletons from large cohorts in Australia/New Zealand, Europe, and the USA were carefully screened to exclude twins born after use of ARTs. Genetic association analyses by cohort were followed by meta-analysis, phenome wide association studies (PheWAS), in silico and in vivo annotations, and Zebrafish functional validation. MAIN RESULTS AND THE ROLE OF CHANCE: This study enlarges the sample size considerably from previous efforts, finding four genome-wide significant loci, including two novel signals and a further two novel genes that are implicated by gene level enrichment analyses. The novel loci, GNRH1 and FSHR, have well-established roles in female reproduction whereas ZFPM1 and IPO8 have not previously been implicated in female fertility. We found significant genetic correlations with multiple aspects of female reproduction and body size as well as evidence for significant selection against DZ twinning during human evolution. The 26 top single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) from our GWAMA in European-origin participants weakly predicted the crude twinning rates in 47 non-European populations (r = 0.23 between risk score and population prevalence, s.e. 0.11, 1-tail P = 0.058) indicating that genome-wide association studies (GWAS) are needed in African and Asian populations to explore the causes of their respectively high and low DZ twinning rates. In vivo functional tests in zebrafish for IPO8 validated its essential role in female, but not male, fertility. In most regions, risk SNPs linked to known expression quantitative trait loci (eQTLs). Top SNPs were associated with in vivo reproductive hormone levels with the top pathways including hormone ligand binding receptors and the ovulation cycle. LARGE SCALE DATA: The full DZT GWAS summary statistics will made available after publication through the GWAS catalog (https://www.ebi.ac.uk/gwas/). LIMITATIONS, REASONS FOR CAUTION: Our study only included European ancestry cohorts. Inclusion of data from Africa (with the highest twining rate) and Asia (with the lowest rate) would illuminate further the biology of twinning and female fertility. WIDER IMPLICATIONS OF THE FINDINGS: About one in 40 babies born in the world is a twin and there is much speculation on why twinning runs in families. We hope our results will inform investigations of ovarian response in new and existing ARTs and the causes of female infertility. STUDY FUNDING/COMPETING INTEREST(S): Support for the Netherlands Twin Register came from the Netherlands Organization for Scientific Research (NWO) and The Netherlands Organization for Health Research and Development (ZonMW) grants, 904-61-193, 480-04-004, 400-05-717, Addiction-31160008, 911-09-032, Biobanking and Biomolecular Resources Research Infrastructure (BBMRI.NL, 184.021.007), Royal Netherlands Academy of Science Professor Award (PAH/6635) to DIB, European Research Council (ERC-230374), Rutgers University Cell and DNA Repository (NIMH U24 MH068457-06), the Avera Institute, Sioux Falls, South Dakota (USA) and the National Institutes of Health (NIH R01 HD042157-01A1) and the Genetic Association Information Network (GAIN) of the Foundation for the National Institutes of Health and Grand Opportunity grants 1RC2 MH089951. The QIMR Berghofer Medical Research Institute (QIMR) study was supported by grants from the National Health and Medical Research Council (NHMRC) of Australia (241944, 339462, 389927, 389875, 389891, 389892, 389938, 443036, 442915, 442981, 496610, 496739, 552485, 552498, 1050208, 1075175). L.Y. is funded by Australian Research Council (Grant number DE200100425). The Minnesota Center for Twin and Family Research (MCTFR) was supported in part by USPHS Grants from the National Institute on Alcohol Abuse and Alcoholism (AA09367 and AA11886) and the National Institute on Drug Abuse (DA05147, DA13240, and DA024417). The Women's Genome Health Study (WGHS) was funded by the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (HL043851 and HL080467) and the National Cancer Institute (CA047988 and UM1CA182913), with support for genotyping provided by Amgen. Data collection in the Finnish Twin Registry has been supported by the Wellcome Trust Sanger Institute, the Broad Institute, ENGAGE-European Network for Genetic and Genomic Epidemiology, FP7-HEALTH-F4-2007, grant agreement number 201413, National Institute of Alcohol Abuse and Alcoholism (grants AA-12502, AA-00145, AA-09203, AA15416, and K02AA018755) and the Academy of Finland (grants 100499, 205585, 118555, 141054, 264146, 308248, 312073 and 336823 to J. Kaprio). TwinsUK is funded by the Wellcome Trust, Medical Research Council, Versus Arthritis, European Union Horizon 2020, Chronic Disease Research Foundation (CDRF), Zoe Ltd and the National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) Clinical Research Network (CRN) and Biomedical Research Centre based at Guy's and St Thomas' NHS Foundation Trust in partnership with King's College London. For NESDA, funding was obtained from the Netherlands Organization for Scientific Research (Geestkracht program grant 10000-1002), the Center for Medical Systems Biology (CSMB, NVVO Genomics), Biobanking and Biomolecular Resources Research Infrastructure (BBMRI-NL), VU University's Institutes for Health and Care Research (EMGO+) and Neuroscience Campus Amsterdam, University Medical Center Groningen, Leiden University Medical Center, National Institutes of Health (NIH, ROI D0042157-01A, MH081802, Grand Opportunity grants 1 RC2 Ml-1089951 and IRC2 MH089995). Part of the genotyping and analyses were funded by the Genetic Association Information Network (GAIN) of the Foundation for the National Institutes of Health. Computing was supported by BiG Grid, the Dutch e-Science Grid, which is financially supported by NWO. Work in the Del Bene lab was supported by the Programme Investissements d'Avenir IHU FOReSIGHT (ANR-18-IAHU-01). C.R. was supported by an EU Horizon 2020 Marie Sklodowska-Curie Action fellowship (H2020-MSCA-IF-2014 #661527). H.S. and K.S. are employees of deCODE Genetics/Amgen. The other authors declare no competing financial interests. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: N/A.

International patterns and trends in the incidence of melanoma and cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma, 1989-2020.

BACKGROUND: Cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma (cSCC) and melanoma have different associations with sun exposure. OBJECTIVES: To compare trends in the incidence rates of cSCC and melanoma, to provide insight into changing patterns of exposure to ultraviolet radiation (UVR). METHODS: We compared trends in the incidence of cSCC and melanoma in seven susceptible populations residing at mid-to-high latitudes: Finland, Norway, Sweden, Denmark, Scotland, the Netherlands and Tasmania (Australia). We fitted Joinpoint models to describe trends in age-standardized incidence rates for melanoma and cSCC and calculated the average annual percentage rate of change for the period 1989-2020 (1989-2018 for Tasmania). We calculated the incident rate ratio (IRR) as the ratio of the age-standardized rates (European Standard Population) for cSCC to melanoma and conducted age-period-cohort modelling to compare age, period and cohort effects. RESULTS: The ratio of cSCC-to-melanoma incidence increased with proximity to the equator and over time. In the most recent time period, the incidence of cSCC was higher than the incidence of melanoma for men and women in all seven populations. While the ratio of cSCC-to-melanoma incidence was higher for men vs. women, in most countries the cSCC-to-melanoma IRR increased over time to a greater extent in women than in men. Melanoma incidence was higher among younger people and cSCC incidence was higher among older people; the age at which the incidence of cSCC overtook the incidence of melanoma was progressively younger with proximity to the equator. CONCLUSIONS: Despite concerted international efforts to preserve the ozone layer over the past four decades resulting in significant reductions in surface ultraviolet B at mid-latitudes, the incidence of skin cancer, particularly cSCC, continues to rise in those regions. Our findings are consistent with a stronger association with age-associated cumulative sun exposure for cSCC vs. melanoma and suggest that women are currently receiving greater UV radiation exposure than in the past.