Current and past depression as risk factors for incident type 2 diabetes mellitus and pre-diabetes in men and women: evidence from a longitudinal community cohort.

BACKGROUND: Depression is associated with an increased risk for type 2 diabetes mellitus. However, depression may take different courses, and it is not fully understood how these affect the development of diabetes. It is further to be determined whether sex modifies the association between depression and type 2 diabetes. METHODS: We analyzed data from the Gutenberg Health Study, a longitudinal and population-based cohort study (N = 15,010) in Germany. Depressive symptoms (measured by PHQ-9), history of depression, diabetes mellitus, and relevant covariates were assessed at baseline, and the outcomes of prediabetes and type 2 diabetes mellitus were evaluated 5 years later. Logistic regression was used to estimate odds ratios of incident prediabetes and type 2 diabetes mellitus, adjusting for potential confounders as identified in a Directed Acyclic Graph. RESULTS: In the confounder adjusted model, current depression (PHQ-9 ≥ 10 at baseline; OR = 1.79, 95% CI = 1.11 to 2.74, p = 0.011), and persistent depression had a statistically significant (OR = 2.44, 95% CI = 1.62 to 3.54, p = 0.005) effect on incident type 2 diabetes mellitus. A history of depression without current depression had no statistically significant effect on type 2 diabetes (OR = 1.00, 95% CI = 0.68 to 1.43, p = 0.999). The effect of depression on incident diabetes did not differ significantly between women (OR = 2.02; 95% CI = 1.32 to 3.09) and men (OR = 2.16; 95% CI = 1.41 to 3.31; p-value for interaction on the multiplicative scale p = 0.832 and on the additive scale p = 0.149). Depression did not have a significant effect on incident prediabetes. CONCLUSION: This study shows how the history and trajectory of depression shape the risk for diabetes. This raises interesting questions on the cumulative effects of depression trajectories on diabetes and body metabolism in general. Depression can negatively affect physical health, contributing to increased morbidity and mortality in people with mental disorders.

Change of Intraocular Pressure Over 5 Years and its Relationship to Cardiovascular Parameters: Results From the Gutenberg Health Study.

Purpose: To investigate the longitudinal change in intraocular pressure (IOP) over 5 years and its relationship with cardiovascular parameters in a population-based sample in Germany. Methods: The Gutenberg Health Study is a prospective, observational, single-center cohort study. The sample was equally stratified for sex, residence, and age decade. IOP was measured with noncontact tonometry at baseline and at 5-year follow-up. Cardiovascular parameters, including body mass index (BMI), systolic blood pressure, and diabetes status, were assessed. Participants without IOP measurement at one time point, who were taking IOP-lowering medications, or who had ophthalmic surgery during the 5-year follow-up interval were excluded, as well as those with glaucoma diagnosis. Univariable and multivariable linear regression analyses were conducted. Results: This analysis included 9633 participants (48.9% female). The mean IOP increased from 14.04 ± 2.78 mmHg at baseline to 14.77 ± 2.92 mmHg at 5-year follow-up (P < 0.001). In multivariable linear regression analyses, an increase in BMI was associated with an increase in IOP over time (P < 0.001), whereas a higher baseline BMI was associated with a lower IOP change (P < 0.001). Higher age and male sex were associated with higher IOP change (P < 0.001). A change in systolic blood pressure was associated with IOP change, whereas baseline systolic blood pressure and diabetes status were not associated. Conclusions: This population-based study found a relationship between IOP change over 5 years and BMI and systolic blood pressure change, respectively. These findings suggest the importance of monitoring cardiovascular risk factors in IOP management.

Self-rated physical health predicts mortality in aging persons beyond objective health risks.

Previous studies on self-rated health and mortality have usually not differentiated between physical and mental health, respectively have not considered physical diseases. This study aims to determine self-rated physical and mental health from middle to old age, examine associations with mortality adjusted for objective risk factors and assess effect modification by gender. In a large population-based sample (N = 14,993 at baseline), self-rated physical and mental health were rated separately by a single-item. Associations to mortality were modelled by Cox regressions, adjusting for potential confounding variables. Most participants rated their physical (79.4%), resp. mental health (82.3%) as good. Poor self-rated physical health was lowest in the youngest group (19.6%, age 35-44), and highest in midlife (29.1%, age 55-64). Poor self-rated mental health was lowest among the oldest (18.5%), and highest from 45 to 54 years (29.3%). Poor self-rated physical, but not mental health was predictive of mortality when adjusting for objective risk factors. Male gender and poor self-rated physical health interacted (RERI 0.43 95%-CI 0.02-0.85). Self-rated physical health was best in the youngest and worst in the midlife group, this pattern was reversed regarding self-rated mental health. Poor self-rated physical, but not mental health was predictive of mortality, adjusting for objective risk factors. It was more strongly predictive of mortality in men than in women. Poor subjective physical health ratings, should be taken seriously as an unfavorable prognostic sign, particularly in men.

Intensified ambulatory cardiology care: effects on mortality and hospitalisation-a comparative observational study.

Since 2010, an intensified ambulatory cardiology care programme has been implemented in southern Germany. To improve patient management, the structure of cardiac disease management was improved, guideline-recommended care was supported, new ambulatory medical services and a morbidity-adapted reimbursement system were set up. Our aim was to determine the effects of this programme on the mortality and hospitalisation of enrolled patients with cardiac disorders. We conducted a comparative observational study in 2015 and 2016, based on insurance claims data. Overall, 13,404 enrolled patients with chronic heart failure (CHF) and 19,537 with coronary artery disease (CAD) were compared, respectively, to 8,776 and 16,696 patients that were receiving usual ambulatory cardiology care. Compared to the control group, patients enrolled in the programme had lower mortality (Hazard Ratio: 0.84; 95% CI: 0.77-0.91) and fewer all-cause hospitalisations (Rate Ratio: 0.94; 95% CI: 0.90-0.97). CHF-related hospitalisations in patients with CHF were also reduced (Rate Ratio: 0.76; 95% CI: 0.69-0.84). CAD patients showed a similar reduction in mortality rates (Hazard Ratio: 0.81; 95% CI: 0.76-0.88) and all-cause hospitalisation (Rate Ratio: 0.94; 95% CI: 0.91-0.97), but there was no effect on CAD-related hospitalisation. We conclude that intensified ambulatory care reduced mortality and hospitalisation in cardiology patients.

Ischemic stroke risk estimation in patients without oral anticoagulation: an observational cohort study based on secondary data from Germany.

BACKGROUND: Oral anticoagulants can cause potentially serious adverse events. Therefore, before prescribing oral anticoagulants for ischemic stroke prevention in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF), stroke risk assessment is required to identify patients that are likely to benefit from treatment. Current guidelines recommend the CHA2DS2-VASc-score for stroke risk assessment. The CHA2DS2-VASc-score is based on observational studies from different treatment settings and countries. As ischemic stroke risk differs by setting and region, the aim of this study is to estimate ischemic stroke risk (stratified by the CHA2DS2-VASc-score) for a broadly representative population with AF from southern Germany and compare them to results from previous studies. METHODS: The study design is a retrospective cohort study on patients with atrial fibrillation based on secondary data. We calculated CHA2DS2-VASc-score based on patient's diagnoses recorded in the year 2014 and assessed outcomes in 2015-2016. The primary outcome is hospitalization for ischemic stroke. The secondary outome is hospitalizations for any thromboembolic event, including ischemic stroke, transient ischemic attack, peripheral arterial embolism, pulmonary embolism, and mesenterial embolism. We estimated the incidence rates of the outcomes (and corresponding 95%-confidence intervals) stratified by CHA2DS2-VASc-score. RESULTS: The primary endpoint occurred in 961 of the 30,299 patients constituting the study population, resulting in a total incidence rate of 2.2 per 100 person-years. The secondary endpoint occurred in 1553 patients (3.6 per 100 person-years). Ischemic stroke rates stratified by the CHA2DS2-VASc-score tended to be lower than those reported previously. Thromboembolic event rates stratified tended to be similar to those reported previously. CONCLUSIONS: Our results show that the performance of the CHA2DS2-VASc-score differs in the German population, as compared to internationally published data, with an overall trend towards lower risk of ischemic stroke in uncoagulated patients with AF. These results should not be practice changing, but they emphasize that stroke risk estimation in patients with atrial fibrillation should be further refined.

Depressive mood mediates the influence of social support on health-related quality of life in elderly, multimorbid patients.

BACKGROUND: It is not well established how psychosocial factors like social support and depression affect health-related quality of life in multimorbid and elderly patients. We investigated whether depressive mood mediates the influence of social support on health-related quality of life. METHODS: Cross-sectional data of 3,189 multimorbid patients from the baseline assessment of the German MultiCare cohort study were used. Mediation was tested using the approach described by Baron and Kenny based on multiple linear regression, and controlling for socioeconomic variables and burden of multimorbidity. RESULTS: Mediation analyses confirmed that depressive mood mediates the influence of social support on health-related quality of life (Sobel's p < 0.001). Multiple linear regression showed that the influence of depressive mood (ß = -0.341, p < 0.01) on health-related quality of life is greater than the influence of multimorbidity (ß = -0.234, p < 0.01). CONCLUSION: Social support influences health-related quality of life, but this association is strongly mediated by depressive mood. Depression should be taken into consideration in research on multimorbidity, and clinicians should be aware of its importance when caring for multimorbid patients. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ISRCTN89818205.