Probabilistic prediction of increased intracranial pressure in patients with severe traumatic brain injury.

Traumatic brain injury (TBI) causes alteration in brain functions. Generally, at intensive care units (ICU), intracranial pressure (ICP) is monitored and treated to avoid increases in ICP with associated poor clinical outcome. The aim was to develop a model which could predict future ICP levels of individual patients in the ICU, to warn treating clinicians before secondary injuries occur. A simple and explainable, probabilistic Markov model was developed for the prediction task ICP ≥ 20 mmHg. Predictions were made for 10-min intervals during 60 min, based on preceding hour of ICP. A prediction enhancement method was developed to compensate for data imbalance. The model was evaluated on 29 patients with severe TBI. With random data selection from all patients (80/20% training/testing) the specificity of the model was high (0.94-0.95) and the sensitivity good to high (0.73-0.87). Performance was similar (0.90-0.95 and 0.73-0.89 respectively) when the leave-one-out cross-validation was applied. The new model could predict increased levels of ICP in a reliable manner and the enhancement method further improved the predictions. Further advantages are the straightforward expandability of the model, enabling inclusion of other time series data and/or static parameters. Next step is evaluation on more patients and inclusion of parameters other than ICP.

Amyloid fibril composition within hereditary Val30Met (p. Val50Met) transthyretin amyloidosis families.

BACKGROUND: The amyloid fibril in hereditary transthyretin (TTR) Val30Met (pVal50Met) amyloid (ATTR Val30Met) amyloidosis is composed of either a mixture of full-length and TTR fragments (Type A) or of only full-length TTR (Type B). The type of amyloid fibril exerts an impact on the phenotype of the disease, and on the outcome of diagnostic procedures and therapy. The aim of the present study was to investigate if the type of amyloid fibril remains the same within ATTR Val30Met amyloidosis families. METHODS: Fifteen families were identified in whom at least two first-degree relatives had their amyloid fibril composition determined. The type of ATTR was determined by Western blot in all but two patients. For these two patients a positive 99mTc-3,3-diphosphono-1,2-propanodicarboxylic acid scintigraphy indicated ATTR Type A. RESULTS: In 14 of the 15 families, the same amyloid fibril composition was noted irrespective of differences in age at onset. In the one family, different ATTR fibril types was found in two brothers with similar ages at onset. CONCLUSIONS: Family predisposition appears to have an impact on amyloid fibril composition in members of the family irrespective of their age at onset of disease, but if genetically determined, the gene/genes are likely to be situated at another location than the TTR gene in the genome.

Rheumatoid factor isotypes in relation to antibodies against citrullinated peptides and carbamylated proteins before the onset of rheumatoid arthritis.

BACKGROUND: The presence of rheumatoid factor (RF), anti-carbamylated protein antibodies (anti-CarP) and antibodies against citrullinated protein and peptides (ACPA) precedes the onset of symptoms of rheumatoid arthritis (RA) by several years. Relationships between the development of these antibodies are not obvious. METHODS: Three isotypes [immunoglobulin A (IgA), IgG and IgM) of RF were analysed in 321 pre-symptomatic individuals who provided 598 samples collected a median of 6.2 (interquartile range 7.2) years before the onset of symptoms, and in 492 population control subjects. All samples were donated to the Biobank of Northern Sweden. RF isotypes were analysed using the EliA system (Phadia GmbH, Freiburg, Germany) with 96 % specificity according to receiver operating characteristic curves. Ten ACPA specificities were analysed using the ImmunoCAP ISAC system, and anti-CCP2 and anti-CarP antibodies were evaluated using enzyme-linked immunosorbent assays. RESULTS: The frequencies of RF isotypes in pre-symptomatic individuals were significantly increased compared with control subjects (p < 0.0001). In samples collected ≥15 years before the onset of symptoms, the IgA-RF isotype was significantly more prevalent than the most frequent ACPAs. Combinations of IgM- and IgA-RF isotypes with ACPA specificities [α-enolase (CEP-1/Eno5-21)], fibrinogen (Fib)ß36-52, Fibα580-600, filaggrin (CCP-1/Fil307-324) and anti-CCP2 antibodies were associated with a significantly shorter time to onset of symptoms (p < 0.001-0.05). Using conditional inference tree analysis, anti-CCP2 in combination with anti-filaggrin antibodies gave the highest probability, 97.5 %, for disease development. CONCLUSIONS: RF isotypes predicted the development of RA, particularly in combination with ACPA, anti-CCP2 or anti-CarP antibodies. The highest probability for disease development was the presence of anti-CCP2 and anti-filaggrin antibodies.

Liver Transplantation for Hereditary Transthyretin Amyloidosis: After 20 Years Still the Best Therapeutic Alternative?

BACKGROUND: Until recently, liver transplantation (Ltx) was the only available treatment for hereditary transthyretin (TTR) amyloidosis; today, however, several pharmacotherapies are tested. Herein, we present survival data from the largest available database on transplanted hereditary TTR patients to serve as a base for comparison. METHODS: Liver transplantation was evaluated in a 20-year retrospective analysis of the Familial Amyloidosis Polyneuropathy World Transplant Registry. RESULTS: From April 1990 until December 2010, data were accumulated from 77 liver transplant centers. The Registry contains 1940 patients, and 1379 are alive. Eighty-eight Ltx were performed in combination with a heart and/or kidney transplantation. Overall, 20-year survival after Ltx was 55.3%. Multivariate analysis revealed modified body mass index, early onset of disease (<50 years of age), disease duration before Ltx, and TTR Val30Met versus non-TTR Val30Met mutations as independent significant survival factors. Early-onset patients had an expected mortality rate of 38% that of the late-onset group (P < 0.001). Furthermore, Val30Met patients had an expected mortality rate of 61% that of non-TTR Val30Met patients (P < 0.001). With each year of duration of disease before Ltx, expected mortality increased by 11% (P < 0.001). With each 100-unit increase in modified body mass index at Ltx, the expected mortality decreased to 89% of the expected mortality (P < 0.001). Cardiovascular death was markedly more common than that observed in patients undergoing Ltx for end-stage liver disease. CONCLUSIONS: Long-term survival after Ltx, especially for early-onset TTR Val30Met patients, is excellent. The risk of delaying Ltx by testing alternative treatments, especially in early-onset TTR Val30Met patients, requires consideration.

Development of cardiomyopathy after liver transplantation in Swedish hereditary transthyretin amyloidosis (ATTR) patients.

BACKGROUND: Recent studies of liver transplanted (LTx) familial amyloidotic polyneuropathy (FAP) patients have shown a progression of cardiomyopathy in some patients after LTx, but knowledge of the underlying factors remains limited. METHODS: Seventy-five patients, who had undergone LTx from 1996 to 2008, were included. They had all been examined by echocardiography 1-16 months before LTx. Fifty-four had been re-examined 7-34 months, and forty-two 36-137 months after LTx. RESULTS: A significant increase in interventricular septum (IVS) thickness occurred after LTx (p < 0.01), particularly in males (p = 0.002) and late onset patients (p = 0.003). The development of post-LTx cardiomyopathy was related to patient's age at onset of the disease, male gender and pre-LTx IVS thickness. On multivariate regression analysis, however, age at onset was the only significant predictor for the development of cardiomyopathy (odds ratio = 1.14, 95% confident interval 1.01-1.30, p = 0.04). CONCLUSION: An increase of IVS thickness can be observed in FAP patients after LTx. Age at onset of the disease is the main predictor for increased IVS thickness and for the development of cardiomyopathy after liver transplantation.

Continuous development of arrhythmia is observed in Swedish transplant patients with familial amyloidotic polyneuropathy (amyloidogenic transthyretin Val30Met variant).

In patients with familial amyloidotic polyneuropathy (FAP), heart complications are prognostic factors for mortality and morbidity after liver transplantation (LT). However, only a few studies have analyzed the development of arrhythmia in transplant patients with FAP. We investigated the development of arrhythmia requiring pacemaker insertion (PMI) in Swedish transplant patients with FAP, and we related the findings to gender, age at disease onset, and survival. One hundred four transplant patients with the amyloidogenic transthyretin Val30Met mutation were included in the study. Twenty-six (25%) received a pacemaker during the observation period (a median of 11 years after disease onset). This frequency was comparable to that noted in a previous study describing the natural course of FAP. No significant differences in PMI between early-onset cases (<50 years old) and late-onset cases (≥ 50 years old) or between genders were observed. PMI was not significantly related to patient survival. Our study confirms our previously reported short-time observation: LT does not prevent the development of heart arrhythmia necessitating PMI. The development of arrhythmia is unrelated to gender or age at disease onset, and the yearly risk does not appear to decrease with time after LT.