The future of child and adolescent clinical psychopharmacology: A systematic review of phase 2, 3, or 4 randomized controlled trials of pharmacologic agents without regulatory approval or for unapproved indications.

We aimed to identify promising novel medications for child and adolescent mental health problems. We systematically searched https://clinicaltrials.gov/ and https://www.clinicaltrialsregister.eu/ (from 01/01/2010-08/23/2022) for phase 2 or 3 randomized controlled trials (RCTs) of medications without regulatory approval in the US, Europe or Asia, including also RCTs of dietary interventions/probiotics. Additionally, we searched phase 4 RCTs of agents targeting unlicensed indications for children/adolescents with mental health disorders. We retrieved 234 ongoing or completed RCTs, including 26 (11%) with positive findings on ≥ 1 primary outcome, 43 (18%) with negative/unavailable results on every primary outcome, and 165 (70%) without publicly available statistical results. The only two compounds with evidence of significant effects that were replicated in ≥ 1 additional RCT without any negative RCTs were dasotraline for attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder, and carbetocin for hyperphagia in Prader-Willi syndrome. Among other strategies, targeting specific symptom dimensions in samples stratified based on clinical characteristics or established biomarkers may increase chances of success in future development programmes.

Gender differences in the response to antipsychotic medication in patients with schizophrenia: An individual patient data meta-analysis of placebo-controlled studies.

OBJECTIVE: To determine whether gender and menopausal status moderate the response to antipsychotic medication in patients with schizophrenia. METHODS: We analyzed data of 22 short-term placebo-controlled registration trials of antipsychotic medications, which included 5,231 patients with schizophrenia. We applied two-step individual patient data meta-regression analyses to establish the influence of gender and menopausal status on treatment response in mean difference in symptom severity and difference in response (>30% symptom reduction). Analyses were performed both with and without correction for baseline (negative) symptom severity. RESULTS: Antipsychotic treatment is associated with larger mean symptom reduction in women than in men with schizophrenia. The number needed to treat (NNT) for a response in women was 6.9, in men 9.4. Although, we found an age by gender effect, the gender by treatment effect was independent of premenopausal status and baseline (negative) symptom severity. CONCLUSION: In the treatment of schizophrenia we found evidence of a higher response to antipsychotic medication in women relative to men. We found no evidence that this effect was driven by menopausal status, or baseline (negative) symptom severity. Despite the impact of gender and age on effect size in acute antipsychotic treatment, efficacy was clinically relevant in all subgroups.

The impact of second generation antipsychotics on insight in schizophrenia: Results from 14 randomized, placebo controlled trials.

Despite the negative impact of lack of insight on the prognosis, general functioning and treatment adherence, the effect of antipsychotic medication on insight has been investigated only in small samples and uncontrolled studies. In this study we examine whether previously reported effects of antipsychotics on insight from uncontrolled studies can be confirmed in a database including 14 randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trials. The database contained placebo-controlled RCTs of five second-generation antipsychotics (SGAs: olanzapine, paliperidone, quetiapine, risperidone and sertindole) and included a total of 4243 patients with schizophrenia. Insight was assessed with item G12 of the Positive and Negative Syndrome Scale (PANSS) at baseline and at six weeks. Overall, SGA treatment resulted in a significantly larger improvement in insight than placebo (0.43 points versus 0.15 points; Hedge׳s g 0.23; p<0.001). However this difference in improvement in insight was largely explained by improvement in other symptoms. In the initial analysis, one of the compounds was significantly less effective in improving insight than the other SGAs, but this difference no longer persisted when improvement in other symptoms was taken into account. The effect of SGAs on improvement in insight was not moderated by geographic region, illness duration or drop-out. The present study showed that SGA treatment of patients with schizophrenia is associated with improved insight, but that this improvement is associated with SGA induced improvements in other symptoms, though the causal relationship may not be established.

Early Nonresponse in the Antipsychotic Treatment of Acute Mania: A Criterion for Reconsidering Treatment? Results From an Individual Patient Data Meta-Analysis.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate whether early nonresponse to antipsychotic treatment of acute mania predicts treatment failure and, if so, to establish the best definition or criterion of an early nonresponse. DATA SOURCES: Short-term efficacy studies assessing antipsychotics that were submitted to the Dutch Medicines Evaluation Board during an 11-year period as part of the marketing authorization application for the indication of acute manic episode of bipolar disorder. Pharmaceutical companies provided their raw patient data, which enabled us to perform an individual patient data meta-analysis. STUDY SELECTION: All double-blind, randomized, placebo-controlled trials assessing the efficacy of antipsychotics for acute manic episode of bipolar disorder were included (10 trials). DATA EXTRACTION: All patients with data available for completer analysis (N = 1,243), symptom severity scores on the Young Mania Rating Scale (YMRS) at weeks 0, 1, and 2 and at study end point (week 3 or 4). RESULTS: The a priori chances of nonresponse and nonremission at study end point were 40.9% (95% CI, 38.2%-43.6%) and 65.3% (95% CI, 62.0%-68.6%), respectively. Early nonresponse in weeks 1 and 2, defined by cutoff scores ranging from a ≤ 10% to a ≤ 50% reduction in symptoms compared to baseline on the YMRS, significantly predicted nonresponse (≤ 0% symptom reduction) and nonremission (YMRS score higher than 8) in week 3. The predictive value of early nonresponse (PVnr_se) at week 1 for both nonresponse and nonremission at study end point declined linearly with increasing cutoff scores of early nonresponse; nonresponse: 76.0% (95% CI, 69.7%-82.3%) for a ≤ 10% response to 48.7% (95% CI, 45.5%-51.9%) for a ≤ 50% response; nonremission: 92.2% (95% CI, 88.3%-96.1%) for a ≤ 10% response to 76.8% (95% CI, 74.4%-79.5%) for a ≤ 50% response. A similar linear decline was observed for increasing cutoff scores of early nonresponse at week 2 for nonresponse, but not for nonremission at end point: nonresponse 90.3% (95% CI, 84.6%-96.0%) for a ≤ 10% response to 65.0% (95% CI, 61.4%-68.6%) for a ≤ 50% response; nonremission: 94.2% (95% CI, 89.7%-98.7%) for a ≤ 10% response and 93.2% (95% CI, 93.1%-95.1%) for a ≤ 50% response. Specific antipsychotic characteristics did not modify these findings at either time point (week 1: P = .127; week 2: P = .213). CONCLUSIONS: When patients fail to respond early (1-2 weeks) after the initiation of antipsychotic treatment for acute mania, clinicians should reconsider their treatment choice using a 2-stage strategy.

Does Insight Affect the Efficacy of Antipsychotics in Acute Mania?: An Individual Patient Data Regression Meta-Analysis.

Patients having an acute manic episode of bipolar disorder often lack insight into their condition. Because little is known about the possible effect of insight on treatment efficacy, we examined whether insight at the start of treatment affects the efficacy of antipsychotic treatment in patients with acute mania. We used individual patient data from 7 randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled registration studies of 4 antipsychotics in patients with acute mania (N = 1904). Insight was measured with item 11 of the Young Mania Rating Scale (YMRS) at baseline and study endpoint 3 weeks later. Treatment outcome was defined by (a) mean change score, (b) response defined as 50% or more improvement on YMRS, and (c) remission defined as YMRS score less than 8 at study endpoint. We used multilevel mixed effect linear (or logistic) regression analyses of individual patient data to assess the interaction between baseline insight and treatment outcomes. At treatment initiation, 1207 (63.5%) patients had impaired or no insight into their condition. Level of insight significantly modified the efficacy of treatment by mean change score (P = 0.039), response rate (P = 0.033), and remission rate (P = 0.043), with greater improvement in patients with more impaired insight. We therefore recommend that patients experiencing acute mania should be treated immediately and not be delayed until patients regain insight.

Impact of DSM-5 changes on the diagnosis and acute treatment of schizophrenia.

OBJECTIVE: To examine the consequences and validity of changes in Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders (DSM)-5 diagnostic criteria for schizophrenia, eg, omission of subtypes, using a large dataset of double-blind, randomized, placebo-controlled schizophrenia trials. METHODS: Data from 22 short-term efficacy registration trials of second generation antipsychotics for the treatment of acute psychotic episodes in patients with schizophrenia (N = 5233), submitted to the Dutch regulatory authority were analyzed. We examined whether patients in these pre-DSM-5 trials met the diagnostic criteria for schizophrenia according to DSM-5. Using linear regression, we examined differences in effect size between DSM-IV subtypes and between DSM-5 symptom dimensions. RESULTS: Over 99.5% of the patients met DSM-5 diagnostic criteria for schizophrenia and no differences in effect size were found between schizophrenia subtypes (P = .65). Symptom dimensions that respond best to treatment with second generation antipsychotics were hallucinations, delusions, disorganized speech, and mania (Hedge's g -0.23 to -0.31). CONCLUSIONS: Results of clinical trials in patients with pre-DSM-5 schizophrenia also apply to patients diagnosed with DSM-5 schizophrenia. Omission of the classic subtypes is justified as they are not predictive of response to treatment. The DSM-5 C-RDPSS scale adds valuable information to the categorical diagnosis of schizophrenia, which is relevant for antipsychotic response.

Geographic variation in efficacy of atypical antipsychotics for the acute treatment of schizophrenia - an individual patient data meta-analysis.

Generalizability of efficacy results from medication trials across geographic regions is disputed. Geographic differences in factors such as patient characteristics, treatment practices and disease definitions might lead to differences in effect sizes across regions. This study examined geographic variation in efficacy results of schizophrenia trials with atypical antipsychotics using individual-patient data meta-analysis. Twenty-two studies including in total 5233 patients from three regions (North America, Europe, and the rest of the world) were included in the random effects meta-analysis. The effect size in North American patients was smaller in terms of mean change from baseline and in terms of responders (Hedge׳s G=0.37, 95% CI 0.28-0.46; OR 1.71, 95% CI 1.35-2.17) as compared to patients in Europe (Hedge׳s G=0.56, 95% CI 0.34-0.79; OR 2.25, 95% CI 1.62-3.12) and the rest of the world (Hedge׳s G=0.53, 95% CI 0.12-0.75; OR 2.61, 95% CI 1.66-4.17). The differences were not statistically significant. The observed differences remained when the confounding effect of unequal distribution of compounds was controlled for by analyzing separately the compounds that were studied across all three regions. Based on these results it cannot be excluded that there are differences in efficacy results of atypical antipsychotics trials across geographic regions. The observed trend towards differential efficacy across geographic regions warrants further examination of the determinants of these differences.

Incidence rates and risk factors of bipolar disorder in the general population: a population-based cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: To estimate the incidence rates (IRs) of bipolar I and bipolar II disorders in the general population according to sociodemographic population characteristics. METHODS: A cohort study (during the years 1996-2007) was conducted in a general practitioners research database with a longitudinal electronic record of 800000 patients throughout the Netherlands [the Integrated Primary Care Information (IPCI) database]. Cases of bipolar disorder were identified and classified by systematic review of medical records. Age- and gender-specific IRs were calculated per calendar year, degree of urbanization, and degree of deprivation. RESULTS: The overall IR of bipolar disorder was 0.70/10000 person-years (PY) [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.57-0.83]; the IR of bipolar I disorder was 0.43/10000 PY (95% CI: 0.34-0.55) and the IR of bipolar II disorder was 0.19/10000 PY (95% CI: 0.13-0.27). Two peaks in the age at onset of the disorder were noticed: one in early adulthood (15-24 years; 0.68/10000 PY) and a larger peak in later life (45-54 years; 1.2/10000 PY). In bipolar II disorder, only one peak, in the 45-54 year age category (IR 0.42/10000 PY), was found. The IRs of bipolar disorder were significantly higher in deprived areas. Similar rates were found for men compared to women and in urban compared to rural areas. No association was found between the onset of first (hypo)manic episode and month or season of birth. CONCLUSIONS: We found two peaks in the age at onset of bipolar disorder, one in early adulthood and one in later life, the former consisting mainly of bipolar I disorder subjects. The incidence of bipolar disorder is higher in deprived areas. The onset of bipolar disorder is not associated with gender, urbanization, or month or season of birth.

Incidence and prevalence of "diagnosed OCD" in a primary care, treatment seeking, population.

OBJECTIVE: To obtain valid and accurate estimates of the incidence and prevalence of OCD in a treatment-seeking primary care population and to compare these estimates with estimates from epidemiological community studies. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study (1996-2007) was conducted in a GP research database with longitudinal electronic patient record data of 800,000 patients throughout The Netherlands. OCD was ascertained and classified by systematic review of computerized longitudinal medical records. Age and gender specific incidence rates were calculated per calendar year as the number of newly diagnosed cases per 100 person years. RESULTS: Among 577,085 eligible patients, 346 patients were newly diagnosed with OCD resulting in a 1-year treatment-seeking incidence of 0.016% (95% CI: 0.014-0.018). Across the entire study period, a total of 780 patients had a clinical diagnosis of OCD resulting in a treatment-seeking prevalence of 0.14% (95% CI: 0.126-0.145). The incidence rate was highest among women and between the age of 20 and 29. No significant changes over time were observed. CONCLUSIONS: The incidence rate and prevalence of OCD in treatment-seeking GP patients are at least 3 times lower than estimates known from the most conservative epidemiological community studies, suggesting that OCD may be under recognised and under treated.

Insomnia medication: do published studies reflect the complete picture of efficacy and safety?

Selective publication can have a deleterious effect on evidence based medicine, health policy decision making and treatment guidelines. Using the European Public Assessment Reports (EPARs) as reference, this study examined selective publication and selective reporting of efficacy and safety of insomnia medication. EPARs of with three insomnia medications were used to identify all clinical trials that were performed between 1998 and 2007 for the purpose of registration in the EU. The matching publication for each trial was searched through a systematic literature search. Accuracy of information in the publications was examined by comparison to the information in the EPARs. Only 55% of the trials with insomnia medications identified in EPARs were published. Positive trials were approximately two times more likely to be published. The lag time from study completion to publication was shorter for the positive compared to the negative trials. Sample size did not correlate with publication of negative trials. The meta-analysis of the effect size of insomnia medication was 1.6 times larger in the published data compared to the complete data. While the primary end points of the trials were reported reliably in the publications, remarkable inconsistencies were detected in the reporting of the secondary end points, methods, results and, especially safety. In conclusion, selective publication and reporting lead to an overestimation of efficacy and underestimation of safety of insomnia products. Authors of treatment guidelines should be aware of this bias. EPARs/FDA reviews provide a more unbiased view of the benefit-risk balance of insomnia and other medications and hence these documents should be consulted by e.g. authors of meta-analyses and of treatment guidelines.

The EU paediatric regulation: effects on paediatric psychopharmacology in Europe.

Child and adolescent psychiatry is a relatively young field and the recognition, classification, and treatment of disorders in children and adolescents lag behind those in adults. In recent years there is an increasing awareness of the differences between children and adults in psychopathology and pharmacology. Related to this new paediatric regulations have been introduced. This article reviews the regulatory and legislative measures that were adopted in the EU in 2007 and the subsequent impact of these measures on the field of paediatric psychopharmacology. The consequences of the paediatric regulation in the EU are reflected in several domains: regulatory, research aimed at drug development and clinical practices. In the regulatory domain, the consequences include: new paediatric indications, inclusion of special (class) warnings, specification of dose regimens, and information on safety specific to children and adolescents, and development of new medicinal formulations. The paediatric regulation leads to timely development of paediatric friendly formulations and better quality of the clinical evidence. In clinical practices, an increased awareness of the uniqueness of paediatric pharmacology is emerging among medical professionals, and subsequent improvement of medical care (i.e. correct doses, appropriate formulation, monitoring for expected adverse events). In addition, clinical guidelines will have to be revised more frequently in order to integrate the recently acquired knowledge. The new regulations stimulate transparency and discussions between academia, pharmaceutical industry, and regulators. The purpose is to optimize clinical research and obtain evidence for paediatric psychopharmacology, thereby providing adequate support for treatment.

Blinding in clozapine trials: a problem and a potential solution.

BACKGROUND: A methodological problem arises when efficacy of clozapine is compared with other antipsychotic medication in double blind randomized studies. Due to the risk of leucopenia and agranulocytosis, patients in the clozapine condition need to have regular blood testing. The problem is that in order to maintain blinding, patients in the comparison conditions need to undergo blood testing as well and this can lead to underestimation of treatment acceptability and efficacy of the comparators. METHODS: A thought experiment considering all possible solutions for the methodological problem. RESULTS: We propose a special study design that preserves randomization and blinding while at the same time prevents underestimation of the effect in the comparator treatments. In addition, the necessity for blood testing is limited to only a small number of patients who receive comparative treatments. The design involves initial randomization to a sub-study including clozapine and a small comparator arm or to a sub-study that includes only comparator arms. Blood testing is only necessary in the first sub-study. DISCUSSION: Limitations of the proposed design are discussed. It is noted that this study design may offer a solution to similar situations where blood testing or other types of monitoring (e.g. as with lithium) is required in one but not in all of the treatment arms of a double blind randomized study.

Psychopharmacology for children: from off label use to registration.

Pharmacological treatment of children and adolescents is largely based on evidence from adults' studies. There is, however, growing awareness that this evidence cannot simply be extrapolated to children. The Dutch Medicines Evaluation Board (MEB) in collaboration with the Child and Adolescent section of the Dutch Association of Psychiatry and the National Expertise Centre Child and Adolescent Psychiatry have organised a workshop to discuss the kind of evidence that would be necessary and the methods involved. There was consensus about the need to demonstrate efficacy in targeted disorders as well as symptoms within specific disorders and about the need for separate evidence for children and for adolescents. In addition, too little is known about safety, especially long-term safety, as consequences of treatment. Main issues are effects on growth, cognitive, motor, emotional, and sexual development, metabolic symptoms, cardiotoxicity, and dependence. Specific methodological issues were discussed, such as the role of different informants and the high rate of comorbidity.

Magnitude of effect of lithium in short-term efficacy studies of moderate to severe manic episode.

OBJECTIVES: To provide an accurate estimation of the magnitude of effect of lithium in short-term efficacy studies conducted in patients with moderate to severe manic episode. METHODS: All placebo-controlled randomized studies submitted to the Medicines Evaluation Board (MEB) in which lithium was used as the third study arm were selected for the meta-analysis. The studies were part of registration files submitted to the MEB between the years 1997 and 2005. In addition, Medline and EMbase searches were conducted with the key words 'manic' ('mania' for the EMbase search) and 'placebo' in order to identify additional placebo-controlled studies of lithium. This search was updated until March 1, 2006. Two effect size indicators were used based on the primary outcome measure of each study: Cohen's standardized effect size based on the difference in mean change from baseline, and numbers needed to treat (NNT) based on the difference in treatment response defined as >or=50% improvement from baseline on day 21. RESULTS: Six studies were identified. They involved a combined total of 470 patients in the lithium groups and 562 in the placebo groups. The overall standardized effect size was 0.40 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.28, 0.53] and the overall NNT for response was 6 (95% CI: 4, 13). In the placebo groups response rates varied from 21% to 47%. CONCLUSIONS: The results indicate that lithium is an effective drug in the treatment of moderate to severe manic episode. The variability in placebo response indicates that a placebo control arm in efficacy studies among patients with moderate to severe manic episode is necessary.

Antidepressants use in children and adolescents and the risk of suicide.

OBJECTIVE: Antidepressants use in paediatric patients has been linked with risk of suicidal behaviours. The aim of this paper, therefore, is to examine whether all antidepressants are associated with such risk. METHOD: All 22 paediatric short-term placebo-controlled trials of SSRIs and NSRIs that were submitted to European registration authorities by pharmaceutical companies were identified and examined for events related to suicidality, which were defined as suicide, suicide attempts or suicidal thoughts. Random effect meta-analysis was used to combine the information from all trials. RESULTS: No completed suicides were reported. However, for each compound there was at least one study with an increased risk for events related to suicidality in the active compound group. The overall OR for these events in the depression studies was 1.67 (95% CI: 1.05-2.65) and for anxiety 1.33 (95% CI: 0.33-5.35). CONCLUSIONS: Caution is called for in the use of all SSRIs and NSRIs in the paediatric population. Furthermore, in the absence of contradictory information, caution in the use of other antidepressants in this population should be exercised as well (e.g. tricyclic antidepressants).

Suicide risk in placebo-controlled trials of treatment for acute manic episode and prevention of manic-depressive episode.

OBJECTIVE: The authors' goal was to investigate whether there is a greater suicide risk in the placebo arms of placebo-controlled studies of active medication for the treatment of acute manic episode and the prevention of manic/depressive episode. If so, this would be a strong ethical argument against the conduct of such studies. METHOD: All placebo-controlled, double-blind, randomized trials of medication for the treatment of acute manic episode and the prevention of manic/depressive episode that were part of a registration dossier submitted to the regulatory authority of the Netherlands, the Medicines Evaluation Board, between 1997 and 2003, were reviewed for occurrence of suicide and attempted suicide. RESULTS: In 11 placebo-controlled studies of the treatment of acute manic episode, including 1,506 patients (117 person-years) in the combined active compound group and 1,005 patients (71 person-years) in the combined placebo group, no suicides and no suicide attempts occurred. In four placebo-controlled studies of the prevention of manic/depressive episode, including 943 patients (406 person-years) in the combined active compound group and 418 patients (136 person-years) in the combined placebo group, two suicides (493/100,000 person-years of exposure) and eight suicide attempts (1,969/100,000 person-years of exposure) occurred in the combined active compound group, but no suicides and two suicide attempts (1,467/100,000 person-years of exposure) occurred in the combined placebo group. CONCLUSIONS: Concern about greater risk of suicide or attempted suicide in the placebo group should not be an argument against the conduct of placebo-controlled trials for these indications, provided that appropriate precautions are taken.

Police referral to victim support: the predictive and diagnostic value of the RISK (10) screening instrument.

One of the basic rights of crime victims granted under victim-orientated legislation introduced during the last 20 years in more than 100 countries worldwide is the right to be referred to victim support by the police. The under-utilization of psychological services by crime victims who are objectively in need of external support is substantial. Current legal procedures tend to perpetuate this unwanted condition. Programs aimed at the early detection and prevention of persistent postvictimization distress are more in line with the ideals of therapeutic jurisprudence. The RISK (10) screening instrument, which was specifically developed to be administered by police officers, may provide a basis for early detection. RISK (10) consists of a selection of 10 Risk factors with prior empirical evidence and theoretical significance. The focus of the present study was to examine the predictive and diagnostic power of RISK (10) components to detect persistent future psychological distress, among other things, in terms of Adjustment Disorder. Analyses were based on a sample of 93 crime victims who participated in the police and (3 months) follow-up parts of the study. Findings provided initial validation for the predictive accuracy of most RISK (10) components, and confirm the diagnostic value (in terms of specificity, sensitivity, positive and negative predictive power) of risk factors, such as engaging in character attributions, upward comparison processes, fatalistic appraisals of the episode, and the initial reporting of expected deficiencies in social support. The clinical utility of RISK (10) for early detection in police stations is confirmed.