Serum levels of IL-33 and soluble ST2 and their association with disease activity in systemic lupus erythematosus.

OBJECTIVE: IL-33 has recently been found to be the specific ligand of ST2, an IL-1 receptor family member that is selectively expressed in Th2 cells and mediates Th2 response. This study aims to measure the serum levels of soluble ST2 (sST2) and IL-33 in patients with SLE and to examine their association with disease activity. METHODS: Seventy SLE patients were evaluated for disease activity, determined by SLEDAI, levels of anti-dsDNA antibody, C3 and C4. Fifty-seven patients were evaluated longitudinally on a second occasion. IL-33 and sST2 were measured by sandwich ELISA in the 127 SLE serum samples and compared with 28 age- and sex-matched healthy controls. RESULTS: Serum sST2 level was significantly higher in active SLE patients [0.51 (0.18) ng/ml] compared with inactive patients [0.42 (0.08) ng/ml] (P = 0.006) and normal controls [0.36 (0.13) ng/ml] (P < 0.001). sST2 level correlated significantly with SLEDAI, anti-dsDNA antibody and prednisolone dosage, and negatively with C3. Linear regression analysis showed that serum sST2 level was an independent predictive factor for modified SLEDAI, excluding anti-dsDNA and complement score after controlling for age, sex, glomerular filtration rate and prednisolone dosage (regression coefficient: 8.5; 95% CI 2.6, 14.3) (P = 0.005). Serum sST2 level was sensitive to change in disease activity longitudinally, with an effect size of 0.29. Elevated serum IL-33 was comparable in frequency (4.3 vs 7.1%; P = 0.62) and levels (P = 0.53) between SLE patients and controls. CONCLUSIONS: Elevated serum sST2 level in SLE patients was found to correlate with disease activity and was sensitive to change, suggesting a potential role as a surrogate marker of disease activity.

Evaluation of the performance of a modified Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE II) scoring system for critically ill patients in emergency departments in Hong Kong.

INTRODUCTION: Numerous prognostic predictive models have been developed for critically ill patients, many of which are primarily designed for use in intensive care units. The objective of this study was to evaluate the accuracy of a modified Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE II) scoring system in predicting the mortality for critically ill patients managed in emergency department (ED) resuscitation rooms in Hong Kong. METHOD: A multi-centre, prospective study was conducted for patients managed in the resuscitation rooms of the EDs of four major hospitals, including one university teaching hospital. The primary outcome measure was 14 day all-cause mortality and the secondary outcome measure was the length of stay in hospital. RESULTS: Of 867 patients recruited between 4 and 30 April 2004, 106 (12.2%) patients died. The modified APACHE II score was found to be significantly higher in non-survivors compared to survivors (mean+/-S.D.: 21.2+/-7.7 versus 14.4+/-7.1, p<0.001). The area under the curve for modified APACHE II in predicting mortality was 0.743 (95% CI, 0.696-0.790). CONCLUSION: The modified APACHE II score is only a moderate predictor of mortality for critically ill patients managed in the resuscitation rooms of EDs in Hong Kong. A more ED specific scoring method is required.