Jaguar (Panthera onca) density and tenure in a critical biological corridor.

We estimated jaguar density and tenure, and investigated ranging behavior, using camera traps across the Maya Forest Corridor, a human-influenced landscape in central Belize that forms the only remaining connection for jaguar populations inhabiting two regional forest blocks: the Selva Maya and the Maya Mountain Massif. Jaguars were ubiquitous across the study area. Similar to the neighboring Selva Maya, mean density ranged from 1.5 to 3.1 jaguars per 100 km2, estimated by spatial capture-recapture models. Cameras detected almost twice as many males as females, probably reflecting detection bias, and males ranged more widely than females within the camera grid. Both sexes crossed two major rivers, while highway crossings were rare and male-biased, raising concern that the highway could prevent female movement if traffic increases. Jaguars were more transient where the landscape was fragmented with settlements and agriculture than in contiguous forest. Compared with jaguars in the protected forests of the Maya Mountains, jaguars in central Belize displayed a lower potential for investment in intraspecific communication, indicative of a lower quality landscape; however, we did detect mating behavior and juveniles. Tenure of individuals was shorter than in the protected forests, with a higher turnover rate for males than females. At least three-quarters of reported jaguar deaths caused by people were male jaguars, and the majority was retaliation for livestock predation. Jaguars seem relatively tolerant to the human-influenced landscape of central Belize. However, intensification of game hunting and lethal control of predators would threaten population persistence, while increased highway traffic and clear-cutting riparian forest would severely limit the corridor function. Our results show that the viability of the corridor, and thus the long-term survival of jaguar populations in this region, will depend on appropriate land-use planning, nonlethal control of livestock predators, enforcement of game hunting regulations, and wildlife-friendly features in future road developments.

Utilizando trampas-cámara, se estimó la densidad, permanencia y desplazamiento de jaguares a través del Corredor del Bosque Maya, un paisaje dominado por humanos en la zona central de Belice y que actualmente representa la única posibilidad de conectividad para las poblaciones de jaguares que habitan en dos grandes bloques boscosos regionales: La Selva Maya y El Macizo de las Montañas Mayas. Los jaguares estuvieron presentes en toda el área de estudio. De igual forma que en la vecina Selva Maya, la densidad media varió de 1.5 a 3.1 jaguares por cada 100 km2, estimada con modelos espaciales de captura-recaptura. Las cámaras detectaron casi el doble de machos que hembras, probablemente reflejando un sesgo de detección; y los machos se desplazaron más ampliamente que las hembras a lo largo de la cuadrícula de las cámaras. Jaguares de ambos sexos cruzaron dos ríos principales, mientras que el cruce de carreteras no fue común y estuvo sesgado hacia los machos, generando la preocupación de que las carreteras puedan impedir el movimiento de hembras si el tráfico vehicular aumenta. Los jaguares fueron más transitorios en paisajes fragmentados por asentamientos humanos y agricultura que en áreas de bosque continuo. Comparando con los jaguares de los bosques protegidos de las Montañas Mayas, los jaguares de la zona central de Belice mostraron menor potencial para invertir en comunicación intraespecífica, indicador de un paisaje de menor calidad; sin embargo, se detectó comportamiento de apareamientos y la presencia de juveniles. La permanencia de individuos fue más corta que en los bosques protegidos, con una tasa de recambio más alta para machos que para hembras. Al menos las tres cuartas partes de las muertes reportadas de jaguares causadas por humanos correspondieron a jaguares machos, la mayoría como retaliación por la muerte de ganado. Los jaguares parecen relativamente tolerantes del paisaje dominado por humanos en la zona central de Belice. Sin embargo, el aumento de la cacería de especies presa y el control letal de predadores amenazaría la persistencia de la población, mientras que el aumento del tráfico vehicular y la deforestación de bosques de galería reducirían severamente la funcionalidad del corredor. Nuestros resultados muestran que la viabilidad del corredor y por lo tanto la sobrevivencia de jaguares a largo plazo en esta región dependerá de la planificación apropiada del uso del suelo, de un control no letal de predadores de ganado, una mejor regulación de la cacería, y de una infraestructura amigable con la vida silvestre en las futuras carreteras.

Aspirin/antiplatelet agent use improves disease-free survival and reduces the risk of distant metastases in Stage II and III triple-negative breast cancer patients.

PURPOSE: The objective is to define the therapeutic role of antiplatelet agents in a triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC) population. METHODS: We performed retrospective analysis using the UTSW TNBC registry containing data from 222 Stage II-III TNBC patients treated between 1998 and 2016. Univariate analysis and multivariable logistic regression models were constructed to identify factors associated with disease-free survival (DFS), distant metastases rate (DMR), and overall survival outcomes. Antiplatelet drug use was determined by review of electronic medical records. RESULTS: A total of 65 patients used antiplatelet (AP) agents, and 157 patients did not use AP agents. Median follow-up for AP and non-AP groups was 41.3 and 40.9 months, respectively. There was an improvement in the AP group compared with the control group in 5-year DFS (80.4% at 5 years compared with 62.3% in the control group, p = 0.04) and 5-year DMR (8.8 vs. 31.9%, p = 0.007). In multivariate analysis, AP use was found to be significantly associated with improvements in DFS and DMR. CONCLUSIONS: We illustrate that antiplatelet agent use improves DMR and DFS among a stage II and III TNBC population despite our short follow-up evaluation. Longer follow-up evaluation will be required to determine additional outcome advantage for antiplatelet agent use. Our findings support consideration of investigation of antiplatelet therapy as an adjunctive therapy for TNBC at high risk for disease recurrence.

Contingency contracting with school problems.

Contingency contracting procedures used in managing problems with school-age children involved analyzing teacher and/or parental reports of behavior problem situations, isolating the most probable contingencies then in effect, the range of reinforcers presently available, and the ways in which they were obtained. The authors prepared written contracts delineating remediative changes in reinforcement contingencies. These contracts specified ways in which the child could obtain existing individualized reinforcers contingent upon approximations to desired appropriate behaviors chosen as incompatible with the referral problem behaviors. Contract procedures were administered by the natural contingency managers, parents and/or teachers, who kept daily records of contracted behaviors and reinforcers. These records were sent to the authors and provided feedback on the progress of the case. Initial results of this procedure have been sufficiently encouraging to warrant recommending an experimental analysis of contingency contracting as a clinical method.