Targeting endoplasmic reticulum stress in liver disease.

INTRODUCTION: The accumulation of unfolded protein in the endoplasmic reticulum (ER) initiates an unfolded protein response (UPR) via three signal transduction cascades, which involve protein kinase RNA-like ER kinase (PERK), inositol requiring enzyme-1α (IRE1α) and activating transcription factor-6α (ATF6α). An ER stress response is observed in nearly all physiologies related to acute and chronic liver disease and therapeutic targeting of the mechanisms implicated in UPR signaling have attracted considerable attention. AREAS COVERED: This review focuses on the correlation between ER stress and liver disease and the possible targets which may drive the potential for novel therapeutic intervention. Expert Commentary: We describe pathways which are involved in UPR signaling and their potential correlation with various liver diseases and underlying mechanisms which may present opportunities for novel therapeutic strategies are discussed.

Conditional survival estimate of acute-on-chronic hepatitis B liver failure: a dynamic prediction based on a multicenter cohort.

OBJECTIVES: Counseling patients with acute-on-chronic hepatitis B liver failure (ACHBLF) on their individual risk of short-term mortality is challenging. This study aimed to develop a conditional survival estimate (CSE) for predicting individualized mortality risk in ACHBLF patients. METHODS: We performed a large prospective cohort study of 278 ACHBLF patients from December 2010 to December 2013 at three participating medical centers. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to calculate the cumulative overall survival (OS). Cox proportional hazard regression models were used to analyze the risk factors associated with OS. 4-week CSE at "X" week after diagnostic established were calculated as CS4 = OS(X+4)/OS(X). RESULTS: The actual OS at 2, 4, 6, 8, 12 weeks were 80.5%, 71.8%, 69.3%, 66.0% and 63.7%, respectively. Using CSE, the probability of surviving an additional 4 weeks, given that the patient had survived for 1, 3, 5, 7, 9 weeks was 74%, 86%, 92%, 93%, 97%, respectively. Patients with worse prognostic feathers, including MELD > 25, Child grade C, age > 45, HE, INR > 2.5, demonstrated the greatest increase in CSE over time, when compared with the "favorable" one (Δ36% vs. Δ10%; Δ28% vs. Δ16%; Δ29% vs. Δ15%; Δ60% vs. Δ12%; Δ33% vs. Δ12%; all P < 0.001; respectively). CONCLUSIONS: This easy-to-use CSE can accurately predict the changing probability of survival over time. It may facilitate risk communication between patients and physicians.

Establishment and validation of ALPH-Q score to predict mortality risk in patients with acute-on-chronic hepatitis B liver failure: a prospective cohort study.

Currently, there are no robust models for predicting the outcome of acute-on-chronic hepatitis B liver failure (ACHBLF). We aimed to establish and validate a new prognostic scoring system, named ALPH-Q, that integrates electrocardiography parameters that may be used to predict short-term mortality of patients with ACHBLF. Two hundred fourteen patients were included in this study. The APLH-Q score was constructed by Cox proportional hazard regression analysis and was validated in an independent patient cohort. The area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve was used to compare the performance of different models, including APLH-Q, Child-Pugh score (CPS), model of end-stage liver disease (MELD), and a previously reported logistic regression model (LRM). The APLH-Q score was constructed with 5 independent risk factors, including age (HR = 1.034, 95% CI: 1.007-1.061), liver cirrhosis (HR = 2.753, 95% CI: 1.366-5.548), prothrombin time (HR = 1.031, 95% CI: 1.002-1.062), hepatic encephalopathy (HR = 2.703, 95% CI: 1.630-4.480), and QTc (HR = 1.008, 95% CI: 1.001-1.016). The performance of the ALPH-Q score was significantly better than that of MELD and CPS in both the training (0.896 vs 0.712, 0.896 vs 0.738, respectively, both P < 0.05) and validation cohorts (0.837 vs 0.689, 0.837 vs 0.585, respectively, both P < 0.05). Compared with LRM, APLH-Q also showed a better performance (0.896 vs 0.825, 0.837 vs 0.818, respectively).We have developed a novel APLH-Q score with greater performance than CPS, MELD, and LRM for predicting short-term mortality of patients with ACHBLF.

Scoring systems predict the prognosis of acute-on-chronic hepatitis B liver failure: an evidence-based review.

Acute-on-chronic hepatitis B liver failure is a devastating condition that is associated with mortality rates of over 50% and is consequent to acute exacerbation of chronic hepatitis B in patients with previously diagnosed or undiagnosed chronic liver disease. Liver transplantation is the definitive treatment to lower mortality rate, but there is a great imbalance between donation and potential recipients. An early and accurate prognostic system based on the integration of laboratory indicators, clinical events and some mathematic logistic equations is needed to optimize treatment for patients. As parts of the scoring systems, the MELD was the most common and the donor-MELD was the most innovative for patients on the waiting list for liver transplantation. This review aims to highlight the various features and prognostic capabilities of these scoring systems.

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease and risk of in-stent restenosis after bare metal stenting in native coronary arteries.

In-stent restenosis (ISR) remains the most common complication of percutaneous coronary intervention. Due to shared risk factors, it is postulated that non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) patients have an increased risk of ISR. This study aimed to determine the association between NAFLD and ISR in patients after bare metal stenting. This study included a cohort of 210 consecutive patients (150 men and 60 women) undergoing follow-up angiography. The primary end-point was angiographic ISR. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to identify independent risk factors for ISR. The cumulative ISR rate during follow-up was analyzed by Kaplan-Meier method. Subgroup analyses were also done for different gender. The ISR rate was 29.5%. Patients with NAFLD had a significantly higher prevalence of ISR than patients without NAFLD (43.3 vs. 16.0%, P < 0.001). In logistic regression analysis, NAFLD was associated with increased ISR, independent of low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, body mass index (adjusted odds ratio: 2.688, 95% confidence intervals: 1.285-5.537, P < 0.001). Male NAFLD patients had a higher prevalence of ISR than patients without NAFLD (48.4 vs. 15.3%, P < 0.001), while the prevalence of ISR in female patients with and without NAFLD were comparable (7.7 vs. 17.0%, P = 0.404). Kaplan-Meier analysis showed a significant association between NAFLD and ISR in all patients (log-rank P = 0.008) and in male subgroup (log-rank P = 0.033), but not in female subgroup (log-rank P = 0.313). This preliminary study suggests that NAFLD could independently associate with a high prevalence of ISR, especially in male patients.

Increased risk of colorectal malignant neoplasm in patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease: a large study.

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) has been suggested to be a strong risk factor of colorectal benign adenomas and advanced neoplasms. The aim of this large cohort study was to further investigate the prevalence of colorectal malignant neoplasm (CRMN) in patients with NAFLD and determine whether association between NAFLD and CRMN exists. 2,315 community subjects (1,370 males and 945 females) who underwent a routine colonoscopy according to international colorectal cancer screening guideline were recruited. Nature of colorectal lesions determined by biopsy and NAFLD was diagnosed by ultrasound. Binary logistic regression analysis was applied to explore the related associations. Prevalence of CRMN was 29.3% (77/263) in patients with NAFLD, which was significantly higher than 18.0% (369/2,052) in the control group (P<0.05). In addition, malignant neoplasm in NAFLD group occurred more frequently at sigmoid colon than in control group (14.3 vs. 11.9%). The incidence of highly-differentiated colorectal adenocarcinoma in NAFLD group was significantly higher than control group (62.3 vs. 9.8%). Univariate analysis showed that NAFLD had strong association with CRMN (OR 2.043; 95% CI 1.512-2.761; P<0.05). After adjusting for metabolic and other confounding factors, NAFLD remained as an independent risk factor for CRMN (OR 1.868; 95% CI 1.360-2.567; P<0.05). NAFLD was an independent risk factor for CRMN. Sigmoid carcinoma and highly differentiated colorectal adenocarcinoma were more commonly found in NAFLD. (ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT01657773, website: http://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT01657773?term=zheng+minghua&rank=1 ).