RESUMO
Background: Radiomics models could help assess the benign and malignant invasiveness and prognosis of pulmonary nodules. However, the lack of interpretability limits application of these models. We thus aimed to construct and validate an interpretable and generalized computed tomography (CT) radiomics model to evaluate the pathological invasiveness in patients with a solitary pulmonary nodule in order to improve the management of these patients. Methods: We retrospectively enrolled 248 patients with CT-diagnosed solitary pulmonary nodules. Radiomic features were extracted from nodular region and perinodular regions of 3 and 5 mm. After coarse-to-fine feature selection, the radiomics score (radscore) was calculated using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator logistic method. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to determine the invasiveness-related clinicoradiological factors. The clinical-radiomics model was then constructed using the logistic and extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) algorithms. The Shapley additive explanations (SHAP) method was then used to explain the contributions of the features. After removing batch effects with the ComBat algorithm, we assessed the generalization of the explainable clinical-radiomics model in two independent external validation cohorts (n=147 and n=149). Results: The clinical-radiomic XGBoost model integrating the radscore, CT value, nodule length, and crescent sign demonstrated better predictive performance than did the clinical-radiomics logistic model in assessing pulmonary nodule invasiveness, with an area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC) of 0.889 [95% confidence interval (CI), 0.848-0.927] in the training cohort. The SHAP algorithm illustrates the contribution of each feature in the final model. The specific model decision process was visualized using a tree-based decision heatmap. Satisfactory generalization performance was shown with AUCs of 0.889 (95% CI, 0.823-0.942) and 0.915 (95% CI, 0.851-0.963) in the two external validation cohorts. Conclusions: An interpretable and generalized clinical-radiomics model for predicting pulmonary nodule invasibility was constructed to help clinicians determine the invasiveness of pulmonary nodules and devise assessment strategies in an easily understandable manner.
RESUMO
OBJECTIVES: To explore the feasibility of preoperative prediction of vascular invasion (VI) in breast cancer patients using nomogram based on multiparametric MRI and pathological reports. METHODS: We retrospectively collected 200 patients with confirmed breast cancer between January 2016 and January 2018. All patients underwent MRI examinations before the surgery. VI was identified by postoperative pathology. The 200 patients were randomly divided into training (n = 100) and validation datasets (n = 100) at a ratio of 1:1. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression was used to select predictors most associated with VI of breast cancer. A nomogram was constructed to calculate the area under the curve (AUC) of receiver operating characteristics, sensitivity, specificity, accuracy, positive prediction value (PPV) and negative prediction value (NPV). We bootstrapped the data for 2000 times without setting the random seed to obtain corrected results. RESULTS: VI was observed in 79 patients (39.5%). LASSO selected 10 predictors associated with VI. In the training dataset, the AUC for nomogram was 0.94 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.89-0.99, the sensitivity was 78.9% (95%CI: 72.4%-89.1%), the specificity was 95.3% (95%CI: 89.1%-100.0%), the accuracy was 86.0% (95%CI: 82.0%-92.0%), the PPV was 95.7% (95%CI: 90.0%-100.0%), and the NPV was 77.4% (95%CI: 67.8%-87.0%). In the validation dataset, the AUC for nomogram was 0.89 (95%CI: 0.83-0.95), the sensitivity was 70.3% (95%CI: 60.7%-79.2%), the specificity was 88.9% (95%CI: 80.0%-97.1%), the accuracy was 77.0% (95%CI: 70.0%-83.0%), the PPV was 91.8% (95%CI: 85.3%-98.0%), and the NPV was 62.7% (95%CI: 51.7%-74.0%). The nomogram calibration curve shows good agreement between the predicted probability and the actual probability. CONCLUSION: The proposed nomogram could be used to predict VI in breast cancer patients, which was helpful for clinical decision-making.
