Online calculators for predicting the risk of anastomotic stricture after hepaticojejunostomy for bile duct injury after cholecystectomy: a multicenter retrospective study.

BACKGROUND: Anastomotic stricture is a common underlying cause of long-term morbidity after hepaticojejunostomy (HJ) for bile duct injury (BDI) following cholecystectomy. However, there are no methods for predicting stricture risk. This study was aimed at establishing two online calculators for predicting anastomotic stricture occurrence (ASO) and stricture-free survival (SFS) in this patient population. METHODS: The clinicopathological characteristics and follow-up information of patients who underwent HJ for BDI after cholecystectomy from a multi-institutional database were reviewed. Univariate and multivariate analyses of the risk factors of ASO and SFS were performed in the training cohort. Two nomogram-based online calculators were developed and validated by internal bootstrapping resamples ( n =1000) and an external cohort. RESULTS: Among 220 screened patients, 41 (18.64%) experienced anastomotic strictures after a median follow-up of 110.7 months. Using multivariate analysis, four variables, including previous repair, sepsis, HJ phase, and bile duct fistula, were identified as independent risk factors associated with both ASO and SFS. Two nomogram models and their corresponding online calculators were subsequently developed. In the training cohort, the novel calculators achieved concordance indices ( C -indices) of 0.841 and 0.763 in predicting ASO and SFS, respectively, much higher than those of the above variables. The predictive accuracy of the resulting models was also good in the internal ( C -indices: 0.867 and 0.821) and external ( C -indices: 0.852 and 0.823) validation cohorts. CONCLUSIONS: The two easy-to-use online calculators demonstrated optimal predictive performance for identifying patients at high risk for ASO and with dismal SFS. The estimation of individual risks will help guide decision-making and long-term personalized surveillance.

T-tube drainage versus choledochojejunostomy in hepatolithiasis patients with sphincter of Oddi laxity: study protocol for a randomized controlled trial.

BACKGROUND: Residual and recurrent stones remain one of the most important challenges of hepatolithiasis and are reported in 20 to 50% of patients treated for this condition. To date, the two most common surgical procedures performed for hepatolithiasis are choledochojejunostomy and T-tube drainage for biliary drainage. The goal of the present study was to evaluate the therapeutic safety and perioperative and long-term outcomes of choledochojejunostomy versus T-tube drainage for hepatolithiasis patients with sphincter of Oddi laxity (SOL). METHODS/DESIGN: In total, 210 patients who met the following eligibility criteria were included and were randomized to the choledochojejunostomy arm or T-tube drainage arm in a 1:1 ratio: (1) diagnosed with hepatolithiasis with SOL during surgery; (2) underwent foci removal, stone extraction and stricture correction during the operation; (3) provided written informed consent; (4) was willing to complete a 3-year follow-up; and (5) aged between 18 and 70 years. The primary efficacy endpoint of the trial will be the incidence of biliary complications (stone recurrence, biliary stricture, cholangitis) during the 3 years after surgery. The secondary outcomes will be the surgical, perioperative and long-term follow-up outcomes. DISCUSSION: This is a prospective, single-centre and randomized controlled two-group parallel trial designed to demonstrate which drainage method (Roux-en-Y hepaticojejunostomy or T-tube drainage) can better reduce biliary complications (stone recurrence, biliary stricture, cholangitis) in hepatolithiasis patients with SOL. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Clinical Trials.gov: NCT04218669 . Registered on 6 January 2020.