A randomized, pragmatic, pharmacist-led intervention reduced opioids following orthopedic surgery.

OBJECTIVES: To determine whether a pharmacist-led, patient-directed intervention can reduce opioid use following total hip arthroplasty (THA) or total knee arthroplasty (TKA). STUDY DESIGN: Randomized trial. METHODS: Patients scheduled to undergo THA or TKA (during 2015 and 2016) were randomized to usual care or intervention. We ranked patients according to predicted risk of persistent opioid use and selected the top 60% for inclusion (n = 561); all contributed to the analysis. Intervention patients were mailed materials 2 weeks before and after surgery, plus they received telephone intervention from specially trained pharmacists if they filled opioid prescriptions in the 28 to 90 days following surgery. Our primary outcome was the dispensed morphine equivalents (DME) in the 90 days following surgery, modeled using a natural log transformation. RESULTS: A total of 561 patients were randomized (286 usual care, 118 THA and 168 TKA; 275 intervention, 107 THA and 168 TKA); the mean age was 66 years, and 60% were female. Overall, we found no meaningful reduction in DME for intervention versus usual care (geometric mean ratio, 0.92 [95% CI, 0.69-1.21]). However, there was effect modification by whether the patient had TKA or THA (interaction P <.01). Those undergoing THA in the intervention group used significantly less DME than did those undergoing THA in the usual care group (geometric mean ratio, 0.52 [95% CI, 0.33-0.82]). CONCLUSIONS: Our pharmacist-led, patient-directed intervention to reduce opioid use demonstrated a reduction in opioid dispensings in the 90 days following THA but not TKA.

A qualitative study to develop materials educating patients about opioid use before and after total hip or total knee arthroplasty.

OBJECTIVE: The authors undertook a qualitative study with open-ended, structured interviews to understand patient)s educational needs for patients undergoing total hip and total knee arthroplasty (THA/TKA). DESIGN: Provider interviews explored their approach with THA/TKA patients on: pain management; barriers to opioid tapering; and recommendations/changes on educational materials to support pain management and opioid reduction. Patient interviews explored their experience, understanding, beliefs surrounding opioids, and recommendations on important content. A qualitative methodologist conducted interviews and content analysis to identify key themes. SETTING: Kaiser Permanente Northwest, community setting. PATIENTS, PARTICIPANTS: A purposeful sampling method identified interviewees (surgeons, advice nurses, physical therapists, physician assistants, and patients). Patients were recent THA/TKA cases in the top third of opioid use after surgery. INTERVENTIONS: N/A. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE(S): Qualitative study. RESULTS: Recommendations for patient educational content included: (1) clear descriptions of how opioids work in the body, how to taper, nonopioid pain management options, and problems from overuse; (2) messaging on how long to expect to use opioids and type of pain to expect; (3) visual timeline to illustrate opioid tapering and exercise expectations; (4) emphasize that pain management is multimodal, and stress the balance between opioids for recovery versus overuse; (5) provide educational messaging multiple times prior to and after surgery. CONCLUSIONS: Patients and providers agreed that clearly stated verbal and written messaging is needed beyond what has typically been done regarding opioid expectations.

Expression of DNA-dependent protein kinase catalytic subunit in laryngeal squamous cell carcinoma and its importance.

The aim of the present study was to explore the expression and distribution of DNA-dependent protein kinase catalytic subunit (DNA-PKcs) in tumor tissues and adjacent normal mucosa tissues of patients with laryngeal squamous cell carcinoma (LSCC), and further analyze the association between the expression and the clinicopathological parameters of patients with LSCC. Clinical data of tumor tissues and corresponding adjacent normal mucosa tissues of pathologically diagnosed LSCC in 96 cases were collected in the present study. Of these specimens, the mRNA and protein expression levels of DNA-PKcs in LSCC tissues and the adjacent normal mucosa tissues were analyzed via reverse transcription-quantitative polymerase chain reaction and western blot analysis. Immunohistochemistry was used to detect expression and distribution of DNA-PKcs protein in LSCC tissues and corresponding adjacent normal mucosa tissues. The association between DNA-PKcs expression and the specific clinicopathologic features was evaluated by the χ2 test. Kaplan-Meier and Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to analyze the data. It was revealed that the expression of DNA-PKcs mRNA and protein was significantly higher in LSCC tissues than the adjacent normal mucosa tissues (P<0.05). DNA-PKcs was expressed predominantly in the nucleus. DNA-PKcs expression showed significant correlation with the differentiation degree of LSCC (P<0.05), and changes of DNA-PKcs expression gradually increased with the decrease of the differentiation degree. However, DNA-PKcs expression was not significantly associated with sex, age, lymph node metastasis or TMN stage (P>0.05). Patients with LSCC exhibited higher DNA-PKcs expression had markedly shorter survival than those with lower DNA-PKcs expression. In conclusion, the present results suggested that the expression levels of DNA-PKcs were significantly increased in LSCC tumor tissues than in adjacent normal mucosa. DNA-PKcs expression was correlated with differentiation of LSCC, and may become a novel prognostic marker for patients with LSCC.

Langerhans' cell histiocytosis of the temporal bone: A case report.

Langerhansmporal histiocytosis (LCH) refers to a group of diseases that are characterized by the primary pathogenesis of an abnormal polyclonal proliferation of Langerhans cells that affect different structures of the human body, including the temporal bone. Thus far, the etiology of LCH remains unclear. Diagnosis of LCH is based on a synthetic analysis of the clinical presentations, as well as on features of imaging and histopathology. The clinical features, diagnosis, treatment and prognosis of LCH remain obscure, and temporal LCH is often confused with ear inflammatory lesions and malignant tumors. There are several therapeutic modalities for temporal bone LCH that include surgery, chemotherapy, radiotherapy and steroidal injections. The present study reports the case of an infant presenting a 1-month history of worsening left facial paralysis and a slowly enlarging post auricular mass followed by a 1-month history of postauricular swelling in the left ear. Computed tomography demonstrated a large mass of organized tissue. Moreover, the diagnosis of LCH was confirmed by histopathological and immunohistochemical examinations. The patient also suffered from multiple organ failure, including the liver, kidney, lymphatic system, skin, hematopoietic system and lungs. Following surgical intervention with mastoidotympanectomy, the parents of the patient refused further chemotherapy, and the patient succumbed to the disease ~6 months later.

Predicting 5-Year Risk of RRT in Stage 3 or 4 CKD: Development and External Validation.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Only a minority of patients with CKD progress to renal failure. Despite the potential benefits of risk stratification in the CKD population, risk prediction models are not routinely used. Our objective was to develop and externally validate a clinically useful and pragmatic prediction model for the 5-year risk of progression to RRT in stage 3 or 4 CKD. DESIGN, SETTING, PARTICIPANTS, & MEASUREMENTS: We used a retrospective cohort design. The development cohort consisted of 22,460 Kaiser Permanente Northwest members with stage 3 or 4 CKD (baseline 2002-2008). The validation cohort consisted of 16,553 Kaiser Permanente Colorado members with stage 3-4 CKD (baseline 2006-2008). The final model included eight predictors: age, sex, eGFR, hemoglobin, proteinuria/albuminuria, systolic BP, antihypertensive medication use, and diabetes and its complications. RESULTS: In the Northwest and Colorado cohorts, there were 737 and 360 events, and observed 5-year Kaplan-Meier risks of 4.72% (95% confidence interval [95% CI], 4.38 to 5.06) and 2.57% (95% CI, 2.30 to 2.83), respectively. Our prediction model performed extremely well in the development cohort, with a c-statistic of 0.96, an R2 of 79.7%, and good calibration. We had similarly good performance in the external validation cohort, with a c-statistic of 0.95, R2 of 81.2%, and good calibration. In the external validation cohort, the observed risk was slightly lower than the predicted risk in the highest-risk quintile. Using the top quintile of predicted risk as a cutpoint gave a sensitivity of 92.2%. CONCLUSIONS: We developed a pragmatic prediction model and risk score for predicting the 5-year RRT risk in stage 3 and 4 CKD. This model uses variables that are typically available in routine primary care settings, and can be used to help guide important decisions such as timing of referral to nephrology and fistula placement.

Predicting the Risk of Clostridium difficile Infection upon Admission: A Score to Identify Patients for Antimicrobial Stewardship Efforts.

INTRODUCTION: Increasing morbidity and health care costs related to Clostridium difficile infection (CDI) have heightened interest in methods to identify patients who would most benefit from interventions to mitigate the likelihood of CDI. OBJECTIVE: To develop a risk score that can be calculated upon hospital admission and used by antimicrobial stewards, including pharmacists and clinicians, to identify patients at risk for CDI who would benefit from enhanced antibiotic review and patient education. METHODS: We assembled a cohort of Kaiser Permanente Northwest patients with a hospital admission from July 1, 2005, through December 30, 2012, and identified CDI in the six months following hospital admission. Using Cox regression, we constructed a score to identify patients at high risk for CDI on the basis of preadmission characteristics. We calculated and plotted the observed six-month CDI risk for each decile of predicted risk. RESULTS: We identified 721 CDIs following 54,186 hospital admissions-a 6-month incidence of 13.3 CDIs/1000 patient admissions. Patients with the highest predicted risk of CDI had an observed incidence of 53 CDIs/1000 patient admissions. The score differentiated between patients who do and do not develop CDI, with values for the extended C-statistic of 0.75. Predicted risk for CDI agreed closely with observed risk. CONCLUSION: Our risk score accurately predicted six-month risk for CDI using preadmission characteristics. Accurate predictions among the highest-risk patient subgroups allow for the identification of patients who could be targeted for and who would likely benefit from review of inpatient antibiotic use or enhanced educational efforts at the time of discharge planning.

Systolic BP and Mortality in Older Adults with CKD.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Optimal BP targets for older adults with CKD are unclear. This study sought to determine whether a nonlinear relationship between BP and mortality-as described for the broader CKD population and for older adults in the general population-is present for older adults with CKD. DESIGN, SETTING, PARTICIPANTS, & MEASUREMENTS: A cohort of 21,015 adults age 65-105 years with a moderate or severe reduction in eGFR (<60 ml/min per 1.73 m(2)) were identified within the Kaiser Permanente Northwest Health Maintenance Organization population. The relationship between baseline systolic BP (SBP; ≤120, 121-130, 131-140, 141-150, >150 mmHg; referent, 131-140 mmHg) and all-cause mortality across age groups (65-70, 71-80, and >80 years) was examined; patients were followed for up to 11 years after cohort entry. RESULTS: The median times at risk were 3.15 years, 3.53 years, and 2.76 years for adults age 65-70, 71-80, and >80 years, respectively. Mortality during follow-up was 19.6% for those age 65-70 years, 33.4% for those age 71-80 years, and 55.7% for those age >80 years. The relationship between SBP and mortality varied as a function of age. The risk of death was highest for patients with the lowest SBP in all age groups. Only among adults age 65-70 years was an SBP>140 mmHg associated with a higher risk of death compared with the referent category. Patterns of age modification of the relationship between SBP and mortality were consistent in all sensitivity analyses. CONCLUSIONS: In a cohort of older adults, the relationship between SBP and mortality varied systematically with age. A relationship between higher SBP and mortality was present only for younger members of this cohort and not for those older than 70. These results raise the question of whether the relative benefits and harms of lowering BP to recommended targets for older adults with CKD may vary as a function of age.

Comparative Effectiveness of Statin Therapy in Chronic Kidney Disease and Acute Myocardial Infarction: A Retrospective Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Whether there is a kidney function threshold to statin effectiveness in patients with acute myocardial infarction is poorly understood. Our study sought to help fill this gap in clinical knowledge. METHODS: We undertook a new-user cohort study of the effectiveness of statin therapy by level of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) in adults who were hospitalized for myocardial infarction between 2000 and 2008. Data came from the Cardiovascular Research Network. The primary clinical outcomes were 1-year all-cause mortality and cardiovascular hospitalizations, with adverse outcomes of myopathy and development of diabetes mellitus. We calculated incidence rates, the number needed to treat, and used Cox proportional hazards regression with propensity score matching and adjustment to control for confounding, with testing for variation of effect by level of kidney function. RESULTS: Compared with statin non-initiators (n = 5583), statin initiators (n = 5597) had a lower propensity score-adjusted risk for death (hazard ratio 0.79; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.71-0.88) and cardiovascular hospitalizations (hazard ratio 0.90; 95% CI, 0.82-1.00). We found little evidence of variation in effect by level of eGFR (P = .86 for death; P = .77 for cardiovascular hospitalization). Adverse outcomes were similar for statin initiators and statin non-initiators. The number needed to treat to prevent 1 additional death over 1 year of follow-up ranged from 15 (95% CI, 11-28) for eGFR <30 mL/min/1.73 m(2) requiring statin treatment over 2 years to prevent 1 additional death, to 67 (95% CI, 49-118) for patients with eGFR >90 mL/min/1.73 m(2). CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggest that there is potential for important public health gains by increasing the routine use of statin therapy for patients with lower levels of kidney function.

Predicting mortality in older adults with kidney disease: a pragmatic prediction model.

OBJECTIVES: To develop mortality risk prediction models for older adults with chronic kidney disease (CKD) that include comorbidities and measures of health status and use not associated with particular comorbid conditions (nondisease-specific measures). DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING: Kaiser Permanente Northwest (KPNW) Health Maintenance Organization. PARTICIPANTS: Individuals with severe CKD (estimated glomerular filtration rate<30 mL/min per 1.73 m2; N=4,054; n=1,915 aged 65-79, n=2,139 aged ≥80) who received care at KPNW between 2000 and 2008. MEASUREMENTS: Cox proportional hazards analysis was used to examine the association between selected participant characteristics and all-cause mortality and to generate age group-specific risk prediction models. Predicted and observed risks were evaluated according to quintile. Predictors from the Cox models were translated into a points-based system. Internal validation was used to provide best estimates of how these models might perform in an external population. RESULTS: The risk prediction models used 16 characteristics to identify participants with the highest risk of mortality at 2 years for adults aged 65 to 79 and 80 and older. Predicted and observed risks agreed within 5% for each quintile; a 4 to 5 times difference in 2-year predicted mortality risk was observed between the highest and lowest quintiles. The c-statistics for each model (0.68-0.69) indicated effective discrimination without evidence of significant overfit (slope shrinkage 0.06-0.09). Models for each age group performed similarly for mortality prediction at 6 months and 2 years in terms of discrimination and calibration. CONCLUSION: When validated, these risk prediction models may be helpful in supporting discussions about prognosis and treatment decisions sensitive to prognosis in older adults with CKD in real-world clinical settings.

[Expression and significance of DNA-dependent protein kinase in human laryngeal squamous cell carcinoma].

OBJECTIVE: To study the expression of DNA-dependent protein kinase (DNA-PK) in human laryngeal squamous cell carcinoma (LSCC) and normal laryngeal mucosa (NLM), and to analysize the relationship between the expression and the clinicopathologic parameters of LSCC. METHOD: Immunohistochemical technique (Envision) was used to detect the expression of DNA-PK in 64 cases of LSCC and 15 cases of NLM. To investigate an investigation was conducted on the relationship between the expression and clinico-pathological features of LSCC. RESULT: DNA-PK was lowly expressed in NLM and highly expressed in LSCC,the positive rate of DNA-PK expression was 26.67% (4/15), 78.13% (50/64), respectively, and there was significant different difference between the two groups (P < 0.05). Its expression was correlated with the level of histodifferentiation (P < 0.05), but not with TNM stages and neck lymph node metastasis (P > 0.05). CONCLUSION: DNA-PK may be involved in disease development of LSCC.

Prescription opioids for back pain and use of medications for erectile dysfunction.

STUDY DESIGN: Cross-sectional analysis of electronic medical and pharmacy records. OBJECTIVE: To examine associations between use of medication for erectile dysfunction or testosterone replacement and use of opioid therapy, patient age, depression, and smoking status. SUMMARY OF BACKGROUND DATA: Males with chronic pain may experience erectile dysfunction related to depression, smoking, age, or opioid-related hypogonadism. The prevalence of this problem in back pain populations and the relative importance of several risk factors are unknown. METHODS: We examined electronic pharmacy and medical records for males with back pain in a large group model health maintenance organization during 2004. Relevant prescriptions were considered for 6 months before and after the index visit. RESULTS: There were 11,327 males with a diagnosis of back pain. Males who received medications for erectile dysfunction or testosterone replacement (n = 909) were significantly older than those who did not and had greater comorbidity, depression, smoking, and use of sedative-hypnotics. In logistic regressions, the long-term use of opioids was associated with greater use of medications for erectile dysfunction or testosterone replacement compared with no opioid use (odds ratio, 1.45; 95% confidence interval, 1.12-1.87, P < 0.01). Age, comorbidity, depression, and use of sedative-hypnotics were also independently associated with the use of medications for erectile dysfunction or testosterone replacement. Patients prescribed daily opioid doses of 120 mg of morphine-equivalents or more had greater use of medication for erectile dysfunction or testosterone replacement than patients without opioid use (odds ratio, 1.58; 95% confidence interval, 1.03-2.43), even with adjustment for the duration of opioid therapy. CONCLUSION: Dose and duration of opioid use, as well as age, comorbidity, depression, and use of sedative-hypnotics, were associated with evidence of erectile dysfunction. These findings may be important in the process of decision making for the long-term use of opioids. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: 4.

Predicting costs of care in heart failure patients.

BACKGROUND: Identifying heart failure patients most likely to suffer poor outcomes is an essential part of delivering interventions to those most likely to benefit. We sought a comprehensive account of heart failure events and their cumulative economic burden by examining patient characteristics that predict increased cost or poor outcomes. METHODS: We collected electronic medical data from members of a large HMO who had a heart failure diagnosis and an echocardiogram from 1999-2004, and followed them for one year. We examined the role of demographics, clinical and laboratory findings, comorbid disease and whether the heart failure was incident, as well as mortality. We used regression methods appropriate for censored cost data. RESULTS: Of the 4,696 patients, 8% were incident. Several diseases were associated with significantly higher and economically relevant cost changes, including atrial fibrillation (15% higher), coronary artery disease (14% higher), chronic lung disease (29% higher), depression (36% higher), diabetes (38% higher) and hyperlipidemia (21% higher). Some factors were associated with costs in a counterintuitive fashion (i.e. lower costs in the presence of the factor) including age, ejection fraction and anemia. But anemia and ejection fraction were also associated with a higher death rate. CONCLUSIONS: Close control of factors that are independently associated with higher cost or poor outcomes may be important for disease management. Analysis of costs in a disease like heart failure that has a high death rate underscores the need for economic methods to consider how mortality should best be considered in costing studies.

Correlates of higher-dose opioid medication use for low back pain in primary care.

UNLABELLED: Factors associated with high-dose opioid therapy for noncancer pain are poorly understood. We documented the prevalence of high-dose opioid use as well as associated demographic, clinical, and health service utilization correlates among low back pain patients. Patients prescribed higher doses of opioids (≥100 mg/day morphine equivalent at last dispensing; n = 453) and receiving opioids for 90+ consecutive days were compared to 2 groups: lower-dose opioid group (1-99 mg/day; n = 4,815) or no-opioid group (n = 10,184). Higher-dose opioid use occurred in 2.9% of patients who received any opioids and in 8.6% of patients who received opioids long-term. The median dose in the higher-dose group was 180.0 mg/day. Compared to the no-opioid group, higher-dose users reported poorer health. Compared to either comparison group, patients in the higher-dose group had higher rates of mental health and substance use disorders, concurrent sedative-hypnotic use (60.5%; n = 274), and health service utilization. After adjusting for select covariates, male gender (odds ratio [OR] = 1.68, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.37-2.06), higher comorbidity, Medicare coverage (OR = 1.65, 95% CI = 1.22-2.23), any mental health or substance use diagnosis (OR = 1.58, 95% CI = 1.28-1.95), co-prescriptions of sedative-hypnotics (OR = 1.75, 95% CI = 1.42-2.16), and more emergency department and specialty pain clinic visits were associated with higher likelihood of high-dose prescriptions. PERSPECTIVE: Higher-dose opioid therapy is being prescribed to 8.6% of back pain patients who receive long-term opioids. These patients had higher mental health and medical comorbidities and co-prescriptions of sedative-hypnotics, raising potential safety concerns.

Epidemiology and healthcare costs of incident Clostridium difficile infections identified in the outpatient healthcare setting.

OBJECTIVE: To describe the epidemiology and healthcare costs of Clostridium difficile infection (CDI) identified in the outpatient setting. DESIGN: Population-based, retrospective cohort study. PATIENTS: Kaiser Permanente Colorado and Kaiser Permanente Northwest members between June 1, 2005, and September 30, 2008. METHODS: We identified persons with incident CDI and classified CDI by whether it was identified in the outpatient or inpatient healthcare setting. We collected information about baseline variables and follow-up healthcare utilization, costs, and outcomes among patients with CDI. We compared characteristics of patients with CDI identified in the outpatient versus inpatient setting. RESULTS: We identified 3,067 incident CDIs; 56% were identified in the outpatient setting. Few strong, independent predictors of diagnostic setting were identified, although a previous stay in a nonacute healthcare institution (odds ratio [OR], 1.45 [95% confidence interval (CI), 1.13-1.86]) was statistically associated with outpatient-identified CDI, as was age from 50 to 59 years (OR, 1.64 [95% CI, 1.18-2.29]), 60 to 69 years (OR, 1.37 [95% CI, 1.03-1.82]), and 70 to 79 years (OR, 1.36 [95% CI, 1.06-1.74]), when compared with persons aged 80-89 years. CONCLUSIONS: We found that more than one-half of incident CDIs in this population were identified in the outpatient setting. Patients with outpatient-identified CDI were younger with fewer comorbidities, although they frequently had previous exposure to healthcare. These data suggest that practitioners should be aware of CDI and obtain appropriate diagnostic testing on outpatients with CDI symptoms.

Clostridium difficile infection, Colorado and the northwestern United States, 2007.

To determine the incidence of Clostridium difficile infection during 2007, we examined infection in adult inpatient and outpatient members of a managed-care organization. Incidence was 14.9 C. difficile infections per 10,000 patient-years. Extrapolating this rate to US adults, we estimate that 284,875 C. difficile infections occurred during 2007.

[Research on misdiagnosis of space occupying lesions in unilateral nasal sinus].

OBJECTIVE: By nearly 3-year retrospective analysis of cases with space-occupying lesions in unilateral nasal sinus in Guizhou Province People's Hospital, clinical diagnostic and misdiagnosis of such lesions were explored to provide references for clinicians in diagnosis and treatment of such diseases. METHOD: Combining related literatures in recent years, 213 patients with space-occupying lesions in unilateral nasal sinus were selected. The patients misdiagnosed were reviewed for its clinical manifestations, of patients had been misdiagnosed, imaging features and and pathology. RESULT: Of 213 patients, 116 cases located in the left nasal sinus and 97 in right, 65 patients were nasal polyps, 66 were sinus cyst, 20 were fungal sinusitis, 31 were benign tumor, 28 were malignant tumor and 3 were nasal foreign body. Misdiagnosis were as follow: 12 patients with malignant tumor were misdiagnosed as nasal polyps and the misdiagnosis rate 5.63%. Nasal foreign bodies were misdiagnosed as sinusitis in 2 cases and the misdiagnosis rate 0. 94%. Inserted papilloma misdiagnosed as nasal polyps in 6 cases and the misdiagnosis rate 8.45%. Fungal sinusitis misdiagnosed as purulent sinusitis in 5 cases and the misdiagnosis rate 2.35%. Sinus cyst misdiagnosed as sinusitis in 8 cases and the misdiagnosis rate 3.75%. CONCLUSION: Enquiry history, carefully specialized examination including nasal endoscopy, three-dimensional image and biopsy are crucial on the accurate diagnosis and reducing the misdiagnosis.

Predicting chronic kidney disease outcomes: are two estimated glomerular filtration rates better than one?

The National Kidney Foundation's (NKF) Kidney Disease Outcomes Quality Initiative (KDOQI) definition of chronic kidney disease (CKD), stages 3-5, requires 2 estimated glomerular filtration rates (eGFRs) <60 ml/min/1.73 m(2) more than 3 months apart. By requiring 2 eGFRs, the NKF definition reduced identification of people without chronic disease, which may have decreased identification of individuals with early CKD, but increased identification of those who ultimately have progression of CKD or require renal replacement therapy (RRT). Our objective was to determine whether 2 eGFR tests were better than 1 eGFR as a predictor of RRT, CKD progression, or death. This retrospective incident cohort study evaluates outcomes in adults with an initial eGFR <60 ml/min/1.73 m(2) and a second eGFR after 90 days by examining a third follow-up eGFR. For the 2086 patients in this study, the mean initial eGFR was 50.7 ml/min/1.73 m(2) and the mean second eGFR was 59.3 ml/min/1.73 m(2). More than 40% of the population (925) did not have CKD based upon their second eGFR. The initial eGFR was the best predictor of the third eGFR. There was no material difference in the ability to predict outcome measures between 1 versus 2 eGFR tests, regardless of eGFR value or associated comorbidities. Identifying patients with CKD is a critical step when beginning to implement population management strategies for those patients. Our findings illustrate some of the trade-offs in strategies inherent in methods that might be used to identify patients with CKD; 1 eGFR will identify patients about 5 months sooner, allowing additional time for nephrologist and other therapeutic intervention, but approximately doubles the population to be managed.

Opioids for back pain patients: primary care prescribing patterns and use of services.

BACKGROUND: Opioid prescribing for noncancer pain has increased dramatically. We examined whether the prevalence of unhealthy lifestyles, psychologic distress, health care utilization, and co-prescribing of sedative-hypnotics increased with increasing duration of prescription opioid use. METHODS: We analyzed electronic data for 6 months before and after an index visit for back pain in a managed care plan. Use of opioids was characterized as "none," "acute" (≤90 days), "episodic," or "long term." Associations with lifestyle factors, psychologic distress, and utilization were adjusted for demographics and comorbidity. RESULTS: There were 26,014 eligible patients. Of these, 61% received a course of opioids, and 19% were long-term users. Psychologic distress, unhealthy lifestyles, and utilization were associated incrementally with duration of opioid prescription, not just with chronic use. Among long-term opioid users, 59% received only short-acting drugs; 39% received both long- and short-acting drugs; and 44% received a sedative-hypnotic. Of those with any opioid use, 36% had an emergency visit. CONCLUSIONS: Prescription of opioids was common among patients with back pain. The prevalence of psychologic distress, unhealthy lifestyles, and health care utilization increased incrementally with duration of use. Coprescribing sedative-hypnotics was common. These data may help in predicting long-term opioid use and improving the safety of opioid prescribing.

Predicting the risk of end-stage renal disease in the population-based setting: a retrospective case-control study.

BACKGROUND: Previous studies of predictors of end-stage renal disease (ESRD) have limitations: (1) some focused on patients with clinically recognized chronic kidney disease (CKD); (2) others identified population-based patients who developed ESRD, but lacked earlier baseline clinical measures to predict ESRD. Our study was designed to address these limitations and to identify the strength and precision of characteristics that might predict ESRD pragmatically for decision-makers--as measured by the onset of renal replacement therapy (RRT). METHODS: We conducted a population-based, retrospective case-control study of patients who developed ESRD and started RRT. We conducted the study in a health maintenance organization, Kaiser Permanente Northwest (KPNW). The case-control study was nested within the adult population of KPNW members who were enrolled during 1999, the baseline period. Cases and their matched controls were identified from January 2000 through December 2004. We evaluated baseline clinical characteristics measured during routine care by calculating the adjusted odds ratios and their 95% confidence intervals after controlling for matching characteristics: age, sex, and year. RESULTS: The rate of RRT in the cohort from which we sampled was 58 per 100,000 person-years (95% CI, 53 to 64). After excluding patients with missing data, we analyzed 350 cases and 2,114 controls. We identified the following characteristics that predicted ESRD with odds ratios ≥ 2.0: eGFR<60 mL/min/1.73 m(2) (OR = 20.5; 95% CI, 11.2 to 37.3), positive test for proteinuria (OR = 5.0; 95% CI, 3.5 to 7.1), hypertension (OR = 4.5; 95% CI, 2.5 to 8.0), gout/positive test for uric acid (OR = 2.5; 95% CI, 1.8 to 3.5), peripheral vascular disease (OR = 2.2; 95% CI, 1.4 to 3.6), congestive heart failure (OR = 2.1; 95% CI, 1.4 to 3.3), and diabetes (OR = 2.1; 95% CI, 1.5 to 2.9). CONCLUSIONS: The clinical characteristics needed to predict ESRD--for example, to develop a population-based, prognostic risk score--were often documented during routine care years before patients developed ESRD and required RRT.

An economic evaluation of a laboratory monitoring program for renin-angiotensin system agents.

BACKGROUND: The efficiency of patient safety interventions is not well studied, especially laboratory monitoring for drug therapy. More than one-third of preventable adverse drug events are associated with inadequate monitoring. Current knowledge of decreasing adverse drug events through expanded monitoring programs is lacking. DESIGN: The authors focused on a laboratory monitoring program (above usual practice) of renin-angiotensin system (RAS) agents to prevent adverse events of hyperkalemia and acute renal failure. They used a probabilistic decision model to estimate cost savings and cost effectiveness (at $30,000 and $10,000 per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY)). Costs included the monitoring program, and offsets from reduced care in 3 populations (overall, chronic kidney disease [CKD], and diabetes). MAIN RESULTS: Adverse events were most common in those with CKD. Intervening on all new users or the subset with diabetes was almost never expected to be cost saving (probability <1%). But a monitoring program restricted to patients with CKD was expected to be cost saving (probability = 95%). A strategy that intervened on all patients, or those with diabetes, was never cost effective, (probability <1%). But intervening on patients with CKD was estimated to be cost effective (at either cost-effectiveness threshold) at least 95% of the time in the base case. CONCLUSIONS: The authors' findings illustrate that for laboratory monitoring to be cost effective, the patient population must be at high enough risk of adverse events. Further inquiry into the willingness to pay for patient safety interventions is needed.