Predicting hospitalization costs for pulmonary tuberculosis patients based on machine learning.

BACKGROUND: Pulmonary tuberculosis (PTB) is a prevalent chronic disease associated with a significant economic burden on patients. Using machine learning to predict hospitalization costs can allocate medical resources effectively and optimize the cost structure rationally, so as to control the hospitalization costs of patients better. METHODS: This research analyzed data (2020-2022) from a Kashgar pulmonary hospital's information system, involving 9570 eligible PTB patients. SPSS 26.0 was used for multiple regression analysis, while Python 3.7 was used for random forest regression (RFR) and MLP. The training set included data from 2020 and 2021, while the test set included data from 2022. The models predicted seven various costs related to PTB patients, including diagnostic cost, medical service cost, material cost, treatment cost, drug cost, other cost, and total hospitalization cost. The model's predictive performance was evaluated using R-square (R2), Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE), and Mean Absolute Error (MAE) metrics. RESULTS: Among the 9570 PTB patients included in the study, the median and quartile of total hospitalization cost were 13,150.45 (9891.34, 19,648.48) yuan. Nine factors, including age, marital status, admission condition, length of hospital stay, initial treatment, presence of other diseases, transfer, drug resistance, and admission department, significantly influenced hospitalization costs for PTB patients. Overall, MLP demonstrated superior performance in most cost predictions, outperforming RFR and multiple regression; The performance of RFR is between MLP and multiple regression; The predictive performance of multiple regression is the lowest, but it shows the best results for Other costs. CONCLUSION: The MLP can effectively leverage patient information and accurately predict various hospitalization costs, achieving a rationalized structure of hospitalization costs by adjusting higher-cost inpatient items and balancing different cost categories. The insights of this predictive model also hold relevance for research in other medical conditions.

A deep learning radiomics model based on CT images for predicting the biological activity of hepatic cystic echinococcosis.

Introduction: Hepatic cystic echinococcosis (HCE) is a widely seen parasitic infection. Biological activity is crucial for treatment planning. This work aims to explore the potential applications of a deep learning radiomics (DLR) model, based on CT images, in predicting the biological activity grading of hepatic cystic echinococcosis. Methods: A retrospective analysis of 160 patients with hepatic echinococcosis was performed (127 and 33 in training and validation sets). Volume of interests (VOIs) were drawn, and radiomics features and deep neural network features were extracted. Feature selection was performed on the training set, and radiomics score (Rad Score) and deep learning score (Deep Score) were calculated. Seven diagnostics models (based on logistic regression algorithm) for the biological activity grading were constructed using the selected radiomics features and two deep model features respectively. All models were evaluated using the receiver operating characteristic curve, and the area under the curve (AUC) was calculated. A nomogram was constructed using the combined model, and its calibration, discriminatory ability, and clinical utility were assessed. Results: 12, 6 and 10 optimal radiomics features, deep learning features were selected from two deep learning network (DLN) features, respectively. For biological activity grading of hepatic cystic echinococcosis, the combined model demonstrated strong diagnostic performance, with an AUC value of 0.888 (95% CI: 0.837-0.936) in the training set and 0.876 (0.761-0.964) in the validation set. The clinical decision analysis curve indicated promising results, while the calibration curve revealed that the nomogram's prediction result was highly compatible with the actual result. Conclusion: The DLR model can be used for predicting the biological activity grading of hepatic echinococcosis.

Machine learning-enabled prediction of prolonged length of stay in hospital after surgery for tuberculosis spondylitis patients with unbalanced data: a novel approach using explainable artificial intelligence (XAI).

BACKGROUND: Tuberculosis spondylitis (TS), commonly known as Pott's disease, is a severe type of skeletal tuberculosis that typically requires surgical treatment. However, this treatment option has led to an increase in healthcare costs due to prolonged hospital stays (PLOS). Therefore, identifying risk factors associated with extended PLOS is necessary. In this research, we intended to develop an interpretable machine learning model that could predict extended PLOS, which can provide valuable insights for treatments and a web-based application was implemented. METHODS: We obtained patient data from the spine surgery department at our hospital. Extended postoperative length of stay (PLOS) refers to a hospitalization duration equal to or exceeding the 75th percentile following spine surgery. To identify relevant variables, we employed several approaches, such as the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO), recursive feature elimination (RFE) based on support vector machine classification (SVC), correlation analysis, and permutation importance value. Several models using implemented and some of them are ensembled using soft voting techniques. Models were constructed using grid search with nested cross-validation. The performance of each algorithm was assessed through various metrics, including the AUC value (area under the curve of receiver operating characteristics) and the Brier Score. Model interpretation involved utilizing methods such as Shapley additive explanations (SHAP), the Gini Impurity Index, permutation importance, and local interpretable model-agnostic explanations (LIME). Furthermore, to facilitate the practical application of the model, a web-based interface was developed and deployed. RESULTS: The study included a cohort of 580 patients and 11 features include (CRP, transfusions, infusion volume, blood loss, X-ray bone bridge, X-ray osteophyte, CT-vertebral destruction, CT-paravertebral abscess, MRI-paravertebral abscess, MRI-epidural abscess, postoperative drainage) were selected. Most of the classifiers showed better performance, where the XGBoost model has a higher AUC value (0.86) and lower Brier Score (0.126). The XGBoost model was chosen as the optimal model. The results obtained from the calibration and decision curve analysis (DCA) plots demonstrate that XGBoost has achieved promising performance. After conducting tenfold cross-validation, the XGBoost model demonstrated a mean AUC of 0.85 ± 0.09. SHAP and LIME were used to display the variables' contributions to the predicted value. The stacked bar plots indicated that infusion volume was the primary contributor, as determined by Gini, permutation importance (PFI), and the LIME algorithm. CONCLUSIONS: Our methods not only effectively predicted extended PLOS but also identified risk factors that can be utilized for future treatments. The XGBoost model developed in this study is easily accessible through the deployed web application and can aid in clinical research.

Multiparametric MRI-Based Interpretable Radiomics Machine Learning Model Differentiates Medulloblastoma and Ependymoma in Children: A Two-Center Study.

RATIONALE AND OBJECTIVES: Medulloblastoma (MB) and Ependymoma (EM) in children, share similarities in age group, tumor location, and clinical presentation. Distinguishing between them through clinical diagnosis is challenging. This study aims to explore the effectiveness of using radiomics and machine learning on multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) to differentiate between MB and EM and validate its diagnostic ability with an external set. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Axial T2 weighted image (T2WI) and contrast-enhanced T1weighted image (CE-T1WI) MRI sequences of 135 patients from two centers were collected as train/test sets. Volume of interest (VOI) was manually delineated by an experienced neuroradiologist, supervised by a senior. Feature selection analysis and the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) algorithm identified valuable features, and Shapley additive explanations (SHAP) evaluated their significance. Five machine-learning classifiers-extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), Bernoulli naive Bayes (Bernoulli NB), Logistic Regression (LR), support vector machine (SVM), linear support vector machine (Linear SVC) classifiers were built based on T2WI (T2 model), CE-T1WI (T1 model), and T1 + T2WI (T1 + T2 model). A human expert diagnosis was developed and corrected by senior radiologists. External validation was performed at Sun Yat-Sen University Cancer Center. RESULTS: 31 valuable features were extracted from T2WI and CE-T1WI. XGBoost demonstrated the highest performance with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.92 on the test set and maintained an AUC of 0.80 during external validation. For the T1 model, XGBoost achieved the highest AUC of 0.85 on the test set and the highest accuracy of 0.71 on the external validation set. In the T2 model, XGBoost achieved the highest AUC of 0.86 on the test set and the highest accuracy of 0.82 on the external validation set. The human expert diagnosis had an AUC of 0.66 on the test set and 0.69 on the external validation set. The integrated T1 + T2 model achieved an AUC of 0.92 on the test set, 0.80 on the external validation set, achieved the best performance. Overall, XGBoost consistently outperformed in different classification models. CONCLUSION: The combination of radiomics and machine learning on multiparametric MRI effectively distinguishes between MB and EM in childhood, surpassing human expert diagnosis in training and testing sets.

MRI-based interpretable radiomics nomogram for discrimination between Brucella spondylitis and Pyogenic spondylitis.

Background: Pyogenic spondylitis (PS) and Brucella spondylitis (BS) are commonly seen spinal infectious diseases. Both types can lead to vertebral destruction, kyphosis, and long-term neurological deficits if not promptly diagnosed and treated. Therefore, accurately diagnosis is crucial for personalized therapy. Distinguishing between PS and BS in everyday clinical settings is challenging due to the similarity of their clinical symptoms and imaging features. Hence, this study aims to evaluate the effectiveness of a radiomics nomogram using magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) to accurately differentiate between the two types of spondylitis. Methods: Clinical and MRI data from 133 patients (2017-2022) with pathologically confirmed PS and BS (68 and 65 patients, respectively) were collected. We have divided patients into training and testing cohorts. In order to develop a clinical diagnostic model, logistic regression was utilized to fit a conventional clinical model (M1). Radiomics features were extracted from sagittal fat-suppressed T2-weighted imaging (FS-T2WI) sequence. The radiomics features were preprocessed, including scaling using Z-score and undergoing univariate analysis to eliminate redundant features. Furthermore, the Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) was employed to develop a radiomics score (M2). A composite model (M3) was created by combining M1 and M2. Subsequently, calibration and decision curves were generated to evaluate the nomogram's performance in both training and testing groups. The diagnostic performance of each model and the indication was assessed using the receiver operating curve (ROC) with its area under the curve (AUC). Finally, we used the SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) model explanations technique to interpret the model result. Results: We have finally selected 9 significant features from sagittal FS-T2WI sequences. In the differential diagnosis of PS and BS, the AUC values of M1, M2, and M3 in the testing set were 0.795, 0.859, and 0.868. The composite model exhibited a high degree of concurrence with the ideal outcomes, as evidenced by the calibration curves. The nomogram's possible clinical application values were indicated by the decision curve analysis. By using SHAP values to represent prediction outcomes, our model's prediction results are more understandable. Conclusions: The implementation of a nomogram that integrates MRI and clinical data has the potential to significantly enhance the accuracy of discriminating between PS and BS within clinical settings.

Differentiation between cerebral alveolar echinococcosis and brain metastases with radiomics combined machine learning approach.

BACKGROUND: Cerebral alveolar echinococcosis (CAE) and brain metastases (BM) share similar in locations and imaging appearance. However, they require distinct treatment approaches, with CAE typically treated with chemotherapy and surgery, while BM is managed with radiotherapy and targeted therapy for the primary malignancy. Accurate diagnosis is crucial due to the divergent treatment strategies. PURPOSE: This study aims to evaluate the effectiveness of radiomics and machine learning techniques based on magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) to differentiate between CAE and BM. METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed MRI images of 130 patients (30 CAE and 100 BM) from Xinjiang Medical University First Affiliated Hospital and The First People's Hospital of Kashi Prefecture, between January 2014 and December 2022. The dataset was divided into training (91 cases) and testing (39 cases) sets. Three dimensional tumors were segmented by radiologists from contrast-enhanced T1WI images on open resources software 3D Slicer. Features were extracted on Pyradiomics, further feature reduction was carried out using univariate analysis, correlation analysis, and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO). Finally, we built five machine learning models, support vector machine, logistic regression, linear discrimination analysis, k-nearest neighbors classifier, and Gaussian naïve bias and evaluated their performance via several metrics including sensitivity (recall), specificity, positive predictive value (precision), negative predictive value, accuracy and the area under the curve (AUC). RESULTS: The area under curve (AUC) of support vector classifier (SVC), linear discrimination analysis (LDA), k-nearest neighbors (KNN), and gaussian naïve bias (NB) algorithms in training (testing) sets are 0.99 (0.94), 1.00 (0.87), 0.98 (0.92), 0.97 (0.97), and 0.98 (0.93), respectively. Nested cross-validation demonstrated the robustness and generalizability of the models. Additionally, the calibration plot and decision curve analysis demonstrated the practical usefulness of these models in clinical practice, with lower bias toward different subgroups during decision-making. CONCLUSION: The combination of radiomics and machine learning approach based on contrast enhanced T1WI images could well distinguish CAE and BM. This approach holds promise in assisting doctors with accurate diagnosis and clinical decision-making.

A preliminary study of MRI-based radiomics combined with clinical features for Differential Diagnosis of Brucella Spondylitis and Pyogenic Spondylitis / 中华骨科杂志

Objective:To elucidate the diagnostic utility of clinical features and radiomics characteristics derived from magnetic resonance imaging T2-weighted fat-suppressed images (T2WI-FS) in differentiating brucellosis spondylitis from pyogenic spondylitis.Methods:Clinical records of 26 patients diagnosed with Brucellosis Spondylitis and 23 with Pyogenic Spondylitis were retrospectively reviewed from Xinjiang Medical University First Affiliated Hospital between January 2019 and December 2021. Confirmatory diagnosis was ascertained through histopathological examination and/or microbial culture. Demographic characteristics, symptoms, clinical manifestations, and hematological tests were collected, followed by a univariate analysis to discern clinically significant risk factors. For the radiomics evaluation, preoperative sagittal T2WI-FS images were utilized. Regions of interest (ROIs) were manually outlined by two adept radiologists. Employing the PyRadiomics toolkit, an extensive array of radiomics features encompassing shape, texture, and gray-level attributes were extracted, yielding a total of 1,500 radiomics parameters. Feature normalization and redundancy elimination were implemented to optimize the predictive efficacy of the model. Discriminatory radiomics features were identified through statistical methods like t-tests or rank-sum tests, followed by refinement via least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression. An integrative logistic regression model incorporated selected clinical risk factors, radiomics attributes, and a composite radiomics score (Rad-Score). The diagnostic performance of three models clinical risk factors alone, Rad-Score alone, and a synergistic combination were appraised using a confusion matrix and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis.Results:The cohort comprised 49 patients, including 36 males and 13 females, with a mean age of 53.79±13.79 years. C-reactive protein (CRP) and erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR) emerged as significant clinical risk factors ( P<0.005). A total of seven discriminative radiomics features (logarithm glrlm SRLGLE, exponential glcm Imc1, exponential glcm MCC, exponential gldm SDLGLE, square glcm ClusterShade, squareroot glszm SALGLE and wavelet.HHH glrlm Run Variance) were isolated through LASSO regression. Among these selected features, the square glcmClusterShade feature exhibited the best performance, with an area under the curve (AUC) value of 0.780. It demonstrated a sensitivity of 68.8%, specificity of 94.4%, accuracy of 82.4%, precision of 91.7%, and negative predictive value of 0.773. Furthermore, the logarithm glrlm SRLGLE feature had an AUC of 0.736, sensitivity of 68.8%, specificity of 72.2%, accuracy of 76.5%, precision of 72.2%, and negative predictive value of 0.812. The exponential glcm Imc1 feature had an AUC of 0.736, sensitivity of 50.0%, specificity of 94.4%, accuracy of 73.5%, precision of 88.9%, and negative predictive value of 0.680. Three diagnostic models were constructed: the clinical risk factors model, the radiomics score model, and the integrated model (clinical risk factors+radiomics score), which showed AUC values of 0.801, 0.818, and 0.875, respectively. Notably, the integrated model exhibited superior diagnostic efficacy. Conclusion:The amalgamation of clinical and radiomics variables within a sophisticated, integrated model demonstrates promising efficacy in accurately discriminating between Brucellosis Spondylitis and Pyogenic Spondylitis. This cutting-edge methodology underscores its potential in facilitating nuanced clinical decision-making, precise diagnostic differentiation, and the tailoring of therapeutic regimens.