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Preprint em Inglês | medRxiv | ID: ppmedrxiv-20216812

RESUMO

Bangladesh has been combating the COVID-19 pandemic with limited financial resources and poor health infrastructure since March, 2020. Although the government has imposed several restricted measures to curb the progression of the outbreak, these arrays of measures are not sustainable in the long run. In this study, we assess the impact of lift of flexible lockdown on the COVID-19 dynamics in Bangladesh. Our analysis demonstrates that the country might experience second infection peak in 6-7 months after the withdrawal of current lockdown. Moreover, a prolonged restrictions until January, 2021 will shift the infection peak towards August, 2021 and will reduce approximately 20 % COVID-19 cases in Bangladesh. What we knowO_LIBangladesh has been going through COVID-19 crisis and in response, the Government has implemented restricted array of measures to curb the COVID-19 outbreak in Bangladesh. C_LI What this article addsO_LIThe impact of no lockdown policies on COVID-19 pandemic in Bangladesh. C_LIO_LIAppearance of second infection peak in 6-7 months after the withdrawal of current lockdown. C_LI

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