The modified NUTRIC score (mNUTRIC) is associated with increased 28-day mortality in critically ill COVID-19 patients: Internal validation of a prediction model.

BACKGROUND: High prevalence of malnutrition was found in critically ill COVID-19 patients. The modified Nutrition Risk in the Critically ill (mNUTRIC) score is frequently used for nutritional risk assessment in intensive care unit (ICU) COVID-19 patients. The aim of this study was to investigate the role of mNUTRIC score to predict 28-day mortality in critically ill COVID-19 patients admitted to ICU. METHODS: A cohort of consecutive COVID-19 critically ill patients admitted to ICU was retrospectively evaluated and the nutritional risk was assessed with the use of mNUTRIC score. A multivariable Cox regression model to predict 28-day mortality was therefore developed including the mNUTRIC as a covariate. Internal validation was performed using the bootstrap resampling technique to reduce possible bias in the estimated risks. The performance of the prediction model was assessed via calibration and discrimination. RESULTS: A total of 98 critically ill COVID-19 patients with a median age of 66 years (56-73 IQR), 81 (82.7%) males were included in this study. A high nutritional risk (mNUTRIC ≥5 points) was observed in 41.8% of our critically ill COVID-19 patients while a low nutritional risk (mNUTRIC <5 points) was observed in 58.2%. Forty-five patients (45.9%) died within 28 days after ICU admission. In multivariable model after internal validation, mNUTRIC ≥5 (optimism adjusted HR 2.38, 95% CI 1.08-5.25, p = 0.02) and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein values (CRP) (optimism adjusted HR 1.02, 95% CI 1.01-1.07, p = 0.005) were independent predictors of 28-day mortality. CONCLUSIONS: A high prevalence of malnutrition as revealed by mNUTRIC was found in our critically ill COVID-19 patients once admitted in ICU. After adjustment for covariables, mNUTRIC ≥5 and CRP levels were independently associated with 28-day mortality in critically ill COVID-19 patients. The final model revealed good discrimination and calibration. Nutritional risk assessment is essential for the management of critically ill COVID-19 patients as well as for outcome prediction.

Cerebrospinal Fluid Concentrations of Nimodipine Correlate With Long-term Outcome in Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage: Pilot Study.

OBJECTIVES: The aim was to evaluate plasma and cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) nimodipine concentrations in patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage and their correlation with clinical outcome. METHODS: Nimodipine infusion was started at 1 mg/h and increased up to 2 mg/h and continued up to 21 days in surviving patients. Arterial and CSF samples were collected at least after 24 hours of stable nimodipine dosing. Delayed cerebral ischemia and vasospasm were documented by new neurological deficits and neuroimaging. The clinical outcome was assessed at 9 months by the modified Rankin scale. RESULTS: Twenty-three patients were enrolled. Nimodipine dose was 13 to 38 µg/kg per hour. Nimodipine arterial and CSF concentrations were 24.9 to 71.8 ng/mL and 37 to 530 pg/mL, respectively. Dose did not correlate with arterial or CSF concentrations. Arterial concentrations did not correlate with corresponding CSF concentrations. Doses and arterial concentrations did not correlate with the clinical outcome and were not associated with the occurrence of delayed cerebral ischemia. However, patients with no significant disability after 9 months of hemorrhage showed significantly higher CSF nimodipine concentrations (P = 0.015) and CSF-to-plasma ratios (P = 0.011) compared with patients who showed some degree of disability or who died. CONCLUSIONS: Cerebrospinal fluid nimodipine concentrations measured during hospital drug infusion showed a correlation with long-term clinical outcome in patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage. These very preliminary data suggest that CSF concentrations monitoring may have some value in managing these patients.

Early rehabilitation for severe acquired brain injury in intensive care unit: multicenter observational study.

BACKGROUND: The increased survival after a severe acquired brain injury (sABI) raise the problem of making most effective the treatments in Intensive Care Unit (ICU)/Neurointensive Care Unit (NICU), also integrating rehabilitation care. Despite previous studies reported that early mobilization in ICU was effective in preventing complications and reducing hospital stay, few studies addressed the rehabilitative management of sABI patients in ICU/NICU. AIM: To collect clinical and functional data about the early rehabilitative management of sABI patients during ICU/NICU stay. DESIGN: Prospective, observational, multicenter study. SETTING: Fourteen facilities supplied by intensive neurorehabilitation units and ICU/NICUs. POPULATION: Consecutive sABI patients admitted to ICU/NICU. METHODS: Patients were evaluated at admission and then every 3-5 days. Clinical, functional and rehabilitative data, including Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS), Disability Rating Scale (DRS), The Rancho Los Amigos Levels of Cognitive Functioning Scale (LCF), Early Rehabilitation Barthel Index (ERBI), Glasgow Outcome scale (GOS) and Functional Independence Measure (FIM) were collected. RESULTS: One hundred and two patients (F/M 44/58) were enrolled. The mean duration of ICU stay was 24.7±13.9 days and the first rehabilitative evaluation occurred after 8.7±8.8 days. Regular postural changes and multijoint mobilization were prescribed in 63.7% and 64.7% cases, respectively. The mean session duration was 38±11.5 minutes. Swallowing evaluation was performed in 14.7% patients, psychological support was provided to 12.7% of patients' caregivers, while 17.6% received a psycho-educational intervention, and 28.4% were involved in interdisciplinary team meetings. The main discharge destinations were Severe Acquired Brain Injury rehabilitation units for 43.7%, intensive neurorehabilitation units for 20.7%. CONCLUSIONS: Data showed that early rehabilitation was not diffusely performed in sABI subjects in ICU/NICU and rehabilitative interventions were variable; one-third of subjects were not referred to dedicated rehabilitation unit at discharge. CLINICAL REHABILITATION IMPACT: The study stresses the need to spread and implement a rehabilitative culture also for critical ill patients due to neurological diseases.

Hospital staff education on severe sepsis/septic shock and hospital mortality: an original hypothesis.

BACKGROUND: Signs of serious clinical events overlap with those of sepsis. We hypothesised that any education on severe sepsis/septic shock may affect the outcome of all hospital patients. We designed this study to assess the trend of the mortality rate of adults admitted to hospital for at least one night in relationship with a hospital staff educational program dedicated to severe sepsis/septic shock. METHODS: This study was performed in six Italian hospitals in the same region. Multidisciplinary Sepsis Teams members were selected by each hospital management among senior staff. The education included the following steps: i) the Teams were taught about adult learning, problem based learning, and Surviving Sepsis guidelines, and provided with educational material (literature, electronic presentations, scenarios of clinical cases for training and booklets); ii) they started delivering courses and seminars each to their own hospital staff in the last quarter of 2007.To analyse mortality, we selected adult patients, admitted for at least one night to the wards or units present in all the study hospitals and responsible for 80% of hospital deaths. We fitted a Poisson model with monthly hospital mortality rates from December 2003 to August 2009 as dependent variable. The effect of the educational program on hospital mortality was measured as two dummy variables identifying a first (November 2007 to December 2008) and a second (January to August 2009) education period. The analysis was adjusted for a linear time trend, seasonality and monthly average values of age, Charlson score, length of stay in hospital and urgent/non-urgent admission. RESULTS: The hospital staff educated reached 30.6% at the end of June 2009. In comparison with the pre-education period, the Relative Risk of death of the patient population considered was 0.93 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.87-0.99; p 0.025) for in-patients in the first, and 0.89 (95% CI 0.81-0.98; p 0.012) for those in the second period after education. CONCLUSION: Our hypothesis that a program educating hospital staff to early detection and treatment of severe sepsis/septic shock may affect the outcome of all hospital patients is original, but it has to be corroborated by other experiences.

A scoring system predicting the risk for intensive care unit admission for complications after major lung resection: a multicenter analysis.

BACKGROUND: We aimed to develop and validate a scoring system to predict intensive care unit (ICU) admission for complications after major lung resection for purposes of optimizing planning of resources for patient care. METHODS: Patients undergoing major lung resections performed between 2000 and 2006 at three thoracic surgery units were analyzed for unplanned admission to the ICU for complications. Variables were initially screened by univariate analysis. Selected variables were used in a stepwise logistic regression analysis that was validated by bootstrap analysis. The scoring system was developed by proportional weighting of the significant and reliable predictors estimates and validated on patients operated on in a different center. RESULTS: In the derivation set of 1297 patients, 82 (6.3%) had ICU admission for complications, and 30 died (associated mortality rate, 36.5%). Predictive variables and their scores were pneumonectomy, 2 points; and 1 point each for age older than 65, predicted postoperative forced expiratory volume in 1 second below 65%, predicted postoperative carbon monoxide lung diffusion capacity below 50%, and cardiac comorbidity. Patients were grouped into three risk classes by their scores, which were significantly associated with incremental risk of ICU admission in the validation set of 349 patients. CONCLUSIONS: This scoring system predicts incremental risk of ICU admission for complications after major lung resection. This system may help in assessing the need for additional postoperative resources and in modifying indicators used to determine the appropriateness of initial transfer of postoperative patients from ICU or stepdown status and in developing criteria for future cost-effectiveness trials.

Predictors of an appropriate admission to an ICU after a major pulmonary resection.

BACKGROUND: There are no recommendations about admission to an ICU after a major lung resection and there are considerable differences among institutions in this respect. OBJECTIVES: To audit the practice of admission to an ICU after a major lung resection and evaluate factors predicting the need for intensive care. METHODS: Clinicalrecords of all patients who underwent major pulmonary resections in a 14-month period were reviewed retrospectively. The criteria for postoperative admission to the ICU were: (1) standard pneumonectomy if comorbidity index (CI) >0 and/or ASA score >1, and/or abnormal spirometry or arterial gas analysis; (2) extended pneumonectomy; (3) lobectomy if CI >or=4 and/or ASA >or=3; (4) lobectomy if FEV(1) <60% of predicted; (5) lobectomy if FEV(1) is between 60 and 80% and hypercapnia. RESULTS: Among the 49 patients postoperatively admitted to the surgical ward, only 1 needed late intensive care. Among the 55 patients admitted to the ICU, 25 did not require specific intensive care and were discharged 24 h postoperatively, whereas the remaining 30 patients required specific intensive care. Multivariate analysis identified ASA score, predictive postoperative DL(CO), and predictive postoperative product (PPP) as independent predictors of a need for admission to an ICU. CONCLUSION: This empirical protocol was useful in identifying patients not likely to need admission to the ICU. ASA score, predictive postoperative DL(CO), and PPP are independent predictors of a need for admission to an ICU.

Elective intensive care after lung resection: a multicentric propensity-matched comparison of outcome.

The study was aimed at assessing the influence of the elective ICU admission on the early outcome after major lung resection by analyzing the different postoperative management policies of two centers. Center A managed all patients in a dedicated ward, resorting to ICU for complications requiring invasive assisted ventilation. In center B, high-risk patients were electively transferred to ICU immediately after operation. Propensity score was used to match those patients of center B electively admitted to ICU (96 of 157), with counterparts from center A (96 of 205). The outcome of these matched pairs were then compared. There was a trend of reduced total morbidity (23% vs. 35%, respectively; P=0.06), cardiovascular (13.5% vs. 23%, respectively; P=0.09) and pulmonary complication rates (9.3% vs. 18%, respectively; P=0.09), but a longer postoperative hospital stay (11.5 vs. 9.7, respectively; P=0.015) in the patients electively admitted to ICU, compared to matched center A patients. Mortality rates were not different (7.3% vs. 7.3%; P=1). Since the elective postoperative ICU admission did not show a clear-cut outcome benefit over the management in a dedicated ward, this practice should be limited to highly selected patients in order to efficiently utilize the available resources.