Prognostic Value of Lymph Node Ratio in Patients with Resected Synchronous Colorectal Liver Metastases and Less Than 12 Examined Lymph Nodes.

BACKGROUND: Recent studies suggest that lymph node ratio (LNR) has significantly better prognostic power than N-status in patients with colorectal cancer, in particular when the number of evaluated lymph nodes (LNs) was insufficient. The aim of this study was to assess the prognostic value of LNR in patients with resected synchronous colorectal liver metastases (SCLMs) and less than 12 examined LNs. METHODS: A prospectively maintained database of patients with resected SCLMs was queried for patients with less than 12 LNs evaluated at the time of surgery. X-tile software was used to determine the LNR cutoff value able to divide the patients in two subgroups with distinct prognosis. Overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) rates were compared by log-rank test. A multivariate Cox regression analysis identified independent prognostic factors. RESULTS: A cutoff LNR value of 0.22 divided patients into Low-LNR group (35 patients) and High-LNR group (36 patients). Both OS and DFS rates were significantly higher in Low-LNR group than those in High-LNR group. Independent predictors of poor OS were High-LNR (HR: 2.841, 95% CI: 1.480-5.453, p value = 0.002), bilobar SCLMs (HR: 2.253, 95% CI: 1.144-4.437, p value = 0.019) and lack of adjuvant chemotherapy (HR: 2.702, 95% CI: 1.448-5.043, p value = 0.002), while the only independent predictor of poor DFS was High-LNR (HR: 2.531, 95% CI: 1.259-5.090, p value = 0.009). CONCLUSIONS: LNR > 0.22 was independently associated with poor OS and DFS in patients with resected SCLMs and less than 12 evaluated LNs.

Mortality in acute pancreatitis with persistent organ failure is determined by the number, type, and sequence of organ systems affected.

BACKGROUND: Persistent organ failure (POF) is the strongest determinant of mortality in acute pancreatitis (AP). There is a paucity of data regarding the impact of different POF attributes on mortality and the role of different characteristics of systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) in the risk of developing POF. OBJECTIVE: We aimed to assess the association of POF dynamic features with mortality and SIRS characteristics with POF. METHODS: We studied 1544 AP subjects prospectively enrolled at 22 international centers (APPRENTICE consortium). First, we estimated the association of onset, duration, and maximal score of SIRS with POF. Then, we evaluated the risk of mortality based on POF onset, duration, number, type, and sequence of organs affected. Analyses were adjusted for potential confounders. RESULTS: 58% had SIRS, 11% developed POF, and 2.5% died. Early SIRS, persistent SIRS, and maximal SIRS score ≥ 3 were independently associated with higher risk of POF (p < 0.05). Mortality risk in POF was higher with two (33%, odds ratio [OR] = 10.8, 3.3-34.9) and three (48%, OR = 20.2, 5.9-68.6) organs failing, in comparison to single POF (4%). In subjects with multiple POF, mortality was higher when the cardiovascular and respiratory systems failed first or concurrently as compared to when the renal system failed first or concurrently with other organ (p < 0.05). In multivariate regression model, the number and sequence of organs affected in POF were associated with mortality (p < 0.05). Onset and duration of POF had no impact mortality. CONCLUSION: In AP patients with POF, the risk of mortality is influenced by the number, type, and sequence of organs affected. These results are useful for future revisions of AP severity classification systems.

Incidence and risk factors of oral feeding intolerance in acute pancreatitis: Results from an international, multicenter, prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Inability to advance to an oral diet, or oral feeding intolerance, is a common complication in patients with acute pancreatitis associated with worse clinical outcomes. The factors related to oral feeding intolerance are not well studied. OBJECTIVE: We aimed to determine the incidence and risk factors of oral feeding intolerance in acute pancreatitis. METHODS: Patients were prospectively enrolled in the Acute Pancreatitis Patient Registry to Examine Novel Therapies in Clinical Experience, an international acute pancreatitis registry, between 2015 and 2018. Oral feeding intolerance was defined as worsening abdominal pain and/or vomiting after resumption of oral diet. The timing of the initial feeding attempt was stratified based on the day of hospitalization. Multivariable logistic regression was performed to assess for independent risk factors/predictors of oral feeding intolerance. RESULTS: Of 1233 acute pancreatitis patients included in the study, 160 (13%) experienced oral feeding intolerance. The incidence of oral feeding intolerance was similar irrespective of the timing of the initial feeding attempt relative to hospital admission day (p = 0.41). Patients with oral feeding intolerance were more likely to be younger (45 vs. 50 years of age), men (61% vs. 49%), and active alcohol users (44% vs. 36%). They also had higher blood urea nitrogen (20 vs. 15 mg/dl; p < 0.001) and hematocrit levels (41.7% vs. 40.5%; p = 0.017) on admission; were more likely to have a nonbiliary acute pancreatitis etiology (69% vs. 51%), systemic inflammatory response syndrome of 2 or greater on admission (49% vs. 35%) and at 48 h (50% vs. 26%), develop pancreatic necrosis (29% vs. 13%), moderate to severe acute pancreatitis (41% vs. 24%), and have a longer hospital stay (10 vs. 6 days; all p < 0.04). The adjusted analysis showed that systemic inflammatory response syndrome of 2 or greater at 48 h (odds ratio 3.10; 95% confidence interval 1.83-5.25) and a nonbiliary acute pancreatitis etiology (odds ratio 1.65; 95% confidence interval 1.01-2.69) were independent risk factors for oral feeding intolerance. CONCLUSION: Oral feeding intolerance occurs in 13% of acute pancreatitis patients and is independently associated with systemic inflammatory response syndrome at 48 h and a nonbiliary etiology.

Introduction and Validation of a Novel Acute Pancreatitis Digital Tool: Interrogating Large Pooled Data From 2 Prospectively Ascertained Cohorts.

OBJECTIVES: Acute pancreatitis (AP) is a sudden onset, rapidly evolving inflammatory response with systemic inflammation and multiorgan failure (MOF) in a subset of patients. New highly accurate clinical decision support tools are needed to allow local doctors to provide expert care. METHODS: Ariel Dynamic Acute Pancreatitis Tracker (ADAPT) is a digital tool to guide physicians in ordering standard tests, evaluate test results and model progression using available data, propose emergent therapies. The accuracy of the severity score calculators was tested using 2 prospectively ascertained Acute Pancreatitis Patient Registry to Examine Novel Therapies in Clinical Experience cohorts (pilot University of Pittsburgh Medical Center, n = 163; international, n = 1544). RESULTS: The ADAPT and post hoc expert-calculated AP severity scores were 100% concordant in both pilot and international cohorts. High-risk criteria of all 4 severity scores at admission were associated with moderately-severe or severe AP and MOF (both P < 0.0001) and prediction of no MOF was 97.8% to 98.9%. The positive predictive value for MOF was 7.5% to 14.9%. CONCLUSIONS: The ADAPT tool showed 100% accuracy with AP predictive metrics. Prospective evaluation of ADAPT features is needed to determine if additional data can accurately predict and mitigate severe AP and MOF.

Clinical features of hypertriglyceridemia-induced acute pancreatitis in an international, multicenter, prospective cohort (APPRENTICE consortium).

BACKGROUND: The clinical features and outcomes of hypertriglyceridemia-induced acute pancreatitis (HTG-AP) are not well-established. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the clinical characteristics of HTG-AP in an international, multicenter prospective cohort. METHODS: Data collection was conducted prospectively through APPRENTICE between 2015 and 2018. HTG-AP was defined as serum TG levels >500 mg/dl in the absence of other common etiologies of AP. Three multivariate logistic regression models were performed to assess whether HTG-AP is associated with SIRS positive status, ICU admission and/or moderately-severe/severe AP. RESULTS: 1,478 patients were included in the study; 69 subjects (4.7%) were diagnosed with HTG-AP. HTG-AP patients were more likely to be younger (mean 40 vs 50 years; p < 0.001), male (67% vs 52%; p = 0.018), and with a higher BMI (mean 30.4 vs 27.5 kg/m2; p = 0.0002). HTG-AP subjects reported more frequent active alcohol use (71% vs 49%; p < 0.001), and diabetes mellitus (59% vs 15%; p < 0.001). None of the above risk factors/variables was found to be independently associated with SIRS positive status, ICU admission, or severity in the multivariate logistic regression models. These results were similar when including only the 785 subjects with TG levels measured within 48 h from admission. CONCLUSION: HTG-AP was found to be the 4th most common etiology of AP. HTG-AP patients had distinct baseline characteristics, but their clinical outcomes were similar compared to other etiologies of AP.

Worldwide Variations in Demographics, Management, and Outcomes of Acute Pancreatitis.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Few studies have compared regional differences in acute pancreatitis. We analyzed data from an international registry of patients with acute pancreatitis to evaluate geographic variations in patient characteristics, management, and outcomes. METHODS: We collected data from the APPRENTICE registry of patients with acute pancreatitis, which obtains information from patients in Europe (6 centers), India (3 centers), Latin America (5 centers), and North America (8 centers) using standardized questionnaires. Our final analysis included 1612 patients with acute pancreatitis (median age, 49 years; 53% male, 62% white) enrolled from August 2015 through January 2018. RESULTS: Biliary (45%) and alcoholic acute pancreatitis (21%) were the most common etiologies. Based on the revised Atlanta classification, 65% of patients developed mild disease, 23% moderate, and 12% severe. The mean age of patients in Europe (58 years) was older than mean age for all 4 regions (46 years) and a higher proportion of patients in Europe had comorbid conditions (73% vs 50% overall). The predominant etiology of acute pancreatitis in Latin America was biliary (78%), whereas alcohol-associated pancreatitis accounted for the highest proportion of acute pancreatitis cases in India (45%). Pain was managed with opioid analgesics in 93% of patients in North America versus 27% of patients in the other 3 regions. Cholecystectomies were performed at the time of hospital admission for most patients in Latin America (60% vs 15% overall). A higher proportion of European patients with severe acute pancreatitis died during the original hospital stay (44%) compared with the other 3 regions (15%). CONCLUSIONS: We found significant variation in demographics, etiologies, management practices, and outcomes of acute pancreatitis worldwide. ClinicalTrials.gov number: NCT03075618.

Acute pancreatitis patient registry to examine novel therapies in clinical experience (APPRENTICE): an international, multicenter consortium for the study of acute pancreatitis.

BACKGROUND: We have established a multicenter international consortium to better understand the natural history of acute pancreatitis (AP) worldwide and to develop a platform for future randomized clinical trials. METHODS: The AP patient registry to examine novel therapies in clinical experience (APPRENTICE) was formed in July 2014. Detailed web-based questionnaires were then developed to prospectively capture information on demographics, etiology, pancreatitis history, comorbidities, risk factors, severity biomarkers, severity indices, health-care utilization, management strategies, and outcomes of AP patients. RESULTS: Between November 2015 and September 2016, a total of 20 sites (8 in the United States, 5 in Europe, 3 in South America, 2 in Mexico and 2 in India) prospectively enrolled 509 AP patients. All data were entered into the REDCap (Research Electronic Data Capture) database by participating centers and systematically reviewed by the coordinating site (University of Pittsburgh). The approaches and methodology are described in detail, along with an interim report on the demographic results. CONCLUSION: APPRENTICE, an international collaboration of tertiary AP centers throughout the world, has demonstrated the feasibility of building a large, prospective, multicenter patient registry to study AP. Analysis of the collected data may provide a greater understanding of AP and APPRENTICE will serve as a future platform for randomized clinical trials.

Loss of heterozygosity predicts poor survival after resection of pancreatic adenocarcinoma.

BACKGROUND: American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging for pancreatic adenocarcinoma is a validated predictor of prognosis but insufficiently discriminates postresection survival. We hypothesized that genetic analysis of resected cancers would correlate with tumor biology and postoperative survival. METHODS: Resected pancreatic ductal and ampullary adenocarcinomas (n = 50) were analyzed for loss of heterozygosity (LOH) at 15 markers including 5q(APC), 6q(TBSP2), 9p(p16), 10q(PTEN), 12q(MDM2), 17p(TP53), and 18q(DCC/SMAD4). KRAS exon 1 mutations were detected by sequencing. The primary endpoint of this interim data analysis was survival at 18 month median follow-up. RESULTS: Negative margins were achieved in 43 (86%) cases. AJCC stage was: Ia/b (3), IIa (16), IIb (31). KRAS mutations were detected in 31 cases (62%) and LOH in 26 (52%) with mean fractional allelic loss score 23 +/- 16%. Median survival was significantly shorter with LOH (15.2 months versus not reached; p = 0.021) and KRAS mutations (19.6 months versus not reached; p = 0.038). Combining KRAS mutation with LOH was a powerful negative predictor in Cox regression (HR = 10.6, p = 0.006). Stage, nodal and margin status were not predictive of survival. CONCLUSION: LOH and KRAS mutations indicate aggressive tumor biology and correlate strongly with survival in resected pancreatic ductal and ampullary carcinomas. Genetic analysis may improve risk stratification in future clinical trials.