Evaluation of a Multivalent Transcriptomic Metric for Diagnosing Surgical Sepsis and Estimating Mortality Among Critically Ill Patients.

Importance: Rapid and accurate discrimination of sepsis and its potential severity currently require multiple assays with slow processing times that are often inconclusive in discerning sepsis from sterile inflammation. Objective: To analyze a whole-blood, multivalent, host-messenger RNA expression metric for estimating the likelihood of bacterial infection and 30-day mortality and compare performance of the metric with that of other diagnostic and prognostic biomarkers and clinical parameters. Design, Setting, and Participants: This prospective diagnostic and prognostic study was performed in the surgical intensive care unit (ICU) of a single, academic health science center. The analysis included 200 critically ill adult patients admitted with suspected sepsis (cohort A) or those at high risk for developing sepsis (cohort B) between July 1, 2020, and July 30, 2021. Exposures: Whole-blood sample measurements of a custom 29-messenger RNA transcriptomic metric classifier for likelihood of bacterial infection (IMX-BVN-3) or 30-day mortality (severity) (IMX-SEV-3) in a clinical-diagnostic laboratory setting using an analysis platform (510[k]-cleared nCounter FLEX; NanoString, Inc), compared with measurement of procalcitonin and interleukin 6 (IL-6) plasma levels, and maximum 24-hour sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) scores. Main Outcomes and Measures: Estimated sepsis and 30-day mortality performance. Results: Among the 200 patients included (124 men [62.0%] and 76 women [38.0%]; median age, 62.5 [IQR, 47.0-72.0] years), the IMX-BVN-3 bacterial infection classifier had an area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUROC) of 0.84 (95% CI, 0.77-0.90) for discriminating bacterial infection at ICU admission, similar to procalcitonin (0.85 [95% CI, 0.79-0.90]; P = .79) and significantly better than IL-6 (0.67 [95% CI, 0.58-0.75]; P < .001). For estimating 30-day mortality, the IMX-SEV-3 metric had an AUROC of 0.81 (95% CI, 0.66-0.95), which was significantly better than IL-6 levels (0.57 [95% CI, 0.37-0.77]; P = .006), marginally better than procalcitonin levels (0.65 [95% CI, 0.50-0.79]; P = .06), and similar to the SOFA score (0.76 [95% CI, 0.62-0.91]; P = .48). Combining IMX-BVN-3 and IMX-SEV-3 with procalcitonin or IL-6 levels or SOFA scores did not significantly improve performance. Among patients with sepsis, IMX-BVN-3 scores decreased over time, reflecting the resolution of sepsis. In 11 individuals at high risk (cohort B) who subsequently developed sepsis during their hospital course, IMX-BVN-3 bacterial infection scores did not decline over time and peaked on the day of documented infection. Conclusions and Relevance: In this diagnostic and prognostic study, a novel, multivalent, transcriptomic metric accurately estimated the presence of bacterial infection and risk for 30-day mortality in patients admitted to a surgical ICU. The performance of this single transcriptomic metric was equivalent to or better than multiple alternative diagnostic and prognostic metrics when measured at admission and provided additional information when measured over time.

Overlapping but Disparate Inflammatory and Immunosuppressive Responses to SARS-CoV-2 and Bacterial Sepsis: An Immunological Time Course Analysis.

Both severe SARS-CoV-2 infections and bacterial sepsis exhibit an immunological dyscrasia and propensity for secondary infections. The nature of the immunological dyscrasias for these differing etiologies and their time course remain unclear. In this study, thirty hospitalized patients with SARS-CoV-2 infection were compared with ten critically ill patients with bacterial sepsis over 21 days, as well as ten healthy control subjects. Blood was sampled between days 1 and 21 after admission for targeted plasma biomarker analysis, cellular phenotyping, and leukocyte functional analysis via enzyme-linked immunospot assay. We found that circulating inflammatory markers were significantly higher early after bacterial sepsis compared with SARS-CoV-2. Both cohorts exhibited profound immune suppression through 21 days (suppressed HLA-DR expression, reduced mononuclear cell IFN-gamma production), and expanded numbers of myeloid-derived suppressor cells (MDSCs). In addition, MDSC expansion and ex vivo production of IFN-gamma and TNF-alpha were resolving over time in bacterial sepsis, whereas in SARS-CoV-2, immunosuppression and inflammation were accelerating. Despite less severe initial physiologic derangement, SARS-CoV-2 patients had similar incidence of secondary infections (23% vs 30%) as bacterial sepsis patients. Finally, COVID patients who developed secondary bacterial infections exhibited profound immunosuppression evident by elevated sPD-L1 and depressed HLA-DR. Although both bacterial sepsis and SARS-CoV-2 are associated with inflammation and immune suppression, their immune dyscrasia temporal patterns and clinical outcomes are different. SARS-CoV-2 patients had less severe early inflammation and organ dysfunction but had persistent inflammation and immunosuppression and suffered worse clinical outcomes, especially when SARS-CoV-2 infection was followed by secondary bacterial infection.