Prediction of additional hospital days in patients undergoing cervical spine surgery with machine learning methods.

BACKGROUND: Machine learning (ML), a subset of artificial intelligence (AI), uses algorithms to analyze data and predict outcomes without extensive human intervention. In healthcare, ML is gaining attention for enhancing patient outcomes. This study focuses on predicting additional hospital days (AHD) for patients with cervical spondylosis (CS), a condition affecting the cervical spine. The research aims to develop an ML-based nomogram model analyzing clinical and demographic factors to estimate hospital length of stay (LOS). Accurate AHD predictions enable efficient resource allocation, improved patient care, and potential cost reduction in healthcare. METHODS: The study selected CS patients undergoing cervical spine surgery and investigated their medical data. A total of 945 patients were recruited, with 570 males and 375 females. The mean number of LOS calculated for the total sample was 8.64 ± 3.7 days. A LOS equal to or <8.64 days was categorized as the AHD-negative group (n = 539), and a LOS > 8.64 days comprised the AHD-positive group (n = 406). The collected data was randomly divided into training and validation cohorts using a 7:3 ratio. The parameters included their general conditions, chronic diseases, preoperative clinical scores, and preoperative radiographic data including ossification of the anterior longitudinal ligament (OALL), ossification of the posterior longitudinal ligament (OPLL), cervical instability and magnetic resonance imaging T2-weighted imaging high signal (MRI T2WIHS), operative indicators and complications. ML-based models like Lasso regression, random forest (RF), and support vector machine (SVM) recursive feature elimination (SVM-RFE) were developed for predicting AHD-related risk factors. The intersections of the variables screened by the aforementioned algorithms were utilized to construct a nomogram model for predicting AHD in patients. The area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and C-index were used to evaluate the performance of the nomogram. Calibration curve and decision curve analysis (DCA) were performed to test the calibration performance and clinical utility. RESULTS: For these participants, 25 statistically significant parameters were identified as risk factors for AHD. Among these, nine factors were obtained as the intersection factors of these three ML algorithms and were used to develop a nomogram model. These factors were gender, age, body mass index (BMI), American Spinal Injury Association (ASIA) scores, magnetic resonance imaging T2-weighted imaging high signal (MRI T2WIHS), operated segment, intraoperative bleeding volume, the volume of drainage, and diabetes. After model validation, the AUC was 0.753 in the training cohort and 0.777 in the validation cohort. The calibration curve exhibited a satisfactory agreement between the nomogram predictions and actual probabilities. The C-index was 0.788 (95% confidence interval: 0.73214-0.84386). On the decision curve analysis (DCA), the threshold probability of the nomogram ranged from 1 to 99% (training cohort) and 1 to 75% (validation cohort). CONCLUSION: We successfully developed an ML model for predicting AHD in patients undergoing cervical spine surgery, showcasing its potential to support clinicians in AHD identification and enhance perioperative treatment strategies.

Development and validation of a risk nomogram to estimate risk of hyponatremia after spinal cord injury: A retrospective single-center study.

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to establish a nomogram-based assessment for predicting the risk of hyponatremia after spinal cord injury (SCI). DESIGN: The study is a retrospective single-center study. PARTICIPANTS: SCI patients hospitalized in the First Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi Medical University. SETTING: The First Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi Medical University, Nanning, Guangxi, China. METHODS: We performed a retrospective clinical study to collect SCI patients hospitalized in the First Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi Medical University from 2016 to 2020. Based on their clinical scores, the SCI patients were grouped as either hyponatremic or non-hyponatremic, SCI patients in 2016-2019 were identified as the training set, and patients in 2020 were identified as the test set. A nomogram was generated, the calibration curve, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, and decision curve analysis (DCA) were used to validate the model. RESULTS: A total of 895 SCI patients were retrieved. After excluding patients with incomplete data, 883 patients were finally included in this study and used to construct the nomograms. The indicators used in the nomogram included sex, completeness of SCI, pneumonia, urinary tract infection, fever, constipation, white blood cell (WBC), albumin and serum Ca2+. These indices were determined by the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression analysis. The C-index of the model was 0.81, the area under the curve (AUC) of the training set was 0.82(Cl:0.79-0.85), and the validation set was 0.79(Cl:0.73-0.85). CONCLUSIONS: Nomogram has good predictive ability, sex, completeness of SCI, pneumonia, urinary tract infection, fever, constipation, WBC, albumin and serum Ca2+ were predictors of hyponatremia after SCI.

Prediction model for spinal cord injury in spinal tuberculosis patients using multiple machine learning algorithms: a multicentric study.

Spinal cord injury (SCI) is a prevalent and serious complication among patients with spinal tuberculosis (STB) that can lead to motor and sensory impairment and potentially paraplegia. This research aims to identify factors associated with SCI in STB patients and to develop a clinically significant predictive model. Clinical data from STB patients at a single hospital were collected and divided into training and validation sets. Univariate analysis was employed to screen clinical indicators in the training set. Multiple machine learning (ML) algorithms were utilized to establish predictive models. Model performance was evaluated and compared using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, area under the curve (AUC), calibration curve analysis, decision curve analysis (DCA), and precision-recall (PR) curves. The optimal model was determined, and a prospective cohort from two other hospitals served as a testing set to assess its accuracy. Model interpretation and variable importance ranking were conducted using the DALEX R package. The model was deployed on the web by using the Shiny app. Ten clinical characteristics were utilized for the model. The random forest (RF) model emerged as the optimal choice based on the AUC, PRs, calibration curve analysis, and DCA, achieving a test set AUC of 0.816. Additionally, MONO was identified as the primary predictor of SCI in STB patients through variable importance ranking. The RF predictive model provides an efficient and swift approach for predicting SCI in STB patients.

Development and validation of a diagnostic model to differentiate spinal tuberculosis from pyogenic spondylitis by combining multiple machine learning algorithms.

This study focused on the development and validation of a diagnostic model to differentiate between spinal tuberculosis (STB) and pyogenic spondylitis (PS). We analyzed a total of 387 confirmed cases, out of which 241 were diagnosed with STB and 146 were diagnosed with PS. These cases were randomly divided into a training group (n = 271) and a validation group (n = 116). Within the training group, four machine learning (ML) algorithms (least absolute shrinkage and selection operator [LASSO], logistic regression analysis, random forest, and support vector machine recursive feature elimination [SVM-RFE]) were employed to identify distinctive variables. These specific variables were then utilized to construct a diagnostic model. The model's performance was subsequently assessed using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and the calibration curves. Finally, internal validation of the model was undertaken in the validation group. Our findings indicate that PS patients had an average platelet-to-neutrophil ratio (PNR) of 277.86, which was significantly higher than the STB patients' average of 69.88. The average age of PS patients was 54.71 years, older than the 48 years recorded for STB patients. Notably, the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) was higher in PS patients at 6.15, compared to the 3.46 NLR in STB patients. Additionally, the platelet volume distribution width (PDW) in PS patients was 0.2, compared to 0.15 in STB patients. Conversely, the mean platelet volume (MPV) was lower in PS patients at an average of 4.41, whereas STB patients averaged 8.31. Hemoglobin (HGB) levels were lower in PS patients at an average of 113.31 compared to STB patients' average of 121.64. Furthermore, the average red blood cell (RBC) count was 4.26 in PS patients, which was less than the 4.58 average observed in STB patients. After evaluation, seven key factors were identified using the four ML algorithms, forming the basis of our diagnostic model. The training and validation groups yielded area under the curve (AUC) values of 0.841 and 0.83, respectively. The calibration curves demonstrated a high alignment between the nomogram-predicted values and the actual measurements. The decision curve indicated optimal model performance with a threshold set between 2% and 88%. In conclusion, our model offers healthcare practitioners a reliable tool to efficiently and precisely differentiate between STB and PS, thereby facilitating swift and accurate diagnoses.

Exploring the causal relationship between inflammatory cytokines and inflammatory arthritis: A Mendelian randomization study.

OBJECTIVES: Previous studies have reported an association between inflammatory cytokines and inflammatory arthritis, including Ankylosing spondylitis (AS), rheumatoid arthritis (RA), and psoriatic arthritis (PsA). This study aims to explore the causal relationship between inflammatory cytokines and AS, RA, and PsA using Mendelian randomization (MR). METHODS: We conducted a bidirectional two-sample MR analysis using genetic summary data from a publicly available genome-wide association study (GWAS) that included 41 genetic variations of inflammatory cytokines, as well as genetic variant data for AS, RA, and PsA from the FinnGen consortium. The main analysis method used was Inverse variance weighted (IVW) to investigate the causal relationship between exposure and outcome. Additionally, other methods such as MR Egger, weighted median (WM), simple mode, and weighted mode were employed to strengthen the final results. Sensitivity analysis was also performed to ensure the reliability of the findings. RESULTS: The results showed that macrophage colony-stimulating factor (MCSF) was associated with an increased risk of AS (OR = 1.163, 95 % CI = 1.016-1.33, p = 0.028). Conversely, high levels of TRAIL and beta nerve growth factor (ß-NGF) were associated with a decreased risk of AS (OR = 0.892, 95 % CI = 0.81-0.982, p = 0.002; OR = 0.829, 95 % CI = 0.696-0.988, p = 0.036). Four inflammatory cytokines were found to be associated with an increased risk of PsA: vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) (OR = 1.161, 95 % CI = 1.057-1.275, p = 0.002); Interleukin 12p70 (IL12p70) (OR = 1.189, 95 % CI = 1.049-1.346, p = 0.007); IL10 (OR = 1.216, 95 % CI = 1.024-1.444, p = 0.026); IL13 (OR = 1.159, 95 % CI = 1.05-1.28, p = 0.004). Interleukin 1 receptor antagonist (IL-1rα) was associated with an increased risk of seropositive RA (OR = 1.181, 95 % CI = 1.044-1.336, p = 0.008). Similarly, genetic susceptibility to inflammatory arthritis was found to be causally associated with multiple inflammatory cytokines. Lastly, the sensitivity analysis supported the robustness of these findings. CONCLUSIONS: This study provides additional insights into the relationship between inflammatory cytokines and inflammatory arthritis, and may offer new clues for the etiology, diagnosis, and treatment of inflammatory arthritis.

Network pharmacology combined with molecular docking and experimental validation to explore the potential mechanism of Cinnamomi ramulus against ankylosing spondylitis.

BACKGROUND: Cinnamomi ramulus (C. ramulus) is frequently employed in the treatment of ankylosing spondylitis (AS). However, the primary constituents, drug targets, and mechanisms of action remain unidentified. METHODS: In this study, various public databases and online tools were employed to gather information on the compounds of C. ramulus, drug targets, and disease targets associated with ankylosing spondylitis. The intersection of drug targets and disease targets was then determined to identify the common targets, which were subsequently used to construct a protein-protein interaction (PPI) network using the STRING database. Network analysis and the analysis of hub genes and major compounds were conducted using Cytoscape software. Furthermore, the Metascape platform was utilized for Gene Ontology (GO) and Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes (KEGG) analyses. Molecular docking studies and immunohistochemical experiments were performed to validate the core targets. RESULTS: The network analysis identified 2-Methoxycinnamaldehyde, cinnamaldehyde, and 2-Hydroxycinnamaldehyde as the major effective compounds present in C. ramulus. The PPI network analysis revealed PTGS2, MMP9, and TLR4 as the most highly correlated targets. GO and KEGG analyses indicated that C. ramulus exerts its therapeutic effects in ankylosing spondylitis through various biological processes, including the response to hormones and peptides, oxidative stress response, and inflammatory response. The main signaling pathways involved were IL-17, TNF, NF-kappa B, and Toll-like receptor pathways. Molecular docking analysis confirmed the strong affinity between the key compounds and the core targets. Additionally, immunohistochemical analysis demonstrated an up-regulation of PTGS2, MMP9, and TLR4 levels in ankylosing spondylitis. CONCLUSIONS: This study provides insights into the effective compounds, core targets, and potential mechanisms of action of C. ramulus in the treatment of ankylosing spondylitis. These findings establish a solid groundwork for future fundamental research in this field.

Development and validation of a machine learning-based nomogram for predicting HLA-B27 expression.

BACKGROUND: HLA-B27 positivity is normal in patients undergoing rheumatic diseases. The diagnosis of many diseases requires an HLA-B27 examination. METHODS: This study screened totally 1503 patients who underwent HLA-B27 examination, liver/kidney function tests, and complete blood routine examination in First Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi Medical University. The training cohort included 509 cases with HLA-B27 positivity whereas 611 with HLA-B27 negativity. In addition, validation cohort included 147 cases with HLA-B27 positivity whereas 236 with HLA-B27 negativity. In this study, 3 ML approaches, namely, LASSO, support vector machine (SVM) recursive feature elimination and random forest, were adopted for screening feature variables. Subsequently, to acquire the prediction model, the intersection was selected. Finally, differences among 148 cases with HLA-B27 positivity and negativity suffering from ankylosing spondylitis (AS) were investigated. RESULTS: Six factors, namely red blood cell count, human major compatibility complex, mean platelet volume, albumin/globulin ratio (ALB/GLB), prealbumin, and bicarbonate radical, were chosen with the aim of constructing the diagnostic nomogram using ML methods. For training queue, nomogram curve exhibited the value of area under the curve (AUC) of 0.8254496, and C-value of the model was 0.825. Moreover, nomogram C-value of the validation queue was 0.853, and the AUC value was 0.852675. Furthermore, a significant decrease in the ALB/GLB was noted among cases with HLA-B27 positivity and AS cases. CONCLUSION: To conclude, the proposed ML model can effectively predict HLA-B27 and help doctors in the diagnosis of various immune diseases.

The causal relationship between autoimmune diseases and osteoporosis: a study based on Mendelian randomization.

Objective: The relationship between different autoimmune diseases and bone mineral density (BMD) and fractures has been reported in epidemiological studies. This study aimed to explore the causal relationship between autoimmune diseases and BMD, falls, and fractures using Mendelian randomization (MR). Methods: The instrumental variables were selected from the aggregated statistical data of these diseases from the largest genome-wide association study in Europe. Specifically, 12 common autoimmune diseases were selected as exposure. Outcome variables included BMD, falls, and fractures. Multiple analysis methods were utilized to comprehensively evaluate the causal relationship between autoimmune diseases and BMD, falls, and fractures. Additionally, sensitivity analyses, including Cochran's Q test, MR-Egger intercept test, and one analysis, were conducted to verify the result's reliability. Results: Strong evidence was provided in the results of the negatively association of ulcerative colitis (UC) with forearm BMD. UC also had a negatively association with the total body BMD, while inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) depicted a negatively association with the total body BMD at the age of 45-60 years. Horizontal pleiotropy or heterogeneity was not detected through sensitivity analysis, indicating that the causal estimation was reliable. Conclusion: This study shows a negative causal relationship between UC and forearm and total body BMD, and between IBD and total body BMD at the age of 45-60 years. These results should be considered in future research and when public health measures and osteoporosis prevention strategies are formulated.

Using Machine Learning to Predict Surgical Site Infection After Lumbar Spine Surgery.

Objective: The objective of this study was to utilize machine learning techniques to analyze perioperative factors and identify blood glucose levels that can predict the occurrence of surgical site infection following posterior lumbar spinal surgery. Methods: A total of 4019 patients receiving lumbar internal fixation surgery from an institute were enrolled between June 2012 and February 2021. First, the filtered data were randomized into the test and verification groups. Second, in the test group, specific variables were screened using logistic regression analysis, Lasso regression analysis, support vector machine, and random forest. Specific variables obtained using the four methods were intersected, and a dynamic model was constructed. ROC and calibration curves were constructed to assess model performance. Finally, internal model performance was verified in the verification group using ROC and calibration curves. Results: The data from 4019 patients were collected. In total, 1327 eligible cases were selected. By combining logistic regression analysis with three machine learning algorithms, this study identified four predictors associated with SSI, namely Modic changes, sebum thickness, hemoglobin, and glucose. Using this information, a prediction model was developed and visually represented. Then, we constructed ROC and calibration curves using the test group; the area under the ROC curve was 0.988. Further, calibration curve analysis revealed favorable consistency of nomogram-predicted values compared with real measurements. The C-index of our model was 0.986 (95% CI 0.981-0.994). Finally, we used the validation group to validate the model internally; the AUC was 0.987. Calibration curve analysis revealed favorable consistency of nomogram-predicted values compared with real measurements. The C-index was 0.982 (95% CI 0.974-0.999). Conclusion: Logistic regression analysis and machine learning were employed to select four risk factors: Modic changes, sebum thickness, hemoglobin, and glucose. Then, a dynamic prediction model was constructed to help clinicians simplify the monitoring and prevention of SSI.

Epidemiological characteristics of ankylosing spondylitis in Guangxi Province of China from 2014 to 2021.

Introduction: To explore the epidemiological characteristics of ankylosing spondylitis (AS) in Guangxi Province of China through a large sample survey of more than 50 million aboriginal aboriginal population. Material and methods: A systematic search was conducted using the International Classification of Diseases 10 (ICD-10) codes M45.x00(AS), M45.x03+(AS with iridocyclitis), and M40.101(AS with kyphosis) to search the database in the National Health Statistics Network Direct Reporting System (NHSNDRS). 14004 patients were eventually included in the study. The parameters analyzed included the number of patients, gender, marriage, blood type, occupation, age at diagnosis, and location of household registration data each year, and statistical analysis was performed. Results: AS incidence rates increased from 1.30 (95% CI: 1.20-1.40) per 100,000 person-years in 2014 to 5.71 (95% CI: 5.50-5.92) in 2020 in Guangxi Province, and decreased slightly in 2021. Males have a higher incidence than females; the ratio was 5.61 : 1. The mean age of diagnosis in male patients was 45.4 (95% CI: 45.1-45.7) years, in females 47.6 (95% CI: 46.8-48.4) years. The most frequent blood type was O, and the most frequent occupation was farmer. The AS incidence rate was disparate in different cities. Liuzhou city had the highest eight-year average AS incidence rates from 2014 to 2021, and Chongzuo city had the lowest (p < 0.05). There was no significant difference in the incidence between different ethnic groups (p > 0.05). Conclusions: The AS person-years incidence rate was increasing in Guangxi province of China from 2014 to 2020, which had obvious gender and regional differences, showing the characteristics of local area aggregation.

Identification of spinal tuberculosis subphenotypes using routine clinical data: a study based on unsupervised machine learning.

OBJECTIVE: The identification of spinal tuberculosis subphenotypes is an integral component of precision medicine. However, we lack proper study models to identify subphenotypes in patients with spinal tuberculosis. Here we identified possible subphenotypes of spinal tuberculosis and compared their clinical results. METHODS: A total of 422 patients with spinal tuberculosis who received surgical treatment were enrolled. Clustering analysis was performed using the K-means clustering algorithm and the routinely available clinical data collected from patients within 24 h after admission. Finally, the differences in clinical characteristics, surgical efficacy, and postoperative complications among the subphenotypes were compared. RESULTS: Two subphenotypes of spinal tuberculosis were identified. Laboratory examination results revealed that the levels of more than one inflammatory index in cluster 2 were higher than those in cluster 1. In terms of disease severity, Cluster 2 showed a higher Oswestry Disability Index (ODI), a higher visual analysis scale (VAS) score, and a lower Japanese Orthopedic Association (JOA) score. In addition, in terms of postoperative outcomes, cluster 2 patients were more prone to complications, especially wound infections, and had a longer hospital stay. CONCLUSION: K-means clustering analysis based on conventional available clinical data can rapidly identify two subtypes of spinal tuberculosis with different clinical results. We believe this finding will help clinicians to rapidly and easily identify the subtypes of spinal tuberculosis at the bedside and become the cornerstone of individualized treatment strategies.

Predictive Value of Machine Learning Models in Postoperative Mortality of Older Adults Patients with Hip Fracture: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Some researchers have used machine learning to predict mortality in old patients with hip fracture, but its application value lacks an evidence-based basis. Hence, we conducted this meta-analysis to explore the predictive accuracy of machine learning for mortality in old patients with hip fracture. METHODS: We systematically retrieved PubMed, Cochrane, Embase, and Web of Science for relevant studies published before July 15, 2022. The PROBAST assessment tool was used to assess the risk of bias in the included studies. A random-effects model was used for the meta-analysis of C-index, whereas a bivariate mixed-effects model was used for the meta-analysis of sensitivity and specificity. The meta-analysis was performed on R and Stata. RESULTS: Eighteen studies were included, involving 8 machine learning models and 398,422 old patients undergoing hip joint surgery, of whom 60,457 died. According to the meta-analysis, the pooled C-index for machine learning models was 0.762 (95% CI: 0.691 ∼ 0.833) in the training set and 0.838 (95% CI: 0.783 ∼ 0.892) in the validation set, which is better than the C-index of the main clinical scale (Nottingham Hip Fracture Score), that is, 0.702 (95% CI: 0.681 ∼ 0.723). Among different machine learning models, ANN and Bayesian belief network had the best predictive performance. CONCLUSION: Machine learning models are more accurate in predicting mortality in old patients after hip joint surgery than current mainstream clinical scoring systems. Subsequent research could focus on updating clinical scoring systems and improving their predictive performance by relying on machine learning models.

Proteomic analysis to identification of hypoxia related markers in spinal tuberculosis: a study based on weighted gene co-expression network analysis and machine learning.

OBJECTIVE: This article aims at exploring the role of hypoxia-related genes and immune cells in spinal tuberculosis and tuberculosis involving other organs. METHODS: In this study, label-free quantitative proteomics analysis was performed on the intervertebral discs (fibrous cartilaginous tissues) obtained from five spinal tuberculosis (TB) patients. Key proteins associated with hypoxia were identified using molecular complex detection (MCODE), weighted gene co-expression network analysis(WGCNA), least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO), and support vector machine recursive feature Elimination (SVM-REF) methods, and their diagnostic and predictive values were assessed. Immune cell correlation analysis was then performed using the Single Sample Gene Set Enrichment Analysis (ssGSEA) method. In addition, a pharmaco-transcriptomic analysis was also performed to identify targets for treatment. RESULTS: The three genes, namely proteasome 20 S subunit beta 9 (PSMB9), signal transducer and activator of transcription 1 (STAT1), and transporter 1 (TAP1), were identified in the present study. The expression of these genes was found to be particularly high in patients with spinal TB and other extrapulmonary TB, as well as in TB and multidrug-resistant TB (p-value < 0.05). They revealed high diagnostic and predictive values and were closely related to the expression of multiple immune cells (p-value < 0.05). It was inferred that the expression of PSMB9, STAT 1, and TAP1 could be regulated by different medicinal chemicals. CONCLUSION: PSMB9, STAT1, and TAP1, might play a key role in the pathogenesis of TB, including spinal TB, and the protein product of the genes can be served as diagnostic markers and potential therapeutic target for TB.

To infer the probability of cervical ossification of the posterior longitudinal ligament and explore its impact on cervical surgery.

The ossification of the posterior longitudinal ligament (OPLL) in the cervical spine is commonly observed in degenerative changes of the cervical spine. Early detection of cervical OPLL and prevention of postoperative complications are of utmost importance. We gathered data from 775 patients who underwent cervical spine surgery at the First Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi Medical University, collecting a total of 84 variables. Among these patients, 144 had cervical OPLL, while 631 did not. They were randomly divided into a training cohort and a validation cohort. Multiple machine learning (ML) methods were employed to screen the variables and ultimately develop a diagnostic model. Subsequently, we compared the postoperative outcomes of patients with positive and negative cervical OPLL. Initially, we compared the advantages and disadvantages of various ML methods. Seven variables, namely Age, Gender, OPLL, AST, UA, BMI, and CHD, exhibited significant differences and were used to construct a diagnostic nomogram model. The area under the curve (AUC) values of this model in the training and validation groups were 0.76 and 0.728, respectively. Our findings revealed that 69.2% of patients who underwent cervical OPLL surgery eventually required elective anterior surgery, in contrast to 86.8% of patients who did not have cervical OPLL. Patients with cervical OPLL had significantly longer operation times and higher postoperative drainage volumes compared to those without cervical OPLL. Interestingly, preoperative cervical OPLL patients demonstrated significant increases in mean UA, age, and BMI. Furthermore, 27.1% of patients with cervical anterior longitudinal ligament ossification (OALL) also exhibited cervical OPLL, whereas this occurrence was only observed in 6.9% of patients without cervical OALL. We developed a diagnostic model for cervical OPLL using the ML method. Our findings indicate that patients with cervical OPLL are more likely to undergo posterior cervical surgery, and they exhibit elevated UA levels, higher BMI, and increased age. The prevalence of cervical anterior longitudinal ligament ossification was also significantly higher among patients with cervical OPLL.

Application of machine learning in prediction of bone cement leakage during single-level thoracolumbar percutaneous vertebroplasty.

BACKGROUND: In the elderly, osteoporotic vertebral compression fractures (OVCFs) of the thoracolumbar vertebra are common, and percutaneous vertebroplasty (PVP) is a common surgical method after fracture. Machine learning (ML) was used in this study to assist clinicians in preventing bone cement leakage during PVP surgery. METHODS: The clinical data of 374 patients with thoracolumbar OVCFs who underwent single-level PVP at The First People's Hospital of Chenzhou were chosen. It included 150 patients with bone cement leakage and 224 patients without it. We screened the feature variables using four ML methods and used the intersection to generate the prediction model. In addition, predictive models were used in the validation cohort. RESULTS: The ML method was used to select five factors to create a Nomogram diagnostic model. The nomogram model's AUC was 0.646667, and its C value was 0.647. The calibration curves revealed a consistent relationship between nomogram predictions and actual probabilities. In 91 randomized samples, the AUC of this nomogram model was 0.7555116. CONCLUSION: In this study, we invented a prediction model for bone cement leakage in single-segment PVP surgery, which can help doctors in performing better surgery with reduced risk.

Comprehensive AI-assisted tool for ankylosing spondylitis based on multicenter research outperforms human experts.

Introduction: The diagnosis and treatment of ankylosing spondylitis (AS) is a difficult task, especially in less developed countries without access to experts. To address this issue, a comprehensive artificial intelligence (AI) tool was created to help diagnose and predict the course of AS. Methods: In this retrospective study, a dataset of 5389 pelvic radiographs (PXRs) from patients treated at a single medical center between March 2014 and April 2022 was used to create an ensemble deep learning (DL) model for diagnosing AS. The model was then tested on an additional 583 images from three other medical centers, and its performance was evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve analysis, accuracy, precision, recall, and F1 scores. Furthermore, clinical prediction models for identifying high-risk patients and triaging patients were developed and validated using clinical data from 356 patients. Results: The ensemble DL model demonstrated impressive performance in a multicenter external test set, with precision, recall, and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve values of 0.90, 0.89, and 0.96, respectively. This performance surpassed that of human experts, and the model also significantly improved the experts' diagnostic accuracy. Furthermore, the model's diagnosis results based on smartphone-captured images were comparable to those of human experts. Additionally, a clinical prediction model was established that accurately categorizes patients with AS into high-and low-risk groups with distinct clinical trajectories. This provides a strong foundation for individualized care. Discussion: In this study, an exceptionally comprehensive AI tool was developed for the diagnosis and management of AS in complex clinical scenarios, especially in underdeveloped or rural areas that lack access to experts. This tool is highly beneficial in providing an efficient and effective system of diagnosis and management.

Identification of clinical heterogeneity and construction of a novel subtype predictive model in patients with ankylosing spondylitis: An unsupervised machine learning study.

BACKGROUND: Accurate classification of patients with ankylosing spondylitis (AS) is the premise of precision medicine so as to perform different medical interventions for different patient types. AS pathology is closely related to the changes in the immune microenvironment. In this study, we used unsupervised machine learning (UML) to classify patients with AS based on clinical characteristics. We then constructed a novel subtype predictive model for AS based on the clinical classification, after which we investigated the difference in the immune microenvironment to unravel the AS pathogenesis. METHODS: Overall, 196 patients with AS were enrolled. UML was used to cluster AS patients by similar clinical characteristics. Functional ability, disease status, and grading of radiologic features were assessed to verify the accuracy and heterogeneity of UML clustering. Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) regression and Random Forest algorithm were used to screen and identify predictive factors for the novel subtype of AS. Logistic regression was also performed to construct a predictive model of this novel subtype. Datasets were downloaded from the Gene Expression Omnibus database to assess immune cell infiltration, and the results were validated using data of routine blood tests from 3671 AS patients and 5720 non-AS patients. The differential expression of Fat Mass and Obesity-Associated Protein (FTO), an m6A regulator, between AS patients and healthy control subjects was confirmed using immunohistochemistry. RESULTS: UML clustering identified two clusters. The clinical characteristics of the two clusters were significantly heterogeneous. For the novel subtype of AS identified in UML clustering, a predictive model was built using three predictive factors, namely, C-reactive protein (CRP), absolute value of neutrophils (NEU), and absolute value of monocytes (MONO). The area under the curve of the predictive model was 0.983. Heterogeneity in the neutrophil and monocyte counts in AS was verified through immune cell infiltration analysis. Data from routine blood tests revealed that NEU and MONO were significantly higher in AS patients than in non-AS patients (p < 0.001). FTO expression was negatively correlated with both NEU and MONO. Immunohistochemistry analysis confirmed the downregulated expression of FTO. CONCLUSIONS: UML provides an explicable and remarkable classification of a heterogeneous cohort of AS patients. A novel subtype of AS was identified in UML clustering. CRP, NEU, and MONO were the independent predictive factors for the novel subtype of AS. FTO expression was correlated with immune cell infiltration in AS patients.

MMP9 and STAT1 are biomarkers of the change in immune infiltration after anti-tuberculosis therapy, and the immune status can identify patients with spinal tuberculosis.

BACKGROUND: Due to a lack of studies on immune-related pathogenesis and a clinical diagnostic model, the diagnosis of Spinal Tuberculosis (STB) remains uncertain. Our study aimed to investigate the possible pathogenesis of STB and to develop a clinical diagnostic model for STB based on immune cell infiltration. METHODS: Label-free quantification protein analysis of five pairs of specimens was used to determine the protein expression of the intervertebral disc in STB and non-STB. GO enrichment analysis, and KEGG pathway analysis were used to investigate the pathogenesis of STB. The Hub proteins were then eliminated. Four datasets were downloaded from the GEO database to analyze immune cell infiltration, and the results were validated using blood routine test data from 8535TB and 7337 non-TB patients. Following that, clinical data from 164 STB and 162 non-STB patients were collected. The Random-Forest algorithm was used to screen out clinical predictors of STB and build a diagnostic model. The differential expression of MMP9 and STAT1 in STB and controls was confirmed using immunohistochemistry. RESULTS: MMP9 and STAT1 were STB Hub proteins that were linked to disc destruction in STB. MMP9 and STAT1 were found to be associated with Monocytes, Neutrophils, and Lymphocytes in immune cell infiltration studies. Data from 15,872 blood routine tests revealed that the Monocytes ratio and Neutrophils ratio was significantly higher in TB patients than in non-TB patients (p < 0.001), while the Lymphocytes ratio was significantly lower in TB patients than in non-TB patients (p < 0.001). MMP9 and STAT1 expression were downregulated following the anti-TB therapy. For STB, a clinical diagnostic model was built using six clinical predictors: MR, NR, LR, ESR, BMI, and PLT. The model was evaluated using a ROC curve, which yielded an AUC of 0.816. CONCLUSIONS: MMP9 and STAT1, immune-related hub proteins, were correlated with immune cell infiltration in STB patients. MR, NR, LR ESR, BMI, and PLT were clinical predictors of STB. Thus, the immune cell Infiltration-related clinical diagnostic model can predict STB effectively.

A Predictive Clinical-Radiomics Nomogram for Differentiating Tuberculous Spondylitis from Pyogenic Spondylitis Using CT and Clinical Risk Factors.

Objective: The study aimed to develop and validate a nomogram model with clinical risk factors and radiomic features for differentiating tuberculous spondylitis (TS) from pyogenic spondylitis (PS). Methods: A total of 254 patients with TS (n = 141) or PS (n = 113) were randomly divided into training (n = 180) and validation (n = 74) groups. In addition, 43 patients (TS = 22 and PS = 21) were collected to construct a test cohort. t-test analysis, de-redundancy analysis, and minimum absolute shrinkage and selection operator (lasso) algorithm were utilized on the training set to obtain the optimal radiomics features from computed tomography (CT) for constructing the radiomics model and determine the radiomics score (Rad-score). Eight clinical risk predictors were identified to develop the clinical model. Combined with clinical risk predictors and Rad-scores, a nomogram model was constructed using multivariate logistic regression analysis. Results: A total of 1781 features were extracted, and 12 optimal radiomic features were utilized to construct the radiomic model and determine the Rad-score. The combined clinical radiomics model revealed good discrimination performance in both the training cohort and the validation cohort (AUC = 0.891 and 0.830) and was superior to the clinical (AUC = 0.807 and 0.785) and radiomics (AUC = 0.796 and 0.811) models. The calibration curve and DCA also depicted that the nomogram had better clinical efficacy. The discriminative performance of the model is well validated in the test cohort (AUC=0.877). Conclusion: The clinical radiomic nomogram could serve as a promising predictive tool for differentiating TS from PS, which could be helpful for clinical decision-making.

Immune cell infiltration-related clinical diagnostic model for Ankylosing Spondylitis.

Background: The pathogenesis and diagnosis of Ankylosing Spondylitis (AS) has remained uncertain due to several reasons, including the lack of studies on the local and systemic immune response in AS. To construct a clinical diagnostic model, this study identified the micro RNA-messenger RNA (miRNA-mRNA) interaction network and immune cell infiltration-related hub genes associated with AS. Materials and Methods: Total RNA was extracted and purified from the interspinous ligament tissue samples of three patients with AS and three patients without AS; miRNA and mRNA microarrays were constructed using the extracted RNA. Bioinformatic tools were used to construct an miRNA-mRNA network, identify hub genes, and analyze immune infiltration associated with AS. Next, we collected the blood samples and clinical characteristics of 359 patients (197 with AS and 162 without AS). On the basis of the clinical characteristics and results of the routine blood tests, we selected immune-related cells whose numbers were significantly different in patients with AS and patients without AS. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed to construct a nomogram. Immunohistochemistry staining analysis was utilized to verify the differentially expression of LYN in AS and controls. Results: A total of 225 differentially expressed miRNAs (DE miRNAs) and 406 differentially expressed mRNAs (DE mRNAs) were identified from the microarray. We selected 15 DE miRNAs and 38 DE mRNAs to construct a miRNA-mRNA network. The expression of LYN, an immune-related gene, correlated with the counts of monocytes, neutrophils, and dendritic cells. Based on the independent predictive factors of sex, age, and counts of monocytes, neutrophils, and white blood cells, a nomogram was established. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis was performed to evaluate the nomogram, with a C-index of 0.835 and AUC of 0.855. Conclusion: LYN, an immune-related hub gene, correlated with immune cell infiltration in patients with AS. In addition, the counts of monocytes and neutrophils were the independent diagnostic factors for AS. If verified in future studies, a diagnostic model based on these findings may be used to predict AS effectively.