Adaptation of the Palliative Prognostic Index in patients with advanced medical conditions.

OBJECTIVE: To analyze the accuracy of the Palliative Prognostic Index (PPI) in patients with advanced medical diseases and to recalibrate it in order to adapt it to the profile of these patients. METHODS: Multicenter, prospective, observational study that included patients with one or more advanced medical diseases. Calibration (Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness of fit) and discriminative power (ROC and area under the curve [AUC]) of PPI were analyzed in the prediction of mortality at 180 days. Recalibration was carried out by analyzing the scores on the PPI of each quartile upward of dying probability. Accuracy of PPI was compared with that obtained for the Charlson index. RESULTS: Overall mortality of the 1.788 patients was 37.5%. Calibration in the prediction of mortality was good (goodness of fit with P=.21), the prognostic probabilities ranging from 0-0,25 in the first quartile of risk and from 0,48-0,8 in the last quartile. Discriminative power was acceptable (AUC=69; P=.0001). In recalibrated groups, mortality of patients with 0/1-2/2.5-9.5/≥10 points was 13, 23, 39 and 68%, respectively. Sensitivity (S) and negative predicative value (NPF) of the cutoff point above 0 points were 96 and 87%, respectively; while specificity (sp) and positive predictive value (PPV) of the cutoff point above 9.5 points were 95 and 68%. Calibration of the Charlson index was good (P=.2), and its discriminative power (AUC=.52; P=.06) was suboptimal. CONCLUSIONS: PPI can be a useful tool in predicting 6-month survival of patients with advanced medical conditions.

Reliability of a questionnaire for pharmacological treatment appropriateness in patients with multiple chronic conditions.

BACKGROUND: The original Medication Appropriateness Index was validated for elderly and polymedicated patients, both in hospital and outpatient contexts. However, no studies have applied this questionnaire in patients with multiple chronic conditions. The objective of this study is to assess the reliability of a modified Medication Appropriateness Index questionnaire in a population of patients with multiple chronic conditions. METHODS: We selected patients with multiple chronic conditions who were included in an integrated care project conducted at the Hospital Universitario Virgen del Rocío. To determine inter-observer reliability, each professional (internist or hospital pharmacy specialist) applied the questionnaire under the same conditions and with the same resources. To determine intra-observer reliability, each physician applied the tool at baseline and two months later. We measured inter- and intra-observer reliability using the kappa coefficient. The proportion of overall agreement was also determined. RESULTS: We obtained a weak overall kappa (k=0.38) for inter-observer reliability and moderate (k=0.52) and very good (k=0.84) values for intra-observer reliability of the internist and specialist in hospital pharmacy, respectively. The proportion of overall agreement is very high in all three situations: 96%, 98%, and 99%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Despite its limitations, the Medication Appropriateness Index questionnaire modified by our group can be used, as a reliable method, to assess the appropriateness of pharmacotherapy in patients with multiple chronic conditions.