The role and performance of chest X-ray for the diagnosis of tuberculosis: a cost-effectiveness analysis in Nairobi, Kenya.

BACKGROUND: The objective of this study was to establish 1) the performance of chest X-ray (CXR) in all suspects of tuberculosis (TB), as well as smear-negative TB suspects and 2) to compare the cost-effectiveness of the routine diagnostic pathway using Ziehl-Neelsen (ZN) sputum microscopy followed by CXR if case of negative sputum result (ZN followed by CXR) with an alternative pathway using CXR as a screening tool (CXR followed by ZN). METHODS: From TB suspects attending a chest clinic in Nairobi, Kenya, three sputum specimens were examined for ZN and culture (Lowenstein Jensen). Culture was used as gold standard. From each suspect a CXR was made using a four point scoring system: i: no pathology, ii: pathology not consistent for TB, iii: pathology consistent for TB and iv: pathology highly consistent for TB. The combined score i + ii was labeled as "no TB" and the combined score iii + iv was labeled as "TB". Films were re-read by a reference radiologist. HIV test was performed on those who consented. Laboratory and CXR costs were used to compare for cost-effectiveness. RESULTS: Of the 1,389 suspects enrolled, for 998 (72%) data on smear, culture and CXR was complete. 714 films were re-read, showing a 89% agreement (kappa value = 0.75 s.e.0.037) for the combined scores "TB" or "no-TB". The sensitivity/specificity of the CXR score "TB" among smear-negative suspects was 80%/67%. Using chest CXR as a screening tool in all suspects, sensitivity/specificity of the score "any pathology" was 92%, respectively 63%. The cost per correctly diagnosed case was for the routine process 8.72 dollars, compared to 9.27 dollars using CXR as screening tool. When costs of treatment were included, CXR followed by ZN became more cost-effective. CONCLUSION: The diagnostic pathway ZN followed by CXR was more cost-effective as compared to CXR followed by ZN. When cost of treatment was also considered CXR followed by ZN became more cost-effective. The low specificity of chest X-ray remains a subject of concern. Depending whether CXR was performed on all suspects or on smear-negative suspects only, 22%-45% of patients labeled as "TB" had a negative culture. The introduction of a well-defined scoring system, clinical conferences and a system of CXR quality control can contribute to improved diagnostic performance.

Sex-specific performance of routine TB diagnostic tests.

SETTING: City Council Chest Clinic, Nairobi, Kenya. OBJECTIVE: To determine to what extent the performance of smear microscopy is responsible for sex differences in notification rates. METHODOLOGY: Three sputum samples from TB suspects were subjected to smear microscopy with Ziehl-Neelsen (ZN) and auramine (FM) staining. Lowenstein-Jensen culture was used as the gold standard. RESULTS: Of 998 suspects, 600 (60%) were men and 398 (40%) women. The odds of detecting culture-positive patients with ZN was lower for women (OR 0.67). By examining the first spot specimen, ZN detected 35% of culture-positive males and 26% of culture-positive females. These proportions increased to respectively 63% and 53% when examining three specimens, and to 79% and 74% when using FM. The sex difference reduced and became non-significant (P = 0.19) when adjusted for HIV; however, the numbers involved for HIV stratification were low. CONCLUSION: The performance of a diagnostic tool contributes to sex differences in notification rates and influences male/female ratios. Women were less likely to be diagnosed (P = 0.08), and when ZN was used they were less likely to be labelled as smear-positive TB (P < 0.01). The application of more sensitive diagnostic tools such as FM is to the advantage of women.

A comprehensive comparison of Ziehl-Neelsen and fluorescence microscopy for the diagnosis of tuberculosis in a resource-poor urban setting.

SETTING: Nairobi City Council Chest Clinic, Kenya. OBJECTIVES: To establish the efficiency, costs and cost-effectiveness of six diagnostic strategies using Ziehl-Neelsen (ZN) and fluorescence microscopy (FM). DESIGN: A cross-sectional study of 1398 TB suspects attending a specialised chest clinic in Nairobi subjected to three sputum examinations by ZN and FM. Lowenstein-Jensen culture was used as the gold standard. Cost analysis included health service and patient costs. RESULTS: Of 1398 suspects enrolled, 993 (71%) had a complete diagnostic work-up involving three sputum specimens for ZN and FM, culture and chest X-ray (CXR). Irrespective of whether ZN or FM was used on one, two or three smears, the overall diagnostic process detected 92% culture-positive cases. Different strategies affected the ratio of smear-positive to smear-negative TB; however, FM was more sensitive than ZN (P < 0.001). FM performance was not affected by the patient's HIV status. The cost per correctly diagnosed smear-positive case, including savings, was 40.30 US dollars for FM on two specimens compared to 57.70 US dollars for ZN on three specimens. CONCLUSION: The FM method used on one or two specimens is more cost-effective and shortens the diagnostic process. Consequently, more patients can be put on a regimen for smear-positive TB, contributing to improved treatment and reducing transmission.

A comprehensive study of the efficiency of the routine pulmonary tuberculosis diagnostic process in Nairobi.

Tuberculosis (TB) suspects from Rhodes Chest Clinic, Nairobi, Kenya, were subjected to three sputum smear microscopy (Ziehl-Neelsen) examinations and a chest X-ray (CXR). Results were compared with Löwenstein-Jensen culture as the gold standard to establish the efficiency of the routine diagnostic process. All laboratory tests and the CXR were available for 993 (71%) of the 1,398 enrolled suspects. Of these, 554 (56%) were culture-positive. The routine diagnostic process was very sensitive, able to detect 92% of culture-positive cases but missing 8%. The specificity was low (66%), and 23% of the patients started on treatment were culture-negative, mainly due to the low specificity of the CXR. It may be possible to increase the efficiency of the diagnostic process by specifying better criteria for CXR examination, improving the quality of CXR reading and counselling patients to return when complaints persist.

Cost-effectiveness of the polymerase chain reaction versus smear examination for the diagnosis of tuberculosis in Kenya: a theoretical model.

SETTING: A major out-patient tuberculosis clinic in Nairobi, Kenya. OBJECTIVE: To ascertain the cost-effectiveness of the polymerase chain reaction (PCR) for the diagnosis of tuberculosis in an urban setting in a developing country. DESIGN: A cost-effectiveness analysis of PCR and direct smear microscopy examination based on theoretical modelling. The cost-effectiveness was expressed in costs per correctly diagnosed tuberculosis patient for each of the two diagnostic techniques. Data were obtained from the literature, from the staff and the register at the health facility and from structured interviews with patients. Assumptions were made when no data were available. RESULTS: The PCR is expected to be more specific and sensitive than the routine procedure for diagnosis, but it is also more costly. The routine procedure based on direct smear microscopy turned out to be 1.8 times as cost-effective as PCR. CONCLUSION: It is concluded that the PCR method can potentially be a cost-effective screening procedure for tuberculosis, provided that the largest contributing cost component, the costs of the PCR-kit, can be reduced substantially.

The proportion of tuberculosis cases in Tanzania attributable to human immunodeficiency virus.

BACKGROUND: Routine data obtained from the National Tuberculosis and Leprosy Programme (NTLP) of Tanzania have shown a constant increase in the notified number of tuberculosis (TB) cases since 1982. Possible causes include an improved reporting system, improvement in health services after the introduction of short course chemotherapy (SCC), and human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection. This paper examines to what extent the increased TB case detection rate can be attributed to HIV infection, by calculating the population attributable risk for various years. METHOD: The prevalence of HIV infection was obtained from data of the National AIDS Control Programme and the relative risk of HIV for developing TB from a case-control study and the literature. RESULTS: Between 1985 and 1989 the increase was the highest among women aged 15-24 years and men aged 25-34 years; age groups in which HIV prevalence is highest. In the case-control study HIV prevalence among blood donors was 9.4% and among smear-positive pulmonary TB patients 51.6%, giving an odds ratio (OR) of 8.1 (95% confidence interval (CI): 4.4-16.3). For all TB cases the OR was 11.8. In a population with an HIV prevalence of 10%, about 40% of the smear-positive TB patients are attributable to HIV. The excess of TB cases in the entire country between 1982 and 1989 can be attributable to HIV infection. This has implications for TB control and socioeconomic consequences in the country.

PIP: The increase seen in the incidence of tuberculosis (TB) in many developing countries in the early 1980s was at first through to be the result of better case detection, but it soon became clear that HIV infections were influencing this increase. To determine the extent that HIV infection has increased TB case detection rates in Tanzania, data were analyzed from the National TB and Leprosy Programme, the National AIDS Control Programme, and a case-control study conducted for three months in 1990. Cases were all 128 newly registered cases of TB in three districts. Controls were 1558 blood donors in these districts. HIV prevalence among the cases was 51.6%, with no differences in sex, residence, or type of TB. HIV prevalence was highest among 25-34 year olds. HIV prevalence in controls was 9.4%, with no variation by age or sex. The odds ratio for association between HIV infection and new smear-positive TB, stratified by age, was 8.1. The age-stratified offs ratio for HIV infection and any type of TB was 11.8. The population attributable risk for 1990 was in the order of 30%, which means that, without HIV, the increase in TB cases seen after 1985 would not have occurred. It is essential to improve TB programs to minimize the looming increase in the annual risk of infection. Also, HIV control programs will have a large effect on TB control programs, and collaboration between the two should be encouraged.