Deaths ascribed to non-communicable diseases among rural Kenyan adults are proportionately increasing: evidence from a health and demographic surveillance system, 2003-2010.

BACKGROUND: Non-communicable diseases (NCDs) result in more deaths globally than other causes. Monitoring systems require strengthening to attribute the NCD burden and deaths in low and middle-income countries (LMICs). Data from health and demographic surveillance systems (HDSS) can contribute towards this goal. METHODS AND FINDINGS: Between 2003 and 2010, 15,228 deaths in adults aged 15 years (y) and older were identified retrospectively using the HDSS census and verbal autopsy in rural western Kenya, attributed into broad categories using InterVA-4 computer algorithms; 37% were ascribed to NCDs, 60% to communicable diseases (CDs), 3% to injuries, and <1% maternal causes. Median age at death for NCDs was 66y and 71y for females and males, respectively, with 43% (39% male, 48% female) of NCD deaths occurring prematurely among adults aged below 65y. NCD deaths were mainly attributed to cancers (35%) and cardio-vascular diseases (CVDs; 29%). The proportionate mortality from NCDs rose from 35% in 2003 to 45% in 2010 (χ2 linear trend 93.4; p<0.001). While overall annual mortality rates (MRs) for NCDs fell, cancer-specific MRs rose from 200 to 262 per 100,000 population, mainly due to increasing deaths in adults aged 65y and older, and to respiratory neoplasms in all age groups. The substantial fall in CD MRs resulted in similar MRs for CDs and NCDs among all adult females by 2010. NCD MRs for adults aged 15y to <65y fell from 409 to 183 per 100,000 among females and from 517 to 283 per 100,000 population among males. NCD MRs were higher among males than females aged both below, and at or above, 65y. CONCLUSIONS: NCDs constitute a significant proportion of deaths in rural western Kenya. Evidence of the increasing contribution of NCDs to overall mortality supports international recommendations to introduce or enhance prevention, screening, diagnosis and treatment programmes in LMICs.

Trauma-related mortality among adults in Rural Western Kenya: characterising deaths using data from a health and demographic surveillance system.

BACKGROUND: Information on trauma-related deaths in low and middle income countries is limited but needed to target public health interventions. Data from a health and demographic surveillance system (HDSS) were examined to characterise such deaths in rural western Kenya. METHODS AND FINDINGS: Verbal autopsy data were analysed. Of 11,147 adult deaths between 2003 and 2008, 447 (4%) were attributed to trauma; 71% of these were in males. Trauma contributed 17% of all deaths in males 15 to 24 years; on a population basis mortality rates were greatest in persons over 65 years. Intentional causes accounted for a higher proportion of male than female deaths (RR 2.04, 1.37-3.04) and a higher proportion of deaths of those aged 15 to 65 than older people. Main causes in males were assaults (n=79, 25%) and road traffic injuries (n=47, 15%); and falls for females (n=17, 13%). A significantly greater proportion of deaths from poisoning (RR 5.0, 2.7-9.4) and assault (RR 1.8, 1.2-2.6) occurred among regular consumers of alcohol than among non-regular drinkers. In multivariate analysis, males had a 4-fold higher risk of death from trauma than females (Adjusted Relative Risk; ARR 4.0; 95% CI 1.7-9.4); risk of a trauma death rose with age, with the elderly at 7-fold higher risk (ARR 7.3, 1.1-49.2). Absence of care was the strongest predictor of trauma death (ARR 12.2, 9.4-15.8). Trauma-related deaths were higher among regular alcohol drinkers (ARR 1.5, 1.1-1.9) compared with non-regular drinkers. CONCLUSIONS: While trauma accounts for a small proportion of deaths in this rural area with a high prevalence of HIV, TB and malaria, preventive interventions such as improved road safety, home safety strategies for the elderly, and curbing harmful use of alcohol, are available and could help diminish this burden. Improvements in systems to record underlying causes of death from trauma are required.

Mortality trends from 2003 to 2009 among adolescents and young adults in rural Western Kenya using a health and demographic surveillance system.

BACKGROUND: Targeted global efforts to improve survival of young adults need information on mortality trends; contributions from health and demographic surveillance system (HDSS) are required. METHODS AND FINDINGS: This study aimed to explore changing trends in deaths among adolescents (15-19 years) and young adults (20-24 years), using census and verbal autopsy data in rural western Kenya using a HDSS. Mid-year population estimates were used to generate all-cause mortality rates per 100,000 population by age and gender, by communicable (CD) and non-communicable disease (NCD) causes. Linear trends from 2003 to 2009 were examined. In 2003, all-cause mortality rates of adolescents and young adults were 403 and 1,613 per 100,000 population, respectively, among females; and 217 and 716 per 100,000, respectively, among males. CD mortality rates among females and males 15-24 years were 500 and 191 per 100,000 (relative risk [RR] 2.6; 95% confidence intervals [CI] 1.7-4.0; p<0.001). NCD mortality rates in same aged females and males were similar (141 and 128 per 100,000, respectively; p = 0.76). By 2009, young adult female all-cause mortality rates fell 53% (χ(2) for linear trend 30.4; p<0.001) and 61.5% among adolescent females (χ(2) for linear trend 11.9; p<0.001). No significant CD mortality reductions occurred among males or for NCD mortality in either gender. By 2009, all-cause, CD, and NCD mortality rates were not significantly different between males and females, and among males, injuries equalled HIV as the top cause of death. CONCLUSIONS: This study found significant reductions in adolescent and young adult female mortality rates, evidencing the effects of targeted public health programmes, however, all-cause and CD mortality rates among females remain alarmingly high. These data underscore the need to strengthen programmes and target strategies to reach both males and females, and to promote NCD as well as CD initiatives to reduce the mortality burden amongst both gender.

The burden of co-infection with human immunodeficiency virus type 1 and malaria in pregnant women in sub-saharan Africa.

In sub-Saharan Africa, human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) and malaria are among the leading causes of morbidity during pregnancy. We reviewed available information collected since the first report 15 years ago that HIV impaired the ability of pregnant women to control malaria parasitemia. Results from 11 studies showed that HIV-infected women experienced consistently more peripheral and placental malaria (summary relative risk = 1.58 and 1.66, respectively), higher parasite densities, and more febrile illnesses, severe anemia, and adverse birth outcomes than HIV-uninfected women, particularly in multigravidae. Thus, HIV alters the typical gravidity-specific pattern of malaria risk by shifting the burden from primarily primigravidae and secundigravidae to all pregnant women. The proportional increase of malaria during pregnancy attributable to HIV was estimated to be 5.5% and 18.8% for populations with HIV prevalences of 10% and 40%, respectively. Maternal malaria was associated with a two-fold higher HIV-1 viral concentrations. Three studies investigating whether placental malaria increased mother-to-child HIV-1 transmission showed conflicting results, possibly reflecting a complex balance between placental malarial immune responses and stimulation of HIV-1 viral replication. Further investigations of interactions between antiretroviral drugs, prophylaxis with cotrimoxazole, and antimalarial drugs in pregnant women are urgently needed. Although much has been learned in the past 15 years about the interaction between malaria and HIV-1 during pregnancy, many issues still require further information to improve our understanding. There is a clear need to strengthen the deployment of existing malaria and HIV prevention and intervention measures for pregnant women.

Polymorphism of Fc receptor IIa for immunoglobulin G is associated with placental malaria in HIV-1-positive women in western Kenya.

BACKGROUND: Genetic polymorphism of the Fc receptor IIa for immunoglobulin (Ig) G (Fc gamma RIIa) determines IgG subclass binding. Previous studies have shown that individuals with the IgG1/3-binding Fc gamma RIIa-Arg/Arg131 genotype are relatively protected against high-density malaria, whereas individuals with the IgG2-binding Fc gamma RIIa-His/His131 genotype are at increased risk for developing cerebral malaria. The present study was undertaken to examine the relationship between Fc gamma RIIa polymorphism and placental malaria (PM) in pregnant women of known human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-1 status. METHODS: Fc gamma RIIa genotype was determined in 903 pregnant women who had participated in a study designed to assess the effect that PM has on vertical transmission of HIV-1. Fc gamma RIIa polymorphism was assessed in relation to PM. RESULTS: Among HIV-negative women, there was no difference in the distribution of the Fc gamma RIIa polymorphism by PM status. However, among HIV-positive women, the frequency of the Fc gamma RIIa-His/His131 genotype was significantly higher in women with PM than in women without PM (31% vs. 22%, respectively [P=.032]). In multivariate analysis, the adjusted odds ratio for PM in HIV-positive women with the Fc gamma RIIa-His/His131 genotype versus women in the Fc gamma RIIa-His/Arg131 reference group was 1.72 (95% confidence interval, 1.11-2.69 [P=.016]). CONCLUSIONS: The present study suggests that the IgG2-binding Fc gamma RIIa-His/His131 genotype is associated with enhanced susceptibility to PM in HIV-positive women but not in HIV-negative women.

Polymorphism of Fc receptor IIa for IgG in infants is associated with susceptibility to perinatal HIV-1 infection.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the effect of polymorphism of the Fc gamma receptor IIa, which is associated with differential human IgG subclass binding, on perinatal HIV-1 transmission. METHODS: Fc gamma RIIa genotype was tested in 448 HIV-seropositive mothers and their infants from a cohort study designed to assess the effect of placental malaria on HIV vertical transmission conducted from 1996 to 2001 in western Kenya. Fc gamma RIIa polymorphism was analyzed for associations with susceptibility to perinatal HIV infection and all-cause child mortality in HIV-positive children. RESULTS: Overall, 20% of infants were perinatally infected with HIV. There was no statistically significant association between maternal genotype and perinatal HIV-1 transmission. However, frequency of the infant Fc gamma RIIa His/His131 genotype was higher in HIV-positive compared with HIV-negative infants (35% and 21%, respectively), whereas the distribution was reversed (15% and 28%, respectively) for infants with the Fc gamma RIIa Arg/Arg131 genotype. Multivariate logistic regression controlling for maternal and infant confounding factors demonstrated that the odds of perinatal HIV infection in infants with the Fc gamma RIIa His/His131 versus Fc gamma RIIa His/Arg131 genotypes were significantly higher (adjusted odds ratio, 2.22; 95% confidence interval, 1.23-4.02; P = 0.009). There was no evidence for an association between HIV-positive child all-cause mortality and Fc gamma RIIa genotype. CONCLUSIONS: This study provides the first evidence that the infant Fc gamma RIIa His/His131 genotype is associated with susceptibility to perinatal HIV-1 transmission and further suggests that there is a dose-response relationship for the effect of the Fc gamma RIIa His131 gene on transmission.