Economic evaluation of the administration of follitropin-beta with a pen device.

Previous studies suggest that administration of follitropin-beta with a pen device (Puregon Pen(R)) is more convenient, less painful and 16-18% more efficient. The aim of this study was to perform an economic evaluation of the administration of follitropin-beta by this pen device against follitropin-alpha by multidose and highly purified (HP) HMG by conventional syringe in IVF treatment by comparing the process utilities and the costs for the Dutch setting. Conjoint analysis assessed the process utilities for the three administration modes on a scale from 0 to 1. A decision analytic model estimated the costs of an average IVF cycle from a societal perspective. Patients estimated the process utility at 0.96 for the pen, 0.53 for the multidose and 0.36 for the conventional syringe. Additional costs were estimated at 0 Euros and 194 Euros, comparing the pen with multidose or conventional methods respectively. Assuming a 16% efficiency gain of the pen, costs ranged from Euros-135 (savings) to 60 Euros (extra costs). In conclusion, patients perceive sufficient benefits to the pen device to choose it over other dosing methods. Dominance of the pen device over the multidose method was shown. Compared with the conventional administration method, the added value of the pen device was 2.7 (0.96/0.36) times higher.

A dynamic population model of disease progression in COPD.

To contribute to evidence-based policy making, a dynamic Dutch population model of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) progression was developed. The model projects incidence, prevalence, mortality, progression and costs of diagnosed COPD by the Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease-severity stage for 2000-2025, taking into account population dynamics and changes in smoking prevalence over time. It was estimated that of all diagnosed COPD patients in 2000, 27% had mild, 55% moderate, 15% severe and 3% very severe COPD. The severity distribution of COPD incidence was computed to be 40% mild, 55% moderate, 4% severe and 0.1% very severe COPD. Disease progression was modelled as decline in forced expiratory volume in one second (FEV1) % predicted depending on sex, age, smoking and FEV1 % pred. The relative mortality risk of a 10-unit decrease in FEV1 % pred was estimated at 1.2. Projections of current practice were compared with projections assuming that each year 25% of all COPD patients receive either minimal smoking cessation counselling or intensive counselling plus bupropion. In the projections of current practice, prevalence rates between 2000-2025 changed from 5.1 to 11 per 1,000 inhabitants for mild, 11 to 14 per 1,000 for moderate, 3.0 to 3.9 per 1,000 for severe and from 0.5 to 1.3 per 1,000 for very severe COPD. Costs per inhabitant increased from 1.40 Euro to 3.10 for mild, 6.50 Euro to 9.00 for moderate, 6.20 Euro to 8.50 for severe and from 3.40 Euro to 9.40 for very severe COPD (price level 2000). Both smoking cessation scenarios were cost-effective with minimal counselling generating net savings. In conclusion, the chronic obstructive pulmonary disease progression model is a useful instrument to give detailed information about the future burden of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and to assess the long-term impact of interventions on this burden.

Cost-effectiveness of eplerenone plus standard treatment compared with standard treatment in patients with myocardial infarction complicated by left ventricular systolic dysfunction and heart failure in the Netherlands.

AIMS: Following the results of the EPHESUS study in patients with heart failure after myocardial infarction, a cost-effectiveness analysis was undertaken from a Dutch societal perspective to evaluate the lifetime benefits and costs of eplerenone as add-on to standard treatment. METHODS: Life-years gained in the eplerenone arm during the trial period were extrapolated to lifetime life-years gained using three sources of life expectancy data (Framingham Heart Study, Saskatchewan Health Database and Worcester Heart Attack Registry). Resource use measured included direct medical costs of hospitalisation, medications including eplerenone, outpatient diagnostic tests and procedures, and emergency room visits. Incremental cost-effectiveness ratios were calculated for life-years gained and quality-adjusted life-years gained. RESULTS: Eplerenone prolonged lifetime survival by five weeks at an additional cost of €803. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio was about €8000 per life-year gained, well below the only published Dutch benchmark for cost-effectiveness of €18,000. Probabilistic sensitivity analyses showed the results to be robust when varying the discount rate applied to benefits and costs, the hospitalisation costs, and the source of life expectancy data used. CONCLUSION: Treatment with adjunctive eplerenone is effective in preventing deaths and prolonging life.

The impact of aging and smoking on the future burden of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease: a model analysis in the Netherlands.

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) causes extensive disability, primarily among the elderly. On the World Health Organization ranking list of disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), COPD rises from the twelfth to the fifth place from 1990 to 2020. The purpose of this study is to single out the impact of changes in demography and in smoking behavior on COPD morbidity, mortality, and health care costs. A dynamic multistate life table model was used to compute projections for the Netherlands. Changes in the size and composition of the population cause COPD prevalence to increase from 21/1,000 in 1994 to 33/1,000 in 2015 for men, and from 10/ 1,000 to 23/1,000 for women. Changes in smoking behavior reduce the projected prevalence to 29/1,000 for men, but increase it to 25/ 1,000 for women. Total life years lost increase more than 60%, and DALYs lost increase 75%. Costs rise 90%; smokers cause approximately 90% of these costs. The model demonstrates the unavoidable increase in the burden of COPD, an increase that is larger for women than for men. The major causes of this increase are past smoking behavior and the aging of the population; changes in smoking behavior will have only a small effect in the nearby future.

Current and future medical costs of asthma and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease in The Netherlands.

The aim of this study was to estimate the healthcare costs of asthma and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), in the Netherlands, in 1993. Also studied was the future development of these costs, as a result of ageing and possible changes in smoking behavior. A prevalence-based cost-of-illness approach was used to estimate direct medical costs. Age- and gender-specific data were obtained from representative national registries and large, representative surveys. To model future costs, cost estimates were linked to an epidemiological model based on a dynamic multi-state lifetable. It describes 1 yr changes, from one state to another, that result from ageing, birth, migration, incidence, recovery from asthma and death due to asthma, COPD or other causes, and starting or quitting smoking. Three different scenarios were modelled: 1) a reference scenario which primarily predicts the impact of ageing. 2) an 'attainable' smoking reduction scenario and 3) an 'extreme' smoking reduction scenario. Direct medical costs were estimated to be $US 346 million in 1993. With increasing age, the relative importance of asthma in total asthma and COPD costs decreased from 91% to less than 4%. Annual costs per patient were estimated to be $US 499 for asthma and $US 876 for COPD. The breakdown of costs differed considerably between asthma and COPD. The reference scenario predicted the costs to increase by 60% to reach $US 555 million by 2010, COPD prevention as modelled in the second and the third scenario reduced the projected cost increase from 60%, to 57% and 48%, respectively. Together, the direct costs of asthma and COPD represent 1.3% of the Dutch health care budget. The breakdown of the costs shows different patterns for asthma and COPD. The costs of these diseases are expected to increase by 60% in the near future. In the short run the impact of smoking reduction on reducing this increase is relatively small, but it will be greater in the long run.

The impact of smoking on future pancreatic cancer: a computer simulation.

BACKGROUND: We studied the impact of several smoking cessation-based scenarios on future pancreatic cancer incidence in the European Union by means of computer simulation. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Among other data, published data on pancreatic cancer incidence rate and smoking prevalence in ten member states of the European Union, and on the relative risk of smoking were entered into a simulation model. Four different scenarios were simulated: one reference scenario, one based on theoretically maximal smoking reduction and two feasible scenarios based on WHO's Health for All targets. In each scenario, pancreatic cancer incidence was computed from 1994 up to the year 2020. Results were extrapolated to the European Union as a whole. RESULTS: When the percentage of smokers remains unchanged, 627,000 and 588,000 newly diagnosed pancreatic cancer cases among males and females respectively will arise in the European Union up to 2020. Theoretically, if all smokers would give up smoking instantly, this number can be reduced by 133,000 cases among men and 43,000 cases among women. In more feasible scenarios up to 35,500 male and 32,500 female pancreatic cancer cases can be prevented. CONCLUSION: Giving up smoking substantially reduces future burden of pancreatic cancer up to almost 68,000 patients in the European Union up to the year 2020.