Prediction scores or gastroenterologists' Gut Feeling for triaging patients that present with acute upper gastrointestinal bleeding.

INTRODUCTION: Several prediction scores for triaging patients with upper gastrointestinal (GI) bleeding have been developed, yet these scores have never been compared to the current gold standard, which is the clinical evaluation by a gastroenterologist. The aim of this study was to assess the added value of prediction scores to gastroenterologists' Gut Feeling in patients with a suspected upper GI bleeding. METHODS: WE PROSPECTIVELY EVALUATED GUT FEELING OF SENIOR GASTROENTEROLOGISTS AND ASKED THEM TO ESTIMATE: (1) the risk that a clinical intervention is needed; (2) the risk of rebleeding; and (3) the risk of mortality in patients presenting with suspected upper GI bleeding, subdivided into low, medium, or high risk. The predictive value of the gastroenterologists' Gut Feeling was compared to the Blatchford and Rockall scores for various outcomes. RESULTS: We included 974 patients, of which 667 patients (68.8%) underwent a clinical intervention. During the 30-day follow up, 140 patients (14.4%) developed recurrent bleeding and 44 patients (4.5%) died. Gut Feeling was independently associated with all studied outcomes, except for the predicted mortality after endoscopy. Predictive power, based on the AUC of the Blatchford and Rockall prediction scores, was higher than the Gut Feeling of the gastroenterologists. However, combining both the Blatchford and Rockall scores and the Gut Feeling yielded the highest predictive power for the need of an intervention (AUC 0.88), rebleeding (AUC 0.73), and mortality (AUC 0.71 predicted before and 0.77 predicted after endoscopy, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Gut Feeling is an independent predictor for the need of a clinical intervention, rebleeding, and mortality in patients presenting with upper GI bleeding; however, the Blatchford and Rockall scores are stronger predictors for these outcomes. Combining Gut Feeling with the Blatchford and Rockall scores resulted in the most optimal prediction.

Long-term low-dose antibiotics in recalcitrant chronic rhinosinusitis: a retrospective analysis.

INTRODUCTION: In recalcitrant Chronic RhinoSinusitis (CRS) treatment with intranasal corticosteroids, short-term antibiotics and even sinus surgery is frequently insufficient. Long-term low-dose administration of antibiotics has been suggested as a treatment option in these patients. We analysed the outpatient clinic population treated with different long-term low-dose antibiotics at the AMC Amsterdam. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Eligible patients, who were treated with trimethoprim-sulfamethoxazole or macrolides, were retrospectively identified from our outpatient clinic in 2009. The two main outcome measures were sinonasal complaints and nasal endoscopic findings. A 5-point grading scale was used to score the results compared with the pre-treatment situation. This was measured at several time-points during, and after the antibiotic course, and at the end of the follow-up term. RESULTS: Seventy-six patients were included, 53 per cent had asthma and all of them had undergone sinus surgery. Seventy-eight per cent showed improvement of the symptoms, and 84 per cent demonstrated improvement of the sinonasal mucosa at the end of the course. No significant difference was found between the trimethoprim-sulfamethoxazole and macrolide group. DISCUSSION: Long-term low-dose treatment with antibiotics seems to improve CRS symptoms and the appearance of the sinonasal mucosa on nasal endoscopy. However, at this stage, strong conclusions are immature because no placebo-group has been included. Despite increasing use of long-term low-dose treatment of recalcitrant CRS in referral centres, hard clinical evidence is lacking. More research is urgently required.

New classification for probe-based confocal laser endomicroscopy in the colon.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Probe-based confocal laser endomicroscopy (pCLE; Cellvizio, Mauna Kea Technologies, Paris, France) enables in vivo histology during colonoscopy and may allow endoscopists to make real-time diagnoses. A collaboration of five experts proposed a new pCLE classification for colonic use. The aim of this study was to assess interobserver agreement and accuracy of the new pCLE classification in the colon. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Eligible patients were prospectively investigated by pCLE. A subset of 13 pCLE video sequences was reviewed post hoc for the establishment of a new classification, which comprised three vessel categories and seven crypt categories. All five blinded observers then scored another set of 102 video sequences, using the new classification. Histopathology was used as a reference standard. RESULTS: The interobserver agreements on vessel and crypt architecture were 'fair' with kappa values of 0.29 and 0.27, respectively. When the classification was reduced to neoplasia vs. non-neoplasia (i.e. vessel or crypt type 3), overall agreement became 'moderate' (κ = 0.56). Overall sensitivity and specificity for predicting neoplasia was 66 % and 83 %, respectively. When all observers agreed (69 % of videos), the corresponding figures became 80 % and 95 %. CONCLUSION: A new classification for pCLE in the colon had a 'moderate' interobserver agreement for differentiating neoplasia from non-neoplastic tissue in the colon. The overall accuracy (81 %) for predicting neoplasia was acceptable and became excellent (94 %) when all five observers agreed. Future research should focus on refinement and validation of the classification.

[Hypertension due to liquorice and liquorice tea consumption]. / Hypertensie door consumptie van drop en zoethoutthee.

--Compared to other countries, liquorice consumption in the Netherlands is very high; on average it is 2 kg per person annually. Also liquorice tea is growing in popularity. Both products contain glycyrrhizin. The pathophysiological mechanism of the effect ofglycyrrhizin was described earlier. --In a literature study, the quantitative effect of liquorice consumption on blood pressure was evaluated. An Internet search on PubMed and Embase revealed 7 publications, all ofwhich short-term studies. --These studies showed that a daily consumption of glycyrrhetinic acid of 95 mg or more caused an increase in blood pressure. --A practical guideline for an acceptable daily intake of glycyrrhetinic acid seems to be 9.5 mg a day. This means no more than 10-30 g liquorice and no more than half a cup of liquorice tea a day. --On diagnosing hypertension, the effects of liquorice and liquorice tea consumption on blood pressure should be kept in mind.