Outcome Predictors of Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure: A Narrative Review.

Complications of acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) include increased short-term mortality. Extrahepatic organ failures result from chronic liver disease and acute hepatic injury. This combination characterizes end-stage liver disease. Its rapid progression makes it challenging for hepatologists and intensivists to treat. The varied definitions of this condition lead to varied clinical presentations. Hepatic or extrahepatic failures are more prevalent in chronic hepatitis B or cirrhosis patients who receive an additional injury. Numerous intensity parameters and prognosis ratings, including those for hepatitis B virus (HBV), have been developed and verified for various patients and causes of the disease. Liver regeneration, liver transplantation (LT), or antiviral therapy for HBV-related ACLF are the main treatment aims for various organ failures. LT is the best treatment for HBV-ACLF. In some HBV-related ACLF patients, nucleos(t)ide analogs and artificial liver assistance may enhance survival. Combining epidemiological and clinical studies, this review updates our understanding of HBV-ACLF's definition, diagnosis, epidemiology, etiology, therapy, and prognosis.

Long-term outcome following liver transplantation of patients with ACLF grade 3.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Utility, a major principle for allocation in the context of transplantation, is questioned in patients with acute-on chronic liver failure grade 3 (ACLF-3) who undergo liver transplantation (LT). We aimed to explore long-term outcomes of patients included the three-center retrospective French experience published in 2017. METHOD: All patients with ACLF-3 (n=73) as well as their transplanted matched controlled with ACLF-2 (n=145), 1 (n=119) and no ACLF (n=292) that have participated in the princeps study published in 2017 were included. We explored 5- and 10-year patient and graft survivals, causes of death and their predictive factors. RESULTS: Median follow-up of patients ACLF-3 patients was 7.5 years. At LT, median MELD was 40. In patients with ACLF-3, 2, 1 and no ACLF, 5-year patients' survivals were respectively 72.6% vs. 69.7% vs. 76.4% vs. 77.0% (p=0.31). Ten-year patients' survival ACLF-3 was 56.8% and was not different other groups (p=0.37) Leading causes of death in ACLF-3 patients were infections (33.3%), and cardiovascular events (23.3%). After exclusion of early death, UCLA futility risk score, age-adjusted Charlson comorbidity index and Chronic Liver Failure Consortium ACLF score were independently associated with 10-year patients' survival. Long-term grafts' survivals were not different across the groups. Clinical frailty scale and WHO performance status improved over time in patients alive after 5 years. CONCLUSION: 5- and 10-year patients' and grafts' survivals in ACLF-3 patients were not different from their controls. 5-year patients' survival is higher than that of the 50%-70% threshold defining the utility of liver graft. Efforts should focus on candidates' selection based on comorbidities as well as the prevention of infection and cardiovascular events standing as the main cause of death. IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS: While short-term outcomes following liver transplantation in the most severely ill cirrhotic patients (ACLF-3) are known, long-term data are limited, raising questions about the utility of graft allocation in the context of scarce medical resources. This study provides a favorable long-term update, confirming no differences in 5- and 10-year patient and graft survival following liver transplantation in ACLF-3 patients compared to matched ACLF-2, ACLF-1, and no-ACLF patients. The study highlights the risk of dying from infection and cardiovascular causes in the long-term and identifies scores including comorbidities evaluation, such as the age-adjusted Charlson Comorbidity Index, as independently associated with long-term survival. Therefore, physicians should consider the cumulative burden of comorbidities when deciding to transplant these patients. Additionally, after transplantation, the study encourages mitigating infectious risk with tailored immunosuppressive regimens and managing tightly cardiovascular risk over time.

Sarcopenia is associated with short- and long-term mortality in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure.

BACKGROUND: While sarcopenia is recognized as a predictor of mortality in cirrhosis, its influence on acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) remains uncertain. Despite multiple studies examining the impact of sarcopenia on short-term mortality in patients with ACLF, the sample size of these studies was limited, and their outcomes were inconsistent. Therefore, this study aimed to explore the impact of sarcopenia on both short- and long-term mortality in patients with ACLF. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study included 414 patients with ACLF that were treated between January 2016 and September 2022. Sarcopenia was diagnosed based on the measurement of the skeletal muscle index at the third lumbar vertebra (L3-SMI). Subsequently, the patients were divided into sarcopenia and non-sarcopenia groups. We analysed the basic clinical data of the two groups. Multivariate Cox proportional analysis was used to analyse short-term (28 days) and long-term (1 year and overall) mortality rates. RESULTS: A total of 414 patients were included, with a mean age of 52.88 ± 13.41 years. Among them, 318 (76.8%) were male, and 239 (57.7%) had sarcopenia. A total of 280 (67.6%) patients died during the study period. Among them, 153 patients died within 28 days (37%) and 209 patients died within 1 year (50.5%). We found that the 28-day, 1-year and overall mortality rates in the sarcopenia group were significantly higher than those in the non-sarcopenia group (37% vs. 22.3%, P < 0.01; 50.5% vs. 34.9%, P < 0.01; and 67.6% vs. 53.1%, P < 0.01, respectively). Multivariate Cox regression analysis revealed that sarcopenia was significantly associated with increased mortality. The hazard ratios for sarcopenia were 2.05 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.41-3.00, P < 0.01) for 28-day mortality, 1.81 (95% CI 1.29-2.54, P < 0.01) for 1-year mortality and 1.82 (95% CI 1.30-2.55, P < 0.01) for overall mortality. In addition, muscle density and international normalized ratio were associated with short- and long-term mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Sarcopenia is associated with both short- and long-term mortality in patients with ACLF. Therefore, regular monitoring for sarcopenia is important for these patients.

Pathogenesis and clinical features of severe hepatitis E virus infection.

The hepatitis E virus (HEV), a member of the Hepeviridae family, is a small, non-enveloped icosahedral virus divided into eight distinct genotypes (HEV-1 to HEV-8). Only genotypes 1 to 4 are known to cause diseases in humans. Genotypes 1 and 2 commonly spread via fecal-oral transmission, often through the consumption of contaminated water. Genotypes 3 and 4 are known to infect pigs, deer, and wild boars, often transferring to humans through inadequately cooked meat. Acute hepatitis caused by HEV in healthy individuals is mostly asymptomatic or associated with minor symptoms, such as jaundice. However, in immunosuppressed individuals, the disease can progress to chronic hepatitis and even escalate to cirrhosis. For pregnant women, an HEV infection can cause fulminant liver failure, with a potential mortality rate of 25%. Mortality rates also rise amongst cirrhotic patients when they contract an acute HEV infection, which can even trigger acute-on-chronic liver failure if layered onto pre-existing chronic liver disease. As the prevalence of HEV infection continues to rise worldwide, highlighting the particular risks associated with severe HEV infection is of major medical interest. This text offers a brief summary of the characteristics of hepatitis developed by patient groups at an elevated risk of severe HEV infection.

Infectious Complications of Portal Hypertension.

Patients with cirrhosis and clinically significant portal hypertension are at high risk of developing bacterial infections (BIs) that are the most common trigger of acute decompensation and acute-on-chronic liver failure. Furthermore, after decompensation, the risk of developing BIs further increases in an ominous vicious circle. BIs may be subtle, and they should be ruled out in all patients at admission and in case of deterioration. Timely administration of adequate empirical antibiotics is the cornerstone of treatment. Herein, we reviewed current evidences about pathogenesis, clinical implications and management of BIs in patients with cirrhosis and portal hypertension.

Multidrug-resistant bacterial infections in the liver transplant setting.

Bacterial infections pose a life-threatening complication in patients with decompensated liver cirrhosis and acute-on-chronic liver failure. An increasing prevalence of infections caused by multidrug-resistant organisms (MDROs) has been observed in these patients, significantly impacting prognosis. A growing body of evidence has identified the most common risk factors for such infections, enabling the development of preventive strategies and therapeutic interventions. MDRO infections may also occur after liver transplantation (most commonly in the early post-operative phase), affecting both graft and patient survival. This review provides an overview of MDRO infections before and after liver transplantation, discussing epidemiological aspects, risk factors, prevention strategies, and novel therapeutic approaches. Furthermore, it examines the implications of MDRO infections in the context of prioritizing liver transplantation for the most severe patients, such as those with acute-on-chronic liver failure.

Impact of Donor Age on Liver Transplant Outcomes in Patients with Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure: A Cohort Study.

Background/Aims: Liver transplantation is the most effective treatment for the sickest patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF). However, the influence of donor age on liver transplantation, especially in ACLF patients, is still unclear. Methods: In this study, we used the data of the Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients. We included patients with ACLF who received liver transplantation from January 1, 2007, to December 31, 2017, and the total number was 13,857. We allocated the ACLF recipients by age into group I (donor age ≤17 years, n=647); group II (donor age 18-59 years, n=11,423); and group III (donor age ≥60 years, n=1,787). Overall survival (OS), graft survival, and mortality were compared among the three age groups and the four ACLF grades. Cox regression was also analyzed. Results: The 1-, 3-, and 5-year OS rates were 89.6%, 85.5%, and 82.0% in group I; 89.4%, 83.4%, and 78.2% in group II; and 86.8%, 78.4%, and 71.4% in group III, respectively (p<0.001). When we analyzed the different effects of donor age on OS with different ACLF grades, in groups II and III, we observed statistical differences. Finally, the cubic spline curve told us that the relative death rate changed linearly with increasing donor age. Conclusions: Donor age is related to OS and graft survival of ACLF patients after transplantation, and poorer results were associated with elderly donors. In addition, different donor ages have different effects on recipients with different ACLF grades.

Centrifugal technique of plasma exchange and low-dose steroid to treat very severe alcoholic hepatitis patients: A retrospective analysis.

BACKGROUND: Low-volume plasma exchange (PLEX) and low-dose steroid improve survival in severe alcoholic hepatitis. We aimed to compare one-year survival of very severe alcoholic hepatitis (VSAH) patients treated with centrifugal PLEX (cPLEX), membrane PLEX (mPLEX) or standard medical treatment (SMT). METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed survival in consecutive VSAH patients treated at our department from November 2017 to September 2021. PLEX patients received low-volume PLEX along with low-dose steroid (tab. prednisolone 10 mg or 20 mg daily). To adjust for baseline differences between the three treatment (cPLEX, mPLEX or SMT) groups, propensity score (PS) matching was done. Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) was defined as per European Association for the Study of the Liver (EASL). The primary study outcome was one-year transplant-free survival of PS-matched VSAH patients treated with cPLEX compared to SMT. RESULTS: Of 101 PLEX-eligible VSAH patients, 30 patients were treated with cPLEX, 21 with mPLEX and 50 with SMT. On comparing 30 PS-matched patients each in the cPLEX group vs. the SMT group, transplant-free survival in the cPLEX group was 86.7% at one month, 70% at three months and 52.4% at one year and in the SMT group was 33.3% at one month, 23.3% at three months and 16.7% at one year with hazard ratio (HR [95% CI]) in favor of the cPLEX group (0.29 [0.15-0.56], p < 0.001). Total 21 patients each (PS-matched) in cPLEX and mPLEX groups were compared and one-year survival was better with cPLEX (0.33 [0.16-0.69], p = 0.001). The sub-group analysis of VSAH (PS-matched cohort) patients with ACLF also showed better survival with cPLEX compared to SMT (0.38 [0.17-0.83], p = 0.003) and compared to mPLEX (0.43 [0.17-0.95], p = 0.03). CONCLUSION: Better one-year transplant-free survival was noted among PS-matched VSAH patients treated with cPLEX (and low-dose steroid) compared to SMT (without steroid).

Outcome of patients with different stages of acute-on-chronic liver failure treated with artificial liver support system.

Background: Elevated international normalized ratio of prothrombin time (PT-INR) is one of the key characteristics of acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF). Whether the staging of PT-INR has the ability to screen out subgroups of ACLF patients who would be more eligible for artificial liver support system (ALSS) treatment has not been studied in detail. Methods: A previous study enrolled patients receiving ALSS treatment with regional citrate anticoagulation from January 2018 to December 2019. Patients with different PT-INR intervals were retrospectively enrolled: 1.3 ≤ PT-INR < 1.5 (Pre-stage), 1.5 ≤ PT-INR < 2.0 (Early-stage), 2.0 ≤ PT-INR < 2.5 (Mid-stage), and PT-INR ≥ 2.5 (End-stage). The Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate the association between stages of ACLF or sessions of ALSS treatment and 90 day mortality. Results: A total of 301 ACLF patients were enrolled. The 90 day mortality risk of Early-stage ACLF patients (adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) (95% confidence interval (CI)), 3.20 (1.15-8.89), p = 0.026), Mid-stage ACLF patients (3.68 (1.34-10.12), p = 0.011), and End-stage ACLF patients (12.74 (4.52-35.91), p < 0.001) were higher than that of Pre-stage ACLF patients, respectively. The 90 day mortality risk of Mid-stage ACLF patients was similar to that of Early-stage ACLF patients (1.15 (0.69-1.94), p = 0.591). The sessions of ALSS treatment was an independent protective factor (aHR (95% CI), 0.81 (0.73-0.90), p < 0.001). The 90 day mortality risk in ACLF patients received 3-5 sessions of ALSS treatment was lower than that of patients received 1-2 sessions (aHR (95% CI), 0.34 (0.20-0.60), p < 0.001), whereas the risk in patients received ≥6 sessions of ALSS treatment was similar to that of patients received 3-5 sessions (0.69 (0.43-1.11), p = 0.128). Conclusion: ACLF patients in Pre-, Early-, and Mid-stages might be more eligible for ALSS treatment. Application of 3-5 sessions of ALSS treatment might be reasonable.

Development and validation of a new prognostic model for patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure in intensive care unit.

BACKGROUND: Cirrhotic patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) in the intensive care unit (ICU) have a poor but variable prognoses. Accurate prognosis evaluation can guide the rational management of patients with ACLF. However, existing prognostic scores for ACLF in the ICU environment lack sufficient accuracy. AIM: To develop a new prognostic model for patients with ACLF in ICU. METHODS: Data from 938 ACLF patients in the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care (MIMIC) database were used to develop a new prognostic model (MIMIC ACLF) for ACLF. Discrimination, calibration and clinical utility of MIMIC ACLF were assessed by area under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC), calibration curve and decision curve analysis (DCA), respectively. MIMIC ACLF was then externally validated in a multiple-center cohort, the Electronic Intensive Care Collaborative Research Database and a single-center cohort from the Second Hospital of Hebei Medical University in China. RESULTS: The MIMIC ACLF score was determined using nine variables: ln (age) × 2.2 + ln (white blood cell count) × 0.22 - ln (mean arterial pressure) × 2.7 + respiratory failure × 0.6 + renal failure × 0.51 + cerebral failure × 0.31 + ln (total bilirubin) × 0.44 + ln (internationalized normal ratio) × 0.59 + ln (serum potassium) × 0.59. In MIMIC cohort, the AUROC (0.81/0.79) for MIMIC ACLF for 28/90-day ACLF mortality were significantly greater than those of Chronic Liver Failure Consortium ACLF (0.76/0.74), Model for End-stage Liver Disease (MELD; 0.73/0.71) and MELD-Na (0.72/0.70) (all P < 0.001). The consistency between actual and predicted 28/90-day survival rates of patients according to MIMIC ACLF score was excellent and superior to that of existing scores. The net benefit of MIMIC ACLF was greater than that achieved using existing scores within the 50% threshold probability. The superior predictive accuracy and clinical utility of MIMIC ACLF were validated in the external cohorts. CONCLUSION: We developed and validated a new prognostic model with satisfactory accuracy for cirrhotic patients with ACLF hospitalized in the ICU. The model-based risk stratification and online calculator might facilitate the rational management of patients with ACLF.

CXCR6+CD69+ CD8+ T cells in ascites are associated with disease severity in patients with cirrhosis.

Background & Aims: Patients with advanced cirrhosis often develop hepatic decompensation, which is accompanied by systemic inflammation and may eventually lead to acute-on-chronic liver failure. One important cause of systemic hyperinflammation is a dysregulated overshooting immune response in ascites in the abdominal cavity. In this study, we analyzed the role of CD8+ T cells in the ascites immune compartment. Methods: Peripheral blood and ascites fluid were collected from 50 patients with decompensated cirrhosis. Phenotype and functional responses of CD8+ T cells were analyzed, and obtained data were compared with each other as well as with healthy controls and patients with compensated cirrhosis. Results: High-dimensional flow cytometry revealed that CD8+ T cells are abundant in the ascites of patients with cirrhosis and exhibit a chronically activated bystander phenotype with innate-like functions. Indeed, we identified distinct CXCR6+CD69+ clusters of late effector memory CD8+ T cells that were rarely found in blood and correlated with clinical parameters of disease severity. Moreover, this CD8+ T-cell population was hyperresponsive to innate cytokines and exhibited cytokine-mediated bystander activation. Interestingly, the Janus kinase (JAK) inhibitor tofacitinib was able to effectively block bystander-activated CXCR6+CD69+ CD8+ T cells and significantly suppress effector molecule production. Conclusions: The results indicate that CXCR6+CD69+ CD8+ T cells in ascites are associated with disease severity and may contribute to inflammation in patients with decompensated cirrhosis, suggesting that targeted inhibition of this immune cell subset may be a viable therapeutic option. Impact and Implications: Patients with advanced cirrhosis often develop hepatic decompensation, which is accompanied by systemic inflammation and eventually leads to acute-on-chronic liver failure. One important cause of systemic hyperinflammation is a dysregulated overshooting immune response in ascites in the abdominal cavity. In this study, we demonstrate that CXCR6+CD69+ CD8+ T cells are abundant in the ascites of patients with cirrhosis, exhibit a chronically activated bystander phenotype, and correlate with clinical parameters of disease severity. Moreover, we show that the Janus kinase (JAK) inhibitor tofacitinib can effectively block these bystander-activated CXCR6+CD69+ CD8+ T cells, suggesting that targeted inhibition of this immune cell subset may be a potential therapeutic strategy. Clinical trial number: Prospective registry: INFEKTA (DRKS00010664).

Association of myosteatosis with short-term outcomes in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure.

Sarcopenia (low muscle mass, i.e., quantity) is associated with poor clinical outcomes in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF). In this study, we aimed to illustrate the clinical prognostic value of myosteatosis (muscle fat infiltration) for short-term mortality in patients with ACLF. We retrospectively enrolled consecutive patients with ACLF between January 2019 and January 2022. Computed tomography-based body composition analysis was performed at the third lumbar vertebral level to determine skeletal muscle radiation attenuation. Fine and Gray's competing risk regression model, with liver transplantation as a competing risk, was used to assess the factors associated with 90-day mortality. A total of 431 patients with ACLF were included. Myosteatosis and sarcopenia were observed in 261 (60.6%) and 87 (20.2%) patients, respectively. Competitive risk regression showed that age (HR 1.021, 95% CI 1.000-1.043, P = 0.042), APASL ACLF Research Consortium (AARC) score (HR 1.498, 95% CI 1.312-1.710, P < 0.001), and sarcopenia (HR 1.802, 95% CI 1.062-3.060, P = 0.029) were independently associated with increased 90-day mortality. Subgroup analysis of male patients with HBV-ACLF revealed that myosteatosis (HR 2.119, 95% CI 1.101-4.078, P = 0.025) was promising prognostic factors for 90-day mortality after being adjusted for ascites, acute kidney injury, AARC score, and sarcopenia. Myosteatosis is predictive of short-term outcomes in male patients with HBV-ACLF. Our results emphasise the importance of focusing on muscle fat infiltration in patients with HBV-ACLF. Further studies are warranted to investigate the underlying mechanisms and potential therapies for myosteatosis.

Diagnostic and Prognostic Value of Serum Leptin in Critically Ill Patients with Acute versus Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure.

Differentiation between acute liver failure (ALF) and acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) can be challenging in patients with de novo liver disease but is important to indicate the referral to a transplant center and urgency of organ allocation. Leptin, an adipocyte-derived cytokine that regulates energy storage and satiety, has multiple regulatory functions in the liver. We enrolled 160 critically ill patients with liver disease and 20 healthy individuals to measure serum leptin concentrations as a potential biomarker for diagnostic and prognostic purposes. Notably, patients with ALF had higher concentrations of serum leptin compared to patients with decompensated advanced chronic liver disease (dACLD) or ACLF (110 vs. 50 vs. 29 pg/mL, p < 0.001). Levels of serum leptin below 56 pg/mL excluded ALF in patients with acute hepatic disease, with a negative predictive value (NPV) of 98.8% in our cohort. Lastly, serum leptin did not show any dynamic changes within the first 48 h of ICU treatment, especially not in comparison with patients with ALF vs. ACLF or survivors vs. non-survivors. In conclusion, serum leptin may represent a helpful biomarker to exclude ALF in critically ill patients who present with acute liver dysfunction.

[Liver diseases in the intensive care unit]. / Lebererkrankungen auf der Intensivstation.

The frequency of liver diseases in the intensive care unit has increased significantly in recent years and is now observed in up to 20% of critically ill patients. The occurrence of liver disease is associated with significantly increased morbidity and mortality. Two groups of liver diseases in the intensive care unit can be distinguished. First, the group of "primary hepatic dysfunctions", which includes primary acute liver failure as well as acute-on-chronic liver failure in patients with pre-existing liver cirrhosis. The second group of "secondary or acquired liver diseases" includes cholestatic liver diseases, as well as hypoxic liver injury and mixed forms, as well as other rarer liver diseases. Due to the diversity of liver diseases and the very different triggers, sufficient knowledge of the underlying changes (including hemodynamic changes, inflammatory states or drug-related) is essential. Early recognition, diagnosis, and treatment of the underlying disease are essential for all liver dysfunction in critically ill patients in the intensive care unit. This review article aims to take a closer look at liver diseases in the intensive care unit and provides insight into diagnostics and treatment options.

Severe acute liver disease in adults: Contemporary role of histopathology.

Liver biopsies have consistently contributed to our understanding of the pathogenesis and aetiologies of acute liver disease. As other diagnostic modalities have been developed and refined, the role of biopsy in the management of patients with acute liver failure (ALF), acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) and acute hepatitis, including acute liver injury (ALI), has changed. Liver biopsy remains particularly valuable when first-line diagnostic algorithms fail to determine aetiology. Despite not being identified as a mandatory diagnostic tool in recent clinical guidelines for the management of ALF or ACLF, many centres continue to undertake biopsies given the relative safety of transjugular biopsy in this setting. Several studies have demonstrated that liver biopsy can provide prognostic information, particularly in the context of so-called indeterminate hepatitis, and is extremely useful in excluding conditions such as metastatic tumours that would preclude transplantation. In addition, its widespread use of percutaneous biopsies in cases of less severe acute liver injury, for example in the establishment of a diagnosis of acute presentation of autoimmune hepatitis or confirmation of a probable or definite drug-induced liver injury (DILI), has meant that many centres have seen a shift in the ratio of specimens they are receiving from patients with chronic to acute liver disease. Histopathologists therefore need to be equipped to deal with these challenging specimens. This overview provides an insight into the contemporary role of biopsies (as well as explant and autopsy material) in diagnosing acute liver disease. It outlines up-to-date clinical definitions of liver injury and considers recent recommendations for the diagnosis of AIH and drug-induced, autoimmune-like hepatitis (DI-AIH).

The value of dynamic changes in FT3 level for predicting 90-day prognosis of HBV-ACLF patients.

OBJECTIVE: To explore the effect of dynamic changes in free triiodothyronine (FT3) level for predicting the 90 day prognosis of patients with hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF). METHODS: The clinical data of 122 hospitalised patients with HBV-ACLF between September 2018 and January 2020 were collected and divided into a survival group (77 cases) and a death group (45 cases) according to the 90 day prognosis. We statistically analysed the characteristics of FT3 changes in the two groups of patients. Binary logistic regression one-way analysis was used to assess the degree of influence of each factor. The Kaplan-Meier survival curve and receiver operating characteristic curve were used to evaluate the effect of a single change in FT3 level difference (single △FT3) and the FT3 level change range (△FT3 range) in predicting the 90-day prognosis of patients. RESULTS: There were only three types of changes in FT3 levels, which included 19 (15.6%) cases of continuous normal type, 35 (28.7%) cases of continuous decrease type and 68 (55.7%) cases of U-shaped change type. The difference in survival curves between the three types of patients was statistically significant (P < 0.001). CONCLUSION: The dynamic change type of FT3 is related to the disease severity and 90-day prognosis of patients with HBV-ACLF. The single FT3 value and FT3 range could be used as a predictive factor for the 90-day prognosis of patients with HBV-ACLF. These results have a degree of research value and are worth further exploration in the future.

Development and validation of a predictive model for acute-on-chronic liver failure after transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt.

BACKGROUND: Transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) is a cause of acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF). AIM: To investigate the risk factors of ACLF within 1 year after TIPS in patients with cirrhosis and construct a prediction model. METHODS: In total, 379 patients with decompensated cirrhosis treated with TIPS at Nanjing Drum Tower Hospital from 2017 to 2020 were selected as the training cohort, and 123 patients from Nanfang Hospital were included in the external validation cohort. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to identify independent predictors. The prediction model was established based on the Akaike information criterion. Internal and external validation were conducted to assess the performance of the model. RESULTS: Age and total bilirubin (TBil) were independent risk factors for the incidence of ACLF within 1 year after TIPS. We developed a prediction model comprising age, TBil, and serum sodium, which demonstrated good discrimination and calibration in both the training cohort and the external validation cohort. CONCLUSION: Age and TBil are independent risk factors for the incidence of ACLF within 1 year after TIPS in patients with decompensated cirrhosis. Our model showed satisfying predictive value.

Characterization of acute-on-chronic liver diseases: A multicenter prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Acute-on-chronic liver disease (AoCLD) accounts for the majority of patients hospitalized in the Department of Hepatology or Infectious Diseases. AIM: To explore the characterization of AoCLD to provide theoretical guidance for the accurate diagnosis and prognosis of AoCLD. METHODS: Patients with AoCLD from the Chinese Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure (ACLF) study cohort were included in this study. The clinical characteristics and outcomes, and the 90-d survival rate associated with each clinical type of AoCLD were analyzed, using the Kaplan-Meier method and the log-rank test. RESULTS: A total of 3375 patients with AoCLD were enrolled, including 1679 (49.7%) patients with liver cirrhosis acute decompensation (LC-AD), 850 (25.2%) patients with ACLF, 577 (17.1%) patients with chronic hepatitis acute exacerbation (CHAE), and 269 (8.0%) patients with liver cirrhosis active phase (LC-A). The most common cause of chronic liver disease (CLD) was HBV infection (71.4%). The most common precipitants of AoCLD was bacterial infection (22.8%). The 90-d mortality rates of each clinical subtype of AoCLD were 43.4% (232/535) for type-C ACLF, 36.0% (36/100) for type-B ACLF, 27.0% (58/215) for type-A ACLF, 9.0% (151/1679) for LC-AD, 3.0% (8/269) for LC-A, and 1.2% (7/577) for CHAE. CONCLUSION: HBV infection is the main cause of CLD, and bacterial infection is the main precipitant of AoCLD. The most common clinical type of AoCLD is LC-AD. Early diagnosis and timely intervention are needed to reduce the mortality of patients with LC-AD or ACLF.

Assessing the predictive value of serum phosphate for short-term mortality in acute-on-chronic liver failure patients: An observational study at a non-transplant tertiary care centre.

Aim of the study: The gradual clinical worsening of acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) leads to a high 28-day mortality rate. There are several prognostication scores for predicting early mortality in ACLF. Serum phosphate, which is the main component of adenosine tri-phosphate (ATP) synthesis, is utilized for liver synthetic functions, leading to subnormal or decreased serum phosphate levels. Hence more than normal levels of serum phosphate can be used as a marker of decreased liver cell reserve. Hence, we aimed to compare serum phosphate levels with available prognostic scores to assess mortality among ACLF patients. Material and methods: 100 consecutive ACLF patients according to the Asia Pacific Association for Study of the Liver (APASL) definition were studied. The baseline blood workups and determination of viral bio-markers, serum phosphate, and lactate levels on days 1, 3, and 7 were carried out and prospectively followed up, and the baseline serum phosphate levels were compared with the usual scores to predict the 28-day mortality. Results: CLIF-SOFA (accuracy 76-91%) followed by CLIF-C score (accuracy 73-84%) and AARC score (accuracy 70-85%) had the statistically significantly highest accuracy as compared with CTP, MELD, and MELD-Na on all three days. Serum phosphate values (accuracy 69-86%) on all three days were not better than the CLIF-SOFA score but better than all other prognostic scores on days 3 and 7. Conclusions: The high serum phosphate levels on day 3 with a value of more than 6.4 mg/dl showed almost comparable accuracy with CLIF-SOFA for screening short-term mortality. Hence serum phosphate measurement can be used as a simple bedside laboratory investigation to predict mortality in ACLF patients and early interventions in low-resource settings.