Mean-field interacting multi-type birth-death processes with a view to applications in phylodynamics.

Multi-type birth-death processes underlie approaches for inferring evolutionary dynamics from phylogenetic trees across biological scales, ranging from deep-time species macroevolution to rapid viral evolution and somatic cellular proliferation. A limitation of current phylogenetic birth-death models is that they require restrictive linearity assumptions that yield tractable message-passing likelihoods, but that also preclude interactions between individuals. Many fundamental evolutionary processes-such as environmental carrying capacity or frequency-dependent selection-entail interactions, and may strongly influence the dynamics in some systems. Here, we introduce a multi-type birth-death process in mean-field interaction with an ensemble of replicas of the focal process. We prove that, under quite general conditions, the ensemble's stochastically evolving interaction field converges to a deterministic trajectory in the limit of an infinite ensemble. In this limit, the replicas effectively decouple, and self-consistent interactions appear as nonlinearities in the infinitesimal generator of the focal process. We investigate a special case that is rich enough to model both carrying capacity and frequency-dependent selection while yielding tractable message-passing likelihoods in the context of a phylogenetic birth-death model.

gcplyr: an R package for microbial growth curve data analysis.

BACKGROUND: Characterization of microbial growth is of both fundamental and applied interest. Modern platforms can automate collection of high-throughput microbial growth curves, necessitating the development of computational tools to handle and analyze these data to produce insights. RESULTS: To address this need, here I present a newly-developed R package: gcplyr. gcplyr can flexibly import growth curve data in common tabular formats, and reshapes it under a tidy framework that is flexible and extendable, enabling users to design custom analyses or plot data with popular visualization packages. gcplyr can also incorporate metadata and generate or import experimental designs to merge with data. Finally, gcplyr carries out model-free (non-parametric) analyses. These analyses do not require mathematical assumptions about microbial growth dynamics, and gcplyr is able to extract a broad range of important traits, including growth rate, doubling time, lag time, maximum density and carrying capacity, diauxie, area under the curve, extinction time, and more. CONCLUSIONS: gcplyr makes scripted analyses of growth curve data in R straightforward, streamlines common data wrangling and analysis steps, and easily integrates with common visualization and statistical analyses.

Lions select larger prey in a Central African protected area with increasingly effective management.

Lions and their prey are threatened across most of their range and especially in West and Central Africa. Prey availability influences carnivore densities, social structure, prey preference and home ranges, and changes in prey are important for carnivore management. Scarcity of large prey in many West and Central African ecosystems has been described as leading to a preference for hunting smaller prey in smaller groups. Here we investigated the changes in prey selection of lions in Zakouma National Park (Chad), a protected area in Central Africa that showed significant recovery in wildlife numbers, by collecting feeding data through observations of lions on kills during monitoring drives and GPS cluster points of lion collars. Compared to similar data collected prior to this significant recovery, lions preferred larger prey and fed in larger groups. Our results show that diet shifts due to prey losses can be reversed with restoration of prey populations thanks to improved management, and we speculate that this may be true across large carnivores and across regions.

The Innate Rates of Increase in Two Common Stored Grain Insects under Different Grain Storage Conditions and Times.

The determination of innate rate of increase (r) values under different grain storage conditions is critical for insect population predictions. The r values for Cryptolestes ferrugineus (Stephens) and Tribolium castaneum (Herbst) were calculated by using a new suggested method (continuous time analysis) and data from the literature, and these calculated r values were compared to identify the r values and carrying capacities under real grain storage conditions and times. The insects were reared in small glass vials (0.3 kg wheat), small PVC columns (2 kg wheat), large PVC columns (14 kg wheat), and shallow containers (14 kg wheat or wheat + cracked wheat). The wheat or cracked wheat had 13.8 to 14.5% moisture contents at different constant temperatures (17.5 to 42.5 °C) and fluctuating temperatures. The r values at the beginning of the population were the highest. Before r became negative, it gradually decreased with increasing time. After the r value became negative, it sometimes increased to positive; however, the rebounded r was much less than the initial r and gradually tended to stabilize within an up-and-down range. This up-and-down r was related to the carrying capacity. The larger the grain bulk, the higher the innate rate was for both species. The r values associated with 14 kg of wheat could be used to predict the insect population dynamics in stored grain bins.

The study on spatial distribution of water ecological environment carrying capacity during extreme drought conditions.

Due to global warming and the disturbance of the interannual variability of precipitation, the frequency of extreme drought events has increased. The impact of global climate change on water resources is becoming increasingly apparent, then it is particularly necessary to explore the carrying capacity of water ecological environment under extreme drought conditions, which can guarantee the ecological water security in river basins. This study takes the Guanzhong area of the Wei River Basin as an example, calculating the water environment carrying capacity of 40 areas in the Weihe Guanzhong area in different levels of years under extreme drought conditions by comprehensive evaluation model of carrying capacity and using geographic information system GIS to display the spatial distribution of water environment carrying capacity in 40 regions. According to the results of the spatial distribution of water environmental bearing capacity, four different schemes are designed to improve the bearing capacity. The first plan reduces the industrial water consumption and irrigation quota by 5%, the second plan increases the industrial water and sewage treatment rate on this basis. the third plan further improves the development and utilization rate of surface and groundwater, and the fourth plan, on the basis of the first three plans, supplies 600 million cubic meters of industrial and agricultural water to Guanzhong region. Through comparative analysis, without taking any measures, under the extreme drought conditions, the water environment carrying capacity of the 40 areas in Guanzhong is all in an unbearable state. Overall, plan 4 has the most significant improvement in the water environment-carrying capacity, especially the Dong zhuang Reservoir of the Jing River which has played a very important role in enhancing the water ecological environment carrying capacity of the downstream water of the Wei River.

Axial compression performance of partially encased concrete columns with web opening.

The objective of this study is to comprehensively assess the behavior of partially encased concrete (PEC) columns with web openings under axial compression. The primary objectives of this study are to analyze damage patterns and investigate the influence of key parameters, such as concrete strength, opening rate, and opening shape, on the ductility index and ultimate load-carrying capacity. The study employs experimental testing to examine the response of the PEC columns, with a particular focus on the mechanisms of concrete fracture and flange flexing. Notably, the study reveals a significant impact of the opening rate on the bearing capacity, while the effect of opening shape is comparatively minor. Furthermore, computational analyses are conducted to deepen the understanding of structural behavior. The study builds upon existing research to propose a novel method for calculating the bearing capacity of PEC columns with web openings. This method introduces two discount factors to enhance predictive accuracy.

Demographic models predict end-Pleistocene arrival and rapid expansion of pre-agropastoralist humans in Cyprus.

The antiquity of human dispersal into Mediterranean islands and ensuing coastal adaptation have remained largely unexplored due to the prevailing assumption that the sea was a barrier to movement and that islands were hostile environments to early hunter-gatherers [J. F. Cherry, T. P. Leppard, J. Isl. Coast. Archaeol. 13, 191-205 (2018), 10.1080/15564894.2016.1276489]. Using the latest archaeological data, hindcasted climate projections, and age-structured demographic models, we demonstrate evidence for early arrival (14,257 to 13,182 calendar years ago) to Cyprus and predicted that large groups of people (~1,000 to 1,375) arrived in 2 to 3 main events occurring within <100 y to ensure low extinction risk. These results indicate that the postglacial settlement of Cyprus involved only a few large-scale, organized events requiring advanced watercraft technology. Our spatially debiased and Signor-Lipps-corrected estimates indicate rapid settlement of the island within <200 y, and expansion to a median of 4,000 to 5,000 people (0.36 to 0.46 km-2) in <11 human generations (<300 y). Our results do not support the hypothesis of inaccessible and inhospitable islands in the Mediterranean for pre-agropastoralists, agreeing with analogous conclusions for other parts of the world [M. I. Bird et al., Sci. Rep. 9, 8220 (2019), 10.1038/s41598-019-42946-9]. Our results also highlight the need to revisit these questions in the Mediterranean and test their validity with new technologies, field methods, and data. By applying stochastic models to the Mediterranean region, we can place Cyprus and large islands in general as attractive and favorable destinations for paleolithic peoples.

Influence of ceramic waste powder on shear performance of environmentally friendly reinforced concrete beams.

This investigation considered the usability of ceramic waste powder (CWP) in altered quantities in reinforced concrete beams (RCBs). In this way, it was aimed to reduce the environmental impacts of concrete by using CWP as a raw material in RCBs. 12 small-scale shear RCBs with the dimensions of 100 × 150 × 1000 mm were tested in this study. The variations of stirrups spacing and CWP ratio were examined in these specimens. The percentages of CWP by weight utilized in RCBs were 10%, 20%, and 30%, and stirrups spacings were adopted as 270 mm, 200 mm, and 160 mm. At the end of the study, it was determined that more than 10% CWP additive negatively affected the RCBs' compressive strength. The load-carrying capacity reduced between 30.3% and 59.4% when CWP increased from 0% to 30% as compared to RCB with stirrups spacing of 270 mm without CWP. However, compared to RCB with stirrups spacings of 200 mm and 160 mm without CWP, there were decreases in the load-carrying capacity as 21.4%-54.3% and 18.6%-54.6%, respectively. While the CWP ratio increased, the specimens with 160 mm, 200 mm, and 270 mm stirrups spacings obtained a lower maximum load value. However, with the increase of the CWP ratio in the specimens with 160 mm stirrups spacing, RCBs reached the maximum load-carrying capacity at an earlier displacement value. When stirrups spacing was selected as 270 mm, it was observed that the maximum load-carrying capacity of RCBs reached at a similar displacement value as the CWP ratio increased. Besides, it was resulted that the bending stiffness of RCBs reduced as the quantity of CWP enhanced. The bending stiffness decreased by 29.1% to 66.4% in the specimens with 270 mm stirrups spacing, 36.3% to 20.2% with 200 mm stirrups spacing, and 10.3% to 36.9% with 160 mm stirrups spacing. As an implication of the experiments, the use of CWP up to 10% in RCBs was realized as an economical and environmental approach and is suggested. There is some evidence to report that making use of CWP may be considered to be ecologically benign. This is due to the fact that reusing CWP may significantly reduce CO2 emissions, save energy, and reduce total power consumption. Furthermore, the experimental results were compared to the analytical calculations.

Assessing contemporary Arctic habitat availability for a woolly mammoth proxy.

Interest continues to grow in Arctic megafaunal ecological engineering, but, since the mass extinction of megafauna ~ 12-15 ka, key physiographic variables and available forage continue to change. Here we sought to assess the extent to which contemporary Arctic ecosystems are conducive to the rewilding of megaherbivores, using a woolly mammoth (M. primigenius) proxy as a model species. We first perform a literature review on woolly mammoth dietary habits. We then leverage Oak Ridge National Laboratories Distributive Active Archive Center Global Aboveground and Belowground Biomass Carbon Density Maps to generate aboveground biomass carbon density estimates in plant functional types consumed by the woolly mammoth at 300 m resolution on Alaska's North Slope. We supplement these analyses with a NASA Arctic Boreal Vulnerability Experiment dataset to downgrade overall biomass estimates to digestible levels. We further downgrade available forage by using a conversion factor representing the relationship between total biomass and net primary productivity (NPP) for arctic vegetation types. Integrating these estimates with the forage needs of woolly mammoths, we conservatively estimate Alaska's North Slope could support densities of 0.0-0.38 woolly mammoth km-2 (mean 0.13) across a variety of habitats. These results may inform innovative rewilding strategies.

Biomimetic Ultrasonic Vibrator with Broadband Characteristics Inspired by Leaf-Cutting Ants.

Power ultrasound is widely used in industrial production, medical equipment, aerospace, and other fields. Currently, there are two main types of commonly used power generation devices: piezoelectric ultrasonic transducers and magnetostrictive ultrasonic transducers. However, in certain situations with limited external dimensions, the applications of existing power ultrasound devices are limited. In nature, leaf-cutting ants excite vibrations through their tiny organs. Inspired by the vibratory organs of leaf-cutting ants, a new type of biomimetic ultrasonic vibrator (BUV) comprising a scraper, dentate disc, and fixture system was proposed, fabricated, and tested in this study. The experimental results showed that the BUV could operate in the frequency range of 16.8-19 kHz. Within the working frequency range, the vibration of the BUV was stable and the amplitude of the vibration displacement was greater than 22 µm. The operating frequency band of the BUV was broader than those of the piezoelectric and magnetostrictive ultrasonic transducers. In addition, the BUV can cut soft rubber and pig tissues with sufficient output power and load-carrying capacity. The BUV, as a new type of power ultrasonic excitation device, is expected to be applied in high-power micro operating scenarios, such as minimally invasive surgical instruments.

Evaluation of land resources carrying capacity based on entropy weight and cloud similarity.

Land is the foundation of human life and development, which is also the most important part of a country. The study of land carrying capacity is one of the important contents of land management, wherein the evaluation of land resource carrying capacity (LRCC) is an important reference for land resource planning. Aiming at the information fuzziness and uncertainty in the evaluation of LRCC, firstly, a comprehensive evaluation model based on entropy weight and normal cloud similarity was proposed, which is based on cloud model theory and combined with normal cloud similarity measurement method and entropy weight method. Secondly, taking the asphalt pavement experiment as an example for empirical analysis, the experimental results are consistent with the actual situation, which proves the feasibility and effectiveness of the proposed model. Finally, taking China's Chongqing city as the research area, the proposed evaluation model is used to study LRCC. The research results indicate that the comprehensive carrying capacity and average carrying capacity of various systems in China's Chongqing have been improved in the past decade. Among them, the comprehensive carrying capacity rose from the second level during the "12th Five-Year Plan" period to the third level during the "13th Five-Year Plan" period. In the future, it is necessary to focus on the improvement of soil and water resources system and economic and technological system. This conclusion reflects LRCC of Chongqing in China objectively and has a reference value for Chongqing's land planning.

How many people can the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau hold, and how large cities can be built in recent hundred years?

The Qinghai-Tibet Plateau (QTP) serves as a vital barrier for both national security and ecological preservation. Overpopulation and urban sprawl pose threats to its ecological security, while underpopulation and small urban cities also undermine national security. Hence, optimizing population distribution and urban development on the QTP is crucial for bolstering the national security perimeter and ensuring basic modernisation across China. Nonetheless, understanding the population carrying capacity (CC) of the QTP and how large cities can safeguard both national security and ecological stability remains limited. To address this research gap, we utilised various model algorithms and methodologies to assess the population CC and urban scale of the QTP from seven different perspectives. The results indicate that the permanent population CC of the QTP in 2050 will be 26.2 million people, with an urbanisation level of 57.25 %, thereby allowing 15 million people to enter cities. Thus, the QTP can add 13.07 million people to its permanent population in the future, with a newly added urban population of 8.75 million, increasing the urbanisation level by 9.67 %. The future permanent population will mainly be distributed in the Xining, Lhasa, and Qaidam metropolitan areas. Combined, the permanent and urban populations will account for 38.54 % and 49.84 % of the QTP, respectively. Moreover, these populations will be moderately dispersed in 11 important node cities and more widely dispersed in key border towns. These findings provide a scientific basis for the sustainable development and high-quality urbanisation of the QTP, which have important implications for achieving sustainable development goals, offering crucial references for governments to formulate resource management policies and achieve sustainable resource utilisation.

Monitoring and influencing factors of grassland livestock overload in Xinjiang from 1982 to 2020.

It is crucial to estimate the theoretical carrying capacity of grasslands in Xinjiang to attain a harmonious balance between grassland and livestock, thereby fostering sustainable development in the livestock industry. However, there has been a lack of quantitative assessments that consider long-term, multi-scale grass-livestock balance and its impacts in the region. This study utilized remote sensing and empirical models to assess the theoretical livestock carrying capacity of grasslands. The multi-scale spatiotemporal variations of the theoretical carrying capacity in Xinjiang from 1982 to 2020 were analyzed using the Sen and Mann-Kendall tests, as well as the Hurst index. The study also examined the county-level grass-livestock balance and inter-annual trends. Additionally, the study employed the geographic detector method to explore the influencing factors. The results showed that: (1) The overall theoretical livestock carrying capacity showed an upward trend from 1982 to 2020; The spatial distribution gradually decreased from north to south and from east to west. In seasonal scale from large to small is: growing season > summer > spring > autumn > winter; at the monthly scale, the strongest livestock carrying capacity is in July. The different grassland types from largest to smallest are: meadow > alpine subalpine meadow > plain steppe > desert steppe > alpine subalpine steppe. In the future, the theoretical livestock carrying capacity of grassland will decrease. (2) From 1988 to 2020, the average grass-livestock balance index in Xinjiang was 2.61%, showing an overall increase. At the county level, the number of overloaded counties showed an overall increasing trend, rising from 46 in 1988 to 58 in 2020. (3) Both single and interaction factors of geographic detectors showed that annual precipitation, altitude and soil organic matter were the main drivers of spatiotemporal dynamics of grassland load in Xinjiang. The results of this study can provide scientific guidance and decision-making basis for achieving coordinated and sustainable development of grassland resources and animal husbandry in the region.

Space-specific flux estimation of atmospheric chemicals from point sources to soil.

Predicting chemical flux to soil from industrial point sources accurately at a regional scale has been a significant challenge due to high uncertainty in spatial heterogeneity and quantification. To address this challenge, we developed an innovative approach by combining California Air Resources Board Puff (CALPUFF) and mass balance models, leveraging their complementary strengths in quantitative accuracy and spatial precision. Specifically, CALPUFF was used to predict the polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) flux to soil due to industrial sources. Additionally, the spatial distribution coefficient of PAHs flux (e.g., si for spatial unit i) was calculated by neural network and combined with the mass balance model to obtain the results of total PAHs fluxes, which were then combined with the results predicted by CALPUFF to effectively estimate the contribution of industrial sources to soil PAHs flux. Taking a petrochemical industry region located in Zhejiang province, China as a case study, results showed the input Phenanthrene (Phe) and Benzo(a)pyrene (BaP) fluxes predicted by CALPUFF were generally lower than those by the mass balance model, with slightly different distribution patterns. CALPUFF results, based on 36 industrial sources, partially represent those of the mass balance model, which includes all sources and pathways. It was suggested that industrial sources contributed 49%-89% and 65%-100% of soil Phe and BaP, respectively across the study area. The average Phe flux from point sources by deposition averaged 2.68 mg m-2∙a-1 in 2021, accounting for approximately 60% of the total Phe flux to soil. The average BaP flux from point sources by deposition averaged 0.0755 mg m-2∙a-1, accounting for only 0.1%-3.65% of the total BaP flux to soil. Thereby, our approach fills up a gap between the relevance to point sources and the accuracy of deposition quantification in estimating chemical flux from specific point sources to soil at a regional scale.

Channel-forming discharge based on the extreme value identification of sediment-carrying capacity index.

Channel-forming discharge (Dcf) is an important parameter in river management and reservoir flood regulation. Applying the methods for calculating Dcf to reaches downstream reservoirs characterized by drastic changes in water and sediment conditions and long-term scouring status is difficult. Based on the riverbed-shaping principle of sediment-laden water flow, while simultaneously considering the active action of water flow and response of the riverbed, this study proposes a new method for calculating Dcf by identifying the extreme value of the suspended sediment-carrying capacity index. The application of this method to the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River showed that after the impoundment of the Three Gorges Reservoir, Dcf in this section was reduced by an amplitude between 2500 and 4700 m3/s. The results can be used to guide the operation of the Three Gorges Reservoir and the management of the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River, thus providing reference for other river channels downstream of the reservoir.

Effect of exercise intensity and apnea on splenic contraction and hemoglobin increase in well-trained cross-country skiers.

The human spleen acts as a reservoir for red blood cells, which is mobilized into the systemic circulation during various conditions such as hypoxia and physical exertion. Cross-country (XC) skiers, renowned for their exceptional aerobic capacity, are regularly exposed to high-intensity exercise and local oxygen deficits. We investigated a putative dose-dependent relationship between splenic contraction and concomitant hemoglobin concentration ([Hb]) elevation across four exercise intensities in well-trained XC skiers. Fourteen male XC skiers voluntarily participated in a 2-day protocol, encompassing a serial apnea test and a V ˙ O2max test (day 1), followed by three submaximal exercise intensities on a roller skiing treadmill corresponding to 55, 70, and 85% of V ˙ O2max (day 2). Spleen volume was measured via ultrasonic imaging, and venous blood samples were used to determine [Hb] levels. Baseline spleen volume was similar (266(35) mL) for all conditions (NS). Notably, all conditions induced significant splenic contractions and transient [Hb] elevations. The V ˙ O2max test exhibited the most pronounced splenic contraction (35.8%, p < 0.001) and a [Hb] increase of 8.1%, while the 85% exercise intensity led to 27.1% contraction and the greatest [Hb] increase (8.3%, < 0.001) compared to baseline. The apnea test induced relatively smaller responses (splenic contraction: 20.4%, [Hb] = 3.3%, p < 0.001), akin to the response observed at the 70% exercise intensity (splenic contraction = 23%, [Hb] = 6.4%, p < 0,001) and 55% (splenic contraction = 20.0%, [Hb] = 4.8%, p < 0.001). This study shows a discernible dose-dependent relationship between splenic contraction and [Hb] increase with levels of exercise, effectively distinguishing between submaximal and maximal exercise intensity.

Honeybee colonies carrying capacity determination in north-east dry land areas of Amhara region, Ethiopia.

The objective of the study was to examine the dynamics and sugar content of nectar of major bee flora species and to determine an approximate honeybee colony carrying capacity in northeast dry land areas of the Amhara region. Acacia asak, Acacia etbaica, Acacia tortolis, Becium grandiflorum, and Cordia africana honeybee floral species were selected on the basis of relative dominance in the area. Floral nectar was collected through micropipette and washing techniques based on the flower nature of the species and nectar sugar was measured by refractometer. Hence, A.asak, A.etbaica, A.tortolis, B.grandiflorum, and C.africana could have been estimated to produce 10.2 ± 6.4 mg, 5.3 ± 4.6 mg, and 2.6±1 mg. 4, 3.7 ± 2.1 mg, and 5.7 ± 3.2mg/flower head of nectar sugar, respectively. In a single tree of A.etbaica, A.asak, A.tortolis, B.grandiflorum, and C.africana a mean of 0.15 kg, 0.15 kg, 0.06 kg, 0.01 kg, and 0.03 kg of honey yield was expected to produce respectively. Similarly in a hectare of land, a mean of 49.9 kg, 128.9 kg, 5.6 kg, 5.5 kg, and 2.2 kg of honey was estimated to harvest. In a hectare of land a sum of 57.5 kg, 57.5 kg, and 128.9 kg of honey in highland, midland, and lowland locations, respectively was estimated to produce during the main harvesting season of the area. The mean number of honeybee colonies introduced in the lowland have estimated to be 18 traditional, 6 transitional, and 5 modern hives, and in the highland 12 traditional, 6 transitional, and 5 modern hives whereas in the midland 8 traditional, 5 transitional, 3 modern hives. In summary, even in the study area with limited rainfall and high temperatures, these species secreted a substantial amount of nectar sugar and supporting the enhancement of honey yield.

The effect of chronic habitual exercise on oxygen carrying capacity and blood compartment volumes in older adults.

Absolute total hemoglobin mass (tHbmass) and blood compartment volumes are often considered to be higher in endurance athletes compared with nonathletes, yet little data support a fitness effect in older age. Therefore, we measured tHbmass and blood compartment volumes (carbon monoxide rebreathing) in 77 healthy individuals (23% female; aged, 60-87 yr). Participants were recruited into groups based upon their lifelong (>25 yr) exercise "dose": 1) 15 sedentary individuals, <2 sessions/wk; 2) 25 casual exercisers, 2-3 sessions/wk; 3) 24 committed exercisers, 4-5 sessions/wk; and 4) 13 competitive Masters athletes, 6-7 sessions/wk, plus regular competitions. Absolute (L/min) and relative (mL/kg/min) V̇o2peak were higher with increasing exercise "dose" (P = 0.0005 and P < 0.0001, respectively). Hemoglobin concentration, hematocrit, and absolute tHbmass and blood compartment volumes were not significantly different between groups (all, P > 0.1328). When scaled to body mass, tHbmass (Sedentary, 9.2 ± 1.7 mL/kg; Casual, 9.2 ± 1.3; Committed, 10.2 ± 1.4; Competitive, 11.5 ± 1.4, ANOVA P < 0.0001) and blood volume were significantly different between groups [Sedentary, 63.4 (59.2-68.5) mL/kg; Casual, 67.3 (64.4-72.6); Committed, 73.5 (67.5-80.2); Competitive, 83.4 (78.9-88.6), ANOVA P < 0.0001], whereby all values were highest in Masters athletes. However, when scaled to fat-free mass (FFM), tHbmass and blood compartment volumes were greater in Competitive compared with Casual exercisers (all, P < 0.0340) and tHbmass and erythrocyte volume were also higher in Committed compared with Casual exercisers (both, P < 0.0134). In conclusion, absolute tHbmass and blood compartment volumes are not different between groups, with dose-dependent differences only among exercisers when scaled for FFM, with the highest tHbmass and blood compartment volumes in competitive Masters athletes.NEW & NOTEWORTHY We observed that absolute oxygen carrying capacity (total hemoglobin mass, tHbmass) and blood compartment volumes were not associated with lifelong exercise dose. However, hematological adaptations associated with lifelong habitual exercise are only present among exercisers, whereby competitive Masters athletes have a greater oxygen carrying capacity (tHbmass) and expanded blood compartment volumes when scaled to fat-free mass.

Analysis of sustainable water resource management and driving mechanism in arid region: a case study of Xinjiang, China, from 2005 to 2020.

The long-term dynamic comprehensive evaluation of the water resource carrying capacity (WRCC) and the analysis of its potential driving mechanism in arid areas are contemporary research issues and technical means of mitigating and coordinating the conflict between severe resource shortages and human needs. The purpose of this study was to explore the distribution of the WRCC and the spatiotemporal heterogeneity of drivers in arid areas based on an improved two-dimensional spatiotemporal dynamic evaluation model. The results show that (1) the spatial distribution of the WRCC in Xinjiang, China, is high in the north, low in the south, high in the west, and low in the east. (2) From 2005 to 2020, the centers of gravity of the WRCC in northern and southern Xinjiang moved to the southeast and west, respectively, and the spatial distribution exhibited slight diffusion. (3) The factors influencing the WRCC exhibit more obvious spatial and temporal heterogeneity. The domestic waste disposal rate and ecological water use rate were the main factors influencing the WRCC in the early stage, while the GDP per capita gradually played a dominant role in the later stage. (4) In the next 30 years, the WRCC in Xinjiang will increase. The results provide a theoretical reference for the sustainable development of water resources in arid areas.

Forecasting and advancing water carrying capacity in Henan Province in China: Application of 'four determinations with water' in AHP and SD modeling.

Water resources carrying capacity (WRCC) is indispensable for sustainable development, acting as a crucial determinant for harmonizing ecological preservation with socio-economic advancement. This research delineates an advanced evaluation index system for WRCC, focusing on Henan Province, China, a region straddling the Yangtze, Huaihe, Yellow, and Haihe river basins. Leveraging the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) with a system dynamics (SD) model, our analysis dissects the nonlinear interplays among demographic expansion, economic activities, land use patterns, water resources, and water environment. We introduce a novel integration of the "Four Determinations with Water" principle with sustainable development tenets, thereby sculpting six exploratory scenarios that chart Henan's potential paths from 2022 to 2035. Through these scenarios, we forecast and scrutinize the evolution of population dynamics, GDP, water supply, and sewage discharge volumes, employing rigorous quantitative analyses for a holistic evaluation. The results show that: WRCC in Henan Province becomes larger gradually, and, in Scenario 6, the WRCC indicator is the largest (0.643 in 2035) and the prediction effect is the best, while in Scenario 1, the WRCC indicator is the smallest (0.472 in 2035) and the prediction effect is the worst. Based on the prediction results, suggestions were made to adjust the industrial structure and strengthen the awareness of water conservation to improve the regional water resources carrying capacity.