Regional molecular epidemiology of dengue and the potential optimization of its control through the use of vaccines. Report of the Arbovirus Committee of the Latin American Society of Pediatric Infectious Diseases, SLIPE.

INTRODUCTION: Dengue disease represents a large and growing global threat to public health, accounting for a significant burden to health systems of endemic countries. The World Health Organization's (WHO) Strategic Advisory Group of Experts (SAGE) and the European Medicines Agency (EMA) currently recommend the use of TAK-003 dengue vaccine in high dengue burden and transmission settings for countries considering vaccination as part of their integrated management strategy for prevention and control of Dengue. AREAS COVERED: This paper describes the main conclusions of a workshop held by the Arbovirus Committee of the Latin American Society of Pediatric Infectious Diseases (SLIPE) in November 2023, to generate consensus recommendations on the introduction of this new vaccine in the region. Considerations were made regarding the molecular epidemiology of dengue infection in the Americas and the need for more precise phylogenetic classification and correlation with clinical outcome and disease severity. EXPERT OPINION: Introduction of dengue vaccine should be considered as an strategy for health entities in the region, with participation of social sectors, scientific societies, and ministries of health that could be able to create a successful vaccination program.

Epidemiologia espacial e a detecção de aglomerados espaciais do dengue na Paraíba: uma comparação entre os métodos Scan flexível e Scan circular / Spatial epidemiology and the detection of spatial clusters of dengue in Paraíba: a comparison between the flexible Scan and circular Scan methods

Resumo Introdução Estatísticas espaciais são usadas para auxiliar gestores de saúde na tomada de decisão, informando a taxa de ocorrência de agravos na população e destacando quando estas alcançam valores além do esperado. Objetivo Compreender o funcionamento e aplicabilidade das Estatísticas Espaciais Scan flexível e Scan circular, comparando seus resultados na detecção de aglomerados espaciais usando dados epidemiológicos reais do dengue no estado da Paraíba - Brasil. Método Descreveu-se o processo detalhado da aplicação das estatísticas Scan flexível e Scan circular para a detecção de áreas significativas de risco (aglomerados) do dengue na Paraíba, nos anos de 2009 a 20013, por meio dos software FLeXScan e SaTScan. Resultados Ambos os métodos revelaram o oeste do estado como a região com maior frequência de aglomerados detectados com alto risco, em todos os anos analisados, levando-se em consideração os mapas de risco de incidência do dengue na Paraíba, nos anos de 2009 a 2013. Conclusão As estatísticas Scan flexível e Scan circular são praticamente similares quanto à eficiência na detecção de aglomerados do dengue. Entretanto, verificaram-se problemas de superestimação no método Scan circular e subestimação no método Scan flexível na detecção dos aglomerados. Destacou-se ainda o auxílio destas estatísticas espaciais aos gestores de saúde quanto à localização das regiões de agravo da doença, tornando mais efetivo o direcionamento das ações de combate de forma politicamente correta.

Abstract Background Spatial statistics are used to help health managers make decisions, informing the rate of occurrence of diseases in the population and highlighting when they reach values beyond expectations. Objective To understand the functioning and applicability of Spatial Statistics Flexible Scan and Circular Scan by comparing their results in the detection of spatial clusters using real epidemiological data of dengue in the state of Paraíba - Brazil. Method The detailed process for applying the flexible scan and circular scan statistics for detecting significant dengue risk areas (clusters) in Paraíba, between 2009 and 20013, was described using the software FLeXScan and SaTScan. Results Both methods showed the highest frequency of clusters detected at high risk in the western region of the state, in all the years analyzed, considering the risk maps of dengue incidence in Paraíba, between 2009 and 2013. Conclusion The flexible scan and circular scan statistics are practically similar in terms of efficiency in detecting clusters of dengue. However, there were problems of overestimation in the circular Scan method and underestimation in the flexible Scan method in the detection of clusters. It is also worth highlighting that these spatial statistics help health managers locate the regions of disease aggravation, making it more effective to direct combat actions in a politically correct manner.