Relationships among soil moisture at various depths under diverse climate, land cover and soil texture.

Soil moisture is an important component of the hydrological cycle and a key mediator between land surface and atmospheric interactions. Although substantial progress has been made in remote sensing of soil moisture at different spatial scales, the shallow penetration depth of remote sensors greatly limits their utility for applications in meteorological modelling and hydrological studies where the critical variable of interest is the root-zone soil moisture content. Therefore, this study assesses the relationship between soil moisture at the surface (10 cm) and in lower soil layers (20, 40, 60, 80, 100, and 120 cm) under varying climates, soils, and crop types. Cross-correlation analysis is applied to daily in-situ soil moisture measurements from 4712 locations in agricultural lands across the contiguous United States. Our analysis demonstrates that zero-day lag always produced the highest correlation between 10 cm soil moisture and soil moisture in the lower layers. In addition, a positive and strong relationship between 10 and 20 cm soil moisture (r = 0.84) was observed, while the relationships between 10 and 40 cm soil moisture were moderate (r = 0.52). The decline in cross-correlation continued to the deeper soil layers, which indicated that, on a daily timescale, the surface soil moisture gradually becomes decoupled with soil moisture at greater depths. Therefore, our research suggests that the estimation of soil moisture in the soil layers up to 40 cm based on surface soil moisture is most promising. However, the influence of climate, crop type, and soil texture on the strength of relationships between surface and lower layers makes the prediction difficult. The comparatively weak relationship between precipitation and soil moisture (0.09-0.32), as well as the relationship between reference evapotranspiration (ETo) and soil moisture (-0.19-0.18), in this study can be attributed to scale mismatching from different data sources.

Estimation of irrigated crop artificial irrigation evapotranspiration in China.

Agriculture water use accounts for 70% of the total water withdrawal worldwide. The evapotranspiration during crop growth is one of the important hydrological processes in the agricultural water cycle. This study proposed the concept of artificial irrigation evapotranspiration of irrigated crops to describe that the evapotranspiration caused by irrigation water use. Irrigated crops rely on two kinds of water sources: precipitation and irrigation water. With the construction of irrigation schemes, the artificial irrigation evapotranspiration plays an increasingly important role in the dualistic water cycle system of irrigated cropland. To reveal the amount of artificial irrigation evapotranspiration of 17 categories of irrigated crops in China, this study proposed a new quantitative model system which was established based on traditional evapotranspiration models and soil water balance models. Based on the new model system, we calculated the annual artificial irrigation evapotranspiration of irrigated crops for the period 2013 to 2017 in China. The results showed that the proportion of artificial irrigation evapotranspiration to the total evapotranspiration of irrigated crops was 41.3%, whose value was 228.1 km3 a-1. The artificial irrigation evapotranspiration in different agricultural water management regions were 90.0 km3 a-1 in the northeast region, 86.0 km3 a-1 in the southeast region, and relatively low 52.2 km3a-1 in the west region. The results of this study can provide methods for water management and policy-making in agricultural irrigated areas, and it can also provide a preliminary understanding of the influence of human activities on the dualistic water cycle in cropland.

Assessing the cooling potential of climate change adaptation measures in rural areas.

Atmospheric heat has become a major public concern in a rapidly warming world. Evapotranspiration, however, provides effective land surface cooling during the vegetation period. Adversely, modern cultural landscapes - due to both water and potential evapotranspiration pathways lacking - are increasingly incapable of offering this important benefit. We hypothesised that concerted measures for a revived landscape water retention can fuel plant transpiration, especially during dry periods, and thus contribute to climate change adaptation by stabilising the regional climate. Seeking nature-based ways to an improved landscape water retention, we used the land surface temperature (LST) as a proxy for landscape mesoclimate. For our drought-prone rural study area, we identified potential candidate environmental predictors for which we established statistical relationships to LST. We then, from a set of potential climate change adaptation measures, mapped selected items to potential locations of implementation. Building on that, we evaluated a certain measures' probable cooling effect using (i) the fitted model and (ii) the expected expression of predictors before and after a hypothetical measure implementation. In the modelling, we took into account the spatial and temporal autocorrelation of the LST data and thus achieved realistic parameter estimates. Using the candidate predictor set and the model, we were able to establish a ranking of the effectiveness of climate adaptation measures. However, due to the spatial variability of the predictors, the modelled LST is site-specific. This results in a spatial differentiation of a measure's benefit. Furthermore, seasonal variations occur, such as those caused by plant growth. On average, the afforestation of arable land or urban brownfields, and the rewetting of former wet meadows have the largest cooling capacities of up to 3.5 K. We conclude that heat countermeasures based on fostering both evapotranspiration and landscape water retention, even in rural regions, offer promising adaptation ways to atmospheric warming.

Research on methods for estimating reference crop evapotranspiration under incomplete meteorological indicators.

Background: Accurate estimation of reference crop evapotranspiration (ET0) is crucial for farmland hydrology, crop water requirements, and precision irrigation decisions. The Penman-Monteith (PM) model has high accuracy in estimating ET0, but it requires many uncommon meteorological data inputs. Therefore, an ideal method is needed that minimizes the number of input data variables without compromising estimation accuracy. This study aims to analyze the performance of various methods for estimating ET0 in the absence of some meteorological indicators. The Penman-Monteith (PM) model, known for its high accuracy in ET0 estimation, served as the standard value under conditions of adequate meteorological indicators. Comparative analyses were conducted for the Priestley-Taylor (PT), Hargreaves (H-A), McCloud (M-C), and FAO-24 Radiation (F-R) models. The Bayesian estimation method was used to improve the ET estimation model. Results: Results indicate that, compared to the PM model, the F-R model performed best with inadequate meteorological indicators. It demonstrates higher average correlation coefficients (R2) at daily, monthly, and 10-day scales: 0.841, 0.937, and 0.914, respectively. The corresponding root mean square errors (RMSE) are 1.745, 1.329, and 1.423, and mean absolute errors (MAE) are 1.340, 1.159, and 1.196, with Willmott's Index (WI) values of 0.843, 0.862, and 0.859. Following Bayesian correction, R2 values remained unchanged, but significant reductions in RMSE were observed, with average reductions of 15.81%, 29.51%, and 24.66% at daily, monthly, and 10-day scales, respectively. Likewise, MAE decreased significantly, with average reductions of 19.04%, 34.47%, and 28.52%, respectively, and WI showed improvement, with average increases of 5.49%, 8.48%, and 10.78%, respectively. Conclusion: Therefore, the F-R model, enhanced by the Bayesian estimation method, significantly enhances the estimation accuracy of ET0 in the absence of some meteorological indicators.

Improved remote sensing reference evapotranspiration estimation using simple satellite data and machine learning.

Reference evapotranspiration (ET0) estimation is crucial for efficient irrigation planning, optimized water management and ecosystem modeling, yet it presents significant challenges, particularly when meteorological data availability is limited. This study utilized remote sensing data of land surface temperature (LST), day of year, and latitude, and employed a machine learning approach (i.e., random forest) to develop an improved remote sensing ET0 model. The model performed excellently in 567 meteorological stations in China with an R2 of 0.97, RMSE of 0.40, MBE of 0.00, and MAPE of 0.11 compared to the FAO-PM ET0; it also performed well globally, yielding an average R2 of 0.97 and RMSE of 0.43 across 120 sites in mid-latitude (20°-50°) regions. This model demonstrates simplicity, accuracy, robust and generalization, holding great potential for widespread application, especially in the large-scale, high-resolution estimation of ET0. This study will contribute to advancements in water resources management, agricultural planning, and climate change studies.

Estimation of reference evapotranspiration using some class-A pan evaporimeter pan coefficient estimation models in Mediterranean-Southeastern Anatolian transitional zone conditions of Turkey.

Background: Reference evapotranspiration (ETo), which is used as the basic data in many studies within the scope of hydrology, meteorology, irrigation and soil sciences, can be estimated by using the evaporation (Epan) measured from the class-A pan evaporimeter. However, this method requires reliable pan coefficients (Kp). Many empirical models are used to estimate Kp coefficients. The reliability of these models varies depending on climatic and environmental conditions. Therefore, they need to be tested in the local conditions where they will be used. In this study, conducted in Kahramanmaras, which has a semi-arid Mediterranean climate in Turkey during the July-October periods of 2020 and 2021, aimed to determine the usability levels of six Kp models in estimating daily and monthly average ETo. Methods: The Kp coefficients estimated by the models were multiplied with the daily Epan values, and the daily average ETo values were estimated on the basis of the model. The daily Epan values were measured using an ultrasonic sensor sensitive to the water surface placed on the class-A pan evaporimeter. The ultrasonic sensor was managed by a programmable logic controller (PLC). To enable the sensor to be managed by PLC, a software was prepared using the CODESYS programming language and uploaded to the PLC. The daily average ETo values determined by the FAO-56 Penman-Monteith equation were accepted as actual values. The ETo values estimated by the Kp models were compared with the actual ETo values using the mean absolute error (MAE), mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), root mean square error (RMSE) and determination coefficient (R2) statistical approaches. Results: The Wahed & Snyder outperformed the other models in estimating daily (MAE = 0.78 mm day-1, MAPE = 14.40%, RMSE = 0.97 mm day-1, R2 = 0.82) and monthly (MAE = 0.32 mm day-1, MAPE = 5.88%, RMSE = 0.32 mm day-1, R2 = 0.99) average ETo. FAO-56 showed the nearest performance to Wahed & Snyder. The Snyder model presented the worst performance in estimating daily (MAE = 2.09 mm day-1, MAPE = 37.53%, RMSE = 2.36 mm day-1, R2 = 0.82) and monthly (MAE = 1.83 mm day-1, MAPE = 31.82%, RMSE = 1.87 mm day-1, R2 = 0.99) average ETo. It has been concluded that none of the six Kp models can be used to estimate the daily ETo in Kahramanmaras located in the Mediterranean-Southeastern Anatolian transitional zone, and only Wahed & Snyder and FAO-56 can be used to estimate the monthly ETo without calibration.

Variations in water use efficiency and carbon and nitrogen concentrations in red heart Chinese fir.

Temperature can significantly (P < 0.05) affect plant growth by modifying water use strategies, which are determined by intrinsic water use efficiency (WUEi). Red Heart Chinese Fir (Cunninghamia lanceolata) is one of the most important ecological and economic plantation species in China. However, the C. lanceolata water use strategy in response to increased temperatures and uneven temporal distribution of precipitation during the growing season is rarely reported. In a 7-year-old C. lanceolata plantation, differences in WUEi and C and N concentrations in different organs were analysed by anova, and the δ13C stable isotope, C, and N concentrations in stems determined at different tree heights. Stepwise regression and variance inflation factor were used to remove autocorrelated factors, and structural equation modelling was then used to explore relationships between WUEi and climate and biological factors. WUEi differed significantly between leaf and branch at different standardized precipitation evapotranspiration indices (SPEI). WUEi and N concentration decreased with age. The highest WUEi in branches and leaves were 92.7 and 88.4 µmol·mol-1 in 2020 (SPEI = 0.00), respectively. δ13C increased with relative tree height but N concentration and C/N ratio were not affected. Air temperatures has increased in between 2014 and 2020. WUEi and N concentration decreased with increasing branch and leaf age, but C concentration increased. SPEI significantly positively affected WUEi (P < 0.05), and WUEi was significantly negatively related to C concentration, which is consistent with the trade-off between C and water.

Persulfate photolysis and limited irrigation of recycled wastewater for turfgrass growth: Accumulation of pharmaceutical and personal care products and physiological responses.

Recycled wastewater effluent irrigation and implementing limited irrigation rates are two promising strategies for water conservation in agriculture. However, one major challenge is the accumulation and translocation of Pharmaceutical and Personal Care Products (PPCPs) from recycled water to crops. This study investigated the effects of UV persulfate (UV/PS) treatment of recycled water and limited irrigation rate on PPCPs accumulation and physiological responses of St. Augustine turfgrass via a 14-week field trial. Carbamazepine (CBZ), sulfamethoxazole (SMX), triclosan (TCS), fluoxetine (FLX) and diclofenac (DCF) were spiked at 0.1-1.5 µg/L into recycled water and two limited irrigation rates corresponding to 60 % and 80 % of reference Evapotranspiration (ETo) were applied. Results showed that UV/PS removed 60 % of CBZ and > 99 % of other PPCPs from recycled water. Irrigation with UV/PS treated recycled water resulted in approximately a 60 % reduction in CBZ accumulation and complete removal of SMX, DCF, FLX and TCS in both turfgrass leaves and roots. A more limited irrigation rate at 60 % ETo resulted in a higher accumulation of CBZ accumulation compared to 80 % ETo. Similarly, the canopy temperature increased under 60 % ETo irrigation rate compared to 80 % ETo, suggesting that turfgrass under 60 % ETo was more prone to water stress. Applying a 60 % ETo irrigation rate was not sufficient to maintain the turfgrass quality in the acceptable range. A negative correlation between the visual quality and cumulative mass of PPCPs in turfgrass leaves at different irrigation rates was observed, yet irrigation rate was the major driver of turfgrass overall quality and health. Insights from this study will help to integrate recycled water with treatment and limited irrigation, thereby enhancing agricultural water reuse practices.

Lanthanum interferes with the fundamental rhythms of stomatal opening, expression of related genes, and evapotranspiration in Arabidopsis thaliana.

The accumulation of rare earth elements (REEs) in the global environment poses a threat to plant health and ecosystem stability. Stomata located on leaves serve as the primary site for plant responses to REE-related threats. This study focused on lanthanum [La(III)], a prevalent REE in the atmospheric environment. Using interdisciplinary techniques, it was found that La(III) (≤80 µM) interfered with the fundamental rhythms of stomatal opening, related gene expression, and evapotranspiration in plants. Specifically, when exposed to low concentrations of La(III) (15 and 30 µM), the expression levels of six genes were increased, stomatal opening was enhanced, and the evapotranspiration rate was accelerated. The interference on stomatal rhythms was enhanced with higher concentrations of La(III) (60 and 80 µM), increasing the expression levels of six genes, stomatal opening, and evapotranspiration rate. To counter the interference of low concentrations of La(III) (15 and 30 µM), plants accelerated nutrient replenishment through La(III)-induced endocytosis, which the redundant nutrients enhanced photosynthesis. However, replenished nutrients failed to counter the disruption of plant biological rhythms at higher concentrations of La(III) (60 and 80 µM), thus inhibiting photosynthesis due to nutrient deficit. The interference of La(III) on these biological rhythms negatively affected plant health and ecosystem stability.

Comparative assessment of deep belief network and hybrid adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system model based on a meta-heuristic optimization algorithm for precise predictions of the potential evapotranspiration.

Accurately predicting potential evapotranspiration (PET) is crucial in water resource management, agricultural planning, and climate change studies. This research aims to investigate the performance of two machine learning methods, the adaptive network-based fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) and the deep belief network (DBN), in forecasting PET, as well as to explore the potential of hybridizing the ANFIS approach with the Snake Optimizer (ANFIS-SO) algorithm. The study utilized a comprehensive dataset spanning the period from 1983 to 2020. The ANFIS, ANFIS-SO, and DBN models were developed, and their performances were evaluated using statistical metrics, including R2, R adj 2 , NSE, WI, STD, and RMSE. The results showcase the exceptional performance of the DBN model, which achieved R2 and R adj 2 values of 0.99 and NSE and WI scores of 0.99 across the nine stations analyzed. In contrast, the standard ANFIS method exhibited relatively weaker performance, with R2 and R adj 2 values ranging from 0.52 to 0.88. However, the ANFIS-SO approach demonstrated a substantial improvement, with R2 and R adj 2 values ranging from 0.94 to 0.99, suggesting the value of optimization techniques in enhancing the model's capabilities. The Taylor diagram and violin plots with box plots further corroborated the comparative analysis, highlighting the DBN model's superior ability to closely match the observed standard deviation and correlation and its consistent and low-variance predictions. The ANFIS-SO method also exhibited enhanced performance in these visual representations, with an RMSE of 0.86, compared to 0.95 for the standard ANFIS. The insights gained from this study can inform the selection of the most appropriate modeling technique, whether it be the high-precision DBN, the flexible ANFIS, or the optimized ANFIS-SO approach, based on the specific requirements and constraints of the application.

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We quantified the lag time of vegetation response to drought in the Pearl River basin (PRB) based on the standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index (SPEI) and normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), and constructed a vegetation loss probability model under drought stress based on the Bayesian theory and two-dimensional joint distribution. We further quantitatively evaluated the spatial variations of loss probability of four vegetation types (evergreen broadleaf forest, mixed forest, grassland, and cropland) under different drought intensities. The results showed that the drought risk in eastern West River, the upper reaches of North River and East River, and southern Pearl River Delta was obviously higher than that in other regions during 1982-2020. The response time of vegetation to drought in high-altitude areas in the upper reaches of PRB (mostly<3 month) was generally shorter than that in low altitude areas (>8 month). Drought exacerbated the probability of vegetation loss, with higher vulnerability of mixed forest than the other three vegetation types. The loss probability of vegetation was lower in northwestern PRB than that in central PRB.

EvatCrop: a novel hybrid quasi-fuzzy artificial neural network (ANN) model for estimation of reference evapotranspiration.

Reference evapotranspiration (ET0 ) is a significant parameter for efficient irrigation scheduling and groundwater conservation. Different machine learning models have been designed for ET0 estimation for specific combinations of available meteorological parameters. However, no single model has been suggested so far that can handle diverse combinations of available meteorological parameters for the estimation of ET0. This article suggests a novel architecture of an improved hybrid quasi-fuzzy artificial neural network (ANN) model (EvatCrop) for this purpose. EvatCrop yielded superior results when compared with the other three popular models, decision trees, artificial neural networks, and adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference systems, irrespective of study locations and the combinations of input parameters. For real-field case studies, it was applied in the groundwater-stressed area of the Terai agro-climatic region of North Bengal, India, and trained and tested with the daily meteorological data available from the National Centres for Environmental Prediction from 2000 to 2014. The precision of the model was compared with the standard Penman-Monteith model (FAO56PM). Empirical results depicted that the model performances remarkably varied under different data-limited situations. When the complete set of input parameters was available, EvatCrop resulted in the best values of coefficient of determination (R2 = 0.988), degree of agreement (d = 0.997), root mean square error (RMSE = 0.183), and root mean square relative error (RMSRE = 0.034).

Tomato yield, and water use efficiency as affected by nitrogen rate and irrigation regime in the central low lands of Ethiopia.

Tomato yield can be increased by the application of optimum water and fertilizer. A field experiment was conducted in Efratana Gidim district, North Shewa, Amhara, Ethiopia, during 2019 and 2020. The objective was to determine the nitrogen (N) rate and irrigation regime for optimum tomato yield and water use efficiency (WUE). The experiment consisted of three-irrigation regimes (75% ETc (Evapotranspiration from the crop), 100% ETc, and 125% ETc) and four nitrogen (N) rates (control; i.e. without N application1, 46 kg N ha-1, 92 kg N ha-1, and 138 kg N ha-1). The treatments were laid out in a split-plot design with four replications. The Irrigation regime were assigned to the main plot, while the N rate were assigned to the subplot. Data on growth, yield, and yield-related traits of tomatoes, include; plant height, number of fruit clusters per plant, fruit length, fruit diameter, number of marketable fruits, number of un-marketable fruits, the total number of fruits, marketable fruit yield, un-marketable fruit yield, total yield were collected. The data were subjected to analysis of variance using R studio. The results indicated that the experimental site had low total N content, and the application of N fertilizer significantly improved tomato yield. Increasing irrigation depth also significantly increased tomato yield. The result indicated that the highest mean marketable fruit yield (35,903 kg ha-1) was obtained from the combined application of 125% ETc with 92 kg N ha-1, while the lowest (13,655 kg ha-1) marketable fruit yield was obtained from 75% ETc with 92 kg N ha-1. The analysis of variance showed that the highest (5.4 kg m-3) WUE recorded from 75% ETc with 46 kg N ha-1 increased WUE by 77% (2.4 kg m-3) compared with the lowest (2.3 kg m-3) WUE recorded from 125% ETc with 0 kg N ha-1. The partial budget analysis also indicated that the highest net benefit (266,272 ETB (Ethiopian Birr) ha-1) and an acceptable marginal rate of return (1240%) for the invested capital was recorded from the combined application of 125% ETc with 92 kg N ha-1. Therefore, the application of 125% ETc with 92 kg N ha-1 resulted in the highest net benefit.

Parameterization of Four Models to Estimate Crop Evapotranspiration in a Solar Greenhouse.

Working to simplify mechanistic models on the basis of reliability for estimating crop evapotranspiration (ET) in a greenhouse is still worthwhile for horticulturists. In this study, four ET models (Penman-Monteith, Priestley-Taylor, and Shuttleworth-Wallace models, and the Crop coefficient method) were parameterized after taking the restriction effect of resistance parameters in these models on ET into account, named as PA-PM, PA-PT, PA-CC, and PA-SW, respectively. The performance of these four parameterized models was compared at different growth stages, as well as the entire growing season. Tomatoes that were ET-grown in a solar greenhouse without a heating device were measured using weighting lysimeters during 2016-2017 and 2019-2021, in which data from 2016 were used to adjust the model parameters, and data from the other four study years were used to examine the model performance. The results indicated that the PA-PT and PA-CC models have a better performance in estimating tomato ET at four growth stages, while the PA-PM and PA-SW performed well only at the development and middle stages. Compared to the ET that was measured with the weighting lysimeters, the ET that was predicted using the PA-PM model was 27.0% lower at the initial stage, and 8.7% higher at the late stage; the ET that was computed using the PA-SW model was 19.5% and 13.6% higher at the initial and late stages, respectively. The PA-PT model yielded the lowest root mean square error and the highest index of agreement against the other models over the entire growing season, indicating that the PA-PT model is the best recommended model for estimating tomato ET in a solar greenhouse.

The simultaneous prediction of yield and maturity date for wheat-maize by combining satellite images with crop model.

BACKGROUND: The simultaneous prediction of yield and maturity date has an important impact on ensuring food security. However, few studies have focused on simultaneous prediction of yield and maturity date for wheat-maize in the North China Plain (NCP). In this study, we developed the prediction model of maturity date and yield (PMMY) for wheat-maize using multi-source satellite images, an Agricultural Production Systems sIMulator (APSIM) model and a random forest (RF) algorithm. RESULTS: The results showed that the PMMY model using peak leaf area index (LAI) and accumulated evapotranspiration (ET) has the optimal performance in the prediction of maturity date and yield. The accuracy of the PMMY model using peak LAI and accumulated ET was higher than that of the PMMY model using only peak LAI or accumulated ET. In a single year, the PMMY model had good performance in the prediction of maturity date and yield. The latitude variation in spatial distribution of maturity date for WM was obvious. The spatial heterogeneity for yield of wheat-maize was not prominent. Compared with 2001-2005, the maturity date of the two crops in 2016-2020 advanced 1-2 days, while yield increased 659-706 kg ha-1. The increase in minimum temperature was the main meteorological factor for advance in the maturity date for wheat-maize. Precipitation was mainly positively correlated with maize yield, while the increase in minimum temperature and solar radiation was crucial to the increase in yield. CONCLUSION: The simultaneous prediction of yield and maturity can be used to guide agricultural production and ensure food security. © 2024 Society of Chemical Industry.

Analysis of factors affecting evapotranspiration zoning.

Reference evapotranspiration (ETo) has a significant role in water resource planning and management as well as analysis of crop production and other agricultural tasks. Methods for estimating ETo may require diurnal/monthly assessments to perceive the consequences of climatic changes on local regions. The spatial and temporal patterns of ETo were analyzed in the current work using data from 340 weather stations in Iran. The entropy theory was used to assess the uncertainty of the utilized variables and the modified Kendall test was applied for temporal trend analysis. The interpolation (e.g., kriging) and ordinary least squares (OLS) methods were used for spatio-temporal ETo classification/modeling. The spatial analysis demonstrated that the OLS method with a good fit measure (R2 = 0.985) successfully simulated the spatial relationships of ETo with climatic parameters. After examining error indices, the cokriging method with an exponential variogram was introduced as the best method of seasonal and annual ETo classification in Iran. Spatially and temporally calculated ETo patterns using modified Hargreaves (MHGR) and MODIS methods closely resembled the standard FAO Penman-Monteith (FPM-56) method, all indicating a gradual increase in ETo. MHGR and MODIS methods serve as suitable alternatives for estimating ETo in various climatic regions of Iran, provided data availability.

Maize yield prediction and condition monitoring at the sub-county scale in Kenya: synthesis of remote sensing information and crop modeling.

Agricultural production assessments are crucial for formulating strategies for closing yield gaps and enhancing production efficiencies. While in situ crop yield measurements can provide valuable and accurate information, such approaches are costly and lack scalability for large-scale assessments. Therefore, crop modeling and remote sensing (RS) technologies are essential for assessing crop conditions and predicting yields at larger scales. In this study, we combined RS and a crop growth model to assess phenology, evapotranspiration (ET), and yield dynamics at grid and sub-county scales in Kenya. We synthesized RS information from the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) Water Productivity Open-access portal (WaPOR) to retrieve sowing date information for driving the model simulations. The findings showed that grid-scale management information and progressive crop growth could be accurately derived, reducing the model output uncertainties. Performance assessment of the modeled phenology yielded satisfactory accuracies at the sub-county scale during two representative seasons. The agreement between the simulated ET and yield was improved with the combined RS-crop model approach relative to the crop model only, demonstrating the value of additional large-scale RS information. The proposed approach supports crop yield estimation in data-scarce environments and provides valuable insights for agricultural resource management enabling countermeasures, especially when shortages are perceived in advance, thus enhancing agricultural production.

Ecohydrological assessment of the water balance of the world's highest elevation tropical forest (Polylepis).

Polylepis trees grow at elevations above the continuous tree line (3000-5000 m a.s.l.) across the Andes. They tolerate extreme environmental conditions, making them sensitive bioindicators of global climate change. Therefore, investigating their ecohydrological role is key to understanding how the water cycle of Andean headwaters could be affected by predicted changes in environmental conditions, as well as ongoing Polylepis reforestation initiatives in the region. We estimate, for the first time, the annual water balance of a mature Polylepis forest (Polylepis reticulata) catchment (3780 m a.s.l.) located in the south Ecuadorian páramo using a unique set of field ecohydrological measurements including gross rainfall, throughfall, streamflow, and xylem sap flow in combination with the characterization of forest and soil features. We also compare the forest water balance with that of a tussock grass (Calamagrostis intermedia) catchment, the dominant páramo vegetation. Annual gross rainfall during the study period (April 2019-March 2020) was 1290.6 mm yr-1. Throughfall in the Polylepis forest represented 61.2 % of annual gross rainfall. Streamflow was the main component of the water balance of the forested site (59.6 %), while its change in soil water storage was negligible (<1 %). Forest evapotranspiration was 54.0 %, with evaporation from canopy interception (38.8 %) more than twice as high as transpiration (15.1 %). The error in the annual water balance of the Polylepis catchment was small (<15 %), providing confidence in the measurements and assumptions used to estimate its components. In comparison, streamflow and evapotranspiration at the grassland site accounted for 63.7 and 36.0 % of the water balance, respectively. Although evapotranspiration was larger in the forest catchment, its water yield was only marginally reduced (<4 %) in relation to the grassland catchment. The substantially higher soil organic matter content in the forest site (47.6 %) compared to the grassland site (31.8 %) suggests that even though Polylepis forests do not impair the hydrological function of high-Andean catchments, their presence contributes to carbon storage in the litter layer of the forest and the underlying soil. These findings provide key insights into the vegetation-water­carbon nexus in high Andean ecosystems, which can serve as a basis for future ecohydrological studies and improved management of páramo natural resources considering changes in land use and global climate.

Non-linear response of Norway spruce to climate variation along elevational and age gradients in the Carpathians.

Climate change, namely increased warming coupled with a rise in extreme events (e.g., droughts, storms, heatwaves), is negatively affecting forest ecosystems worldwide. In these ecosystems, growth dynamics and biomass accumulation are driven mainly by environmental constraints, inter-tree competition, and disturbance regimes. Usually, climate-growth relationships are assessed by linear correlation due to the simplicity and straightforwardness of modeling. However, applying this method may bias results, since the ecological and physiological responses of trees to environmental factors are non-linear, and usually bell-shaped. In the Eastern Carpathian, Norway spruce is at the southeasternmost edge of its natural occurrence; this region is thus potentially vulnerable to climate change. A non-linear assessment of climate-growth relationships using machine-learning techniques for Norway spruce in this area had not been conducted prior to this study. To address this knowledge gap, we analyzed a large tree-ring network from 158 stands, with over 3000 trees of varying age distributed along an elevational gradient. Our results showed that non-linearity in the growth-climate response of spruce was season-specific: temperatures from the previous autumn and current growing season, along with water availability during winter, induced a bell-shaped response. Moreover, we found that at low elevations, spruce growth was mainly limited by water availability in the growing season, while winter temperatures are likely to have had a slight influence along the entire elevational gradient. Furthermore, at elevations lower than 1400 m, spruce trees were also found to be sensitive to previous autumn water availability. Overall, our results shed new light on the response of Norway spruce to climate in the Carpathians, which may aid in management decisions.

A doubled increasing trend of evapotranspiration on the Tibetan Plateau.

Estimation of evapotranspiration (ETa) change on the Tibetan Plateau (TP) is essential to address the water requirement of billions of people surrounding the TP. Existing studies have shown that ETa estimations on the TP have a very large uncertainty. In this article, we discuss how to more accurately quantify ETa amount and explain its change on the TP. ETa change on the TP can be quantified and explained based on an ensemble mean product from climate model simulations, reanalysis, as well as ground-based and satellite observations. ETa on the TP experienced a significant increasing trend of around 8.4 ± 2.2 mm (10 a)-1 (mean ± one standard deviation) during 1982-2018, approximately twice the rate of the global land ETa (4.3 ± 2.1 mm (10 a)-1). Numerical attribution analysis revealed that a 53.8% TP area with the increased ETa was caused by increased temperature and 23.1% part was due to soil moisture rising, because of the warming, melting cryosphere, and increased precipitation. The projected future increase in ETa is expected to cause a continued acceleration of the water cycle until 2100.