Association between Metabolic-Dysfunction-Associated Steatotic Liver Disease and Hepatic Cancer: Current Concepts and Future Challenges.

Background: This study systematically reviewed the association between metabolic-dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) and the development of hepatic cancer. Previous research has highlighted MASLD as a predisposing condition. Aim: To collect recent global data on the relationship between MASLD and hepatic cancer. Methods: A systematic review was conducted, which included an analysis of studies on the relationship between MASLD and the incidence of hepatic cancers, focusing on the role of fibrosis and MASLD severity as predictors of cancer risk. Following standard methodological frameworks for the assessment of longitudinal studies, the review gathered information on fibrosis scores, hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) incidence, and other types of hepatic neoplasms. Results: A total of 522 studies were initially identified, of which 6 studies were appropriate for the review. They collectively revealed that the stage of fibrosis in MASLD is a significant independent predictor of mortality and liver-related events, with higher fibrosis stages correlating with greater risk. Longitudinal data showed that increases in FIB-4 scores were linked to a higher risk of developing HCC and cirrhosis. MASLD was also associated with an increased risk of non-hepatic cancers such as colorectal cancer in males and breast cancer in females. The severity of MASLD was found to be a modifiable risk factor for biliary tract cancer (BTC), with the risk further amplified by diabetes. Moreover, lifestyle factors and comorbidities, such as smoking and diabetes, were identified as modifiers of cancer risk in MASLD patients. Conclusions: The systematic review identified the association between MASLD and an elevated risk of hepatic cancer, establishing a clear link between the severity of liver fibrosis and the incidence of HCC and other hepatic neoplasms. This supports the need for screening for hepatic cancer in patients with MASLD, particularly in the presence of advanced fibrosis or other risk-modifying factors.

Evaluation of MASLD Fibrosis, FIB-4 and APRI Score in MASLD Combined with T2DM and MACCEs Receiving SGLT2 Inhibitors Treatment.

Purpose: This study aims to investigate the relationship between Sodium Glucose Co-transporter-2 inhibitors (SGLT2i) treatment and fibrosis in patients with Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) combined with Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus (T2DM) and Major Adverse Cardiovascular and Cerebrovascular Events (MACCEs). Methods: A case-control study was conducted, involving 280 patients with MASLD combined with T2DM treated at the First Affiliated Hospital of Xinjiang Medical University from January 2014 to October 2023. Among these patients, 135 received SGLT2i treatment. The association between the Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index and the occurrence of MACCEs, as well as the association between the Aspartate Aminotransferase-to-Platelet Ratio Index (APRI) scores and MACCEs, were evaluated. Results: The FIB-4 index and APRI scores were significantly lower in the SGLT2i treatment group compared to the non-SGLT2i group (1.59 vs 1.25, P<0.001). SGLT2i treatment tended to reduce the occurrence of MACCEs compared to non-SGLT2i treatment (45.5% vs 38.5%, P=0.28). All patients who developed MACCEs in the non-SGLT2i treatment group had higher FIB-4 index (1.83 vs 1.35, P=0.003). Additionally, after SGLT2i treatment for a median duration of 22 months, patients showed significant reductions in blood glucose, APRI, and FIB-4 index. Conclusion: SGLT2i treatment significantly reduces the occurrence of MACCEs and liver fibrosis in patients with MASLD combined with T2DM. The FIB-4 index may serve as a potential surrogate marker for predicting the occurrence of MACCEs.

Fibrosis-4 index stratifies risks of hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with chronic hepatitis C.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Risk stratification for patients with a higher risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is crucial. We aimed to investigate the role of the Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index in predicting chronic hepatitis C (CHC)-related HCC. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study consecutively included treatment-naive CHC patients receiving longitudinal follow-up at the National Taiwan University Hospital from 1986 to 2014. The clinical data were collected and traced for HCC development. Multivariable Cox proportional hazard regression analysis was used to investigate the predictors for HCC. RESULTS: A total of 1285 patients in the ERADICATE-C cohort were included. The median age was 54, 56% were females, and 933 had HCV viremia. There were 33%, 38%, and 29% of patients having FIB-4 index <1.45, 1.45-3.25, and ≥3.25, respectively. After a median of 9-year follow-up, 186 patients developed HCC. Multivariable analysis revealed that older age, AFP≥20 ng/mL, cirrhosis, and a higher FIB-4 index were independent predictors for HCC. Compared with patients with FIB-4 index <1.45, those with FIB-4 1.45-3.25 had a 5.51-fold risk (95% confidence interval [CI]: 2.65-11.46), and those with FIB-4 ≥ 3.25 had 7.45-fold risk (95% CI: 3.46-16.05) of HCC. In CHC patients without viremia, FIB-4 index 1.45-3.25 and FIB-4 ≥ 3.25 increased 6.78-fold and 16.77-fold risk of HCC, respectively, compared with those with FIB-4 < 1.45. CONCLUSION: The baseline FIB-4 index can stratify the risks of HCC in untreated CHC patients, even those without viremia. The FIB-4 index should thus be included in the management of CHC.

Prognostic Value of Fibrosis 4 (FIB-4) Index in Sepsis Patients.

BACKGROUND: Sepsis remains a major health challenge worldwide, characterized by a dysregulated host response to infection, leading to high mortality and morbidity in intensive care units (ICUs). The Fibrosis 4 (FIB-4) index, originally developed to assess liver fibrosis in hepatitis C patients, has recently been explored for its potential prognostic value in sepsis patients. METHOD: this study retrospectively analyzed 309 sepsis patients admitted to the Internal Medicine and An-aesthesia ICUs between 12 December 2021 and 15 December 2023 to investigate the relationship between FIB-4 levels, the Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE), the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA), and clinical outcomes. RESULTS: This study found that higher FIB-4 measurements were statistically significantly associated with increased 28-day mortality, with a cut-off value of 4.9, providing a sensitivity of 54.92% and specificity of 74.25%. Logistic regression analysis indicated that elevated FIB-4 levels were a significant predictor of early mortality, suggesting that the FIB-4 index could serve as a valuable prognostic tool in assessing the severity and prognosis of sepsis patients. CONCLUSIONS: by elucidating the potential role of the FIB-4 index in sepsis prognosis, this study contributes to the ongoing efforts to improve risk stratification and enhance patient care in sepsis management.

Clinical features of individuals with laboratory values suggestive of advanced liver fibrosis when first treated for alcohol use disorder.

BACKGROUND: Effective screening for alcohol-associated liver disease is relevant in the context of chronic, excessive alcohol consumption. Patients with alcohol-associated liver disease are often not diagnosed until their liver disease is decompensated. We analyzed the prevalence and associations of Fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4) values suggestive of advanced liver fibrosis in patients referred for their first treatment of alcohol use disorder (AUD). METHODS: We conducted a cross-sectional, multicenter study of noncirrhotic individuals referred for their first AUD treatment between March 2013 and April 2021. We obtained sociodemographic data, substance use characteristics, and blood samples at admission. We considered a FIB-4 value ≥2.67 suggestive of advanced liver fibrosis and used logistic regression analyses to identify features associated with this value. RESULTS: We included 604 patients (67% male), with a median age at admission of 48 years [IQR: 41-56 years]. The median duration of regular alcohol consumption was 21 years [IQR: 18-30 years] and the median alcohol consumption was 105 standard drink units (SDU)/week [IQR: 63-160 SDU/week]. A FIB-4 value ≥ 2.67 was present in 19.3% of cases. These patients reported more frequent binge drinking (75.4% vs. 66%, p = 0.05) than those with FIB-4 values below 2.67. In multivariate analysis, a history of binge drinking (OR 1.9, 95% CI, 1.05-3.47), anemia (OR 2.95, 95% CI, 1.42-6.11), leukopenia (OR 7.46, 95% CI, 2.07-26.8), and total serum bilirubin >1 mg/dL (OR 6.46, 95% CI, 3.57-11.7) were independently associated with FIB-4 values ≥2.67. CONCLUSIONS: One in five patients admitted to treatment for AUD without evidence of decompensated liver disease have FIB-4 values suggestive of advanced liver fibrosis. The presence of a binge drinking history, anemia, leukopenia, and elevated bilirubin levels is associated with high FIB-4 values.

A Validation Study of Non-invasive Scoring Systems for Assessing Severity of Hepatic Fibrosis in a Cohort of South Indian Patients With Non-alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease.

Introduction: Liver biopsy is the gold standard for diagnosing and staging non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), but liver biopsy has its limitations. Non-invasive tests (NITs) eliminate many of the drawbacks of liver biopsy. We did a retrospective observational study to validate the NAFLD Fibrosis Score (NFS score) and Fibrosis Score 4 (FIB-4 index) against the gold standard liver biopsy in a cohort of South Indian patients with NAFLD. Aims: The aim of this study was to validate the diagnostic accuracy of non-invasive fibrosis scoring systems (FIB-4 index and NFS), compared to that of liver histology, to predict AF in a cohort of south Indian patients with NAFLD. Material and methods: A retrospective observational analytical study of patients who had a liver biopsy with a diagnosis of NAFLD and had all the data for aetiology assessment and NIT calculation within 4 weeks of biopsy were included in the study. On liver biopsy, NAFLD was scored as per NIH's NASH committee grading system. NFS and FIB-4 index were calculated, and scores more than 0.676 and 2.67, respectively, were taken as the cut-off to predict advanced fibrosis (AF). The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, negative predictive value, and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for NFS score and FIB-4 score to diagnose AF were calculated. Results: A total of 147 patients were included in the study. Of these, 56 (38.1%) patients had AF (Stage 3, 4). Patients with AF were more likely to be older and have diabetes mellitus (DM). Patients with AF had lower platelet count, higher aspartate aminotransferase (AST), lower albumin, and higher AST/alanine aminotransferase ratio. An NFS of >0.676 had a sensitivity of 68% and specificity of 100%, and an FIB-4 index of >2.67 had a sensitivity of 67% and specificity of 95.6 % in diagnosing AF in our study. Conclusion: The non-invasive scoring systems NFS and FIB-4 index can be used as a bedside tool for diagnosing liver fibrosis in NAFLD allowing liver biopsy to be used in a more targeted manner for patients diagnosed with AF on NITs.

Validation study of age-independent fibrosis score (Fibrosis-3 index) in patients with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Because the accuracy of the Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index for predicting liver fibrosis changes with age, the need for different cut-offs in various age groups has frequently been discussed. We developed the age-independent score, the Fibrosis-3 (FIB-3) index, and have shown its usefulness in patients with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD). This study aimed to validate the diagnostic ability of the FIB-3 index to predict fibrosis progression using a large new patient cohort. METHODS: The ability of the FIB-3 index to predict liver fibrosis was analyzed by comparing it with that of the FIB-4 index using data from 1398 patients with MASLD enrolled in the Asia-based clinical outcome NAFLD study. RESULTS: The areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves for predicting fibrosis stage F3 or higher were not different between the FIB-3 and FIB-4 indices in the entire cohort. Using the single ideal cut-offs of the indices (3.41 for FIB-3 index and 2.01 for FIB-4 index), the predictive accuracy of the FIB-3 index was not significantly different from that of the FIB-4 index among patients aged <60 years; however, the accuracy of the FIB-3 index was significantly higher than that of the FIB-4 index in those aged ≥60 years (0.645 and 0.529, respectively; p < 0.0001). CONCLUSION: The high ability of the FIB-3 index with a single cut-off to predict liver fibrosis in patients with MASLD was confirmed. The FIB-3 index could serve as a useful tool for assessing liver fibrosis regardless of age.

ALBI score combined with FIB-4 index to predict post-hepatectomy liver failure in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma.

Post-hepatectomy liver failure (PHLF) is a potentially life-threatening complication following liver resection. Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) often occurs in patients with chronic liver disease, which increases the risk of PHLF. This study aimed to investigate the ability of the combination of liver function and fibrosis markers (ALBI score and FIB-4 index) to predict PHLF in patients with HCC. Patients who underwent hepatectomy for HCC between August 2012 and September 2022 were considered for inclusion. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was used to identify factors associated with PHLF, and ALBI score and FIB-4 index were combined based on their regression coefficients. The performance of the combined ALBI-FIB4 score in predicting PHLF and postoperative mortality was compared with Child-Pugh score, MELD score, ALBI score, and FIB-4 index. A total of 215 patients were enrolled in this study. PHLF occurred in 35 patients (16.3%). The incidence of severe PHLF (grade B and grade C PHLF) was 9.3%. Postoperative 90-d mortality was 2.8%. ALBI score, FIB-4 index, prothrombin time, and extent of liver resection were identified as independent factors for predicting PHLF. The AUC of the ALBI-FIB4 score in predicting PHLF was 0.783(95%CI: 0.694-0.872), higher than other models. The ALBI-FIB4 score could divide patients into two risk groups based on a cut-off value of - 1.82. High-risk patients had a high incidence of PHLF of 39.1%, while PHLF just occurred in 6.6% of low-risk patients. Similarly, the AUCs of the ALBI-FIB4 score in predicting severe PHLF and postoperative 90-d mortality were also higher than other models. Preoperative ALBI-FIB4 score showed good performance in predicting PHLF and postoperative mortality in patients undergoing hepatectomy for HCC, superior to the currently commonly used liver function and fibrosis scoring systems.

FIB-4 liver fibrosis index correlates with aortic valve sclerosis in non-alcoholic population.

AIM: Hepatic fibrosis, a progressive scarring of liver tissue, is commonly caused by non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), which increases the risk of cardiovascular disease. The Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index is a non-invasive tool used to assess liver fibrosis in patients with NAFLD. Aortic valve sclerosis (AVS), a degenerative disorder characterized by thickening and calcification of valve leaflets, is prevalent in the elderly and associated with increased cardiovascular morbidity and mortality. Recent studies have suggested that AVS may also be linked to other systemic diseases such as liver fibrosis. This study aimed to investigate the relationship between the FIB-4 index and AVS in a non-alcoholic population, with the hypothesis that the FIB-4 index could serve as a potential marker for AVS. METHOD: A total of 92 patients were included in this study. AVS was detected using transthoracic echocardiography, and patients were divided into groups according to the presence of AVS. The FIB-4 index was calculated for all patients and compared between the groups. RESULTS: A total of 17 (18.4%) patients were diagnosed AVS. Patients with AVS had higher rates of diabetes mellitus, older age, hypertension, angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor use, higher systolic blood pressure (BP) and diastolic BP in the office, coronary artery disease prevalence, left atrial volume index (LAVI), left ventricular mass index (LVMI), and late diastolic peak flow velocity (A) compared to those without AVS. Moreover, AVS patients had significantly higher creatinine levels and lower estimated glomerular filtration rate. Remarkably, the FIB-4 index was significantly higher in patients with AVS. In univariate and multivariate analyses, higher systolic BP in the office (OR, 1.044; 95% CI 1.002-1.080, p = .024) and higher FIB-4 index (1.46 ± .6 vs. .91 ± .46, p < .001) were independently associated with AVS. CONCLUSION: Our findings suggest that the FIB-4 index is associated with AVS in non-alcoholic individuals. Our results highlight the potential utility of the FIB-4 index as a non-invasive tool for identifying individuals at an increased risk of developing AVS.

Liver fibrosis and outcomes of atrial fibrillation: the FIB-4 index.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Liver diseases play an important role in the development and progression of atrial fibrillation (AF). The Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index is a non-invasive score recommended for detecting liver fibrosis. Since the association between liver fibrosis and outcomes of AF patients is still not well defined, we aim to analyze prognosis impact of FIB-4 index in those patients. METHODS: A retrospective population-based cohort study was performed with 12,870 unselected patients from a single health area in Spain with AF from 2014 to 2019. Cox regression models were used to estimate the association of FIB-4 index with mortality. The association with ischemic stroke (IS), major bleeding (MB), acute myocardial infarction (AMI), and heart failure (HF) was assessed by competing risk analysis. RESULTS: A total of 61.1%, 22.0%, and 16.9% were classified as low, moderate and high risk of liver fibrosis according to FIB-4 index, respectively. During a mean follow-up of 4.5 ± 1.7 years, FIB-4 index was associated with mortality (adjusted HR 1.04; 95% CI 1.01-1.06; p = 0.002), MB and HF (adjusted sHR 1.03, 95% CI 1.01-1.04; p = 0.004), but not with IS or with AMI. The association between FIB-4 and MB was only found in patients treated with vitamin K antagonists, not in patients on direct oral anticoagulants. CONCLUSIONS: The FIB-4 index, a non-invasive scoring method for evaluating liver fibrosis, is independently associated with all-cause mortality, MB and HF in patients with AF, suggesting that it may be useful as a risk assessment tool to identify adverse outcomes in patients with AF.

Overall and subgroup prevalence of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease and prevalence of advanced fibrosis in the United States: An updated national estimate in National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) 2011-2018.

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES: Data on the prevalence of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) in subgroups of the United States (US) population are limited. This study was conducted to estimate NAFLD prevalence overall and by subgroups, and prevalence of NAFLD with advanced fibrosis. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Using the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) 2011-2018 data, a cross-sectional study was conducted. NAFLD was defined as having a US Fatty Liver Index (USFLI) ≥ 30 in the absence of other causes of liver disease, including excessive alcohol intake, chronic hepatitis B, and chronic hepatitis C. Likelihood for having advanced fibrosis was determined by the calculated NAFLD fibrosis score (NFS; high ≥ 0.676; low < -1.445) and fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4; high ≥ 2.67; low < 1.30). RESULTS: The weighted national prevalence of NAFLD in US adults was 26.7% (95% confidence interval: 25.3%-28.1%). Prevalence was higher among those aged ≥ 65 years, males, Mexican Americans, with BMI ≥ 35 kg/m2 (class 2 and 3 obesity) and with type 2 diabetes (T2D). Of those meeting the USFLI criterion for NAFLD, 18.1% and 3.7% were determined as having a high probability of advanced fibrosis based on NFS ≥ 0.676 and FIB-4 ≥ 2.67 cut-off values, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: This study supports an increased prevalence of NAFLD in specific subpopulations (aged ≥ 65 years, males, Mexican Americans, obese population, and patients with T2D). The observed difference in the prevalence of advanced fibrosis as estimated by NFS and FIB-4 highlights the challenge of choosing optimal cut-off values.

Liver fibrosis index is associated with functional outcome among acute ischemic stroke patients.

INTRODUCTION: The fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index and the fibrosis-5 (FIB-5) index are noninvasive markers of liver fibrosis in patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease. Although liver fibrosis a potential risk factor for stroke development, it is uncertain whether liver fibrosis influences stroke outcomes. We investigated the associations between these two indices and stroke patient outcomes and compared their predictive accuracy. METHODS: We conducted a double-center, hospital-based, retrospective study. Consecutive acute ischemic stroke patients (n=2399) were analyzed. We calculated the FIB-4 index and the FIB-5 index and evaluated their relationships with poor stroke outcome, which was defined as a modified Rankin Scale score of 3-6 at three months after stroke. We evaluated the ability of each index to predict stroke outcome according to cutoff values calculated from receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. RESULTS: Of 2399 recruited patients, 1549 patients (mean age, 73 years) were analyzed. The FIB-4 index and FIB-5 index had similar areas under their ROC curves for predicting stroke outcome (FIB-4 index, 0.675 and FIB-5 index, 0.683, P=0.334). The cutoff points of the FIB-4 index and FIB-5 index according to the ROC analysis were associated with poor stroke outcome in the multivariable analyses (odds ratio [OR] 2.23, 95 % confidence interval [CI] 1.72-2.89, OR 1.93, 95 % CI 1.47-2.54, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Liver fibrosis scores may be useful for predicting outcomes in patients with acute stroke. The FIB-4 and FIB-5 indices should be considered comprehensive tools for assessing the outcome risk after ischemic stroke.

Association between reactive oxygen species production in neutrophils and liver fibrosis in the general population.

Fibrosis, induced by reactive oxygen species (ROS) production in neutrophils, has harmful effects on the liver and various other organs. However, little is known about the association between liver fibrosis and ROS levels in neutrophils in the general population. This large-scale epidemiological study aimed to determine the association between liver fibrosis and neutrophil-generated ROS levels according to age and sex in the general population. This cross-sectional study included 1,000 participants from a district health promotion project. Participants were grouped based on sex (male; female) and age (young, <65 years; old, ≥65 years). The four groups were as follows: male, young (n = 289); male, old (n = 100); female, young (n = 425); and female, old (n = 186). Liver fibrosis was assessed using the fibrosis 4 (FIB-4) index, aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index (APRI), and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) fibrosis score (NFS). Basal and stimulated ROS were considered in the analysis. Multiple linear analyses showed (1) significant positive correlations between all liver fibrosis scores and basal ROS in the young groups, and (2) significant negative correlations between NFS and stimulated ROS in females. Preventing liver fibrosis through neutrophil-related immune system enhancement may avert the development of lifestyle-related diseases and infections.

FIB­4 index and NAFLD fibrosis score are useful indicators for screening high­risk groups of non­viral hepatocellular carcinoma.

Non-viral hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) tends to appear in non-cirrhotic livers, rendering it difficult to screen for a high-risk group. The present study aimed to identify the most suitable indicator for screening high-risk groups of non-viral HCC. A total of 190 patients with non-viral HCC, including 126 with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD)/non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), were enrolled in the present study. A total of two cut-off values, for low and high levels of fibrosis, were set for each of the indicators, including the Child-Pugh score (CPS; 6 and 7), platelet counts (15.8 and 10x104/µl), albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) score (-2.60 and -2.27), fibrosis 4 index (FIB-4 index; 1.30 and 2.67) and NAFLD fibrosis score (NFS; -1.455 and 0.675). The ratio of the number of patients who fell outside the cut-off value for all patients was defined as the overlooking rate. The overlooking rates of CPS, platelet counts, ALBI score, FIB-4 index and NFS for the low fibrosis cut-off value were 41.0, 48.9, 35.8, 4.2 and 5.8%, respectively. When performing analysis limited to the NAFLD cases, those of the FIB-4 index and NFS were 4.8 and 6.3%, respectively. Those for the high fibrosis cut-off value were 79.5, 73.2, 62.6, 30.0 and 37.4%, respectively. On the whole, the present study demonstrates that the cut-off values of ≥1.30 for the FIB-4 index or ≥-1.455 for the NFS may be used to screen high-risk groups of HCC among patients with non-viral hepatitis.

FIB­4 index and serum α­fetoprotein are useful predictors of hepatocellular carcinoma occurrence in hepatitis B patients with nucleos(t)ide analogs therapy.

Current antiviral therapies cannot achieve eradication of hepatitis B virus (HBV) and can reduce but not eliminate the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients with chronic HBV infection. The present study aimed to identify the risk factors for HCC development by analyzing nucleoside analogue (NA)-treated patients as a retrospective cohort using fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4 index) as a non-invasive fibrosis marker. A total of 260 patients with HBV receiving NAs without a history of HCC between January 2001 and January 2021 were included in the present study. The incidence of HCC in patients with HBV during NA therapy and the factors contributing to HCC occurrence were identified using clinical characteristics and blood test results. Among the 260 patients, 40 patients (15.4%) developed HCC. Univariate and multivariate analysis showed that age [hazard ratio (HR), 1.03; P=0.045], male sex (HR, 3.14; P<0.01) and FIB-4 index at 6 months after NA treatment <1.95 (HR, 4.35; P<0.01) correlated with the incidence of HCC. The cumulative incidence of HCC in patients with FIB-4 index at 6 months after NA treatment >1.95 was significantly higher compared with that in patients with FIB-4 index ≤1.95 (P<0.01). Multivariate analysis in patients in which serum α-fetoprotein (AFP) level at 6 months after NA treatment was measured showed that FIB-4 index >1.95 (HR, 8.27; P=0.014) and serum AFP level >4 ng/ml (HR, 4.26; P=0.033) contributed to HCC occurrence. FIB-4 index at 6 months after NA treatment and serum AFP levels at 6 months after NA treatment were predictors for the development of HCC in patients with HBV during NA treatment. Further study of hepatocarcinogenesis during NA with a longer follow-up period and larger numbers of participants is required.

Identification of clinical phenotypes associated with poor prognosis in patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease via unsupervised machine learning.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Both fibrosis status and body weight are important for assessing prognosis in nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). The aim of this study was to identify population clusters for specific clinical outcomes based on fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index and body mass index (BMI) using an unsupervised machine learning method. METHODS: We conducted a multicenter study of 1335 biopsy-proven NAFLD patients from Japan. Using the Gaussian mixture model to divide the cohort into clusters based on FIB-4 index and BMI, we investigated prognosis for these clusters. RESULTS: The cohort consisted of 223 cases (16.0%) with advanced fibrosis (F3-4) as assessed from liver biopsy. Median values of BMI and FIB-4 index were 27.3 kg/m2 and 1.67. The patients were divided into four clusters by Bayesian information criterion, and all-cause mortality was highest in cluster d, followed by cluster b (P = 0.001). Regarding the characteristics of each cluster, clusters d and b presented a high FIB-4 index (median 5.23 and 2.23), cluster a presented the lowest FIB-4 index (median 0.78), and cluster c was associated with moderate FIB-4 level (median 1.30) and highest BMI (median 34.3 kg/m2 ). Clusters a and c had lower mortality rates than clusters b and d. However, all-cause of death in clusters a and c was unrelated to liver disease. CONCLUSIONS: Our clustering approach found that the FIB-4 index is an important predictor of mortality in NAFLD patients regardless of BMI. Additionally, non-liver-related diseases were identified as the causes of death in NAFLD patients with low FIB-4 index.

Oxidative stress-related markers as prognostic factors for patients with primary sclerosing cholangitis in Japan.

BACKGROUND/PURPOSE: Primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC) is a rare chronic liver disease. The mechanisms and prediction of PSC progression are unclear. Recent investigations have shown that general conditions, such as oxidative stress, affect the course of chronic diseases. We investigated the clinical course and oxidative stress-related condition of PSC to determine prognostic factors. METHODS: We recruited 58 patients with PSC (mean age; 37.4 years, mean observation period; 1382 days) who visited our department from 2003 to 2021. Clinical characteristics were investigated to define prognostic factors. Oxidative stress status was evaluated using two types of markers: an oxidative stress marker (serum reactive oxygen metabolite; dROM) and an antioxidant marker (serum OXY adsorbent test; OXY). RESULTS: The revised Mayo risk, Child-Pugh, model for end-stage liver disease-sodium (MELD-Na) scores or fibrosis-related FIB-4 index significantly predicted poor overall survival. High intestinal immunoglobulin A (IgA) levels predicted poor survival. Among patients with high and intermediate revised Mayo risk scores, those with physiologically high dROM levels showed better survival than those with lower dROM levels. In this population, dROM was negatively correlated with AST and IgA, which are both correlated with survival. CONCLUSIONS: High and intermediate revised Mayo risk score group predicted a poor clinical course in PSC. Additionally, the Child-Pugh score, MELD-Na score, FIB-4 index, and serum IgA were significantly correlated with survival. In patients with high and intermediate revised Mayo risk scores, physiologically high oxidative stress status correlated with low IgA levels and a good prognosis.

Post-transplant donor-specific anti-HLA antibodies with a higher mean fluorescence intensity are associated with graft fibrosis in pediatric living donor liver transplantation.

The roles of post-transplant anti-HLA donor specific antibody (DSA) in pediatric liver transplantation (LT), including therapeutic strategies, remain controversial. This study aimed to identify the risks of post-transplant DSA for graft fibrosis progression in pediatric living donor LT (LDLT). We retrospectively evaluated 88 LDLT pediatric cases between December 1995 and November 2019. DSAs were assessed with single antigen bead test. Graft fibrosis was histopathologically scored with METAVIR and the centrilobular sinusoidal fibrosis system. Post-transplant DSAs were detected in 37 (52.9%) cases at 10.8 (1.3-26.9) years post-LDLT. The histopathological examination of 32 pediatric cases with post-transplant DSA revealed that 7 (21.9%) with a high DSA-MFI (≥9,378) showed graft fibrosis progression (≥F2). No graft fibrosis was observed in the subjects with a low DSA-MFI. The risk factors for developing graft fibrosis in pediatric cases with post-transplant DSA were an older graft age (>46.5 years old), lower platelet count (<10.7 × 104/ml) and higher Fib4 index (>0.7807, recipient age; >1.8952, donor age). Limited efficacy of additional immunosuppressants was observed in DSA positive pediatric cases. In conclusion, pediatric cases with a high DSA-MFI and risk factors should undergo a histological examination. The appropriate treatment for post-transplant DSA in pediatric LT needs to be determined.

The Prevalence of Advanced Liver Fibrosis Among Patients With Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus: A Single-Centre Experience in Penang, Malaysia.

Objectives: Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) is an important risk factor for Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). It worsens the course of NAFLD. We investigated the prevalence of advanced liver fibrosis among patients with T2DM. Our secondary objectives were to describe patient demographics, to explore associated clinical factors, and to compare FIB-4 Index and liver stiffness measurement (LSM). Methodology: This was a cross-sectional study on 258 patients with T2DM duration of at least 10 years. Transient elastography (FibroScan®) was performed on all subjects. Advanced liver fibrosis was diagnosed based on LSM results. The FIB-4 index formula was used. Results: The prevalence of advanced liver fibrosis was 22.1%. Associated factors were body mass index (BMI), alanine transaminase (ALT), aspartate transaminase (AST), gamma-glutamyl transferase (GGT), triglyceride (TG) and high-density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol. Independent factors were BMI and GGT (p=0.003 and p<0.001). FIB-4 index has 30.0% sensitivity, 85.0% specificity, 38.7% positive predictive value, and 79.4% negative predictive value in detecting advanced liver fibrosis by LSM criteria. Conclusion: Our study confirmed the high prevalence of advanced liver fibrosis among patients with long-standing T2DM. This study suggests the benefit of advanced liver fibrosis screening in patients with a minimum of 10 years of T2DM, especially those with high BMI and GGT.

Liver injury indicators and subsequent cancer development among non-fatty liver population.

BACKGROUND: Little is known about the association between liver indicators (The FIB-4 index, nonalcoholic fatty liver disease fibrosis score (NFS), and fatty liver index (FLI)) and cancer development in patients without preexisting liver disease. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study with participants who underwent voluntary health checkups and without fatty liver between 2005 and 2018. Our primary outcome was the development of any type of cancer, and its association with each liver indicator was evaluated. RESULTS: A total of 69,592 participants (mean age: 43.9 years, 29,984 (43.1%) were men) were included. During a median follow-up of 5.1 years, 3779 (5.4%) patients developed cancer. Compared to participants with a low NFS, those with a medium NFS had a higher risk of developing any type of cancer (adjusted hazard ratio [HR]: 1.18, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.07-1.31), whereas those with a medium FIB-4 index had a decreased risk of developing any type of cancer compared to those with a low FIB-4 index (adjusted HR: 0.91, 95% CI: 0.83-0.99). Patients with higher scores tended to have a higher risk of digestive organ cancer, regardless of the indicator. A high FLI was also associated with an increased risk of breast cancer (adjusted HR: 2.42, 95% CI: 1.24-4.71); however, those with a medium FIB-4 index (adjusted HR: 0.65, 95% CI: 0.52-0.81) and NFS (adjusted HR: 0.50, 95% CI: 0.35-0.72) had decreased risks of developing breast cancer compared to those with a high FIB-4 index and NFS, respectively. CONCLUSION: Among patients without fatty liver, a higher liver indicator score was associated with an increased risk of cancer in the digestive organs, regardless of the indicator. Notably, those with a medium FIB-4 index or NFS had a lower risk of developing breast cancer, whereas those with a medium FLI had an increased risk.