Diagnostic and prognostic role of serum interleukin-6 and carotid ultrasonography to detect subclinical atherosclerosis in patients with RA and ANCA-associated vasculitis.

ANCA-associated vasculitis (AAV) can affect multiple organs with severe life-threatening manifestations. Disease monitoring is difficult due to a lack of defined biomarkers. We aimed to assess the diagnostic role of serum interleukin-6 and vascular ultrasonography in AAV and subclinical atherosclerosis. The study included 20 AAV patients and two control groups of 34 patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) and 35 healthy controls. The levels of Il-6, carotid intima-media thickness test (CIMT), atherosclerotic plaque, and degree of stenosis were investigated. A GRACE-risk score was calculated for AAV and RA patients. The AAV patients had elevated levels of IL-6 (115 ± 23.96) compared to the RA patients (91.25 ± 42.63) and the healthy controls (15.65 ± 3.30), p < 0.001. IL-6 showed a diagnostic accuracy of 73% in distinguishing AAV from RA patients (AUC = 0.730; 95% CI 0.591 to 0834). In the AAV group, CIMT was 1.09, above the upper reference value of 0.90, p < 0.001. The AAV patients had a higher median GRACE risk score, and 60% of them had a high risk of cardiovascular events as compared to 35% of the RA patients. Sonography of extracranial vessels and serum levels of IL-6 can be used in daily clinical practice to diagnose and monitor patients with AAV.

To Evaluate Platelet Indices, Platelet to Lymphocyte Ratio and Neutrophil to Lymphocyte Ratio as Prognostic and Risk Factors in Patients with Coronary Artery Disease.

To evaluate platelet indices, platelet to lymphocyte ratio and neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio as prognostic and risk factors in patients with coronary artery disease Introduction: cardiovascular diseases have 12 million deaths annually which is one of the commonest causes of death globally. Platelet parameters like Mean platelet volume (MPV), platelet distribution width (PDW) and WBC parameters like Neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and platelet to lymphocyte ratio(PLR) have recently been emerging as a new prognostic marker in number of coronary artery disease (CAD) with limited studies to explore their utility. AIMS AND OBJECTIVES: this study aimed to evaluate MPV, P-LCR, PDW, PLR, NLR and GRACE risk score in CAD patients. MATERIAL AND METHODS: this descriptive cross-sectional study was done in 330 cases of CAD and 200 healthy controls were studied.MPV, platelet-large cell ratio (P-LCR), PLR, NLR and PDW of patients were analyzed. RESULTS: In our study, 245 were males and 85 were females. Mean PDW, MPV, Mean PLCR, Mean NLR was significantly higher in CAD cases as compared to controls (p value < 0.05). Mean PLR was not significantly different in CAD cases and controls. MPV was more associated risk predictor of CAD (8.98 times) followed by NLR (2.79 times), PDW (1.53 times) and PLCR (1.02 times). DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSION: platelet indices, NLR and PLR are simple cost effective parameters and in future these might be useful adjuvant tests in conjunction with conventional biochemical cardiac markers in early prediction of risk of CAD in patients admitted to hospital and can guide clinicians in assessing the prognosis on short and long term follow up of these patients in terms of morbidity and mortality.

GRACE scores or high-sensitivity troponin for timing of coronary angiography in non-ST-elevation acute coronary syndromes.

BACKGROUND: The GRACE risk score is generically recommended by guidelines for timing of invasive coronary angiography without stating which score should be used. The aim was to determine the diagnostic performance of different GRACE risk scores in comparison to the ESC 0/1 h-algorithm using high-sensitivity cardiac troponin (hs-cTn). METHODS: Prospectively enrolled patients presenting with symptoms suggestive of myocardial infarction (MI) in two large studies testing biomarker diagnostic strategies were included. Five GRACE risk scores were calculated. The amount of risk reclassification and the theoretical impact on guideline-recommended timing of invasive coronary angiography was studied. RESULTS: Overall, 8,618 patients were eligible for analyses. Comparing different GRACE risk scores, up to 63.8% of participants were reclassified into a different risk category. The proportion of MIs identified (i.e., sensitivity) dramatically differed between GRACE risk scores (range 23.8-66.5%) and was lower for any score than for the ESC 0/1 h-algorithm (78.1%). Supplementing the ESC 0/1 h-algorithm with a GRACE risk score slightly increased sensitivity (P < 0.001 for all scores). However, this increased the number of false positive results. CONCLUSION: The substantial amount of risk reclassification causes clinically meaningful differences in the proportion of patients meeting the recommended threshold for pursuing early invasive strategy according to the different GRACE scores. The single best test to detect MIs is the ESC 0/1 h-algorithm. Combining GRACE risk scoring with hs-cTn testing slightly increases the detection of MIs but also increases the number of patients with false positive results who would undergo potential unnecessarily early invasive coronary angiography.

External validation of the GRACE risk score in patients with myocardial infarction in Hungary.

Background: Literature confirms that the Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events (GRACE) risk score provides a better risk evaluation than clinical judgment in patients with acute myocardial infarction. We aimed to externally validate the GRACE risk score in unselected patients with myocardial infarction in Hungary. Methods: Data from the comprehensive Hungarian Myocardial Infarction Registry (HUMIR), a national registry that collects data on consecutive acute myocardial infarction (AMI) patients, were used. Hospitals registered 102,939 infarction events in the HUMIR between January 1, 2014, and December 31, 2020. The data required to calculate GRACE risk score were available for 75,199 events. We studied the 6-months, 1-year, and 3-year outcomes. We calculated widely used metrics to characterise calibration (calibration curve, calibration intercept and slope, Eavg, Emax, and E90) and discrimination (c-score, equivalent to AUC, and Somer's Dxy). Results: The risk of low-risk patients was underestimated, and the risk of high-risk patients was overestimated. However, the deviation was small, especially for the three-year survival (E90 was 0.15, 0.22, and 0.08). Discrimination was good, with an AUC of approximately 0.8, and was very similar in all the periods. Conclusions: These data confirmed the usefulness of GRACE risk score in selecting high-risk patients with myocardial infarction in the Hungarian population.

Relation of GRACE Risk Score to Coronary Lipid Core Plaques in Patients with Acute Coronary Syndrome.

The GRACE risk score is established to predict thrombotic events in patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS). Although thrombotic events including myocardial infarction after ACS are mainly attributable to vulnerable plaque formation, whether the GRACE score correlates with coronary lipid-rich plaque is unclear. A total of 54 patients with ACS undergoing primary percutaneous coronary intervention under near-infrared spectroscopy intravascular ultrasound (NIRS-IVUS) guidance were included in a prospective manner. Patients were divided into two groups according to the median of the GRACE risk score. Coronary lipid plaques in the target vessel were assessed by NIRS-IVUS with lipid core burden index (LCBI) and a maximum LCBI in 4 mm (maxLCBI4mm). The receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve analysis was performed based on the major adverse cardiovascular events as an exploratory analysis. The GRACE risk score was significantly and positively correlated with LCBI (r = 0.31, p = 0.03) and maxLCBI4mm (r = 0.38, p = 0.006). LCBI (111.7 ± 85.7 vs. 169.0 ± 83.5, p = 0.02) and maxLCBI4mm (428.5 ± 227.1 vs. 600.6 ± 227.7, p = 0.009) in the target vessel were significantly higher in the high GRACE risk score group than their counterpart. In the ROC curve analysis, LCBI and maxLCBI4mm were predictive for clinical events. In conclusion, the higher GRACE risk score may serve as a discriminator of risk comprising more lipid-rich plaques as an underlying mechanism of an increased risk of thrombotic events after ACS. In patients with ACS, the higher GRACE risk score was significantly and modestly associated with greater coronary lipid plaques in the target vessel.

The GRACE risk score predicts no-reflow and MACE in patients with STEMI undergoing PCI / 西安交通大学学报(医学版)

【Objective】 Coronary no-reflow during percutaneous conranary intervention (PCI) often results in the failure of ischemic myocardial reperfusion and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE). The present study sought to evaluate whether the GRACE risk score can predict coronary no-reflow in STEMI patients undergoing PCI. 【Methods】 We consecutively recruited 1 118 patients with STEMI who were admitted to Gansu Provincial People’s Hospital and The First Affiliated Hospital of Xi’an Jiaotong University from January 2009 to December 2011. Main demographic data, cardiovascular risk factors, blood lipid and other biochemical indicators were recorded. Coronary angiography was performed by a radial artery approach using the standard Judkins technique. Coronary no-reflow was evaluated by at least two independent experienced cardiologists. The GRACE risk score was calculated with a computer program. All the cases were followed up by medical records, face-to-face interviews or telephone calls. Finally, we analyzed the predictive value of the GRACE risk score for coronary non-reflow and MACE in STEMI patients undergoing PCI. 【Results】 During a median period of 36 months, 58 of the 1 118 patients (5.2%) were lost to follow-up. Of the remaining 1 060 patients, 118 (11.1%) had no-reflow and 147 (13.9%) had MACE. The GRACE score was higher in patients with no-reflow than those without no-reflow. Multivariate logistic regression established that the GRACE score was an independent predictor for coronary no-reflow (OR=1.034; P=0.002). And multivariate Cox analysis showed the GRACE score was an independent predictor of MACE. The area under the ROC curve for coronary no-reflow and MACE was 0.719 and 0.697, respectively. Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that the probability of rehospitalization for heart failure, reinfarction, all-cause death and cumulative cardiovascular events increased with the increase of the GRACE risk score. 【Conclusion】 The GRACE risk score is a readily available predictive scoring system for coronary no-reflow and MACE in STEMI patients.

Combination of TyG Index and GRACE Risk Score as Long-Term Prognostic Marker in Patients with ACS Complicated with T2DM Undergoing PCI.

Objective: We aimed to investigate the prognostic value of the triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index combined the with Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events (GRACE) score in adult acute coronary syndrome (ACS) patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) who underwent percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). Methods: The study enrolled total 899 ACS patients with T2DM who underwent PCI. TyG index and the GRACE risk score were calculated and assessed by median. The correlation was analyzed by Spearman's rank correlation coefficient. The cumulative major adverse cardiovascular event (MACE) curve was generated using the Kaplan-Meier method. Multivariate Cox regression was used to identify predictors of MACEs. Additionally, the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC), net reclassification index (NRI) and Integrated Discrimination Improvement (IDI) were applied to analyze the performance of each single factor index and combined multivariate index in predicting MACE. Results: In the ACS patients with T2DM after PCI, there were significant differences in the TyG index and GRACE risk score between the MACE group and the MACE-free group (P < 0.001). Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that the TyG index combined with the GRACE risk score was positively correlated with the occurrence of MACEs (log rank P < 0.001). Multivariate Cox regression analyses showed that the TyG index, the GRACE risk score, and the TyG index combined with the GRACE risk score were independent predictors of long-term MACEs (adjusted HR: 1.805; 95% CI: 1.479-2.203, P < 0.001; adjusted HR: 1.012; 95% CI: 1.009-1.016, P < 0.001; and adjusted HR: 2.337; 95% CI: 1.805-3.025, P < 0.001, respectively). Correlation analysis indicated that the TyG index was positively correlated with the GRACE risk score (R = 0.140, P < 0.001). The analysis of AUC, NRI and IDI revealed that the combined multivariate index performed better prognostic role than each single factor index in predicting the occurrence of MACE. Conclusion: Both the GRACE risk score and the TyG index could be significant and independent predictors of clinical outcomes in ACS patients with T2DM after PCI. A combination of them could be enhanced predictions of clinical outcomes in these patients.

The role of 12-lead electrocardiogram in the risk stratification of non-ST elevation acute coronary syndrome and the correlation with coronary angiography - The CINCHONa study - A prospective cohort study in Northern India.

Background: Clinical guidelines recommend risk stratification of non-ST elevation acute coronary syndrome (NST-ACS) using the GRACE risk score. However, the GRACE risk score is not followed widely in clinical practice due to various reasons. Our primary objectives of this study were to correlate the presenting electrocardiogram (ECG) of NST-ACS with coronary angiography (CAG) findings and to identify specific ECG changes that are suggestive of severe coronary artery disease (CAD) thus helping to triage all patients with NST-ACS. Materials and Methods: This prospective observational study was undertaken on patients diagnosed with NST-ACS in a medical college hospital, in Northern India over one and a ½ years. The admission ECG of the patients was compared with CAG findings to find out the correlation between the two with respect to severity of CAD. Categorical and quantitative variables were compared using the Chi-square test and independent t-test, respectively. Odds ratio (OR) were calculated using the univariate logistic regression analysis. Results: On comparing the two groups with normal and abnormal ECG, we found that smokers had significantly higher odds of having an abnormal ECG (OR 3.31; 95% confidence interval [CI] [1.29-8.50]). Patients with an abnormal ECG had significantly lower left ventricular ejection fraction compared to those with normal ECG (52.01 ± 10.56 vs. 55.96 ± 6.13%, P = 0.045). The patients with severe CAD on CAG had significantly higher odds of abnormal ECG (OR 3.68, 95% CI [1.2311.04]). Of the specific ECG abnormalities, ST depression and T-wave inversion in same or different leads were significantly associated with severity of CAD (OR 0.13, 95% CI [0.04-0.43], P = 0.001 and OR 0.13, 95% CI [0.03-0.46], P = 0.002, respectively). Conclusion: The identification of ECG changes suggestive of high-risk CAD can dictate to transfer such patients without delay to a percutaneous coronary intervention capable hospital for urgent CAG with intent to revascularization, thus helping in risk stratification of NST-ACS at the community level.

Résumé Contexte: Les directives cliniques recommandent la stratification du risque de syndrome coronarien aigu sans élévation du segment ST (SCA-NST) à l'aide du GRACE cote de risque. Cependant, le score de risque GRACE n'est pas largement suivi dans la pratique clinique pour diverses raisons. Nos objectifs premiers de cette étude étaient de corréler l'électrocardiogramme (ECG) de présentation du NST-ACS avec les résultats de l'angiographie coronarienne (CAG) et de identifier les modifications spécifiques de l'ECG qui suggèrent une maladie coronarienne (CAD) sévère, aidant ainsi au triage de tous les patients atteints de NST-ACS. Matériels et Méthodes: Cette étude observationnelle prospective a été entreprise sur des patients diagnostiqués avec un NST-ACS dans une faculté de médecine. hôpital, dans le nord de l'Inde pendant un an et demi. L'ECG d'admission des patients a été comparé aux résultats du CAG pour déterminer la corrélation entre les deux par rapport à la sévérité de la coronaropathie. Les variables catégorielles et quantitatives ont été comparées à l'aide du test du Chi-carré et test t indépendant, respectivement. Les rapports de cotes (OR) ont été calculés à l'aide de l'analyse de régression logistique univariée. Résultats: En comparant les deux groupes avec un ECG normal et anormal, nous avons constaté que les fumeurs avaient une probabilité significativement plus élevée d'avoir un ECG anormal (OR 3,31 ; Intervalle de confiance à 95 % [IC] [1,29­8,50]). Les patients avec un ECG anormal avaient une fraction d'éjection ventriculaire gauche significativement inférieure à à ceux ayant un ECG normal (52,01 ± 10,56 vs 55,96 ± 6,13 %, P = 0,045). Les patients atteints de coronaropathie sévère sur CAG avaient des taux significativement plus élevés risque d'ECG anormal (OR 3,68, IC à 95 % [1,2311,04]). Parmi les anomalies spécifiques de l'ECG, le sous-décalage du segment ST et l'inversion de l'onde T dans le même ou différentes dérivations étaient significativement associées à la sévérité de la coronaropathie (OR 0,13, IC 95 % [0,04­0,43], P = 0,001 et OR 0,13, IC 95 % [0,03­0,46], P = 0,002, respectivement). Conclusion: L'identification des modifications de l'ECG suggérant une coronaropathie à haut risque peut dicter le transfert de ces patients sans délai vers un hôpital capable d'intervention coronarienne percutanée pour CAG urgent avec intention de revascularisation, contribuant ainsi au risque stratification du NST-ACS au niveau communautaire. Mots-clés: Syndrome coronarien aigu, coronarographie, électrocardiogramme, score de risque GRACE, coronarien aigu sans sus-décalage du segment ST syndrome.

Prognostic performance of GRACE and TIMI risk scores in critically ill patients with sepsis and a concomitant myocardial infarction.

BACKGROUND: Identifying which patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI) during sepsis are at risk of poor outcome is a clinical challenge. AIM: To evaluate Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events (GRACE) and Thrombolysis In Myocardial Infarction (TIMI) risk scores to predict in-hospital mortality and severe ischaemic events in this setting. METHODS: In this single-centre retrospective study conducted from 2012 to 2016, all consecutive adults hospitalized in the intensive care unit for sepsis who had a concomitant AMI (within 72hours of admission) were enrolled. AMI was defined by an elevated cardiac troponin I value associated with at least one sign (clinical, electrocardiographic or echocardiographic) suggestive of myocardial ischaemia. The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality from any cause. Secondary outcomes were in-hospital occurrence of severe ischaemic events (cardiac arrest with resuscitation, ischaemic stroke and myocardial reinfarction) and major bleeding events. RESULTS: Among 856 patients hospitalized for sepsis, 120 (14.5%) had a concomitant AMI (37.5% women; median age 65 years; median Sequential Organ Failure Assessment [SOFA] score 8). Severe ischaemic events occurred in 15 patients (12.5%), and 39 (33%) died in hospital. Neither the GRACE score (median 192, interquartile range 154-223) nor the TIMI score (median 3, interquartile range 2-4) was associated with occurrence of severe ischaemic events. Only the GRACE score was associated with in-hospital mortality (odds ratio 1.01, 95% confidence interval 1.00-1.02 per 1 point increase). Multivariable analysis identified previous aspirin use and SOFA score as independent factors associated with in-hospital mortality. CONCLUSIONS: GRACE and TIMI scores did not predict in-hospital severe ischaemic events and mortality in patients with AMI during sepsis. Among individual components of both scores, previous aspirin use was associated with poor prognosis. However, because of lack of statistical power, we cannot formally rule out the usefulness of these scores in this setting.

Prognostic Impact of Multiple Lymphocyte-Based Inflammatory Indices in Acute Coronary Syndrome Patients.

Background: The aim of this study was to evaluate the prognostic values of five lymphocyte-based inflammatory indices (platelet-lymphocyte ratio [PLR], neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio [NLR], monocyte-lymphocyte ratio [MLR], systemic immune inflammation index [SII], and system inflammation response index [SIRI]) in patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS). Methods: A total of 1,701 ACS patients who underwent percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) were included in this study and followed up for major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) including all-cause death, non-fatal ischemic stroke, and non-fatal myocardial infarction. The five indices were stratified by the optimal cutoff value for comparison. The association between each of the lymphocyte-based inflammatory indices and MACE was assessed by the Cox proportional hazards regression analysis. Results: During the median follow-up of 30 months, 107 (6.3%) MACE were identified. The multivariate COX analysis showed that all five indices were independent predictors of MACE, and SIRI seemingly performed best (Hazard ratio [HR]: 3.847; 95% confidence interval [CI]: [2.623-5.641]; p < 0.001; C-statistic: 0.794 [0.731-0.856]). The addition of NLR, MLR, SII, or SIRI to the Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events (GRACE) risk score, especially SIRI (C-statistic: 0.699 [0.646-0.753], p < 0.001; net reclassification improvement [NRI]: 0.311 [0.209-0.407], p < 0.001; integrated discrimination improvement [IDI]: 0.024 [0.010-0.046], p < 0.001), outperformed the GRACE risk score alone in the risk predictive performance. Conclusion: Lymphocyte-based inflammatory indices were significantly and independently associated with MACE in ACS patients who underwent PCI. SIRI seemed to be better than the other four indices in predicting MACE, and the combination of SIRI with the GRACE risk score could predict MACE more accurately.

Admission high-sensitivity C-reactive protein levels improve the Grace risk score prediction on in-hospital outcomes in acute myocardial infarction patients.

BACKGROUND: Acute myocardial infarction (AMI) is the main cause of death and disability in cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases. Both the Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events (Grace) score and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP) were associated with prognosis in patients with AMI. However, whether the addition of the hs-CRP to Grace risk score could improve the predictive power of Grace risk score on the prognosis of patients with AMI is unclear. HYPOTHESIS: We hypothesized that the inclusion of hs-CRP in the Grace risk score could improve the ability to correctly distinguish the occurrence of in-hospital outcomes. METHODS: We retrospectively enrolled 1804 patients with AMI in the final analysis. Patients were divided into four groups by hs-CRP quartiles. The relation between hs-CRP and Grace risk score was analyzed by Spearman rank correlation. Logistic regression was used to identify independent risk factors. The predictive value of hs-CRP add to Grace risk score was evaluated by C-statistic, net reclassification improvement (NRI), integrated differentiation improvement (IDI), calibration plot, and decision curve analysis. RESULTS: The hs-CRP and Grace risk score had a significantly positive correlation (r = .191, p < .001). hs-CRP combined with Grace risk score could improve the ability of Grace risk score alone to correctly redistinguish the occurrence of in-hospital outcome (C-statistic = 0.819, p < .001; NRI = 0.05956, p = .007; IDI = 0.0757, p < .001). CONCLUSION: Admission hs-CRP level was a significant independent risk factor for in-hospital outcomes in patients with AMI. The inclusion of hs-CRP in the Grace risk score could improve the ability to correctly distinguish the occurrence of in-hospital outcomes.

Impact of nutritional status on prognosis in acute myocardial infarction patients undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention.

BACKGROUND: Malnutrition affects the prognosis of cardiovascular disease. Acute myocardial infarction (AMI) has been a major cause of death around the world. Thus, we investigated the impact of malnutrition as defined by Geriatric Nutritional Risk Index (GNRI) on mortality in AMI patients. METHODS: In 268 consecutive AMI patients who underwent percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI), associations between all-cause death and baseline characteristics including malnutrition (GNRI < 92.0) and Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events (GRACE) risk score were assessed. RESULTS: Thirty-three patients died after PCI. Mortality was higher in the 51 malnourished patients than in the 217 non-malnourished patients, both within 1 month after PCI (p < 0.001) and beyond 1 month after PCI (p = 0.017). Multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression modelling using age, left ventricular ejection fraction and GRACE risk score showed malnutrition correlated significantly with all-cause death within 1 month after PCI (hazard ratio [HR] 7.04; 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.30-21.51; p < 0.001) and beyond 1 month after PCI (HR 3.10; 95% CI 1.70-8.96; p = 0.037). There were no significant differences in area under the receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve between GRACE risk score and GNRI for predicting all-cause death within 1 month after PCI (0.90 vs. 0.81; p = 0.074) or beyond 1 month after PCI (0.69 vs. 0.71; p = 0.87). Calibration plots comparing actual and predicted mortality confirmed that GNRI (p = 0.006) was more predictive of outcome than GRACE risk score (p = 0.85) beyond 1 month after PCI. Furthermore, comparison of p-value for interaction of malnutrition and GRACE risk score for all-cause death within 1 month after PCI, beyond 1 month after PCI, and the full follow-up period after PCI were p = 0.62, p = 0.64 and p = 0.38, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: GNRI may have a potential for predicting the mortality in AMI patients especially in beyond 1 month after PCI, separate from GRACE risk score. Assessment of nutritional status may help stratify the risk of AMI mortality.

Hypofunction of Circulating Endothelial Progenitor Cells and Aggravated Severity in Elderly Male Patients With Non-ST Segment Elevation Myocardial Infarction: Its Association With Systemic Inflammation.

Background: Aging patients easily suffer from non-ST segment elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI). Our previous studies revealed declined function of endothelial progenitor cells (EPCs) in the elderly. However, the impact of aging on EPC function and severity in male NSTEMI patients and its possible mechanism is unclear until now. Methods: We measured the circulating EPC function including migration, proliferation, and adhesion in aging or young male patients with NSTEMI. The GRACE and TIMI risk score were evaluated. Plasma levels of interleukin-6 (IL-6) and interleukin-17 (IL-17) were also detected in all patients. Results: Compared with the young group, the old male patients with NSTEMI had higher GRACE score and TIMI score and decreased function of circulating EPCs. EPC function was negatively correlated with GRACE score and TIMI score. IL-6 and IL-17 level were higher in the old group than those in the young group. There was a significant negative correlation between EPC function and IL-6 or IL-17. Moreover, IL-6 and IL-17 positively correlated with GRACE and TIMI score. Age was positively related with GRACE or TIMI score and plasma level of IL-6 or IL-17, but inversely correlated with EPC function. Conclusions: The current study firstly illustrates that the age-related decrement in EPC function is related to the severity of NSTEMI in male patients, which may be connected with systemic inflammation. These findings provide novel insights into the pathogenetic mechanism and intervention target of aging NSTEMI.

External validation of the GRACE risk score 2.0 in the contemporary all-comers GLOBAL LEADERS trial.

OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to assess the predictive ability of the Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events (GRACE) risk score 2.0 in contemporary acute coronary syndrome (ACS) patients, and its relation to antiplatelet strategies. BACKGROUND: The predictive value of the GRACE risk score in the contemporary ACS cohort and the appropriate antiplatelet regimen according to the risk remain unclear. METHODS: This is a subgroup analysis of the all-comers, randomized GLOBAL LEADERS trial, comparing ticagrelor monotherapy versus conventional dual-antiplatelet therapy (DAPT) after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). The GRACE risk score 2.0 with 1-year mortality prediction was implemented. The randomized antiplatelet effect was assessed in predefined three GRACE risk-groups; low-risk (GRACE <109), moderate-risk (GRACE 109-140), and high-risk (GRACE >140). RESULTS: The GRACE risk score was available in 6,594 out of 7,487 ACS patients among whom 1,743, 2,823, and 2,028 patients were classified as low-risk, moderate-risk, and high-risk, respectively. At 1 year, all-cause mortality occurred in 120 patients (1.8%). The discrimination ability of the GRACE model was moderate (C-statistic = 0.742), whereas 1-year mortality risk was overestimated (mean predicted mortality rate: 3.9%; the Hosmer-Lemeshow chi-square: 21.47; p = 0.006). There were no significant interactions between the GRACE risk strata and effects of the ticagrelor monotherapy on ischemic or bleeding outcomes at 1 year compared to the reference strategy. CONCLUSION: The GRACE risk score 2.0 is valuable in discriminating high risk ACS patients, however, the recalibration of the score is recommended for better risk stratification. There is no significant differences in efficacy and safety of ticagrelor monotherapy across the three GRACE risk strata.

Clinical impact of estimated plasma volume status and its additive effect with the GRACE risk score on in-hospital and long-term mortality for acute myocardial infarction.

BACKGROUND: Estimated plasma volume status (ePVS) is a well-validated prognostic indicator in heart failure. However, it remains unclear whether ePVS has prognostic significance in patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI). Moreover, there is no available information on its additive effect with the Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events (GRACE) risk score in AMI patients. METHODS: Data were obtained from the Osaka Acute Coronary Insufficiency Study (OACIS) registry database. Patients whose data were available for ePVS derived from Hakim's formula and the GRACE risk score were studied. The primary endpoints were in-hospital and 5-year mortality. RESULTS: Of 3930 patients, 206 and 200 patients died during hospitalization and 5 years after discharge, respectively. After adjustment, ePVS remained an independent predictor of in-hospital death (OR:1.02, 95% CI: 1.00-1.04, p = 0.036), and 5-year mortality(HR:1.03, 95% CI: 1.01-1.04, p < 0.001). An additive effect of ePVS with the GRACE risk score was observed in predicting the 5-year mortality with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) from 0.744 to 0.763 (p = 0.026), but not in-hospital mortality (the AUC changed from 0.875 to 0.875, p = 0.529). The incremental predictive value of combining ePVS and the GRACE risk score for 5-year mortality was significantly improved, as shown by the net reclassification improvement (NRI:0.378, p < 0.001) and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI:0.014, p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: In patients with AMI, ePVS independently predicted in-hospital and long-term mortality. In addition, ePVS had an additive effect with the GRACE risk score on long-term mortality. Therefore, ePVS may be useful for identifying high-risk subjects for intensive treatment.

Prognostic Value of GRACE Risk Scores in Patients With Non-ST-Elevation Myocardial Infarction With Non-obstructive Coronary Arteries.

Myocardial infarction with non-obstructive coronary arteries (MINOCA) is a special type of myocardial infarction (MI). The GRACE risk score is commonly used to predict major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) in non-ST-elevation myocardial infarction patients, and the suitability of the GRACE risk score for prognostic stratification in patients with MINOCA remains uncertain. This study aimed to investigate whether the GRACE risk score is capable of predicting MACE in MINOCA patients with NSTE. We calculated the GRACE risk score for 340 consecutive MINOCA patients with NSTE. Patients were divided into a low-intermediate risk group (≤ 140, 48.8%) and a high risk group (>140, 51.2%) according to their GRACE risk scores. The clinical characteristics and outcomes of the patients were assessed. Patients in the high risk group tended to be older and to have more comorbidities. At the 1-year follow-up, the rate of cardiac death in the high risk group was significantly higher than that in the low-intermediate-risk group (p = 0.010). There was no significant difference in non-fatal MI, stroke, heart failure, or cardiovascular-related rehospitalization. The incidence of total MACE was significantly higher in patients with high GRACE risk scores than in patients with low GRACE risk scores (p = 0.006). ROC curve analysis showed that the GRACE risk score has moderate value in predicting MACE in NSTE-MINOCA patients. The area under the ROC curve was 0.710 (95% CI 0.625-0.796, P < 0.001). The GRACE risk score provides potentially valuable prognostic information on clinical outcome when applied to MINOCA patients with NSTE.

Prognostic value of GRACE score for in-hospital and 6 months outcomes after non-ST elevation acute coronary syndrome.

BACKGROUND: The aim of this study was to determine the predictive value of the Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events (GRACE) score for predicting in-hospital and 6 months mortality after non-ST elevation acute coronary syndrome (NSTE-ACS). RESULTS: In this observational study, 300 patients with NSTE-ACS of age more than 30 years were included; 16 patients died during the hospital stay (5.3%). Of 284 patients at 6 months assessment, 10 patients died (3.5%), 240 survived (84.5%), and 34 were lost to follow-up (12%) respectively. In high risk category, 10.5% of the patients died within hospital stay and 11.8% died within 6 months (p = 0.001 and p = 0.013). In univariate analysis, gender, diabetes mellitus, family history, smoking, and GRACE score were significantly associated with in-hospital mortality whereas age, obesity, dyslipidemia, and GRACE were significantly associated with 6 months mortality. After adjustment, diabetes mellitus, family history, and GRACE score remained significantly associated with in-hospital mortality (p ≤ 0.05) and age remained significantly associated with 6 months mortality. CONCLUSION: GRACE risk score has good predictive value for the prediction of in-hospital mortality and 6 months mortality among patients with NSTE-ACS.

The predictive value of the HEART and GRACE scores for major adverse cardiac events in patients with acute chest pain.

The history, electrocardiogram, age, risk factors, troponin (HEART) and global registry of acute coronary events (GRACE) scoring systems are commonly used to risk stratify patients with chest pain. This study investigated the application of these scores in predicting the short-term risk of a major adverse cardiac event (MACE) in patients with chest. A total of 509 patients were analyzed. All patients were followed up for 30 days after visiting our emergency department. At 30 days post-admission, the primary outcome (MACE) was recorded in 92 patients (18.1%), 88 (95.6%) of whom had experienced an acute myocardial infarction. Thirty-seven (40.2%) of the patients with a MACE underwent percutaneous coronary intervention and six patients (6.5%) died. The HEART and GRACE scores were both significantly higher in patients who developed a MACE than in those without (P < 0.05). The HEART and GRACE scores had c-statistic values of 0.811 (95% CI 0.774-0.844) and 0.648 (95% CI 0.603-0.688), respectively. The Hosmer-Lemeshow statistic revealed that the HEART and GRACE scores had values of 8.68 (P = 0.39) and 10.45 (P = 0.11), respectively. The percentages of patients with HEART scores of 0-3, 4-6, and 7-10 were 3.0%, 26.2%, and 46.3%, respectively, in those with a MACE within 30 days. The findings show that while both scoring systems are useful, the HEART score is superior to the GRACE score for predicting the occurrence of MACE within 30 days in patients with chest pain.

Adjustment of the GRACE Risk Score by Monocyte to High-Density Lipoprotein Ratio Improves Prediction of Adverse Cardiovascular Outcomes in Patients With Acute Coronary Syndrome Undergoing Percutaneous Coronary Intervention.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The monocyte to high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio (MHR), a novel marker for inflammation and lipid metabolism, has been demonstrated to be associated with poor prognosis in many patient populations. However, the prognostic influence of MHR in patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS) undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) is poorly understood. Here, we sought to investigate the relationship between MHR and adverse cardiovascular (CV) outcomes in such patients and determine whether MHR could improve the GRACE risk score based prognostic models. METHODS AND RESULTS: MHR was applied to 1,720 patients with ACS undergoing PCI who were admitted to our CV center from June 2016 to November 2017. These patients were stratified into three groups according to MHR tertiles. The relationship between MHR and the primary endpoint (overall death, non-fatal stroke, non-fatal myocardial infarction, or unplanned repeat revascularization) was examined by Cox proportional hazards regression analysis. During a median follow-up of 31 months, 353 patients had at least one primary endpoint event. Compared with those in the lowest MHR tertile, patients in the middle and highest tertiles [adjusted HR: 1.541 (95% CI: 1.152-2.060) and 1.800 (95%CI: 1.333-2.432), respectively], had a higher risk of the primary endpoint. The addition of MHR has an incremental effect on the predictive ability of the GRACE risk score for the primary endpoint (cNRI: 0.136, P < 0.001; IDI: 0.006, P < 0.001). CONCLUSION: MHR was independently and significantly associated with adverse CV outcomes in ACS patients who underwent PCI and improved the predictive ability of the GRACE risk score based prognostic models. REGISTRATION NUMBER: http://www.chictr.org.cn/hvshowproject.aspx?id=21397; ChiCTR1800017417.

A risk score model to predict in-hospital mortality of patients with end-stage renal disease and acute myocardial infarction.

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) significantly increases the rate of adverse cardiovascular events in patients with coronary artery disease. In this study, we aimed to establish a risk score (RS) model to predict in-hospital mortality risk in patients with end-stage renal disease (ESRD) and acute myocardial infarction (AMI). A total of 113 consecutive patients with ESRD and AMI were retrospectively enrolled between January 1, 2015 and December 31, 2019. All patients received regular hemodialysis and were divided into two groups according to the prognosis during hospitalization. Univariable and multivariable logistic regression analyses were used to identify the risk factors of in-hospital mortality. A RS model was developed based on multiple regression analysis and was internally validated using 1000 bootstrap analysis. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was performed, and the area under curve (AUC) was analyzed to evaluate the performance of the RS model. AUCs were compared using the Z test. Thirty-three patients died during hospitalization, resulting in in-hospital mortality rate of 29.2%. After multivariate logistic regression, an RS model (0-8) was established based on five independent factors that were assigned with different points according to relative coefficients (coefficient of the index risk factor divided by the lowest coefficient among these five risk factors; rounded to closest integer): 1 for C-reactive protein (CRP) ≥ 14.2 mg/L and left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) ≤ V3%; 2 for age ≥ 65 years old, heart rate (HR) at admission ≥ 86 beats per minute (bpm) and D-dimer ≥ 2.4 mg/L FEU. The present RS model had a sensitivity of 85.7%, the specificity of 84%, and an accuracy of 78.1%. In ROC curve analysis, the model demonstrated a good discriminate power in predicting in-hospital mortality (AUC = 0.895, 95% CI 0.814-0.96; P < 0.001), which was significantly better than the predictive power of the Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events risk score (GRACE RS) (AUC = 0.754, 95% CI 0.641-0.868; P < 0.001 after Z test). A novel RS model, which was established to help predict in-hospital mortality of patients with ESRD and AMI, was easy to use and had higher accuracy than the GRACE RS.