Prevalência, incidência e caracterização sociodemográfica e clínica das pessoas com estoma de eliminação em Portugal / Prevalence, incidence, and sociodemographic and clinical characterization of individuals with an intestinal or urinary stoma in Portugal / Prevalencia, incidencia y caracterización sociodemográfica y clínica de las personas con ostomía de eliminación en Portugal

Resumo Enquadramento: Dados que caracterizam as pessoas com estoma em Portugal são escassos. Estabelecer estimativas epidemiológicas pode melhorar o conhecimento sobre esta população e adaptar modelos de cuidados de saúde. Objetivos: Estimar a prevalência e incidência de pessoas com estoma de eliminação em Portugal em 2021. Metodologia: Estudo observacional, longitudinal e retrospetivo, a partir de uma base de dados de dispensa de dispositivos para ostomia. Resultados: Em 2021, o número estimado de pessoas com pelo menos um estoma foi de 22.045. Entre estes, 19.793 [IC95%:19.599;19.994] tinham um estoma de eliminação. Na sua maioria eram homens (61,4%), em média tinham 70,5 anos e residiam preferencialmente na região interior do país. O tipo de estoma de eliminação mais prevalente foi a colostomia (48,8%). A incidência estimada de novos casos foi de 6.622, sendo 5.834 [IC95%:5.680;5.984] referentes a estomas de eliminação. Conclusão: Estes resultados permitiram caracterizar o perfil das pessoas com estoma de eliminação em Portugal. Poderão ser úteis para ajustar os programas de prevenção/acompanhamento em saúde desta população e ainda alocar recursos especializados.

Abstract Background: Data characterizing individuals with a stoma in Portugal is limited. Establishing epidemiological estimates can enhance understanding of this population and facilitate the adaptation of healthcare models. Objectives: To estimate the prevalence and incidence of individuals in Portugal who have undergone intestinal or urinary ostomy in 2021. Methodology: Observational, longitudinal, and retrospective study using a stoma appliance dispensing database. Results: In 2021, an estimated 22,045 individuals had at least one stoma, with 19,793 [95%CI:19,599;19,994] having an intestinal/urinary stoma. Most of these individuals were men (61.4%) with a mean age of 70.5 years and resided in the inland region of Portugal. Colostomy was the most prevalent type of intestinal/urinary stoma (48.8%). The estimated incidence of new cases was 6,622, of which 5,834 [95%CI:5,680;5,984] were intestinal/urinary stomas. Conclusion: These results characterize the profile of individuals with intestinal and urinary stomas in Portugal. They may be useful in adjusting prevention and health monitoring programs for this population and allocating specialized resources.

Resumen Marco contextual: Los datos que caracterizan a las personas con estomas en Portugal son escasos. Establecer estimaciones epidemiológicas puede mejorar el conocimiento sobre esta población y adaptar modelos sanitarios. Objetivos: Estimar la prevalencia y la incidencia de personas con estoma de eliminación en Portugal en 2021. Metodología: Estudio observacional, longitudinal y retrospectivo, basado en una base de datos de dispensaciones de dispositivos de ostomía. Resultados: En 2021, el número estimado de personas con al menos un estoma era de 22.045, de las cuales 19.793 [IC95%:19.599;19.994] tenían un estoma de eliminación. La mayoría de ellos eran hombres (61,4%), tenían una edad media de 70,5 años y vivían principalmente en el interior del país. El tipo de estoma de eliminación más frecuente era la colostomía (48,8%). La incidencia estimada de nuevos casos fue de 6.622, de los cuales 5.834 [IC95%:5.680;5.984] eran estomas de eliminación. Conclusión: Estos resultados han permitido caracterizar el perfil de las personas con estoma de eliminación en Portugal. Podrían ser útiles para ajustar los programas de prevención/seguimiento de la salud de esta población y para asignar recursos especializados.

Heterogeneity in the effect of type 2 diabetes on dementia incidence in a diverse cohort of Asian American and non-Latino White older adults.

Dementia incidence is lower among Asian Americans than Whites, despite higher prevalence of type 2 diabetes, a well-known dementia risk factor. Determinants of dementia, including type 2 diabetes, have rarely been studied in Asian Americans. We followed 4,846 Chinese, 4,129 Filipino, 2,784 Japanese, 820 South Asian, and 123,360 non-Latino White members of a California-based integrated healthcare delivery system from 2002-2020. We estimated dementia incidence rates by race/ethnicity and type 2 diabetes status, and fit Cox proportional hazards and Aalen additive hazards models for the effect of type 2 diabetes (assessed 5 years before baseline) on age of dementia diagnosis controlling for sex/gender, educational attainment, nativity, height, race/ethnicity, and a race/ethnicity*diabetes interaction. Type 2 diabetes was associated with higher dementia incidence in Whites (hazard ratio [HR] 1.46, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.40-1.52). Compared with Whites, the estimated effect of diabetes was larger in South Asians (2.26 [1.48-3.44]), slightly smaller in Chinese (1.32 [1.08-1.62]) and Filipino (1.31 [1.08-1.60]), and similar in Japanese (1.44 [1.15-1.81]) individuals. Heterogeneity in this association across Asian subgroups may be related to type 2 diabetes severity. Understanding this heterogeneity may inform prevention strategies to prevent dementia for all racial and ethnic groups.

Multiple sclerosis in Central America and Caribbean countries: frequency and clinical characterization of an emergent disease.

Background: Multiple Sclerosis (MS) is a common neurological disease among white populations of European origin. Frequencies among Latin Americans continue to be studied, however, epidemiologic, and clinical characterization studies lack from Central American and Caribbean countries. Ethnicity in these countries is uniformly similar with a prevalent Mestizo population. Methods and results: Data from January 2014 to December 2019 from Guatemala, El Salvador, Honduras, Nicaragua, Costa Rica, Panama, Dominican Republic, and Aruba on demographic, clinical, MRI and phenotypic traits were determined in coordinated studies: ENHANCE, a population-based, retrospective, observational study on incidence and clinical characteristics, and from the subgroup with MS national registries (Aruba, Dominican Republic, Honduras, and Panama), data on prevalence, phenotypes and demographics. Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS), and therapeutic schemes were included. ENHANCE data from 758 patients disclosed 79.8% of Mestizo ethnicity; 72.4% female; median age at onset 31.0 years and 33.2 at diagnosis. The highest incidence rate was from Aruba, 2.3-3.5 × 100,000 inhabitants, and the lowest, 0.07-0.15 × 100,000, from Honduras. Crude prevalence rates per 100,000 inhabitants fluctuated from 27.3 (Aruba) to 1.0 (Honduras). Relapsing MS accounted for 87.4% of cases; EDSS <3.0 determined in 66.6% (mean disease duration: 9.1 years, SD ± 5.0); CSF oligoclonal bands 85.7%, and 87% of subjects hydroxyvitamin D deficient. Common initial therapies were interferon and fingolimod. Switching from interferon to fingolimod was the most common escalation step. The COVID-19 pandemic affected follow-up aspects of these studies. Conclusion: This is the first study providing data on frequencies and clinical characteristics from 8 countries from the Central American and Caribbean region, addressing MS as an emergent epidemiologic disorder. More studies from these areas are encouraged.

COVID-19-related temporary disability in healthcare workers in Spain during the four first pandemic waves.

Healthcare workers (HCW) have been the professional category most exposed to SARS-CoV-2. The pandemic's impact on HCW was analyzed in terms of COVID-19-related temporary disability (TD) between February 15th, 2020 and May 1st, 2021. TDs in HCW for COVID-19 infection or quarantine were described. TD quarantine/infection ratios and TDs per 100,000 affiliated HCW were compared with the cumulative incidence (CI) of COVID-19 cases notified to the National Network of Epidemiological Surveillance. TDs rates by economic activity and occupation were computed. A total of 429,127 TDs were recorded, 36,6% for infection. Three-quarters (76%) were women. The median TD quarantine/infection ratio was 2.5 (Interquartile range [IQR] 1.5-3.9). TDs rates in HCW were always above the CI except for the last two months of the fourth wave. Hospital activities accounted for 84% of TDs and showed the highest TD rate for infection (8,279/100,000). Nursing professionals and midwifery, Physicians, and Nursing assistants accounted for 26, 18 and 17 % of the conceded TD respectively, whereas the highest TDs rates were registered among Nursing assistants, Nursing professionals and Physicians: 7,426, 6,925 and 5,508/100,000, respectively. The results indicate the high impact of COVID-19 on HCW in Spain and it's inequalities. They also confirm that TDs represent a complementary source of information for epidemiological and public health surveillance and could provide an early warning of new emerging infections.

Global incidence and prevalence of malignant orbital tumors.

Purpose: Aims to provide an overview of the contemporary epidemiology of malignant orbital tumors by analyzing population-based incidence patterns across various regions worldwide. Methods: In this article, we retrieved orbital malignancy data from the MEDLINE database and analyzed the incidence and prevalence of orbital malignancies worldwide. We performed the literature search by searching on the Mesh terms for malignant orbital tumors ("orbital", "tumor", "lymphoma", "malignant", "cancer", "incidence", and "epidemiology"). All included studies were published between 1993 and 2023 and were written in English. Results: Ocular or ophthalmic lymphoma most frequently occurred in the orbit, with a prevalence ranging from 47% to 54%. The incidence of malignant orbital tumors was increasing in the USA (2.0 per million (1981-1993), Netherlands (0.86 (1981-1985) to 2.49 (2001-2005) per million) and South Korea (0.3-0.8 per million (1999-2016)), respectively. Ophthalmic lymphoma which includes orbit lymphoma was increasing in Canada (0.17-1.47 per million (1992-2010)), Denmark (0.86 per million (1981-1985) to 2.49 per million (2001-2005)), respectively. Conclusions: The predominant primary malignant orbital tumor in adults was lymphoma. Ocular or ophthalmic lymphoma most frequently occured in the orbit. The limited data available suggested an increasing trend in the incidence of malignant orbital tumors in each country included, which were mainly attributed to the increase in lymphoma. Generally, incidence rates were found to increase with advancing age, with no difference between males and females.

Incidence of myopia in Swedish schoolchildren: A longitudinal study.

PURPOSE: The prevalence of myopia in Scandinavia tends to be lower than in other parts of the world. This study aimed to investigate the incidence of myopia and its predictors in Swedish children to characterise this trend. METHODS: A 2-year longitudinal study was conducted following a cohort of schoolchildren aged 8-16 years. Myopia was defined as a spherical equivalent refraction (SER) ≤ -0.50 D. The study enrolled 128 participants, 70 (55%) females with a mean age of 12.0 years (SD = 2.4). RESULTS: The cumulative incidence of myopia during the follow-up period was 5.5%, and the incidence rate of myopia was 3.2 cases per 100 person-years. Participants with myopia at baseline exhibited a faster increase in refractive error during the follow-up period. Likewise, participants with two myopic parents exhibited a more marked change towards myopia, regardless of their initial refractive error. CONCLUSION: In the current study, similar to prevalence, the incidence of myopia was low when compared with other parts of the world. These results lead us to formulate a new hypothesis that the normal emmetropisation process may be protected by low educational pressure practised in Sweden during early childhood. Further research is necessary to test this new hypothesis.

Incidence and mortality trends of primary cutaneous melanoma: A 50-year Rochester Epidemiologic Project study.

Background: National cancer reporting-based registry data, although robust, lacks granularity for incidence trends. Expert opinion remains conflicted regarding the possibility of melanoma overdiagnosis in the context of rising incidence without a corresponding rise in mortality. Objective: To characterize 10- and 50-year trends in melanoma incidence and mortality. Methods: Multicenter, population-based epidemiologic study utilizing the Rochester Epidemiology Project for Olmsted County, Minnesota residents diagnosed with melanoma from 01/01/1970 to 12/21/2020. Age- and sex-adjusted incidence and disease-specific mortality are calculated. Results: Two thousand three hundred ten primary cutaneous melanomas were identified. Current age- and sex-adjusted incidence rates increased 11.1-fold since 1970s (P < .001). Over the last decade, there is an overall 1.21-fold (P < .002) increase, with a 1.36-fold increase (P < .002) among females and no significant increase among males (1.09-fold increase, P < .329). Melanoma-specific mortality decreased from 26.7% in 1970s to 1.5% in 2010s, with a hazard ratio (HR) reduction of 0.73 (P < .001) per 5-year period. Increased mortality was associated with Breslow thickness (HR 1.35, P < .001), age at diagnosis (HR 1.13, P = .001) left anatomic site (HR 1.98, P = .016), and nodular histogenic subtype (HR 3.08, P < .001). Limitations: Retrospective nature and focused geographic investigation. Conclusion: Melanoma incidence has continued to increase over the past decade, most significantly in females aged 40+. Trend variations among age and sex cohorts suggests external factors beyond overdiagnosis may be responsible. Disease-specific mortality of melanoma continues to decrease over the last 50 years.

Overview of acute seizure management in US nursing homes.

INTRODUCTION: Residents in NH are more likely to be diagnosed with epilepsy or seizures, which are associated with higher mortality and complicate care. This setting provides unique challenges in the treatment of seizures however, little is known about current management practices in NH. Most studies in the literature concentrate on the use of antiseizure medications (ASMs) but little is known about the management of the acute seizure and clinical guidance is needed to ensure the safety of this vulnerable population. The objective of this study was to survey current practices, identifying knowledge deficits and inform future educational endeavors, including acute seizure action plans (ASAPs). METHODS: A survey was developed pertaining to a broad spectrum of clinical aspects in the management of acute seizures in NH, distinguishing first time seizures from those in the setting of a known seizure disorder. It was sent to NH medical directors throughout the US and data was gathered from those who had at least one new case of new onset/epilepsy in the last 3 years. RESULTS: Ninety-one NH directors responded with 52 % having a seizure protocol. Nurses are responsible in the majority of cases for protocol activation. Regardless of the patient's seizure history, rescue medications are given in the majority of cases, oral benzodiazepines, followed by intravenous and then rectal benzodiazepines. Newer intranasal and intramuscular formulations of benzodiazepines were less frequently prescribed. The most commonly prescribed ASM is levetiracetam, followed by lamotrigine, valproic acid and phenytoin. Staff training and in-service education occur infrequently. Respondents thought no-cost seizure education would be highly beneficial. CONCLUSIONS AND IMPLICATIONS: Only approximately half of NH have protocols for the acute management of seizures. Rescue medications are given regardless of seizure history and often older ASMs are used for long-term management. Our study highlights areas of knowledge deficits and treatment areas for improvement, identifying the need and potential for ASAPs in NHs.

The Impact of Human Cystic Echinococcosis in the Central Asian Region, 1990-2019.

Objective: This research aims to update knowledge on the regional and national sickness burden attributable to cystic echinococcosis (CE) from 1990 to 2019, as well as epidemiology and disease control, with a particular emphasis on the People's Central Asian Regions. Methods: We calculated the morbidity, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years at the global, regional, and national levels for CE in all central Asian countries from 1990 to 2019, and we analyzed the association between GDP per capita and the disease burden of CE. Results: In 2019, the three greatest numbers of CE cases were recorded in Kazakhstan [23986; 95% uncertainty interval (UI); 19796; 28908]; Uzbekistan (41079; 18351; 76048); and Tajikistan (10887; 4891; 20170) among all 9 countries. The three countries with the greatest ASIR of CE were estimated to be Kazakhstan (127.56; 95% UI: 105.34-153.8), Uzbekistan (123.53; 95% UI: 58.65-219.16), and Tajikistan (121.88; 58.57-213.93). Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, and Uzbekistan had the biggest increases (125%, 97%, and 83%, respectively) in the number of incident cases of CE, whereas Georgia, Kazakhstan, and Armenia saw the largest decreases (45%, 8%, and 3%, respectively). Conclusion: To reduce the illness burden caused by CE, our findings may help public health professionals and policymakers design cost-benefit initiatives. To lessen the impact of CE on society, it is suggested that more money be given to the region's most endemic nations. Echinococcosis, cystic, negative health effects, life-years lost due to disability, rate of occurrence as a function of age, rate of death as a function of age.

Global trends in incidence of caries in permanent teeth of children aged 5 through 14 years, 1990 through 2019.

BACKGROUND: School-aged children are in the stage of permanent tooth eruption to replace primary teeth and this can be reached at a life stage when their health habits are being formed due to a large amount of time in school. However, data on the global trend in incidence of caries in permanent teeth in school-aged children are sparse. This study aimed to assess the trends in incidence of caries in permanent teeth in children aged 5 through 14 years from 1990 through 2019 at the global, regional, and national levels. METHODS: The authors collected data on incidence of caries in permanent teeth in children aged 5 through 14 years from 1990 through 2019 from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) to assess trends at the global, regional, and national levels. RESULTS: Globally, incident cases of caries in permanent teeth in children aged 5 through 14 years increased by 15.25% from 1990 through 2019, and the incidence rate remained stable during this period, with incidence rates of 34.04% in 1990 and 33.93% in 2019. The incidence rate increased at an average annual percentage change of 0.08% (95% CI, 0.06% to 0.10%) and 0.07% (95% CI, 0.05% to 0.09%) from 1990 through 2019 in low and low-middle sociodemographic index regions, respectively. An increasing trend also was observed in nearly one-half of GBD regions and more than one-half of the world's countries from 1990 through 2019 (P < .05). CONCLUSIONS: Global incidence of caries in permanent teeth remained stable at a high level in children aged 5 through 14 years, but there was a trend toward increasing rates in nearly one-half of sociodemographic index or GBD regions and more than one-half of the world's countries and territories from 1990 through 2019. These findings suggest that caries in permanent teeth is a priority health issue in school-aged children worldwide. PRACTICAL IMPLICATIONS: Reducing free sugar intake and implementing school-based effective caries prevention programs, such as school water fluoridation, provision of fluoride tablets at school, and school dental sealant programs, are needed for school-aged children.

Attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder and subsequent diagnoses of major psychiatric disorders: a nationwide population-based study.

We evaluated the risk of being diagnosed with various psychiatric disorders after an attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) diagnosis using data from South Korea's National Health Insurance Service from 2002 to 2019, which covers approximately 97% of the country's population. ADHD and control groups were selected after propensity score matching was performed for individuals diagnosed with ADHD and their age- and sex-matched counterparts from the general population. Comorbid psychiatric disorders included depressive disorder, bipolar disorder, tic disorder, and schizophrenia. The incidence of newly diagnosed psychiatric disorders was compared between the groups. Hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated and adjusted for ADHD medication prescription. After matching, 353,898 individuals were assigned to each of the two groups. Compared to the control group, the ADHD group showed a significantly higher risk of being subsequently diagnosed with depressive disorder, bipolar disorder, schizophrenia, and tic disorder. The onset age of depressive disorder, bipolar disorder, and schizophrenia in the ADHD group was 16-17 years, approximately 5 years earlier than that in the control group. The risk for depression was the highest in individuals with high income levels, and that for schizophrenia was the highest among rural patients. The median length of the follow-up time until the diagnosis of each comorbid psychiatric disorder was 7.53, 8.43, 8.53, and 8.34 years for depressive disorder, bipolar disorder, schizophrenia, and tic disorder, respectively. Individuals with ADHD had an overall higher risk of being diagnosed with subsequent psychiatric disorders than did the controls. Hence, they should be carefully screened for other psychiatric symptoms from an early age and followed up for an extended duration, along with appropriate interventions for ADHD symptoms, including psychosocial treatments and educational approaches.

Trends in hip fracture rates in spain from 2001 to 2018.

The present study includes the longest period of analysis with the highest number of hip fracture episodes (756,308) described in the literature for Spain. We found that the age-adjusted rates progressively decreased from 2005 to 2018. We believe that this is significant because it may mean that measures such as prevention and treatment of osteoporosis, or programs promoting healthy lifestyles, have had a positive impact on hip fracture rates. PURPOSE: To describe the evolution of cases and rates of hip fracture (HF) in patients 65 years or older in Spain from 2001 to 2018 and examine trends in adjusted rates. METHODS: Retrospective, observational study including patients ≥65 years with acute HF. Data from 2001 to 2018 were obtained from the Spanish National Record of the Minimum Basic Data Set of the Ministry of Health. We analysed cases of HF, crude incidence and age-adjusted rates by sex, length of hospital stay (LOS) and in-hospital mortality, and used joinpoint regression analysis to explore temporal trends. RESULTS: We identified 756,308 HF cases. Mean age increased 2.5 years, LOS decreased 4.5 days and in-hospital mortality was 5.5-6.5%. Cases of HF increased by 49%. Crude rate per 100,000 was 533.3 (95% confidence interval [CI], 532.1-534.5), increasing 14.0% (95%CI, 13.7-14.2). Age-adjusted HF incidence rate increased by 6.9% from 2001 (535.7; 95%CI, 529.9-541.5) to 2005 (572.4; 95%CI, 566.7-578.2), then decreased by 13.3% until 2017 (496.1, 95%CI, 491.7-500.6). Joinpoint regression analysis indicated a progressive increase in age-adjusted incidence rates of 1.9% per year from 2001 to 2005 and a progressive decrease of -1.1% per year from 2005 to 2018. A similar pattern was identified in both sexes. CONCLUSIONS: Crude incidence rates of HF in Spain in persons ≥65 years from 2001 to 2018 have gradually increased. Age-adjusted rates show a significant increase from 2001 to 2005 and a progressive decrease from 2005 to 2018.

Epidemiology of Cancer in Older Adults: A Systematic Review.

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: What are the prevalence, incidence and mortality rates of cancer among individuals aged 60 or older on a national, regional, and global scale? What factors affect differences in cancer survival between older and younger adults? RECENT FINDINGS: The epidemiological literature on cancer in older adults, particularly in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) and that focusing on the oldest adults, is expanding. These studies consistently show increasing global cancer incidence rates in older populations. Recent research also highlights a widening survival gap between middle-aged and older adults, with the stage at diagnosis being the primary driver. More research is needed to describe the cancer burden in older adults, especially focusing on the oldest population and LMICs, to better understand global healthcare challenges. Additionally, further exploring patient-related, clinical, and tumour-related factors which drive age-related survival differences could improve cancer outcomes in older adults.

Time trends in the incidence of interstitial lung disease across Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa (BRICS) from 1990 to 2019: An age-period-cohort analysis.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: The global incidence of interstitial lung disease (ILD) has risen over the past few decades. However, few studies have evaluated the status and incidence trends of ILD in Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa (BRICS). This study assesses the trends of ILD incidence across the BRICS with an emphasis on ILD changes from 1990 to 2019. METHODS: Incidence rates were estimated by the data obtained from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019 (GBD 2019). Age-period-cohort modelling was used to estimate the effects on ILD from 1990 to 2019, and the net drift and local drift were calculated. RESULTS: In 2019, a total of 11.4 million cases of ILD were reported in the BRICS countries. From 1990 to 2019, the incidence rate of ILD in BRICS showed an upward trend. India consistently reported the highest incidence rate, while China showed the fastest growth rate (107.6%). Russia reported a similar incidence rates for men and women, with a lower age of peak incidence compared to the other four countries. We found the time effect was unfavourable for BRICS in the first decade, especially for Brazil; in China and Brazil, the risk of people born after 1960 has rapidly decreased. CONCLUSION: ILD shows a rising incidence in BRICS. with the trends varying based on age and other environmental factors. BRICS should strengthen specific public health approaches and policies for different stages and populations.

Assessing the relationship between malaria incidence levels and meteorological factors using cluster-integrated regression.

This paper introduces a novel approach to modeling malaria incidence in Nigeria by integrating clustering strategies with regression modeling and leveraging meteorological data. By decomposing the datasets into multiple subsets using clustering techniques, we increase the number of explanatory variables and elucidate the role of weather in predicting different ranges of incidence data. Our clustering-integrated regression models, accompanied by optimal barriers, provide insights into the complex relationship between malaria incidence and well-established influencing weather factors such as rainfall and temperature.We explore two models. The first model incorporates lagged incidence and individual-specific effects. The second model focuses solely on weather components. Selection of a model depends on decision-makers priorities. The model one is recommended for higher predictive accuracy. Moreover, our findings reveal significant variability in malaria incidence, specific to certain geographic clusters and beyond what can be explained by observed weather variables alone.Notably, rainfall and temperature exhibit varying marginal effects across incidence clusters, indicating their differential impact on malaria transmission. High rainfall correlates with lower incidence, possibly due to its role in flushing mosquito breeding sites. On the other hand, temperature could not predict high-incidence cases, suggesting that other factors other than temperature contribute to high cases.Our study addresses the demand for comprehensive modeling of malaria incidence, particularly in regions like Nigeria where the disease remains prevalent. By integrating clustering techniques with regression analysis, we offer a nuanced understanding of how predetermined weather factors influence malaria transmission. This approach aids public health authorities in implementing targeted interventions. Our research underscores the importance of considering local contextual factors in malaria control efforts and highlights the potential of weather-based forecasting for proactive disease management.

Predictors for the development of motoric cognitive risk syndrome in older adults.

BACKGROUND: Motoric cognitive risk (MCR) syndrome refers to a condition where both slow gait and memory complaints coexist, which heightens their vulnerability to developing dementia. Considering that the risk factors of MCR are elucidated from cross-sectional studies and also likely vary based on socioeconomic status, we conducted a community-based longitudinal study to determine the predictors of MCR among older adults in Malaysia. METHODS: Out of 1,249 older participants (aged 60 years and above) without MCR at baseline (Wave II of LRGS-TUA cohort study), 719 were successfully followed up after 3.5 years to identify predictors of subsequent MCR development. A comprehensive interview-based questionnaire was administered for sociodemographic information, cognitive function, psychosocial, functional status, and dietary intake. Anthropometric measurements, body composition, and physical performance were assessed. Univariate analyses were performed for each variable, followed by a hierarchical logistic regression analysis to identify the predictors of MCR that accounted for confounding effects between the studied factors. RESULTS: The incidence rate of MCR was 4.0 per 100 person-years. Smoking (Adjusted Odd Ratio (Adj OR) = 1.782; 95% Confidence Interval (CI):1.050-3.024), hypertension (Adj OR = 1.725; 95% CI:1.094-2.721), decreased verbal memory as assessed by the lower Rey Auditory Verbal Learning Test (RAVLT) (Adj OR = 1.891; 95% CI:1.103-3.243), and decreased functional status measured using instrumental activity of daily living (IADL) (Adj OR = 4.710; 95% CI:1.319-16.823), were predictors for MCR incidence. CONCLUSIONS: Our study results provide an initial reference for future studies to formulate effective preventive management and intervention strategies to reduce the growing burden of adverse health outcomes, particularly among Asian older adults.

Screening primary carnitine deficiency in 10 million Chinese newborns: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Primary carnitine deficiency (PCD) is a rare autosomal recessive fatty acid oxidation disorder caused by variants in SLC22A5, with its prevalence and SLC22A5 gene mutation spectrum varying across races and regions. This study aimed to systematically analyze the incidence of PCD in China and delineate regional differences in the prevalence of PCD and SLC22A5 gene variants. METHODS: PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, and Chinese databases were searched up to November 2023. Following quality assessment and data extraction, a meta-analysis was performed on screening results for PCD among Chinese newborns. RESULTS: After reviewing 1,889 articles, 22 studies involving 9,958,380 newborns and 476 PCD cases were included. Of the 476 patients with PCD, 469 underwent genetic diagnosis, revealing 890 variants of 934 alleles of SLC22A5, among which 107 different variants were detected. The meta-analysis showed that the prevalence of PCD in China was 0.05‰ [95%CI, (0.04‰, 0.06‰)] or 1/20 000 [95%CI, (1/16 667, 1/25 000)]. Subgroup analyses revealed a higher incidence in southern China [0.07‰, 95%CI, (0.05‰, 0.08‰)] than in northern China [0.02‰, 95%CI, (0.02‰, 0.03‰)] (P < 0.001). Furthermore, the result of the meta-analysis showed that the frequency of the variant with c.1400C > G, c.51C > G, c.760C > T, c.338G > A, and c.428C > T were 45% [95%CI, (34%, 59%)], 26% [95%CI, (22%, 31%)], 14% [95%CI, (10%, 20%)], 6% [95%CI, (4%, 8%)], and 5% [95%CI, (4%, 8%)], respectively. Among the subgroup analyses, the variant frequency of c.1400C > G in southern China [39%, 95%CI, (29%, 53%)] was significantly lower than that in northern China [79‰, 95%CI, (47‰, 135‰)] (P < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: This study systematically analyzed PCD prevalence and identified common SLC22A5 gene variants in the Chinese population. The findings provide valuable epidemiological insights and guidance for future PCD screening effects in newborns.

Racial and ethnic disparities in gallbladder cancer: A two-decade analysis of incidence and mortality rates in the US.

BACKGROUND: Gallbladder cancer (GBC) is an aggressive malignancy that is usually diagnosed at a late stage. Prior data showed increasing incidence of GBC in the US. However, little is known about race/ethnic-specific incidence and mortality trends of GBC per stage at diagnosis. Therefore, we aimed to conduct a time-trend analysis of GBC incidence and mortality rates categorized by race/ethnicity and stage-at-diagnosis. METHODS: Age-adjusted GBC incidence and mortality rates were calculated using SEER*Stat software from the United States Cancer Statistics database (covers ~98% of US population between 2001 and 2020) and NCHS (covers ~100% of the US population between 2000 and 2020) databases, respectively. Race/Ethnic groups were Non-Hispanic-White (NHW), Non-Hispanic-Black (NHB), Hispanic, Non-Hispanic-Asian/Pacific-Islander (NHAPI), and Non-Hispanic-American-Indian/Alaska-Native (NHAIAN). Stage-at-diagnoses were all stages, early, regional, and distant stages. Joinpoint regression was used to generate time-trends [annual percentage change (APC) and average APC (AAPC)] with parametric estimations and a two-sided t-test (p-value cut-off 0.05). RESULTS: 76,873 patients were diagnosed with GBC with decreasing incidence rates in all races/ethnicities except NHB who experienced an increasing trend between 2001 and 2014 (APC = 2.08, p < 0.01) and plateauing afterward (APC = -1.21, p = 0.31); (AAPC = 1.03, p = 0.03). Among early-stage tumors (9927 patients), incidence rates were decreasing only in Hispanic (AAPC = -4.24, p = 0.006) while stable in other races/ethnicities (NHW: AAPC = -2.61, p = 0.39; NHB: AAPC = -1.73, p = 0.36). For regional-stage tumors (29,690 patients), GBC incidence rates were decreasing only in NHW (AAPC = -1.61, p < 0.001) while stable in other races/ethnicities (NHB: AAPC = 0.73, p = 0.34; Hispanic: AAPC = -1.58, p = 0.24; NHAPI: AAPC = -1.22, p = 0.07). For distant-stage tumors (31,735 patients), incidence rates were increasing in NHB (AAPC = 2.72, p < 0.001), decreasing in Hispanic (AAPC = -0.64, p = 0.04), and stable in NHW (AAPC = 0.07, p = 0.84) and NHAPI (AAPC = 0.79, p = 0.13). There were 43,411 deaths attributed to GBC with decreasing mortality rates in all races/ethnicities except NHB who experienced a stable trend (AAPC = 0.25, p = 0.25). CONCLUSION: Nationwide data over the last two decades show that NHB patients experienced increasing GBC incidence between 2001 and 2014 followed by stabilization of the rates. This increase was driven by late-stage tumors and occurred in the first decade. NHB also experienced non-improving GBC mortality, compared to other race and ethnic groups who had decreasing mortality. This can be due to lack of timely-access to healthcare leading to delayed diagnosis and worse outcomes. Future studies are warranted to investigate contributions to the revealed racial and ethnic disparities, especially in NHB, to improve early detection.

The global burden of breast cancer in women from 1990 to 2030: assessment and projection based on the global burden of disease study 2019.

Background and aim: This study aims to analyze the worldwide prevalence, mortality rates, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) attributed to breast cancer in women between 1990 and 2019. Additionally, it seeks to forecast the future trends of these indicators related to the burden of breast cancer in women from 2020 to 2030. Methods: Data from the Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD) 2019 was analyzed to determine the age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) and age-standardized death rate (ASDR) of DALYs due to breast cancer in women across 204 countries and territories from 1990 to 2019. Socio-economic development levels of countries and regions were assessed using Socio-demographic Indexes, and trends in the burden of breast cancer in women worldwide from 2020 to 2030 were projected using generalized additive models (GAMs). Results: The estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) in the ASIR breast cancer in women globally was 0.36 from 1990 to 2019 and is expected to increase to 0.44 from 2020 to 2030. In 2019, the ASIR of breast cancer in women worldwide was 45.86 and is projected to reach 48.09 by 2030. The burden of breast cancer in women generally rises with age, with the highest burden expected in the 45-49 age group from 2020 to 2030. The fastest increase in burden is anticipated in Central sub-Saharan Africa (EAPC in the age-standardized death rate: 1.62, EAPC in the age-standardized DALY rate: 1.52), with the Solomon Islands (EAPC in the ASIR: 7.25) and China (EAPC in the ASIR: 2.83) projected to experience significant increases. Furthermore, a strong positive correlation was found between the ASIR breast cancer in women globally in 1990 and the projected rates for 2030 (r = 0.62). Conclusion: The anticipated increase in the ASIR of breast cancer in women globally by 2030 highlights the importance of focusing on women aged 45-49 in Central sub-Saharan Africa, Oceania, the Solomon Islands, and China. Initiatives such as breast cancer information registries, raising awareness of risk factors and incidence, and implementing universal screening programs and diagnostic tests are essential in reducing the burden of breast cancer and its associated morbidity and mortality.

Factors influencing stunted growth in children: A study in Bandung regency focusing on a deworming program.

The prevalence of neglected tropical diseases, specifically those caused by soil-transmitted helminths (STHs) and other parasites that infest the intestine as part of their life cycle, remains a problem in Indonesia. We assessed the effects of deworming programs and socioeconomic and ecological factors on the incidence rate of infections with STHs and other parasites in an urban area of the Bandung Regency. We recruited 361 children with stunted growth who met the inclusion criteria, and 48 of those children were at high risk of STH infection. The study was conducted between September 2020 and September 2021. We collected possible socioeconomic factors influencing the incidence rate of infections. We found the incidence rate of STH infections among the children with stunted growth to be 3.6%. We confirmed infections with Cyclospora and Cryptosporidium after a Ziehl-Nieelsen stool smear examination in two of the 48 children at risk of infection. We found 43.75% of the children had short stature and weight below the normal limits, while stunting and severe stunting were associated with Ascaris lumbricoides infection (44.70%, p = 0.035). Parents of children with stunted and severely stunted growth were more likely to have a low education level, lack knowledge about deworming program, and to be earning a low income. The mother's occupation had a particularly strong influence on the severity of the stunting (89.58%, p = 0.012). Our results show that deworming programs can affect the growth and development of children and that socioeconomic and ecological factors also play a role.