Assessment of Liver Transplant Eligibility in Chronic Liver Disease Patients: A Cross-Sectional Study From a Tertiary Care Hospital of Pakistan.

INTRODUCTION: The burden of chronic liver disease (CLD) is increasing globally and the ultimate treatment is a liver transplant. As Pakistan is a developing country, liver transplantation is not easily available due to limited resources. This study aims to assess the patients with CLD for liver transplantation and to find the frequency of eligible candidates for liver transplantation. METHODS: A cross-sectional observational study was conducted on patients with CLD from June 2022 to December 2022. Total bilirubin, serum creatinine complete blood count, serum electrolytes, and international normalised ratio (INR) were done. The Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score was calculated and the frequency of eligible patients for liver transplant was determined. Data was entered and analyzed using Statistical Package for Social Sciences (SPSS) version 22 (IBM Corp., Armonk, NY, USA). RESULTS: In our study, 149 patients were enrolled with a mean age of 46.81±15.7 years. There were 58.7% male and 41.6% female patients. The mean duration of liver cirrhosis was 18.22±11.7 months. The mean MELD score was 20.71±5.2. The common liver cirrhosis stages were stage II and stage II was found in 32.2% of each. Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) was present in 15.4% of patients. There were 25.5% of patients eligible for liver transplants. CONCLUSION: In our study, we found that significant numbers of patients with CLD were eligible for liver transplantation.

Predicting operative outcomes of total shoulder arthroplasty using the model for end-stage liver disease score.

Background: The aim of this study was to assess the efficacy of the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score in predicting postoperative complications following total shoulder arthroplasty (TSA). Methods: The American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement database was queried for all patients who underwent TSA between 2015 and 2019. The study population was subsequently classified into two categories: those with a MELD score ≥ 10 and those with a MELD score < 10. A total of 5265 patients undergoing TSA between 2015 and 2019 were included in this study. Among these, 4690 (89.1%) patients had a MELD score ≥ 10, while 575 (10.9%) patients had a MELD score < 10. Postoperative complications within 30 days of the TSA were collected. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was conducted to explore the correlation between a MELD score ≥ 10 and postoperative complications. The anchor based optimal cutoff was calculated by receiver operating characteristic analysis to determine the MELD score cutoff that most accurately predicts a specific complication. Youden's index (J) determined the optimal cutoff point calculation for the maximum sensitivity and specificity; these were deemed to be "acceptable" if the area under curve (AUC) was greater than 0.7 and "excellent" if greater than 0.8. Results: Multivariate regression analysis found a MELD score ≥ 10 to be independently associated with higher rates of reoperation (OR, 2.08; P = .013), cardiac complications (OR, 3.37; P = .030), renal complications (OR, 7.72; P = .020), bleeding transfusions (OR, 3.23; P < .001), and nonhome discharge (OR, 1.75; P < .001). The receiver operating characteristic analysis showed that AUC for a MELD score cutoff of 7.61 as a predictor of renal complications was 0.87 (excellent) with sensitivity of 100.0% and specificity of 70.0%. AUC for a MELD score cutoff of 7.76 as a predictor of mortality was 0.76 (acceptable) with sensitivity of 81.8% and specificity of 71.0%. Conclusion: A MELD score ≥ 10 was correlated with high rates of reoperation, cardiac complications, renal complications, bleeding transfusions, and nonhome discharge following TSA. MELD score cutoffs of 7.61 and 7.76 were effective in predicting renal complications and mortality, respectively.

Preoperative TIPS and in-hospital mortality in patients with cirrhosis undergoing surgery.

Background & Aims: Cirrhosis is associated with an increased surgical morbidity and mortality. Portal hypertension and the surgery type have been established as critical determinants of postoperative outcome. We aim to evaluate the hypothesis that preoperative transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) placement in patients with cirrhosis is associated with a lower incidence of in-house mortality/liver transplantation (LT) after surgery. Methods: A retrospective database search for the years 2010-2020 was carried out. We identified 64 patients with cirrhosis who underwent surgery within 3 months after TIPS placement and 131 patients with cirrhosis who underwent surgery without it (controls). Operations were categorised into low-risk and high-risk procedures. The primary endpoint was in-house mortality/LT. We analysed the influence of high-risk surgery, preoperative TIPS placement, age, sex, baseline creatinine, presence of ascites, Chronic Liver Failure Consortium Acute Decompensation (CLIF-C AD), American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA), and model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) scores on in-house mortality/LT by multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression. Results: In both the TIPS and the control cohort, most patients presented with a Child-Pugh B stage (37/64, 58% vs. 70/131, 53%) at the time of surgery, but the median MELD score was higher in the TIPS cohort (14 vs. 11 points). Low-risk and high-risk procedures amounted to 47% and 53% in both cohorts. The incidence of in-house mortality/LT was lower in the TIPS cohort (12/64, 19% vs. 52/131, 40%), also when further subdivided into low-risk (0/30, 0% vs. 10/61, 16%) and high-risk surgery (12/34, 35% vs. 42/70, 60%). Preoperative TIPS placement was associated with a lower rate for postoperative in-house mortality/LT (hazard ratio 0.44, 95% CI 0.19-1.00) on multivariable analysis. Conclusions: A preoperative TIPS might be associated with reduced postoperative in-house mortality in selected patients with cirrhosis. Impact and implications: Patients with cirrhosis are at risk for more complications and a higher mortality after surgical procedures. A transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) is used to treat complications of cirrhosis, but it is unclear if it also helps to lower the risk of surgery. This study takes a look at complications and mortality of patients undergoing surgery with or without a TIPS, and we found that patients with a TIPS develop less complications and have an improved survival. Therefore, a preoperative TIPS should be considered in selected patients, especially if indicated by ascites.

Liver Severity Score-Based Modeling to Predict Six-Week Mortality Risk Among Hospitalized Cirrhosis Patients With Upper Gastrointestinal Bleeding.

Background: Patients with cirrhosis who have gastrointestinal bleeding have high short-term mortality, but the best modality for risk calculation remains in debate. Liver severity indices, such as Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) and Model-for-End-Stage-Liver Disease (MELD) score, are well-studied in portal hypertensive bleeding, but there is a paucity of data confirming their accuracy in non-portal hypertensive bleeding and overall acute upper gastrointestinal bleeding (UGIB), unrelated to portal hypertension. Aims: This study aims to better understand the accuracy of current mortality risk calculators in predicting mortality for patients with any type of UGIB, which could allow for earlier risk stratification and targeted intervention prior to endoscopy to identify the bleeding source. Methods: In a large US single-center cohort, we investigated and recalibrated the model performance of CTP and MELD scores to predict six-week mortality risk for both sources of UGIB (portal hypertensive and non-portal hypertensive). Results: Both CTP- and MELD-based models have excellent discrimination in predicting six-week mortality for all types of bleeding sources. However, only a CTP-based model demonstrates calibration for all bleeding, regardless of bleeding etiology. Median predicted 6-week mortality by CTP class A, B, and C estimates a risk of 1%, 7%, and 35% respectively. Conclusions: Our study corroborates findings in the literature that CTP- and MELD-based models have similar discriminative abilities for predicting 6-week mortality in hospitalized cirrhosis patients presenting with either portal hypertensive or non-portal hypertensive UGIB. CTP class is an effective clinical decision tool that can be used, even prior to endoscopy, to accurately risk stratify a patient with known cirrhosis presenting with any UGIB into low, moderate, and severe risk groupings.

Outcomes of direct-acting antivirals in patients with HCV decompensated cirrhosis: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

Background: Direct-acting antivirals (DAA) are effective for chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) treatment. However, their impact on overall survival (OS), hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) occurrence, HCC-free survival, and liver function in patients with HCV decompensated cirrhosis remains uncertain. This study aimed to evaluate the effects of DAA treatment on this population. Methods: Studies were identified by searching the MEDLINE, SCOPUS, and CENTRAL databases. OS and HCC-free survival probabilities and time data were extracted from Kaplan-Meier curves. A one-stage meta-analysis using parametric Weibull regression was conducted to estimate the relative treatment effects of DAA vs. no DAA. The primary outcome was the OS rate. The secondary outcomes were HCC-free survival, HCC occurrence rate, and improvement in the Model for End-stage Liver Disease (MELD) score. Results: Eight cohorts comprising 3,430 participants (2,603 in the DAA group and 1,999 in the no-DAA group) were included. The OS probabilities at 12 and 24 months were 95 and 90% for the DAA group, respectively, compared with 89 and 80% in the no-DAA group, respectively. Hazard ratio (HR) was 0.48 (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.39, 0.60; p < 0.001). The HCC-free survival probabilities at 12 and 24 months were 96 and 90%, respectively, in the former, and 94 and 85%, respectively, in the latter. The HR of HCC occurrence was 0.72 (95% CI: 0.52, 1.00; p = 0.05), which suggests that DAA treatment in decompensated cirrhosis may lead to a 28% lower risk of HCC occurrence. The mean MELD score difference was -7.75 (95% CI: -14.52, -0.98; p = 0.02). Conclusion: Improvement in OS and MELD score is a long-term benefit of DAA treatment in patients with HCV decompensated cirrhosis, with a marginal effect of the treatment on HCC development.

The Effect of Model for End-Stage Liver Disease 3.0 on Disparities between Patients with and without Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Korea.

PURPOSE: The model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) 3.0 has recently been suggested for determining liver allocation. We aimed to apply MELD 3.0 to a Korean population and to discover differences between patients with and without hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). MATERIALS AND METHODS: This study is a retrospective study of 2203 patients diagnosed with liver cirrhosis at Severance Hospital between 2016-2022. Harrell's concordance index was used to validate the ability of MELD scores to predict 90-day survival. RESULTS: During a mean follow-up of 12.9 months, 90-day survival was 61.9% in all patients, 50.4% in the HCC patients, and 74.8% in the non-HCC patients. Within the HCC patients, the concordance index for patients on the waitlist was 0.653 using MELD, which increased to 0.753 using MELD 3.0. Among waitlisted patients, the 90-day survival of HCC patients was worse than that of non-HCC patients with MELD scores of 31-37 only (69.7% vs. 30.0%, p=0.001). Applying MELD 3.0, the 90-day survival of HCC patients was worse than that of non-HCC patients across a wider range of MELD 3.0 scores, compared to MELD, with MELD 3.0 scores of 21-30 and 31-37 (82.0% vs. 72.5% and 72.3% vs. 24.3%, p=0.02 and p<0.001, respectively). CONCLUSION: MELD 3.0 predicted 90-day survival of the HCC patients more accurately than original MELD score; however, the disparity between HCC and non-HCC patients increased, particularly in patients with MELD scores of 21-30. Therefore, a novel exception score is needed or the current exception score system should be modified.

Availability of living donor optimizes timing of liver transplant in high-risk waitlisted cirrhosis patients.

Liver transplant (LT) candidates have become older and frailer, with growing Non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) and comorbid disease burden in recent years, predisposing them for poor waitlist outcomes. We aimed to evaluate the impact of access to living donor liver transplantation (LDLT) in waitlisted patients at highest risk of dropout. We reviewed all adult patients with decompensated cirrhosis listed for LT from November 2012 to December 2018. Patients with a potential living donor (pLD) available were identified. Survival analyses with Cox Proportional Hazards models and time to LT with Competing risk models were performed followed by prediction model development. Out of 860 patients who met inclusion criteria, 360 (41.8%) had a pLD identified and 496 (57.6%) underwent LT, out of which 170 (34.2%) were LDLT. The benefit of pLD was evident for all, but patients with moderate to severe frailty at listing (interaction p = 0.03), height <160 cm (interaction p = 0.03), and Model for end stage liver disease (MELD)-Na score <20 (interaction p < 0.0001) especially benefited. Our prediction model identified patients at highest risk of dropout while waiting for deceased donor and most benefiting of pLD (time-dependent area under the receiver operating characteristic curve 0.82). Access to LDLT in a transplant program can optimize the timing of transplant for the increasingly older, frail patient population with comorbidities who are at highest risk of dropout.

Liver Transplantation: Protocol for Recipient Selection, Evaluation, and Assessment.

Liver transplantation (LT) is the definitive therapy for patients with end-stage liver disease, acute liver failure, acute-on-chronic liver failure, hepatocellular carcinoma, and metabolic liver diseases. The acceptance of LT in Asia has been gradually increasing and so is the expertise to perform LT. Preparing a patient with cirrhosis for LT is the most important aspect of a successful LT. The preparation for LT begins with the first index decompensation for a patient with cirrhosis. Patients planned for LT should undergo a thorough screening for infections, and a complete cardiac, pulmonology, and psychosocial evaluation pre-LT. In this review, we discuss the indications and contraindications of LT and the evaluation and assessment of patients with liver disease planned for LT.

The Outcome Relevance of Pre-ECMO Liver Impairment in Adults with Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome.

We hypothesize that (1) a significant pre-ECMO liver impairment, which is evident in the presence of pre-ECMO acute liver injury and a higher pre-ECMO MELD (model for end-stage liver disease) score, is associated with increased mortality; and (2) the requirement of veno-veno-arterial (V-VA) ECMO support is linked to a higher prevalence of pre-ECMO acute liver injury, a higher pre-ECMO MELD score, and increased mortality. We analyze 187 ECMO runs (42 V-VA and 145 veno-venous (V-V) ECMO) between January 2017 and December 2020. The SAPS II score is calculated at ICU admission; hepatic function and MELD score are assessed at ECMO initiation (pre-ECMO) and during the first five days on ECMO. SOFA, PRESERVE and RESP scores are calculated at ECMO initiation. Pre-ECMO cardiac failure, acute liver injury, ECMO type, SAPS II and MELD, SOFA, PRESERVE, and RESP scores are associated with mortality. However, only the pre-ECMO MELD score independently predicts mortality (p = 0.04). In patients with a pre-ECMO MELD score > 16, V-VA ECMO is associated with a higher mortality risk (p = 0.0003). The requirement of V-VA ECMO is associated with the development of acute liver injury during ECMO support, a higher pre-ECMO MELD score, and increased mortality.

Red Cell Distribution Width in Chronic Liver Disease: An Observational Study.

BACKGROUND: Chronic liver diseases (CLDs) encompass a group of conditions that are marked by diminished liver function due to ongoing inflammation or damage. This study aimed to establish a relationship between the red cell distribution width (RDW) and two scoring systems, namely the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score and Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) score, in individuals diagnosed with CLDs. METHODS:  The study was carried out at Aarupadai Veedu Medical College & Hospital, Pondicherry, India, following approval from the Institutional Ethical Committee in the Department of General Medicine and Gastroenterology. It involved 50 patients aged 18 years and above who were diagnosed with CLD. The RDW of all selected patients was measured using a three-part autoanalyzer, and its correlation with the MELD and CTP scores was examined. Data analysis was performed using IBM SPSS (Statistical Package for Social Sciences), version 21.0 (IBM Corp., Armonk, NY), with a significance level set at p < 0.05. RESULTS: When comparing the baseline characteristics including age, gender, and encephalopathy, no statistically significant differences were found between RDW-standard deviation (RDW-SD) and RDW-corpuscular value (RDW-CV) (p > 0.05). However, a statistically significant correlation was observed between the presence of ascites and RDW-CV values (p = 0.029). Furthermore, there was a significant association between the CTP score and RDW-SD (p < 0.0001). The association between the MELD score and RDW-SD was also found to be statistically significant (p = 0.006). Similarly, statistically significant results were obtained between the MELD score and RDW-CV (p = 0.034). CONCLUSION: The utilization of RDW holds promise as a convenient and effective tool for evaluating the severity of individuals with CLD.

Oxidative stress-related markers as prognostic factors for patients with primary sclerosing cholangitis in Japan.

BACKGROUND/PURPOSE: Primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC) is a rare chronic liver disease. The mechanisms and prediction of PSC progression are unclear. Recent investigations have shown that general conditions, such as oxidative stress, affect the course of chronic diseases. We investigated the clinical course and oxidative stress-related condition of PSC to determine prognostic factors. METHODS: We recruited 58 patients with PSC (mean age; 37.4 years, mean observation period; 1382 days) who visited our department from 2003 to 2021. Clinical characteristics were investigated to define prognostic factors. Oxidative stress status was evaluated using two types of markers: an oxidative stress marker (serum reactive oxygen metabolite; dROM) and an antioxidant marker (serum OXY adsorbent test; OXY). RESULTS: The revised Mayo risk, Child-Pugh, model for end-stage liver disease-sodium (MELD-Na) scores or fibrosis-related FIB-4 index significantly predicted poor overall survival. High intestinal immunoglobulin A (IgA) levels predicted poor survival. Among patients with high and intermediate revised Mayo risk scores, those with physiologically high dROM levels showed better survival than those with lower dROM levels. In this population, dROM was negatively correlated with AST and IgA, which are both correlated with survival. CONCLUSIONS: High and intermediate revised Mayo risk score group predicted a poor clinical course in PSC. Additionally, the Child-Pugh score, MELD-Na score, FIB-4 index, and serum IgA were significantly correlated with survival. In patients with high and intermediate revised Mayo risk scores, physiologically high oxidative stress status correlated with low IgA levels and a good prognosis.

Model for End Stage Liver Disease (MELD) Score: A Tool for Prognosis and Prediction of Mortality in Patients With Decompensated Liver Cirrhosis.

BACKGROUND: Decompensated liver disease has become a common occurrence in medical wards. It has become the third most common cause of death in medical wards. This high mortality rate has become a matter of concern. It is important that a reliable scoring system helps to stratify patients with liver cirrhosis who will require liver transplantation. OBJECTIVE: To determine the value of the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score in assessing the mortality of patients with decompensated liver cirrhosis over one month period (30 days). METHODS AND MATERIALS: A longitudinal study was conducted. A total of 110 patients diagnosed with decompensated liver cirrhosis were recruited from the gastroenterology clinic and medical wards of the University of Benin Teaching Hospital (UBTH), Benin City. The patients were recruited consecutively and met the inclusion criteria for the study. Demographic data, history, clinical, biochemical, ultrasonographic, and liver biopsy findings were evaluated in the patients who participated in this study.  Results: The mean age of the patients was 57 ± 11.06 years. Out of the 110 study participants, a 2.9:1 male-to-female ratio was appreciated in the patient population, with a total of 82 males and 28 females. Multiple logistic regression analysis identified MELD scores as an independent predictor of mortality in the studied patients. Predictive values of the MELD score for 1-month mortality which was analyzed using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves showed that the MELD score had a sensitivity of 72.2% and positive predictive value of 93.6% with an area under the curve of 0.926 for all-cause mortality among decompensated liver cirrhosis patients. CONCLUSION: MELD score is a good predictor of mortality among patients with decompensated liver cirrhosis over a 1-month (30 days) period.

MELD-Na Alterations on the Liver Transplant Waiting List and Their Impact on Listing Outcome.

BACKGROUND: Dynamic MELD deterioration (Delta MELD) during waiting time was shown to have significant impact on post-transplant survival. The aim of this study was to analyze the impact of MELD-Na score alterations on waiting list outcomes in liver transplant candidates. METHOD: 36,806 patients listed at UNOS for liver transplantation in 2011-2015 were analyzed according to their delisting reasons. Several different MELD-Na alterations during waiting time were analyzed (e.g., maximal change, last change before delisting/transplantation). Outcome estimates were calculated according to MELD-Na scores at listing and Delta MELD. RESULTS: Patients who died while on the waiting list showed a significantly higher deterioration in MELD-Na during the waiting time (6.8 ± 8.4 points) than stable patients who remained actively listed (-0.1 ± 5.2 points; p < 0.01). Patients who were considered too healthy for transplantation improved by more than 3 points on average during the waiting time. The mean peak MELD-Na alteration during the waiting time was 10.0 ± 7.6 for patients who died on the waiting list, compared to 6.6 ± 6.1 in the group of patients who finally underwent transplantation. CONCLUSIONS: Deterioration of MELD-Na during waiting time and maximal MELD-Na deterioration have a significant negative impact on the liver transplant waiting list outcome.

Natural history of NASH cirrhosis in liver transplant waitlist registrants.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) cirrhosis is rapidly growing as an indication for liver transplant(ation) (LT). However, the natural history of NASH cirrhosis among LT waitlist registrants has not been established. The present study aimed to define the natural history of NASH cirrhosis using the Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients database. METHODS: The study cohort comprised patients registered on the LT waitlist between 1/1/2016 to 12/31/2021. The primary outcomes included probability of LT and waitlist mortality, comparing NASH (n = 8,120) vs. non-NASH (n = 21,409) cirrhosis. RESULTS: Patients with NASH cirrhosis were listed with lower model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) scores despite bearing a greater burden of portal hypertension, especially at lower MELD scores. The overall transplant probability in LT waitlist registrants with NASH [vs. non-NASH] cirrhosis was significantly lower at 90 days (HR 0.873, p <0.001) and 1 year (HR 0.867, p <0.001); this was even more pronounced in patients with MELD scores >30 (HR 0.705 at 90 days and HR 0.672 at 1 year, p <0.001 for both). Serum creatinine was the key contributor to MELD score increases leading to LT among LT waitlist registrants with NASH cirrhosis, while bilirubin was in patients with non-NASH cirrhosis. Finally, waitlist mortality at 90 days (HR 1.15, p <0.001) and 1 year (1.25, p <0.001) was significantly higher in patients with NASH cirrhosis compared to those with non-NASH cirrhosis. These differences were more pronounced in patients with lower MELD scores at the time of LT waitlist registration. CONCLUSIONS: LT waitlist registrants with NASH cirrhosis are less likely to receive a transplant compared to patients with non-NASH cirrhosis. Serum creatinine was the major contributor to MELD score increases leading to LT in patients with NASH cirrhosis. IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS: This study provides important insights into the distinct natural history of non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) cirrhosis among liver transplant (LT) waitlist registrants, revealing that patients with NASH cirrhosis face lower odds of transplantation and higher waitlist mortality than those with non-NASH cirrhosis. Our study underscores the significance of serum creatinine as a crucial contributor to model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score in patients with NASH cirrhosis. These findings have substantial implications, emphasizing the need for ongoing evaluation and refinement of the MELD score to more accurately capture mortality risk in patients with NASH cirrhosis on the LT waitlist. Moreover, the study highlights the importance of further research investigating the impact of the implementation of MELD 3.0 across the US on the natural history of NASH cirrhosis.

Derivation and Validation of a Prognostic Model for Acute Decompensated Cirrhosis Patients.

Background: Acute decompensated cirrhosis (AD) is related to high medical costs and high mortality. We recently proposed a new score model to predict the outcome of AD patients and compared it with the common score model (CTP, MELD and CLIF-C AD score) in the training and validation sets. Materials and Methods: A total of 703 patients with AD were enrolled from The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University between December 2018 and May 2021. These patients were randomly assigned to the training set (n=528) and validation set (n=175). Risk factors affecting prognosis were identified by Cox regression analysis and then used to establish a new score model. The prognostic value was determined by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC). Results: A total of 192 (36.3%) patients in the training cohort and 51 (29.1%) patients in the validation cohort died over the course of 6 months. A new score model was developed with predictors including age, bilirubin, INR, WBC, albumin, ALT and BUN. The new prognostic score (0.022×Age + 0.003×TBil + 0.397×INR + 0.023×WBC- 0.07×albumin + 0.001×ALT + 0.038×BUN) for long-term mortality was superior to three other scores based on both training and internal validation studies. Conclusion: This new score model appears to be a valid tool for assessing the long-term survival of AD patients, improving the prognostic value compared with the CTP, MELD and CLIF-C AD scores.

Child-Pugh Class and Not Thrombocytopenia Impacts the Risk of Complications of Endoscopic Band Ligation in Patients with Cirrhosis and High Risk Varices.

Background and Aims: Endoscopic band legation (EBL) is an effective method for the prophylaxis of acute variceal bleeding (AVB). This procedure may be associated with several complications, particularly bleeding. Our analysis aimed to evaluate the risk of complications due to EBL in a cohort of patients who underwent EBL for the prophylaxis of variceal bleeding and the eventual presence of risk predictors. Patients and Methods: We retrospectively analysed data from consecutive patients who underwent EBL in a primary prophylaxis regimen. For all patients, simultaneously with EBL, we recorded the Child-Pugh and MELD score, platelet count and US features of portal hypertension. Results: We collected data from 431 patients who performed a total of 1028 EBLs. We recorded 86 events (8.4% of all procedures). Bleeding after EBL occurred 64 times (6.2% of all procedures), with the following distribution: intraprocedural bleeding in 4%; hematocystis formation in 17 cases (1.7%); 6 events (0.6%) of AVB due to post-EBL ulcers. None of these events presented a correlation with platelet count (84,235 ± 54,175 × 103/mL vs. 77,804 ± 75,949 × 103/mL; p = 0.70) or with the condition of severe thrombocitopenia established at PLT < 50,000/mmc (22.7% with PLT ≤ 50,000/mmc vs. 15.9% with PLT ≥ 50,000/mmc; p = 0.39). Our results showed a relationship between cumulative complications of EBL and Child-Pugh score (6.9 ± 1.6 vs. 6.5 ± 1.3; p = 0.043). Conclusions: EBL in cirrhotic patients is a safe procedure. The risk of adverse events depends on the severity of liver disease, without a relationship with platelet count.

Gender-Specific Differences in Serum Sphingomyelin Species in Patients with Hepatitis C Virus Infection-Sphingomyelin Species Are Related to the Model of End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) Score in Male Patients.

Hepatitis C virus (HCV) replication depends on cellular sphingomyelin (SM), but serum SM composition in chronic HCV infection has been hardly analyzed. In this work, 18 SM species could be quantified in the serum of 178 patients with chronic HCV infection before therapy with direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) and 12 weeks later, when therapy was completed. Six SM species were higher in the serum of females than males before therapy and nine at the end of therapy; thus, sex-specific analysis was performed. Type 2 diabetes was associated with lower serum levels of SM 36:2;O2 and 38:2;O2 in men. Serum SM species did not correlate with the viral load in both sexes. Of note, three SM species were lower in males infected with HCV genotype 3 in comparison to genotype 1 infection. These SM species normalized after viral cure. SM 38:1;O2, 40:1;O2, 41:1;O2, and 42:1;O2 (and, thus, total SM levels) were higher in the serum of both sexes at the end of therapy. In males, SM 39:1;O2 was induced in addition, and higher levels of all of these SM species were already detected at 4 weeks after therapy has been started. Serum lipids are related to liver disease severity, and in females 15 serum SM species were low in patients with liver cirrhosis before initiation of and after treatment with DAAs. The serum SM species did not correlate with the model of end-stage liver disease (MELD) score in the cirrhosis and the non-cirrhosis subgroups in females. In HCV-infected male patients, nine SM species were lower in the serum of patients with cirrhosis before DAA treatment and eleven at the end of the study. Most of the SM species showed strong negative correlations with the MELD score in the male cirrhosis patients before DAA treatment and at the end of therapy. Associations of SM species with the MELD score were not detected in the non-cirrhosis male subgroup. In summary, the current analysis identified sex-specific differences in the serum levels of SM species in HCV infection, in liver cirrhosis, and during DAA therapy. Correlations of SM species with the MELD score in male but not in female patients indicate a much closer association between SM metabolism and liver function in male patients.

Influence of hepatic dysfunction in patients who underwent tricuspid valve surgery.

Background: Hepatic dysfunction (HD) is frequently associated with chronic tricuspid regurgitation (TR), and is a risk factor for TR surgery. Late referral of patients with TR is associated with the progression of TR and HD, as well as an increase in surgical morbidity and mortality. Many patients with severe TR suffer from HD; however, their clinical impact is not well documented. Methods: This retrospective review was conducted between October 2008 and July 2017. In total, 159 consecutive patients underwent surgery for TR; 101 with moderate to severe TR were included. We divided patients into N (normal liver function; n=56) and HD (HD; n=45) groups. HD was defined as clinically or radiologically diagnosed liver cirrhosis, or a preoperative Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD)-XI score ≥13. Perioperative data were compared between groups, and changes in the MELD score following TR surgery were estimated in the HD group. Long-term survival rates were analyzed, and analyses were performed to obtain the assessment tool and cutoff value to determine the degree of HD affecting late mortality. Results: The preoperative demographics of both groups were similar, excluding the presence of HD. The EuroSCORE II, MELD score, and prothrombin time international normalization ratio were significantly higher in the HD group, and although early mortality was comparable between groups [N group: 0%, HD group: 2.2% (n=1); P=0.446], intensive care unit and hospital stays were significantly longer in the HD group. The MELD score in the HD group temporarily increased immediately after surgery, and then decreased. The long-term survival rates were significantly lower in the HD group. The most suitable tool for predicting late mortality was the MELD-XI score, with a cutoff value of 13 points. Conclusions: Surgery for patients with severe TR can be performed with relatively low morbidity and operative mortality, regardless of associated HD. MELD scores significantly improved after TR surgery in patients with HD. Even with favorable early outcomes, compromised long-term survival with HD suggests the need to develop an assessment tool that can evaluate the appropriate timing for TR surgery.

Factors associated with the survival outcomes of patients with untreated hepatocellular carcinoma: An analysis of nationwide data.

Introduction: In this study, we examined the natural course of untreated hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and identified predictors of survival in an area where hepatitis B is the predominant cause of HCC. Methods: We identified 1,045 patients with HCC who did not receive HCC treatment and were registered in the Korean Primary Liver Cancer Registry between 2008 and 2014, and were followed-up up to December 2018. Thereafter, we analyzed the clinical characteristics of patients who survived for <12 or ≥12 months. A Cox proportional regression model was used to identify the variables associated with patient survival. Results and discussion: The mean age of the untreated patients at HCC diagnosis was 59.6 years, and 52.1% of patients had hepatitis B. Most untreated patients (94.2%) died during the observation period. The median survival times for each Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stage were as follows: 31.0 months for stage 0/A (n = 123), 10.0 months for stage B (n = 96), 3.0 months for stage C (n = 599), and 1.0 month for stage D (n = 227). Multivariate Cox regression analysis demonstrated that BCLC stage D (hazard ratio, 4.282; P < 0.001), model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score ≥10 (HR, 1.484; P < 0.001), and serum alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) level ≥1,000 ng/mL (HR, 1.506; P < 0.001) were associated with poor survival outcomes in patients with untreated HCC. In untreated patients with HCC, advanced stage BCLC, serum AFP level ≥1,000 ng/mL, and MELD score ≥10 were significantly associated with overall survival.