Smoking patterns by birth cohort in Argentina: an age-period-cohort population-based modeling study.

Background: Argentina's smoking rates remain high. We aim to estimate Argentina age-specific histories of smoking initiation, cessation, prevalence, and intensity by birth-cohort to inform policy interventions. Methods: Modeling study. Data from three Argentinian nationally representative surveys conducted from 2004 to 2018 (n = 268,193) were used to generate smoking histories. The Cancer Intervention and Surveillance Modeling (CISNET) Network Lung Working Group age, period, and cohort modeling approach was used to calculate smoking initiation and cessation probabilities, ever and current smoking prevalence, and intensity (cigarettes per day, CPD) by age, sex, and birth cohort from 1950 to 2018. Findings: Ever smoking prevalence increases with age up to 25 and decreases with birth cohorts after 1990. Smoking initiation peaks between 15 and 18 years of age. Among females, initiation probabilities increased until the 1955 cohort, reaching a second peak in 1980-85 cohorts and declining thereafter. Males have higher initiation probabilities than females. Among males, initiation has decreased since the 1950 birth cohort, with a slight increase around the 1985 cohort. Current smoking prevalence has been decreasing since the 1960 birth cohort, except for a peak in 1980-85 cohorts. Cessation increases with age. Mean CPD increases with age and peaks around age 40, appearing flat in females since the 1985 cohort. Interpretation: Recent birth cohorts seem to be experiencing lower rates of initiation, stable rates of quitting and lower current and ever smoking prevalence. The stabilization of cessation probabilities and mean CPD indicate the need to strengthen existing tobacco control measures and advance new ones. Funding: NIH/NCI U01CA253858 grant.

The impact of anti-smoking laws on high school students in Ankara, Turkey / O impacto das leis antifumo em alunos do ensino médio em Ancara, Turquia

ABSTRACT OBJECTIVE: To determine the factors affecting the smoking habits of high school students, their thoughts about changes resulting from anti-smoking laws, and how they are affected by those laws. METHODS: In this cross-sectional study, 11th-grade students at eight high schools in Ankara, Turkey, were invited to complete a questionnaire. RESULTS: A total of 1,199 students completed the questionnaire satisfactorily. The mean age of the respondents was 17.0  0.6 years; 56.1% were female, of whom 15.3% were smokers; and 43.9% were male, of whom 43.7% were smokers (p < 0.001). The independent risk factors for smoking were male gender, attending a vocational school, having a sibling who smokes, having a friend who smokes, and poor academic performance. Of the respondents, 74.7% were aware of the content of anti-smoking laws; 81.8% approved of the restrictions and fines; and 8.1% had quit smoking because of those laws. According to the respondents, the interventions that were most effective were the (television) broadcast of films about the hazards of smoking and the ban on cigarette sales to minors. The prevalence of smoking was highest (31.5%) among students attending vocational high schools but lowest (7.5%) among those attending medical vocational high schools. Although 57.1% of the smokers were aware of the existence of a smoking cessation helpline, only 3.7% had called, none of whom had made any attempt to quit smoking. CONCLUSIONS: Although most of the students evaluated were aware of the harmful effects of smoking and approved of the anti-smoking laws, only a minority of those who smoked sought professional help to quit.

RESUMO OBJETIVO: Determinar os fatores que afetam os hábitos de fumar de estudantes do ensino médio, seus pensamentos sobre as mudanças resultantes das leis antifumo e como eles são afetados por essas leis. MÉTODOS: Neste estudo transversal, alunos do 11º ano de oito escolas de ensino médio em Ancara, Turquia, foram convidados para preencher um questionário. RESULTADOS: Preencheram o questionário 1.199 estudantes de forma satisfatória. A média de idade dos participantes foi de 17,0  0,6 anos; 56,1% eram mulheres; das quais 15,3% eram fumantes; e 43,9% eram homens, dos quais 43,7% eram fumantes (p < 0,001). Os fatores de risco independentes para o tabagismo foram ser homem, frequentar escola técnica, ter um irmão/irmã que fuma, ter um amigo que fuma e ter baixo desempenho acadêmico. Dos participantes, 74,7% conheciam o conteúdo das leis antifumo; 8,1% aprovavam as restrições e multas, e 8,1% haviam cessado o tabagismo devido a essas leis. Na opinião dos participantes, as intervenções mais efetivas foram a exibição de curtas na TV sobre os malefícios do tabagismo e a proibição da venda de cigarros a menores. A prevalência do tabagismo foi maior (31,5%) nos estudantes de escolas técnicas, mas menor (7,5%) nos estudantes de escolas técnicas médicas. Embora 57,1% dos fumantes soubessem da existência de um serviço telefônico de ajuda para a cessação tabágica, somente 3,7% haviam ligado para esse serviço, mas nenhum tentou parar de fumar. CONCLUSÕES: Embora a maioria dos alunos avaliados conhecesse os efeitos deletérios do tabagismo e aprovasse as leis antifumo, apenas uma minoria dos fumantes procurou ajuda profissional para a cessação tabágica.

Trends in alcohol and tobacco use among Brazilian students: 1989 to 2010 / Tendência no uso de álcool e tabaco em estudantes brasileiros: 1989-2010

OBJECTIVE To analyze temporal trends of the prevalence of alcohol and tobacco use among Brazilian students. METHODS We analyzed data published between 1989 and 2010 from five epidemiological surveys on students from the 6th to the 12th grade of public schools from the ten largest state capitals of Brazil. The total sample consisted of 104,104 students and data were collected in classrooms. The same collection tool - a World Health Organization self-reporting questionnaire - and sampling and weighting procedures were used in the five surveys. The Chi-square test for trend was used to compare the prevalence from different years. RESULTS The prevalence of alcohol and tobacco use varied among the years and cities studied. Alcohol consumption decreased in the 10 state capitals (p < 0.001) throughout 21 years. Tobacco use also decreased significantly in eight cities (p < 0.001). The highest prevalence of alcohol use was found in the Southeast region in 1993 (72.8%, in Belo Horizonte) and the lowest one in Belem (30.6%) in 2010. The highest past-year prevalence of tobacco use was found in the South region in 1997 (28.0%, in Curitiba) and the lowest one in the Southeast in 2010 (7.8%, in Sao Paulo). CONCLUSIONS The decreasing trend in the prevalence of tobacco and alcohol use among students detected all over the Country can be related to the successful and comprehensive Brazilian antitobacco and antialcohol policies. Despite these results, the past-year prevalence of alcohol consumption in the past year remained high in all Brazilian regions.

OBJETIVO Analisar a tendência temporal da prevalência de uso de álcool e tabaco por estudantes brasileiros. MÉTODOS Foram analisados, entre 1989 e 2010, dados de cinco inquéritos epidemiológicos com estudantes do sexto ano do ensino fundamental ao terceiro do ensino médio, matriculados em escolas públicas nas 10 maiores capitais do Brasil. A amostra foi de 104.104 estudantes e os dados foram coletados em sala de aula. O instrumento de coleta - questionário de autopreenchimento da Organização Mundial da Saúde - e os procedimentos de amostragem e ponderação foram os mesmos nos cinco inquéritos. Teste de Qui-quadrado de tendências foi utilizado para comparar as prevalências entre os anos. RESULTADOS A prevalência de uso de álcool e tabaco variou nos anos e entre as capitais estudadas. O uso de álcool diminuiu em todas as 10 capitais (p < 0,001), em 21 anos. Houve também diminuição significativa do uso de tabaco em oito capitais (p < 0,001). A maior prevalência de uso de álcool foi observada na região Sudeste, em 1993 (72,8% em Belo Horizonte), e a menor, em Belém (30,6%), em 2010. A maior prevalência de uso do tabaco no último ano foi na região Sul, em 1997 (28,0% em Curitiba) e a menor na região Sudeste, em 2010 (7,8% em São Paulo). CONCLUSÕES A tendência de queda na prevalência de tabagismo e uso de álcool entre estudantes, observada em todo o País, pode estar relacionada com políticas antitabaco e antiálcool bem-sucedidas e abrangentes. Apesar destes resultados, a prevalência de uso de álcool no último ano continuou elevada em todas as regiões brasileiras.

Tendencias del tabaquismo en adultos en México entre 1988 y 2008 / Adult smoking trends in Mexico between 1988 and 2008

Objetivo. Describir las tendencias, durante las pasadas dos décadas, de varios indicadores de tabaquismo y explorar si las políticas de contención de la epidemia de tabaquismo en México, implantadas desde 2004, han tenido ya un impacto favorable hacia 2008. Material y métodos. Se analizan las tendencias de datos comparables sobre la prevalencia de nunca fumadores y de fumadores diarios, utilizando las cinco encuestas nacionales de adicciones realizadas entre 1988 y 2008. En el análisis se incluye a personas entre 18 y 65 años de edad y se realizan ajustes por índice de marginación, edad y sexo. Resultados. Entre 2002 y 2008 aumentó en 19.6 por ciento el porcentaje de nunca fumadores y disminuyó 24.8 por ciento el porcentaje de fumadores diarios. Estos cambios fueron más importantes en los hombres que en las mujeres, pero en estas últimas se redujo en el mismo periodo en 21.1 por ciento el promedio de cigarrillos fumados a diario y se incrementó en 13.9 por ciento el porcentaje que había intentado dejar de fumar. La prevalencia de fumadores diarios se ha reducido más aceleradamente desde 2005, lo que coincide con el incremento en los impuestos a los cigarrillos. Conclusiones. Se observa en México, durante las dos últimas décadas, una tendencia al incremento del porcentaje de nunca fumadores y a la reducción del porcentaje de fumadores diarios. A pocos años de haberse implantado en México políticas de control del tabaquismo más efectivas, en particular el incremento en los impuestos al tabaco, se observan ya resultados favorables.

Objetive. To describe the changes in several smoking indicators occurred in Mexico over the past two decades and to explore if the tobacco control policies implemented in Mexico, since 2004, show a favorable impact on tobacco consumption by 2008. Materials and Methods. We analyze trends in comparable data on the prevalence of never and daily smokers, using the five National Addiction Surveys conducted between 1988 and 2008. The analysis is restricted to persons aged 18 through 65 years. Data are adjusted for age, sex and marginality index. Results. Between 2002 and 2008 the percentage of never smokers has increased by 19.6 percent and the percentage of daily smokers has decreased by 24.8 percent. These changes were more important in men, but in women the average number of cigarettes consumed decreased by 21.1 percent over the compared period and there was also a 13.9 percent rise in the percentage of women attempting to quit. Daily smokers prevalence has declined more rapidly since 2005, coincidently with an increase in cigarette taxation. Conclusions. Over the past two decades there has been in Mexico an increase in the percentage of never smokers and a decline in the percentage of daily smokers. A positive impact is observed, few years after the implementation of more effective tobacco control policies in Mexico, notably higher taxation of tobacco products.