Interleukin-6 in Sepsis-Promising but Yet to Be Proven.

How to cite this article: Sinha S. Interleukin-6 in Sepsis-Promising but Yet to Be Proven. Indian J Crit Care Med 2024;28(7):629-631.

mNUTRIC Score in ICU Mortality Prediction: An Emerging Frontier or Yet Another Transient Trend?

How to cite this article: Arunachala S, Kumar J. mNUTRIC Score in ICU Mortality Prediction: An Emerging Frontier or Yet Another Transient Trend? Indian J Crit Care Med 2024;28(5):422-423.

Comparison of Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II and American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (ACS-NSQIP) scoring system in predicting postoperative mortality in patients undergoing emergency laparotomy: A retrospective study.

Background and Aims: There is paucity of studies on preoperative risk assessment tools in patients undergoing emergency surgery. The present study evaluated the performance of the Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II, American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (ACS-NSQIP) surgical risk calculator and American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) physical status (PS) classification system in patients undergoing emergency exploratory laparotomy. Methods: This retrospective study included 60 adult patients who underwent emergency exploratory laparotomy for perforation peritonitis. The clinical details, ASA PS classification, laboratory investigations and postoperative course of patients were retrieved from their medical records. Based on these details, APACHE II and ACS-NSQIP were calculated for the patients. The study's primary outcome was the accuracy of the preoperative APACHE II, ACS-NSQIP risk calculator and ASA PS class in predicting the postoperative 30-day mortality of patients. Results: The area under the curve (AUC) of APACHE II, ACS-NSQIP score, and ASA PS classification for mortality 30 days after surgery was 0.737, 0.694 and 0.601, respectively. The P value for the Hosmer-Lemeshow (H-L) test of scoring systems was 0.05, 0.25 and 0.05, respectively. AUC for postoperative complications was 0.799 for APACHE II, 0.683 for ACS-NSQIP and 0.601 for ASA PS classification. H-L test of these scoring systems for complications after surgery revealed P values of 0.62, 0.36 and 0.53, respectively. Conclusion: Compared to the ACS-NSQIP and ASA PS classification system, the APACHE II score has a better discriminative ability for postoperative complications and mortality in adult patients undergoing emergency exploratory laparotomy.

Temporal Trends in Mortality of Critically Ill Patients with Sepsis in the United Kingdom, 1988-2019.

Rationale: Sepsis is a frequent cause of ICU admission and mortality. Objectives: To evaluate temporal trends in the presentation and outcomes of patients admitted to the ICU with sepsis and to assess the contribution of changing case mix to outcomes. Methods: We conducted a retrospective cohort study of patients admitted to 261 ICUs in the United Kingdom during 1988-1990 and 1996-2019 with nonsurgical sepsis. Measurements and Main Results: A total of 426,812 patients met study inclusion criteria. The patients had a median (interquartile range) age of 66 (53-75) years, and 55.6% were male. The most common sites of infection were respiratory (60.9%), genitourinary (11.5%), and gastrointestinal (10.3%). Compared with patients in 1988-1990, patients in 2017-2019 were older (median age, 66 vs. 63 yr), were less acutely ill (median Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II acute physiology score, 14 vs. 20), and more often had genitourinary sepsis (13.4% vs. 2.0%). Hospital mortality decreased from 54.6% (95% confidence interval [CI], 51.0-58.1%) in 1988-1990 to 32.4% (95% CI, 32.1-32.7%) in 2017-2019, with an adjusted odds ratio of 0.64 (95% CI, 0.54-0.75). The adjusted absolute hospital mortality reduction from 1988-1990 to 2017-2019 was 8.8% (95% CI, 5.6-12.1). Thus, of the observed 22.2-percentage point reduction in hospital mortality, 13.4 percentage points (60% of total reduction) were explained by case mix changes, whereas 8.8 percentage points (40% of total reduction) were not explained by measured factors and may be a result of improvements in ICU management. Conclusions: Over a 30-year period, mortality for ICU admissions with sepsis decreased substantially. Although changes in case mix accounted for the majority of observed mortality reduction, there was an 8.8-percentage point reduction in mortality not explained by case mix.

Acute physiology and chronic health evaluation score and mortality of patients admitted to intermediate care units of a hospital in a low- and middle-income country: A cross-sectional study from Pakistan.

Background: Intermediate care units (IMCUs) serve as a bridge between general wards and intensive care units by providing close monitoring and rapid response to medical emergencies. We aim to identify the common acute medical conditions in patients admitted to IMCU and compare the predicted mortality of these conditions by acute physiology and chronic health evaluation-II (APACHE-II) score with actual mortality. Methods: A cross-sectional study was conducted at a tertiary care hospital from 2017 to 2019. All adult internal medicine patients admitted to IMCUs were included. Acute conditions were defined as those of short duration (<3 weeks) that require hospitalization. The APACHE-II score was used to determine the severity of these patients' illnesses. Results: Mean (standard deviation [SD]) age was 62 (16.5) years, and 493 (49.2%) patients were male. The top three acute medical conditions were acute and chronic kidney disease in 399 (39.8%), pneumonia in 303 (30.2%), and urinary tract infections (UTIs) in 211 (21.1%). The mean (SD) APACHE-II score of these patients was 12.5 (5.4). The highest mean APACHE-II (SD) score was for acute kidney injury (14.7 ± 4.8), followed by sepsis/septic shock (13.6 ± 5.1) and UTI (13.4 ± 5.1). Sepsis/septic shock was associated with the greatest mortality (odds ratio [OR]: 6.9 [95% CI (confidence interval): 4.5-10.6]), followed by stroke (OR: 3.9 [95% CI: 1.9-8.3]) and pneumonia (OR: 3.0 [95% CI: 2.0-4.5]). Conclusions: Sepsis/septic shock, stroke, and pneumonia are the leading causes of death in our IMCUs. The APACHE-II score predicted mortality for most acute medical conditions but underestimated the risk for sepsis and stroke.

Early Light Sedation Increased the Duration of Mechanical Ventilation in Patients With Severe Lung Injury.

Introduction: The international guidelines recommend light sedation management for patients receiving mechanical ventilation. One of the benefits of light sedation management during mechanical ventilation is the preservation of spontaneous breathing, which leads to improved gas-exchange and patient outcomes. Conversely, recent experimental animal studies have suggested that strong spontaneous breathing effort may cause worsening of lung injury, especially in severe lung injury cases. The association between depth of sedation and patient outcomes may depend on the severity of lung injury. Objective: This study aimed to describe the patients' clinical outcomes under deep or light sedation during the first 48 h of mechanical ventilation and investigate the association of light sedation on patient outcomes for each severity of lung injury. Methods: The researchers performed a retrospective observational study at a university hospital in Japan. Patients aged ≥20 years, who received mechanical ventilation for at least 48 h were enrolled. Results: A total of 413 patient cases were analyzed. Light sedation was associated with significantly shorter 28-day ventilator-free days compared with deep sedation in patients with severe lung injury (0 [IQR 0-5] days vs. 16 [0-19] days, P = .038). In the groups of patients with moderate and mild lung injury, the sedation depth was not associated with ventilator-free days. After adjusting for the positive end-expiratory pressure and APACHE II score, it was found that light sedation decreased the number of ventilator-free days in patients with severe lung injury (-10.8 days, 95% CI -19.2 to -2.5, P = .012). Conclusion: Early light sedation for severe lung injury may be associated with fewer ventilator-free days.

Predictors of Survival Among the Oldest Old Following Acute Hospital Admission: Insights From Clinical and Biochemical Factors.

Understanding the factors influencing survival in oldest old population is crucial for providing appropriate care and improving outcomes. This prospective observational study aimed to investigate the determinants of survival in acutely ill oldest old patients during acute hospitalization and 1-month follow-up. Various geriatric domains and biochemical markers were assessed. Among the 70 included patients with a median age of 87 (Inter quartile range: 85-90), the presence of diabetes, delirium, tachypnea, and high sirtuin-5 levels were associated with reduced in-hospital survival. Non-survivors had raised levels of Sirtuin 1 and Sirtuin 5, with an increase of 43% and 70%, respectively. At 1 month, delirium and diabetes were still associated with reduced survival. These findings suggest that type-2 diabetes, delirium, tachypnea, and high sirtuin-5 levels could serve as predictors of reduced survival in acutely ill, hospitalized oldest old patients.

Telemedicine Critical Care-Mediated Mortality Reductions in Lower-Performing Patient Diagnosis Groups: A Prospective, Before and After Study.

OBJECTIVES: Studies evaluating telemedicine critical care (TCC) have shown mixed results. We prospectively evaluated the impact of TCC implementation on risk-adjusted mortality among patients stratified by pre-TCC performance. DESIGN: Prospective, observational, before and after study. SETTING: Three adult ICUs at an academic medical center. PATIENTS: A total of 2,429 patients in the pre-TCC (January to June 2016) and 12,479 patients in the post-TCC (January 2017 to June 2019) periods. INTERVENTIONS: TCC implementation which included an acuity-driven workflow targeting an identified "lower-performing" patient group, defined by ICU admission in an Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation diagnoses category with a pre-TCC standardized mortality ratio (SMR) of greater than 1.5. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: The primary outcome was risk-adjusted hospital mortality. Risk-adjusted hospital length of stay (HLOS) was also studied. The SMR for the overall ICU population was 0.83 pre-TCC and 0.75 post-TCC, with risk-adjusted mortalities of 10.7% and 9.5% (p = 0.09). In the identified lower-performing patient group, which accounted for 12.6% (n = 307) of pre-TCC and 13.3% (n = 1671) of post-TCC ICU patients, SMR decreased from 1.61 (95% CI, 1.21-2.01) pre-TCC to 1.03 (95% CI, 0.91-1.15) post-TCC, and risk-adjusted mortality decreased from 26.4% to 16.9% (p < 0.001). In the remaining ("higher-performing") patient group, there was no change in pre- versus post-TCC SMR (0.70 [0.59-0.81] vs 0.69 [0.64-0.73]) or risk-adjusted mortality (8.5% vs 8.4%, p = 0.86). There were no pre- to post-TCC differences in standardized HLOS ratio or risk-adjusted HLOS in the overall cohort or either performance group. CONCLUSIONS: In well-staffed and overall higher-performing ICUs in an academic medical center, Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation granularity allowed identification of a historically lower-performing patient group that experienced a striking TCC-associated reduction in SMR and risk-adjusted mortality. This study provides additional evidence for the relationship between pre-TCC performance and post-TCC improvement.

Hypoxia-inducible factor-1α is a biomarker for predicting patients with sepsis.

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to investigate the potential value of serum hypoxia-inducible factor-1α (HIF-1α) concentrations as a biomarker in patients with sepsis. METHODS: The enrolled patients were divided into the following four groups: the intensive care unit (ICU) control group (n = 33), infection group (n = 29), septic nonshock group (n = 40), and septic shock group (n = 94). An enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay was used to measure serum HIF-1α concentrations on ICU admission. Clinical parameters and laboratory test results were also collected. RESULTS: Serum HIF-1α concentrations were significantly higher in the infection group, septic nonshock group, and septic shock group than in the ICU control group. Moreover, HIF-1α concentrations were associated with a better predictive ability for diagnosing sepsis than the Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II score, procalcitonin concentrations, and lactate concentrations. Patients with sepsis and HIF-1α concentrations >161.14 pg/mL had a poor prognosis. CONCLUSIONS: Serum HIF-1α concentrations are a useful biomarker for the diagnosis of sepsis and predicting the prognosis of patients.

Predictors of Mortality in Hospitalized Patients With Pesticide Poisoning.

Background Organophosphorus poisoning (OPP) is a prevalent mortality rate that varies from 2% to 25% method of suicides worldwide. ICUs commonly employ various scoring systems such as the Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS), Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II (APACHE II), Simplified Acute Physiology Score II (SAPS II), and International Programme on Chemical Safety (IPCS) Poison Severity Score (PSS) tools for risk stratification for mortality prediction scores and prognosis. This study aims to compare the predictive validity of these systems in hospitalized patients suffering from pesticide poisoning in a teaching hospital located in central India. Methods A prospective study design was utilized to gather relevant variables for calculating the GCS, APACHE II, SAPS II, and IPCS scales in patients affected by pesticide poisoning. Data on the administered doses of atropine and pralidoxime (PAM) were also recorded. Results We have identified several independent predictors of mortality among patients suffering from pesticide poisoning. The GCS (P=0.001), tracheostomy (P=0.001), APACHE II score (P=0.01), and SAPS II score (P=0.001) were all found to be significant indicators of mortality. Interestingly, the GCS demonstrated comparable predictive ability for mortality when compared to the APACHE II (0.82 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.70 to 0.94)) and SAPS II (0.83 (95% CI 0.72 to 0.94)) scores, with no statistically significant difference (P=0.75) observed. Among the variables used in the IPCS PSS (GCS, heart rate, systolic blood pressure (BP), intubation, and pupil size), only GCS (P=0.05), and intubation (P=0.01) exhibited a significant association with mortality. Conclusions Our study determined that the GCS score, SAPS II, IPCS PSS, and APACHE II exhibited equal efficacy in predicting mortality. Notably, the GCS offered an added advantage due to its simplicity and minimal time requirements compared to the other scales.

Predisposition, Insult, Response, and Organ Dysfunction: A Well-constructed Score!

How to cite this article: Kannan A, Jindal A. Predisposition, Insult, Response, and Organ Dysfunction: A Well-constructed Score! Indian J Crit Care Med 2023;27(2):150.

A Comparison of ICU Mortality Scoring Systems Applied to COVID-19.

Background Over the past three years, COVID-19 has been a major source of mortality in intensive care units around the world. Many scoring systems have been developed to estimate mortality in critically ill patients. Our intent with this study was to compare the efficacy of these systems when applied to COVID-19. Methods The was a multicenter, retrospective cohort study of critically ill patients with COVID-19 admitted to 16 hospitals in Texas from February 2020 to March 2022. The Simplified Acute Physiology Score (SAPS) II, Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II, Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score, and 4C Mortality scores were calculated on the initial day of ICU admission. Primary endpoints were all-cause mortality, ICU length of stay, and hospital length of stay. Results Initially, 62,881 patient encounters were assessed, and the cohort of 292 was selected based on the inclusion of the requisite values for each of the scoring systems. The median age was 56 +/- 14.93 years and 61% of patients were male. Mortality was defined as patients who expired or were discharged to hospice and was 78%. The different scoring systems were compared using logistic regression, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, and area under the ROC curve (AUC) analysis to compare the accuracy of prediction of the mortality and length of stay. The multivariate analysis showed that SOFA, APACHE II, SAPS II, and 4C scores were all significant predictors of mortality. The SOFA score had the highest AUC, though the confidence intervals for all of the models overlap therefore one model could not be considered superior to any of the others. Linear regression was performed to evaluate the models' ability to predict ICU and hospital length of stay, and none of the tested systems were found to be significant predictors of length of stay. Conclusion The SOFA, APACHE II, ISARIC 4-C, and SAPS II scores all accurately predicted mortality in critically ill patients with COVID-19. The SOFA score trended to perform the best.

Elderly in the ICU.

How to cite this article: Jagathkar G. Elderly in the ICU. Indian J Crit Care Med 2023;27(3):157-158.

Clinical Trajectory and Predictors of Intensive Care Unit Mortality Among Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease Patients: A Retrospective Case-Control Study.

Background: Despite being the most common liver disease worldwide, the clinical trajectory and inpatient crude mortality rate of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) patients admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) have not been thoroughly studied. Methods: We conducted a single-center retrospective case-control study of patients admitted to a general ICU setting between the years 2015 and 2020. Medical records from patients who met the diagnostic criteria for NAFLD, as well as age- and gender-matched control group, were reviewed. The primary endpoint was crude ICU mortality, defined as death within 30 days of ICU admission. The secondary outcomes included presentation with septic shock and severe sepsis, Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score and Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II scores, vasopressor requirements, mechanical ventilation need, and admission-to-ICU transfer time. Results: Two hundred fifty subjects were enrolled and were equally divided into the NAFLD and control groups. NAFLD group subjects had higher overall 30-day ICU mortality (63.9% vs 36.1%, P < 0.05), more frequent presentation with septic shock and severe sepsis (55.2% vs 33.6%, P < 0.05), higher Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II and Sequential Organ Failure Assessment scores at presentation (21.3 ± 12.5 vs 16.6 ± 10.5 and 11.36 ± 5.2 vs 8.3 ± 6.2, P < 0.05), higher need for mechanical ventilation (18.4 vs 7.2%, P = 0.05), and vasopressor (15.2% vs 7.2%, P = 0.05) dependency on admission with a shorter admission-to-ICU transfer mean interval (3 vs 6 days, P < 0.05). There were no differences in the need for blood transfusions, steroids, or dialysis between the two groups. Higher fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) and NAFLD fibrosis scores were found to be associated with mortality in ICU-admitted NAFLD patients. Conclusion: NAFLD patients are more likely than non-NAFLD admitted ICU patients to present with severe sepsis and septic shock, have a shorter admission-to-ICU transfer time, and have a higher crude ICU mortality rate.

Value of serum procalcitonin and acute physiology and chronic health evaluation Ⅱ score on predicting the prognosis of sepsis in elderly patients / 中华危重病急救医学

Objective:To explore the value of serum procalcitonin (PCT) and acute physiology and chronic health evaluation Ⅱ (APACHE Ⅱ) score on predicting prognosis of elderly patients with sepsis.Methods:A retrospective cohort study, patients with sepsis who admitted to the department of emergency and the department of geriatric medicine of Peking University Third Hospital from March 2020 to June 2021 were enrolled. Patients' demographics, routine laboratory examinations, APACHE Ⅱ score that within 24 hours of admission were obtained from their electronic medical records. The prognosis during the hospitalization and one year after discharge were collected, retrospectively. Univariate and multivariate analysis of prognostic factors were performed. And Kaplan-Meier survival curves were used to examine overall survival.Results:A total of 116 elderly patients met inclusion criteria, 55 were alive and 61 were died. On univariate analysis, clinical variables such as lactic acid [Lac, hazard ratio ( HR) = 1.16, 95% confidence interval (95% CI) was 1.07-1.26, P < 0.001], PCT ( HR = 1.02, 95% CI was 1.01-1.04, P < 0.001), alanine aminotransferase (ALT, HR = 1.00, 95% CI was 1.00-1.00, P = 0.143), aspartate aminotransferase (AST, HR = 1.00, 95% CI was 1.00-1.01, P = 0.014), lactate dehydrogenase (LDH, HR = 1.00, 95% CI was 1.00-1.00, P < 0.001), hydroxybutyrate dehydrogenase (HBDH, HR = 1.00, 95% CI was 1.00-1.00, P = 0.001), creatine kinase (CK, HR = 1.00, 95% CI was 1.00-1.00, P = 0.002), MB isoenzyme of creatine kinase (CK-MB, HR = 1.01, 95% CI was 1.01-1.02, P < 0.001), Na ( HR = 1.02, 95% CI was 0.99-1.05, P = 0.183), blood urea nitrogen (BUN, HR = 1.02, 95% CI was 0.99-1.05, P = 0.139), fibrinogen (FIB, HR = 0.85, 95% CI was 0.71-1.02, P = 0.078), neutrophil ratio (NEU%, HR = 0.99, 95% CI was 0.97-1.00, P = 0.114), platelet count (PLT, HR = 1.00, 95% CI was 0.99-1.00, P = 0.108) and total bile acid (TBA, HR = 1.01, 95% CI was 1.00-1.02, P = 0.096) shown to be associated with poor prognosis. On multivariable analysis, level of PCT was an important factor influencing the outcome of sepsis ( HR = 1.03, 95% CI was 1.01-1.05, P = 0.002). Kaplan-Meier survival curve showed that there was no significant difference with respect to the overall survival between the two groups, with patients of PCT ≤ 0.25 μg/L and PCT > 0.25 μg/L ( P = 0.220). It also showed that the overall survival rate in patients with high APACHE Ⅱ score (> 27 points) was significantly lower than that in patients with low APACHE Ⅱ score (≤ 27 points, P = 0.015). Conclusion:Serum PCT level is valuable prognostic factors of elderly patients with sepsis, and higher APACHE Ⅱ score (> 27 points) indicates a poor prognosis.

Identification of sepsis-associated encephalopathy risk factors in elderly patients: a retrospective observational cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Sepsis-associated encephalopathy (SAE) is a severe complication of sepsis that affects upwards of half of all sepsis patients. Few studies have examined the etiology and risk factors of SAE among elderly patients. This study was designed to explore the epidemiology of SAE and the risk factors associated with its development in elderly populations. METHODS: This was a retrospective analysis of elderly sepsis patients admitted to our intensive care unit between January 2017 and January 2022. We then compared non-SAE and SAE groups concerning baseline clinicopathological findings, underlying diseases, infection site, disease type, disease severity, biochemical findings, and 28-day mortality. We further stratified patients in the SAE group based on whether or not they survived for 28 days, and we compared the above data between these groups. RESULTS: Of the 222 elderly sepsis patients, 132 (59.46%) had SAE. SAE patients were found to be significantly older than non-SAE patients. Both age and blood sodium concentrations were found to be associated with SAE risk, while elderly sepsis patients without underlying chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) have a relatively higher risk of developing SAE. The SAE group also had a significantly higher rate of 28-day mortality, and sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) scores were a risk factor associated with 28-day mortality. DISCUSSION: Among elderly sepsis patients, SAE risk increases with advancing age, higher blood sodium concentrations, and without underlying COPD. SAE incidence is associated with a poorer prognosis, and SOFA scores are independent predictors of increased mortality among elderly SAE patients.

Early versus late intubation on the outcome of intensive care unit-admitted COVID-19 patients at Addis Ababa COVID-19 treatment centers, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia: A multicenter retrospective cohort study.

Background: Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has resulted in severe acute respiratory failure, requiring intubation and an invasive mechanical ventilation. However, the time for initiation of intubation remains debatable. Therefore, this study aimed to compare early and late intubation on the outcome of COVID-19 patients admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) of selected Addis Ababa COVID-19 treatment centers, Ethiopia. Methods: A multicenter retrospective cohort study was conducted on 94 early and late intubated ICU-admitted COVID-19 patients from October 1, 2020, to October 31, 2021, in three selected COVID-19 treatment centers in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia. A simple random sampling technique was used to select study participants. An independent t-test, Mann Whitney U test and Fisher's exact test were used for statistical analysis, as appropriate. A P value < 0.05 was used to declare a statistical significance. Results: A total of 94 patients participated, for a response rate of 94.68%. There was a statistically insignificant difference in the rates of death between the early intubated (47.2%) and the late intubated (46.1%) groups (P = 0.678). There was no difference in the median length of stay on a mechanical ventilator (in days) between the groups (P = 0.11). However, the maximum length of stay in the ICU to discharge was significantly shorter in the early intubated (33.1 days) than late intubated groups (63.79 days) (P < 0.001). Conclusion: Outcomes (death or survival) were similar whether early or late intubation was used. Early intubation did appear to improve length of ICU stay in ICU-admitted COVID-19 patients.

Prediction of Inhospital Mortality in Critically Ill Patients With Sepsis: Confirmation of the Added Value of 24-Hour Lactate to Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation IV.

We previously reported the added value of 24-hour lactate concentration alone and in combination with 24-hour lactate clearance and lactate concentration at admission for the prediction of inhospital mortality in critically ill patients with sepsis. We aimed to validate this finding. DERIVATION COHORT: The derivation cohort from Leiden, The Netherlands, consisted of 451 critically ill patients with sepsis. VALIDATION COHORT: The validation cohort consisted of 4,440 critically ill adult patients with sepsis from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care cohort admitted to the ICU of Beth Israel Deaconness Medical Center, Boston, MA, between January 2006 and 2018. PREDICTION MODEL: Predictors of mortality were: age, chronic comorbidities, length of stay pre-ICU, Glasgow Coma Scale, and Acute Physiology Score. Lactate concentration at 24-hour alone, in combination with 24-hour lactate clearance and in combination with lactate concentration at admission, was added to assess improvement of the prediction model. The outcome was inhospital mortality. RESULTS: Inhospital mortality occurred in 160 patients (36%) in the derivation cohort and in 2,347 patients (53%) in the validation cohort. The Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) IV model had a moderate discriminative performance (recalibrated C-statistic, 0.62; 95% CI, 0.60-0.63). Addition of 24-hour lactate concentration increased the recalibrated C-statistic to 0.64 (95% CI, 0.62-0.66). The model with 24-hour lactate concentration and lactate concentration at admission showed the best fit as depicted by the smallest Akaike Information Criterion in both the derivation and validation data. CONCLUSION: The 24-hour lactate concentration and lactate concentration at admission contribute modestly to prediction of inhospital mortality in critically ill patients with sepsis. Future updates and possible modification of APACHE IV should consider the incorporation of lactate concentration at baseline and at 24 hours.

Guessing Game of Patient Outcomes in the Renally Injured Critically Ill: Is There a Perfect Score?

Raju GM. Guessing Game of Patient Outcomes in the Renally Injured Critically Ill: Is There a Perfect Score? Indian J Crit Care Med 2022;26(3):253-255.