RESUMO
BACKGROUND: Leptospirosis is an endemic zoonosis in tropical areas that is mainly related to rural activities; nevertheless, human leptospirosis (HL) outbreaks differ among regions. In Colombia, HL notifications are mandatory. Our objective was to determine the spatiotemporal distribution of HL in Colombia during 2007-2018 and its relationship with the main hydroclimatic variables. METHODS: We determined the estimated incidence and lethality of HL according to department and year. The Bayesian spatiotemporal analysis of an autoregressive model (STAR) model included HL cases and hydroclimatic factors (average temperature, rainfall and relative humidity) for quarterly periods. RESULTS: During the study period, 10 586 HL cases were registered (estimated incidence: 1.75 cases x 105) and 243 deaths by HL (lethality 2.3%). The STAR model found association of HL risk with temperature (RR:6.80; 95% CI 3.57 to 12.48) and space. Quindío and three other Amazonian departments (Guainía, Guaviare and Putumayo) had a positive relationship with a significant number of HL cases, adjusted for quarterly precipitation and humidity. CONCLUSION: Spatial analysis showed a high risk of HL in departments of the western Andean Colombian regions. By contrast, in the spatiotemporal model, a higher HL risk was associated with temperature and departments of the North Colombian Amazon regions and Quindío in the Colombian Andean region.
Assuntos
Teorema de Bayes , Leptospirose , Análise Espaço-Temporal , Colômbia/epidemiologia , Humanos , Leptospirose/epidemiologia , Incidência , Fatores de Risco , Temperatura , Clima , Umidade , Chuva , Surtos de DoençasRESUMO
The classification of vasculitis according to a schema with universal acceptance is challenging, given the heterogeneous and protean nature of these diseases. Formal nomenclature and classification criteria for anti-neutrophil cytoplasmic antibody (ANCA)-associated vasculitis (AAV) have suffered several changes since their first description; none provides comprehensive diagnostic and classification criteria. Different factors account for the difficulties in the classification of vasculitis, including the incomplete understanding of the pathogenesis, the multisystemic nature of the disease, the non-specific patterns of vascular involvement, the overlap between entities, and the presence of various classification systems. The present article reviews the classification of AAV considering different points of view, including clinical, serologic, pathogenetic, organ predilection, therapeutic, and prognostic factors, and provides perspectives on future challenges in the understanding of AAV. There is an unmet need for a unifying view of the disease spectrum that considers the constantly evolving paradigms.