Relationship between short-term exposure to sulfur dioxide and emergency ambulance dispatches due to cardiovascular disease.

Background: The relationship between sulfur dioxide (SO2) and cardiovascular disease (CVD) remains inconclusive. We aimed to clarify the association between short-term exposure to SO2 and emergency ambulance dispatches (EADs) due to CVD. Methods: We collected daily data on the number of EADs due to CVD, air pollutants, and meteorological factors between October 2013 and June 2018 in Guangzhou, China. We used the quasi-Poisson generalized additive model combined with a distributed lag nonlinear model to estimate the short-term effect of SO2 on EADs due to CVD in multivariable models. Subgroup and sensitivity analyses were also performed. Results: A total of 37,889 EADs due to CVD were documented during the study period. The average daily SO2 concentration was 12.5 µg/m3. A significant relationship between SO2 and EADs due to CVD was found, with a relative risk of 1.04 (95% confidence interval: 1.02, 1.06) with each 10 µg/m3 increment of SO2 at lag 0-1. The relationship was stronger in males, for participants aged ≥65 years, and in the cold season; however, no significant modification by subgroup was found in the association between SO2 and EADs due to CVD. Similar results from sensitivity analyses to the main findings were observed. Conclusions: Short-term exposure to SO2 was significantly associated with increased EADs due to CVD.

Association between compound extreme weather event types and the spectrum of emergency ambulance calls: A metropolitan study in Shenzhen.

BACKGROUND: Compound extreme weather events, a combination of weather and climate drivers that lead to potentially high-impact events, are becoming more frequent with climate change. The number of emergency ambulance calls (EACs) is expected to increase during compound extreme weather events. However, the extent of these increases and the trends over time have not been fully assessed. METHODS: We obtained 242,165 EAC records for Shenzhen from January 1, 2020, to June 30, 2023. A compound extreme weather event was defined as the occurrence of at least two extreme weather events on the same day. A distributed lag non-linear model was used to explore the exposure-response and lag-response relationships between various compound extreme weather events and all-cause and specific-cause EACs. FINDING: Compound Cold & Strong Monsoon events had more significant impacts on EACs for all causes and endocrine diseases, with the cumulative relative risk (CRR) of 1.401 (95% confidence interval (CI):1.290-1.522) and 1.641 (95% CI:1.279-2.105). Compound Heat Wave & Lightning events had more obvious impacts on digestive disease and endocrine disease EACs, with the CRRs of 1.185 (95% CI:1.041-1.348) and 1.278 (95% CI:0.954-1.711), respectively. Compound Rainstorm & Lightning & Heat Wave events also led to increased RRs of EACs for all causes (CRR: 1.168, 95% CI:1.012-1.348), cardiovascular diseases (CRR: 1.221, 95% CI:0.917-1.624), digestive diseases (CRR: 1.395, 95% CI:1.130-1.721), and endocrine diseases (CRR: 1.972, 95% CI:1.235-3.149). There was no increased RR in the compound Rainstorm & Lightning events for all types of EACs. INTERPRETATION: Our study explored the relationship between EACs and compound extreme weather events, suggesting that compound extreme weather events are associated with the acute onset of cardiovascular diseases, digestive diseases, and endocrine diseases, increasing the burden on emergency ambulance resources for both all causes and specific diseases mentioned above.

Association between daily circulatory emergency ambulance dispatches and short-term PM2.5 exposure in a heavily polluted area.

Emergency ambulance dispatches (EAD) have been proven to be associated with ambient particulate matter with diameter < 2.5 µm (PM2.5) concentration, but the associations of circulatory EAD remained inconclusive, especially in heavily polluted areas. In this time series conducted in Shenyang City, Northeastern China, we explored the associations between circulatory EAD and ambient PM2.5 and its constituents. Data including 113,508 circulatory EAD records, five types of PM2.5 constituents, and meteorological information spanning from 2014 to 2019 were retrieved. Using generalized additive models (GAMs), we explored the association between circulatory EAD and calculated excess risks induced by a 10 µg/m3 increase (ERR10) in PM2.5 mass and its constituents. ERR by percentage change (ERRpc) to compare among the different constituents were also calculated. Positive associations between circulatory EAD and PM2.5 mass, sulfates, organic matters, and black carbon, were found particularly at lag0 and lag0-5, with the ERR10 of 3.8% (3.2%-4.4%), 6.5% (2.2%-10.8%), 4.2% (1.7%-6.6%), and 30.2% (17.2%-43.4%) at lag0-5, respectively. Similar associations were observed for cardiovascular EAD, while cerebrovascular EAD suggested a positive association with O3 rather than PM2.5 or its constituents. Notably, PM2.5 mass exhibited the largest ERRpc for circulatory and cardiovascular EAD, followed by sulfates and black carbon. Moreover, the risks were enhanced for circulatory and cardiovascular EAD in males compared to females and during warmer seasons compared to colder seasons. Our findings contribute new evidence on PM2.5 exposure and circulatory EAD in relatively polluted areas.

External validation of the preHEART score and comparison with current clinical risk scores for prehospital risk assessment in patients with suspected NSTE-ACS.

BACKGROUND: Emergency Medical Services (EMS) studies have shown that prehospital risk stratification and triage decisions in patients with suspected non-ST-elevation acute coronary syndrome (NSTE-ACS) can be improved using clinical risk scores with point-of-care (POC) troponin. In current EMS studies, three different clinical risk scores are used in patients suspected of NSTE-ACS: the prehospital History, ECG, Age, Risk and Troponin (preHEART) score, History, ECG, Age, Risk and Troponin (HEART) score and Troponin-only Manchester Acute Coronary Syndromes (T-MACS). The preHEART score lacks external validation and there exists no prospective comparative analysis of the different risk scores within the prehospital setting. The aim of this analysis is to externally validate the preHEART score and compare the diagnostic performance of the these three clinical risk scores and POC-troponin. METHODS: Prespecified analysis from a prospective, multicentre, cohort study in patients with suspected NSTE-ACS who were transported to an ED between April 2021 and December 2022 in the Netherlands. Risk stratification is performed by EMS personnel using preHEART, HEART, T-MACS and POC-troponin. The primary end point was the hospital diagnosis of NSTE-ACS. The diagnostic performance was expressed as area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC), sensitivity, specificity, negative predictive value (NPV) and positive predictive value (PPV). RESULTS: A total of 823 patients were included for external validation of the preHEART score, final hospital diagnosis of NSTE-ACS was made in 29% (n=235). The preHEART score classified 27% as low risk, with a sensitivity of 92.8% (95% CI 88.7 to 95.7) and NPV of 92.3% (95% CI 88.3 to 95.1). The preHEART classified 9% of the patients as high risk, with a specificity of 98.5% (95% CI 97.1 to 99.3) and PPV of 87.7% (95% CI 78.3 to 93.4). Data for comparing clinical risk scores and POC-troponin were available in 316 patients. No difference was found between the preHEART score and HEART score (AUROC 0.83 (95% CI 0.78 to 0.87) vs AUROC 0.80 (95% CI 0.74 to 0.85), p=0.19), and both were superior compared with T-MACS (AUROC 0.72 (95% CI 0.66 to 0.79), p≤0.001 and p=0.03, respectively) and POC-troponin measurement alone (AUROC 0.71 (95% CI 0.64 to 0.78), p<0.001 and p=0.01, respectively). CONCLUSION: On external validation, the preHEART demonstrates good overall diagnostic performance as a prehospital risk stratification tool. Both the preHEART and HEART scores have better overall diagnostic performance compared with T-MACS and sole POC-troponin measurement. These data support the implementation of clinical risk scores in prehospital clinical pathways. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT05243485.

Short-term effects of temperature-related indices on emergency ambulance dispatches due to mental and behavioral disorders in Shenzhen, China.

Introduction: The precise associations between temperature-related indices and mental and behavioral disorders (MBDs) have yet to be fully elucidated. Our study aims to ascertain the most effective temperature-related index and assess its immediate impact on emergency ambulance dispatches (EADs) due to MBDs in Shenzhen, China. Methods: EADs data and meteorological data from January 1, 2013, to December 31, 2020, in Shenzhen were collected. Distributed lag non-linear models (DLNMs) were utilized to examine the non-linear and lagged effects of temperature-related indices on EADs due to MBDs. The Quasi Akaike Information criterion (QAIC) was used to determine the optimal index after standardizing temperature-related indices. After adjusting for confounding factors in the model, we estimated the immediate and cumulative effects of temperature on EADs due to MBDs. Results: The analysis of short-term temperature effects on EADs due to MBDs revealed Humidex as the most suitable index. Referring to the optimal Humidex (3.2th percentile, 12.00°C), we observed a significant effect of Humidex over the threshold (34.6th percentile, 26.80°C) on EADs due to MBDs at lag 0-5. The cumulative relative risks for high temperature (90th percentile, 41.90°C) and extreme high temperature (99th percentile, 44.20°C) at lag 0-5 were 1.318 (95% CI: 1.159-1.499) and 1.338 (95% CI: 1.153-1.553), respectively. No significant cold effect was observed on EADs due to MBDs. Conclusion: High Humidex was associated with more EADs due to MBDs in subtropical regions. Health authorities should implement effective measures to raise public awareness of risks related to high temperature and protect vulnerable populations.

Outcomes of adult patients discharged at scene by emergency medical services.

BACKGROUND: The outcomes of patients who call an ambulance but are discharged at scene reflect the safety and quality of emergency medical service (EMS) care. While previous studies have examined the outcomes of patients discharged at scene, none have specifically focused on paramedic-initiated discharge. This study aims to describe the outcomes of adult patients discharged at scene by paramedics and identify factors associated with 72-hour outcomes. METHODS: This was a retrospective data linkage study on consecutive adult EMS patients discharged at scene by paramedics in Victoria, Australia, between 1 January 2015 and 30 June 2019. Multivariable logistic regression was used to investigate factors associated with EMS recontact, ED presentation, hospital admission and serious adverse events (death, cardiac arrest, category 1 triage or intensive care unit admission) within 72 hours of the initial emergency call. RESULTS: There were 375 758 cases of adults discharged at scene following EMS attendance, of which 222 571 (59.2%) were paramedic-initiated decisions. Of these, 6.8% recontacted EMS, 5.0% presented to ED, 2.4% were admitted to hospital and 0.3% had a serious adverse event in the following 72 hours. The odds of EMS recontact were increased in cases related to mental health (adjusted OR (AOR) 1.41 (95% CI 1.33 to 1.49)), among low-income government concession holders (AOR 1.61 (95% CI 1.55 to 1.67)) and in areas of low socioeconomic advantage (AOR 1.19 (95% CI 1.13 to 1.25)). The odds of hospital admission were increased in cases related to infection (AOR 3.14 (95% CI 2.80 to 3.52)) and pain (AOR 1.93 (95% CI 1.75 to 2.14)). The strongest driver of serious adverse events was an abnormal vital sign (AOR 4.81 (95% CI 3.87 to 5.98)). CONCLUSION: The occurrence of hospital admission and adverse events is rare in those discharged at scene, suggesting generally safe decision-making. However, increased attention to elderly, multimorbid patients or patients with infection and pain is recommended, as is further research examining the use of tools to aid paramedic recognition of potential for deterioration.

The relationship between ambulance team's professional commitment, occupational anxiety, and resilience levels.

BACKGROUND: Individuals who have the ability to bounce back from stressful events, to recover from their troubles and adverse environmental conditions by getting stronger each time are known as resilient people. Some professions may cause more occupational anxiety than others due to their characteristics and working conditions. In this research, we aimed to develop a professional commitment scale for the ambulance team. Another aim was to analyze the relationships between professional commitment, occupational anxiety, resilience, gender, job, seniority and working unit variables. METHODS: In the study, data were collected from a total of 1142 emergency ambulance workers working in Emergency Ambulance and Emergency Call Centers in 34 different cities in Turkey. Data were collected using the "Professional Commitment of Ambulance Team Scale (PCATS), Occupational Anxiety Scale for Emergency Medical Service Professionals (OASEMSP), and Resilience Scale for Adults (RSA). Scale development analyses were carried out using Classical Test Theory (CTT) and Item Response Theory (IRT). Regression analysis were used to examine the relationships between professional commitment, occupational anxiety, resilience, gender, job, seniority and working unit. RESULTS: As a result of the exploratory factor analysis (EFA), it was determined that 8 items remaining in the professional commitment scale formed a single-factor structure, explaining 46% of the variance of professional commitment of the team. The Cronbach's Alpha reliability value was 0.867. Confirmatory factor analysis (CFA) confirmed the results of exploratory factor analysis. The Cronbach's Alpha reliability coefficient obtained through CTT was 0.868, and the marginal reliability coefficient within the scope of IRT was 0.877. The test-retest reliability coefficient was calculated as 0.832, which indicates that the scale is valid and reliable. CONCLUSIONS: The study revealed that resilience has a positive effect for professional commitment while occupational anxiety has a negative effect for professional commitment. In addition, having a moderate seniority has a negative (reducing) effect for professional commitment. Other variables (gender, job, and working unit) was found to have no significant impact on professional commitment.

Association between ambient temperature and genitourinary emergency ambulance dispatches in Japan: A nationwide case-crossover study.

Background: Although the effects of temperature on genitourinary morbidity and mortality have been investigated in several countries, it remains largely unexplored in Japan. We investigated the association between ambient temperature and genitourinary emergency ambulance dispatches (EADs) in Japan and the modifying roles of sex, age, and illness severity. Methods: We conducted a time-stratified case-crossover study with conditional quasi-Poisson regression to estimate the association between mean temperature and genitourinary EADs in all prefectures of Japan between 2015 and 2019. A mixed-effects meta-analysis was used to pool the association at the country level. Subgroup analyses were performed to explore differences in associations stratified by sex, age, and illness severity. Results: We found an increased risk of genitourinary EAD associated with higher temperatures. The cumulative relative risk (RR) at the 99th temperature percentile compared with that at the 1st percentile was 1.74 (95% confidence interval (CI) = [1.60, 1.89]). We observed higher heat-related RRs in males (RR = 1.89; 95% CI = [1.73, 2.07]) than females (RR = 1.56; 95% CI = [1.37, 1.76]), and in the younger (RR = 2.13; 95% CI = [1.86, 2.45]) than elderly (RR = 1.39; 95% CI = [1.22, 1.58]). We found a significant association for those with mild or moderate cases (RR = 1.77; 95% CI = [1.62, 1.93]), but not for severe or life-threatening cases (RR = 1.20; 95% CI = [0.80, 1.82]). Conclusion: Our study revealed heat effects on genitourinary EADs in Japan. Men, youth, and mild-moderate illnesses were particularly vulnerable subgroups. These findings underscore the need for preventative measures aimed at mitigating the impact of temperature on genitourinary emergencies.

Prehospital identification of acute ischaemic stroke with large vessel occlusion: a retrospective study from western Norway.

BACKGROUND: In 2019, the emergency medical services (EMS) covering the western Norway Regional Health Authority area implemented its version of the prehospital clinical criteria G-FAST (Gaze deviation, Facial palsy, Arm weakness, Visual loss, Speech disturbance) to detect acute ischaemic stroke (AIS) with large vessel occlusion (LVO). For patients with gaze deviation and at least one other G-FAST symptom, a primary stroke centre (PSC) may be bypassed and the patient taken directly to a comprehensive stroke centre (CSC) for rapid endovascular treatment (EVT) evaluation. The study aim was to investigate the efficacy of the G-FAST criteria for LVO patient selection and direct transfer to a CSC. METHODS: This retrospective study included patients with code-red emergency medical communication centre (EMCC) stroke suspicion ambulance dispatch between August to December 2020. Stroke suspicion was defined as having at least one G-FAST symptom at EMS arrival. We obtained patient data from dispatches from EMCCs, EMS records and local EVT registries. Clinical features, CT images, and reperfusion treatment were recorded. The test characteristics for gaze deviation plus one other G-FAST symptom in detecting LVO were determined. RESULTS: Among 643 patients, 59 were diagnosed with LVO at hospital arrival. In this group, seven fulfilled the G-FAST criteria for direct transport to a CSC at EMS arrival on scene, resulting in a sensitivity of 12% (95% CI 5% to 23%). The specificity was 99.66% (95% CI 98.77% to 99.96%), the positive predictive value 78%, and the negative predictive value 92%. EVT was performed in 64% (38/59) of LVO cases. Median time from PSC arrival to start of EVT at a CSC was 163 min. CONCLUSION: The use of local G-FAST prehospital criteria by EMS personnel to identify patients with AIS with LVO is not suitable for selection of patients with LVO for direct transfer to a CSC.

Consensus statement on the interhospital transfer of patients with acute aortic syndrome: TRAVERSING Delphi study.

BACKGROUND: Standardisation of referral pathways and the transfer of patients with acute aortic syndromes (AAS) to regional centres are recommended by NHS England in the Acute Aortic Dissection Toolkit. The aim of the Transfer of Thoracic Aortic Vascular Emergencies to Regional Specialist INstitutes Group study was to establish an interdisciplinary consensus on the interhospital transfer of patients with AAS to specialist high-volume aortic centres. METHODS: Consensus on the key aspects of interhospital transfer of patients with AAS was established using the Delphi method, in line with Conducting and Reporting of Delphi Studies guidelines. A national patient charity for aortic dissection was involved in the design of the Delphi study. Vascular and cardiothoracic surgeons, emergency physicians, interventional radiologists, cardiologists, intensivists and anaesthetists in the United Kingdom were invited to participate via their respective professional societies. RESULTS: Three consecutive rounds of an electronic Delphi survey were completed by 212, 101 and 58 respondents, respectively. Using predefined consensus criteria, 60 out of 117 (51%) statements from the survey were included in the consensus statement. The study concluded that patients can be taken directly to a specialist aortic centre if they have typical symptoms of AAS on the background of known aortic disease or previous aortic intervention. Accepted patients should be transferred in a category 2 ambulance (response time <18 min), ideally accompanied by transfer-trained personnel or Adult Critical Care Transfer Services. A clear plan should be agreed in case of a cardiac arrest occurring during the transfer. Patients should reach the aortic centre within 4 hours of the initial referral from their local hospital. CONCLUSIONS: This consensus statement is the first set of national interdisciplinary recommendations on the interhospital transfer of patients with AAS. Its implementation is likely to contribute to safer and more standardised emergency referral pathways to regional high-volume specialist aortic units.

Detection of patients with COVID-19 by the emergency medical services in Lombardy through an operator-based interview and machine learning models.

BACKGROUND: The regional emergency medical service (EMS) in Lombardy (Italy) developed clinical algorithms based on operator-based interviews to detect patients with COVID-19 and refer them to the most appropriate hospitals. Machine learning (ML)-based models using additional clinical and geospatial epidemiological data may improve the identification of infected patients and guide EMS in detecting COVID-19 cases before confirmation with SARS-CoV-2 reverse transcriptase PCR (rtPCR). METHODS: This was an observational, retrospective cohort study using data from October 2020 to July 2021 (training set) and October 2021 to December 2021 (validation set) from patients who underwent a SARS-CoV-2 rtPCR test within 7 days of an EMS call. The performance of an operator-based interview using close contact history and signs/symptoms of COVID-19 was assessed in the training set for its ability to determine which patients had an rtPCR in the 7 days before or after the call. The interview accuracy was compared with four supervised ML models to predict positivity for SARS-CoV-2 within 7 days using readily available prehospital data retrieved from both training and validation sets. RESULTS: The training set includes 264 976 patients, median age 74 (IQR 55-84). Test characteristics for the detection of COVID-19-positive patients of the operator-based interview were: sensitivity 85.5%, specificity 58.7%, positive predictive value (PPV) 37.5% and negative predictive value (NPV) 93.3%. Contact history, fever and cough showed the highest association with SARS-CoV-2 infection. In the validation set (103 336 patients, median age 73 (IQR 50-84)), the best-performing ML model had an AUC of 0.85 (95% CI 0.84 to 0.86), sensitivity 91.4% (95 CI% 0.91 to 0.92), specificity 44.2% (95% CI 0.44 to 0.45) and accuracy 85% (95% CI 0.84 to 0.85). PPV and NPV were 13.3% (95% CI 0.13 to 0.14) and 98.2% (95% CI 0.98 to 0.98), respectively. Contact history, fever, call geographical distribution and cough were the most important variables in determining the outcome. CONCLUSION: ML-based models might help EMS identify patients with SARS-CoV-2 infection, and in guiding EMS allocation of hospital resources based on prespecified criteria.

Hospital-administered ECPR for out-of-hospital cardiac arrest: an observational cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Extracorporeal cardiopulmonary resuscitation (ECPR) is a treatment method for refractory out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) requiring a complex chain of care. METHODS: All cases of OHCA between 1 January 2016 and 31 December 2021 in the Helsinki University Hospital catchment area in which the ECPR protocol was activated were included in the study. The protocol involved patient transport from the emergency site with ongoing mechanical cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR) directly to the cardiac catheterisation laboratory where the implementation of extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) was considered. Cases of hypothermic cardiac arrest were excluded. The main outcomes were the number of ECPR protocol activations, duration of prehospital and in-hospital time intervals, and whether the ECPR candidates were treated using ECMO or not. RESULTS: The prehospital ECPR protocol was activated in 73 cases of normothermic OHCA. The mean patient age (SD) was 54 (±11) years and 67 (91.8%) of them were male. The arrest was witnessed in 67 (91.8%) and initial rhythm was shockable in 61 (83.6%) cases. The median ambulance response time (IQR) was 9 (7-11) min. All patients received mechanical CPR, epinephrine and/or amiodarone. Seventy (95.9%) patients were endotracheally intubated. The median (IQR) highest prehospital end-tidal CO2 was 5.5 (4.0-6.9) kPa.A total of 37 (50.7%) patients were treated with venoarterial ECMO within a median (IQR) of 84 (71-105) min after the arrest. Thirteen (35.1%) of them survived to discharge and 11 (29.7%) with a cerebral performance category (CPC) 1-2. In those ECPR candidates who did not receive ECMO, 8 (22.2%) received permanent return of spontaneuous circulation during transport or immediately after hospital arrival and 6 (16.7%) survived to discharge with a CPC 1-2. CONCLUSIONS: Half of the ECPR protocol activations did not lead to ECMO treatment. However, every fourth ECPR candidate and every third patient who received ECMO-facilitated resuscitation at the hospital survived with a good neurological outcome.

Forecasting the daily demand for emergency medical ambulances in England and Wales: a benchmark model and external validation.

BACKGROUND: We aimed to select and externally validate a benchmark method for emergency ambulance services to use to forecast the daily number of calls that result in the dispatch of one or more ambulances. METHODS: The study was conducted using standard methods known to the UK's NHS to aid implementation in practice. We selected our benchmark model from a naive benchmark and 14 standard forecasting methods. Mean absolute scaled error and 80 and 95% prediction interval coverage over a 84 day horizon were evaluated using time series cross validation across eight time series from the South West of England. External validation was conducted by time series cross validation across 13 time series from London, Yorkshire and Welsh Ambulance Services. RESULTS: A model combining a simple average of Facebook's prophet and regression with ARIMA errors (1, 1, 3)(1, 0, 1, 7) was selected. Benchmark MASE, 80 and 95% prediction intervals were 0.68 (95% CI 0.67 - 0.69), 0.847 (95% CI 0.843 - 0.851), and 0.965 (95% CI 0.949 - 0.977), respectively. Performance in the validation set was within expected ranges for MASE, 0.73 (95% CI 0.72 - 0.74) 80% coverage (0.833; 95% CI 0.828-0.838), and 95% coverage (0.965; 95% CI 0.963-0.967). CONCLUSIONS: We provide a robust externally validated benchmark for future ambulance demand forecasting studies to improve on. Our benchmark forecasting model is high quality and usable by ambulance services. We provide a simple python framework to aid its implementation in practice. The results of this study were implemented in the South West of England.

Family & bystander experiences of emergency ambulance services care: a scoping review.

BACKGROUND: Emergency ambulance personnel respond to a variety of incidents in the community, including medical, trauma and obstetric emergencies. Family and bystanders present on scene may provide first aid, reassurance, background information or even act as proxy decision-makers. For most people, involvement in any event requiring an emergency ambulance response is a stressful and salient experience. The aim of this scoping review is to identify and synthesise all published, peer-reviewed research describing family and bystanders' experiences of emergency ambulance care. METHODS: This scoping review included peer-reviewed studies that reported on family or bystander experiences where emergency ambulance services responded. Five databases were searched in May 2022: Medline, CINAHL, Scopus, ProQuest Dissertation & Theses and PsycINFO. After de-duplication and title and abstract screening, 72 articles were reviewed in full by two authors for inclusion. Data analysis was completed using thematic synthesis. RESULTS: Thirty-five articles reporting heterogeneous research designs were included in this review (Qualitative = 21, Quantitative = 2, Mixed methods = 10, Evidence synthesis = 2). Thematic synthesis developed five key themes characterising family member and bystander experiences. In an emergency event, family members and bystanders described chaotic and unreal scenes and emotional extremes of hope and hopelessness. Communication with emergency ambulance personnel played a key role in family member and bystander experience both during and after an emergency event. It is particularly important to family members that they are present during emergencies not just as witnesses but as partners in decision-making. In the event of a death, family and bystanders want access to psychological post-event support. CONCLUSION: By incorporating patient and family-centred care into practice emergency ambulance personnel can influence the experience of family members and bystanders during emergency ambulance responses. More research is needed to explore the needs of diverse populations, particularly regarding differences in cultural and family paradigms as current research reports the experiences of westernised nuclear family experiences.

Association between ambient temperatures and injuries: a time series analysis using emergency ambulance dispatches in Chongqing, China.

BACKGROUND: Global warming and increasing extreme weather have become a severe problem in recent years, posing a significant threat to human health worldwide. Research exploring the link between injury as one of the leading causes of death globally and ambient temperature was lacking. Based on the hourly injury emergency ambulance dispatch (IEAD) records from 2019-2021 in the main urban area of Chongqing, this study explored the role of temperature extremes on the pathogenesis of injury by different mechanisms and identified sensitive populations for different mechanisms of injury. METHODS: In this study, we collected hourly injury emergency ambulance dispatch (IEAD) records from Chongqing Emergency Dispatch Center in the main urban area of Chongqing from 2019 to 2021, and used a distributed lagged nonlinear model (DLNM) with quasi-Poisson distribution to evaluate the association between ambient temperature and IEADs. And the stratified analysis was performed by gender, age and different injury mechanisms to identify susceptible groups. Finally, the attributable burden of ambient extreme temperatures was also investigated. RESULTS: The risk for total IEADs increased significantly at high temperature (32 °C) compared with optimal temperature (9 °C) (CRR: 1.210; 95%CI[1.127,1.300]). The risks of traffic accident injury (CRR: 1.346; 95%CI[1.167,1.552]), beating injury (CRR: 1.508; 95%CI[1.165,1.952]), fall-height injury (CRR: 1.871; 95%CI[1.196-2.926]) and injury of sharp penetration (CRR: 2.112; 95%CI[1.388-3.213]) were significantly increased. At low temperature (7 °C), the risk of fall injury (CRR: 1.220; 95% CI [1.063,1.400]) increased significantly. Lag for 24 hours at extreme low temperature (5 °C), the risk of 18-45 years (RR: 1.016; 95%CI[1.009,1.024]) and over 60 years of age (RR: 1.019; 95%CI[1.011,1.025]) increased significantly. The effect of 0 h delay in extreme high temperature (36 °C) on males aged 18-45 years (RR: 1.115; 95%CI[1.071,1.162]) and 46-59 years (RR: 1.069; 95%CI[1.023,1.115]) had significant impact on injury risk. CONCLUSIONS: This study showed that ambient temperature was significantly related to the risk of injury, and different mechanisms of injury were affected differently by extreme temperature. The increasing risk of traffic accident injury, beating injury, fall-height injury and sharp penetrating injury was associated with extreme heat, while fall injury was associated with extreme cold. The risk of injury in high temperature environment was mainly concentrated in males and young adults. The results of this study can help to identify the sensitive population with different injury mechanisms in extreme temperature environment, and provide reference for public health emergency departments to respond to relevant strategies in extreme temperature environment to minimize the potential risk to the public.

External validation of the Manchester Acute Coronary Syndromes ECG risk model within a pre-hospital setting.

OBJECTIVES: The Manchester Acute Coronary Syndromes ECG (MACS-ECG) prediction model calculates a score based on objective ECG measurements to give the probability of a non-ST elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI). The model showed good performance in the emergency department (ED), but its accuracy in the pre-hospital setting is unknown. We aimed to externally validate MACS-ECG in the pre-hospital environment. METHODS: We undertook a secondary analysis from the Pre-hospital Evaluation of Sensitive Troponin (PRESTO) study, a multi-centre prospective study to validate decision aids in the pre-hospital setting (26 February 2019 to 23 March 2020). Patients with chest pain where the treating paramedic suspected acute coronary syndrome were included. Paramedics collected demographic and historical data and interpreted ECGs contemporaneously (as 'normal' or 'abnormal'). After completing recruitment, we analysed ECGs to calculate the MACS-ECG score, using both a pre-defined threshold and a novel threshold that optimises sensitivity to differentiate AMI from non-AMI. This was compared with subjective ECG interpretation by paramedics. The diagnosis of AMI was adjudicated by two investigators based on serial troponin testing in hospital. RESULTS: Of 691 participants, 87 had type 1 AMI and 687 had complete data for paramedic ECG interpretation. The MACS-ECG model had a C-index of 0.68 (95% CI: 0.61 to 0.75). At the pre-determined cut-off, MACS-ECG had 2.3% (95% CI: 0.3% to 8.1%) sensitivity, 99.5% (95% CI: 98.6% to 99.9%) specificity, 40.0% (95% CI: 10.2% to 79.3%) positive predictive value (PPV) and 87.6% (87.3% to 88.0%) negative predictive value (NPV). At the optimal threshold for sensitivity, MACS-ECG had 50.6% sensitivity (39.6% to 61.5%), 83.1% specificity (79.9% to 86.0%), 30.1% PPV (24.7% to 36.2%) and 92.1% NPV (90.4% to 93.5%). In comparison, paramedics had a sensitivity of 71.3% (95% CI: 60.8% to 80.5%) with 53.8% (95% CI: 53.8% to 61.8%) specificity, 19.7% (17.2% to 22.45%) PPV and 93.3% (90.8% to 95.1%) NPV. CONCLUSION: Neither MACS-ECG nor paramedic ECG interpretation had a sufficiently high PPV or NPV to 'rule in' or 'rule out' NSTEMI alone.

Healthcare cost burden of acute chest pain presentations.

BACKGROUND: This study aimed to estimate the direct healthcare cost burden of acute chest pain attendances presenting to ambulance in Victoria, Australia, and to identify key cost drivers especially among low-risk patients. METHODS: State-wide population-based cohort study of consecutive adult patients attended by ambulance for acute chest pain with individual linkage to emergency and hospital admission data in Victoria, Australia (1 January 2015-30 June 2019). Direct healthcare costs, adjusted for inflation to 2020-2021 ($A), were estimated for each component of care using a casemix funding method. RESULTS: From 241 627 ambulance attendances for chest pain during the study period, mean chest pain episode cost was $6284, and total annual costs were estimated at $337.4 million ($68 per capita per annum). Total annual costs increased across the period ($310.5 million in 2015 vs $384.5 million in 2019), while mean episode costs remained stable. Cardiovascular conditions (25% of presentations) were the most expensive (mean $11 523, total annual $148.7 million), while a non-specific pain diagnosis (49% of presentations) was the least expensive (mean $3836, total annual $93.4 million). Patients classified as being at low risk of myocardial infarction, mortality or hospital admission (Early Chest pain Admission, Myocardial infarction, and Mortality (ECAMM) score) represented 31%-57% of the cohort, with total annual costs estimated at $60.6 million-$135.4 million, depending on the score cut-off used. CONCLUSIONS: Total annual costs for acute chest pain presentations are increasing, and a significant proportion of the cost burden relates to low-risk patients and non-specific pain. These data highlight the need to improve the cost-efficiency of chest pain care pathways.

Effects of heatwave features on machine-learning-based heat-related ambulance calls prediction models in Japan.

Researchers agree that there is substantial evidence of an increasing trend in both the frequency and duration of extreme temperature events. Increasing extreme temperature events will place more pressure on public health and emergency medical resources, and societies will need to find effective and reliable solutions to adapt to hotter summers. This study developed an effective method to predict the number of daily heat-related ambulance calls. Both national- and regional-level models were developed to evaluate the performance of machine-learning-based methods on heat-related ambulance call prediction. The national model showed a high prediction accuracy and can be applied over most regions, while the regional model showed extremely high prediction accuracy in each corresponding region and reliable accuracy in special cases. We found that the introduction of heatwave features, including accumulated heat stress, heat acclimatization, and optimal temperature, significantly improved prediction accuracy. The adjusted coefficient of determination (adjusted R2) of the national model improved from 0.9061 to 0.9659 by including these features, and the adjusted R2 of the regional model also improved from 0.9102 to 0.9860. Furthermore, we used five bias-corrected global climate models (GCMs) to forecast the total number of summer heat-related ambulance calls under three different future climate scenarios nationally and regionally. Our analysis demonstrated that, at the end of the 21st century, the total number of heat-related ambulance calls in Japan will reach approximately 250,000 per year (nearly four times the current amount) under SSP-5.85. Our results suggest that disaster management agencies can use this highly accurate model to forecast potential high emergency medical resource burden caused by extreme heat events, allowing them to raise and improve public awareness and prepare countermeasures in advance. The method proposed in Japan in this paper can be applied to other countries that have relevant data and weather information systems.