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1.
Cureus ; 16(6): e62059, 2024 Jun.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38989335

RESUMO

Flood syndrome refers to ruptured umbilical hernias in patients with chronic ascites with underlying liver cirrhosis. These ruptures may introduce infection into the abdomen and hence require emergency surgery. However, these patients are at high risk during these procedures owing to coagulopathy, hypotension and electrolyte imbalances. In our series, we describe six patients who presented with varying degrees of severity and were treated with a standardised protocol of primary anatomic repair and drain placement. Furthermore, we assessed the Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) and Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) scores in these patients and correlated them to postoperative outcomes. This surgical technique has a good outcome in patients whose CTP and MELD scores predict a safe postoperative period.

3.
Front Public Health ; 12: 1342510, 2024.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38952724

RESUMO

Introduction: Acute and long-term health impacts from flooding related toxic chemical releases are a significant local health concern and can disproportionately impact communities with vulnerable populations; reliable release data are needed to quantify this hazard. Methods: In this paper, we analyze US Federal Emergency Management Agency designated floodplain data and US Environmental Protection Agency Toxic Release Inventory (TRI) data to determine if geographically manipulated databases adhere to Benford's Law. Results: We investigated multiple variants and discovered pollution releases adhere to Benford's Law and tests which thereby validates the self-reported toxic release dataset. Discussion: We find that Benford's Law applies to self-reported toxic chemical release and disposal data, indicating a lack of widespread data errors or manipulation.


Assuntos
Inundações , Autorrelato , Humanos , Estados Unidos , Inundações/estatística & dados numéricos , United States Environmental Protection Agency , Vazamento de Resíduos Químicos , Substâncias Perigosas
4.
Sci Total Environ ; : 174513, 2024 Jul 05.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38972404

RESUMO

The paper discusses the concept of a proprietary decision-making model that allows for determining whether the planned development in areas not protected by flood embankments and at risk of flooding can be shaped in a safe manner. The model was used to evaluate the possibility of shaping the development in flood-risk areas on the example of one of the types of Oleder villages - a dispersed village located in the floodplains of the Warta River (western Poland). So far, there has been no comprehensive evaluation method supporting proper spatial planning for flood-risk areas. The use of multi-criteria analysis methods enabled to specify the key criteria of this evaluation, which form the basis of the decision-making support system. Additionally, the elaborated method enables to determine whether the localities under study can retain their current functional nature and if there is a potential for further spatial development based on the characteristics of an Oleder village. The presented methodology can be easily adapted to other cultural areas located in countries with different levels of development, traditions, landscape or climate.

5.
J Environ Manage ; 366: 121764, 2024 Jul 08.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38981269

RESUMO

This study investigated the impact of climate change on flood susceptibility in six South Asian countries Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, Bharat (India), Nepal, and Pakistan-under two distinct Shared Socioeconomic Pathway (SSP) scenarios: SSP1-2.6 and SSP5-5.8, for 2041-2060 and 2081-2100. To predict flood susceptibility, we employed three artificial intelligence (AI) algorithms: the K-nearest neighbor (KNN), conditional inference random forest (CIRF), and regularized random forest (RRF). Predictions were based on data from 2452 historical flood events, alongside climatic variables measured over monthly, seasonal, and annual timeframes. The innovative aspect of this research is the emphasis on using climatic variables across these progressively condensed timeframes, specifically addressing eight precipitation factors. The performance evaluation, employing the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) metric, identified the RRF model as the most accurate, with the highest AUC of 0.94 during the testing phase, followed by the CIRF (AUC = 0.91) and the KNN (AUC = 0.86). An analysis of variable importance highlighted the substantial role of certain climatic factors, namely precipitation in the warmest quarter, annual precipitation, and precipitation during the wettest month, in the modeling of flood susceptibility in South Asia. The resultant flood susceptibility maps demonstrated the influence of climate change scenarios on susceptibility classifications, signalling a dynamic landscape of flood-prone areas over time. The findings revealed variable trends under different climate change scenarios and periods, with marked differences in the percentage of areas classified as having high and very high flood susceptibility. Overall, this study advances our understanding of how climate change affects flood susceptibility in South Asia and offers an essential tool for assessing and managing flood risks in the region.

6.
J Environ Manage ; 366: 121767, 2024 Jul 08.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38986369

RESUMO

Optimizing the layout of urban stormwater management systems is an effective method for mitigating the risk of urban flooding under extreme storms. However, traditional approaches that consider only economic costs or annual runoff control rates cannot dynamically respond to the uncertainties of extreme weather, making it difficult to completely avoid large accumulations of water and flooding in a short period. This study proposes an integrated method combining system layout optimization and Model Predictive Control(MPC)to enhance the system's resilience and effectiveness in flood control. An optimization framework was initially built to identify optimal system layouts, balancing annual average life cycle cost (AALCC) and resilience index. The MPC was then applied to the optimal layout selected using the Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution (TOPSIS) method, aiming to alleviate inundation cost-effectively. The adaptability of MPC to varying sets of control horizons and its efficacy in managing the hydrograph and flood dynamics of urban drainage system were examined. Conducted in Yubei, Chongqing, this study revealed patterns in optimal layout fronts among various extreme design rainfalls, showing that peak position rate and return period significantly influence system resilience. The contribution of MPC to the optimal system layout was particularly notable, resulting in improved instantaneous and overall flood mitigation. The application of MPC increased the resilience index by an average of 0.0485 and offered cost savings of 0.0514 million yuan in AALCC. Besides, our findings highlighted the importance of selecting an optimal set of control horizons for MPC, which could reduce maximum flood depth from 0.43m to 0.19m and decrease conduit peak flow by up to 14% at a flood-prone downstream location.

7.
Water Sci Technol ; 89(10): 2605-2624, 2024 May.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38822603

RESUMO

Floods are one of the most destructive disasters that cause loss of life and property worldwide every year. In this study, the aim was to find the best-performing model in flood sensitivity assessment and analyze key characteristic factors, the spatial pattern of flood sensitivity was evaluated using three machine learning (ML) models: Logistic Regression (LR), eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), and Random Forest (RF). Suqian City in Jiangsu Province was selected as the study area, and a random sample dataset of historical flood points was constructed. Fifteen different meteorological, hydrological, and geographical spatial variables were considered in the flood sensitivity assessment, 12 variables were selected based on the multi-collinearity study. Among the results of comparing the selected ML models, the RF method had the highest AUC value, accuracy, and comprehensive evaluation effect, and is a reliable and effective flood risk assessment model. As the main output of this study, the flood sensitivity map is divided into five categories, ranging from very low to very high sensitivity. Using the RF model (i.e., the highest accuracy of the model), the high-risk area covers about 44% of the study area, mainly concentrated in the central, eastern, and southern parts of the old city area.


Assuntos
Inundações , Modelos Logísticos , Aprendizado de Máquina , China , Modelos Teóricos , Algoritmo Florestas Aleatórias
8.
Sci Rep ; 14(1): 14826, 2024 Jun 27.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38937603

RESUMO

Timely, accurate, and reliable information is essential for decision-makers, emergency managers, and infrastructure operators during flood events. This study demonstrates that a proposed machine learning model, MaxFloodCast, trained on physics-based hydrodynamic simulations in Harris County, offers efficient and interpretable flood inundation depth predictions. Achieving an average R 2 of 0.949 and a Root Mean Square Error of 0.61 ft (0.19 m) on unseen data, it proves reliable in forecasting peak flood inundation depths. Validated against Hurricane Harvey and Tropical Storm Imelda, MaxFloodCast shows the potential in supporting near-time floodplain management and emergency operations. The model's interpretability aids decision-makers in offering critical information to inform flood mitigation strategies, to prioritize areas with critical facilities and to examine how rainfall in other watersheds influences flood exposure in one area. The MaxFloodCast model enables accurate and interpretable inundation depth predictions while significantly reducing computational time, thereby supporting emergency response efforts and flood risk management more effectively.

9.
Environ Monit Assess ; 196(7): 655, 2024 Jun 24.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38913150

RESUMO

Changes to the physicochemical parameters of water in alpine/mountain streams can provide evidence of ongoing natural and anthropogenic processes in their catchment. In this study, we analysed a mountain stream (Javorinka) on the north-eastern side of the Tatra Mountains (Western Carpathians), which is minimally influenced by human activity. The stream was monitored weekly for 5 years (2017-2021) and evaluated for its seasonal variations in physicochemical parameters. These seasonal variations were influenced by the large summer flash flood in July 2018. We hypothesise that floods are essential for the oligotrophic profile of alpine/mountain streams. To support this idea, our main objective was to compare the seasonal trends of the main physicochemical parameters in the stream before and after floods or periods of high flow. We found evidence to support our hypothesis. For example, there was a significant decrease in the chemical consumption of oxygen and ammonia, and, conversely, an increase in the ratio of saturated oxygen and nitrate concentrations. Stream bed erosion also resulted in increased phosphates (over the next 2 years) and high enrichment of the water by dissolved solids in the spring. Interestingly outside of the main objectives, we observed a significant decrease in sulphates, especially in the summer and autumn of 2020 and 2021, which may be related to suppressed emissions due to the restriction of the COVID-19 lockdown. The observed trends and their changes therefore support the idea that alpine/mountain streams are excellent indicators of ongoing environmental processes, and that occasional summer flash floods support the oligotrophic profile of the stream system.


Assuntos
Monitoramento Ambiental , Inundações , Rios , Estações do Ano , Rios/química , COVID-19
10.
Am J Epidemiol ; 2024 Jun 06.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38844537

RESUMO

Human-induced climate change has led to more frequent and severe flooding throughout the globe. We examined the association between flood risk and the prevalence of coronary heart disease, high blood pressure, asthma, and poor mental health in the UnitedStates, while taking into account different levels of social vulnerability. We aggregated flood risk variables from First Street Foundation by census tract and used principal component analysis to derive a set of five interpretable flood risk factors. The dependent variables were census-tract level disease prevalences generated by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Bayesian spatial conditional autoregressive models were fit on this data to quantify the relationship between flood risk and health outcomes under different stratifications of social vulnerability. We showed that three flood risk principal components had small but significant associations with each of the health outcomes, across the different stratifications of social vulnerability. Our analysis gives the first United States-wide estimates of the associated effects of flood risk on specific health outcomes. We also show that social vulnerability is an important moderator of the relationship between flood risk and health outcomes. Our approach can be extended to other ecological studies that examine the health impacts of climate hazards.

11.
Psych J ; 2024 Jun 07.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38845535

RESUMO

A heavy rainstorm struck Henan, China, in July 2021. Previous studies have indicated that natural disasters have a wide range of psychological sequelae, but little research has been done on the psychological effects of floods specifically. This study aimed to track the mental health trajectories of flood victims over time and identify associated protective and risk factors. People living in the areas most impacted by the flood (N = 376) were surveyed at four different time points: 3 weeks, 1 month, 2 months, and 3 months post-flood. Latent growth mixture modeling was utilized to delineate longitudinal patterns of depression, anxiety, and posttraumatic stress disorder (PTSD). Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator logistic regression, a supervised machine-learning approach, was employed to discern predictors among 49 assessed variables at both contextual and personal levels. Results revealed three classes of PTSD (resilience, recovery, moderate symptoms) and anxiety (resilience, chronicity, recovery) trajectories, along with two classes of depression trajectories (resilience, chronicity). Key factors predicting resilience in mental health included personality traits, media consumption habits, pre-existing health conditions at the individual level, and asset loss and ongoing adversities at the contextual level. In spite of the widespread impact of the flood, most victims displayed resilience in the face of adversity. Identifying critical factors across various psychological symptoms offers valuable insights for both pre-disaster preparation and post-disaster trans-diagnostic psychological interventions.

12.
Cureus ; 16(5): e59577, 2024 May.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38832151

RESUMO

Introduction Floods not only directly damage medical facilities but also hinder access to medical facilities, potentially disrupting local medical services. The scale of damage that medical facilities suffer from floods in Japan is unknown. In this study, we assessed the potential impact of floods on Japanese healthcare facilities by facility characteristics. Methods We conducted a cross-sectional study involving medical facilities registered in the Japan Medical Association Regional Medical Information System. Geographic data for the inundation area was obtained from open data of the Japanese government. Facilities that overlap with flooded areas were designated as affected facilities. The primary outcomes were the percentage of damaged facilities and beds. We calculated odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (95%CI) using the Wald method to assess the impact of disaster base hospital designation on damage extent. Results We included 140,826 general clinics and 8,126 hospitals, which had 137,731 and 1,483,347 beds, respectively. The planned scale of flooding is estimated to affect 8.0% of general clinics and 10.8% of their beds. For hospitals, these figures were 8.8% and 7.8%, respectively. The maximum potential scale of flooding is estimated to affect 23.6% of general clinics and 23.9% of their beds. For hospitals, these figures were 22.5% and 20.6%, respectively. At the planned scale of flooding, there was no difference found in the rate of damaged facilities between disaster base hospitals and non-disaster base hospitals, and the rate of damaged beds was lower at non-disaster base hospitals (OR = 0.92, 95%CI = 0.71-1.18 for damaged facilities and OR = 0.79, 95%CI = 0.78-0.80 for damaged beds). At the maximum potential scale of flooding, there was no difference found in the expected damage between disaster base hospitals and non-disaster base hospitals (OR = 1.14, 95%CI = 0.95-1.38 for damaged facilities and OR = 0.99, 95%CI = 0.98-1.00 for damaged beds). Conclusion In Japan, floods can hinder nationwide medical functions, particularly in certain regions. Healthcare professionals should assess potential flood damage in advance and ensure that their workplace's business continuity plan includes appropriate countermeasures.

13.
J Environ Manage ; 362: 121260, 2024 Jun.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38833924

RESUMO

Accurate multi-step ahead flood forecasting is crucial for flood prevention and mitigation efforts as well as optimizing water resource management. In this study, we propose a Runoff Process Vectorization (RPV) method and integrate it with three Deep Learning (DL) models, namely Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), Temporal Convolutional Network (TCN), and Transformer, to develop a series of RPV-DL flood forecasting models, namely RPV-LSTM, RPV-TCN, and RPV-Transformer models. The models are evaluated using observed flood runoff data from nine typical basins in the middle Yellow River region. The key findings are as follows: Under the same lead time conditions, the RPV-DL models outperform the DL models in terms of Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency coefficient, root mean square error, and relative error for peak flows in the nine typical basins of the middle Yellow River region. Based on the comprehensive evaluation results of the train and test periods, the RPV-DL model outperforms the DL model by an average of 2.82%-22.21% in terms of NSE across nine basins, with RMSE and RE reductions of 10.86-28.81% and 36.14%-51.35%, respectively. The vectorization method significantly improves the accuracy of DL flood forecasting, and the RPV-DL models exhibit better predictive performance, particularly when the lead time is 4h-6h. When the lead time is 4-6h, the percentage improvement in NSE is 9.77%, 15.07%, and 17.94%. The RPV-TCN model shows superior performance in overcoming forecast errors among the nine basins. The research findings provide scientific evidence for flood prevention and mitigation efforts in river basins.


Assuntos
Aprendizado Profundo , Inundações , Previsões , Rios , Algoritmos , Modelos Teóricos
14.
Ecol Food Nutr ; 63(4): 343-354, 2024.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38833628

RESUMO

The current study aimed to find the risk factors of wasting in flood-affected areas of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Pakistan. Sociodemographic and anthropometric data was collected. Children living in large family are 2.59 times more likely to be wasted (AOR = 2.59, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.10, 6.10; p value = .029) and children living in medium size family are 2.23 times more likely to be wasted (AOR = 2.23, 95% CI: 1.03, 4.80; p value = .04) as compared to children in small family size. The study underscores the need for targeted interventions to address the identified risk factors and mitigate the impact of flooding on child nutrition.


Assuntos
Inundações , Síndrome de Emaciação , Humanos , Paquistão/epidemiologia , Estudos Transversais , Fatores de Risco , Feminino , Masculino , Pré-Escolar , Síndrome de Emaciação/epidemiologia , Transtornos da Nutrição Infantil/epidemiologia , Lactente , Características da Família , Criança , Desnutrição/epidemiologia , Fatores Socioeconômicos
15.
J Environ Manage ; 365: 121504, 2024 Jun 21.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38908155

RESUMO

In the face of escalating urban pluvial floods exacerbated by climate change, conventional roof systems fall short of effectively managing precipitation extremes. This paper introduces a smart predictive solution: the Smart Internal Drainage Roof (SIDR) system, which leverages forecasted data to enhance the mitigation of pluvial floods in Central Business District (CBD) areas. Unlike traditional approaches, SIDRs utilize a synergistic combination of Rule-based Control (RBC) and Model Predictive Control (MPC) algorithms, tailored to optimize the operational efficiency of both grey and green roofs. Within the examined 1.3 km2 area in Beijing, China, SIDRs, covering 11% of the site, decreased total flooded areas by 30%-50% and eliminated 60%-100% of high-risk zones during three actual events. Moreover, SIDRs streamlined outflow processes without extending discharge time and reduced flood duration at a high-risk underpass by more than half. The SIDR's distinct features, including a high control resolution of 5 min, integration with existing waterproofs, and advanced 2D dynamic runoff visualization, position it as a scalable and cost-efficient upgrade in urban flood resilience strategies.

16.
J Environ Manage ; 364: 121466, 2024 Jul.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38870784

RESUMO

One of the important non-engineering measures for flood forecasting and disaster reduction in watersheds is the application of machine learning flood prediction models, with Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) being one of the most representative time series prediction models. However, the LSTM model has issues of underestimating peak flows and poor robustness in flood forecasting applications. Therefore, based on a thorough analysis of complex underlying surface attributes, this study proposes a framework for distinguishing runoff models and integrates a Grid-based Runoff Generation Model (GRGM). Simultaneously considering the time series characteristics of runoff processes, including rising, peak, and recession, a runoff process vectorization (RPV) method is proposed. In this study, a hybrid deep learning flood forecasting framework, GRGM-RPV-LSTM, is constructed by coupling the GRGM, RPV, and LSTM neural network models. Taking the Jialu River in the Zhongmu station control basin as an example, the model is validated using 18 instances of measured floods and compared with the LSTM and GRGM-LSTM models. The study shows that the GRGM model has a relative error and average coefficient of determination for simulating runoff of 8.41% and 0.976, respectively, indicating that considering the spatial distribution of runoff patterns leads to more accurate runoff calculations. Under the same lead time conditions, the GRGM-RPV-LSTM hybrid forecasting model has a Nash efficiency coefficient greater than 0.9, demonstrating better simulation performance compared to the GRGM-LSTM and LSTM models. As the lead time increases, the GRGM-RPV-LSTM model provides more accurate peak flow predictions and exhibits better robustness. The research findings can provide scientific basis for coordinated management of flood control and disaster reduction in watersheds.


Assuntos
Inundações , Previsões , Aprendizado de Máquina , Modelos Teóricos , Redes Neurais de Computação , Rios , Movimentos da Água
17.
J Environ Manage ; 364: 121291, 2024 Jul.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38875975

RESUMO

Floods are natural occurrences that pose serious risks to human life and the environment, including significant property and infrastructure damage and subsequent socioeconomic challenges. Recent floods in Cheongju County, South Korea have been linked to river overflow. In this study, we created flood susceptibility maps of Cheongju, South Korea using machine learning techniques including support vector regression (SVR), boosted tree (BOOST), and long short-term memory (LSTM) algorithms, based on environmental factors. Potentially influential variables were selected based on flood data gathered through field surveys; these included the slope, aspect, length-slope factor, wind exposition index, terrain wetness index, plan curvature, normalized difference water index, geology, soil drainage, soil depth, soil texture, land use type, and forest density. To improve the robustness of the flood susceptibility model, the most influential factors were identified using the frequency ratio method. Implementing machine learning techniques like SVR and BOOST produced encouraging outcomes, achieving the area under the curve (AUC) of 83.16% and 86.70% for training, and 81.65% and 86.43% for testing, respectively. While, the LSTM algorithm showed superior flood susceptibility mapping performance, with an AUC value of 87.01% for training and 86.91% for testing, demonstrating its robust performance and reliability in accurately assessing flood susceptibility. The results of this study enhance our understanding of flood susceptibility in South Korea and demonstrate the potential of the proposed approach for informing and guiding crucial regional policy decisions, contributing to a more resilient and prepared future.


Assuntos
Inundações , Aprendizado de Máquina , República da Coreia , Algoritmos
18.
J Environ Manage ; 364: 121295, 2024 Jul.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38875991

RESUMO

Flood modelling and forecasting can enhance our understanding of flood mechanisms and facilitate effective management of flood risk. Conventional flood hazard and risk assessments usually consider one driver at a time, whether it is ocean, fluvial or pluvial, without considering the compound nature of flood events. In this paper, we developed a novel approach for modelling and forecasting compound coastal-fluvial floods using a two-step framework. In step one, a hydrodynamic model is used to simulate floodwater propagation; while in step two, machine learning (ML) models are used to generate flood forecasts. The architecture of hydrodynamic-ML forecasting system incorporates a hydrodynamic model covering a specific domain, with individual ML models trained for each pixel. In total 7 ML models including: Support Vector Regression (SVR), Support Vector Machine (SVM), Radial Basis Function (RBF), Linear Regression (LR), Gaussian Process Regression (GPR), Decision Tree (DT), and Artificial Neural Network (ANN) were applied in this study. Forecasting compound floods is achieved using two sets of inputs: timeseries of river discharges in the upstream fluvial section and downstream ocean water levels in the coastal areas. The accuracy of the flood forecasting system is demonstrated for Cork City, Ireland; and modelling performance was evaluated using several statistical tools. Results show that the proposed models can provide reliable estimates of flood inundation and associated water depths. Overall, the RBF model exhibits the best performance. Despite the complexity of compound multi-driver floods, this study shows that the coupled hydrodynamic-ML approach can forecast coastal-fluvial flood with limited hydraulic and hydrological input data. This system overcomes the limitations of traditional hydrodynamic model-based systems where trade-offs between the always competing numerical model accuracy and computational time prohibit the model to be used for short-term flood forecasting. Once trained, the ML component of the coupled system can perform flood forecasting in near real-time, potentially integrating into a flood early warning system. Accurate flood forecasting has a wide range of positive societal impacts, including improved flood preparedness, increased confidence, better resource allocation, reduced flood damage, and potentially even flood prevention.


Assuntos
Inundações , Previsões , Aprendizado de Máquina , Máquina de Vetores de Suporte , Redes Neurais de Computação , Modelos Teóricos , Rios , Oceanos e Mares
19.
J Environ Manage ; 364: 121298, 2024 Jul.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38878584

RESUMO

Riparian woodlands prevent bank erosions, recycle minerals, sustain biodiversity, act as flow resistance on floodplains, and filter pollutants. The emergent trees characterize woodlands with different spacing arrangements that dictate flow resistance and longitudinal dispersion of the pollutants in compound channel flow. The single- and multistage compound channels exist in urban and natural watercourses with riparian and transplanted trees on different stages of the floodplain. This study numerically validates the planting of vegetation in lines on single- and multistage floodplains using a wall-modeled large-eddy simulation model. Post-validation, the focus of the study was to assess the hydrodynamic behavior and mixing around the floodplain and main channel section of different tested configurations. The approximation of flow structures for the various configurations of tree plantations shows stronger vortices with significant characteristic length scales for floodplains closer to the main channel. The intensity of the secondary current is higher for denser planted trees at junctions of floodplains. For higher flow events, drag force contributions for staged floodplains with trees on both stages are 45-41%, and trees on the top stage contribute 27-22% to the total frictional force budget. The subsequent investigation shows that the in-line trees geometrical configuration and spacing arrangement on the floodplain dictates flow resistance and longitudinal dispersion of the pollutants and contamination in channel flow. The results show that the overall reduction in discharge for floodplains with tree planting is 19.8-36.2% for single-stage and 10.4-23.6% for multistage compound channels. The longitudinal dispersion coefficients for each multi-zone model predict a 61% and 41% dispersion reduction, respectively, in single- and multistage floodplains with planted trees. Floodplains with denser tree spacing have a maximum zonal discharge reduction of 45% for a single-stage and 27.2% and 28.0% for multistage channels. These findings strongly suggest that the planting parameters of spacing-to-diameter ratio and floodplain geometry play a pivotal role in floodplain management from the perspective of contaminant dispersion and flood risk reduction during high-flow events.


Assuntos
Árvores , Florestas , Inundações , Rios , Modelos Teóricos , Hidrodinâmica
20.
Environ Sci Pollut Res Int ; 31(28): 41267-41289, 2024 Jun.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38847951

RESUMO

On a global scale, flooding is the most devastating natural hazard with an increasingly negative impact on humans. It is necessary to accurately detect flood-prone areas. This research introduces and evaluates the Preference Ranking Organization METHod for Enrichment Evaluation (PROMETHEE) integrated with GIS in the field of flood susceptibility in comparison with two conventional multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA) methods: analytical hierarchy process (AHP) and Technique for Order of Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution (TOPSIS). The Spercheios river basin in Greece, which is a highly susceptible area, was selected as a case study. The application of these approaches and the completion of the study requires the creation of a geospatial database consisting of eight flood conditioning factors (elevation, slope, NDVI, TWI, geology, LULC, distance to river network, rainfall) and a flood inventory of flood (564 sites) and non-flood locations for validation. The weighting of the factors is based on the AHP method. The output values were imported into GIS and interpolated to map the flood susceptibility zones. The models were evaluated by area under the curve (AUC) and the statistical metrics of accuracy, root mean squared error (RMSE), and frequency ratio (FR). The PROMETHEE model is proven to be the most efficient with AUC = 97.21%. Statistical metrics confirm the superiority of PROMETHEE with 87.54% accuracy and 0.12 RMSE. The output maps revealed that the regions most prone to flooding are arable land in lowland areas with low gradients and quaternary formations. Very high susceptible zone covers approximately 15.00-19.50% of the total area and have the greatest FR values. The susceptibility maps need to be considered in the preparation of a flood risk management plan and utilized as a tool to mitigate the adverse impacts of floods.


Assuntos
Inundações , Grécia , Sistemas de Informação Geográfica , Rios , Técnicas de Apoio para a Decisão
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